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Special report by epic research 8th october 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
08th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
A key European equity index dropped to a 1 1/2-month low on Tuesday as the IMF cut its growth estimates for the euro zone's three largest economies and German industrial out- put data disappointed. The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares ended 1.5 percent lower at 1,329.76 points, its lowest level since Aug. 18. All sectoral constitu- ents of the STOXX Europe 600 index closed lower.
Asian shares declined on Wednesday following a global rout overnight with focus on Shanghai as markets resumed trade following a week-long holiday. Japan's Nikkei plunged 1.36% or 214.37 points at 15,569.46. Singapore's Straits Times declined 0.53 percent or 17.16 points at 3,226.83.
Wall Street Update
U.S. stocks ended sharply lower on Tuesday, with major indexes falling 1 percent in heavy trading, as weak data out of Germany raised concerns about the strength of global growth ahead of the start of earnings season. The Interna- tional Monetary Fund cut its global economic growth fore- casts for the third time this year, suggesting the environ- ment remains difficult for companies, especially ones with multinational exposure.
Previous day Roundup
Equity benchmarks fell more than a percent to close near two-month low on Tuesday, continuing southward journey for the second trading session of the October month, weighed down by global jitters. Likely slowdown in China, Germany’s weak industrial output data and fears of US rate hike dampened sentiment across the globe.
The market was opened for trade today after a long week- end (of five-day). The 30-share BSE Sensex lost 296.02 points or 1.11 percent to 26271.97 and the 50-share NSE Nifty closed below the 7900 level, down 93.15 points or 1.17 percent to 7852.40 due to fall in capital goods, metals, healthcare, and banking and financials stocks. About 1120 shares advanced while 1762 shares declined on the BSE.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [down 168.24pts], Capital Goods [down 252.62pts], PSU [down 93.29pts], FMCG [down 37.28pts], Realty [down pts], Power [down pts], Auto [down 147.17pts], Healthcare [down 265.21pts], IT [down 88.70pts], Metals [down 301.48pts], TECK [down 39.82pts], Oil& Gas [down 72.82pts].
World Indices
Index
Value
% Change
D J l
16719.39
-1.60
S&P 500
1935.10
-1.51
NASDAQ
4385.20
-1.56
EURO STO
3082.10
-1.80
FTSE 100
6495.58
-1.04
Nikkei 225
15554.37
-1.45
Hong Kong
23245.36
-0.76
Top Gainers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
NTPC
141.30
2.25
1.62
GAIL
444.00
5.10
1.16
POWERGRID
137.40
1.45
1.07
TATAPOWER
81.55
0.75
0.93
WIPRO
619.70
3.95
0.64
Top Losers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
DLF
141.85
8.55
-5.68
NMDC
157.65
9.30
-5.57
JINDALSTEL
162.40
8.40
-4.92
HINDALCO
147.65
7.60
-4.90
SSLT
258.75
12.15
-4.49
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
CAIRN
291.05
-12.70
-4.18
ESSDEE
370.30
-24.70
-6.25
JINDALSTEL
162.40
-8.40
-4.92
Indian Indices
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
NIFTY
7852.40
-93.15
-1.17
SENSEX
26271.97
-296.02
-1.11
Stocks at 52 Week’s High
Symbol
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
AUROPHARMA
996.55
30.30
3.14
BATAINDIA
1,394.55
2.35
0.17
HCLTECH
1,737.00
-3.15
-0.18
INFY
3,833.90
-13.40
-0.35
TCS
2,730.90
-44.70
-1.61
2. DAILY REPORT
08th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. IRB INFRA [FUTURE]
IRB FUTURE is looking weak on charts, short build up has
been seen, we may see more downside, if it sustains below
225 levels. We advise selling around 224-225 levels with
strict stop loss of 228 for the targets of 222-218.
2. LIC HOUSING [FUTURE]
LIC HOUSING FUTURE is weak on charts, short build up has
been seen, we may see more downside, if it sustains below
310 levels. We advise selling around 312-310 levels with
strict stop loss of 318 for the targets of 305-300.
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. RAJESH EXPORT
RAJESH EXPORT closed down on daily chart. We advise sell-ing
round 126-125 level with strict stop loss 129 for the
targets 123-121
MACRO NEWS
Maruti Suzuki notched up domestic passenger vehicle
sales of 99,290 in September. 9.8 percent higher than the
90,399 units sold in the same month last year.
Of Ambani's 3 main private operating companies, Reliance
Gas & Transportation, the gas pipeline company, widened
its loss to a record high of Rs 3,400 crore in fiscal 2014
from Rs 900 crore loss in FY2013, as gas production from
RIL's Krishna Godavari basin fell over the years.
The government will borrow 2.4 trillion rupees ($39.25
billion) in October-March, less than the 2.48 trillion ru-pees
called for in the government budget announced in
July .
Infosys kicks off July-September earnings season on Oct.
10.
Foreign investors sold shares worth 4.86 billion rupees
($78.7million) on Tuesday, marking their five session of
sales out of past six.
Banks request clarity on tax treatment over bonds under
Basel III norms.
Oil Ministry cuts natural gas supplies to small industry in
Gujarat
JSW Steel in talks to buy stake in London Mining.
3. DAILY REPORT
08th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Op- tion
Type
Strike Price
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
NIFTY
PE
7,900
113.85
2,53,823
44,99,750
NIFTY
PE
7,800
73.65
2,50,325
64,57,550
NIFTY
PE
7,700
45.15
1,79,302
51,84,450
BANKNIFTY
PE
15,000
194
25,011
6,19,525
SBIN
PE
2,400
71.8
3,193
1,10,375
INFY
PE
3,700
80
2,137
1,57,375
TCS
PE
2,700
51.3
1,322
80,000
DLF
PE
140
5.75
1,608
10,04,000
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol
Op- tion
Type
Strike Price
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
NIFTY
CE
8,000
59.6
3,03,638
46,76,850
NIFTY
CE
8,100
31.75
2,80,765
54,53,300
NIFTY
CE
8,200
15.3
2,25,071
55,25,200
BANKNIFTY
CE
16,000
55
37,178
5,84,200
SBIN
CE
4,000
57.75
5,161
4,83,250
INFY
CE
2,500
25
4,521
4,04,875
RELAINCE
CE
940
17
3,041
8,22,500
DLF
CE
160
1.9
2,231
26,72,000
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
SELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
41932
1651.45
38067
1499.27
292208
11480.27
152.17
INDEX OPTIONS
260031
10236.39
260160
10233.23
1536288
60211.10
3.16
STOCK FUTURES
49922
1877.66
59732
2181.55
1188652
41685.47
-303.89
STOCK OPTIONS
47175
1778.26
46715
1752.73
48414
1773.73
25.53
TOTAL
-123.02
INDICES
R2
R1
PIVOT
S1
S2
NIFTY
7,979.73
7,916.07
7,879.38
7,815.72
7,779.03
BANK NIFTY
15,414.42
15,297.33
15,227.52
15,110.43
15,040.62
STOCKS IN NEWS IVRCL to sell Chennai-based plant to cut debt. Aurobindo Pharma becomes fifth most valuable pharma firm. Canara Bank -To raise Rs 1,500 crore via additional tier- I bonds Essar Oil seeks shareholders’ nod for borrowing limit up to Rs 50,000 crore Gail India says not contemplating buying any LNG ship on own or via Shipping Corporation of India NTPC is looking at acquiring 8 power projects.
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future closed downside the last trading session. We advise selling around 7860-7850 with strict stoploss 7910 the targets of 7800-7750
4. DAILY REPORT
08th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER DEC ABOVE 38650 TGTS 38850,39150 SL 38350
SELL SILVER DEC BELOW 38300 TGTS 38100,37800 SL 38600
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD DEC ABOVE 26870 TGTS 26950,27050 SL 26790
SELL GOLD DEC BELOW 26730 TGTS 26650,26550 SL 26820
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Silver prices rose 0.23% to Rs 38,575 per kg in futures trade yesterday as speculators enlarged positions even as the metal strengthened overseas. At the MCX silver for deliv- ery in December traded higher by Rs 87, or 0.23%, to Rs 38,575 per kg in a business turnover of 846 lots. Similarly, the white metal for delivery in March traded higher by Rs 62, or 0.16%, at Rs 39,193 per kg in a turnover of 10 lots. In the international market, silver fell 0.30% to trade at $17.28 an ounce in Singapore. It had climbed three% in yesterday's trade, the most since June. Fresh positions built-up by speculators helped silver futures to trade higher but a weak trend overseas capped the rise.
Crude oil slipped yet again on worries over Chinese de- mand and a continued array of poor economic releases in the Euro zone. Prices had edged up in Asian trades amid mixed equities but the mini rally was mostly thin and the commodity failed to hold onto highs near $90.60 per barrel for the WTI futures. The counter dropped more than half a dollar from these levels to quote at $89.93 per barrel, down 41 cents per barrel on the day.
Amid subdued demand at domestic spot markets, zinc fell by 0.25% to Rs 142.45 as participants reduced their posi- tions. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, zinc for delivery in November traded lower by 35 paise, or 0.25%, to Rs 142.45 per kg, with a business turnover of 10 lots. The metal for delivery in current month fell 30 paise, or 0.21%, to Rs 141.85 per kg in a business volume of 283 lots. The fall in zinc prices at futures trade was mostly in tandem with a weak trend at domestic spot markets due to sub- dued demand though the metals' gain overseas, limited the fall.
Gold prices fell by 0.16% to Rs 26,678 per ten grams in fu- tures trade yesterday as speculators indulged in trimming positions in tandem with a weak global trend. At MCX, gold for delivery in Dec fell by Rs 43, or 0.16%, to Rs 26,678 per ten grams in a business turnover of 409 lots. Similarly, the metal for delivery in February 2014 contracts lost Rs 21, or 0.08%, to Rs 26,883 per ten grams in a business turnover of just one lot. Analysts attributed the fall in gold futures to trimming of positions by speculators in tandem with a weak global trend as the dollar advanced towards a four- year high, reducing demand for precious metals as an al- ternative investment. Meanwhile, gold fell 0.4% to $1,203.02 an ounce in Singapore in early trade yesterday.
5. DAILY REPORT
08th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA OCT BELOW 11940 TGTS 11970,12020 SL 11890
SELL DHANIYA OCT BELOW 11755 TGTS 11725,11675 SL 11805
GUARSGUM
BUY GUARGUM OCT ABOVE 16250 TGTS 16300,16400 SL 16160
SELL GUARGUM OCT BELOW 16130 TGTS 16080,15980 SL 16220
NCDEX
NCDEX ROUNDUP
The Water Storage available in 85 important reservoirs of the country as on October 01,2014 was 121.396 BCM which is 78% of total storage capacity of these reservoirs. This storage is 91% of the storage of corresponding period of last year and 102% of storage of average of last ten years.
Coriander prices were down by Rs 186 to Rs 11,860 per quintal in futures trade yesterday as speculators booked profits at existing higher levels on weakening spot market trend. Besides, subdued demand against increased stocks in the spot market on persistent supplies led to the fall in cori- ander prices at futures trade. At the MCX coriander prices for delivery in October fell by Rs 186, or 1.54%, to Rs 11,860 per quintal with open interest of 13,560 lots. The price for November delivery declined by Rs 166, or 1.33%, to Rs 12,283 per quintal with open interest of 36,460 lots. Low demand against increased stocks in the spot markets on persistent supplies led to the fall in coriander prices at fu- tures trade.
Crude palm oil futures eased by 0.67% to Rs 456.90 per 10 kg after speculators booked profits at prevailing levels amid subdued spot demand. At MCX crude palm oil for delivery in November declined by Rs 3.10, or 0.67%, to Rs 456.90 per 10 kg in a business turnover of 368 lots. The oil for delivery in October fell by Rs 2.30, or 0.49%, to Rs 462.60 per 10 kg in 100 lots. Besides profit-booking by speculators at existing higher levels, subdued demand in the spot market and a weak trend overseas influenced crude palm oil futures
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
CASTOR SEED
4395
-2.72
CHANA
2760
-0.33
CORIANDER
11776
-2.24
COTTON SEED
1367
-1.87
GAUR SEED
5629
+3.99
JEERA
10745
+1.03
MUSTARDSEED
3628
0.00
SOYBEAN
3005
-0.60
TURMERIC
2998
+0.87
6. DAILY REPORT
08th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
GBP/INR
SELL GBP-INR BELOW 98.55000 TGT 98.3500,98.0000 SL 98.8000
BUY GBP-INR ABOVE 98.7000 TGT 98.9000,99.2000 SL 98.4500
EUR/INR
BUY EUR-INR ABOVE 77.4000 TGT 77.6000,77.9000 SL 77.1500
SELL EUR-INR BELOW 77.2800 TGT 77.0800,76.8000 SL 77.5200
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
The Indian rupee rose to a more than one-week high on Tuesday on bunched-up dollar inflows following a five-day weekend but losses in the domestic share market and de- mand for the greenback from importers prevented further gains. The market would continue to remain range bound in the absence of any major clues in the near-term. The key retail and wholesale price inflation data is due to be re- leased only next week, keeping markets in a tight range this week, they added.
The partially convertible rupee closed at 61.43/44 per dollar compared with 61.61/62 on Wednesday. The rupee earlier rose as high as 61.3025, its strongest level since Sept. 26.
Financial markets were closed from Thursday to Monday for local holidays.
Emerging Asian currencies rebounded on Tuesday, thanks to the dollar's broad weakness and as the yen rose after Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe mentioned the disad- vantages of a weaker currency for the economy. In the off- shore non-deliverable forwards, the one-month contract was at 61.83 while the three-month was at 62.45.
The dollar decline itself was one reason why the rupee started on a firm note. In fact most emerging market cur- rencies did see a bit of a rebound versus the dollar at least in early morning trades. Post noon, the dollar started to strengthen vis-à-vis the euro and the yen but up until noon and a little later than that the dollar was weakening and so most emerging market currencies were strengthening, ru- pee included.
Rupee had the added advantage of bunched up inflows, which could not come in over the last six days. Contrary to what was witnessed in the equity markets, the currency markets actually saw foreign institutional investors (FIIs) selling dollars which means they are buying rupee to enter into other investments in India. There could have been a large proportion of debt FIIs as some USD 400 million FII debt limits had been auctioned on October 1.
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate
Currency
Rate
Rupee- $
61.3595
Yen-100
56.5000
Euro
77.4664
GBP
98.7090
8. DAILY REPORT
08th OCTOBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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Disclaimer
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUS FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, OCT. 06
10 AM
LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS INDEX
SEPT.
--
6.3 (MAY)
TUESDAY, , OCT. 07
10 AM
JOB OPENINGS
AUG.
--
4.7 MLN
3 PM
CONSUMER CREDIT
AUG.
--
$26 BLN
WEDNESDAY, OCT. 08
2 PM
FOMC MINUTES
THURSDAY, OCT. 09
8:30 AM
WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS
OCT. 4
N/A
N/A
10 AM
WHOLESALE INVENTORIES
AUG.
--
0.1%
FRIDAY, OCT. 10
8:30 AM
IMPORT PRICE INDEX
SEPT.
-0.5%
-0.9%
2 PM
FEDERAL BUDGET
SEPT.
$75 BLN