1. Frank Rijsberman, CEO CGIAR Consortium, July 19, 2013
The Challenge of Food Security and
The Evolution of the CGIAR
2. • Science and Technology Based Innovation
Contributing to Development Outcomes
• Results through Effective Partnerships
• Sustainable Intensification by and for the
Poor
• Priority for Africa: 53% of CGIAR
investments
New CGIAR Priorities
3. • Strong demand for CGIAR engagement from African partners
• Efforts underway:
• MoU African Union - CGIAR
• African Science Agenda
• Regional Productivity Workshops
• Mapping & Alignment Tool
• Shared leadership among CAADP, CGIAR and development
partners
• Political momentum through the G8 and G20 in support of
this process, will include Technology Innovation Platform
• Involves joint planning and priority setting
The Dublin Process
Enhancing CAADP and CGIAR
Alignment and Partnership
4. 2011 Global Hunger Index
•
•
•
Prevalence of Micronutrient
Deficiencies
•
•
•
Food Insecurity and Undernutrition
Remain Persistent
20 countries have alarming or
extremely alarming levels of
hunger
5. Our Ability to Grow Food is at risk
Our ability to grow food is at risk
6. A 2 °C increase equals a difference of 440 meters
altitude and major shifts of crops to new areas
Coffee, Colombia
7. • 75% from land already in use
• By small-scale
farmers, majority women
• Where the food is consumed
• In a climate smart way
CIAT,N.Palmer
CGIAR mission: Sustainable
Intensification by and for the Poor
8. Development of semi-dwarf, high-yield,
and disease-resistant varieties, 1960s-70s
Increased fertilizer use
Massive investment in irrigation
CIMMYT
Past CGIAR Accomplishment:
Green Revolution: Intensification in Asia
9. • 60 donors loosely coordinating through CGIAR
• 15 independent research centers
• 3000 bilateral projects
• Unrestricted support down from 50-60% to 20-30%
• Overhead costs 24% on average
• Very little strategic research
• Funding stagnant at about $400M/yr
CGIAR in 2008 – Pre-reform
10. • Donors united in CGIAR Fund
• CGIAR funding in 2012: +20% to $870M
• average growth last 4 years: 12%
• Centers united in CGIAR Consortium
• Single Research Agenda (SRF)
• Portfolio of 16 CGIAR Research Programs
– 80% of CGIAR’s work in 2012 through CRPs
• More focus on delivering development
outcomes: scaling up technology adoption
New CGIAR in 2012
11. What is the science potential ?
• Life Science Revolution – molecular biology
• Molecular markers for marker aided selection
• Characterizing genetic diversity
• Creating new gene pools
• IT revolution – crop management, precision agriculture
• Satellite information to predict crop growth
• Cheap sensors from soil moisture to weather
• Mobile phones for extension and market info
• Holistic approach – ecological intensification
• Landscape approach
• Farming systems and livelihood strategies
• Innovation Platforms and Value Chain focus
14. Research Outputs to Global Development Goals:
An Accountability Framework
MDGs - SDGs
12-18 years CGIAR SLOs CRP goals
Common IDOs
+ Target statements
+ Theory of Change
CRP-specific IDOs
+ Target statements
+ Theory of Change
9-12 years
CRP Impact
Pathway #1
ToC1; Δ behaviour
direct benefit
3-yr milestones
0-12 years
CRP Activities + Outputs
(research, capacity building, engagement)
0-12 years
CRP Impact
Pathway #2
ToC2; Δ behaviour
direct benefit
3-yr milestones
CRP Impact
Pathway
ToC; Enabling
Environment
3-yr milestones
15. A Global Rice Science Partnership
ARI/Univ.
(135)
NARES
(302)
Natl. Univ.,
(97)
CSO
(115)
Gov. Org.
(92)
Intl./Reg. Organ.
(35)
CGIAR (13)
Private Sector
(intl., 41)
Private Sector
(local, 72)
Research
Partners
(435, 48%)
Development
& Other Partners
(467, 52%)
15%
33%
11%
13%
10%
4%
5%
8%
16. Theme 1 ----- Theme 2, 3,4 -------------------------- Theme 5 Theme 6
Genes, varieties,
management
technologies, info
rmation
gateway, models,
data, tools, capac
ity, etc
Products
locally
adapted and
promoted by
public, NGO,
and private
sector
Products
adopted by
farmers, value
chain actors,
policy makers,
other
stakeholders
Increased
nutritious rice
production
Stable and
affordable
price of rice
Increased
resource use
efficiency
Rural Poverty
Nutrition and
health
Food Security
Sustainability
Products Intermediate Development Outcomes Impact
Development partnerships
Science partnerships
Timeline
Farmers: 1000s 10.000s 100.000s millions
GRiSP
SRF
17. WHY? 41% of the world’s land area, home to 2.5 billion people ; widespread poverty, food insecurity, and
environmental degradation
EXPECTED IMPACTS
• In six years, 20–30% increase in agricultural productivity in high-potential target areas; 10–20% in low potential areas
• Out-scaling of technologies will have wider impact, improving standard of living for many more people
• 87 million people living in dryland systems will have improved and more secure incomes
Action sites cover 11 thousand million hectares
Reducing the Vulnerability of Farming Communities
to Drought and Climate Change
Increasing community resilience and income
18. Integrated Systems for the Humid Tropics
WHY? The humid and subhumid tropics – with 2.9 billion people on about 3 billion hectares of land – are critical
to global food supplies, central to the maintenance of global biodiversity, and vital to the mitigation of
greenhouse gases.
EXPECTED IMPACT in 15 years
• Increasing staple food yields by 60%
• Increasing average farm income by 50%
• Lifting 25% of poor households above the poverty line
• Reducing the number of malnourished children by 30%
• Restoring 40% of degraded farms to sustainable resource management
Building on FARA’s SSA CP:
Innovation Platforms
19. WHY? Reach the 400 million people - 50% living on less than USD 1.25/day - left behind by the Green Revolution
EXPECTED OUTCOMES
The Program will improve the lives of 10 million poor and vulnerable users of aquatic agricultural systems by 2016 -
50 million by 2022
With communities, changing lives
Gender Transformative Research
20. WHY? Policies that end hunger and reduce poverty
Governance models and institutions that ensure sustainable, positive change – especially for those who need it
most such as women and children
Long-term benefits along the agricultural value chain, from farmer to consumer
EXPECTED IMPACT by 2025
7–10% reduction poverty due to improvements on market access
Diversification of nonfarm income and reduced risks
Global crop, livestock, and fish production increased by 10–15 %
Reduced child malnutrition by 3–5 %
Policies, Institutions and Markets
G20 Analytical support
21. WHY? By 2025, maize will have the greatest production in the developing world, and the greatest demand growth
worldwide of any crop.
EXPECTED OUTCOMES
• Maize productivity growth of 33% by 2030.
• Enough maize for 600 million more maize consumers by 2030.
• More productive, resilient and sustainable farming systems.
EXPECTED REACH 640 million maize-dependent poor living on less than $2 per day, including 120 million malnourished
children.
MAIZE - Global alliance for improved food security and livelihoods
Scaling out drought resistant maize
22. WHY? Wheat provides 21% of food calories and 20% of protein for more than 4.5 billion in 94 countries, sustains 1.2
billion wheat dependent poor (< USD 2 per day); wheat demand will grow 60% by 2050; rising temperatures will reduce
yields.
EXPECTED OUTCOMES
• Raise yield growth to 1.6% per year, to keep pace with demand.
• Boost the genetic yield potential of the wheat plant 50% or more.
• Wheat grain for an additional 397 million consumers by 2030.
EXPECTED REACH 800 million (84%) wheat dependent poor living on less than $2 per day.
WHEAT - Global alliance for improved food security and livelihoods
Releasing rust resistant varieties
23. WHY? Roots, Tubers and Bananas (RTBs) major food security staples, cheap sources of energy and key nutrients;
14-60% of daily calories of many of the world’s poor; great potential for higher yields and increased system productivity;
relatively insulated from global price fluctuations; often grown by women, and among the poorest of the poor in marginal
areas; significant cross crop synergies with highly heterozygote materials, vegetative propagation and bulky and
perishable products
EXPECTED OUTCOMES by 2021
• Play an enhanced role within a diversified global food security system
• Reduce risks of food shortages and nutritional shortfalls
• Improve incomes and livelihoods benefiting 200 million women, men and children
Roots, Tubers and Bananas
Cassava disease resistance
24. Grain Legumes
WHY? Legumes are the cheapest option to improve the nutrition of poor people who often rely on
inexpensive but nutritionally-imbalanced starchy diets
EXPECTED IMPACT in 10 years
• 300 million people in smallholder farm households benefit from an average 20% increase in yields
• USD 4.5 billion saved over the decade as cumulative benefits of increased food production and saved
nitrogen fertilizer
• Food supplies increased by 7.1 million tons and an additional 415,000 tons of atmospheric nitrogen fixed
Improved nutrition – balanced diet
25. Dryland Cereals
WHY? More than a billion of the Earth’s poorest inhabitants live in harsh dryland environments
Dryland cereals are often the only possible crops. About 70–80% of the grain produced is consumed by the
poor as food, with the remainder used for feed and other non-food uses. Nearly all smallholder farmers use
dryland cereals as fodder in integrated crop–livestock systems
EXPECTED IMPACT in 10 years:
• Sustainable 16% increase in dryland cereal farm-level production on at least 11.8 million hectares in Africa
and Asia
• Improved technologies made available to 5.8 million smallholder households – 34.0 million total
beneficiaries in target regions
Drought resistance
26. More meat, milk and fish, by and for the poor
WHY?
• Animal-source foods provide critical inputs to the health of women and children
• Nearly 1 billion (70%) of the world’s 1.4 billion extremely poor people depend on livestock.
• 400 million people in Africa and South Asia depend on fish for most of their animal protein
• 156 million landless people keep livestock
• Two-thirds of the world’s livestock keepers are rural women
EXPECTED OUTCOMES
• Dairy and pigs: double productivity and incomes in target value chains
• Aquaculture: increase fish consumption by 20% in target value chains
• Goats and sheep: increase productivity to double incomes in target value chains
Focus on Value Chains
27. Water, Land and Ecosystems
THE CHALLENGE: How to lift millions of farming families out of poverty and improve how land and
water resources are managed while maintaining vibrant ecosystems
EXPECTED OUTCOMES by 2020
• 15 million smallholder farmers in sub-Saharan Africa have sustained food security because yield gaps are
reduced while maintaining ecosystem functions in rainfed landscapes
• Enhance food security and household income for about 20 million rural people in the Eastern Gangetic
Plains by improving access to irrigation
Reducing yield gaps and increasing resilience
in rainfed landscapes
28. WHY? Responds to a call for an urgent, strong and sustained effort focused on forest management and
governance, given the crucial role of forests in confronting some of the most important challenges of our time:
climate change, poverty, and food security
EXPECTED IMPACT in 10 years:
• 0.5–1.7 million hectares of forest saved annually from deforestation
• 0.16–0.68 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide emissions reduced per year = 29–123 million cars off the road
annually
• 3 million producers and traders and their families benefit from ecologically and socially sustainable production
and management practices
• Double income from forest and agroforestry products for target households
Forest, Trees and Agroforestry
Forests and climate change
29. Agriculture for Nutrition and Health
WHY?
• More than 2 billion people worldwide are micronutrient deficient
• 180 million children under the age of 5 are stunted
• 13 zoonoses are responsible for 2.4 billion human illnesses and 2.2 million deaths per year
For these reasons, and many more, progress in improving the nutrition and health of poor farmers and
consumers (especially women and young children) is vital and urgent
Increased nutrition focus
30. 2011
Cassava
Provitamin A
DR Congo, Nigeria
2012
Beans
Iron (Zinc)
DR Congo, Rwanda
2012
Maize
Provitamin A
Zambia
2012
Pearl Millet
Iron (Zinc)
India
2013
Rice
Zinc
Bangladesh, India
2013
Wheat
Zinc
India, Pakistan
A4NH Micronutrient Crops
2014-2018 Delivery-at-scale: 40 million people from 8 target countries
31. The largest global coalition of scientists working
on developing-country agriculture and
climate change
Real CGIAR Reform at work
CCAFS: The Partnership!
CCAFS: Climate Change Agriculture and Food Security
32. The CCAFS Themes
Technologies, practices, partnerships, and policies for:
Adaptation
to
Progressive
Climate
Change
Adaptation
through
Managing
Climate
Risk
Pro-poor
Climate
Change
Mitigation
Integration for
Decision Making
Linking Knowledge
with Action
Assembling Data and
Tools for Analysis and
Planning
Refining Frameworks
for Policy Analysis
Global engagement
and synthesis
33. • The New CGIAR focused on S&T based innovation delivering
development outcomes:
– Adoption
– Scale
– Real Partnership
• 53% of growing $1 BN budget for Africa
• CAADP-CGIAR alignment is key priority
• CGIAR ready to invest in partnership with FARA and the SROs:
– Building on FARA’s Sub-Sahara Africa Challenge Program
– Partnering on Africa Technology Adoption Platform
– Aligning priorities and developing Africa Science Agenda
• CGIAR ready to respond to Africa’s needs
Conclusions
Get slide or two with key messages of the 2012 report
Food security at risk. Climate change has to be set in the context of growing populations and changing diets60-70% more food will be needed by 2050 because of population growth and changing diets – and this is in a context where climate change will make agriculture more difficult.
Was done at large scale once before – Asia, Green revolution – can it be done again?
Costs of sequencing dropping even faster than Moore’s law.
Our new portfolio:Still: breeding / improved germplasmNRMFarming systems + policies / markets / value chainsNutrition and health
First large-scale R4D program to use an ‘integrated agro-ecosystems approach’. Action sites cover 11 thousand-million hectaresAction sites: West Africa, East and Southern Africa, North Africa, West Asia, Central Asia, South AsiaWest Africa: Increased plant and livestock productivity, and rural livelihoods through improved nutrient availability and water-use efficiency reducing lean periods and risk of system shocks.East and Southern Africa: Increased productivity, income, and resilience among pastoralists through better crop-livestock integration and more efficient use of soil, water and other natural resources.North Africa and West Asia: Improved technology transfer to farmers and agro-pastoralists for better food, feed, health practices, and animal breeds using better policies, market access, financial tools, and extension systems.Central Asia: Improvements in mixed agricultural systems to improve productivity, human nutrition and rural employment, through integrated water and land resources management. South Asia: Increased biomass production to provide food, feed, and reverse land degradation, reducing household vulnerability to price and climate shocks.
the CRP has just been approved
HOW?The systems approach is working to develop technologies and practices adapted to the specific needs of stakeholder communities. WHAT? Fish are an important part of this work, but so is rice, livestock and vegetables.
LED BY CIMMYT, in partnership with IITA and 350 public- and private-sector value-chain actors (including farmer organizations) worldwide.
LED BY CIMMYT, in partnership with ICARDA and over 200 public- and private-sector value-chain actors (including farmer organizations) worldwide.
CRP has just been approved
CRP has just been approved
EXPECTED OUTCOMES by 202015 million smallholder farmers in sub-Saharan Africa have sustained food security because yield gaps are reduced while maintaining ecosystem functions in rainfed landscapesEnhance food security and household income for about 20 million rural people in the Eastern Gangetic Plains by improving access to irrigationMinimize the health risks associated with the use of wastewater and excreta in agriculture which can benefit an estimated 21 million vegetable farmers and 175 million consumers currently exposed to contaminated food in South Asia and sub-Saharan AfricaA portfolio of options for water storage which will provide more reliable water supply for crop production from captured flood waters in selected basins in Asia, and increase irrigated areas by 1 million ha, with over USD 1 billion of annual income to small farmersImproved national food security in selected Basins in Africa and Asia through reduced crop losses by some 50% due to alleviation of negative consequences of and direct damages caused by floods and droughtsSmallholder irrigation using motor pumps can more than double maize and horticultural yields and reach up to 112 million USD 1.25 poor people in rural Sub-Saharan Africa
Thisslide is on Harvest Plus activities and how all crop development goals are being met. Country delivery programs have started with clear plans for delivery to 40 million people by 2018.
CCAFS is not only a CGIAR program – it is actually a joint program between the CGIAR and Future Earth – Future Earth includes such organisations as the World Climate Research Program and DIVERSITAS. In the US alone the budget for global change research in the broad sense (ie not only CCAFS focussed) is about 2.5 billion. CCAFS will work with Future Earth to focus attention on cc and agric in smallholder systems.