3. Philadelphia Regional Economy
1.Will our region do better than it has in the past
relative to the U.S. economy?
2.Which parts of our region will show stronger
growth?
3.Demographic and economic trends.
4.Which sectors will lead and which will lag?
5.State/ Local Government
4. U.S. GDP Forecasts for 2016
Median Forecasts for Selected Variables in the Current and Previous Surveys
Real GDP (%) Unemployment Rate (%) Payrolls (000s/month)
Previous New Previous New Previous New
Quarterly data:
2015:Q4 2.8 2.6 5.1 5 220.4 201.5
2016:Q1 2.8 2.5 5.1 4.9 185.1 188.2
2016:Q2 2.8 2.6 5 4.8 191.3 193.5
2016:Q3 2.7 2.9 4.9 4.8 189.5 192
2016:Q4 N.A. 2.4 N.A. 4.7 N.A. 181.2
Source: FRB Philadelphia
12. Philadelphia Metro Unemployment Rates
Unemployment rates for counties in the Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, Pa.-N.J.-Del.-Md. Metropolitan Statistical Area,
not seasonally adjusted, September 2015
13. Regional Outlook
Markets
Residential
Institutional
Commercial Retail
Entertainment/ Hospitality
Commercial Office
Industrial/Distribution
Influencers/Issues
Demographic Changes
Energy Costs
Tax/ Regulatory Reform
Labor Costs/ Productivity
K-12 Education / Budget
Public Infrastructure Investment
and Quality, including
Transportation
21st Century investments