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Special report by epic research 9th october 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
09th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
Asian markets ended weak amid growth concerns in China, the world's second largest economy. Shares in Japan wit- nessed a sell-off dropping to a five-week low amid global growth concerns while the appreciating yen also dampened sentiment for exporters' stocks. The benchmark Nikkei ended down 1.2%. Hang Seng slipped 0.7% and Straits Times dropped 0.5%. However, China's Shanghai Compos- ite ended up 0.8%.
European stocks sank on Wednesday in huge trading vol- umes, extending their week-long selloff and with a bench- mark index hitting its lowest level since mid-August as con- cerns about global economic growth spooked investors. The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares ended 0.8 percent lower at 1,319.12 points. The benchmark has lost 6.5 percent over the past three weeks.
Wall Street Update
Wall Street indices closed up nearly 2 percent overnight as investors cheered the minutes from the Federal Reserve's September 16-17 policy meeting. The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI rose 274.83 points, or 1.64 percent, to 16,994.22, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 33.79 points, or 1.75 percent, to 1,968.89 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 83.39 points, or 1.9 percent, to 4,468.59.
Previous day Roundup
Benchmark shares indices ended lower, amid choppy trades, for the third straight session with IT shares declining the most led by Infosys amid reports of downgrade by global financial services major Citigroup. The 30-share Sen- sex ended down 25 points at 26,247 and the 50-share Nifty closed 10 points lower at 7,843.
In the broader market, the BSE Mid-cap index ended down 0.2% and the Small-cap index ended with marginal gains. Market breadth ended weak with 1,565 losers and 1,339 gainers on the BSE.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [down 32.18pts], Capital Goods [up 224.49pts], PSU [up 123.56pts], FMCG [up 25.94pts], Realty [up 24.34pts], Power [up 21.98pts], Auto [up 101.28pts], Healthcare [down 459.37pts], IT [down 372.14pts], Metals [up 125.44pts], TECK [down 168.74pts], Oil& Gas [up 177.65pts].
World Indices
Index
Value
% Change
D J l
16994.22
+1.64
S&P 500
1968.89
+1.75
NASDAQ
4468.59
+1.90
EURO STO
3053.31
-0.93
FTSE 100
6482.24
-0.21
Nikkei 225
15666.13
+0.45
Hong Kong
23570.46
+1.32
Top Gainers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
DLF
148.40
60.80
4.80
INDUSINDBK
626.95
27.45
4.58
TATASTEEL
457.00
16.85
3.83
BPCL
674.75
24.20
3.72
BHEL
203.00
5.55
2.81
Top Losers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
TECHM
2,395.00
119.10
-4.74
INFY
3,650.25
181.05
-4.73
DRREDDY
2,960.00
139.30
-4.49
WIPRO
590.95
27.55
-4.45
SUNPHARMA
800.50
35.45
-4.24
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
CAIRN
294.40
3.15
1.08
JINDALSTEL
166.50
3.40
2.08
Indian Indices
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
NIFTY
7842.70
-9.70
-0.12
SENSEX
26246.79
-25.18
-0.10
Stocks at 52 Week’s High
Symbol
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
APOLLOTYRE
214.50
5.90
2.83
HINDPETRO
512.10
27.05
5.58
2. DAILY REPORT
09th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. WIPRO [FUTURE]
WIPRO FUTURE is looking weak on charts, short build up
has been seen, we may see more downside, if it sustains
below 600 levels. We advise selling around 595-600 levels
with strict stop loss of 610 for the targets of 585-570 levels.
2. TECH MAHINDRA [FUTURE]
TECH MAHINDRA FUTURE is weak on charts, short build up
has been seen, we may see more downside, if it sustains
below 2400 levels. We advise selling around 2400-2420 lev-els
with strict stop loss of 2450 for the targets of 2370-
2320.
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. KOTLE PATIL
KOLTE PATIL upside on daily chart. We advise buying around
195.50-196 level with strict stop loss 191.50 for the targets
199.50-203.50
MACRO NEWS
The US Congress began investigation into price hikes of 10
select generic drugs.
Government likely to cut diesel prices to coincide with
Diwali.
Telecom commission may meet on October 15. May dis-cuss
spectrum auction, full mobile number portability on
October 15. May take up telecom connectivity to Anda-man
& Nicobar on October 15.
Government keen to keep a ‘small cushion’ if crude prices
rise. Government may not pass on full benefit of profit on
diesel. Government to announce diesel price cut after
counting of Haryana, Maharashtra polls.
Oil marketing companies saw a profit of Rs 1.90/litre in
September 16-October 1 fortnight.
India plans to raise around 50 billion rupees ($813.4 mil-lion)
this fiscal year by selling stakes in companies includ-ing
ITC, Larsen & Toubro and Axis Bank.
The RBI said on Wednesday it accepted all seven bids for
23.22 billion rupees ($377.7 million) at its one-day repo
auction, through which it injects liquidity into the banking
system.
3. DAILY REPORT
09th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Op- tion
Type
Strike Price
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
NIFTY
PE
7,800
66.7
3,24,507
58,67,850
NIFTY
PE
7,700
39.1
2,18,401
52,87,100
NIFTY
PE
7,900
105.8
1,93,079
44,81,350
BANKNIFTY
PE
15,000
120.1
28,255
6,36,075
INFY
PE
3,600
103
3,240
1,84,375
SBIN
PE
2,400
47.9
2,937
1,31,250
RELIANCE
PE
920
10.3
2,506
4,50,000
TCS
PE
2,600
35.45
2,258
1,48,250
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol
Op- tion
Type
Strike Price
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
NIFTY
CE
8,000
57.8
3,68,470
53,46,450
NIFTY
CE
8,100
29.5
2,59,243
60,67,650
NIFTY
CE
7,900
101
2,07,084
22,36,000
BANKNIFTY
CE
16,000
80
30,854
5,57,025
INFY
CE
4,000
25
8,116
5,02,250
SBIN
CE
2,500
36.5
4,817
4,13,500
RELAINCE
CE
940
22.1
4,352
10,67,000
TCS
CE
2,800
34
3,180
2,53,500
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
SELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
32676
1280.97
37630
1476.86
278590
10962.48
-195.89
INDEX OPTIONS
273866
10680.64
271692
10659.32
1551486
60765.79
21.31
STOCK FUTURES
57946
2120.02
74394
2798.99
1192648
42065.18
-678.97
STOCK OPTIONS
58880
2279.37
58228
2257.25
52482
1916.41
22.12
TOTAL
-831.43
INDICES
R2
R1
PIVOT
S1
S2
NIFTY
7,896.93
7,869.82
7,842.78
7,815.67
7,788.63
BANK NIFTY
15,527.43
15,441.62
15,285.98
15,200.17
15,044.53
STOCKS IN NEWS BHEL gets Rs 7,800 crore EPC order. Gets EPC order for 2x660 MW rating supercritical power project. NTPC has Coal shortage at Dadri, Singrauli power units. IFCI puts Blue Coast Hotels in Goa on block. L&T deny that Blackstone is buying stake in company’s Chandigarh mall. Hathway Cable & Datacom - Macquarie Bank buys 40.73 lakh shares at Rs 305/share -Route One Fund sells 39.5 lakh shares at Rs 305/share.
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future closed flat the last trading session. We ad- vise selling around 7800 with strict stop loss 7850 the targets of 7750-7700
4. DAILY REPORT
09th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER DEC ABOVE 38500 TGTS 38700,39000 SL 38200
SELL SILVER DEC BELOW 38100 TGTS 37900,37600 SL 38400
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD DEC ABOVE 26870 TGTS 26950,27050 SL 26790
SELL GOLD DEC BELOW 26670 TGTS 26590,26500 SL 26770
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
MCX Gold futures approached Rs 27000 per 10 grams as the global prices extended theirbreak well above $1200 per ounce. Gold sank to near four year lows in first week ofOctober, wiping out its entire gains for 2014. The bench- mark global futures on the COMEX fell to $1190 per ounce – down more than $150 per ounce since topping out athighs near $1350 per ounce in the middle of July 2014. However, bargain buying emerged inthe commodity this week and yesterday saw the prices edging higher amid a massive sell offin the US stocks. The COMEX Gold futures are currently quoting at $1216.90 per ounce, up$4.50 per ounce on the day. MCX Gold futures are trading at Rs 26944 per 10 grams, up Rs134 per 10 grams or half a per- cent on the day.
Copper prices were non-committal towards any particular side, buying or selling on the moves on Wednesday. The prices have been suffering from lack of ideal volumes and have seen trader's general lack of interest. The general de- jection of industrial production numbers from Germany remained holding the traders to create any significant moves in Copper. Indian Copper was trading at Rs 415.85 per kg, up only by 0.12%. The prices tested a high of Rs 416.15 per kg and a low of Rs 413.7 per kg. On the lower side the supports of Rs 412 per kg is still intact in Copper. The higher side is capped at Rs 420 per kg.
Lead prices slipped by 0.09% to Rs 128.65 per kg in futures trading yesterday as speculators reduced positions due to sluggish demand from battery-makers in the spot market amidst a weak global trend. At the Multi Commodity ex- change, lead for delivery in October fell by 10 paise, or 0.09%, to Rs 128.65 per kg in a business turnover of 200 lots. The metal for delivery in November slipped marginally by 5 paise, or 0.04%, to Rs 129.55 per kg in just one lot. Besides the sluggish demand from battery-makers in the spot market, a weak trend in base metals at the LME on demand concerns after the IMF trimmed its global growth forecast, mainly kept pressure on lead prices at futures trade.
Zinc prices moved down by 0.28% to Rs 142.50 per kg in futures market yesterday as speculators offloaded their positions in tandem with a weak global trend. At the Multi Commodity exchange, zinc for delivery in October moved down by 40 paise, or 0.28% to Rs 142.50 per kg in business turnover of 183 lots.
5. DAILY REPORT
09th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA NOV ABOVE 12260 TGTS 12290,12340 SL 12210
SELL DHANIYA NOV BELOW 12130 TGTS 12100,12050 SL 12180
GUARSGUM
BUY GUARGUM NOV ABOVE 16750 TGTS 16800,16900 SL 16660
SELL GUARGUM NOV BELOW 16610 TGTS 16560,16460 SL 16700
NCDEX
NCDEX ROUNDUP
The total export of oilmeals during April-Sept., 2014 is re- ported at 9.50 lakh tons compared to 16.57 lakh tons i.e. down by 43%. In Sept., 2014 export of oilmeals is reported just at 0.82 lakh tons compared to 3.01 lakh tons in Sept., 2013 i.e. down by 73%. Export of soybean meal greatly re- duced in last 6 months due to lower crop than expected resulted in to high cost of soybean in local market. This lead to total disparity for soybean meal in international market. Brighter side is the share of rapeseed meal has increased from 4.17 lakh tonnes to 5.72 lakh tonnes in last 6 months.
Steady trend was seen in chana futures due to possibility of weak production in the current year coupled with limited kharif pulses supplies in local mandies. The NCDEX futures swelled by 0.28 percent yesterday. Crop diversification by cultivators coupled with poor reserviour situation will re- duce the chana acreage in the current year. Traders are ex- pecting 10-15% decline in total acreage in the current year. The prices were also encouraged by limited kharif supplies in local mandies. As per the 1st Advance Estimates of Pro- duction of major Kharif crops for 2014-15 by the Depart- ment of Agriculture & Cooperation, the Kharif Pulses pro- duction is estimated at 5.20 million tonnes as against their production of 6.02 million tonnes during Kharif 2013-14. This is mainly due to poor sowing acreage in the current year. The NCDEX futures increased by 0.24 percent to close at Rs 2854 per quintal. The open interest added 0.80 per- cent indicating fresh buying by traders.
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
CASTOR SEED
4417
+0.59
CHANA
2767
+0.22
CORIANDER
11790
-0.35
COTTON SEED
1394
+1.75
GAUR SEED
5745
+2.06
JEERA
10665
-0.70
MUSTARDSEED
3617
-0.28
SOYBEAN
3023
+0.67
TURMERIC
6048
+0.97
6. DAILY REPORT
09th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
GBP/INR
SELL GBP-INR BELOW 98.5500 TGT 98.3500,98.0000 SL 98.8000
BUY GBP-INR ABOVE 98.7000 TGT 98.9000,99.2000 SL 98.4500
EUR/INR
BUY EUR-INR ABOVE 77.7000 TGT 77.9000,78.1000 SL 77.4500
SELL EUR-INR BELOW 77.5500 TGT 77.3500,76.9500 SL 77.8000
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
The dollar languished at two-week lows early on Thursday, having fallen for a third straight session after minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve's last policy meeting prompted markets to push out the likely timing of an interest rate rise.
The dollar index .DXY slid to 85.198, retreating further from a four-year peak of 86.746 set on Friday. The euro jumped to $1.2733 EUR= and was now more than two cents off a two-year trough.
U.S. Treasury yields fell sharply as did the implied rates on Fed fund futures <0#FF:> with the market not seeing any appreciable rise in the Fed's target rate until around Sep- tember 2015, from June 2015 previously. With the U.S. dol- lar on the back foot, commodity currencies continued to recover. The Australian dollar, for example, hit a two-week high of $0.8852 AUD=D4 and was well off last week's four- year low of $0.8642.
The Indian rupee gained for a third straight session on Wednesday, largely on the back of heavy foreign fund buy- ing of domestic debt while the International Monetary Fund's upward revision in the country's growth outlook also aided sentiment. The IMF raised India's growth forecast for the fiscal year to March 2015 to 5.6 percent from 5.4 per- cent, while trimming its global growth forecast. Most emerging Asian currencies, however, fell on Wednesday with Indonesia's rupiah at its weakest in more than eight months as concerns over slowing global growth hurt risk assets.
The partially convertible rupee closed at 61.3950/4050 per dollar compared with 61.43/44 on Tuesday. The rupee had touched 61.3025 on Tuesday, its strongest level since Sept. 26. Foreign banks were likely buying domestic debt on be- half of overseas funds on expectations the foreign invest- ment limit in government debt will be raised soon. In the offshore non-deliverable forwards, the one-month contract was at 61.78 while the three-month was at 62.41.
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate
Currency
Rate
Rupee- $
61.7511
Yen-100
56.2400
Euro
77.9546
GBP
100.0677
7. DAILY REPORT
09th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency Pairs
Contract
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
08/10/14
MCX GOLD
OCT.
BUY
26870
26950-27050
26790
BOOKED PROFIT
08/10/14
MCX GOLD
OCT.
SELL
26730
26650-26550
26820
NO PROFIT NO LOSS
08/10/14
MCX SILVER
DEC.
BUY
38650
38850-39150
38350
BOOKED PROFIT
08/10/14
MCX SILVER
DEC.
SELL
38300
38100-37800
38600
NO PROFIT NO LOSS
08/10/14
NCDEX GUARGUM
OCT.
BUY
16250
16300-16400
16160
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
08/10/14
NCDEX GUARGUM
OCT.
SELL
16130
16080-15980
16220
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
08/10/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
OCT.
BUY
11940
11970-12020
11890
NOT EXECUTED
08/10/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
OCT.
SELL
11755
11725-11675
11805
BOOKED PROFIT
08/10/14
GBP/INR
OCT.
BUY
98.70
98.90-99.20
98.45
NO PROFIT NO LOSS
08/10/14
GBP/INR
OCT.
SELL
98.55
98.35-98.00
98.80
NOT EXECUTED
08/10/14
EUR/INR
OCT.
SELL
77.28
77.08-76.80
77.52
NOT EXECUTED
08/10/14
EUR/INR
OCT.
BUY
77.40
77.60-77.90
77.15
BOOKED PROFIT
Date
Scrip
CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
08/10/14
NIFTY
FUTURE
SELL
7860-7850
7800-7750
7910
SL TRIGGERED
08/10/14
IRB
FUTURE
SELL
224-225
222-218
228
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
08/10/14
LIC HOUSING
FUTURE
SELL
312-310
305-300
318
CALL OPEN
08/10/14
FRL
CASH
SELL
112-111.5
110.5-108.5
114
SL TRIGGERED
07/10/14
BATAINDIA
FUTURE
BUY
1390-1400
1420-1440
1370
SL TRIGGERED
8. DAILY REPORT
09th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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Disclaimer
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUS FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, OCT. 06
10 AM
LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS INDEX
SEPT.
--
6.3 (MAY)
TUESDAY, , OCT. 07
10 AM
JOB OPENINGS
AUG.
--
4.7 MLN
3 PM
CONSUMER CREDIT
AUG.
--
$26 BLN
WEDNESDAY, OCT. 08
2 PM
FOMC MINUTES
THURSDAY, OCT. 09
8:30 AM
WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS
OCT. 4
N/A
N/A
10 AM
WHOLESALE INVENTORIES
AUG.
--
0.1%
FRIDAY, OCT. 10
8:30 AM
IMPORT PRICE INDEX
SEPT.
-0.5%
-0.9%
2 PM
FEDERAL BUDGET
SEPT.
$75 BLN