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Proposed Philippine Export Development Plan  (PEDP)  2008-2010 (Revised as of 22 July 2008)   Presentation to PHILEXPORT GMM, HOTEL SOFITEL July 23, 2008
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Part 2: PEDP 2005-2007 Scorecards  Philippine Export Performance vs Targets  US$B Sources: NSO, BSP, EDC 43.72 47.45 46.07 53.33 53.85 58.2 58.75
Philippine Export Growth Rates vs Targets Sources: MTPDP 2004-2010,BSP,NSO as processed through BETP-managed TRADELINE Part 2: PEDP 2005-2007 Scorecards… cont. %
Selected ASEAN Export Performance  2003-2006  (in US $B) Part 2: PEDP 2005-2007 Scorecards… cont. Source: Trademap; ASEAN Secretariat
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],  2005   2006   2007  RP      4  14  6 ASEAN 5*   19  16     35 Global    14  16  15 Sources: MTPDP 2004 – 2010, National Statistics Office,  Trademap; WTO  ;  ASEAN Secretariat  * Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand & Vietnam Comparative Merchandise Exports Growth (%)   Part 2: PEDP 2005-2007 Scorecards… cont.
  2005   2006   2007  RP    12  42  31 Global Commercial Services   12  12  18 Comparative Services Exports Growth  (%)   ,[object Object],[object Object],Part 2: PEDP 2005-2007 Scorecards… cont. Sources: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas WTO
Overall balance in market shares Part 2: PEDP Scorecards, cont.  Major Markets of RP Merchandise Exports % 2007 US$ 50.3B
RP Merchandise Exports to the World Source: National Statistics Office Part 2: PEDP 2005-2007 Scorecards… cont.    Product Group   2007 Value  US$M Growth % Share % Electronics 31,023 16 63 Garments & Wearables 2664 -9 5 Machinery and Transport 2,748 9 5 Food 1,476 13 3  Home Furnishing 1,215 7 2  Marine Prods  584 25 1  Mineral Products  2,548 21 5 Petroleum 1,108 21 2 Metal components 481 20 1 Coconut 944 25 2 Others 5,479 6 11
Part 2: PEDP 2005-2007 Scorecards… cont.   Policy Measures put in place for  better business environment Legend: Accomplished On-going; need to accelerate No action so far Policy Measures Milestones/Updates Streamlined  and Automated  Procedures Export clearance fees eliminated (17 agencies  compliant. Others are not due to their charter provisions)  ASYCUDA World e-Customs  Project is delayed  Export Clearance procedures not yet fully computerized Infrastructure Improvements Supported moves for completion of priority infrastructure projects GenSan Fishport improved and compliant to EU standards Export wharfage fees reduced on April 20, 2007 - December 31, 2007.  Request for extension ignored
Part 2: PEDP 2005-2007 Scorecards… cont.   Legend: Accomplished On-going; need to accelerate No action so far Policy Measures Milestones/Updates Export Training &  Skills Enhancement DepEd: Teachers retraining on going in English, Math and Science in basic education DOST, TESDA, CITC: Trainings for revenue streams conducted (additional training needed) CHED and TESDA and universities:  Ladderization program being implemented Legislative Amendments   R.A. 9501 - Amendment of Magna Carta for MSMEs approved  (IRR being drafted) Amendment of Customs Brokers Act  (3rd Reading, HOR)  Anti Smuggling Bill  (1st Reading, HOR  & Senate) Funding Sources for Export Promotion Php 10.5 M grant from BSP for export promotion (90.5% utilized) Export Promotion Fund P280 M,  from DTI, BSP, DBM, NEDA and PHILEXPORT.  (Will be fully obligated by 3rd Qtr, 2008) Access of SMEs of GFI financing facilities  increased
Part 3. Global Outlook, 2008-2010   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],  Actual  Markets   2007   2008   2009 2010 World    3.7  2.7  3.0  3.4 USA    2.2  1.1  1.9  2.5 European Union  2.6  1.7  1.5  1.9 Japan  2.0  1.4  1.6  2.1 China  11.9  9.4  9.2  9.0 India  8.7  7.0  7.5  8.0 ASEAN  10.0  9.7  9.6 Sources:  Global Economic Prospects 2008 International Monetary Fund, 2008  Asian Development Bank, Development Outlook, 2008 World Bank, July 2008 Global Outlook (GDP,  in  %)   Moderate global growth expected
[object Object],Sources:  Global Economic Prospects 2008 International Monetary Fund, 2008  Asian Development Bank, Development Outlook, 2008 World Bank, July 2008 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Part 3. Global Outlook…cont.  A. Key Challenges ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Part 3. Global Outlook…cont.
2008 Export  Industry Projections Part 4. 2008-2010 Exports Targets… cont.  Sector Growth in % Electronics 0 Garments & Textile 2 Fashion Accessories 11 Machinery & Transport 18-24 Mineral Products   5 Processed Food & Beverages   2 Fresh Fruits & Vegetables 5 Marine Products  10 Home Furnishings 15 Giftwares & decors 2 Metal Components 20 Petroleum  Products   12 ICT Services 39
Part 4. 2008-2010 Export Targets  Growth in services exports to outpace merchandise exports 84.4 15 73.2 14 64.2 8 - 9 58.8 TOTAL 23.4 40  16.7 40  11.9 35 – 40  8.5 Services 61.0 8  56.5 6  53.3 4 - 6  50.3 Goods Value  US$B Growth % Value  US$B Growth % Value  US$B Growth % Value  US$B 2010 2009 2008 2007 (Actual)‏
Growth in services exports to outpace that of merchandise… Part 4. 2008-2010 Exports Targets 64.2 73.2 84.4
Part 4. 2008-2010 Exports Targets… cont.  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],* Focus of more resources
1. Market Strategies a. Geographical Markets b. Culture-based Markets  2. Product Strategies a. Build up competitor intelligence to enhance product differentiation b. Initiate “export branding” consciousness among exporters  3. Enterprise Strategies a. Enhance export capacity of enterprises  b. Expand business towards more aggressive export promotion 4. Policy and Legislative Agenda to empower exporters   Part 5. Strategies
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Part 5.  Strategies… cont.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Part 5.  Strategies… cont.
Export Promotion Fund  Part 5.  Strategies… cont. For every   US $1 =  US $ 40 increase exports (spent by  TPOs) According to ITC/World Bank economists: PEDP Total Exports Target in 2008 is with incremental of US$5.27B in goods (net of electronics) and services  Following this standard, we actually need  US $117M  or around  PhP 5.3B  this year alone EDC will be asking only  PhP1B per year  as  Export Promotion under PEDP 2008-2010  * 1US$ = Php 45
Thank   You
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[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],US$/bbl. Source:  Illinois Oil and Gas Association IOGA
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Pedp 2008 2010

  • 1. Proposed Philippine Export Development Plan (PEDP) 2008-2010 (Revised as of 22 July 2008) Presentation to PHILEXPORT GMM, HOTEL SOFITEL July 23, 2008
  • 2.
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  • 4. Part 2: PEDP 2005-2007 Scorecards Philippine Export Performance vs Targets US$B Sources: NSO, BSP, EDC 43.72 47.45 46.07 53.33 53.85 58.2 58.75
  • 5. Philippine Export Growth Rates vs Targets Sources: MTPDP 2004-2010,BSP,NSO as processed through BETP-managed TRADELINE Part 2: PEDP 2005-2007 Scorecards… cont. %
  • 6. Selected ASEAN Export Performance 2003-2006 (in US $B) Part 2: PEDP 2005-2007 Scorecards… cont. Source: Trademap; ASEAN Secretariat
  • 7.
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  • 9. Overall balance in market shares Part 2: PEDP Scorecards, cont. Major Markets of RP Merchandise Exports % 2007 US$ 50.3B
  • 10. RP Merchandise Exports to the World Source: National Statistics Office Part 2: PEDP 2005-2007 Scorecards… cont.   Product Group   2007 Value US$M Growth % Share % Electronics 31,023 16 63 Garments & Wearables 2664 -9 5 Machinery and Transport 2,748 9 5 Food 1,476 13 3 Home Furnishing 1,215 7 2 Marine Prods 584 25 1 Mineral Products 2,548 21 5 Petroleum 1,108 21 2 Metal components 481 20 1 Coconut 944 25 2 Others 5,479 6 11
  • 11. Part 2: PEDP 2005-2007 Scorecards… cont. Policy Measures put in place for better business environment Legend: Accomplished On-going; need to accelerate No action so far Policy Measures Milestones/Updates Streamlined and Automated Procedures Export clearance fees eliminated (17 agencies compliant. Others are not due to their charter provisions) ASYCUDA World e-Customs Project is delayed Export Clearance procedures not yet fully computerized Infrastructure Improvements Supported moves for completion of priority infrastructure projects GenSan Fishport improved and compliant to EU standards Export wharfage fees reduced on April 20, 2007 - December 31, 2007. Request for extension ignored
  • 12. Part 2: PEDP 2005-2007 Scorecards… cont. Legend: Accomplished On-going; need to accelerate No action so far Policy Measures Milestones/Updates Export Training & Skills Enhancement DepEd: Teachers retraining on going in English, Math and Science in basic education DOST, TESDA, CITC: Trainings for revenue streams conducted (additional training needed) CHED and TESDA and universities: Ladderization program being implemented Legislative Amendments R.A. 9501 - Amendment of Magna Carta for MSMEs approved (IRR being drafted) Amendment of Customs Brokers Act (3rd Reading, HOR) Anti Smuggling Bill (1st Reading, HOR & Senate) Funding Sources for Export Promotion Php 10.5 M grant from BSP for export promotion (90.5% utilized) Export Promotion Fund P280 M, from DTI, BSP, DBM, NEDA and PHILEXPORT. (Will be fully obligated by 3rd Qtr, 2008) Access of SMEs of GFI financing facilities increased
  • 13.
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  • 18. 2008 Export Industry Projections Part 4. 2008-2010 Exports Targets… cont. Sector Growth in % Electronics 0 Garments & Textile 2 Fashion Accessories 11 Machinery & Transport 18-24 Mineral Products 5 Processed Food & Beverages 2 Fresh Fruits & Vegetables 5 Marine Products 10 Home Furnishings 15 Giftwares & decors 2 Metal Components 20 Petroleum Products 12 ICT Services 39
  • 19. Part 4. 2008-2010 Export Targets Growth in services exports to outpace merchandise exports 84.4 15 73.2 14 64.2 8 - 9 58.8 TOTAL 23.4 40 16.7 40 11.9 35 – 40 8.5 Services 61.0 8 56.5 6 53.3 4 - 6 50.3 Goods Value US$B Growth % Value US$B Growth % Value US$B Growth % Value US$B 2010 2009 2008 2007 (Actual)‏
  • 20. Growth in services exports to outpace that of merchandise… Part 4. 2008-2010 Exports Targets 64.2 73.2 84.4
  • 21.
  • 22. 1. Market Strategies a. Geographical Markets b. Culture-based Markets 2. Product Strategies a. Build up competitor intelligence to enhance product differentiation b. Initiate “export branding” consciousness among exporters 3. Enterprise Strategies a. Enhance export capacity of enterprises b. Expand business towards more aggressive export promotion 4. Policy and Legislative Agenda to empower exporters Part 5. Strategies
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. Export Promotion Fund Part 5. Strategies… cont. For every US $1 = US $ 40 increase exports (spent by TPOs) According to ITC/World Bank economists: PEDP Total Exports Target in 2008 is with incremental of US$5.27B in goods (net of electronics) and services Following this standard, we actually need US $117M or around PhP 5.3B this year alone EDC will be asking only PhP1B per year as Export Promotion under PEDP 2008-2010 * 1US$ = Php 45
  • 26. Thank You
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