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1. Weekly Equity Report (23 APR 2012)
Weekly News Hitting Indian Market
 RBI cuts repo rate by 50 bps; CRR left unchanged.
 Govt to kick start stake sales in June.
 Inflation moderates to 6.89% in March.
 Outlook slowly improving but remains fragile: IMF.
 China widens Yuan’s trading band vs. US dollar.
 Rupee ends below 52/USD...Hits new 3-month low.
Weekly trend of the Market
India’s trade gap hit new record high in FY12, worsening the already deteriorating external balance and
weakening the rupee. Despite the FM’s best efforts, the fiscal situation is not quite healthy either.
Everyone’s waiting for further boost from policy action. But, given the political environment one should
not be too optimistic. In fact, a top official in the finance ministry has suggested reforms will happen only
after the next general elections. Therefore, the Indian market could remain volatile in a range for a while
before turning decisively higher again.
The undercurrent will partly be driven by global factors in the interim period. Monsoon will be the next
big event but may not have any big impact on sentiment. Any material fall in global commodities will be a
positive for India. The controversy surrounding the proposed GAAR will remain a major overhang in the
near term along with lack of progress on reforms. While FY12 earnings are mostly discounted, any
meaningful upgrades are some while away. The much-awaited RIL results could also turn out to be a non-
event.

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Weekly Nifty Gainers
COMPANY CURR.RATE VOL PREV.CL CHANGE NET CHG
Tata Motors 316.65 7715.33 289.3 27.35 9.45
Coal India 362.45 1894.84 338.9 23.55 6.95
Hero Moto 2189.3 457.13 2056.55 132.75 6.45
HCL Tech. 505.35 1395.38 478.95 26.4 5.51
Maruti 1390.7 943.9 1322.75 67.95 5.14
Weekly Nifty Losers
COMPANY CURR.RATE VOL PREV.CL CHANGE NET CHG
BHEL 245.40 4504.53 258.50 -13.10 -5.07
IDFC 128.80 5607.24 132.45 -3.65 -2.76
RIL 730.85 3249.22 751.55 -20.70 -2.75
ACC 1226.90 209.58 1258.75 -31.85 -2.53
Ambuja 161.15 1307.93 163.05 -1.90 -1.17
Weekly Nifty pivots
Pivot R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4
Nifty 5749 5590 5431 5360 5272 5201 5113 4954 4795
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Weekly Nifty chart
Weekly BANK Nifty chart
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