SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 11
Global Risk Forum Davos 2012




        Adaptive Disaster Risk Reduction




               PD. Dr.-Ing Joern Birkmann

               Head of Section, UNU-EHS
                    Bonn, Germany
A changing climate leads to changes in extreme
weather and climate events




                                                 2
Since 1950, extreme hot days and heavy
precipitation have become more common




        There is evidence that anthropogenic influences, including increasing
         atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, have changed these
                                      extremes                            3
New challenges for DRR

        Need for adaptive DRR and adjustments of
         international response
          ◯   Increase planning horizon and work
              with multi-hazard approach
          ◯   Improve the consideration of future CC-
              hazards into response & reconstruction
          ◯   Rethink: time and spatial scales of
              DRR
          ◯   Evaluate the adaptiveness of DRR
              measures (e.g. EW, evacuation
              concepts etc.)
Humanitarian aid & DRR

       Revisit existing norms and management
        approaches in times of crises and disasters
            Strengthen the focus on how disasters
             might also function as a catalyst for
             change and resilience building
            Evaluate the adaptiveness of DRR measures (e.g. EW,
             evacuation concepts etc.)

       Improve the link between crises management, rehabilitation
        and climate resilient development
            More strategic evaluation, e.g. establishment of DRR-
             CCA checklist
            Potential to extend standards, e.g. SPHERE, to
             coordinate action of climate change and development
             stakeholders?
            Incorporate DRR and CCA in bilateral agreements
Analysis of tools - priorities
   Key thematic areas            Selected priority tools
(based on HFA & Cardona et al.
                                  based on expert inteviews
            2005)

           Identification and
                              Risk and vulnerability assessment
        understanding of risk

 Reduction of underlying risk
                              Planning and social development
                     factors

 Disaster preparedness and
                           Early warning systems (EWS)
   emergency management

                               National policy and legal frameworks
  Institutional capacities and
                               and financial mechanisms
        financial mechanisms
Adapting DRR tools




 Risk and vulnerability Assessment
 • Resolution of CC projections
 • Accounting for different and dynamic exposure
 •Scenarios of vulnerability
 •Coping and adaptation capacities.
 • Timescales
 •Creeping changes
Increasing exposure of people and assets has
    been the major cause of changes in disaster
                       losses
                    (IPCC 2012)




Specific types of urban development and rural-urban migration might
increase the exposure of people to floods (example Mekong Delta VN)
(Photo: Krause 2012)
                                                                      8
Challenges for Adaptation and DRR




                                (Photos: Birkmann 2011; Map Source: Garschagen et al. 2012)

The main challenge for local adaptation to climate extremes is to apply a
 balanced portfolio of approaches as a one-size-fits all strategy may prove
 limiting for some places and stakeholders. (IPCC 2012, p. 295)

While structural measures provide some protection from disasters, they
 may also create a false sense of safety. (IPCC 2012, p. 293)

Conflicts between governmental and non-governmental strategies and
 norms can generate additional vulnerabilities. (IPCC 2012, p. 86)
Conclusions



•   We observe an emerging cooperation between Disaster Risk Reduction
    and Climate Change Adaptation research (IPCC SREX). This
    cooperation has also to be strengthened in various countries, e.g.
    between different ministries (MoNRE – MARD).

•   Exposure and vulnerability are dynamic. Hence we need also to develop
    different scenarios for vulnerability and risks (in addition to climate
    change scenarios).

•   Vulnerability and risk assessment as well as adaptation strategies need
    to combine different data and knowledge sources as well as
    methodologies.

•   Lastly, we have to critically review DRR measures that worked in the
    past (e.g. dyke construction), but might not work in the future.
PD Dr. Joern Birkmann

UNITED NATIONS UNIVERSITY
Institute for Environment
and Human Security (UNU-EHS)

Hermann-Ehlers-Str. 10
53113 Bonn, Germany
Phone: ++ 49 (0) 228 815-0208
Fax:   ++ 49 (0) 228 815-0299
E-Mail: birkmann@ehs.unu.edu    11

More Related Content

What's hot

DEIR Resiliency Plan San Tim Canyon
DEIR Resiliency Plan San Tim CanyonDEIR Resiliency Plan San Tim Canyon
DEIR Resiliency Plan San Tim Canyon
Brian Robey
 
Benchmarking urban adaptation
Benchmarking urban adaptationBenchmarking urban adaptation
Benchmarking urban adaptation
Tom Downing
 
Disaster management notes_and_questions
Disaster management notes_and_questionsDisaster management notes_and_questions
Disaster management notes_and_questions
Sktabrej Hossain
 
Disaster management terminology
Disaster management terminologyDisaster management terminology
Disaster management terminology
Sumon Dhrubo
 
Coastal vulnerability made simple - Presentation to the Western Australian St...
Coastal vulnerability made simple - Presentation to the Western Australian St...Coastal vulnerability made simple - Presentation to the Western Australian St...
Coastal vulnerability made simple - Presentation to the Western Australian St...
Charlie Bicknell
 

What's hot (20)

Critically evaluate the armed force strategic Mitigation and adaptation to cl...
Critically evaluate the armed force strategic Mitigation and adaptation to cl...Critically evaluate the armed force strategic Mitigation and adaptation to cl...
Critically evaluate the armed force strategic Mitigation and adaptation to cl...
 
Climate Change and Disasters: Capacity Building Programmes
Climate Change and Disasters: Capacity Building ProgrammesClimate Change and Disasters: Capacity Building Programmes
Climate Change and Disasters: Capacity Building Programmes
 
Projects by Dr Anil K Gupta NIDM New Delhi
Projects by Dr Anil K Gupta NIDM New DelhiProjects by Dr Anil K Gupta NIDM New Delhi
Projects by Dr Anil K Gupta NIDM New Delhi
 
DEIR Resiliency Plan San Tim Canyon
DEIR Resiliency Plan San Tim CanyonDEIR Resiliency Plan San Tim Canyon
DEIR Resiliency Plan San Tim Canyon
 
Benchmarking urban adaptation
Benchmarking urban adaptationBenchmarking urban adaptation
Benchmarking urban adaptation
 
Developing adaptation strategies background training for adaptation
Developing adaptation strategies background  training for adaptationDeveloping adaptation strategies background  training for adaptation
Developing adaptation strategies background training for adaptation
 
Vulnerability and resilience in small states
Vulnerability and resilience in small statesVulnerability and resilience in small states
Vulnerability and resilience in small states
 
Online Training Resource for Climate Adaptation: Adaptation Strategies - Whic...
Online Training Resource for Climate Adaptation: Adaptation Strategies - Whic...Online Training Resource for Climate Adaptation: Adaptation Strategies - Whic...
Online Training Resource for Climate Adaptation: Adaptation Strategies - Whic...
 
Disaster Risk Reduction Terminology
Disaster Risk Reduction TerminologyDisaster Risk Reduction Terminology
Disaster Risk Reduction Terminology
 
Risk sensitive spatial planning in global south
Risk sensitive spatial planning in global south Risk sensitive spatial planning in global south
Risk sensitive spatial planning in global south
 
Lessons learned from autonomous and planned adaptation experiences en central...
Lessons learned from autonomous and planned adaptation experiences en central...Lessons learned from autonomous and planned adaptation experiences en central...
Lessons learned from autonomous and planned adaptation experiences en central...
 
Verity rollason full paper 2
Verity rollason full paper 2Verity rollason full paper 2
Verity rollason full paper 2
 
De groot talk_iscram drr
De groot talk_iscram drrDe groot talk_iscram drr
De groot talk_iscram drr
 
Critically evaluate the salient features of Bangladesh Climate Change Strateg...
Critically evaluate the salient features of Bangladesh Climate Change Strateg...Critically evaluate the salient features of Bangladesh Climate Change Strateg...
Critically evaluate the salient features of Bangladesh Climate Change Strateg...
 
Disaster management notes_and_questions
Disaster management notes_and_questionsDisaster management notes_and_questions
Disaster management notes_and_questions
 
Disaster management terminology
Disaster management terminologyDisaster management terminology
Disaster management terminology
 
Concepts in disaster management
Concepts in disaster managementConcepts in disaster management
Concepts in disaster management
 
Climate Adaptation for Local Governments. S. Schelegle
Climate Adaptation for Local Governments. S. SchelegleClimate Adaptation for Local Governments. S. Schelegle
Climate Adaptation for Local Governments. S. Schelegle
 
Coastal vulnerability made simple - Presentation to the Western Australian St...
Coastal vulnerability made simple - Presentation to the Western Australian St...Coastal vulnerability made simple - Presentation to the Western Australian St...
Coastal vulnerability made simple - Presentation to the Western Australian St...
 
How we managed disaster A Lecture by Mr Allah Dad Khan Visiting professor the...
How we managed disaster A Lecture by Mr Allah Dad Khan Visiting professor the...How we managed disaster A Lecture by Mr Allah Dad Khan Visiting professor the...
How we managed disaster A Lecture by Mr Allah Dad Khan Visiting professor the...
 

Viewers also liked

Viewers also liked (8)

Armstrong_IDRC14_TUE6-1_Typhoon Haiyan
Armstrong_IDRC14_TUE6-1_Typhoon HaiyanArmstrong_IDRC14_TUE6-1_Typhoon Haiyan
Armstrong_IDRC14_TUE6-1_Typhoon Haiyan
 
Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...
Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...
Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...
 
C&A Save the Children Urban DRR Project, Ray KANCHARLA
C&A Save the Children Urban DRR Project, Ray KANCHARLAC&A Save the Children Urban DRR Project, Ray KANCHARLA
C&A Save the Children Urban DRR Project, Ray KANCHARLA
 
The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...
The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...
The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...
 
Towards a safe, secure and sustainable energy supply the role of resilience i...
Towards a safe, secure and sustainable energy supply the role of resilience i...Towards a safe, secure and sustainable energy supply the role of resilience i...
Towards a safe, secure and sustainable energy supply the role of resilience i...
 
Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...
Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...
Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...
 
Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...
Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...
Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...
 
Disaster Risk Management Knowledge Centre, Brian Doherty
Disaster Risk Management Knowledge Centre, Brian DohertyDisaster Risk Management Knowledge Centre, Brian Doherty
Disaster Risk Management Knowledge Centre, Brian Doherty
 

Similar to Adaptive Disaster Risk Reduction

0. aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
0. aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr0. aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
0. aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
DPNet
 
0. aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
0. aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr0. aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
0. aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
DPNet
 
Aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
Aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drrAandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
Aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
DIPECHO Nepal
 
Aan dp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr april 2k x
Aan dp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr april 2k xAan dp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr april 2k x
Aan dp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr april 2k x
DIPECHO Nepal
 
Olorunfemi: Flood Risk Management in diverse contexts: examples from Nigeria ...
Olorunfemi: Flood Risk Management in diverse contexts: examples from Nigeria ...Olorunfemi: Flood Risk Management in diverse contexts: examples from Nigeria ...
Olorunfemi: Flood Risk Management in diverse contexts: examples from Nigeria ...
AfricaAdapt
 

Similar to Adaptive Disaster Risk Reduction (20)

Birkmann scenarios-davo snew
Birkmann scenarios-davo snewBirkmann scenarios-davo snew
Birkmann scenarios-davo snew
 
Overview of Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment and its Mainstreaming in LGU...
Overview of Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment and its Mainstreaming in LGU...Overview of Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment and its Mainstreaming in LGU...
Overview of Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment and its Mainstreaming in LGU...
 
0. aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
0. aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr0. aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
0. aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
 
Disaster Risk Resilience, curriculum that is fit for purpose in the sector, C...
Disaster Risk Resilience, curriculum that is fit for purpose in the sector, C...Disaster Risk Resilience, curriculum that is fit for purpose in the sector, C...
Disaster Risk Resilience, curriculum that is fit for purpose in the sector, C...
 
Climate 04-00008
Climate 04-00008Climate 04-00008
Climate 04-00008
 
Climate Change Adaptation and Masnaging Extreme Events
Climate Change Adaptation and Masnaging Extreme EventsClimate Change Adaptation and Masnaging Extreme Events
Climate Change Adaptation and Masnaging Extreme Events
 
0. aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
0. aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr0. aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
0. aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
 
Aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
Aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drrAandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
Aandp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr
 
CCXG Forum, September 2021, Marcia Rocha
CCXG Forum, September 2021, Marcia RochaCCXG Forum, September 2021, Marcia Rocha
CCXG Forum, September 2021, Marcia Rocha
 
Aan dp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr april 2k x
Aan dp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr april 2k xAan dp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr april 2k x
Aan dp net presentation on hfa climate change and drr april 2k x
 
Philippines- strengthening climate resilience
Philippines- strengthening climate resiliencePhilippines- strengthening climate resilience
Philippines- strengthening climate resilience
 
Ian Noble: Lessons from the PPCR and GFDRR
Ian Noble: Lessons from the PPCR and GFDRRIan Noble: Lessons from the PPCR and GFDRR
Ian Noble: Lessons from the PPCR and GFDRR
 
Assessing Climate Vulnerabilities in Data-Poor Environments
Assessing Climate Vulnerabilities in Data-Poor EnvironmentsAssessing Climate Vulnerabilities in Data-Poor Environments
Assessing Climate Vulnerabilities in Data-Poor Environments
 
Turning Black into Green - Incorporating DRR into Social and Economic Develop...
Turning Black into Green - Incorporating DRR into Social and Economic Develop...Turning Black into Green - Incorporating DRR into Social and Economic Develop...
Turning Black into Green - Incorporating DRR into Social and Economic Develop...
 
''Framework for water security and water resilient development'' by Alex Sima...
''Framework for water security and water resilient development'' by Alex Sima...''Framework for water security and water resilient development'' by Alex Sima...
''Framework for water security and water resilient development'' by Alex Sima...
 
Ocde.project overview apr 2016 final
Ocde.project overview apr 2016 finalOcde.project overview apr 2016 final
Ocde.project overview apr 2016 final
 
hazard profile.ppt
hazard profile.ppthazard profile.ppt
hazard profile.ppt
 
Olorunfemi: Flood Risk Management in diverse contexts: examples from Nigeria ...
Olorunfemi: Flood Risk Management in diverse contexts: examples from Nigeria ...Olorunfemi: Flood Risk Management in diverse contexts: examples from Nigeria ...
Olorunfemi: Flood Risk Management in diverse contexts: examples from Nigeria ...
 
Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) and Climate Change Adaptation (CCA)
Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) and Climate Change Adaptation (CCA)Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) and Climate Change Adaptation (CCA)
Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) and Climate Change Adaptation (CCA)
 
Des Moines Climate Risk and the Insurance Industry
Des Moines Climate Risk and the Insurance IndustryDes Moines Climate Risk and the Insurance Industry
Des Moines Climate Risk and the Insurance Industry
 

More from Global Risk Forum GRFDavos

More from Global Risk Forum GRFDavos (20)

Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...
Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...
Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...
 
Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...
Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...
Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...
 
Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...
Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...
Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...
 
IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...
IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...
IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...
 
Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes - Hirokazu TATANO
Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes - Hirokazu TATANOGlobal Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes - Hirokazu TATANO
Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes - Hirokazu TATANO
 
Capacity Development for DRR, Beatrice PROGIDA
Capacity Development for DRR, Beatrice PROGIDACapacity Development for DRR, Beatrice PROGIDA
Capacity Development for DRR, Beatrice PROGIDA
 
Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...
Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...
Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...
 
Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...
Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...
Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...
 
Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...
Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...
Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...
 
Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...
Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...
Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...
 
Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...
Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...
Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...
 
Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...
Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...
Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...
 
A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...
A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...
A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...
 
Architecture as a Catalyst for Sustainable Development, Anna HERINGER
Architecture as a Catalyst for Sustainable Development, Anna HERINGERArchitecture as a Catalyst for Sustainable Development, Anna HERINGER
Architecture as a Catalyst for Sustainable Development, Anna HERINGER
 
Study on the Impact of Economic Growth on Meteorological Disaster Losses in C...
Study on the Impact of Economic Growth on Meteorological Disaster Losses in C...Study on the Impact of Economic Growth on Meteorological Disaster Losses in C...
Study on the Impact of Economic Growth on Meteorological Disaster Losses in C...
 
Study on Probability Distribution of Disaster Losses, Demographics and Social...
Study on Probability Distribution of Disaster Losses, Demographics and Social...Study on Probability Distribution of Disaster Losses, Demographics and Social...
Study on Probability Distribution of Disaster Losses, Demographics and Social...
 
Where and What Kind of Weather Insurance Indexes Could be Potentially Used fo...
Where and What Kind of Weather Insurance Indexes Could be Potentially Used fo...Where and What Kind of Weather Insurance Indexes Could be Potentially Used fo...
Where and What Kind of Weather Insurance Indexes Could be Potentially Used fo...
 
Creating New Hybrid Products for Adapting the Insurance Mechanism to Drive Re...
Creating New Hybrid Products for Adapting the Insurance Mechanism to Drive Re...Creating New Hybrid Products for Adapting the Insurance Mechanism to Drive Re...
Creating New Hybrid Products for Adapting the Insurance Mechanism to Drive Re...
 
Use of Catastrophe Modelling Data to Help Earthquake Risk Assessment for Deve...
Use of Catastrophe Modelling Data to Help Earthquake Risk Assessment for Deve...Use of Catastrophe Modelling Data to Help Earthquake Risk Assessment for Deve...
Use of Catastrophe Modelling Data to Help Earthquake Risk Assessment for Deve...
 
Integrated Finanical Risk Transfer Mechanisms for Urban Resilience, Sandra SC...
Integrated Finanical Risk Transfer Mechanisms for Urban Resilience, Sandra SC...Integrated Finanical Risk Transfer Mechanisms for Urban Resilience, Sandra SC...
Integrated Finanical Risk Transfer Mechanisms for Urban Resilience, Sandra SC...
 

Recently uploaded

1029-Danh muc Sach Giao Khoa khoi 6.pdf
1029-Danh muc Sach Giao Khoa khoi  6.pdf1029-Danh muc Sach Giao Khoa khoi  6.pdf
1029-Danh muc Sach Giao Khoa khoi 6.pdf
QucHHunhnh
 
Vishram Singh - Textbook of Anatomy Upper Limb and Thorax.. Volume 1 (1).pdf
Vishram Singh - Textbook of Anatomy  Upper Limb and Thorax.. Volume 1 (1).pdfVishram Singh - Textbook of Anatomy  Upper Limb and Thorax.. Volume 1 (1).pdf
Vishram Singh - Textbook of Anatomy Upper Limb and Thorax.. Volume 1 (1).pdf
ssuserdda66b
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Towards a code of practice for AI in AT.pptx
Towards a code of practice for AI in AT.pptxTowards a code of practice for AI in AT.pptx
Towards a code of practice for AI in AT.pptx
 
ICT role in 21st century education and it's challenges.
ICT role in 21st century education and it's challenges.ICT role in 21st century education and it's challenges.
ICT role in 21st century education and it's challenges.
 
Unit-IV; Professional Sales Representative (PSR).pptx
Unit-IV; Professional Sales Representative (PSR).pptxUnit-IV; Professional Sales Representative (PSR).pptx
Unit-IV; Professional Sales Representative (PSR).pptx
 
1029-Danh muc Sach Giao Khoa khoi 6.pdf
1029-Danh muc Sach Giao Khoa khoi  6.pdf1029-Danh muc Sach Giao Khoa khoi  6.pdf
1029-Danh muc Sach Giao Khoa khoi 6.pdf
 
Spatium Project Simulation student brief
Spatium Project Simulation student briefSpatium Project Simulation student brief
Spatium Project Simulation student brief
 
ComPTIA Overview | Comptia Security+ Book SY0-701
ComPTIA Overview | Comptia Security+ Book SY0-701ComPTIA Overview | Comptia Security+ Book SY0-701
ComPTIA Overview | Comptia Security+ Book SY0-701
 
How to Create and Manage Wizard in Odoo 17
How to Create and Manage Wizard in Odoo 17How to Create and Manage Wizard in Odoo 17
How to Create and Manage Wizard in Odoo 17
 
Vishram Singh - Textbook of Anatomy Upper Limb and Thorax.. Volume 1 (1).pdf
Vishram Singh - Textbook of Anatomy  Upper Limb and Thorax.. Volume 1 (1).pdfVishram Singh - Textbook of Anatomy  Upper Limb and Thorax.. Volume 1 (1).pdf
Vishram Singh - Textbook of Anatomy Upper Limb and Thorax.. Volume 1 (1).pdf
 
FSB Advising Checklist - Orientation 2024
FSB Advising Checklist - Orientation 2024FSB Advising Checklist - Orientation 2024
FSB Advising Checklist - Orientation 2024
 
Mixin Classes in Odoo 17 How to Extend Models Using Mixin Classes
Mixin Classes in Odoo 17  How to Extend Models Using Mixin ClassesMixin Classes in Odoo 17  How to Extend Models Using Mixin Classes
Mixin Classes in Odoo 17 How to Extend Models Using Mixin Classes
 
Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? we...
Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? we...Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? we...
Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? we...
 
Kodo Millet PPT made by Ghanshyam bairwa college of Agriculture kumher bhara...
Kodo Millet  PPT made by Ghanshyam bairwa college of Agriculture kumher bhara...Kodo Millet  PPT made by Ghanshyam bairwa college of Agriculture kumher bhara...
Kodo Millet PPT made by Ghanshyam bairwa college of Agriculture kumher bhara...
 
General Principles of Intellectual Property: Concepts of Intellectual Proper...
General Principles of Intellectual Property: Concepts of Intellectual  Proper...General Principles of Intellectual Property: Concepts of Intellectual  Proper...
General Principles of Intellectual Property: Concepts of Intellectual Proper...
 
Dyslexia AI Workshop for Slideshare.pptx
Dyslexia AI Workshop for Slideshare.pptxDyslexia AI Workshop for Slideshare.pptx
Dyslexia AI Workshop for Slideshare.pptx
 
Application orientated numerical on hev.ppt
Application orientated numerical on hev.pptApplication orientated numerical on hev.ppt
Application orientated numerical on hev.ppt
 
Explore beautiful and ugly buildings. Mathematics helps us create beautiful d...
Explore beautiful and ugly buildings. Mathematics helps us create beautiful d...Explore beautiful and ugly buildings. Mathematics helps us create beautiful d...
Explore beautiful and ugly buildings. Mathematics helps us create beautiful d...
 
Graduate Outcomes Presentation Slides - English
Graduate Outcomes Presentation Slides - EnglishGraduate Outcomes Presentation Slides - English
Graduate Outcomes Presentation Slides - English
 
Unit-V; Pricing (Pharma Marketing Management).pptx
Unit-V; Pricing (Pharma Marketing Management).pptxUnit-V; Pricing (Pharma Marketing Management).pptx
Unit-V; Pricing (Pharma Marketing Management).pptx
 
Fostering Friendships - Enhancing Social Bonds in the Classroom
Fostering Friendships - Enhancing Social Bonds  in the ClassroomFostering Friendships - Enhancing Social Bonds  in the Classroom
Fostering Friendships - Enhancing Social Bonds in the Classroom
 
Accessible Digital Futures project (20/03/2024)
Accessible Digital Futures project (20/03/2024)Accessible Digital Futures project (20/03/2024)
Accessible Digital Futures project (20/03/2024)
 

Adaptive Disaster Risk Reduction

  • 1. Global Risk Forum Davos 2012 Adaptive Disaster Risk Reduction PD. Dr.-Ing Joern Birkmann Head of Section, UNU-EHS Bonn, Germany
  • 2. A changing climate leads to changes in extreme weather and climate events 2
  • 3. Since 1950, extreme hot days and heavy precipitation have become more common There is evidence that anthropogenic influences, including increasing atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, have changed these extremes 3
  • 4. New challenges for DRR  Need for adaptive DRR and adjustments of international response ◯ Increase planning horizon and work with multi-hazard approach ◯ Improve the consideration of future CC- hazards into response & reconstruction ◯ Rethink: time and spatial scales of DRR ◯ Evaluate the adaptiveness of DRR measures (e.g. EW, evacuation concepts etc.)
  • 5. Humanitarian aid & DRR  Revisit existing norms and management approaches in times of crises and disasters  Strengthen the focus on how disasters might also function as a catalyst for change and resilience building  Evaluate the adaptiveness of DRR measures (e.g. EW, evacuation concepts etc.)  Improve the link between crises management, rehabilitation and climate resilient development  More strategic evaluation, e.g. establishment of DRR- CCA checklist  Potential to extend standards, e.g. SPHERE, to coordinate action of climate change and development stakeholders?  Incorporate DRR and CCA in bilateral agreements
  • 6. Analysis of tools - priorities Key thematic areas Selected priority tools (based on HFA & Cardona et al. based on expert inteviews 2005) Identification and Risk and vulnerability assessment understanding of risk Reduction of underlying risk Planning and social development factors Disaster preparedness and Early warning systems (EWS) emergency management National policy and legal frameworks Institutional capacities and and financial mechanisms financial mechanisms
  • 7. Adapting DRR tools Risk and vulnerability Assessment • Resolution of CC projections • Accounting for different and dynamic exposure •Scenarios of vulnerability •Coping and adaptation capacities. • Timescales •Creeping changes
  • 8. Increasing exposure of people and assets has been the major cause of changes in disaster losses (IPCC 2012) Specific types of urban development and rural-urban migration might increase the exposure of people to floods (example Mekong Delta VN) (Photo: Krause 2012) 8
  • 9. Challenges for Adaptation and DRR (Photos: Birkmann 2011; Map Source: Garschagen et al. 2012) The main challenge for local adaptation to climate extremes is to apply a balanced portfolio of approaches as a one-size-fits all strategy may prove limiting for some places and stakeholders. (IPCC 2012, p. 295) While structural measures provide some protection from disasters, they may also create a false sense of safety. (IPCC 2012, p. 293) Conflicts between governmental and non-governmental strategies and norms can generate additional vulnerabilities. (IPCC 2012, p. 86)
  • 10. Conclusions • We observe an emerging cooperation between Disaster Risk Reduction and Climate Change Adaptation research (IPCC SREX). This cooperation has also to be strengthened in various countries, e.g. between different ministries (MoNRE – MARD). • Exposure and vulnerability are dynamic. Hence we need also to develop different scenarios for vulnerability and risks (in addition to climate change scenarios). • Vulnerability and risk assessment as well as adaptation strategies need to combine different data and knowledge sources as well as methodologies. • Lastly, we have to critically review DRR measures that worked in the past (e.g. dyke construction), but might not work in the future.
  • 11. PD Dr. Joern Birkmann UNITED NATIONS UNIVERSITY Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS) Hermann-Ehlers-Str. 10 53113 Bonn, Germany Phone: ++ 49 (0) 228 815-0208 Fax: ++ 49 (0) 228 815-0299 E-Mail: birkmann@ehs.unu.edu 11