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Influencing factors on home owners’ risk
perception and behaviour:
evidence from a risk communication campaign
in the city of Zurich

Elisabeth Maidl, Matthias Buchecker

International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2012
August 27, 2012

                           Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL   1
Outline

• Background of the study

• Survey and sample description

• Main results: effects of the campaing on
                - knowledge about risk areas
                - risk awareness
                - preparedness

• Conclusion




                              Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL   2
Background:
Implementation of risk maps
Cantonal decree to regard
risk maps for city planning and to inform home owners



 municipalities       inform             home owners




                     Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL   3
Background:
Content of the campaign


                                     Brochures with information on:
                                     -    risk areas
                                     -    security measures
                                     -    probability & potential damage
                                     -    online accessable risk map




                 Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL   4
expe-
Study design                respon-
                            sibility
                                            rience       infor-
                                                         mation
                object                                   beha-
                type                                     viour       evalu-
                and                                                  ation
                usage
                                                                             general
           attach-
                                                                             risk-
           ment
                                     prepared-                               aversion
                                     ness
          socio-                     (willingness                            risk
          demo-                                                              aware-
          graphic                    to take
                                     measures)                               ness

             priority                                                      level of
             of secu-                                                      know-
             rity                                                          ledge
                                                                flood risk
                     control-
                                                                accep-
                     ability
                                                                tance
                                   ob-
                                   stacles           trust



                         Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL   5
Survey and sample description
•   data collection: february – april 2012

•   population:    10,500 home owners in risk areas

•   sample size: 1,500 home owners

•   response rate: 34% (460 questionnaires)

•   socio-demographic characteristics:
     - mean-age: 62 years

     - 90% private owners

     - high level of education (32% university degree)

     - 64% males


                                     Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL   6
Main results: effect on knowledge
„Which risk area applies to you?“
  50
  45
  40          36.3
  35
  30
                            28.9                           28.8                 28.8
% 25
       23.7
                                                                  20
  20
  15                   13                                                              11.1
  10
                                       5.6 3.7
   5
   0




               Did not use risk map (N=316; M=-0.60; SD=1.15)
               Used risk map (N=135; M=-0.67; SD=1.01)

                                   Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL   7
Main results: risk awareness

• Respondents who studied the material had a higher level of risk
  awareness than non-users.

• Who studied the material?
      – personal flood experience
      – knowlegde before the campaign
      – preference for mail information

• A high level of risk awareness correlated with a highy level of
  preparedness.




                               Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL   8
Main results: effect on preparedness
The two main influencing factors on preparedness:


                                               trust
                         positive
                         evaluation            risk awarness

                                               intensity of studying
                                               the material
preparedness
                                                intensity of studying
                                                the material
                         risk
                         awareness              experience

                                                knowledge before

                                 Eidg. Forschungsanstalt für Wald, Schnee und Landschaft WSL   9
Conclusion:
How to rise preparedness?

• improve/preserve preconditions of receptiveness for information:

       - regular information

       - trust in authorities

• address people according to their information needs

       - media (mail, internet)

       - benefit-effort

       - provide contact details and encourage to consult experts)



                                  Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL   10
Thanks for your

     attention!
elisabeth.maidl@wsl.ch

matthias.buchecker@wsl.ch

           Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL   11
Measurement of risk awareness

  risk awareness (8-item scale, α=.836)

                - perception of flood risk in Zurich
                - perception of flood risk for own property
   perception   - perceived propability of experiencing a severe
                  flood in Zurich
                - worry about flood risk

                - general interest in natural hazards
   relevance    - flood is a relevant topic
                - followed regular information about flood risk
                - followed specific information about flood risk in
                 Zurich

                          Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL   12
Measurement of preparedness

 Preparedness (5-item-scale, α=.877)
       Flood proof setting of equipment (such as oil
       tank or heater)
       Temorary measures (such as removable
       barrier)

       Inform house/flat renters

       Not use certain rooms (e.g. cellar)

       Emergency plan

       Other measures


                            Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL   13
Regression: preparedness:
Willingness to implement measures
 2
R =.238, F(6, 304)=16.849, p<.001).
Durbin-Watson: 1.814
SEE: .868
                 Independent variables                                       Parameter
                                                                             estimates:
                                                                             beta (SE)
           1     evaluation of the information material                      .198 (.073)***

           2     risk awareness                                              .178 (0.87)***

           3     priority of security vs.                                    .178 (0.55)**
                 low public debt and regulation
           4     benefit-effort evaluation                                   -.164 (1.04)**
           5     sex                                                         .174 (1.07)**
           6     general reconstruction plans                                .123 (0.69)*




                                Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL   14
Regression preparedness:
Already implemented measures

R2=.134, F(6, 392)=10.915, p<.001).
Durbin-Watson: 1.844
SEE: .849

                   Independent variables                              Parameter
                                                                      estimates:
                                                                      beta (SE)
        1          benefit-effort evaluation                          -.200 (0.88)***
        2          risk acceptance (evacuation)                       .170 (0.40)***
        3          knowledge about flood risk                         .134 (0.40)**
        4          professional background                            .131 (1.38)**
        5          general risk-aversion                              .129 (0.58)**
        6          spent there most time of life                      .092 (0.27),
                                                                      p=.075

                                  Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL   15

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Homeowner Risk Perceptions & Preparedness

  • 1. sdf Influencing factors on home owners’ risk perception and behaviour: evidence from a risk communication campaign in the city of Zurich Elisabeth Maidl, Matthias Buchecker International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2012 August 27, 2012 Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL 1
  • 2. Outline • Background of the study • Survey and sample description • Main results: effects of the campaing on - knowledge about risk areas - risk awareness - preparedness • Conclusion Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL 2
  • 3. Background: Implementation of risk maps Cantonal decree to regard risk maps for city planning and to inform home owners municipalities inform home owners Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL 3
  • 4. Background: Content of the campaign Brochures with information on: - risk areas - security measures - probability & potential damage - online accessable risk map Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL 4
  • 5. expe- Study design respon- sibility rience infor- mation object beha- type viour evalu- and ation usage general attach- risk- ment prepared- aversion ness socio- (willingness risk demo- aware- graphic to take measures) ness priority level of of secu- know- rity ledge flood risk control- accep- ability tance ob- stacles trust Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL 5
  • 6. Survey and sample description • data collection: february – april 2012 • population: 10,500 home owners in risk areas • sample size: 1,500 home owners • response rate: 34% (460 questionnaires) • socio-demographic characteristics: - mean-age: 62 years - 90% private owners - high level of education (32% university degree) - 64% males Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL 6
  • 7. Main results: effect on knowledge „Which risk area applies to you?“ 50 45 40 36.3 35 30 28.9 28.8 28.8 % 25 23.7 20 20 15 13 11.1 10 5.6 3.7 5 0 Did not use risk map (N=316; M=-0.60; SD=1.15) Used risk map (N=135; M=-0.67; SD=1.01) Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL 7
  • 8. Main results: risk awareness • Respondents who studied the material had a higher level of risk awareness than non-users. • Who studied the material? – personal flood experience – knowlegde before the campaign – preference for mail information • A high level of risk awareness correlated with a highy level of preparedness. Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL 8
  • 9. Main results: effect on preparedness The two main influencing factors on preparedness: trust positive evaluation risk awarness intensity of studying the material preparedness intensity of studying the material risk awareness experience knowledge before Eidg. Forschungsanstalt für Wald, Schnee und Landschaft WSL 9
  • 10. Conclusion: How to rise preparedness? • improve/preserve preconditions of receptiveness for information: - regular information - trust in authorities • address people according to their information needs - media (mail, internet) - benefit-effort - provide contact details and encourage to consult experts) Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL 10
  • 11. Thanks for your attention! elisabeth.maidl@wsl.ch matthias.buchecker@wsl.ch Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL 11
  • 12. Measurement of risk awareness risk awareness (8-item scale, α=.836) - perception of flood risk in Zurich - perception of flood risk for own property perception - perceived propability of experiencing a severe flood in Zurich - worry about flood risk - general interest in natural hazards relevance - flood is a relevant topic - followed regular information about flood risk - followed specific information about flood risk in Zurich Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL 12
  • 13. Measurement of preparedness Preparedness (5-item-scale, α=.877) Flood proof setting of equipment (such as oil tank or heater) Temorary measures (such as removable barrier) Inform house/flat renters Not use certain rooms (e.g. cellar) Emergency plan Other measures Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL 13
  • 14. Regression: preparedness: Willingness to implement measures 2 R =.238, F(6, 304)=16.849, p<.001). Durbin-Watson: 1.814 SEE: .868 Independent variables Parameter estimates: beta (SE) 1 evaluation of the information material .198 (.073)*** 2 risk awareness .178 (0.87)*** 3 priority of security vs. .178 (0.55)** low public debt and regulation 4 benefit-effort evaluation -.164 (1.04)** 5 sex .174 (1.07)** 6 general reconstruction plans .123 (0.69)* Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL 14
  • 15. Regression preparedness: Already implemented measures R2=.134, F(6, 392)=10.915, p<.001). Durbin-Watson: 1.844 SEE: .849 Independent variables Parameter estimates: beta (SE) 1 benefit-effort evaluation -.200 (0.88)*** 2 risk acceptance (evacuation) .170 (0.40)*** 3 knowledge about flood risk .134 (0.40)** 4 professional background .131 (1.38)** 5 general risk-aversion .129 (0.58)** 6 spent there most time of life .092 (0.27), p=.075 Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL 15