Toward the Networked Society 2020
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Presented by Jose Luis Ayala Director Relaciones de Gobierno Para Ericsson América Latina July 23, 2013 at Regulatory Working Group Session, First Regional Telecommunications Congress, Panama
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Toward the Networked Society 2020
- 1. Toward the networked society 2020 Jose Luis Ayala Director of Government Relations, Latin America
- 2. Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24 THE Networked Society Security Management Sustainability Network Cloud ServicesDevices Wireless Connectivity is key
- 3. Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24 Traffic Growth
- 4. Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24 9 billion subscriptions by 2018 140% PENETRATION in latam by 2018 900 m SUBSCRIPTIONS in latam by 2018
- 5. Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24 Latam penetration by country, Q1 2013 Source: Informa Telecom June/13 0.00% 50.00% 100.00% 150.00% 200.00% 250.00% 300.00% 350.00%
- 6. Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24 3 GB 0.6 GB 0.45 GB 11 GB 2.7 GB 1.9 GB 2012 2018 Data traffic times 12 by 2018 Mobile Traffic Voice and Data During 2013, overall mobile data traffic is expected to continue the trend of last years, of doubling each year. Data Consumption per device and month
- 7. Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24 SMARTPHONES FLOODING MARKETS 50% OF PHONES SOLD IN Q1 WERE SMARTPHONES 4,5 B 0,8 B 1,2 B 0,3 B 17% OF SMARTPHONE PENETRATION IN LATAM Subscriptions with cellular connection
- 8. Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24 video: half of data traffic in 2018 2012 2018 Video is the largest segment of data traffic in mobile networks expected to grow by around 60% annually until the end of 2018.
- 9. Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24 Mobile subscriptions by Technology and Region 2012 2018 In Latin America by 2018, WCDMA/HSPA will be the dominant technology (~70%), however GSM/EDGE-only subscriptions will still have significant presence (~20%) and LTE will have ~10% Technologies evolution
- 10. Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24 Application coverage @ SMS10 Mbps 1 Mbps 0.1 Mbps “App Coverage – the area where my app works as I expect”
- 11. Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24 ≈ 50% ≈ 5% ≈ 30% ≈ 15% Heterogeneous Networks Improve Densify Add Improve Dense urbanSub-urban UrbanRural Improve Densify Traffic density IMPROVE ADD DENSIFY Site distribution in a typical European country
- 12. Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24 Ericsson mobility report www.ericsson.com/ericsson-mobility-report
- 13. Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24 MEA Base: 2100 Future: 900, 1800 & 2600 2013+: CEPT800 & APT700 APAC Base: 2100, 900 & 850 Future: 1800, 2300 & 2600 2013+: APT700 Japan Base: 2100, 1700, JP850 Future: 1500, 900 & APT700 Europa Base: 2100 & 900 Future: 2600, 1800 & CEPT800 North America Base: 850, 1900, US700 & AWS Future: 2600 Out of a total 1177 MHz of identified spectrum in ITU RR, on average, ~ 1000 MHz available for licensing in each Region Latin America Base: 850/900, 1800/1900, 2100 2013+: 1.7/2.1, 2500, 700 Future: 600, E850, 2.3, 1.5, & 3.5 spectrum Available for imt per region
- 14. Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24 Source: Ericsson • The lack of enough spectrum in the region is the major threat for massive MBB adoption • Another challenge is the slow spectrum release process (i.e., typically between 6 – 10 yrs. from start) 529 380 240 440 192 180 179 178 170 170 170 120 110 118 260262 AvailableSpectrumperBand(MHz) -NationwideAverage 292 Latam Spectrum availability, July 2013
- 15. Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24 *UIT-R M.2078 Estimated spectrum required for IMT-2000 and IMT-Advanced services by 2020 Future spectrum needs › WRC-07 estimated that a total of 1280 – 1720 MHz would be needed by 2020* › NEW estimates for WRC-15 indicate a total spectrum need of up to 1900 MHz by 2020 › Additional 800-1000 MHz at WRC-15 for 2020
- 16. Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24