Hans Vestberg's Vision for Broadband Access and Sustainability
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Hans Vestberg's Vision for Broadband Access and Sustainability
- 1. Hans Vestberg First Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
- 2. Broadband Everywhere - our society’s new highways 2009 2010 2011 2012
- 3. Broadband Everywhere - our society’s new highways Internet goes mobile 2009 2010 2011 2012
- 4. Broadband Everywhere - our society’s new highways Internet goes mobile Communications for all – bridging the digital divide 2009 2010 2011 2012
- 5. Fixed and mobile access forecast Reported, millions 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000 8 000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Mobile subscriptions Fixed narrowband voice Fixed broadband Fixed narrowband voice & VoIP Mobile broadband (both handsets and mobile PC)
- 6. 2012 BROADBAND EVERYWHERE AT ANY TIME
- 7. Broadband from “installation” to “deployment” 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
- 8. Five technological revolutions in 240 years The industrial revolution Source: Professor Carlota Perez Universities of Cambridge, Tallinn and Sussex
- 9. Five technological revolutions in 240 years The industrial revolution Steam, coal, iron, railways Source: Professor Carlota Perez Universities of Cambridge, Tallinn and Sussex
- 10. Five technological revolutions in 240 years The industrial revolution Steam, coal, iron, railways Steel, heavy engineering, steam ships Source: Professor Carlota Perez Universities of Cambridge, Tallinn and Sussex
- 11. Five technological revolutions in 240 years The industrial revolution Steam, coal, iron, railways Steel, heavy engineering, steam ships Oil, mass production, automobile Source: Professor Carlota Perez Universities of Cambridge, Tallinn and Sussex
- 12. Five technological revolutions in 240 years The industrial revolution Steam, coal, iron, railways Steel, heavy engineering, steam ships Oil, mass production, automobile IT & telecommunication Source: Professor Carlota Perez Universities of Cambridge, Tallinn and Sussex
- 13. Technological revolution Propagates in two different periods Time INSTALLATION DEPLOYMENT Turning point 20-30 years 20-30 years More efficiently solving old problems - winners among old players Applying paradigm to innovate across society – new winners Broadband at turning point Source: Professor Carlota Perez Universities of Cambridge, Tallinn and Sussex
- 14. 2020 50 BILLION CONNECTIONS
- 16. Sustainability in focus for ICT 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050
- 17. Sustainability potential of ICT Annual Emissions
- 18. Sustainability potential of ICT Annual Emissions ICT accounts for ~2% Reduction target 2050: 50-80% while the world’s GDP triples
- 19. Sustainability potential of ICT 15-20% Annual Emissions ICT accounts for ~2% Substantial investment in technology needed in creating a sustainable society
- 20. TECHNOLOGY KEY FOR SUSTAINABILITY
- 21. Internet goes mobile Communications for all – bridging the digital divide Broadband from “installation” to “deployment” Broadband Everywhere - our society’s new highways Sustainability in focus for ICT 2009- 2050
- 22. What does this mean for us? Technology evolution and transformation Service transformation Business transformation Network transformation
- 23. Exciting opportunities through and beyond current crisis A sustainable approach is imperative to succeed In the near future, provide broadband everywhere, any time Requires open standards, end to end, interoperability In the longer perspective, build a digital society Prerequisite for a sustainable world Broadband a necessity towards an intelligent society
Notas do Editor
- 2009 – Financial crisis and economic decline on everyone's mind Telecom less affected versus other sectors Telecoms role increasing in society
- 2009 – Financial crisis and economic decline on everyone's mind Telecom less affected versus other sectors Telecoms role increasing in society
- 2009 – Financial crisis and economic decline on everyone's mind Telecom less affected versus other sectors Telecoms role increasing in society
- Key messages: Reported mobile subscriptions has reached 4 Bn and global penetration passed 61%. Mobile subscriptions will reach over 7 billion users before the end of the forecast period. The amount of users will be lower, due to the fact that many users have multiple SIM cards or are double counted while churning, adding to the total number of subscriptions. The economic downturn will impact near term growth rate, but long term market fundamentals remains strong. Fixed broadband subscriptions almost reached 400 million subscriptions Q4 2008. Fixed narrowband lines are declining but total voice subscriptions, including VoIP, is growing slightly. VoIP includes Cable/Copper/Fiber VoIP. Fixed broadband subscriptions are growing to reach around 600 millions in the outer forecasting years. The number of fixed broadband users is at least 3 times the number of fixed broadband connections due to multiple usage in households, enterprises, and also in public access spots. (~3.8 people per household is world average, but the ratio is lower in developed countries where most users are today). Fixed broadband includes: DSL, FTTx, Cable modem. Mobile Broadband: CDMA2000 EV-DO, HSPA, LTE, Mobile WiMAX, TDSCDMA. Both mobile PC and handheld devices. The vast majority are handsets. ************************************************ Slide owner: Susanna Bävertoft, GF Strategy Latest update: April 2009 Best before: December 2009 Recommended target group: operator/SP, analyst, media, enterprise/organization, user, partner ************************************************ Source: Internal Ericsson and various sources
- Taking into account that the ICT sector can bring down CO2 emissions substantially, state representatives have an obligation to bring this into the agenda for the upcoming Copenhagen meeting on climate change. Ignoring or failing to recognize this potential might jeopardize the world’s success in reducing CO2 emissions. And we in this room, as representatives of the ICT sector, have the similar obligation to bring this message home to our governments and politicians.
- People skills will be key to make this happen (incl. processes, methods and tools). Just take our company as an example. As you might know, we have established our operations in Silicon Valley, an important hub for IP. And when we “marry” our unique competencies in mobility with our new competencies in IP it’s amazing to see what energy and innovation that creates for us. This opens up completely new opportunities for us and will be key for us driving this area together with our customers.