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1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 01 OCTOBER 2014
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2. Daily Wrap Up
2
MONTH
OPEN
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE
% CHG
VOL
MONTH
OPEN
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE
% CHG
VOL
DHANIYA
OCT
12332
12365
12083
12125
-0.90
21100
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP.1
12019
SUPP. 2
11913
PIVOT
12192
Dhaniya shortterm trend is up, further more upsideis expected in comimg days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
12298
RES. 2
12471
CASTORSEED
OCT
4560
4609
4507
4564
+0.07
149470
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
4511
SUPP. 2
4458
PIVOT
4560
Castorseed short term trend is up,Prices expected to go up in coming days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
4613
RES. 2
4662
TURMERIC
OCT
6062
6100
5990
6026
-0.10
3055
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
5979
SUPP. 2
5931
PIVOT
6039
Turmeric price is in down trend and may continue in coming days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
6087
RES. 2
6147
GUARGUM
OCT
16300
16340
15850
15970
-1.84
6620
INTRADAY LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
15767
SUPP. 2
15563
PIVOT
16053
Guargum Short term trend is upExpecting price may go upin coming days.
RESISTANCE
RES. 1
16257
RES. 2
16543

3. Movers and Shakers
3
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL
EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE %
MUSTARD SEED
20-10-2014
3649.00
20.00
0.55%
BARLEY
20-10-2014
1588.00
8.00
0.51%
CHANA
20-10-2014
2775.00
12.00
0.43%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA
19-12-2014
1367.00
5.00
0.37%
CASTOR SEED NEW
20-10-2014
4564.00
3.00
0.07%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL
EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE %
JEERA
20-10-2014
10820.00
-180.00
-1.64%
CORIANDER
20-10-2014
12125.00
-110.00
-0.90%
REFINED SOY OIL
20-10-2014
616.30
-1.45
-0.23%
SOYABEAN
20-10-2014
3055.00
-6.00
-0.20%
TURMERIC
20-10-2014
6026.00
-6.00
-0.10%
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
Pre. Close
% Change
CASTORSEED
4564
4561
0.07
CHANA
2775
2763
0.43
CORIANDER
12125
12235
-0.9
SUGAR
2897
2891
0.21
JEERA
10820
11000
-1.64
MUSTARD SEED
3649
3629
0.55
SOYABEAN
3055
3061
-0.20
TURMERIC
6026
6032
-0.10

4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Asthefour-monthsouthwestmonsoonseasoncomestoanend,sowingofmajorkharifcropshaspickeduppacewiththetotalareacrossing100millionhectaresin2014,atadlowerthanlastyear's104millionhectares.Areaunderrice,themainfoodgrainsgrownduringthekharifseason,wasestimatedat37.48millionhectares,morethan37.42millionhectaresin2013,whenIndiareceivednormalrains.Theincrementalriseinpaddyareaisbecauseofbasmatiplanting.Riceproductionisestimatedtobe88.02milliontonnesin2014,fourpercentlessthanlastyear'sfigure,theagricultureministry'slatestdatashowed.Thisshowedtheyielddeclinedmoderatelyduringtheperiod.Thetotalkharifacreagethisseasonwaspeggedat101.92millionhectares,whichislowerthanthe104.46millionhectaresacreageduringthesametimelastyear.GoodretreatingmonsooninsomepartsofnorthandcentralIndiaboostedplanting.Accordingtothegovernment'sfirstadvanceestimate,India'sfoodgrainsproductionin2014-15kharifseasonisexpectedtofallbyninemilliontonnesto120.27milliontonnes,comparedtothesameperiodlastyear,onaccountofunevensouthwestmonsooninthefirstpartofthe2014season.
NewlyharvestedpaddyhasstartedarrivinginthemarketsofPunjabandHaryanawhilelaterainshavehelpedboosttheareaunderthecroptomorethanlastyear'slevels,developmentsthatbodewellforthesuppliesofthestaplegrainandfoodinflation.ScantyrainsinthefirsthalfoftheJune-Septembermonsoonseasonhadthreatenedtohurtthisyear'sfarmoutput, whichiscriticaltotheoveralleconomyinacountrywheremorethanhalftheworkforceisemployedinagriculture.
Sugarpricesedgedhigherby0.68%toRs2,831perquintalinfuturestradetodayasspeculatorscreatedfreshpositions,drivenbyrisingdemandatthespotmarketsupportedbyfestiveseason. However,adequatestockspositionsinthephysicalmarket, restrictedthegains.AttheNCDEXsugarfordeliveryinfar-monthDecembertradedhigherbyRs19,or0.68%toRs2,831perquintalwithanopeninterestof10,700lots.Inasimilarfashion,thesweetenerfordeliveryinOctobermovedupbyRs18,or0.62%toRs2,909perquintalin4140lots.theriseinsugarpricestofreshpositionsbuilt-upbyspeculatorsmostlysupportedbyrisingdemandfrombulkconsumersinthespotmarket,triggeredbyongoingfestiveseason.
Turmericcloseddownonweakofftakesduetopoorqualityarrivalsinthereadymarket.TheNCDEXturmericNovemberdeliveryendedthedayatRs5994,downRs20or0.33%.Weaknesswasseeninturmericduetolimitedbuyingbytradersinmajorproducingstates.However,thesowingofnewcropisstillamajorconcerninstateslikeAndhraPradeshandTamilnaduduetodelayedmonsoonrainfallandpoorpricerealizationbycultivators.SimilartrendisalsoobservinginMaharashtraasnotmuchsowinghasbeenreportedinSangli.
NCDEX,theleadingcommodityexchangeinIndia,announcedchangesinitsRapeMustardseedfuturescontract.Thesewillbeavailablefortradefrom1stOctober,2014.ThecontracthasbeensimplifiedbyreducingtheacceptablegradesofRMSeed.Nowtherewouldbeonly12gradesforpremium/discountcalculationinsteadof224gradesearlier.Thisstandardizationmakesitmucheasierfortraderstodepositontheexchangeplatformandstreamlinesthedeliveryprocessforthebuyerstoo.

5. 5
Fundamental And Mandi Report :Sugar
SUGAR PRICES ATKEY SPOT MARKETS
Marketsentimentstradedbetweenweakertonormalzonewithpricefallingdownfortheday.Tendersareinvitedforconclusionofcontractforsupplyof500000kgsugargradem30atbasevictuallingyardVisakhapatnamduring2014-15.Openingdatefortendershasbeenfixedat29thOct,2014.Asperthegovt.sources;thenetsownareaundercanecultivationtill26thSep,2014standsoutat48.36lakhhectares,thatis4% lessthanthearea(50.32)cultivatedlastyear.AsperthenewestimatesbyISMA;sugarproductioninthecountryislikelytorangeinbetween250- 255lakhtonsfor2014-15. However,aconsolidatedfigurewillbereleasedsoon,aftermakingcarefulevaluationofmonsoonalimpactonthecrop.Totalaround180000bagsofgurstoredincoldstoragestill29thSep,2014lowercomparedto272000bagsatsameperiodlastyear.GurpriceswitnessartificialfirmnessatpresentandlikelymovedowninthecomingdaysduetogoodstockavailabilityintheMaharashtramarkets.ItisnotablethatcanehasdivertedmoretowardsgurproductioninPuneandSangliareathisyear.Inadditiontoit,marketparticipantsisexpectingearlyarrivalsofgurforthenextmarketingyearwhichdrivethepricessouthwardsinthemediumterm. International Market Report
Brazil’scentresouthregion(thataccountsfor80%ofcountry’scaneproduction)witnesseda17%declineinsugarproductionfrom3.02milliontons(secondhalfofaugust)to2.5milliontonsinthefirsthalfofSeptember, 2014.
Slowdownincanecrushingintheareaandadiversionofharvestedcanetowardsethanolproductioncouldbecitedresponsibleforthisfall.
CENTER
30-Sep-14
29-Sep-14
%Change
DELHI
3140
3100
40
DHAMPUR
3100
3130
-30
MUMBAI
3146
3150
-4
KOLHAPUR
2950
2950
UNCH
VIJAYWADA
3480
3480
UNCH
NAGPUR
3150
3250
-100
KOLKATA
NA
NA
-

6. SPOT QUOTES
6
COMMODITY NAME
LOCATION
PRICE
Guar Seed 10 MT
Jodhpur
5597.05
Guarseed
Jodhpur
5597.05
Guarseed
Bikaner
5550
Gur
Muzaffar Nagar
1051.3
Jeera
Unjha
10855
Maize -Feed/Industrial Grade
Gulabbagh
1120
Maize -Feed/Industrial Grade
Nizamabad
1239.25
Maize -Feed/Industrial Grade
Davengere
1280
Maize -Feed/Industrial Grade
Karimnagar
1210
Maize -Feed/Industrial Grade
Sangli
1240
Maize -Feed/Industrial Grade
Delhi
1222.5
Mustardseed
Jaipur
3711.95
COMMODITY NAME
LOCATION
PRICE
Bajra
Jaipur
1160.85
Barley
Jaipur
1568.2
Castor Seed
Disa
4407.65
Castor Seed 1 MT
Disa
4407.65
Chana
Bikaner
2740
Chana
Delhi
2880
Chana
Indore
2784.45
Chana 1 MT
Delhi
2880
Chilli
Guntur
7550
Chilli Teja
Khammam
10264.25
Coriander
Kota
11418.9
Cotton
Kadi
16732.3
Cotton Seed (Industrial Grade)
Akola
1954
Cotton Seed Oilcake
Akola
1493.75

7. Recommendations
7
BUY DHANIYA OCT 12150 TGTS 12180,12230 SL 12080
BUY GUARGUM OCT ABOVE 16100 TGTS 16150,16250 SL 16010
BUY CASTORSEED OCT ABOVE 4580 TGTS 4610,4660 SL 4530
SELL TMC OCT BELOW 5990 TGTS 5940,5840 SL 6140

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