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Stock market special report by epic research 18th july 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
18th
JULY 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 fell 0.3%. Mixed
earnings reports and Wednesday's gains - the biggest in
three months - bred caution among investors
Asian equities dipped on Thursday, giving up earlier mod-
est gains as Chinese shares fell, while the euro probed
recent lows against the dollar amid speculation the U.S.
Federal Reserve was tilting towards tighter monetary pol-
icy. Japan's Nikkei and Hong Kong's Hang Seng ended
flat with a negative bias. In addition, China’s Shanghai
Composite Index dipped 0.5%. On the other hand, Singa-
pore's Straits Times rose 0.7%.
Wall Street Update
US stocks sank on Thursday, with the S&P 500 posting its
biggest one-day percentage drop since April 10 on news
that a Malaysian Airlines passenger jet crashed near the
Ukraine-Russia border. Investors sold stocks in a move to
avoid risk and poured money into safe-haven invest-
ments like gold and US government bonds as the crash
stoked concerns that the conflict in Ukraine might widen
after US sanctions against Russia were announced late
Wednesday.
The Dow Jones industrial average fell 161.39 points or
0.94 percent, to end at 16,976.81. The S&P 500 lost 23.45
points or 1.18 percent, to 1,958.12. The Nasdaq Compos-
ite dropped 62.52 points or 1.41 percent, to 4,363.45.
Previous day Roundup
The benchmark indices ended flat amid choppy trades
after investors turned cautious and booked profits at
higher levels. Losses in financials and oil and gas shares
capped gains. The market was ranged in today's trade
with metals and pharma attracting good buyers. The Sen-
sex ended up 11.44 points at 25561.16 and the Nifty was
up 16.05 points at 7640.45. About 1731 shares have ad-
vanced, 1200 shares declined, and 111 shares are un-
changed.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial
indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [up
177.65pts], Capital Goods [up 182.21pts], PSU [up
73.35pts], FMCG [up 22.92pts], Realty [down 15.60pts],
Power [up 51.98pts], Auto [down 25.24pts], Healthcare
[up 67.42pts], IT [up 6.98Pts], Metals [up 319.62pts],
TECK [up 10.76 pts], Oil& Gas [down 45.46pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
D J l 16976.81 -0.94
S&P 500 1958.12 -1.18
NASDAQ 4363.45 -1.41
EURO STO 3157.82 -1.41
FTSE 100 6738.32 -0.68
Nikkei 225 15206.74 -1.06
Hong Kong 23386.91 -0.57
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
TATAPOWER 108.85 3.90 3.72
GRASIM 3,370.00 106.75 3.27
KOTAKBANK 913.20 28.15 3.18
ACC 1,479.50 43.90 3.06
HINDALCO 187.80 5.50 3.02
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
M&M 1,182.00 40.05 -3.28
IDFC 159.20 4.05 -2.48
BAJAJ-AUTO 2,087.10 50.00 -2.34
DLF 221.70 3.75 -1.66
ONGC 411.10 5.00 -1.20
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ADANI PORTS 284.3 3.30 +1.17
APOLLOHOSP 1103.85 48.9 +4.64
HINDALCO 187.8 5.50 +3.02
MCX 790.60 40.45 +5.39
TATACHEM 338.8 0.80 +0.24
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 7640.45 +16.05 +0.21
SENSEX 25561.16 +11.44 +0.04
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
2. DAILY REPORT
18th
JULY 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. IRB INFRA FUTURE
IRB INFRA future is looking strong on charts, long build up
has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above
276 levels. We advise buying around 276-277 levels with
strict stop loss of 271 for the targets of 281-286.
2. VOLTAS FUTURE
VOLTAS FUTURE looking strong on charts, long build up has
been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above
213 levels. We advise buying around 213-214 levels with
strict stop loss of 208 for the targets of 219-224
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. SONATA SOFT
SONATA SOFT ascending triangle on daily chart. We advise
buying around 78.50 level with strict stop loss 77 for the
targets of 80-81.50
MACRO NEWS
Bajaj Auto disappointed street with the Q1 net profit ris-
ing marginally to Rs 740 crore compared to Rs 737.7 crore
in same quarter last year, dented by weak operational
performance and higher depreciation charge.
AdaniPorts obtained environment and coastal regulation
zone nod for Mundra SEZ, removing a major overhang.
Lakshmi Vilas Bank Q1 net profit jumped 11% at Rs
28.15cr. Its total income moved to Rs 587.12cr from Rs
532.45cr in year-ago period. On asset quality front, its
gross non-performing assets ratio improved to 3.96% Vs
the 5.27% in June 2013 and 4.19% in March 2014.
The DERC on Thursday approved a power tariff hike of up
to 9.52% in the national capital. DERC approved a hike of
8.32% in the case of BRPL, BYPL, TPDDL for FY15. A hike of
8.3% was agreed on for NTPC.
Department of Disinvestment plans SAIL stake sale in Sep-
tember; ONGC, power companies to follow.
TCS surpassed street expectations on every parameter
with Q1 consolidated net profit at Rs 5,057 crore, down
4.5% as against CNBC-TV18 poll estimates of 11% de-
growth. Net profit in March quarter was Rs 5,296.7cr. Ex-
ceptional gain for the quarter was Rs 489.75cr on account
of change in depreciation policy.
3. DAILY REPORT
18th
JULY 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts
)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 7,600 54 3,11,834 37,71,250
NIFTY PE 7,500 28.7 3,02,611 66,81,000
NIFTY PE 7,400 14.95 1,94,770 53,48,100
BANKNIFTY PE 15,000 139.9 26,146 6,10,950
TCS PE 2,300 24.75 3,696 2,91,250
SBIN PE 2,500 20.35 3,223 2,60,250
INFY PE 3,200 39.65 2,091 2,88,375
IDFC PE 160 5.45 1,700 9,02,000
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 7,700 55.5 3,80,222 54,92,750
NIFTY CE 7,800 24.9 3,18,524 49,62,700
NIFTY CE 7,600 109.5 2,02,580 43,42,200
BANKNIFTY CE 16,000 40.8 26,019 5,89,575
SBIN CE 2,600 42.5 5,079 3,49,375
INFY CE 3,300 43.15 4,401 5,43,125
TCS CE 2,500 20.1 3,754 3,93,375
RELIANCE CE 1,000 17.05 3,198 11,05,250
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 61531 2350.20 47895 1830.20 344074 13170.89 520.00
INDEX OPTIONS 272731 10404.28 255713 9772.48 1726567 65955.10 631.80
STOCK FUTURES 105162 3877.61 103857 3762.58 1546356 56469.83 115.03
STOCK OPTIONS 71109 2716.33 69561 2652.12 119270 4449.32 64.21
TOTAL 1331.04
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 7,679.22 7,659.83 7,636.27 7,616.88 7,593.32
BANK NIFTY 15,388.28 15,328.67 15,242.33 15,182.72 15,096.38
STOCKS IN NEWS
Results: Zee Entertainment , Reliance Infrastructure ,
RPower, CRISIL, SKF India, Tata Elxsi.
Tata Steel launches Pravesh Doors, wood finish steel
doors for homes. Tata Steel plans to transport steel,
coal via waterways.
Tata Power Solar partners with BajajFin to provide EMI
options on purchase solar power equipments.
NTPC sounds warning as coal stocks near depletion.
NTPC to evaluate 4-5 pvt firms' takeover proposals out
of 34.
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future closed flat in the last trading session. We
advise buying around 7680 level with strict stop loss of
7630 for the targets of 7730-7780
4. DAILY REPORT
18th
JULY 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER SEP ABOVE 45600 TGTS 45800,46100 SL 45300
SELL SILVER SEP BELOW 45250 TGTS 45050,44750 SL 45550
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD AUG ABOVE 28260 TGTS 28340,28440 SL 28160
SELL GOLD AUG BELOW 28050 TGTS 27970,27870 SL 28150
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Soaring gold imports from India are supporting gold prices.
MCX Gold futures rose towards Rs 28000 per 10 gram levels
yesterday as the global prices rallied well above $ 1300per
ounce levels . However, the equities are witnessing some
profit selling in Asia and that kept advances in gold under
check. COMEX Gold quoted at $1305.60 per ounce, up$5.80
per ounce on the day. MCX Gold futures are trading at Rs
27828 per 10 grams, up Rs152 per 10 grams or half a per-
cent on the day.
India’s gold imports jumped in June as the RBI’s decision to
ease some of the heavy curbs on gold imports pushed up
the total gold purchases. After declining for seven months
in a row, India's gold imports in June grew 65.13% to $3.12
billion from $1.88billion in June 2013. The soaring imports
of the precious metal also pushed up the country's trade
deficit to $11.76 billion in June from $11.28 billion in the
same month last year.
Tracking a rising trend in global markets, silver futures
prices today rose by 0.63% to Rs 45,730 per kg as specula-
tors built fresh positions amid covering-up of short posi-
tions. At the MCX, silver for delivery in far-month December
traded higher by Rs 285, or 0.63%, to Rs 45,730 per kg in
business turnover of eight lots. The white metal for delivery
in September was up by Rs 277, or 0.60%, to Rs 44,844 per
kg in a turnover of 681 lots. In the international market,
silver traded higher at $20.79 an ounce in Singapore from
$20.76 yesterday. Besides covering up of short positions by
speculators, a firming trend in the precious metals in the
global market, supported the upside in silver futures here.
Nickel prices moved down by 0.22% to Rs 1,152.90 per kg in
futures trade today as participants reduced their exposures,
tracking a weak trend overseas and sluggish demand from
alloy-makers in the spot market. At MCX nickel for delivery
in July month declined by Rs 2.50, or 0.22%, to Rs 1,152.90
per kg in a turnover of 538 lots. Similarly, the metal for de-
livery in August traded lower by Rs 2.90 or 0.22%, to Rs
1,159.20 per kg in 32 lots. The fall in nickel prices at futures
trade to a weak trend in metal at the London Metal Ex-
change (LME) and low demand from alloy-makers at do-
mestic spot markets also influenced prices.
5. DAILY REPORT
18th
JULY 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA AUG ABOVE 12000 TGTS 12030,12080 SL
11950
SELL DHANIYA AUG BELOW 11830 TGTS 11800,11750 SL
11880
GUARSEED
BUY GUARSEED AUG ABOVE 5495 TGTS 5525,5575 SL 5445
SELL GUARSEED AUG BELOW 5425 TGTS 5395,5345 SL 5475
NCDEX
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Castor Seed 4130 +0.17
Chana 2792 +0.61
Coriander 11369 -0.34
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1693 -0.70
Guarseed 5330 -3.96
Jeera 11510 +0.48
Mustard seed 3590 +0.56
Soy Bean 3985 +0.33
Sugar M Grade 2999 0.00
Turmeric 6234 +0.10
NCDEX ROUNDUP
The revival of monsoon rains in the grain bowl of northwest
and central regions should help speed up sowing of main
summer crops such as rice, corn, soybean and cotton.
Cardamom prices rose further by Rs 6.90 to Rs 935 per kg in
futures trade yesterday as speculators created fresh posi-
tions, supported by rising demand in spot markets. At MCX
cardamom for delivery in August rose Rs 6.90, or 0.74%, to
Rs 935 per kg in business turnover of 228 lots. Similarly, the
spice for delivery in September traded higher by Rs 5.60, or
0.61%, to Rs 913 per kg in 39 lots. Fresh positions created
by speculators following pick up in demand in the spot mar-
kets against restricted arrivals from producing regions
mainly led to the rise in cardamom prices at futures trade.
Uneven distribution of monsoon rainfall, after a month of
delay, has started affecting kharif crops, with the price of
pulses up 11% so far this month. Data from the Union minis-
try of food showed the price of moong dal in the wholesale
Delhi market was Rs 80 a kg on Wednesday, compared with
Rs 70 a kg on July 1. Urad dal was Rs 70 a kg from Rs 64 a kg
in the period. Chana dal in the retail Delhi market was Rs
45.50 a kg on Wednesday from Rs 38 a kg on July 1.
Tea prices in South India have declined by 13.5% to Rs 90
per kg between January and May 2014 as against Rs 104 per
kg in the corresponding period last year despite lower pro-
duction due to extreme weather conditions during this pe-
riod.
6. DAILY REPORT
18th
JULY 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
JPY/INR
BUY JPY/ INR ABOVE 59.51 TGTS 59.66, 59.81 SL 59.31.
SELL JPY/INR BELOW 59.22 TGTS 59.07, 58.92 SL 59.42.
GBP/INR
SELL GBP/INR BELOW 102.97 TGTS 102.82, 102.67 SL 103.17.
BUY GBP/INR ABOVE 103.28 TGTS 103.43, 103.58 SL 103.08.
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
The Japanese yen, Swiss franc, gold and German govern-
ment bonds all rose in early European trade after what has
been a subdued session in Asia.
The rupee fell marginally by two paise to 60.14 against the
dollar in early trade on Thursday on increased demand for
the US currency from banks and importers.
The dollar weakened against most major currencies on
Thursday after a Malaysian Airplanes plane crashed in
Ukraine along the Russian border, with reports the aircraft
was shot down sending investors avoiding the greenback in
favor of safe-haven assets like gold. The dollar was down
against the yen. and down against the Swiss franc, with
USD/CHF down 0.09% at 0.8974. The greenback was up
against the pound. The dollar was mixed against its cousins
in Canada, Australia and New Zealand, with USD/CAD up
0.10% at 1.0753, AUD/USD up 0.02% at 0.9370 and NZD/
USD down 0.26% at 0.8689. The US Dollar Index, which
tracks the performance of the greenback versus a basket of
six other major currencies, was down 0.07% at 80.56.
The yen marched to a five-month high versus the euro and
rallied against the dollar on Friday, as news of a Malaysian
airliner being downed over Ukraine and escalating conflict
in Gaza boosted the safe-haven currency. U.S. crude oil
jumped by more than $2 on Thursday after a Malaysian air-
liner was shot down over eastern Ukraine. U.S. Treasury
prices rose on Thursday as investors sought a safe haven
after news a Malaysian passenger plane came down over
eastern Ukraine, an area of increasing conflict between the
government and pro-Moscow rebels.
India's central bank said on Thursday it would conduct a 7-
day term repo auction for 100 billion rupees ($1.66 billion)
on Friday, in order to infuse liquidity into the banking sys-
tem. The reversal of the 4-day term repo will take place on
July 25, the Reserve Bank of India said. Indian banks' refi-
nancing with RBI rises to 315.22 bln rupees. Indian banks'
cash balances with RBI rises to 3.28 trln rupees.
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 60.1401 Yen-100 59.2500
Euro 81.3340 GBP 103.0019
7. DAILY REPORT
18th
JULY 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
17/07/14 MCX GOLD AUG. BUY 27770 27850-27950 27670
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
17/07/14 MCX GOLD AUG. SELL 27560 27480-27380 27660 NOT EXECUTED
17/07/14 MCX SILVER SEP. BUY 44800 45000-45300 44500
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
17/07/14 MCX SILVER SEP. SELL 44400 44200-43900 44700 NOT EXECUTED
17/07/14 NCDEX GUARSEED AUG. BUY 5670 5700-5750 5620 NOT EXECUTED
17/07/14 NCDEX GUARSEED AUG. SELL 5590 5560-5510 5640
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
17/07/14 NCDEX DHANIYA AUG. BUY 12075 12105-12155 12025 BOOKED PROFIT
17/07/14 NCDEX DHANIYA AUG. SELL 11985 11955-11905 12035
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
17/07/14 USD/INR JULY BUY 60.45 60.61-60.76 60.25 NOT EXECUTED
17/07/14 USD/INR JULY SELL 60.16 60.01-59.86 60.36 NOT EXECUTED
17/07/14 EUR/INR JULY SELL 81.44 81.29-81.18 81.64
NO PROFIT NO
LOSS
17/07/14 EUR/INR JULY BUY 81.76 81.91-82.06 81.56 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
17/07/14 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 7680 7730-7780 7630 NOT EXCUTED
17/07/14 SSLT FUTURE BUY 297-300 308-315 292 CALL OPEN
17/07/14 ADANI PORTS FUTURE BUY 282.285 290295 276 CALL OPEN
17/07/14
ASTRA MICRO-
WAVE
CASH BUY 140 142.5-145 137.5
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
8. DAILY REPORT
18th
JULY 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL CONSENSUS FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JULY 14
NONE SCHEDULED
TUESDAY, JULY 15
8:30 AM RETAIL SALES JUNE 0.6% 0.3%
8:30 AM RETAIL SALES EX-AUTOS JUNE 0.6% 0.1%
8:30 AM IMPORT PRICE INDEX JUNE 0.4% 0.1%
8:30 AM EMPIRE STATE INDEX JULY 17.9 19.3
10 AM JANET YELLEN TESTIMONY
10 AM BUSINESS INVENTORIES MAY 0.6% 0.6%
WEDNESDAY, JULY 16
8:30 AM PRODUCER PRICE INDEX JUNE 0.2% -0.2%
9:15 AM INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION JUNE 0.2% 0.6%
9:15 AM CAPACITY UTILIZATION JUNE 79.2% 79.1%
10 AM JANET YELLEN TESTIMONY
10 AM HOME BUILDERS' INDEX JULY 50 49
2 PM BEIGE BOOK
THURSDAY, JULY 17
8:30 AM WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS 7-12 N/A 304,000
8:30 AM HOUSING STARTS JUNE 1.00 MLN 1.00 MLN
10 AM PHILLY FED JULY 16.5 17.8
FRIDAY, JULY 18
9:55 AM UMICH CONSUMER SENTIMENT JULY 82.7 82.5
10 AM LEADING INDICATORS JUNE -- 0.5%