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Special report by epic research 3 march 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
03rd MARCH. 2014
Global markets at a glance
European shares initially dipped as euro zone inflation
data came in at 0.8 percent, 1/10th of a percentage point
above expectations, lessening the prospect of new monetary stimulus measures from the ECB. The pan-European
FTSEurofirst 300 index .FTEU3 subsequently closed up 0.22
percent at 1,348.39.
Japan's Nikkei share average dropped for a third day on
Friday as investors remained cautious amid tensions in
Ukraine, while a stronger yen weighed on risk appetite and
dragged down exporters.
World Indices
Index
Value
% Change
16321.71
+0.30
S&P 500
1859.45
+0.28
NASDAQ
EURO STO
FTSE 100
4308.12
3149.23
6809.70
-0.25
+0.48
-0.01
Nikkei 225
Hong Kong
14517.68
22582.52
-2.18
-1.11
DJl
Top Gainers
Company
Wall Street Update
Most stocks on Wall Street surged to record highs on Friday, overcoming jitters about Ukraine and a downward
revision of economic growth. The benchmark S&P 500
stock index rose to record intraday and closing highs on
mostly stronger U.S. economic data.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones industrial average .DJI
closed up 49.06 points, or 0.3 percent, to 16,321.71. The
S&P 500 .SPX gained 5.16 points, or 0.28 percent, to
1,859.45 while the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC dropped
10.814 points, or 0.25 percent, to 4,308.119.
Previous day Roundup
The S&P BSE Sensex provisionally closed near its 5-week
high on Friday, led by gains in TCS, Tata Motors, Sun
Pharma and ONGC. The index touched its highest intra-day
level since Jan. 24 of 21,140.51. The Sensex last closed
above 21k was last month, at 21,133.56 on January 24.
Gains supported by consistent foreign fund inflow as overseas investors have been net buyers of cash shares in each
of the previous 10 sessions, with inflows totaling around
$600 million
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in yesterday’s session. The
sartorial indices performed as follow Consumer Durables
[up pts], Capital Good [up 121.15pts], PSU [up 48.66pts],
FMCG [down 21.71pts], Realty [up 0.26 Pts], power [up
0.92pts], Auto [up 170.83pts], Healthcare [up 240.46pts],
IT [up 139.05pts], Metals [up 84.98pts], TECK [up
69.07pts], Oil& Gas [down 1.73pts].
CMP
Change
% Chg
105.90
7.50
+7.62
2,271.85
89.70
+4.11
LUPIN
998.00
37.85
+3.94
BHEL
168.50
6.10
+3.76
TATAMOTORS
416.20
15.00
+3.74
CMP
Change
% Chg
1592.00
112.15
797.30
344.00
669.00
72.05
3.30
13.40
5.30
8.40
-4.33
-2.86
-1.65
-1.52
-1.24
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
1039
18.45
+1.81
155.60
1.30
+0.84
2906.35
73.15
+2.58
368.95
0.25
+0.07
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
43.75
112.15
0.40
3.30
-0.91
-2.86
CMP
Change
% Chg
6,276.95
+38.15
+0.61
21,120.12
+133.13
+0.63
HINDALCO
TCS
Top Losers
Company
MARUTI
NTPC
RELIANCE
TATASTEEL
HDFCBANK
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol
AJANTPHARM
ARVIND
DRREDDY
GAIL
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol
CENTRALBK
NTPC
Indian Indices
Company
NIFTY
SENSEX
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2. DAILY REPORT
03rd MARCH. 2014
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. BIOCON
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. INDOCO REMEDIES LTD
BIOCON FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up
has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above
460 levels. We advise buying around 460 levels with strict
stoploss 450 for the targets of 468-475 levels.
INDOCO REMEDIES LTD is looking strong on charts. We advise buying on dips around 140-145 levels with strict stop
loss of 130 for the targets of 155-160 levels.
2. HINDALCO
MACRO NEWS
The fiscal deficit in the first ten months of the FY14
crossed the target for the whole year, putting pressure
on cut spending ahead of an election. The fiscal deficit
touched $85.95 bn during April-January, or 101.6% of
the full year target, compared with 89.4 per cent at the
same point a year ago, government data showed on
Friday. In his interim budget on Feb. 17, Finance Minister said the fiscal deficit would not cross 4.6 per cent of
GDP, revising an earlier target of 4.8 per cent. Net tax
receipts were at 5.76 trillion rupees in the first ten
months of the current fiscal year to March 2014, while
total expenditure was 12.7 trillion rupees.
Bombay HC rejects FTIL's plea to stay FMC order.
Sahara chief Subrata Roy arrested in Lucknow.
Third quarter GDP growth of 4.7% released on Friday,
was way short of the 5.2% growth that the Finance Minister had predicted for the December and March quarters, in his Interim Budget Speech last week.
The government has decided to sell 10% of its stake in
the country's biggest refiner and fuel retailer, Indian Oil
Corporation, to upstream oil companies ONGC and OIL
in an off-market deal.
HINDALCO FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build
up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains
above 105 levels. We advise buying around 104-105 levels
with strict stop loss 102 for the targets of 107-109 levels.
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3. DAILY REPORT
FUTURE & OPTION
03rd MARCH. 2014
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Traded
Volume
(Contracts
)
STOCKS IN NEWS
Government approves VRS for employees of Hindustan Photo Films.
NTPC to set up Rs 17K cr power project in M.P.
Tata Power to raise about Rs 2,000 crore through
rights issue.
IOC stake sale priced at 10% discount; government to
get Rs 5,300 crore.
Hinduja Ventures to invest Rs 300 cr. in IndusInd Media.
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
Open
Interest
NIFTY
PE
6,200
53.85
1,59,325 45,83,950
NIFTY
PE
6,300
91.55
1,24,669 24,63,350
NIFTY
PE
6,100
31.05
1,06,898 45,53,350
BANKNIFTY
PE
10,500
125
13,735
2,37,025
SBIN
PE
1,500
33.1
3,092
2,32,500
ZEEL
PE
260
0.05
2,545 11,27,000 NIFTY FUTURE
RELIANCE
PE
800
16
2,125
3,24,750
TCS
PE
2,200
22.3
2,085
83,500
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
NIFTY
CE
6,300
73.85
1,91,861 45,11,450
NIFTY
CE
6,400
34
1,44,270 39,94,450
NIFTY
CE
6,500
13.25
95,002 26,03,550
BANKNIFTY
CE
11,000
135.15
ZEEL
CE
270
0.05
SBIN
CE
1,550
34.25
5,297
TCS
CE
2,300
40.1
4,600
RELIANCE
CE
820
10.35
3,642
17,272
2,42,100
5,613 17,63,000
6,97,750 Nifty Future closed in the green in the last trading ses1,09,125 sion. We advise buying around 6250-6260 levels with
strict stop loss of 6220 for the targets of 6300-6340.
6,63,750
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY
SELL
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of Amount in
No. of Amount in
No. of
Contracts
Crores Contracts
Crores Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
75514
2346.05
79654
2487.97
293714
9059.37
-141.91
INDEX OPTIONS
227442
6895.10
209460
6306.49
1051876
32835.05
588.61
STOCK FUTURES
110794
3565.12
98512
3132.52
1015127
30913.85
432.60
STOCK OPTIONS
40950
1236.28
37609
1144.71
31059
881.40
91.56
TOTAL
970.86
INDICES
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
NIFTY
6207.98
6242.46
6262.58
6297.06
6317.18
NIFTYJUNIOR
12013.5
12096.75
12155.05
12238.3
12296.6
BANK NIFTY
10644.43
10704.56
10749.08
10809.21
10853.73
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4. DAILY REPORT
03rd MARCH. 2014
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 47700 TGTS 47950/48300 SL
47350
SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 47150 TGTS 46900/46550 SL
47500
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 30050 TGTS 29970/29850 SL 30150
SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 30220 TGTS 30300/30420 SL 30120
YOUR MINTVISORY
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Brent oil prices dropped below $109 a barrel as the revised
GDP estimates curbed the demand outlook. But U.S. oil
rose on market talk of decreased supply from the Bakken
shale. Crude oil loadings at a dozen major North Dakota
rail terminals fell by more than 200,000 barrels on average
in the past two days, data from industry intelligence provider Gens cape showed. Ukraine tensions and the new
GDP estimates capped gains. Brent crude rose 11 cents to
settle at $109.07 a barrel. U.S. oil settled up 19 cents at
$102.59. Crude oil futures edged lower during early European trading hours on Friday, as markets eyed the release
of U.S. economic growth data later in the day.
U.S. COMEX gold futures for April delivery settled down
$10.20 at $1,321.60 an ounce. Gold futures slipped lower
on Friday, after Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen
said the bank will continue tapering its monthly bond purchases, while investors eyed the release of U.S. economic
growth data later in the day. When the day ended gold
closed at 1,326.4, down 5.40 (-0.41%) for the day. Gold
was down 1.12% from its high on Monday.
Tracking a firming trend overseas, copper futures prices
rose by 0.14% to Rs 443.70 per kg on Friday as speculators
enlarged positions. Further, pick-up in demand at spot
markets also supported the upside. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, copper for delivery in February up by 60
paisa, or 0.14%, to Rs 443.70 per kg, with a business turnover of 108 lots. Similarly, the metal for delivery in April
traded 50 paisa, or 0.11% higher, at Rs 443.15 per kg, with
a business turnover of 53 lots.
Nickel prices rose by 0.20% to Rs 895 per kg in futures
trading today as speculators enlarged their positions,
tracking a firm trend at spot market on pick up in demand
from alloy-maker. Besides, a firm trend in base metals at
the London Metal Exchange also influenced prices. At the
Multi Commodity Exchange, Nickel for delivery in February
rose by Rs 1.80, or 0.20%, to Rs 895 per kg in business
turnover of 201 lots. On the similar lines, the metal prices
for delivery in March contracts traded higher by Rs 1.40, or
0.16%, to Rs 899.60 per kg in 164 lots.
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5. DAILY REPORT
03rd MARCH. 2014
NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS
GUARGUM
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
Castor Seed
4119
-1.65
Chana
3164
+1.48
Coriander
9386
+0.88
Cotton Seed Oilcake
1522
-0.59
11500
-0.37
Maize– Feed/Industrial
Grade
1218
0.00
Mustard seed
3512
+1.50
Soy Bean
4169
-0.57
Turmeric
6910
-1.00
Jeera
BUY GURAGUM ABOVE 13370 TG 13420, 13500 SL 13280
SELL GURAGUM BELOW 12270 TG 12220 ,12170 SL 12360
DHANIYA
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Supported by pick up in demand in the spot market against
limited arrivals from producing regions, coriander prices
rose by 2.60% to Rs 9,546 per quintal in futures trade today
as speculators enlarged positions. At the National Commodity and Derivative Exchange, coriander for delivery in April
rose by Rs 242, or 2.60% to Rs 9,546 per quintal with an
open interest of 43080 lots. Similarly, the spice for delivery
in May gained Rs 242, or 2.55% to Rs 9,724 per quintal in
28,760 lots.
Soybean prices have risen substantially in a fortnight due to
low supplies and fear of damage to Rabi oilseed
crop because of unseasonal rainfall in Rajasthan, Madhya
Pradesh and Gujarat, traders say. "Soybean supplies have
been declining every day since last week for various reasons
like rainfall and holidays in physical markets among others,"
.Soybean arrivals in Madhya Pradesh on Friday were around
60,000 bags of 100 kg each compared to 85,000 bags a fortnight ago.
BUY DHANIYA ABOVE 9500 TG 9530,9580 SL 9450
SELLDHANIYA BELOW 9320 TG 9290,9240 SL 9370
YOUR MINTVISORY
Sugar prices gained 0.64% to Rs 2,851 per quintal in futures
trade today as speculators created positions, triggered by a
rise in demand in the spot market amid fall in output.
At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, sugar
for delivery in April rose by Rs 18, or 0.64% to Rs 2,851 per
quintal with an open interest of 29,710 lots. Likewise, the
sweetner for delivery in March traded higher by Rs 13, or
0.47% to Rs 2782 per quintal in 25120 lots
Call us at +91-731-6642300
6. DAILY REPORT
03rd MARCH. 2014
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate Currency
Rupee- $
62.0720 Yen-100
Euro
85.0285 GBP
USD/INR
SELL USD/INR BELOW 62.18 TGTS 62.05, 61.92 SL
62.47.
BUY USD/INR ABOVE 62.48 TGTS 62.61, 62.75 SL
62.19.
JPY/INR
Rate
60.9900
103.6106
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
Indian rupee rose on Friday against US dollar. Rupee increased 19 paisa or 0.31% against US dollar to settle at
61.80 compared to previous close of 61.99. It touched a
high of 61.79 and low of 62.14 after opening at 62.10. The
rupee fell by 14 paisa to 62.12 against the dollar in early
trade on Friday at the Interbank Foreign Exchange due to
month-end demand for the American currency from importers, including oil firms. The rupee had lost four paise to
close at 61.98 against the dollar in the previous session on
Wednesday. The forex and money markets remained closed
yesterday for "Mahashivratri".
The euro gained as traders had expected a slower pace of
inflation in the euro zone and subsequent lower interest
rates. The euro rose 0.71 percent to $1.3805, its first time
above $1.38 this year. The dollar slipped against the Japanese yen, falling 0.28 percent 101.82 yen.
The dollar was broadly lower against the other major currencies on Friday, as the release of positive euro zone economic reports supported demand for the single currency,
while demand for the greenback remained under ahead of a
report on economic growth in the U.S.
The dollar was lower against the euro, with EUR/USD up
0.61% to 1.3793. The pound was higher against the dollar,
with GBP/USD rising 0.34% to 1.6745. The dollar was lower
against the yen and the Swiss franc, with USD/JPY slipping
0.27% to 101.83 and with USD/CHF declining 0.68% to
0.8823.
SELL JPY/INR BELOW 60.97 TGTS 60.83, 60.69 SL
61.26.
BUY JPY/INR ABOVE 61.32 TGTS 61.45, 61.59 SL
61.03.
YOUR MINTVISORY
The greenback was steady to lower against the Australian,
New Zealand and Canadian dollars, with AUD/USD down
0.04% to 0.8962, NZD/USD climbing 0.59% to 0.8418 and
USD/CAD inching 0.05% higher to 1.1129. The U.S. dollar
index, which tracks the performance of the greenback versus a basket of six other major currencies, was down 0.54%
to 79.86.
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7. DAILY REPORT
03rd MARCH. 2014
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
28/02/14
MCX GOLD
APR.
BUY
30185
30235-30315
30100
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
28/02/14
MCX GOLD
APR.
SELL
30005
29955-29875
30090
NOT EXECUTED
28/02/14
MCX SILVER
MAR.
BUY
46820
47020-47220
46470
NOT EXECUTED
28/02/14
MCX SILVER
MAR.
SELL
46200
46000-45800
46500
NOT EXECUTED
28/02/14
NCDEX GUARGUM
MAR.
BUY
13090
13140-13220
13000
NOT EXECUTED
28/02/14
NCDEX GUARGUM
MAR.
SELL
12850
12800-12720
12940
28/02/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
APR.
BUY
9350
9380-9430
9300
28/02/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
APR.
SELL
9255
9225-9175
9305
NOT EXECUTED
28/02/14
GBP/INR
MAR.
SELL
103.52
103.82
NOT EXECUTED
28/02/14
GBP/INR
MAR.
BUY
104.16
103.86
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
28/02/14
JPY/INR
MAR.
SELL
60.50
60.37-60.23
60.78
NOT EXECUTED
28/02/14
JPY/INR
MAR.
BUY
61.04
61.17-61.31
60.76
NO PROFIT NO LOSS
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy
Date
Scrip
Entry Level
103.38103.23
104.30104.45
Target
Stop Loss
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
Remark
28/02/14
NIFTY
FUTURE
BUY
6220-6240
6280-6300
6200
NOT EXECUTED
28/02/14
M&M
FUTURE
BUY
960-965
975-985
950
BOOKED PROFIT
28/02/14
CESC
FUTURE
BUY
475
480-485
470
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
28/02/14
POLARIS
CASH
BUY
155-160
170-175
145
CALL OPEN
26/02/14
NIFTY
FUTURE
SELL
6220-6230
6180-6150
6250
SL TRIGGERED
20/02/14
TCS
FUTURE
BUY
2200-2220
2250-2300
2150
BOOKED PROFIT
17/02/14
AMTEK INDIA
CASH
BUY
64-65
70-75
60
CALL OPEN
10/02/14
KRBL
CASH
BUY
45-46
50-54
40
CALL OPEN
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8. DAILY REPORT
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
03rd MARCH. 2014
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUS FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, MARCH 3
8:30 am
Personal income
Jan.
0.2%
0.0%
8:30 am
Consumer spending
Jan.
0.2%
0.4%
9 am
Markit PMI
Feb.
--
56.7
10 am
Construction spending
Jan.
-0.4%
0.1%
10 AM
ISM NONMANUFACTURING
JAN.
53.0%
TUESDAY, MARCH 04
None scheduled
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 05
8:15 am
ADP employment
Feb.
--
175,000
10 am
ISM nonmanufacturing
Feb.
53.5%
54.0%
2 pm
Beige Book
THURSDAY, MARCH 06
8:30 am
Weekly jobless claims
3-1
338,000
348.000
8:30 am
Productivity
4Q
1.7%
3.2%
10 am
Factory orders
Jan.
-0.8%
-1.5%
FRIDAY ,MARCH 07
8:30 am
Nonfarm payrolls
Feb.
140,000
113,000
8:30 am
Unemployment rate
Feb.
6.6%
6.6%
8:30 am
Trade deficit
Jan.
-39.9 bln
-$38.7 bln
3 pm
Consumer credit
Jan.
--
$18.8 bln
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