Policy Forum Series: Smith - Natural Gas as Fuel for Electric Generation in the Midwest
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Policy Forum Series: Smith - Natural Gas as Fuel for Electric Generation in the Midwest
- 1. Natural Gas as a Fuel for Electric Generation in the Midwest: The Regional Context Policy Forum Series: Natural Gas and Minnesota’s Energy Future September 21, 2012
- 2. MISO Overview Renewables Nuclear 14% 6% Coal 48% Gas/Oil 32% MISO Reliability Coordination Area, June 2012 2
- 3. Energy Production Mix January through July Energy Contribution by Fuel Source 90% 80% 77% 78% 74% 70% Contribution to Total Energy Served 65% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 14% 14% 14% 13% 12% 7% 10% 6% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 Year Coal Nuclear Gas Wind 3
- 4. Queue Makeup Reflects Shifting Energy Policies 100% 90% Wood Wind 80% Waste Heat Recovery Steam 70% Solar 60% Nuclear Landfill Gas 50% Hydro Gas 40% Diesel 30% Combined Cycle Co-‐Gen 20% Coal Biomass & Natural Gas 10% Biomass 0% 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 4
- 6. MISO’s September survey still indicates many EPA compliance decisions have yet to be made Coal Resources Affected – 3rd Quarter Survey Cross State Air Capacity, GW Pollution Rule 66 19 53 • Vacated by District Court Units • Minimal impact on MISO coal retirements 47 35 No Mercury and Air Toxins Action Standard 295 Required 242 98 Units Units Units • Uncertainties remain • Most retrofits focused on Dry Sorbent Injection (DSI) and 5 Activated Carbon Injection (ACI) 70 Control Units • Less capital Required Uneconomic 7 • Less outage 74 / Replace Units • Higher production costs Total Total TBD / Coal Affected No Response Sept Survey Results* 66 19 47 35 5 7 GWs Impacted June Survey Results 66 19 47 35 4 8 March Survey Results 66 18 48 31 5 12 MISO Study (10/2012) 66 9 57 44 13 - *Sept survey results does not represent all expected respondents. 6 June results used where needed.
- 7. Overview of MISO region major pipelines 7