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A five-step-plan for a low
carbon urban development
Understanding and implementing low carbon ICT/telecom solutions
that help economic development while reducing carbon emissions
The early 21st
century is faced with dramatic challenges. Failures of
large financial institutions resulted in a crash of stock markets around
the world with a severe effect on many national economies. At the
same time, there is increasing and dramatic evidence from leading sci-
entific bodies of the effects of climate change and a growing under-
standing of the likelihood of them becoming a reality much sooner than
previously anticipated.
Both of these challenges have become top political issues, and today
there is a strong commitment of governments, industry and civil soci-
ety to address them both. It is generally recognised that by 2050, glo-
bal CO2
emissions need to be reduced by some 80%, but the roadmap
for getting there is uncertain and today focus is largely on incremental
emission reductions. In order to reach the significant levels of reduc-
tions, large scale transformative changes are needed in the way that
we live and work.
This paper is written to inspire action and to increase understanding
of one technology that can deliver the needed transformative change.
For too long the need for CO2
reductions has been seen as a trade
off between economic development and care for the planet, this does
not have to be the case. By using the 21st
century communication in-
frastructure that already exists, it is possible to deliver transformative
reductions that dramatically reduce emissions.
With increased knowledge about the potential of low carbon Informa-
tion and Communication technologies (ICT) solutions, combined with
an understanding that reductions in the realm of 50-80% are needed in
the medium-term,1
ICT solutions should be at the centre of the climate
discussion. Today ICT is noticeably absent.
This paper is written to promote action and increase understand-
ing of how the existing ICT infrastructure can deliver immediate and
transformative solutions to policy makers. It presents a five step plan
to accelerate the uptake of low carbon services that can transform
societies, based on current technologies. With an existing global in-
frastructure that has only just begun to demonstrate its potential, the
opportunities are almost unlimited.2
1 July 2009 G8 leaders agreed to cut emissions by 80% by 2050, http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-07/09/content_11678940.htm, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/8141715.stm
2 The opinions expressed in this discussion paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of WWF Sweden. Any inaccuracies in the report remain the responsibility of the author(s). The material and the geographical desig-
nations in this report do not imply the expression of an opinion whatsoever on the part of WWF Sweden, concerning the legal status of any country, territory, or area, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.
3 Dennis Pamlin, Global Policy Advisor, WWF Sweden, www.panda.org/ict and www.pamlin.net/blog
4 Suzanne Pahlman, Innovation Catalyst, Connecore, http://connecore.com/
5 Elaine Weidman, Vice President of Sustainability and Corporate Responsibility, Ericsson, http://www.ericsson.com/ericsson/corporate_responsibility/
Dennis Pamlin3
, Suzanne Pahlman4
and Elaine Weidman5
2
Solving the climate challenge is very much
tied to infrastructure and urban development.
Last year marked a shift in human history with
more than half of the world’s population living
in urban, not rural, areas for the first time. This
trend will continue. In 40 years’ time 70% of
the global population will live in cities.6
This
trend will result in massive investments and
shape the global resource use.
Most of the focus in climate discussions so
far has been on how to incrementally reduce
the emissions from big polluting industries,
without negatively impacting the economy.
Such a focus on emission reductions is of
course necessary. But there is an untapped
opportunity to drive economic growth while
at the same time making transformative
emissions reductions by focusing on cities
and urban infrastructure development.
Innovations and opportunities
By shifting from a product to a service per-
spective we can use the connectivity of a
21st
century infrastructure to provide many
of the services people and businesses need,
instead of only replacing products with mar-
ginally better ones. Economic development
and carbon reductions can not only go hand
in hand, they can also strengthen each other.
What is needed in order for this to happen is
an innovation driven approach which can de-
liver measurable savings and “smarter” ways
of doing things. This can increase quality of
life while dramatically reducing emissions.
Cities are close to business, the research
community and citizens. The sheer volume of
people, cars, buildings and other infrastruc-
ture makes it possible to develop leadership
in the low carbon innovation field through the
promotion of digital technologies which can
support the development of more intelligent
and sustainable cities. Cities, in collaboration
with rural areas, should be able to demon-
strate how they can use, and are using, ICTs
to achieve new and innovative ways to deliv-
er services through transformative solutions
that support a low carbon urban living.
6 http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/wup2007/2007wup.htm
7 http://www.oecd.org/document/2/0,3343,en_2649_33735_37801602_1_1_1_1,00.html
8 http://www.oecd.org/document/2/0,3343,en_2649_33735_37801602_1_1_1_1,00.html http://images.businessweek.com/ss/09/04/0422_inventive_cities/index.htm
Low carbon opportunities
in the 21st
century
Major cities in OECD countries generate almost one third of their nations’ production while in
some countries more than half national output is produced by one city.7
Cities and urban areas
consume 75% of the world’s energy and produce up to 75% of its greenhouse gas emissions.
Cities are their nation’s innovation hubs, producing almost all patents.8
As such they will be at
the epicentre when the actual work to significantly reduce CO2
emissions begins.
3
Strategies to support low carbon cities
must include at least three aspects of devel-
opment, all of which can include ICT use as a
crucial component.
Direct emissions
The first aspect is the direct emissions from a
city. This is where almost all focus on reduc-
ing carbon emissions is today. Cities should
develop strategies and set targets to reduce
the direct emissions from buildings, transport
and all other significant sources of emissions
without shifting the problem elsewhere.
Interesting initiatives with a strong focus on
direct emissions, include the Green Shift Eu-
rope initiative,9
the Low Carbon City Initia-
tive10
and the Climate Positive Development
Program.11
Ensuring continued focus on energy efficien-
cy and new smart system solutions instead
of only looking at decreased use of coal and
oil is important. A lot of discussion has fo-
cused on technologies that might start deliv-
ering reductions by 2020 and beyond. With
only a fraction of the amount of effort that’s
being put into improving the current fossil
based supply system, low carbon ICT solu-
tions could potentially deliver more reduc-
tions than any other supply-side solution.12
Embedded emissions
The second area that must be addressed, not
the least to ensure that emissions are not just
moved, are the embedded emissions. Em-
bedded emissions are those emissions that
have occurred in order to produce some-
thing. If a city is moving a steel plant because
it emits too much carbon, but continues us-
ing the same amount of steel as before (or
more) the problem has not been solved, only
moved.13
Many leaders of cities in the developed part
of the world who talk about low carbon de-
velopment often overlook their cities’ im-
port of goods, which can contain significant
amounts of embedded carbon. Research
9 This initiative is being developed by EUROCITIES, coordinated by the Knowledge Society Forum (KSF), with the idea of the ‘Green Digital Charter’ at its core http://www.greenshifteurope.eu/ and http://eurocitiesksf09.eventbrite.com/
10 This initiative is being developed by WWF in collaboration with cities in China. Shanghai, with Shanghai Research Institute of Building Science, has a strong focus on smart buildings using ICT http://www.wwfchina.org/english/sub_loca.
php?loca=1&sub=96
11This is a joint venture between the Clinton Climate Initiative and the U.S. Green Building Council will try to establish real estate developments that reduce the net amount of on-site CO2 emissions to below zero. http://www.usgbc.org/Docs/
News/Climate+%20FINAL%20Press%20Release%205-19.pdf
12 If current targets for improving and eliminating coal fired plants and CCS are met, by 2020 global CO2 could be reduced by less than 5%. In contrast, smart deployment of ICT could reduce global CO2 emissions by more than 20% by 2020.
The potential for ICT has been presented in a number of studies including: WWF (2008): “Outline for the first global IT strategy for CO2 reductions” http://assets.panda.org/downloads/1bt_printversion_final.pdf GeSI (2008): “SMART 2020” http://
www.gesi.org/LinkClick.aspx?fileticket=tbp5WRTHUoY%3d&tabid=60
13 A number of governments have discussed different ways to address this challenge including China and the UK.
http://www.carbon-financeonline.com/index.cfm?section=lead&action=view&id=11929 http://randd.defra.gov.uk/Document.aspx?Document=EV02033_7331_FRP.pdf
A THREE PRONGED CLIMATE
STRATEGY FOR 21st
CENTURY
LOW CARBON CITIES
Reducing the direct emissions
i.e. reducing emissions from cars, build-
ings and energy production within the city’s
boundaries. This can be done both by mak-
ing current solutions less carbon intensive
and by finding new innovative ways to
provide the same services.
4
14 http://www.sei.se/eipot/resources/EIPOT-literature-list-07Oct08.pdf http://www.ima.kth.se/eng/respublic/CO2_utslaepp_import_konsumtion.pdf
15 An American study by Brookings Institution (2007) based on state level data found that for every one percentage point increase in broadband penetration in a state, employment is projected to increase by 0.2-0.3% per year. For the entire
US private non-farm economy, this suggests 300 000 additional jobs. http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/rc/papers/2007/06labor_crandall/06labor_crandall.pdf Based on broadband growth of 3.8% over the next several years, the Sacra-
mento Regional Research Institute says that California could see a cumulative 10-year gain of 1.8 million jobs and USD 132 billion in payrolls. http://www.benton.org/initiatives/broadband_benefits/action_plan/economic_development
16 The government in Denmark has showed leadership in this area and developed a strategy for low carbon ICT that also includes export of low carbon ICT solutions, with a specific focus on emerging countries such as China and India. http://
www.itst.dk/filer/Publications/Action_plan_for_Green_IT_in_Denmark/html/chapter04.htm Hopefully cities in Denmark will follow and set supporting targets.
from some countries show that the emis-
sions would double if the import and export
were included.14
The reason is that Sweden,
as many other western countries, exports
less carbon intensive goods than it imports.
A focus on deployment of smart ICT solu-
tions can result in true emission reductions
by providing services to people without re-
quiring much CO2
to be emitted. The oppo-
site approach is when high emitting indus-
tries are moved to other countries and then
the product and services from these indus-
tries are imported. Moving steel factories to
other countries and then import steel is not a
way of solving the problem; it is only moving
the problem.
Export of low carbon solutions
A third, and still not well known, aspect of
reducing emissions from city development is
export of low carbon solutions. Low carbon
solutions for export could be anything that
helps reduce the emissions in other parts of
the world., e.g. equipment for renewable en-
ergy production or low carbon ICT solutions
such as virtual meetings, teleworking, smart
homes, smart grids, m-banking and demate-
rialisation services. A city is an active part in
the global economy and with the urgent need
for low carbon solutions cities must support
companies that export low carbon solutions.
Including an export perspective opens new
growth opportunities for cities. Focusing
on companies which provide solutions that
promote low carbon development can also
create jobs. For example, the promotion of
a 21st
century broadband infrastructure has
had positive effects on employment, accord-
ing to a number of studies.15
Obviously there is a link between the direct
emissions and the export of solutions. If a
market is created in the city for new smart
solutions, the companies that provide these
solutions can first grow on the domestic
market and become important exporters of
low carbon solutions.16
Reducing the embedded
emissions
i.e. reducing the emissions needed to pro-
duce the products and services imported or
exported from a city.
Helping reduce emissions
in the rest of the world
through export
i.e. supporting export of solutions that
reduce emissions when used in the rest of
the world, including other cities, e.g energy
efficient buildings, renewable energy pro-
duction and low carbon ICT solutions.
5
Over the last years experts in academia,
governments, companies and NGO’s have
produced studies that have demonstrated
the significant potential of ICT solutions in
reducing CO2
emissions.17
Studies indicate
that about 15% of global CO2
emissions can
be reduced with low carbon ICT solutions by
2020. Much larger reductions can however
be achieved with an innovation driven agenda
that focuses on transformative solutions.18
There are two important characteristics of
low carbon development based on ICT:
1. ICT solutions often deliver transformative
CO2
reductions;
2. A 21st
century infrastructure can deliver a
multitude of low carbon solutions
Transformative CO2
reductions
One main reason behind the lack of ICT so-
lutions in most climate strategies is that the
potential is not that well known. Most busi-
nesses and policy makers have been look-
ing for emission reductions between 5-10%
(guided by the Kyoto agreement, under which
most countries had reduction targets of 6%,
7% or 8% by 2012 compared to 1990 lev-
els.19
) and focused on incremental reductions
from the major emitters.
Unsustainable use of cars, airplanes and pa-
per can be replaced by low carbon ICT solu-
tions that can deliver transformative reduc-
tions of 50% and more. Quite often 90-99%
reductions can be achieved when ICT solu-
tions provide similar services in completely
different ways, e.g. virtual meetings, tele-
working, m-banking and m-newspapers.20
In
order to achieve this level of reductions ICT
should feature as a core element of climate
strategies.
Today companies are looking for smarter
solutions that save money and reduce CO2
.
Smart power meters and grids can help
households and buildings to better regulate
energy use; Intelligent Transport Systems
(ITS) can reduce overall transport needs; e- or
m-health can deliver remote monitoring and
physical parameters transmitted wirelessly to
health professionals.21
These are just a few
examples, and increasing evidence is being
ICT is crucial for a
low carbon development
17 WWF (2008): “Outline for the first global IT strategy for CO2 reductions”, http://assets.panda.org/downloads/1bt_printversion_final.pdf GeSI (2008): “SMART 2020”, http://www.gesi.org/LinkClick.aspx?fileticket=tbp5WRTHUoY%3d&tabi
d=60 WWF/ETNO (2005): Saving the Climate at the speed of light, http://www.pamlin.net/written/documents/WWF_ETNO-Climate%20Change%20Road%20Map.pdf WWF/Bell Canada (2008): Innovating Toward a Low-Carbon Canada: Using
Technology to Transform Tomorrow, http://www.pamlin.net/written/documents/WWF%20Canada%20ICT%20Report%2019June2008.pdf WWF/Telstra (2009): Using ICT to Drive your Sustainability Strategy, https://secure.wwf.org.au/publications/
telstrasustainabilityictwhitepaper.PDF Vodafone/Accenture (2009): Carbon Connections: Quantifying mobile’s role in tackling climate change, http://www.vodafone.com/etc/medialib/cr_09/carbon.Par.76396.File.tmp/carbon_web_2009.pdf
18 WWF (2008): “Outline for the first global IT strategy for CO2 reductions”, http://assets.panda.org/downloads/1bt_printversion_final.pd
f19 http://unfccc.int/kyoto_protocol/items/3145.php
20 See footnote 17
21 See footnote 17
Traditional and Transformative
reduction perspectives
6
presented to illustrate economical low car-
bon benefits of ICT use.
A multitude of low carbon solutions
Many ICT solutions not only substitute an
old way of providing services, but also help
to create, and are part of, a low carbon 21st
century infrastructure. Today broadband is at
the turning point with infrastructure already
widely available in most parts of the world.
However, we have not realised the full impact
and potential that it will bring to society. Over
the next 20 to 30 years, it will stimulate inno-
vation across society and will lead to the de-
ployment of completely new solutions.22
This
should be of particular interest to emerging
markets as it presents numerous opportu-
nities to leapfrog development and at the
same time move faster towards a low carbon
economy. This could happen in a way that
strengthens the economy and supporting in-
novation, not constraining it and hindering
development.
The wide spectrum of solutions has made
discussions about low carbon ICT solutions
difficult, because ICT is often a service ena-
bler, as opposed to a specific product. It is
only from 2008 that ICT has begun to feature
as a mainstream solution in policy processes
in key fora.23
Before 2008, with whom the
responsibility for development and promo-
tion of low carbon ICT solutions should be
was often unclear. Since then an increasing
number of initiatives has taken place where
ICT experts and climate experts have worked
together to begin formulating concrete plans,
both in governments and international bod-
ies.24
Over the coming decade, the 21st
century
digital communication infrastructure will play
an increasingly important role in enabling
many of the basic services such as commut-
ing (teleworking), health and education in a
low carbon way.
22 http://www.wired.com/epicenter/2009/08/broadband-is-this-generations-highway-system-fcc-director-says/
23 From business evens such as B4E and World Business Summit on Climate Change where ICT arrived late, but is not integrated as a mainstream solution, to policy events where The European commission, OECD, the Japanese government
and US administration all have ICT as part of their low carbon agenda now. http://www.unep.org/Documents.Multilingual/Default.Print.asp?DocumentID=579&ArticleID=6138&l=en http://www.mm.dk/filer/climate/Summit_report.pdfhttp://
ec.europa.eu/information_society/events/ict4ee/2009/index_en.htm http://www.meti.go.jp/english/policy/GreenITInitiativeInJapan.pdf http://news.cnet.com/8301-13578_3-10143738-38.html http://en.itst.dk/the-governments-it-and-
telecommunications-policy/green-it/conference-on-icts-the-environment-and-climate-change
24 Japan helped move the agenda forward by including ICT and climate change in the preparations for the G8 meeting in Hokkaido 2008, http://2050.nies.go.jp/sympo/S-3_LCS_sympo_WS_2009/S-3_LCS_sympo_2009/S-3_LCS_
sympo_2009_index_e.html The EU moved ICT and low carbon solutions into the mainstream discussion in March 2009 at the ICT4EE “High level event on ICT for Energy Efficiency”, http://ec.europa.eu/information_society/events/ict4ee/2009/
index_en.htm ITU have worked actively on the issue since WISIS in 2003, but increased the activity during 2008, http://www.itu.int/themes/climate/
A 21st
century infrastructure — delivering a multitude of services
Many low carbon ICT solutions strengthen each other. A person teleworking gets used to par-
ticipate in virtual meetings and will continue to also dematerialise paper to be able to access
them from the mobile device that is used as an office. The same device is then also a meeting
place and a reading device. Even though these services look different from a user perspective
they depend on the same infrastructure — an infrastructure where the connectivity will increase
over time. Some estimates have shown that by 2020 there could be tens of billions of connected
devices. This opens up new opportunities for machine-to-machine (M2M) technology to enable
ICT to collect, assemble and distribute the right information to the right place in real time.
7
Often the total CO2
emissions of the ICT sec-
tor has been compared to airlines. This how-
ever is an unscientific comparison. The 2%
of total global CO2
emissions attributed to
ICT is based on a life-cycle figure, account-
ing not only for the use of all products, but
also the full life-cycle emissions from produc-
tion to end-use and also the infrastructure
needed. The 2% for the airline industry on
the other hand is only accounting for the fuel
emissions from the airplanes.26
If a compari-
son would be made using a similar scope for
the airline industry as the ICT sector is using
(including a full life-cycle and the infrastruc-
ture needed), their emissions would be ap-
proximately 6-10%. This example highlights
the need to move beyond the immediate
emissions from products, to also look at the
underlying infrastructure.
A service perspective can help
make infrastructure visible
As long as we keep looking at emission com-
parisons at a product level, we will at best
replace more emitting products with less
emitting ones, achieving incremental emis-
sion reductions, but still within the existing
system. An infrastructure approach allows us
to compare the CO2
impact of systems of dif-
ferent nature that deliver the same service.
Such an approach from a service perspec-
tive allows for a shift towards a low carbon
infrastructure and encourages transformative
solutions.
Including emissions from infrastructure when
reporting emissions from different services
allows transformative solutions to become
visible. Today the major emissions are often
linked to the use of a product or the emis-
sions related to the manufacturing of the
product. As services can be delivered in
transformative ways, including the underly-
ing infrastructure of products in the calcula-
tion can expose major differences to emis-
sion savings. The fact that a lot of the current
high carbon infrastructure has been with us
for a long time makes it easy to forget.
In order to reach the reductions required to
avoid dangerous climate change, real low
carbon benefits must be exposed to give a
better understanding of which solutions that
can actually deliver low carbon services. The
emissions related to cars are one example
where a shift towards teleworking or even
public transport can result in very large sav-
ings due to a less carbon intensive underlying
Beyond immediate emissions
25 The details of this approach are described in the report: “Emission reductions from transformative solutions - Using an infrastructure approach to assess CO2 savings from implementing low carbon ICT services” by WWF Sweden and Ericsson
[Forthcoming, fall 2009]
26 Emissions from flying should be multiplied with approximately 2.7. The reason for this is that aircrafts have greater climate effects than just the CO2 emissions from burning the fuel. The additional effects include contributions from nitrous
oxides and ozone. Because of this, the CO2 emissions from aviation should be multiplied by an appropriate factor. The size of the factor is often taken to be 2.7 http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/sres/aviation/index.php?idp=86
An infrastructure approach
Together with Ericsson, WWF Sweden have developed an infrastructure ap-
proach to assess CO2
savings from implementing low carbon ICT services.
This allows savings related to infrastructure to become visible.25
Immediate emissions:
from the product used
to deliver the service,
e.g a car or a laptop.
Other life-cycle emissions:
from the production and
end-of-life treatment, e.g
for a car this would include
both the emissions from
producing and recycling the
car, as well as the fuel used
by that car
8
infrastructure. When products such as cars
become more and more energy efficient, the
emissions from the underlying infrastructure
will become increasingly important to include
in calculations to be able to capture the true
climate impact.
Emission reductions from trans-
formative solutions
WWF Sweden and Ericsson have studied a
number of services and also calculated the
savings from existing solutions in China and
Sweden.27
This work has indicated that the
savings from broadband services can be 50-
150% higher when the life-cycle emissions
and the underlying infrastructure is included,
compared to a situation when only the “tail-
pipe” emissions are included.
The same work also indicates that, without
any significant promotion, the savings from
just two applications, a logistic transport sys-
tem and teleworking, have already delivered
about five million tonnes of CO2
reductions
in China.28
By 2020, these savings could
become significantly higher with only minor
support from business and policy makers.
Initial estimations show that increased use
of five existing ICT applications could add
up to more than 30 million tonnes in China
alone.29
It is also important to understand how emis-
sion distribution will change over time. This
requires dynamic effects, that include the
impact of future emissions, to be included.30
By analysing the dynamic effects it is pos-
sible to identify drivers of increased invest-
ments in unsustainable infrastructure that
in turn triggers further use of unsustainable
services (cars and road investments in cities
are classical examples of two unsustainable
investments that often reinforce each other).
Similarly, taking dynamic effects into account
can help identify investments in infrastructure
that trigger further use of sustainable servic-
es. This can accelerate emission reductions
by improving low carbon infrastructure and
strengthening other services (e.g. invest-
ments in broadband can support increased
use of teleworking, which can support in-
creased use of virtual meetings, m-paper, m-
banking, a smart grid and smart houses).
27 This work has been in collaboration with the project WWF has with China Mobile in China and earlier collaboration that both WWF Sweden and Ericsson have had with TeliaSonera.
28 See the report: “Emission reductions from transformative solutions - Using an infrastructure approach to assess CO2 savings from implementing low carbon ICT services” by WWF Sweden and Ericsson [Forthcoming, fall 2009]
29 The services are: logistic systems, m-paper, teleworking, virtual meetings and smart street lights. These are described in the report: “Emission reductions from transformative solutions - Using an infrastructure approach to assess CO2 savings
from implementing low carbon ICT services” by WWF Sweden and Ericsson [Forthcoming, fall 2009]
30 Dynamic effects are described in the report: “Emission reductions from transformative solutions - Using an infrastructure approach to assess CO2 savings from implementing low carbon ICT services” by WWF Sweden and Ericsson
[Forthcoming, fall 2009]
Emissions of infrastruc-
ture operations:
from the supportive infra-
structure that is needed to
deliver a service. This can
be traffic lights, heating/
cooling of airports, op-
eration of parking houses,
fuelling stations, etc.
Other life-cycle emis-
sions of infrastructure:
from the production and
the decommissioning of
the infrastructure, e.g.
construction of parking,
building of roads and sup-
porting infrastructure for
new exploration of oil.
Dynamic impacts on
emissions:
from investing in and us-
ing a solution in a specific
context. Investments and
use can reinforce a high or
low carbon development
outside the direct flow and
use of resources.
9
In the run up to the global climate nego-
tiations in Copenhagen, most of the global
policy focus has been on sectors with high
emissions and on incremental improvements.
This paper has made the case for why it is
also important to direct attention to ICT and
telecom, sectors that provide low carbon
solutions that can create transformative re-
ductions with low carbon feedback. A five-
step-plan is proposed in order to help policy
makers make this shift.31
1. Make ICT a central part of national and
city strategies and targets for reducing
CO2
emissions
Identify a number of areas where low carbon
ICT will be supported, and where dynamic,
reinforcing effects from the use of the same
underlying infrastructure can be realised.
Targets for emission reductions should include•	
medium-term targets in order to encourage trans-
formative solutions and provide a clear direction
for investments. Targets should be based on ac-
tual emission reductions (not from moving emitting
companies elsewhere), and also consider embed-
ded and export emissions.
In order to move beyond incremental CO•	 2
im-
provements to transformative savings, the positive
potential of ICT services should be acknowledged
in all key policy documents, e.g. transport poli-
cies should include the use of Intelligent Transport
Systems and telework, not just focus on improved
transport. Energy policies should include smart
grids, not only focus on energy supply.
Encourage universal access to ICT for all citi-•	
zens. Mobile broadband can enable a multitude
of low carbon services, including an inclusive and
collaborative approach to travel substitution that
allow for connectivity of rural areas. Support for
solutions that enable synergies between rural and
urban development are crucial.
2. Shift focus from a 20th
century physical
infrastructure to a 21st
century low carbon
information infrastructure
A 21st
century infrastructure will require a
well-functioning broadband network in order
to enable services such as telework, virtual
meetings, smart buildings, intelligent trans-
port and dematerialisation of products.
ICT/telecom investments should be an inte-•	
grated part of all major infrastructural investment
plans. Governments should stimulate the uptake
of broadband services that enable dematerialisa-
tion, i.e when goods can be provided in a digital
form instead of a physical form.
The possibility for new wireless solutions that•	
do not depend on parallel infrastructure should al-
ways be explored, e.g. a new tower infrastructure
for road safety and security might be unnecessary
if wireless 3G networks could be used for the same
purpose.
The introduction of broadband enabled services•	
should be incorporated in city planning, includ-
ing control instruments to prevent low carbon
solutions e.g., smart housing projects, from being
penalised through higher taxes and complex ad-
ministrative procedures.
31 The structure is based on the “Green Digital Charter” that will be launched at the Eurocities AGM in Stockholm in November. Many of the concrete suggestions have been developed in dialogue with a number of stakeholders. A web survey
was sent out to a selected number of thought leaders in the area of ICT and low carbon development. 30 people provided input and the suggestions based on this. The survey questions can be found on www.panda.org/ict
Five-step-plan for low
carbon development
10
3. Encourage cross-sectoral partnerships
with a focus on developing new and inno-
vative services
Partnerships between industry sectors and
other stakeholders to promote a green digital
agenda should be promoted.
Encourage solutions that provide CO•	 2
reductions
of 90% or more in order to highlight transformative
solutions. Focus on technology deployment that
will deliver widespread economies of scale and
promote collaboration between nations. Develop-
ing countries should consider leap-frog possibili-
ties from ICT.
Support a common approach to measure the•	
positive impact that transformative solution pro-
viders, like ICT companies, can have. The actual
development of the approach should take place
in international bodies. Interoperability and stand-
ardisation issues should also be considered be-
tween sectors as well as the opportunity for ma-
chine-to-machine (M2M) technology to deliver low
carbon solutions.
Motivate companies through public procure-•	
ment processes. Ask companies how they can
help reduce emissions in society through the solu-
tions they provide, in addition to reducing emis-
sions from their products and operations.
4. Lead by example and create a level
playing field
Policy makers should provide positive exam-
ples of low carbon ICT use and ensure a level
playing field where decisions in one policy
area do not negatively impact emission re-
duction opportunities in other areas.
Incentives to reduce CO•	 2
emissions should be
based on an understanding of how different poli-
cies can affect the scope for providing low carbon
services. For example, when the goal is to reduce
emissions from commuting all measures, from tax
rebates for biofuel for cars to investment in broad-
band that enables telework, should be assessed
together.
Luxury taxes on ICT that slow uptake of sus-•	
tainable solutions should be avoided. For many
years, a digital divide was created because the
poor could not afford access to mobile phones.
The same mistake should not be made with smart
work and other low carbon solutions that also in-
crease productivity and drive innovation.
Public procurement should focus on shifting•	
from products to services. For instance, a meet-
ing service could be purchased instead of travel
services.
5. Open innovation for low carbon solutions
The development of low carbon solutions
should be promoted through innovative re-
search and development activities.
Increase financial support and incentives for re-•	
search and development between different types
of stakeholders that traditionally may not work to-
gether, such as ICT companies, health providers
and city-planners to deliver low carbon solutions
for society.
Support innovative systems that result in more•	
energy efficient goods.32
Such support could in-
clude the opportunity to purchase low carbon
services such as e-reading subscriptions, video
on demand, m-health and m-banking.
Demonstration projects where low carbon solu-•	
tions are implemented are needed. Stimulate in-
novative initiatives that encourage uptake of ICT
services that enable transformative solutions such
as smart buildings, m-health and smart grids. De-
ployment projects could include initiatives to de-
velop interactive smart meters that could enable
buildings becoming net producers of renewable
energy.33
32 An interesting example is the Japanese initiative with Eco-points, bonus points from purchasing energy efficient equipment that can be used to pay for more energy efficient goods, http://eco-points.jp/EP/index.html
33 http://www.infodev.org/en/Article.392.html, http://www.ideawicket.com/
11
©1986PandasymbolWWF
WWF is the world’s largest and most experienced independent conservation organisation,
with almost 5 million supporters and a global network active in more than 90 countries
WWF’s mission is to stop the degradation of the planet’s natural environment and to build
a future in which humans live in harmony with nature, by:
- conserving the world’s biological diversity.
- ensuring that the use of renewable natural resources is sustainable.
- promoting the reduction of pollution and wasteful consumption.
Design:Projector
A 20th
century physical infrastructure
(often supporting high carbon solu-
tions)
Airports, roads, tunnels, bridges, street
lamps, parking lots, fueling stations and
so on, represent a 20th
century infrastruc-
ture. It principally delivers high carbon
services and investments in this infra-
structure can deliver more of the same,
or at best marginally improved, high car-
bon infrastructure. In order to reach the
emission reductions needed to prevent
climate change, we need to compare
systems of different nature that deliver
the same service and include the emis-
sions wich may be hidden in infrastruc-
ture so that true carbon impacts become
visible.
A 21st
century information infrastruc-
ture (often supporting low carbon so-
lutions)
Fiber optic cables, mobile network ra-
dio base stations and servers constitute
some elements of a low carbon 21st
cen-
tury infrastructure. This is the most en-
ergy efficient infrastructure ever created
as it provides connectivity and moves
information instead of atoms. In addi-
tion, fixed and mobile broadband allow
information to flow at the speed of light
around the planet. Investments in this
infrastructure can reinforce several differ-
ent low carbon solutions that all depend
on the same infrastructure such as virtual
meetings, smart grids, m-governance, m-
health, e-paper, etc. Even though these
services might look very different from a
user perspective they are all depending
on the same 21st
century infrastructure.
An infrastructure that within ten years
will allow tens of billions of connected
devices to communicate also enabling a
multitude of machine-to-machine (M2M)
solutions.
This paper is a result of the joint work between Ericsson and WWF Sweden
Ericsson is the world’s leading provider of information communication technology and services to telecom operators.
For more information: www.ericsson.com and http://www.ericsson.com/ericsson/corporate_responsibility/index.shtml

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A five-step-plan for a low carbon urban development

  • 1. A five-step-plan for a low carbon urban development Understanding and implementing low carbon ICT/telecom solutions that help economic development while reducing carbon emissions
  • 2. The early 21st century is faced with dramatic challenges. Failures of large financial institutions resulted in a crash of stock markets around the world with a severe effect on many national economies. At the same time, there is increasing and dramatic evidence from leading sci- entific bodies of the effects of climate change and a growing under- standing of the likelihood of them becoming a reality much sooner than previously anticipated. Both of these challenges have become top political issues, and today there is a strong commitment of governments, industry and civil soci- ety to address them both. It is generally recognised that by 2050, glo- bal CO2 emissions need to be reduced by some 80%, but the roadmap for getting there is uncertain and today focus is largely on incremental emission reductions. In order to reach the significant levels of reduc- tions, large scale transformative changes are needed in the way that we live and work. This paper is written to inspire action and to increase understanding of one technology that can deliver the needed transformative change. For too long the need for CO2 reductions has been seen as a trade off between economic development and care for the planet, this does not have to be the case. By using the 21st century communication in- frastructure that already exists, it is possible to deliver transformative reductions that dramatically reduce emissions. With increased knowledge about the potential of low carbon Informa- tion and Communication technologies (ICT) solutions, combined with an understanding that reductions in the realm of 50-80% are needed in the medium-term,1 ICT solutions should be at the centre of the climate discussion. Today ICT is noticeably absent. This paper is written to promote action and increase understand- ing of how the existing ICT infrastructure can deliver immediate and transformative solutions to policy makers. It presents a five step plan to accelerate the uptake of low carbon services that can transform societies, based on current technologies. With an existing global in- frastructure that has only just begun to demonstrate its potential, the opportunities are almost unlimited.2 1 July 2009 G8 leaders agreed to cut emissions by 80% by 2050, http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-07/09/content_11678940.htm, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/8141715.stm 2 The opinions expressed in this discussion paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of WWF Sweden. Any inaccuracies in the report remain the responsibility of the author(s). The material and the geographical desig- nations in this report do not imply the expression of an opinion whatsoever on the part of WWF Sweden, concerning the legal status of any country, territory, or area, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. 3 Dennis Pamlin, Global Policy Advisor, WWF Sweden, www.panda.org/ict and www.pamlin.net/blog 4 Suzanne Pahlman, Innovation Catalyst, Connecore, http://connecore.com/ 5 Elaine Weidman, Vice President of Sustainability and Corporate Responsibility, Ericsson, http://www.ericsson.com/ericsson/corporate_responsibility/ Dennis Pamlin3 , Suzanne Pahlman4 and Elaine Weidman5 2
  • 3. Solving the climate challenge is very much tied to infrastructure and urban development. Last year marked a shift in human history with more than half of the world’s population living in urban, not rural, areas for the first time. This trend will continue. In 40 years’ time 70% of the global population will live in cities.6 This trend will result in massive investments and shape the global resource use. Most of the focus in climate discussions so far has been on how to incrementally reduce the emissions from big polluting industries, without negatively impacting the economy. Such a focus on emission reductions is of course necessary. But there is an untapped opportunity to drive economic growth while at the same time making transformative emissions reductions by focusing on cities and urban infrastructure development. Innovations and opportunities By shifting from a product to a service per- spective we can use the connectivity of a 21st century infrastructure to provide many of the services people and businesses need, instead of only replacing products with mar- ginally better ones. Economic development and carbon reductions can not only go hand in hand, they can also strengthen each other. What is needed in order for this to happen is an innovation driven approach which can de- liver measurable savings and “smarter” ways of doing things. This can increase quality of life while dramatically reducing emissions. Cities are close to business, the research community and citizens. The sheer volume of people, cars, buildings and other infrastruc- ture makes it possible to develop leadership in the low carbon innovation field through the promotion of digital technologies which can support the development of more intelligent and sustainable cities. Cities, in collaboration with rural areas, should be able to demon- strate how they can use, and are using, ICTs to achieve new and innovative ways to deliv- er services through transformative solutions that support a low carbon urban living. 6 http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/wup2007/2007wup.htm 7 http://www.oecd.org/document/2/0,3343,en_2649_33735_37801602_1_1_1_1,00.html 8 http://www.oecd.org/document/2/0,3343,en_2649_33735_37801602_1_1_1_1,00.html http://images.businessweek.com/ss/09/04/0422_inventive_cities/index.htm Low carbon opportunities in the 21st century Major cities in OECD countries generate almost one third of their nations’ production while in some countries more than half national output is produced by one city.7 Cities and urban areas consume 75% of the world’s energy and produce up to 75% of its greenhouse gas emissions. Cities are their nation’s innovation hubs, producing almost all patents.8 As such they will be at the epicentre when the actual work to significantly reduce CO2 emissions begins. 3
  • 4. Strategies to support low carbon cities must include at least three aspects of devel- opment, all of which can include ICT use as a crucial component. Direct emissions The first aspect is the direct emissions from a city. This is where almost all focus on reduc- ing carbon emissions is today. Cities should develop strategies and set targets to reduce the direct emissions from buildings, transport and all other significant sources of emissions without shifting the problem elsewhere. Interesting initiatives with a strong focus on direct emissions, include the Green Shift Eu- rope initiative,9 the Low Carbon City Initia- tive10 and the Climate Positive Development Program.11 Ensuring continued focus on energy efficien- cy and new smart system solutions instead of only looking at decreased use of coal and oil is important. A lot of discussion has fo- cused on technologies that might start deliv- ering reductions by 2020 and beyond. With only a fraction of the amount of effort that’s being put into improving the current fossil based supply system, low carbon ICT solu- tions could potentially deliver more reduc- tions than any other supply-side solution.12 Embedded emissions The second area that must be addressed, not the least to ensure that emissions are not just moved, are the embedded emissions. Em- bedded emissions are those emissions that have occurred in order to produce some- thing. If a city is moving a steel plant because it emits too much carbon, but continues us- ing the same amount of steel as before (or more) the problem has not been solved, only moved.13 Many leaders of cities in the developed part of the world who talk about low carbon de- velopment often overlook their cities’ im- port of goods, which can contain significant amounts of embedded carbon. Research 9 This initiative is being developed by EUROCITIES, coordinated by the Knowledge Society Forum (KSF), with the idea of the ‘Green Digital Charter’ at its core http://www.greenshifteurope.eu/ and http://eurocitiesksf09.eventbrite.com/ 10 This initiative is being developed by WWF in collaboration with cities in China. Shanghai, with Shanghai Research Institute of Building Science, has a strong focus on smart buildings using ICT http://www.wwfchina.org/english/sub_loca. php?loca=1&sub=96 11This is a joint venture between the Clinton Climate Initiative and the U.S. Green Building Council will try to establish real estate developments that reduce the net amount of on-site CO2 emissions to below zero. http://www.usgbc.org/Docs/ News/Climate+%20FINAL%20Press%20Release%205-19.pdf 12 If current targets for improving and eliminating coal fired plants and CCS are met, by 2020 global CO2 could be reduced by less than 5%. In contrast, smart deployment of ICT could reduce global CO2 emissions by more than 20% by 2020. The potential for ICT has been presented in a number of studies including: WWF (2008): “Outline for the first global IT strategy for CO2 reductions” http://assets.panda.org/downloads/1bt_printversion_final.pdf GeSI (2008): “SMART 2020” http:// www.gesi.org/LinkClick.aspx?fileticket=tbp5WRTHUoY%3d&tabid=60 13 A number of governments have discussed different ways to address this challenge including China and the UK. http://www.carbon-financeonline.com/index.cfm?section=lead&action=view&id=11929 http://randd.defra.gov.uk/Document.aspx?Document=EV02033_7331_FRP.pdf A THREE PRONGED CLIMATE STRATEGY FOR 21st CENTURY LOW CARBON CITIES Reducing the direct emissions i.e. reducing emissions from cars, build- ings and energy production within the city’s boundaries. This can be done both by mak- ing current solutions less carbon intensive and by finding new innovative ways to provide the same services. 4
  • 5. 14 http://www.sei.se/eipot/resources/EIPOT-literature-list-07Oct08.pdf http://www.ima.kth.se/eng/respublic/CO2_utslaepp_import_konsumtion.pdf 15 An American study by Brookings Institution (2007) based on state level data found that for every one percentage point increase in broadband penetration in a state, employment is projected to increase by 0.2-0.3% per year. For the entire US private non-farm economy, this suggests 300 000 additional jobs. http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/rc/papers/2007/06labor_crandall/06labor_crandall.pdf Based on broadband growth of 3.8% over the next several years, the Sacra- mento Regional Research Institute says that California could see a cumulative 10-year gain of 1.8 million jobs and USD 132 billion in payrolls. http://www.benton.org/initiatives/broadband_benefits/action_plan/economic_development 16 The government in Denmark has showed leadership in this area and developed a strategy for low carbon ICT that also includes export of low carbon ICT solutions, with a specific focus on emerging countries such as China and India. http:// www.itst.dk/filer/Publications/Action_plan_for_Green_IT_in_Denmark/html/chapter04.htm Hopefully cities in Denmark will follow and set supporting targets. from some countries show that the emis- sions would double if the import and export were included.14 The reason is that Sweden, as many other western countries, exports less carbon intensive goods than it imports. A focus on deployment of smart ICT solu- tions can result in true emission reductions by providing services to people without re- quiring much CO2 to be emitted. The oppo- site approach is when high emitting indus- tries are moved to other countries and then the product and services from these indus- tries are imported. Moving steel factories to other countries and then import steel is not a way of solving the problem; it is only moving the problem. Export of low carbon solutions A third, and still not well known, aspect of reducing emissions from city development is export of low carbon solutions. Low carbon solutions for export could be anything that helps reduce the emissions in other parts of the world., e.g. equipment for renewable en- ergy production or low carbon ICT solutions such as virtual meetings, teleworking, smart homes, smart grids, m-banking and demate- rialisation services. A city is an active part in the global economy and with the urgent need for low carbon solutions cities must support companies that export low carbon solutions. Including an export perspective opens new growth opportunities for cities. Focusing on companies which provide solutions that promote low carbon development can also create jobs. For example, the promotion of a 21st century broadband infrastructure has had positive effects on employment, accord- ing to a number of studies.15 Obviously there is a link between the direct emissions and the export of solutions. If a market is created in the city for new smart solutions, the companies that provide these solutions can first grow on the domestic market and become important exporters of low carbon solutions.16 Reducing the embedded emissions i.e. reducing the emissions needed to pro- duce the products and services imported or exported from a city. Helping reduce emissions in the rest of the world through export i.e. supporting export of solutions that reduce emissions when used in the rest of the world, including other cities, e.g energy efficient buildings, renewable energy pro- duction and low carbon ICT solutions. 5
  • 6. Over the last years experts in academia, governments, companies and NGO’s have produced studies that have demonstrated the significant potential of ICT solutions in reducing CO2 emissions.17 Studies indicate that about 15% of global CO2 emissions can be reduced with low carbon ICT solutions by 2020. Much larger reductions can however be achieved with an innovation driven agenda that focuses on transformative solutions.18 There are two important characteristics of low carbon development based on ICT: 1. ICT solutions often deliver transformative CO2 reductions; 2. A 21st century infrastructure can deliver a multitude of low carbon solutions Transformative CO2 reductions One main reason behind the lack of ICT so- lutions in most climate strategies is that the potential is not that well known. Most busi- nesses and policy makers have been look- ing for emission reductions between 5-10% (guided by the Kyoto agreement, under which most countries had reduction targets of 6%, 7% or 8% by 2012 compared to 1990 lev- els.19 ) and focused on incremental reductions from the major emitters. Unsustainable use of cars, airplanes and pa- per can be replaced by low carbon ICT solu- tions that can deliver transformative reduc- tions of 50% and more. Quite often 90-99% reductions can be achieved when ICT solu- tions provide similar services in completely different ways, e.g. virtual meetings, tele- working, m-banking and m-newspapers.20 In order to achieve this level of reductions ICT should feature as a core element of climate strategies. Today companies are looking for smarter solutions that save money and reduce CO2 . Smart power meters and grids can help households and buildings to better regulate energy use; Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) can reduce overall transport needs; e- or m-health can deliver remote monitoring and physical parameters transmitted wirelessly to health professionals.21 These are just a few examples, and increasing evidence is being ICT is crucial for a low carbon development 17 WWF (2008): “Outline for the first global IT strategy for CO2 reductions”, http://assets.panda.org/downloads/1bt_printversion_final.pdf GeSI (2008): “SMART 2020”, http://www.gesi.org/LinkClick.aspx?fileticket=tbp5WRTHUoY%3d&tabi d=60 WWF/ETNO (2005): Saving the Climate at the speed of light, http://www.pamlin.net/written/documents/WWF_ETNO-Climate%20Change%20Road%20Map.pdf WWF/Bell Canada (2008): Innovating Toward a Low-Carbon Canada: Using Technology to Transform Tomorrow, http://www.pamlin.net/written/documents/WWF%20Canada%20ICT%20Report%2019June2008.pdf WWF/Telstra (2009): Using ICT to Drive your Sustainability Strategy, https://secure.wwf.org.au/publications/ telstrasustainabilityictwhitepaper.PDF Vodafone/Accenture (2009): Carbon Connections: Quantifying mobile’s role in tackling climate change, http://www.vodafone.com/etc/medialib/cr_09/carbon.Par.76396.File.tmp/carbon_web_2009.pdf 18 WWF (2008): “Outline for the first global IT strategy for CO2 reductions”, http://assets.panda.org/downloads/1bt_printversion_final.pd f19 http://unfccc.int/kyoto_protocol/items/3145.php 20 See footnote 17 21 See footnote 17 Traditional and Transformative reduction perspectives 6
  • 7. presented to illustrate economical low car- bon benefits of ICT use. A multitude of low carbon solutions Many ICT solutions not only substitute an old way of providing services, but also help to create, and are part of, a low carbon 21st century infrastructure. Today broadband is at the turning point with infrastructure already widely available in most parts of the world. However, we have not realised the full impact and potential that it will bring to society. Over the next 20 to 30 years, it will stimulate inno- vation across society and will lead to the de- ployment of completely new solutions.22 This should be of particular interest to emerging markets as it presents numerous opportu- nities to leapfrog development and at the same time move faster towards a low carbon economy. This could happen in a way that strengthens the economy and supporting in- novation, not constraining it and hindering development. The wide spectrum of solutions has made discussions about low carbon ICT solutions difficult, because ICT is often a service ena- bler, as opposed to a specific product. It is only from 2008 that ICT has begun to feature as a mainstream solution in policy processes in key fora.23 Before 2008, with whom the responsibility for development and promo- tion of low carbon ICT solutions should be was often unclear. Since then an increasing number of initiatives has taken place where ICT experts and climate experts have worked together to begin formulating concrete plans, both in governments and international bod- ies.24 Over the coming decade, the 21st century digital communication infrastructure will play an increasingly important role in enabling many of the basic services such as commut- ing (teleworking), health and education in a low carbon way. 22 http://www.wired.com/epicenter/2009/08/broadband-is-this-generations-highway-system-fcc-director-says/ 23 From business evens such as B4E and World Business Summit on Climate Change where ICT arrived late, but is not integrated as a mainstream solution, to policy events where The European commission, OECD, the Japanese government and US administration all have ICT as part of their low carbon agenda now. http://www.unep.org/Documents.Multilingual/Default.Print.asp?DocumentID=579&ArticleID=6138&l=en http://www.mm.dk/filer/climate/Summit_report.pdfhttp:// ec.europa.eu/information_society/events/ict4ee/2009/index_en.htm http://www.meti.go.jp/english/policy/GreenITInitiativeInJapan.pdf http://news.cnet.com/8301-13578_3-10143738-38.html http://en.itst.dk/the-governments-it-and- telecommunications-policy/green-it/conference-on-icts-the-environment-and-climate-change 24 Japan helped move the agenda forward by including ICT and climate change in the preparations for the G8 meeting in Hokkaido 2008, http://2050.nies.go.jp/sympo/S-3_LCS_sympo_WS_2009/S-3_LCS_sympo_2009/S-3_LCS_ sympo_2009_index_e.html The EU moved ICT and low carbon solutions into the mainstream discussion in March 2009 at the ICT4EE “High level event on ICT for Energy Efficiency”, http://ec.europa.eu/information_society/events/ict4ee/2009/ index_en.htm ITU have worked actively on the issue since WISIS in 2003, but increased the activity during 2008, http://www.itu.int/themes/climate/ A 21st century infrastructure — delivering a multitude of services Many low carbon ICT solutions strengthen each other. A person teleworking gets used to par- ticipate in virtual meetings and will continue to also dematerialise paper to be able to access them from the mobile device that is used as an office. The same device is then also a meeting place and a reading device. Even though these services look different from a user perspective they depend on the same infrastructure — an infrastructure where the connectivity will increase over time. Some estimates have shown that by 2020 there could be tens of billions of connected devices. This opens up new opportunities for machine-to-machine (M2M) technology to enable ICT to collect, assemble and distribute the right information to the right place in real time. 7
  • 8. Often the total CO2 emissions of the ICT sec- tor has been compared to airlines. This how- ever is an unscientific comparison. The 2% of total global CO2 emissions attributed to ICT is based on a life-cycle figure, account- ing not only for the use of all products, but also the full life-cycle emissions from produc- tion to end-use and also the infrastructure needed. The 2% for the airline industry on the other hand is only accounting for the fuel emissions from the airplanes.26 If a compari- son would be made using a similar scope for the airline industry as the ICT sector is using (including a full life-cycle and the infrastruc- ture needed), their emissions would be ap- proximately 6-10%. This example highlights the need to move beyond the immediate emissions from products, to also look at the underlying infrastructure. A service perspective can help make infrastructure visible As long as we keep looking at emission com- parisons at a product level, we will at best replace more emitting products with less emitting ones, achieving incremental emis- sion reductions, but still within the existing system. An infrastructure approach allows us to compare the CO2 impact of systems of dif- ferent nature that deliver the same service. Such an approach from a service perspec- tive allows for a shift towards a low carbon infrastructure and encourages transformative solutions. Including emissions from infrastructure when reporting emissions from different services allows transformative solutions to become visible. Today the major emissions are often linked to the use of a product or the emis- sions related to the manufacturing of the product. As services can be delivered in transformative ways, including the underly- ing infrastructure of products in the calcula- tion can expose major differences to emis- sion savings. The fact that a lot of the current high carbon infrastructure has been with us for a long time makes it easy to forget. In order to reach the reductions required to avoid dangerous climate change, real low carbon benefits must be exposed to give a better understanding of which solutions that can actually deliver low carbon services. The emissions related to cars are one example where a shift towards teleworking or even public transport can result in very large sav- ings due to a less carbon intensive underlying Beyond immediate emissions 25 The details of this approach are described in the report: “Emission reductions from transformative solutions - Using an infrastructure approach to assess CO2 savings from implementing low carbon ICT services” by WWF Sweden and Ericsson [Forthcoming, fall 2009] 26 Emissions from flying should be multiplied with approximately 2.7. The reason for this is that aircrafts have greater climate effects than just the CO2 emissions from burning the fuel. The additional effects include contributions from nitrous oxides and ozone. Because of this, the CO2 emissions from aviation should be multiplied by an appropriate factor. The size of the factor is often taken to be 2.7 http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/sres/aviation/index.php?idp=86 An infrastructure approach Together with Ericsson, WWF Sweden have developed an infrastructure ap- proach to assess CO2 savings from implementing low carbon ICT services. This allows savings related to infrastructure to become visible.25 Immediate emissions: from the product used to deliver the service, e.g a car or a laptop. Other life-cycle emissions: from the production and end-of-life treatment, e.g for a car this would include both the emissions from producing and recycling the car, as well as the fuel used by that car 8
  • 9. infrastructure. When products such as cars become more and more energy efficient, the emissions from the underlying infrastructure will become increasingly important to include in calculations to be able to capture the true climate impact. Emission reductions from trans- formative solutions WWF Sweden and Ericsson have studied a number of services and also calculated the savings from existing solutions in China and Sweden.27 This work has indicated that the savings from broadband services can be 50- 150% higher when the life-cycle emissions and the underlying infrastructure is included, compared to a situation when only the “tail- pipe” emissions are included. The same work also indicates that, without any significant promotion, the savings from just two applications, a logistic transport sys- tem and teleworking, have already delivered about five million tonnes of CO2 reductions in China.28 By 2020, these savings could become significantly higher with only minor support from business and policy makers. Initial estimations show that increased use of five existing ICT applications could add up to more than 30 million tonnes in China alone.29 It is also important to understand how emis- sion distribution will change over time. This requires dynamic effects, that include the impact of future emissions, to be included.30 By analysing the dynamic effects it is pos- sible to identify drivers of increased invest- ments in unsustainable infrastructure that in turn triggers further use of unsustainable services (cars and road investments in cities are classical examples of two unsustainable investments that often reinforce each other). Similarly, taking dynamic effects into account can help identify investments in infrastructure that trigger further use of sustainable servic- es. This can accelerate emission reductions by improving low carbon infrastructure and strengthening other services (e.g. invest- ments in broadband can support increased use of teleworking, which can support in- creased use of virtual meetings, m-paper, m- banking, a smart grid and smart houses). 27 This work has been in collaboration with the project WWF has with China Mobile in China and earlier collaboration that both WWF Sweden and Ericsson have had with TeliaSonera. 28 See the report: “Emission reductions from transformative solutions - Using an infrastructure approach to assess CO2 savings from implementing low carbon ICT services” by WWF Sweden and Ericsson [Forthcoming, fall 2009] 29 The services are: logistic systems, m-paper, teleworking, virtual meetings and smart street lights. These are described in the report: “Emission reductions from transformative solutions - Using an infrastructure approach to assess CO2 savings from implementing low carbon ICT services” by WWF Sweden and Ericsson [Forthcoming, fall 2009] 30 Dynamic effects are described in the report: “Emission reductions from transformative solutions - Using an infrastructure approach to assess CO2 savings from implementing low carbon ICT services” by WWF Sweden and Ericsson [Forthcoming, fall 2009] Emissions of infrastruc- ture operations: from the supportive infra- structure that is needed to deliver a service. This can be traffic lights, heating/ cooling of airports, op- eration of parking houses, fuelling stations, etc. Other life-cycle emis- sions of infrastructure: from the production and the decommissioning of the infrastructure, e.g. construction of parking, building of roads and sup- porting infrastructure for new exploration of oil. Dynamic impacts on emissions: from investing in and us- ing a solution in a specific context. Investments and use can reinforce a high or low carbon development outside the direct flow and use of resources. 9
  • 10. In the run up to the global climate nego- tiations in Copenhagen, most of the global policy focus has been on sectors with high emissions and on incremental improvements. This paper has made the case for why it is also important to direct attention to ICT and telecom, sectors that provide low carbon solutions that can create transformative re- ductions with low carbon feedback. A five- step-plan is proposed in order to help policy makers make this shift.31 1. Make ICT a central part of national and city strategies and targets for reducing CO2 emissions Identify a number of areas where low carbon ICT will be supported, and where dynamic, reinforcing effects from the use of the same underlying infrastructure can be realised. Targets for emission reductions should include• medium-term targets in order to encourage trans- formative solutions and provide a clear direction for investments. Targets should be based on ac- tual emission reductions (not from moving emitting companies elsewhere), and also consider embed- ded and export emissions. In order to move beyond incremental CO• 2 im- provements to transformative savings, the positive potential of ICT services should be acknowledged in all key policy documents, e.g. transport poli- cies should include the use of Intelligent Transport Systems and telework, not just focus on improved transport. Energy policies should include smart grids, not only focus on energy supply. Encourage universal access to ICT for all citi-• zens. Mobile broadband can enable a multitude of low carbon services, including an inclusive and collaborative approach to travel substitution that allow for connectivity of rural areas. Support for solutions that enable synergies between rural and urban development are crucial. 2. Shift focus from a 20th century physical infrastructure to a 21st century low carbon information infrastructure A 21st century infrastructure will require a well-functioning broadband network in order to enable services such as telework, virtual meetings, smart buildings, intelligent trans- port and dematerialisation of products. ICT/telecom investments should be an inte-• grated part of all major infrastructural investment plans. Governments should stimulate the uptake of broadband services that enable dematerialisa- tion, i.e when goods can be provided in a digital form instead of a physical form. The possibility for new wireless solutions that• do not depend on parallel infrastructure should al- ways be explored, e.g. a new tower infrastructure for road safety and security might be unnecessary if wireless 3G networks could be used for the same purpose. The introduction of broadband enabled services• should be incorporated in city planning, includ- ing control instruments to prevent low carbon solutions e.g., smart housing projects, from being penalised through higher taxes and complex ad- ministrative procedures. 31 The structure is based on the “Green Digital Charter” that will be launched at the Eurocities AGM in Stockholm in November. Many of the concrete suggestions have been developed in dialogue with a number of stakeholders. A web survey was sent out to a selected number of thought leaders in the area of ICT and low carbon development. 30 people provided input and the suggestions based on this. The survey questions can be found on www.panda.org/ict Five-step-plan for low carbon development 10
  • 11. 3. Encourage cross-sectoral partnerships with a focus on developing new and inno- vative services Partnerships between industry sectors and other stakeholders to promote a green digital agenda should be promoted. Encourage solutions that provide CO• 2 reductions of 90% or more in order to highlight transformative solutions. Focus on technology deployment that will deliver widespread economies of scale and promote collaboration between nations. Develop- ing countries should consider leap-frog possibili- ties from ICT. Support a common approach to measure the• positive impact that transformative solution pro- viders, like ICT companies, can have. The actual development of the approach should take place in international bodies. Interoperability and stand- ardisation issues should also be considered be- tween sectors as well as the opportunity for ma- chine-to-machine (M2M) technology to deliver low carbon solutions. Motivate companies through public procure-• ment processes. Ask companies how they can help reduce emissions in society through the solu- tions they provide, in addition to reducing emis- sions from their products and operations. 4. Lead by example and create a level playing field Policy makers should provide positive exam- ples of low carbon ICT use and ensure a level playing field where decisions in one policy area do not negatively impact emission re- duction opportunities in other areas. Incentives to reduce CO• 2 emissions should be based on an understanding of how different poli- cies can affect the scope for providing low carbon services. For example, when the goal is to reduce emissions from commuting all measures, from tax rebates for biofuel for cars to investment in broad- band that enables telework, should be assessed together. Luxury taxes on ICT that slow uptake of sus-• tainable solutions should be avoided. For many years, a digital divide was created because the poor could not afford access to mobile phones. The same mistake should not be made with smart work and other low carbon solutions that also in- crease productivity and drive innovation. Public procurement should focus on shifting• from products to services. For instance, a meet- ing service could be purchased instead of travel services. 5. Open innovation for low carbon solutions The development of low carbon solutions should be promoted through innovative re- search and development activities. Increase financial support and incentives for re-• search and development between different types of stakeholders that traditionally may not work to- gether, such as ICT companies, health providers and city-planners to deliver low carbon solutions for society. Support innovative systems that result in more• energy efficient goods.32 Such support could in- clude the opportunity to purchase low carbon services such as e-reading subscriptions, video on demand, m-health and m-banking. Demonstration projects where low carbon solu-• tions are implemented are needed. Stimulate in- novative initiatives that encourage uptake of ICT services that enable transformative solutions such as smart buildings, m-health and smart grids. De- ployment projects could include initiatives to de- velop interactive smart meters that could enable buildings becoming net producers of renewable energy.33 32 An interesting example is the Japanese initiative with Eco-points, bonus points from purchasing energy efficient equipment that can be used to pay for more energy efficient goods, http://eco-points.jp/EP/index.html 33 http://www.infodev.org/en/Article.392.html, http://www.ideawicket.com/ 11
  • 12. ©1986PandasymbolWWF WWF is the world’s largest and most experienced independent conservation organisation, with almost 5 million supporters and a global network active in more than 90 countries WWF’s mission is to stop the degradation of the planet’s natural environment and to build a future in which humans live in harmony with nature, by: - conserving the world’s biological diversity. - ensuring that the use of renewable natural resources is sustainable. - promoting the reduction of pollution and wasteful consumption. Design:Projector A 20th century physical infrastructure (often supporting high carbon solu- tions) Airports, roads, tunnels, bridges, street lamps, parking lots, fueling stations and so on, represent a 20th century infrastruc- ture. It principally delivers high carbon services and investments in this infra- structure can deliver more of the same, or at best marginally improved, high car- bon infrastructure. In order to reach the emission reductions needed to prevent climate change, we need to compare systems of different nature that deliver the same service and include the emis- sions wich may be hidden in infrastruc- ture so that true carbon impacts become visible. A 21st century information infrastruc- ture (often supporting low carbon so- lutions) Fiber optic cables, mobile network ra- dio base stations and servers constitute some elements of a low carbon 21st cen- tury infrastructure. This is the most en- ergy efficient infrastructure ever created as it provides connectivity and moves information instead of atoms. In addi- tion, fixed and mobile broadband allow information to flow at the speed of light around the planet. Investments in this infrastructure can reinforce several differ- ent low carbon solutions that all depend on the same infrastructure such as virtual meetings, smart grids, m-governance, m- health, e-paper, etc. Even though these services might look very different from a user perspective they are all depending on the same 21st century infrastructure. An infrastructure that within ten years will allow tens of billions of connected devices to communicate also enabling a multitude of machine-to-machine (M2M) solutions. This paper is a result of the joint work between Ericsson and WWF Sweden Ericsson is the world’s leading provider of information communication technology and services to telecom operators. For more information: www.ericsson.com and http://www.ericsson.com/ericsson/corporate_responsibility/index.shtml