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April 2012



Surge Research Support
www.ecofin-surge.co.in
Table of Contents




            Contents                                            Page

            1. Important Rates to Remember              …………         3

            2. Indian Economy — Growth Indicators       …………         4

            3. Indian Economy — Price Indicators        …………         6

            4. Indian Economy — Banking Indicators      …………         7

            5. Indian Economy — Exchange Rates          …………         9

            6. Indian Economy — Interest Rates          …………       11

            7. Indian Economy — Stock Markets           …………       14

            8. Indian Economy — Capital Flows           …………       17

            9. Indian Economy — Commodity Markets       …………       20

            10. Global Economy — Economic Indicators    …………       22

            11. Global Economy — Stock Indices          …………       23

            12. Global Economy — Commodity Indices                 24
            Special Feature
            Highlights of the Union Budget 2012-2013               25


                       www.ecofin-surge.co.in




E-UpDates April 2012                                2          Surge Research Support
GDP                                             IIP*
                       2011-12*                6.90%                        Jan-12               1.10%
                       2010-11                 8.40%                        Jan-11               7.50%
                       *Advanced Estimates                          *New Series with Base : 2004-05=100.



        As on            30-Mar-12         31-Mar-11                       As on            30-Mar-12        31-Mar-11

Bank rate                     9.50%             6.00%               CRR                      4.75%            6.00%

Repo rate                     8.50%              6.75%              Base Rate           10.00-10.75% 8.25-9.50%

Reverse repo                  7.50%             5.75%               CMR                 6.75-15.0%         7.85-9.50%




                              Inflation (WPI)                         Oil Price (World Average)
                           Feb-12              6.95%                        Mar-12               117.8
                           Feb-11              9.54%                        Mar-11               108.6
                                                                    US$ per barrel




         $/Rupee Rate                                                   Purchasing Managers Index             March

     30-Mar-12               51.15                                     HSBC Markit Mnfg. PMI                   54.7

     31-Mar-11               44.65                                    HSBC Markit Services PMI                 52.3

RBI Reference rate




                       For global rates visit: http://www.ecofin-surge.co.in/publications.html
                       For explanations visit: http://www.ecofin-surge.co.in/terminology.html




E-UpDates April 2012                                      3                           Surge Research Support
Growth Indicators

           GDP Growth Rates               Q1                Q2                 Q3              Q4            FY
               2011-12                    7.7*              6.9*               6.1                       6.9 (AE)*
               2010-11                    8.5*              7.6*              8.3*             7.8       8.4 (QE)*



GDP[at Constant(2004-05) prices]           Q3             Rs.Crore       YoY Growth          Q3           Rs.Crore     YoY Growth
                                        2010-11*                          (Share in        2011-12*                     (Share in
                                                                            GDP)                                          GDP)
                                                                             (%)                                           (%)
       1 Agriculture, Forestry &
         Fishing                                          224,044             11.0                        230,168          2.7
       2 Mining & Quarrying                               28,200               6.1                         27,334          -3.1
       3 Manufacturing
                                                          194,435              7.8                        195,228          0.4
       4 Electricity, Gas & Water
         Supply.                                           22,480              3.8                        24,509           9.0
       5 Construction
                                                           96,000              8.7                        102,887          7.2
       6 Trade, Hotels, Transport
         and Communication                                330,573              9.8                        361,074          9.2
       7 Financing, Insurance,
         Real Estate & Business
         Services.                                        214,205             11.2                        233,537          9.0
       8 Community, Social &
         Personal Services.                               152,857             -0.8                        164,866          7.9
       9 GDP at factor cost
         (1 to 8)                                         1,262,794           8.3                       1,339,603          6.1
      10 Private final consumption
         expenditure
                                                          818,122          7.6 (60.4)                     869,193       6.2 (60.4)
      11 Government final
         consumption expenditure
                                                          168,576          4.7 (12.5)                     175,952       4.4 (12.2)
      12 Gross fixed capital
         formation                                        437,564         11.1 (32.3)                     432,169      -1.2 (30.0)
      13 Changes in stocks                                 48,036             (3.5)                       47,820          (3.3)
      14 Valuables                                         29,981             (2.2)                       32,909          (2.3)
      15 Exports
                                                          316,694         28.1 (23.4)                     358,160      13.1 (24.9)
      16 Less Imports                                     401,587         14.2 (29.7)                     471,062      17.3 (32.7)
      17 Discrepancies                                    -63,628           (-4.7)                         -6,222        (-0.4)
      18 GDP at market price
         (10 to 17)                                       1,353,757 10.1 (100)                          1,438,918      6.2 (100)

         *Estimates based on the New series of IIP. QE: Quick Estimates; AE: Advanced Estimates.




   E-UpDates April 2012                                         4                             Surge Research Support
2010-11                  Rs.Crore           YoY Growth               2011-12            Rs.Crore     YoY Growth
                                                   (QE)*                                         (%)                    (AE)*                             (%)

        18 GDP at market price
                                                                           5,236,823             9.6                                      5,627,685          7.5
        19 Net Indirect Taxes (Less
           Subsidies )                                                     350,869                                                         405,658
         9 GDP at factor cost
           (18-19)                                                         4,885,954             8.4                                      5,222,027          6.9
        20 Net factor income from
           abroad                                                           -52,776                                                        -50,489
        21 Gross national income
           at factor cost                                                  4,833,178             7.9                                      5,171,538          7.0
           (9 + 20)
        23 Net national
           product/National
           Income at factor cost
           (Less Depreciation)                                             4,268,715             7.8                                      4,568,249          7.0
        24 Population (in million)
                                                                             1186                                                           1202
        25 Per capita income (Rs.)
           (23/24)                                                          35993                6.4                                       38005             5.6




                                                  Jan-12                    Jan-11                                     Jan-12            FY2011-12 * FY2010-11*

           Production Index                         Index 2004-05 =100                                                              Change (YoY, %)
           (Index of Industrial
           Production)                            187.9                     175.9                                       6.8                 4.0              8.3
1.         Mining                                 137.2                     141.0                                       -2.7                -2.6             6.3
2.         Manufacturing                          202.4                     186.5                                       8.5                  4.4             8.9
3.         Electricity                            151.1                     146.4                                       3.2                  8.8             5.3
           *April-January. The base year of IIP has been revised by the CSO from 1993-94 to 2004-05.


     200
     190                         IIP-Annual Averages (Base : 2004-05=100)                                                                      Mining &
                                                                                                                                               Quarrying (141.75)
     180
                                                                                                                                 169.0
     170
                                                                                      159.3                                                    Manufacturing
     160                                  152.9                                                                                                (755.27)
     150
                                                                                                               179.9




     140                                                                                                                                       Electricity (103.16)
                                                                   168.9
                         161.3




     130
                                                                                                                         148.8
                                                                              136.7




     120
                                  130.8




                                                                                                       125.5




                                                                                                                                               General Index
                                                           124.7
                 124.5




     110                                                                                                                                       (1000.0)
     100
                         2009-10                                   2010-11                                     2011-12




     E-UpDates April 2012                                                             5                                 Surge Research Support
Inflation

Wholesale Price Index
                                        All                     Primary                                Non-food                  Crude
(Base: 2004-05=100)                                                            Food Articles                                                 Manufactured
                                     Commodities                Articles                               Articles                Petroleum
(Inflation %)                                                                                                                                 Products
December - 2011                        156.9 (7.47)               197.9              190.8                   178.6                300.0            140.6
January - 2012                         157.7 (6.55)               199.7              191.4                   182.8                304.5            141.2
February - 2012                        158.4 (6.95)               201.5              192.3                   186.7                304.5            141.7
Build up of inflation in the financial year so far is 5.95% compared to a build up of 8.66% in the corresponding period of the previous year.



                                        All India
                                     General Index Rural Areas Urban Areas                                                       Rural          Agricultural
                                                                             Industrial
                                      (All Groups (All Groups) (All Groups)                                                    Labourers         Labourers
                                                                            Workers Base
                                       combined)      Base         Base                                                        Base 1986-       Base 1986-
                                                                             2001=100
Consumer Price Index                     Base       2010=100    2010=100                                                        87=100            87=100
(Inflation %)                          2010=100
December - 2011                          113.6 (F)              114.5 (F)          112.3 (F)            197 (6.49)              619 (6.72)       618 (6.37)
January - 2012                           114.0(F)               114.9 (F)          112.8(F)             198 (5.32)              619 (5.27)       618 (4.92)
February - 2012                       114.6(P)(8.83)      115.4 (P)(8.36) 113.5(P)(9.45)                199 (7.57)              623 (6.68)       621 (6.34)

F: Final; P: Provisional.

                                                                WPI (Base 2004-05=100) New Series
                                                      2009-10                 2010-11                  2011-12
                       160

                       150

                       140

                       130

                       120

                       110

                       100
                               Apr     May      Jun       Jul       Aug     Sep     Oct      Nov       Dec      Jan      Feb      Mar




                          CPI Inflation-February 2012                     Rural                Urban             Combined
                          Cereals & Pdcts.                                2.95                  0.69                   2.40
                          Pulses & Pdcts.                                 4.45                  3.59                   4.17
                          Oils etc                                        11.87                14.52                  12.76
                          Egg, Meat & Fish                                10.68                10.48                  10.62
                          Milk & Pdcts.                                   15.88                15.31                  15.76
                          Vegetables                                      -4.83                -4.27                  -4.73
                          Food & Beverages                                6.33                  7.17                   6.62
                          Fuel & Light                                    13.05                12.19                  12.78
                          Clothing etc                                    12.68                 9.45                  13.22



           E-UpDates April 2012                                                6                                 Surge Research Support
COMPONENTS & SOURCES OF MONEY STOCK (M3) AND THEIR VARIATIONS (Rs crores)
                                                              March 31           January              February#
                                                                  2011              2012                   2012
      M3                                                   6,499,548          7,159,470               7,226,270
      % change during the month                                 2.21              (0.54)                   0.93
      % change since March 31                                  16.49              10.15                   11.18
(A)   Components of M3 ( 1+2+3+4)
 1    Currency with the public                               914,197            996,650               1,015,980
      % change during the month                                 0.95               1.91                    1.94
      % change since March 31                                  19.03               9.02                   11.13
 2    Demand deposits with banks                             717,660            664,540                 667,340
      % change during the month                                 6.51              (6.32)                   0.42
      % change since March 31                                   0.49              (7.40)                  (7.01)
 3    Time deposits with banks                             4,863,979          5,495,600               5,541,880
      % change during the month                                 1.84              (0.24)                   0.84
      % change since March 31                                  18.82              12.99                   13.94
 4    Other deposits with RBI                                  3,713              2,680                   1,060
      % change during the month                                 2.63              17.03                  (60.45)
      % change since March 31                                  (1.90)            (27.82)                 (71.45)
(B)   Sources of M3 (5+6+7+8-9)
 5    Net bank credit to govt.(i+ii)                       1,982,771          2,301,010               2,326,600
      % change during the month                                 6.67               2.95                    1.11
      % change since March 31                                  18.85              16.05                   17.34
  i   RBI's credit                                           396,555            518,400                 488,370
      % change during the month                                32.09              15.18                   (5.79)
      % change since March 31                                  80.07              30.73                   23.15
 ii   Other banks' credit                                  1,586,216          1,782,610               1,838,230
      % change during the month                                 1.77              (0.14)                   3.12
      % change since March 31                                   9.54              12.38                   15.89
 6    Bank credit to commercial sector (i+ii)              4,235,406          4,669,320               4,726,820
      % change during the month                                 3.81              (0.27)                   1.23
      % change since March 31                                  21.59              10.24                   11.60
  i   RBI's credit                                             2,164              3,260                   3,430
      % change during the month                                37.83              (0.31)                   5.21
      % change since March 31                                  62.95              50.65                   58.50
 ii   Other banks' credit                                  4,233,242          4,666,060               4,723,390
      % change during the month                                 3.80              (0.27)                   1.23
      % change since March 31                                  21.58              10.22                   11.58
 7    Net foreign exchange assets of the banking
                                                           1,393,327          1,481,270               1,461,960
      sector
      % change during the month                                 (0.24)             (6.87)                 (1.30)
      % change since March 31                                    9.28               6.31                   4.93
 8    Government's currency liabilities to the
                                                               12,724            13,720                 13,720
      public
      % change during the month                                  4.71                -                      -
      % change since March 31                                   16.53               7.83                   7.83
 9    NNML of the banking sector (i+ii)
                                                           1,124,680          1,305,850               1,302,830
    % change during the month                                   13.79               (1.26)               (0.23)
    % change since March 31                                     31.10               16.11                15.84
 i RBI's NNML                                               368,274               549,610              537,570
    % change during the month                                   (0.87)             (11.81)               (2.19)
    % change since March 31                                     18.68               49.24                45.97
 ii Other bank's NNML(Residual)                             756,406               756,240              765,260
    % change during the month                                   22.62                8.15                 1.19
    % change since March 31                                     38.13               (0.02)                1.17
    Note: (i) Figures in parentheses denote negative numbers. (ii) # data are of February 24, 2012.



E-UpDates April 2012                                      7                            Surge Research Support
COMPONENTS & SOURCES OF RESERVE MONEY AND THEIR VARIATIONS (Rs crore)
                                                               March    February     March
                                                                  2011      2012       2012
     Reserve Money :                                       1,376,881   1,441,000  1,414,830
     % change during the month                                    7.64      0.75      (1.82)
     % change since March 31                                     19.18      4.66       2.76
(A) Components of Reserve Money (1+2+3)
  1 Currency in circulation                                  949,659   1,057,660  1,072,220
     % change during the month                                    0.93      1.87       1.38
     % change since March 31                                     18.83     11.37      12.91
  2 Banker's deposits with RBI                               423,509     380,070    340,850
     % change during the month                                   26.58     (2.36)    (10.32)
     % change since March 31                                     20.21    (10.26)    (19.52)
  3 "Other" deposits with RBI                                   3,713      3,270      1,760
     % change during the month                                    2.63     22.01     (46.18)
     % change since March 31                                     -1.90    (11.93)    (52.60)
 (B) Sources of Reserve Money (4+5+6+7-8)
  4 Net RBI credit to Government                             396,555     543,600    517,100
     % change during the month                                   32.09      4.86      (4.87)
     % change since March 31                                     80.07     37.08      30.40
     RBI credit to Banks & Commercial Sector
                                                                7,324      8,430     12,750
  5
     % change during the month                                   46.60    (32.83)     51.25
     % change since March 31                                    193.31     15.10      74.09
 5.1 RBI credit to banks(including NABARD)                      5,159      4,970      8,790
     % change during the month                                   50.58    (46.50)     76.86
     % change since March 31                                    341.32     (3.66)     70.38
 5.2 RBI credit to Commercial Sector                            2,165      3,460      3,960
     % change during the month                                   37.90      6.13      14.45
     % change since March 31                                     63.03     59.82      82.91
  6 Net Foreign Exchange Assets of RBI                     1,328,553   1,421,460  1,462,780
     % change during the month                                   -0.35     (0.96)      2.91
     % change since March 31                                      7.84      6.99      10.10
  7 Govt's Currency Liabilities to the Public                  12,724     13,720     13,720
     % change during the month                                    4.71       -          -
     % change since March 31                                     16.53      7.83       7.83
  8 Net Non-monetary Liabilities of RBI                      368,274     546,200    591,520
     % change during the month                                   -0.87     (0.62)      8.30
     % change since March 31                                     18.68     48.31      60.62
     Note: (i) Figures in parentheses denote negative numbers.




E-UpDates April 2012                           8                       Surge Research Support
Exchange Rate Movement of the Rupee (INR)
                                   Average of Buying & Selling
                                     Dollar                                   Euro
       Date       Day   Spot    1 Month   3 Month   6 Month   Spot    1 Month     3 Month   6 Month
      2-Mar-12   Fri    49.52   49.97     50.58     51.33     65.66   66.26       67.12     68.11
      6-Mar-12   Tue    50.00   50.42     51.07     51.80     65.99   66.54       67.44     68.42
      7-Mar-12   Wed    50.30   50.73     51.37     52.12     66.17   66.73       67.63     68.61
      9-Mar-12   Fri    49.89   50.33     50.99     51.78     65.99   66.57       67.46     68.54
     12-Mar-12   Mon    49.91   50.37     51.05     51.81     65.52   66.11       67.02     68.06
     13-Mar-12   Tue    49.89   50.34     50.98     51.82     65.47   66.05       66.94     68.06
     14-Mar-12   Wed    49.98   50.41     51.08     51.87     65.31   65.86       66.76     67.83
     15-Mar-12   Thu    50.46   50.89     51.56     52.37     65.84   66.40       67.32     68.38
     16-Mar-12   Fri    50.34   50.77     51.45     52.25     65.70   66.25       67.14     68.23
     17-Mar-12   Sat    50.24   50.70     51.36     52.20     66.11   66.70       67.57     68.72
     20-Mar-12   Tue    50.42   50.87     51.56     52.43     66.57   67.16       68.06     69.27
     21-Mar-12   Wed    50.54   51.01     51.68     52.59     67.00   67.61       68.55     69.77
     22-Mar-12   Thu    51.11   51.59     52.27     53.11     67.29   67.92       68.84     69.97
     27-Mar-12   Tue    50.74   51.26     51.87     52.68     67.76   68.43       69.26     70.38
     28-Mar-12   Wed    50.92   51.42     52.06     52.79     67.97   68.62       69.46     70.50
     29-Mar-12   Thu    51.33   51.73     52.36     53.11     68.14   68.66       69.53     70.53
     30-Mar-12   Fri    50.89   51.29     51.94     52.66     67.92   68.44       69.32     70.33




                                    Pound                                       Yen
       Date       Day   Spot    1 Month   3 Month   6 Month   Spot    1 Month     3 Month   6 Month
      2-Mar-12   Fri    78.89   79.60     80.56     81.68     60.77   61.35       62.14     63.09
      6-Mar-12   Tue    79.27   79.91     80.93     82.02     61.37   61.90       62.74     63.68
      7-Mar-12   Wed    79.18   79.83     80.83     81.94     62.28   62.83       63.66     64.64
      9-Mar-12   Fri    78.68   79.35     80.39     81.57     60.95   61.52       62.38     63.38
     12-Mar-12   Mon    78.22   78.92     79.92     81.10     60.67   61.25       62.07     63.08
     13-Mar-12   Tue    78.08   78.77     79.79     81.02     60.39   60.97       61.80     62.85
     14-Mar-12   Wed    78.49   79.15     80.21     81.38     59.93   60.45       61.30     62.29
     15-Mar-12   Thu    79.00   79.66     80.69     81.91     60.48   61.01       61.84     62.87
     16-Mar-12   Fri    79.17   79.83     80.85     82.08     60.10   60.63       61.46     62.48
     17-Mar-12   Sat    79.58   80.29     81.30     82.58     60.41   60.99       61.81     62.87
     20-Mar-12   Tue    80.01   80.71     81.75     83.10     60.16   60.71       61.54     62.65
     21-Mar-12   Wed    80.20   80.92     82.00     83.37     60.25   60.82       61.68     62.79
     22-Mar-12   Thu    80.75   81.49     82.54     83.82     61.63   62.22       63.07     64.14
     27-Mar-12   Tue    81.05   81.85     82.82     84.04     61.30   61.94       62.72     63.74
     28-Mar-12   Wed    81.12   81.89     82.86     84.00     61.32   61.92       62.70     63.65
     29-Mar-12   Thu    81.44   82.05     83.02     84.16     62.43   62.93       63.71     64.68
     30-Mar-12   Fri    81.54   82.16     83.14     84.29     62.05   62.56       63.36     64.33




E-UpDates April 2012                                9                     Surge Research Support
Exchange Rate Movement of the Rupee (INR)
                                     Annualised Premia
                                     Dollar                        Euro
        Date      Day      1 Month   3 Month   6 Month   1 Month   3 Month   6 Month
      2-Mar-12   Fri       11.60      8.84      7.44     11.64      9.23      7.62
      6-Mar-12   Tue       10.56      8.88      7.33     10.47      9.08      7.50
      7-Mar-12   Wed       10.76      8.83      7.37     10.74      9.12      7.53
      9-Mar-12   Fri       11.11      9.12      7.72     11.07      9.25      7.89
     12-Mar-12   Mon       11.64      9.41      7.74     11.46      9.48      7.90
     13-Mar-12   Tue       11.38      9.07      7.89     11.16      9.29      8.05
     14-Mar-12   Wed       10.70      9.10      7.71     10.59      9.18      7.87
     15-Mar-12   Thu       10.72      9.05      7.71     10.80      9.30      7.88
     16-Mar-12   Fri       10.75      9.16      7.73     10.62      9.09      7.87
     17-Mar-12   Sat       11.56      9.22      7.93     11.35      9.13      8.07
     20-Mar-12   Tue       11.25      9.36      8.13     11.17      9.23      8.28
     21-Mar-12   Wed       11.75      9.38      8.28     11.59      9.58      8.46
     22-Mar-12   Thu       11.87      9.39      7.98     11.83      9.54      8.14
     27-Mar-12   Tue       12.88      9.21      7.77     12.63      9.19      7.90
     28-Mar-12   Wed       12.31      9.22      7.46     12.10      9.06      7.58
     29-Mar-12   Thu        9.76      8.27      7.04      9.55      8.41      7.15
     30-Mar-12   Fri        9.85      8.55      7.08      9.68      8.54      7.24




                                     Pound                          Yen
        Date      Day      1 Month   3 Month   6 Month   1 Month   3 Month   6 Month
      2-Mar-12   Fri       11.35      8.74      7.20     12.07      9.33      7.80
      6-Mar-12   Tue       10.05      8.64      7.06     10.76      9.20      7.65
      7-Mar-12   Wed       10.39      8.63      7.11     11.13      9.20      7.72
      9-Mar-12   Fri       10.71      9.01      7.49     11.71      9.69      8.12
     12-Mar-12   Mon       11.20      8.98      7.50     11.98      9.52      8.10
     13-Mar-12   Tue       11.14      9.02      7.67     12.15      9.71      8.31
     14-Mar-12   Wed       10.49      9.03      7.49     10.92      9.50      8.03
     15-Mar-12   Thu       10.50      8.81      7.49     11.04      9.30      8.04
     16-Mar-12   Fri       10.39      8.76      7.47     11.11      9.36      8.08
     17-Mar-12   Sat       11.16      8.93      7.68     12.04      9.56      8.29
     20-Mar-12   Tue       10.94      8.99      7.87     11.54      9.50      8.43
     21-Mar-12   Wed       11.40      9.31      8.07     12.07      9.87      8.63
     22-Mar-12   Thu       11.57      9.17      7.74     12.11      9.68      8.29
     27-Mar-12   Tue       12.43      9.03      7.51     13.27      9.59      8.10
     28-Mar-12   Wed       12.01      8.89      7.24     12.50      9.35      7.74
     29-Mar-12   Thu        9.37      7.99      6.79      9.94      8.46      7.34
     30-Mar-12   Fri        9.60      8.11      6.87     10.32      8.72      7.47




E-UpDates April 2012                           10                    Surge Research Support
Money Market Rates & Liquidity

                                                                Over-
                           Net Injection(+)/       Repo Rates night
                   RBI Absorption(-) of Liquidity (Repo/Reverse Rates                                                                     Call
                   LAF       (Rs. Crore)              Repo)      (%)                                                                     Money*                    CBLO*                     Mibor               USD Libor
     1-Mar-12                                                191665.0                8.5/7.5%                                             8.97                      8.83                      9.05                 0.139
     2-Mar-12                                                159460.0                                                                     8.72                      7.54                      9.09                 0.139
     3-Mar-12                                                     0.0                                                                     8.34                      7.07                                           0.140
     5-Mar-12                                                103400.0                                                                     8.84                      8.14                      8.86                 0.141
     6-Mar-12                                                 85420.0                                                                     8.85                      8.59                      8.78                 0.142
     7-Mar-12                                                127280.0                            #                                        8.85                      8.53                      8.88                 0.142
     9-Mar-12                                                131725.0                                                                     8.68                      6.70                      8.95                 0.142
    10-Mar-12                                                     0.0                                                                     8.53                      8.51
    12-Mar-12                                                129895.0                                                                     8.78                      8.46                      8.80                 0.142
    13-Mar-12                                                123090.0                                                                     8.83                      8.48                      8.90                 0.143
    14-Mar-12                                                124855.0                                                                     8.86                      8.51                      8.90                 0.147
    15-Mar-12                                                134795.0                                                                     8.88                      8.57                      8.92                 0.147
    16-Mar-12                                                177680.0                                                                     8.83                      8.43                      9.10                 0.149
    17-Mar-12                                                     0.0                                                                     8.90                      7.05
    19-Mar-12                                                158770.0                                                                     8.94                      8.54                      8.99                 0.149
    20-Mar-12                                                149465.0                                                                     8.93                      8.60                      8.96                 0.152
    21-Mar-12                                                150070.0                    #                                                8.96                      8.66                      8.95                 0.152
    22-Mar-12                                                197940.0                    #                                                9.17                      8.73                      9.28                 0.153
    24-Mar-12                                                     0.0                    #                                                9.00                      8.49
    26-Mar-12                                                195935.0                    #                                                9.42                      7.24                      9.62                 0.153
    27-Mar-12                                                178885.0                    #                                                9.41                      7.38                      9.52                 0.153
    28-Mar-12                                                164175.0                    #                                                9.43                      8.53                      9.51                 0.153
    29-Mar-12                                                164840.0                    #                                                9.50                      9.23                      9.53                 0.153
    30-Mar-12                                                202785.0                8.5/7.5 #                                            11.77                     9.42                     11.99                 0.153



*Weighted average rates; # Includes liquidity provided under MSF at 9.5%.



                                               Call Money                                                  Mibor                                             USD Libor
                                                                                                                                                                                                         0.154
      11.90
                                                                                                                                                                                                         0.152
      11.30                                                                                                                                                                                              0.150
      10.70                                                                                                                                                                                              0.148
      10.10                                                                                                                                                                                              0.146
                                                                                                                                                                                                         0.144
       9.50
                                                                                                                                                                                                         0.142
       8.90                                                                                                                                                                                              0.140
       8.30                                                                                                                                                                                              0.138
              1-Mar-12

                         3-Mar-12

                                    5-Mar-12

                                                  7-Mar-12

                                                             9-Mar-12

                                                                         11-Mar-12

                                                                                     13-Mar-12

                                                                                                     15-Mar-12

                                                                                                                 17-Mar-12

                                                                                                                             19-Mar-12

                                                                                                                                           21-Mar-12

                                                                                                                                                       23-Mar-12

                                                                                                                                                                     25-Mar-12

                                                                                                                                                                                 27-Mar-12

                                                                                                                                                                                             29-Mar-12




    E-UpDates April 2012                                                                                  11                                                       Surge Research Support
Debt Market Yields

Constant Maturity Yields for Government Bonds - March 2012
                                                                                            >10 Year & >15 Year &
    Date        3 months 6 months 1 year     2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 7 Year 10 Year     <=15 Year <= 20 Year >20 Year
     1-Mar-12     8.98      8.73     8.45                     8.31    8.42    8.43   8.22       8.47           8.54      8.57
     2-Mar-12     8.95      8.72     8.40                                            8.24       8.41           8.54      8.60
     5-Mar-12     8.96                                                               8.21       8.40           8.54      8.49
     6-Mar-12     8.91                                                8.23           8.22       8.36           8.54      8.56
     7-Mar-12     9.00               8.45     8.20            8.32    8.35           8.24       8.36           8.54      8.56
     9-Mar-12     8.98                                                8.32           8.25       8.32           8.49
    12-Mar-12     8.92      8.72                                                                8.34           8.55      8.58
    13-Mar-12     8.92               8.30                                                       8.40           8.55      8.61
    14-Mar-12     8.90                        8.05                            8.51              8.38           8.58      8.60
    15-Mar-12     8.93      8.59     8.38                             8.45                      8.39           8.53      8.60
    16-Mar-12     8.93                        8.15    8.17                                      8.49           8.58      8.64
    19-Mar-12     8.86      8.62                      8.30                                      8.43           8.55      8.64
    20-Mar-12     8.93                                8.24                           8.52       8.47           8.59      8.64
    21-Mar-12     8.97                                8.30    8.36            8.55              8.52           8.59      8.62
    22-Mar-12     8.97               8.37     8.06    8.29                    8.60              8.44           8.57      8.62
    26-Mar-12     8.95                                8.26            8.45           8.42       8.51           8.66      8.65
    27-Mar-12     8.95               8.42             8.27                                      8.48           8.64      8.66
    28-Mar-12                                                                                   8.59           8.65      8.69
    29-Mar-12     8.96      8.64                      8.27                    8.73              8.63           8.73      8.53
    30-Mar-12     8.88      8.58     8.30             8.16                                      8.60           8.62      8.79



Month Average     8.94     8.66      8.38     8.12    8.25    8.33    8.37    8.56   8.29       8.45           8.58      8.61

Bond Yield Spreads over Gilts - March 2012
 Maturity/
   Type       6 months 1 Year 2 Year         3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year         9 Year         10 Year   15 Year
   AAA
    PSU           1.51      1.59     1.38     1.14    0.95    0.77    0.79    0.78   0.80       0.86           0.90      0.77
    Bank          1.03      1.14     1.14     0.82    0.67    0.50    0.51    0.52   0.54       0.56           0.58      0.50
   NBFC           1.70      1.94     1.45     1.22    1.11    1.04    1.09    1.09   1.13       1.18           1.26      1.12
  Corporate       1.61      1.76     1.47     1.17    1.05    0.95    0.97    0.96   0.98       1.04           1.08      1.00
    AA+
    PSU           1.65      1.73     1.48     1.33    1.14    0.96    0.95    0.91   0.94       1.00           1.05      0.98
    Bank          1.17      1.28     1.34     1.08    0.89    0.69    0.69    0.69   0.74       0.79           0.84      0.71
   NBFC           1.80      2.14     1.58     1.47    1.48    1.51    1.55    1.55   1.53       1.55           1.55      1.56
  Corporate       1.76      1.91     1.59     1.44    1.32    1.22    1.26    1.26   1.27       1.32           1.36      1.28
    AA
    PSU           1.90      1.98     1.70     1.58    1.41    1.26    1.28    1.27   1.33       1.43           1.52      1.45
    Bank          1.42      1.53     1.56     1.33    1.17    0.99    1.02    1.05   1.11       1.16           1.21      1.02
   NBFC           2.04      2.34     1.78     1.72    1.76    1.82    1.85    1.85   1.83       1.84           1.84      1.74
  Corporate       1.96      2.11     1.82     1.69    1.57    1.47    1.51    1.51   1.52       1.57           1.61      1.53




           E-UpDates April 2012                              12                      Surge Research Support
Weighted Average YTMs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Weighted Average YTMs




                                                          8.0
                                                                8.5
                                                                      9.0
                                                                                        9.5
                                                                                                             10.0
                                                                                                                                      10.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              8.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     8.4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             8.6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    8.8
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           9.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 9.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9.4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              9.6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    9.8
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          10.0
                                              July 2012




                                                                                                                   10.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           April 2012                                                                     9.85
                                         December 2012




                                                                                                                                       10.4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            May 2012                                                   9.22
                                             April 2013




                                                                                                                  9.9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       November 2014                8.19
                                             June 2013                                                                                                                                                                                               8.25




                                                                                                                                      10.4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            June 2015




E-UpDates April 2012
                                         December 2014                                                                                                                                                                 September 2015               8.22




                                                                                                             9.9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         October 2015          8.13
                                         December 2014




                                                                                               9.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           April 2016                  8.33
                                           January 2015




                                                                                              9.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         August 2016                   8.34
                                          February 2015




                                                                                                      9.7
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         January 2017                  8.35
                                             June 2015




                                                                                                          9.8
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            July 2017                        8.47

                                     September 2016                                                                                                                                                                      August 2017                 8.23




                                                                                        9.4
                                         December 2016                                                                                                                                                                     April 2018                       8.44




                                                                                                    9.6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           April 2018                  8.35




13
                                             June 2017




                                                                                                            9.8
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         January 2020                         8.51
                                         December 2017




                                                                                  9.3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         January 2020                      8.40
                                         December 2018




                                                                                         9.4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           April 2021                         8.49




                         Maturity Year
                                             June 2019                                                                                                                                                 Maturity Year                                 8.25




                                                                            9.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            May 2021
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Debt Market Yields




                                             June 2019                                                                                                                                                                 November 2021                       8.36




                                                                            9.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         August 2022                       8.40
                                         December 2020




                                                                                   9.3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Yields of GSecs Traded in March 2012




                                                                                                                                                                                                                       September 2022                        8.46
                                              July 2021
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       November 2024                       8.39
                                           August 2021


                                                                                                                          10.1 10.1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        February 2027                       8.43
                                                                                                                                              Yields of Benchmark Corporate Bonds (AAA) - March 2012




                                         November 2021                                                                                                                                                                                                        8.51




                                                                                   9.3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         August 2027

                                         December 2022                                                                                                                                                                 September 2027                             8.54




                                                                            9.1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    8.63




Surge Research Support
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       December 2030
                                         December 2023


                                                                                  9.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        February 2032                         8.51
                                         December 2024                              9.3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         August 2032                                8.63
                                         December 2025
                                                                                    9.3


                                                                                                                                                                                                                         August 2034                        8.42

                                            March 2026
                                                                              9.2


                                                                                                                                                                                                                            July 2040                              8.61

                                           August 2026                                                                                                                                                                 December 2041                                8.64
                                                                                        9.3
Equity Market Turnover
BSE Equity Market                                                                 BSE Sensitive Index, Sensex (30 Scrips) (1978-79=100)
                                                        Average
                                                          Daily     Market
               No of co.s No. of scrips     Turnover    Turnover Capitalisation                            Month-
Month/Year      listed*     traded           (Rs.cr)     (Rs.cr)   (Rs.cr)*          High       Low        Closing      P/E            P/B    Div Yield
   Jan-12            5115       3016        52339.8      2379.1      6053984.4     17258.97    15358.02    17193.55    17.09           3.30     1.56
   Feb-12            5122       3101        68912.8      3445.6      6351265.5     18523.78    17061.55    17752.68    18.32           3.55     1.44

   Mar-12            5133       3064        61694.1      2804.3      6209534.6     18040.69    16920.61    17404.2     17.85           3.46     1.47

NSE Capital Market Segment                                                        S&P CNX Nifty (50 Scrips)(Nov.3, 1993=100)
                                                        Average
                                                          Daily     Market
               No of co.s No. of scrips     Turnover    Turnover Capitalisation                            Month-
 Month/Year     listed*     traded           (Rs.cr)     (Rs.cr)   (Rs.cr)*          High       Low        Closing      P/E            P/B    Div Yield

   Jan-12            1641       1721        236872.0     10767.0     5937039.0      5217.00    4588.05     5199.25     17.71           2.89     1.56

   Feb-12            1644       1649        327808.0     16390.0     6233250.0      5629.95    5159.00     5385.20     19.09           3.06     1.46
   Mar-12            1646       1807        272482.0     12386.0     6096518.0      5499.40    5135.95     5295.55     18.74           3.01     1.50
*End of the Month.


                                                                Derivatives Turnover
BSE Derivatives (F&O) Trades
                   Index Futures               Stock Futures            Index Options             Stock Options            Total       Average
                                                                                  Notional               Notional                       Daily
                 No. of     Turnover (Rs.    No. of     Turnover      No. of     Turnover       No. of Turnover No. of        Turnover Turnover
Month / Year    contracts       cr.)        contracts   (Rs. cr.)    contracts    (Rs. cr.)    contracts (Rs. cr.) contracts (Rs. cr.) (Rs. cr.)
   Jan-12       1899450       46638.88       64293       1939.51      829122       20576.78       ..          ..      2792865      69155.17    3143.42
   Feb-12       1268794       34075.22       46795       1730.21     16386797      398579.00    1063        34.44     17703449    434418.80 21720.94
   Mar-12       1434598       37677.91       52032       1488.20     7167217       189304.23    9798        248.00    8663645     228718.34 10396.29

NSE Derivatives (F&O) Segment
                   Index Futures               Stock Futures              Index Options           Stock Options                Total        Average
                                                                                   Notional              Notional                            Daily
                 No. of     Turnover (Rs.    No. of     Turnover      No. of       Turnover     No. of Turnover No. of            Turnover Turnover
Month / Year    contracts       cr.)        contracts   (Rs. cr.)    contracts     (Rs. cr.)   contracts (Rs. cr.) contracts      (Rs. cr.) (Rs. cr.)

   Jan-12       10856475      250737.87     13958030    350848.12    62424041     1542542.16   4157796    107359.31 91396342 2251487.46 102340.34

   Feb-12       11289436      291138.4      15306021    451869.29    65316148     1777219.75   4028055    121550.66 95939660 2641778.08 132088.90

   Mar-12       13492062      337971.8      13262789    384126.28    80472606     2156836.57   3335448    100296.38 110562905 2979231.03 135419.59




        E-UpDates April 2012                                         14                                Surge Research Support
Index Movements

BSE: BSE Sensitive Index, Sensex (30 Scrips) (1978-79=100)
                       Open                             High                       Low                              Close                    Price/Earnings                                  Price/Bookvalue                                  Dividend Yield

  1-Mar-12             17714.62                         17717.53                  17463.27                          17583.97                             18.11                                            3.51                                             1.45
  2-Mar-12             17661.39                         17731.88                  17504.38                          17636.80                             18.13                                            3.51                                             1.45
  3-Mar-12             17648.47                         17676.83                  17617.88                          17636.99                             18.12                                            3.51                                             1.45
  5-Mar-12             17598.42                         17598.42                  17312.30                          17362.87                             17.88                                            3.47                                             1.47
  6-Mar-12             17336.64                         17691.96                  17128.28                          17173.29                             17.70                                            3.43                                             1.48
  7-Mar-12             17127.18                         17239.35                  17008.77                          17145.52                             17.62                                            3.42                                             1.49
  9-Mar-12             17325.82                         17531.62                  17325.82                          17503.24                             17.96                                            3.48                                             1.46
 12-Mar-12             17772.10                         17772.10                  17494.65                          17587.67                             18.04                                            3.50                                             1.46
 13-Mar-12             17680.23                         17842.92                  17680.23                          17813.62                             18.28                                            3.54                                             1.44
 14-Mar-12             18003.15                         18040.69                  17837.22                          17919.30                             18.37                                            3.56                                             1.43
 15-Mar-12             17916.85                         17918.25                  17622.13                          17675.85                             18.14                                            3.52                                             1.45
 16-Mar-12             17656.81                         17871.00                  17426.58                          17466.20                             17.88                                            3.47                                             1.47
 19-Mar-12             17531.47                         17561.46                  17226.43                          17273.37                             17.66                                            3.42                                             1.49
 20-Mar-12             17308.89                         17410.13                  17211.73                          17316.18                             17.69                                            3.43                                             1.48
 21-Mar-12             17301.16                         17622.87                  17275.88                          17601.71                             17.96                                            3.48                                             1.46
 22-Mar-12             17586.06                         17687.01                  17136.50                          17196.47                             17.62                                            3.42                                             1.49
 23-Mar-12             17257.72                         17458.35                  17179.33                          17361.74                             17.76                                            3.44                                             1.48
 26-Mar-12             17377.59                         17377.59                  17021.85                          17052.78                             17.44                                            3.38                                             1.51
 27-Mar-12             17209.13                         17366.84                  17061.16                          17257.36                             17.61                                            3.41                                             1.49
 28-Mar-12             17234.48                         17245.82                  17040.12                          17121.62                             17.47                                            3.39                                             1.50
 29-Mar-12             17039.85                         17109.35                  16920.61                          17058.61                             17.44                                            3.38                                             1.51
 30-Mar-12             17117.41                         17439.51                  17105.22                          17404.20                             17.78                                            3.45                                             1.48




    18200
                                   BSE                                   High                                       Low                                  NSE                                     High                                         Low                      5550
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       5500
    18000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       5450
    17800
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       5400
    17600                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              5350
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       5300
    17400
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       5250
    17200
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       5200
    17000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              5150
            1-Mar-12

                       2-Mar-12

                                  3-Mar-12

                                             5-Mar-12

                                                          6-Mar-12

                                                                     7-Mar-12

                                                                                9-Mar-12

                                                                                           12-Mar-12
                                                                                                        13-Mar-12

                                                                                                                     14-Mar-12

                                                                                                                                 15-Mar-12

                                                                                                                                             16-Mar-12

                                                                                                                                                         19-Mar-12

                                                                                                                                                                     20-Mar-12

                                                                                                                                                                                 21-Mar-12

                                                                                                                                                                                              22-Mar-12

                                                                                                                                                                                                          23-Mar-12

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      26-Mar-12

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  27-Mar-12

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               28-Mar-12

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           29-Mar-12




   E-UpDates April 2012                                                                                                     15                                                               Surge Research Support
NSE: S&P CNX Nifty (50 Scrips)(Nov.3, 1993=100)
               Open          High         Low             Close        Price/Earnings      Price/Bookvalue     Dividend Yield
   1-Mar-12      5366.00      5372.45         5297.50       5339.75          18.92                3.01                  1.48
   2-Mar-12      5369.45      5392.55         5315.05       5359.35          18.99                3.04                  1.48
   3-Mar-12      5360.05      5369.60         5353.40       5359.40          18.99                3.04                  1.48
   5-Mar-12      5342.55      5344.50         5265.70       5280.35          18.71                2.99                  1.50
   6-Mar-12      5266.00      5382.05         5206.40       5222.40          18.51                2.96                  1.52
   7-Mar-12      5207.05      5243.85         5171.45       5220.45          18.50                2.96                  1.52
   9-Mar-12      5294.10      5342.30         5291.60       5333.55          18.90                3.02                  1.48
  12-Mar-12      5420.10      5421.90         5327.30       5359.55          18.94                3.05                  1.49
  13-Mar-12      5391.05      5438.65         5390.80       5429.50          19.18                3.09                  1.47
  14-Mar-12      5490.55      5499.40         5437.80       5463.90          19.31                3.10                  1.46
  15-Mar-12      5462.50      5462.50         5362.30       5380.50          19.01                3.06                  1.48
  16-Mar-12      5380.35      5445.65         5305.00       5317.90          18.79                3.02                  1.50
  19-Mar-12      5337.35      5340.70         5238.55       5257.05          18.58                2.99                  1.51
  20-Mar-12      5257.15      5297.35         5233.25       5274.85          18.64                3.00                  1.51
  21-Mar-12      5267.20      5372.35         5256.00       5364.95          18.96                3.05                  1.48
  22-Mar-12      5361.10      5385.95         5205.65       5228.45          18.47                2.97                  1.52
  23-Mar-12      5255.65      5312.00         5220.00       5278.20          18.65                3.00                  1.51
  26-Mar-12      5274.35      5274.95         5174.90       5184.25          18.32                2.95                  1.54
  27-Mar-12      5242.95      5277.95         5184.65       5243.15          18.53                2.98                  1.52
  28-Mar-12      5231.70      5236.55         5169.60       5194.75          18.36                2.95                  1.53
  29-Mar-12      5145.95      5194.30         5135.95       5178.85          18.30                2.94                  1.54
  30-Mar-12      5206.60      5307.10         5203.65       5295.55          18.71                3.01                  1.50


FUTIDX-NIFTY Futures
(Expiry 29-Mar-12)

              Open         High         Low         Close         Settlement Price   No. of contracts    Change in OI
  1-Mar-12      5413.7      5427.0       5341.0         5390.8              5390.8            3,47,663         -4,57,500
  2-Mar-12      5405.0      5438.0       5351.5         5391.5              5391.5            3,17,808         -4,60,100
  3-Mar-12      5394.1      5403.0       5386.5         5396.5              5396.5              15970             24750
  5-Mar-12      5377.0      5377.4       5295.0         5318.6              5318.6            2,91,518         -2,17,850
  6-Mar-12      5292.0      5428.0       5232.0         5250.4              5250.4            6,76,885          8,84,300
  7-Mar-12      5219.0      5279.2       5201.0         5258.7              5258.7            4,17,591         -9,09,100
  9-Mar-12      5318.0      5373.8       5311.7         5364.2              5364.2            3,20,492          3,70,850
 12-Mar-12      5434.0      5434.0       5345.3         5388.8              5388.8            3,21,651         -2,93,350
 13-Mar-12      5401.0      5476.0       5370.0         5468.4              5468.4            2,68,373          1,04,200
 14-Mar-12      5531.2      5542.0       5472.0         5506.1              5506.1            3,00,704          6,86,250
 15-Mar-12      5495.0      5508.4       5397.4         5419.1              5419.1            3,84,522          6,18,200
 16-Mar-12      5414.1      5482.0       5330.7         5342.7              5342.7            6,80,488         10,61,150
 19-Mar-12      5355.1      5359.9       5258.6         5277.3              5277.3            3,61,144         -6,67,800
 20-Mar-12      5267.0      5326.8       5251.0         5297.0              5297.0            3,50,373         -8,90,250
 21-Mar-12      5289.0      5405.0       5275.6         5394.5              5394.5            3,92,165         -6,00,550
 22-Mar-12      5376.6      5410.0       5220.5         5240.1              5240.1            5,23,888         -8,54,900
 23-Mar-12      5252.3      5328.8       5231.3         5285.4              5285.4            4,63,368        -16,58,200
 26-Mar-12      5279.8      5279.8       5181.0         5191.3              5191.3            4,47,398        -12,14,500
 27-Mar-12      5245.0      5295.0       5188.2         5251.8              5251.8            5,73,096        -25,58,100
 28-Mar-12      5235.0      5247.3       5171.0         5197.4              5197.4            3,98,323        -13,45,150
 29-Mar-12      5155.0      5187.5       5133.5         5177.0              5178.9            4,48,939        -10,38,650




 E-UpDates April 2012                                       16                            Surge Research Support
Capital Market Flows
            Mutual Funds Investment Trends
                           Gross Purchases       Gross Sales   Net Investment
                Equity          (Rs Crores)      (Rs Crores)      (Rs Crores)
            1-Mar-12                  464.3           655.2            -190.8
            2-Mar-12                  398.0           547.6            -149.7
            3-Mar-12                    0.0             2.8              -2.8
            5-Mar-12                  415.2           558.8            -143.6
            6-Mar-12                  554.3           525.3              29.0
            7-Mar-12                  463.7           652.3            -188.7
            9-Mar-12                  649.7           524.5             125.2
            12-Mar-12                 678.9           435.3             243.6
            13-Mar-12                 463.8           483.1             -19.4
            14-Mar-12                 811.0           751.7              59.2
            15-Mar-12                 299.3           650.4            -351.1
            16-Mar-12                 566.9           884.7            -317.8
            19-Mar-12                 600.1           689.5             -89.4
            20-Mar-12                 496.9           571.1             -74.2
            21-Mar-12                 483.5           518.3             -34.8
            22-Mar-12                 569.0           628.4             -59.4
            23-Mar-12                 373.0           285.7              87.2
            26-Mar-12                 369.6           503.6            -133.9
            27-Mar-12                 554.4           706.5            -152.1
            28-Mar-12                 445.9           501.3             -55.3
            29-Mar-12                 442.0           570.4            -128.4
            30-Mar-12                 485.5           487.6              -2.1

             Total for Month           10585.0      12134.1           -1549.3



                               Gross Purchases   Gross Sales   Net Investment
                 Debt              (Rs Crores)   (Rs Crores)      (Rs Crores)
            1-Mar-12                    6529.0       3686.8           2842.2
            2-Mar-12                   11096.4       4686.6           6409.8
            3-Mar-12                       0.0          0.0              0.0
            5-Mar-12                    6964.0       2793.4           4170.6
            6-Mar-12                    8672.2       3539.5           5132.8
            7-Mar-12                   11855.9       4695.1           7160.8
            9-Mar-12                    8386.3       4094.8           4291.5
            12-Mar-12                   7992.3       2842.7           5149.6
            13-Mar-12                   5543.6       2193.6           3349.9
            14-Mar-12                   6291.3       3156.7           3134.7
            15-Mar-12                   8016.3       4352.2           3664.1
            16-Mar-12                   9696.3       3812.8           5883.4
            19-Mar-12                  12302.2       4085.7           8216.5
            20-Mar-12                  10950.7       3188.7           7761.9
            21-Mar-12                  12604.2       3817.4           8786.8
            22-Mar-12                  13911.9       3629.5          10282.4
            23-Mar-12                      5.9          7.3             -1.4
            26-Mar-12                  10571.0       4592.3           5978.7
            27-Mar-12                  12266.1       4920.2           7346.0
            28-Mar-12                  13606.1       5603.7           8002.4
            29-Mar-12                  12661.7      10426.9           2234.8
            30-Mar-12                   8156.9      17381.8          -9224.9

             Total for Month         198080.3       97507.7         100572.6



E-UpDates April 2012                                   17                       Surge Research Support
Mutual Funds Asset Position

   Mutual Funds Asset Position             Private Sector         Public Sector
    April 2011-February 2012               Mutual Funds           Mutual Funds           (of which) UTI              Total

          Mobilisation of Funds              51,30,191.7              1,028,991.6             473,351.0            6,159,183.3

    Net Inflow/ Outflow (-ve) of funds        49,470.1                 12,272.1                9,455.3              61,742.2
                                             549,855.2                125,383.2               62,737.2             675,238.4
   Cumulative Position of Net Assets as
        on Feb. 29, 2012 (%)                  81.43%                   18.57%                  9.29%                100.00%


                ECB                                           Dec-11                         Jan-12
                Automatic Route                          2,709,250,006                  1,784,205,937
                Approval Route                           1,759,592,317                    917,685,565
                Total ECB                                4,468,842,323                  2,701,891,502
               Value in USD


          FII Investments in Primary & Secondary Markets
                                                                                                  Net
                 Debt          Gross Purchases Gross Sales             Net Investment          Investment
                                 (Rs Crores)   (Rs Crores)              (Rs Crores)            US$ million
          1-Mar-12                         1145.1             106.5                  1038.6               212.2
          2-Mar-12                          496.3            1000.7                  -504.4               -102.6
          3-Mar-12
          5-Mar-12                          291.8             700.3                  -408.6                -82.8
          6-Mar-12                          513.7             541.2                   -27.4                 -5.5
          7-Mar-12                          287.7             728.8                  -441.1                -88.2
          9-Mar-12                          491.5            1592.3                 -1100.8               -217.7
          12-Mar-12                         601.1             591.7                     9.4                  1.9
          13-Mar-12                          85.3             554.6                  -469.3                -94.0
          14-Mar-12                         614.5             840.8                  -226.3                -45.4
          15-Mar-12                         473.0             369.1                   103.9                 20.8
          16-Mar-12                        1090.2             962.6                   127.5                 25.4
          19-Mar-12                         314.1             397.7                   -83.6                -16.6
          20-Mar-12                         249.7             306.3                   -56.6                -11.3
          21-Mar-12                         367.9            1277.0                  -909.1               -180.9
          22-Mar-12                        1262.1             934.8                   327.3                 64.7
          23-Mar-12
          26-Mar-12                        1584.4             701.2                   883.2               173.5
          27-Mar-12                         726.3            1062.8                  -336.6               -65.6
          28-Mar-12                         634.2            2049.7                 -1415.5               -278.1
          29-Mar-12                         469.2            2479.5                 -2010.3               -394.8
          30-Mar-12                         804.4            1893.3                 -1088.9               -212.9
          Total for Month                 12502.5           19090.9                 -6588.6              -1297.8
          Total for 2012                  62318.4           42920.2                 19398.2               3788.4




E-UpDates April 2012                                         18                                 Surge Research Support
E-Updates_Apr12—Indian & Global Economic Indicators
E-Updates_Apr12—Indian & Global Economic Indicators
E-Updates_Apr12—Indian & Global Economic Indicators
E-Updates_Apr12—Indian & Global Economic Indicators
E-Updates_Apr12—Indian & Global Economic Indicators
E-Updates_Apr12—Indian & Global Economic Indicators
E-Updates_Apr12—Indian & Global Economic Indicators
E-Updates_Apr12—Indian & Global Economic Indicators
E-Updates_Apr12—Indian & Global Economic Indicators
E-Updates_Apr12—Indian & Global Economic Indicators
E-Updates_Apr12—Indian & Global Economic Indicators

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E-Updates_Apr12—Indian & Global Economic Indicators

  • 1. April 2012 Surge Research Support www.ecofin-surge.co.in
  • 2. Table of Contents Contents Page 1. Important Rates to Remember ………… 3 2. Indian Economy — Growth Indicators ………… 4 3. Indian Economy — Price Indicators ………… 6 4. Indian Economy — Banking Indicators ………… 7 5. Indian Economy — Exchange Rates ………… 9 6. Indian Economy — Interest Rates ………… 11 7. Indian Economy — Stock Markets ………… 14 8. Indian Economy — Capital Flows ………… 17 9. Indian Economy — Commodity Markets ………… 20 10. Global Economy — Economic Indicators ………… 22 11. Global Economy — Stock Indices ………… 23 12. Global Economy — Commodity Indices 24 Special Feature Highlights of the Union Budget 2012-2013 25 www.ecofin-surge.co.in E-UpDates April 2012 2 Surge Research Support
  • 3. GDP IIP* 2011-12* 6.90% Jan-12 1.10% 2010-11 8.40% Jan-11 7.50% *Advanced Estimates *New Series with Base : 2004-05=100. As on 30-Mar-12 31-Mar-11 As on 30-Mar-12 31-Mar-11 Bank rate 9.50% 6.00% CRR 4.75% 6.00% Repo rate 8.50% 6.75% Base Rate 10.00-10.75% 8.25-9.50% Reverse repo 7.50% 5.75% CMR 6.75-15.0% 7.85-9.50% Inflation (WPI) Oil Price (World Average) Feb-12 6.95% Mar-12 117.8 Feb-11 9.54% Mar-11 108.6 US$ per barrel $/Rupee Rate Purchasing Managers Index March 30-Mar-12 51.15 HSBC Markit Mnfg. PMI 54.7 31-Mar-11 44.65 HSBC Markit Services PMI 52.3 RBI Reference rate For global rates visit: http://www.ecofin-surge.co.in/publications.html For explanations visit: http://www.ecofin-surge.co.in/terminology.html E-UpDates April 2012 3 Surge Research Support
  • 4. Growth Indicators GDP Growth Rates Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY 2011-12 7.7* 6.9* 6.1 6.9 (AE)* 2010-11 8.5* 7.6* 8.3* 7.8 8.4 (QE)* GDP[at Constant(2004-05) prices] Q3 Rs.Crore YoY Growth Q3 Rs.Crore YoY Growth 2010-11* (Share in 2011-12* (Share in GDP) GDP) (%) (%) 1 Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing 224,044 11.0 230,168 2.7 2 Mining & Quarrying 28,200 6.1 27,334 -3.1 3 Manufacturing 194,435 7.8 195,228 0.4 4 Electricity, Gas & Water Supply. 22,480 3.8 24,509 9.0 5 Construction 96,000 8.7 102,887 7.2 6 Trade, Hotels, Transport and Communication 330,573 9.8 361,074 9.2 7 Financing, Insurance, Real Estate & Business Services. 214,205 11.2 233,537 9.0 8 Community, Social & Personal Services. 152,857 -0.8 164,866 7.9 9 GDP at factor cost (1 to 8) 1,262,794 8.3 1,339,603 6.1 10 Private final consumption expenditure 818,122 7.6 (60.4) 869,193 6.2 (60.4) 11 Government final consumption expenditure 168,576 4.7 (12.5) 175,952 4.4 (12.2) 12 Gross fixed capital formation 437,564 11.1 (32.3) 432,169 -1.2 (30.0) 13 Changes in stocks 48,036 (3.5) 47,820 (3.3) 14 Valuables 29,981 (2.2) 32,909 (2.3) 15 Exports 316,694 28.1 (23.4) 358,160 13.1 (24.9) 16 Less Imports 401,587 14.2 (29.7) 471,062 17.3 (32.7) 17 Discrepancies -63,628 (-4.7) -6,222 (-0.4) 18 GDP at market price (10 to 17) 1,353,757 10.1 (100) 1,438,918 6.2 (100) *Estimates based on the New series of IIP. QE: Quick Estimates; AE: Advanced Estimates. E-UpDates April 2012 4 Surge Research Support
  • 5. 2010-11 Rs.Crore YoY Growth 2011-12 Rs.Crore YoY Growth (QE)* (%) (AE)* (%) 18 GDP at market price 5,236,823 9.6 5,627,685 7.5 19 Net Indirect Taxes (Less Subsidies ) 350,869 405,658 9 GDP at factor cost (18-19) 4,885,954 8.4 5,222,027 6.9 20 Net factor income from abroad -52,776 -50,489 21 Gross national income at factor cost 4,833,178 7.9 5,171,538 7.0 (9 + 20) 23 Net national product/National Income at factor cost (Less Depreciation) 4,268,715 7.8 4,568,249 7.0 24 Population (in million) 1186 1202 25 Per capita income (Rs.) (23/24) 35993 6.4 38005 5.6 Jan-12 Jan-11 Jan-12 FY2011-12 * FY2010-11* Production Index Index 2004-05 =100 Change (YoY, %) (Index of Industrial Production) 187.9 175.9 6.8 4.0 8.3 1. Mining 137.2 141.0 -2.7 -2.6 6.3 2. Manufacturing 202.4 186.5 8.5 4.4 8.9 3. Electricity 151.1 146.4 3.2 8.8 5.3 *April-January. The base year of IIP has been revised by the CSO from 1993-94 to 2004-05. 200 190 IIP-Annual Averages (Base : 2004-05=100) Mining & Quarrying (141.75) 180 169.0 170 159.3 Manufacturing 160 152.9 (755.27) 150 179.9 140 Electricity (103.16) 168.9 161.3 130 148.8 136.7 120 130.8 125.5 General Index 124.7 124.5 110 (1000.0) 100 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 E-UpDates April 2012 5 Surge Research Support
  • 6. Inflation Wholesale Price Index All Primary Non-food Crude (Base: 2004-05=100) Food Articles Manufactured Commodities Articles Articles Petroleum (Inflation %) Products December - 2011 156.9 (7.47) 197.9 190.8 178.6 300.0 140.6 January - 2012 157.7 (6.55) 199.7 191.4 182.8 304.5 141.2 February - 2012 158.4 (6.95) 201.5 192.3 186.7 304.5 141.7 Build up of inflation in the financial year so far is 5.95% compared to a build up of 8.66% in the corresponding period of the previous year. All India General Index Rural Areas Urban Areas Rural Agricultural Industrial (All Groups (All Groups) (All Groups) Labourers Labourers Workers Base combined) Base Base Base 1986- Base 1986- 2001=100 Consumer Price Index Base 2010=100 2010=100 87=100 87=100 (Inflation %) 2010=100 December - 2011 113.6 (F) 114.5 (F) 112.3 (F) 197 (6.49) 619 (6.72) 618 (6.37) January - 2012 114.0(F) 114.9 (F) 112.8(F) 198 (5.32) 619 (5.27) 618 (4.92) February - 2012 114.6(P)(8.83) 115.4 (P)(8.36) 113.5(P)(9.45) 199 (7.57) 623 (6.68) 621 (6.34) F: Final; P: Provisional. WPI (Base 2004-05=100) New Series 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar CPI Inflation-February 2012 Rural Urban Combined Cereals & Pdcts. 2.95 0.69 2.40 Pulses & Pdcts. 4.45 3.59 4.17 Oils etc 11.87 14.52 12.76 Egg, Meat & Fish 10.68 10.48 10.62 Milk & Pdcts. 15.88 15.31 15.76 Vegetables -4.83 -4.27 -4.73 Food & Beverages 6.33 7.17 6.62 Fuel & Light 13.05 12.19 12.78 Clothing etc 12.68 9.45 13.22 E-UpDates April 2012 6 Surge Research Support
  • 7. COMPONENTS & SOURCES OF MONEY STOCK (M3) AND THEIR VARIATIONS (Rs crores) March 31 January February# 2011 2012 2012 M3 6,499,548 7,159,470 7,226,270 % change during the month 2.21 (0.54) 0.93 % change since March 31 16.49 10.15 11.18 (A) Components of M3 ( 1+2+3+4) 1 Currency with the public 914,197 996,650 1,015,980 % change during the month 0.95 1.91 1.94 % change since March 31 19.03 9.02 11.13 2 Demand deposits with banks 717,660 664,540 667,340 % change during the month 6.51 (6.32) 0.42 % change since March 31 0.49 (7.40) (7.01) 3 Time deposits with banks 4,863,979 5,495,600 5,541,880 % change during the month 1.84 (0.24) 0.84 % change since March 31 18.82 12.99 13.94 4 Other deposits with RBI 3,713 2,680 1,060 % change during the month 2.63 17.03 (60.45) % change since March 31 (1.90) (27.82) (71.45) (B) Sources of M3 (5+6+7+8-9) 5 Net bank credit to govt.(i+ii) 1,982,771 2,301,010 2,326,600 % change during the month 6.67 2.95 1.11 % change since March 31 18.85 16.05 17.34 i RBI's credit 396,555 518,400 488,370 % change during the month 32.09 15.18 (5.79) % change since March 31 80.07 30.73 23.15 ii Other banks' credit 1,586,216 1,782,610 1,838,230 % change during the month 1.77 (0.14) 3.12 % change since March 31 9.54 12.38 15.89 6 Bank credit to commercial sector (i+ii) 4,235,406 4,669,320 4,726,820 % change during the month 3.81 (0.27) 1.23 % change since March 31 21.59 10.24 11.60 i RBI's credit 2,164 3,260 3,430 % change during the month 37.83 (0.31) 5.21 % change since March 31 62.95 50.65 58.50 ii Other banks' credit 4,233,242 4,666,060 4,723,390 % change during the month 3.80 (0.27) 1.23 % change since March 31 21.58 10.22 11.58 7 Net foreign exchange assets of the banking 1,393,327 1,481,270 1,461,960 sector % change during the month (0.24) (6.87) (1.30) % change since March 31 9.28 6.31 4.93 8 Government's currency liabilities to the 12,724 13,720 13,720 public % change during the month 4.71 - - % change since March 31 16.53 7.83 7.83 9 NNML of the banking sector (i+ii) 1,124,680 1,305,850 1,302,830 % change during the month 13.79 (1.26) (0.23) % change since March 31 31.10 16.11 15.84 i RBI's NNML 368,274 549,610 537,570 % change during the month (0.87) (11.81) (2.19) % change since March 31 18.68 49.24 45.97 ii Other bank's NNML(Residual) 756,406 756,240 765,260 % change during the month 22.62 8.15 1.19 % change since March 31 38.13 (0.02) 1.17 Note: (i) Figures in parentheses denote negative numbers. (ii) # data are of February 24, 2012. E-UpDates April 2012 7 Surge Research Support
  • 8. COMPONENTS & SOURCES OF RESERVE MONEY AND THEIR VARIATIONS (Rs crore) March February March 2011 2012 2012 Reserve Money : 1,376,881 1,441,000 1,414,830 % change during the month 7.64 0.75 (1.82) % change since March 31 19.18 4.66 2.76 (A) Components of Reserve Money (1+2+3) 1 Currency in circulation 949,659 1,057,660 1,072,220 % change during the month 0.93 1.87 1.38 % change since March 31 18.83 11.37 12.91 2 Banker's deposits with RBI 423,509 380,070 340,850 % change during the month 26.58 (2.36) (10.32) % change since March 31 20.21 (10.26) (19.52) 3 "Other" deposits with RBI 3,713 3,270 1,760 % change during the month 2.63 22.01 (46.18) % change since March 31 -1.90 (11.93) (52.60) (B) Sources of Reserve Money (4+5+6+7-8) 4 Net RBI credit to Government 396,555 543,600 517,100 % change during the month 32.09 4.86 (4.87) % change since March 31 80.07 37.08 30.40 RBI credit to Banks & Commercial Sector 7,324 8,430 12,750 5 % change during the month 46.60 (32.83) 51.25 % change since March 31 193.31 15.10 74.09 5.1 RBI credit to banks(including NABARD) 5,159 4,970 8,790 % change during the month 50.58 (46.50) 76.86 % change since March 31 341.32 (3.66) 70.38 5.2 RBI credit to Commercial Sector 2,165 3,460 3,960 % change during the month 37.90 6.13 14.45 % change since March 31 63.03 59.82 82.91 6 Net Foreign Exchange Assets of RBI 1,328,553 1,421,460 1,462,780 % change during the month -0.35 (0.96) 2.91 % change since March 31 7.84 6.99 10.10 7 Govt's Currency Liabilities to the Public 12,724 13,720 13,720 % change during the month 4.71 - - % change since March 31 16.53 7.83 7.83 8 Net Non-monetary Liabilities of RBI 368,274 546,200 591,520 % change during the month -0.87 (0.62) 8.30 % change since March 31 18.68 48.31 60.62 Note: (i) Figures in parentheses denote negative numbers. E-UpDates April 2012 8 Surge Research Support
  • 9. Exchange Rate Movement of the Rupee (INR) Average of Buying & Selling Dollar Euro Date Day Spot 1 Month 3 Month 6 Month Spot 1 Month 3 Month 6 Month 2-Mar-12 Fri 49.52 49.97 50.58 51.33 65.66 66.26 67.12 68.11 6-Mar-12 Tue 50.00 50.42 51.07 51.80 65.99 66.54 67.44 68.42 7-Mar-12 Wed 50.30 50.73 51.37 52.12 66.17 66.73 67.63 68.61 9-Mar-12 Fri 49.89 50.33 50.99 51.78 65.99 66.57 67.46 68.54 12-Mar-12 Mon 49.91 50.37 51.05 51.81 65.52 66.11 67.02 68.06 13-Mar-12 Tue 49.89 50.34 50.98 51.82 65.47 66.05 66.94 68.06 14-Mar-12 Wed 49.98 50.41 51.08 51.87 65.31 65.86 66.76 67.83 15-Mar-12 Thu 50.46 50.89 51.56 52.37 65.84 66.40 67.32 68.38 16-Mar-12 Fri 50.34 50.77 51.45 52.25 65.70 66.25 67.14 68.23 17-Mar-12 Sat 50.24 50.70 51.36 52.20 66.11 66.70 67.57 68.72 20-Mar-12 Tue 50.42 50.87 51.56 52.43 66.57 67.16 68.06 69.27 21-Mar-12 Wed 50.54 51.01 51.68 52.59 67.00 67.61 68.55 69.77 22-Mar-12 Thu 51.11 51.59 52.27 53.11 67.29 67.92 68.84 69.97 27-Mar-12 Tue 50.74 51.26 51.87 52.68 67.76 68.43 69.26 70.38 28-Mar-12 Wed 50.92 51.42 52.06 52.79 67.97 68.62 69.46 70.50 29-Mar-12 Thu 51.33 51.73 52.36 53.11 68.14 68.66 69.53 70.53 30-Mar-12 Fri 50.89 51.29 51.94 52.66 67.92 68.44 69.32 70.33 Pound Yen Date Day Spot 1 Month 3 Month 6 Month Spot 1 Month 3 Month 6 Month 2-Mar-12 Fri 78.89 79.60 80.56 81.68 60.77 61.35 62.14 63.09 6-Mar-12 Tue 79.27 79.91 80.93 82.02 61.37 61.90 62.74 63.68 7-Mar-12 Wed 79.18 79.83 80.83 81.94 62.28 62.83 63.66 64.64 9-Mar-12 Fri 78.68 79.35 80.39 81.57 60.95 61.52 62.38 63.38 12-Mar-12 Mon 78.22 78.92 79.92 81.10 60.67 61.25 62.07 63.08 13-Mar-12 Tue 78.08 78.77 79.79 81.02 60.39 60.97 61.80 62.85 14-Mar-12 Wed 78.49 79.15 80.21 81.38 59.93 60.45 61.30 62.29 15-Mar-12 Thu 79.00 79.66 80.69 81.91 60.48 61.01 61.84 62.87 16-Mar-12 Fri 79.17 79.83 80.85 82.08 60.10 60.63 61.46 62.48 17-Mar-12 Sat 79.58 80.29 81.30 82.58 60.41 60.99 61.81 62.87 20-Mar-12 Tue 80.01 80.71 81.75 83.10 60.16 60.71 61.54 62.65 21-Mar-12 Wed 80.20 80.92 82.00 83.37 60.25 60.82 61.68 62.79 22-Mar-12 Thu 80.75 81.49 82.54 83.82 61.63 62.22 63.07 64.14 27-Mar-12 Tue 81.05 81.85 82.82 84.04 61.30 61.94 62.72 63.74 28-Mar-12 Wed 81.12 81.89 82.86 84.00 61.32 61.92 62.70 63.65 29-Mar-12 Thu 81.44 82.05 83.02 84.16 62.43 62.93 63.71 64.68 30-Mar-12 Fri 81.54 82.16 83.14 84.29 62.05 62.56 63.36 64.33 E-UpDates April 2012 9 Surge Research Support
  • 10. Exchange Rate Movement of the Rupee (INR) Annualised Premia Dollar Euro Date Day 1 Month 3 Month 6 Month 1 Month 3 Month 6 Month 2-Mar-12 Fri 11.60 8.84 7.44 11.64 9.23 7.62 6-Mar-12 Tue 10.56 8.88 7.33 10.47 9.08 7.50 7-Mar-12 Wed 10.76 8.83 7.37 10.74 9.12 7.53 9-Mar-12 Fri 11.11 9.12 7.72 11.07 9.25 7.89 12-Mar-12 Mon 11.64 9.41 7.74 11.46 9.48 7.90 13-Mar-12 Tue 11.38 9.07 7.89 11.16 9.29 8.05 14-Mar-12 Wed 10.70 9.10 7.71 10.59 9.18 7.87 15-Mar-12 Thu 10.72 9.05 7.71 10.80 9.30 7.88 16-Mar-12 Fri 10.75 9.16 7.73 10.62 9.09 7.87 17-Mar-12 Sat 11.56 9.22 7.93 11.35 9.13 8.07 20-Mar-12 Tue 11.25 9.36 8.13 11.17 9.23 8.28 21-Mar-12 Wed 11.75 9.38 8.28 11.59 9.58 8.46 22-Mar-12 Thu 11.87 9.39 7.98 11.83 9.54 8.14 27-Mar-12 Tue 12.88 9.21 7.77 12.63 9.19 7.90 28-Mar-12 Wed 12.31 9.22 7.46 12.10 9.06 7.58 29-Mar-12 Thu 9.76 8.27 7.04 9.55 8.41 7.15 30-Mar-12 Fri 9.85 8.55 7.08 9.68 8.54 7.24 Pound Yen Date Day 1 Month 3 Month 6 Month 1 Month 3 Month 6 Month 2-Mar-12 Fri 11.35 8.74 7.20 12.07 9.33 7.80 6-Mar-12 Tue 10.05 8.64 7.06 10.76 9.20 7.65 7-Mar-12 Wed 10.39 8.63 7.11 11.13 9.20 7.72 9-Mar-12 Fri 10.71 9.01 7.49 11.71 9.69 8.12 12-Mar-12 Mon 11.20 8.98 7.50 11.98 9.52 8.10 13-Mar-12 Tue 11.14 9.02 7.67 12.15 9.71 8.31 14-Mar-12 Wed 10.49 9.03 7.49 10.92 9.50 8.03 15-Mar-12 Thu 10.50 8.81 7.49 11.04 9.30 8.04 16-Mar-12 Fri 10.39 8.76 7.47 11.11 9.36 8.08 17-Mar-12 Sat 11.16 8.93 7.68 12.04 9.56 8.29 20-Mar-12 Tue 10.94 8.99 7.87 11.54 9.50 8.43 21-Mar-12 Wed 11.40 9.31 8.07 12.07 9.87 8.63 22-Mar-12 Thu 11.57 9.17 7.74 12.11 9.68 8.29 27-Mar-12 Tue 12.43 9.03 7.51 13.27 9.59 8.10 28-Mar-12 Wed 12.01 8.89 7.24 12.50 9.35 7.74 29-Mar-12 Thu 9.37 7.99 6.79 9.94 8.46 7.34 30-Mar-12 Fri 9.60 8.11 6.87 10.32 8.72 7.47 E-UpDates April 2012 10 Surge Research Support
  • 11. Money Market Rates & Liquidity Over- Net Injection(+)/ Repo Rates night RBI Absorption(-) of Liquidity (Repo/Reverse Rates Call LAF (Rs. Crore) Repo) (%) Money* CBLO* Mibor USD Libor 1-Mar-12 191665.0 8.5/7.5% 8.97 8.83 9.05 0.139 2-Mar-12 159460.0 8.72 7.54 9.09 0.139 3-Mar-12 0.0 8.34 7.07 0.140 5-Mar-12 103400.0 8.84 8.14 8.86 0.141 6-Mar-12 85420.0 8.85 8.59 8.78 0.142 7-Mar-12 127280.0 # 8.85 8.53 8.88 0.142 9-Mar-12 131725.0 8.68 6.70 8.95 0.142 10-Mar-12 0.0 8.53 8.51 12-Mar-12 129895.0 8.78 8.46 8.80 0.142 13-Mar-12 123090.0 8.83 8.48 8.90 0.143 14-Mar-12 124855.0 8.86 8.51 8.90 0.147 15-Mar-12 134795.0 8.88 8.57 8.92 0.147 16-Mar-12 177680.0 8.83 8.43 9.10 0.149 17-Mar-12 0.0 8.90 7.05 19-Mar-12 158770.0 8.94 8.54 8.99 0.149 20-Mar-12 149465.0 8.93 8.60 8.96 0.152 21-Mar-12 150070.0 # 8.96 8.66 8.95 0.152 22-Mar-12 197940.0 # 9.17 8.73 9.28 0.153 24-Mar-12 0.0 # 9.00 8.49 26-Mar-12 195935.0 # 9.42 7.24 9.62 0.153 27-Mar-12 178885.0 # 9.41 7.38 9.52 0.153 28-Mar-12 164175.0 # 9.43 8.53 9.51 0.153 29-Mar-12 164840.0 # 9.50 9.23 9.53 0.153 30-Mar-12 202785.0 8.5/7.5 # 11.77 9.42 11.99 0.153 *Weighted average rates; # Includes liquidity provided under MSF at 9.5%. Call Money Mibor USD Libor 0.154 11.90 0.152 11.30 0.150 10.70 0.148 10.10 0.146 0.144 9.50 0.142 8.90 0.140 8.30 0.138 1-Mar-12 3-Mar-12 5-Mar-12 7-Mar-12 9-Mar-12 11-Mar-12 13-Mar-12 15-Mar-12 17-Mar-12 19-Mar-12 21-Mar-12 23-Mar-12 25-Mar-12 27-Mar-12 29-Mar-12 E-UpDates April 2012 11 Surge Research Support
  • 12. Debt Market Yields Constant Maturity Yields for Government Bonds - March 2012 >10 Year & >15 Year & Date 3 months 6 months 1 year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 7 Year 10 Year <=15 Year <= 20 Year >20 Year 1-Mar-12 8.98 8.73 8.45 8.31 8.42 8.43 8.22 8.47 8.54 8.57 2-Mar-12 8.95 8.72 8.40 8.24 8.41 8.54 8.60 5-Mar-12 8.96 8.21 8.40 8.54 8.49 6-Mar-12 8.91 8.23 8.22 8.36 8.54 8.56 7-Mar-12 9.00 8.45 8.20 8.32 8.35 8.24 8.36 8.54 8.56 9-Mar-12 8.98 8.32 8.25 8.32 8.49 12-Mar-12 8.92 8.72 8.34 8.55 8.58 13-Mar-12 8.92 8.30 8.40 8.55 8.61 14-Mar-12 8.90 8.05 8.51 8.38 8.58 8.60 15-Mar-12 8.93 8.59 8.38 8.45 8.39 8.53 8.60 16-Mar-12 8.93 8.15 8.17 8.49 8.58 8.64 19-Mar-12 8.86 8.62 8.30 8.43 8.55 8.64 20-Mar-12 8.93 8.24 8.52 8.47 8.59 8.64 21-Mar-12 8.97 8.30 8.36 8.55 8.52 8.59 8.62 22-Mar-12 8.97 8.37 8.06 8.29 8.60 8.44 8.57 8.62 26-Mar-12 8.95 8.26 8.45 8.42 8.51 8.66 8.65 27-Mar-12 8.95 8.42 8.27 8.48 8.64 8.66 28-Mar-12 8.59 8.65 8.69 29-Mar-12 8.96 8.64 8.27 8.73 8.63 8.73 8.53 30-Mar-12 8.88 8.58 8.30 8.16 8.60 8.62 8.79 Month Average 8.94 8.66 8.38 8.12 8.25 8.33 8.37 8.56 8.29 8.45 8.58 8.61 Bond Yield Spreads over Gilts - March 2012 Maturity/ Type 6 months 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 15 Year AAA PSU 1.51 1.59 1.38 1.14 0.95 0.77 0.79 0.78 0.80 0.86 0.90 0.77 Bank 1.03 1.14 1.14 0.82 0.67 0.50 0.51 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.50 NBFC 1.70 1.94 1.45 1.22 1.11 1.04 1.09 1.09 1.13 1.18 1.26 1.12 Corporate 1.61 1.76 1.47 1.17 1.05 0.95 0.97 0.96 0.98 1.04 1.08 1.00 AA+ PSU 1.65 1.73 1.48 1.33 1.14 0.96 0.95 0.91 0.94 1.00 1.05 0.98 Bank 1.17 1.28 1.34 1.08 0.89 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.74 0.79 0.84 0.71 NBFC 1.80 2.14 1.58 1.47 1.48 1.51 1.55 1.55 1.53 1.55 1.55 1.56 Corporate 1.76 1.91 1.59 1.44 1.32 1.22 1.26 1.26 1.27 1.32 1.36 1.28 AA PSU 1.90 1.98 1.70 1.58 1.41 1.26 1.28 1.27 1.33 1.43 1.52 1.45 Bank 1.42 1.53 1.56 1.33 1.17 0.99 1.02 1.05 1.11 1.16 1.21 1.02 NBFC 2.04 2.34 1.78 1.72 1.76 1.82 1.85 1.85 1.83 1.84 1.84 1.74 Corporate 1.96 2.11 1.82 1.69 1.57 1.47 1.51 1.51 1.52 1.57 1.61 1.53 E-UpDates April 2012 12 Surge Research Support
  • 13. Weighted Average YTMs Weighted Average YTMs 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 8.0 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.8 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.8 10.0 July 2012 10.0 April 2012 9.85 December 2012 10.4 May 2012 9.22 April 2013 9.9 November 2014 8.19 June 2013 8.25 10.4 June 2015 E-UpDates April 2012 December 2014 September 2015 8.22 9.9 October 2015 8.13 December 2014 9.5 April 2016 8.33 January 2015 9.5 August 2016 8.34 February 2015 9.7 January 2017 8.35 June 2015 9.8 July 2017 8.47 September 2016 August 2017 8.23 9.4 December 2016 April 2018 8.44 9.6 April 2018 8.35 13 June 2017 9.8 January 2020 8.51 December 2017 9.3 January 2020 8.40 December 2018 9.4 April 2021 8.49 Maturity Year June 2019 Maturity Year 8.25 9.2 May 2021 Debt Market Yields June 2019 November 2021 8.36 9.2 August 2022 8.40 December 2020 9.3 Yields of GSecs Traded in March 2012 September 2022 8.46 July 2021 November 2024 8.39 August 2021 10.1 10.1 February 2027 8.43 Yields of Benchmark Corporate Bonds (AAA) - March 2012 November 2021 8.51 9.3 August 2027 December 2022 September 2027 8.54 9.1 8.63 Surge Research Support December 2030 December 2023 9.2 February 2032 8.51 December 2024 9.3 August 2032 8.63 December 2025 9.3 August 2034 8.42 March 2026 9.2 July 2040 8.61 August 2026 December 2041 8.64 9.3
  • 14. Equity Market Turnover BSE Equity Market BSE Sensitive Index, Sensex (30 Scrips) (1978-79=100) Average Daily Market No of co.s No. of scrips Turnover Turnover Capitalisation Month- Month/Year listed* traded (Rs.cr) (Rs.cr) (Rs.cr)* High Low Closing P/E P/B Div Yield Jan-12 5115 3016 52339.8 2379.1 6053984.4 17258.97 15358.02 17193.55 17.09 3.30 1.56 Feb-12 5122 3101 68912.8 3445.6 6351265.5 18523.78 17061.55 17752.68 18.32 3.55 1.44 Mar-12 5133 3064 61694.1 2804.3 6209534.6 18040.69 16920.61 17404.2 17.85 3.46 1.47 NSE Capital Market Segment S&P CNX Nifty (50 Scrips)(Nov.3, 1993=100) Average Daily Market No of co.s No. of scrips Turnover Turnover Capitalisation Month- Month/Year listed* traded (Rs.cr) (Rs.cr) (Rs.cr)* High Low Closing P/E P/B Div Yield Jan-12 1641 1721 236872.0 10767.0 5937039.0 5217.00 4588.05 5199.25 17.71 2.89 1.56 Feb-12 1644 1649 327808.0 16390.0 6233250.0 5629.95 5159.00 5385.20 19.09 3.06 1.46 Mar-12 1646 1807 272482.0 12386.0 6096518.0 5499.40 5135.95 5295.55 18.74 3.01 1.50 *End of the Month. Derivatives Turnover BSE Derivatives (F&O) Trades Index Futures Stock Futures Index Options Stock Options Total Average Notional Notional Daily No. of Turnover (Rs. No. of Turnover No. of Turnover No. of Turnover No. of Turnover Turnover Month / Year contracts cr.) contracts (Rs. cr.) contracts (Rs. cr.) contracts (Rs. cr.) contracts (Rs. cr.) (Rs. cr.) Jan-12 1899450 46638.88 64293 1939.51 829122 20576.78 .. .. 2792865 69155.17 3143.42 Feb-12 1268794 34075.22 46795 1730.21 16386797 398579.00 1063 34.44 17703449 434418.80 21720.94 Mar-12 1434598 37677.91 52032 1488.20 7167217 189304.23 9798 248.00 8663645 228718.34 10396.29 NSE Derivatives (F&O) Segment Index Futures Stock Futures Index Options Stock Options Total Average Notional Notional Daily No. of Turnover (Rs. No. of Turnover No. of Turnover No. of Turnover No. of Turnover Turnover Month / Year contracts cr.) contracts (Rs. cr.) contracts (Rs. cr.) contracts (Rs. cr.) contracts (Rs. cr.) (Rs. cr.) Jan-12 10856475 250737.87 13958030 350848.12 62424041 1542542.16 4157796 107359.31 91396342 2251487.46 102340.34 Feb-12 11289436 291138.4 15306021 451869.29 65316148 1777219.75 4028055 121550.66 95939660 2641778.08 132088.90 Mar-12 13492062 337971.8 13262789 384126.28 80472606 2156836.57 3335448 100296.38 110562905 2979231.03 135419.59 E-UpDates April 2012 14 Surge Research Support
  • 15. Index Movements BSE: BSE Sensitive Index, Sensex (30 Scrips) (1978-79=100) Open High Low Close Price/Earnings Price/Bookvalue Dividend Yield 1-Mar-12 17714.62 17717.53 17463.27 17583.97 18.11 3.51 1.45 2-Mar-12 17661.39 17731.88 17504.38 17636.80 18.13 3.51 1.45 3-Mar-12 17648.47 17676.83 17617.88 17636.99 18.12 3.51 1.45 5-Mar-12 17598.42 17598.42 17312.30 17362.87 17.88 3.47 1.47 6-Mar-12 17336.64 17691.96 17128.28 17173.29 17.70 3.43 1.48 7-Mar-12 17127.18 17239.35 17008.77 17145.52 17.62 3.42 1.49 9-Mar-12 17325.82 17531.62 17325.82 17503.24 17.96 3.48 1.46 12-Mar-12 17772.10 17772.10 17494.65 17587.67 18.04 3.50 1.46 13-Mar-12 17680.23 17842.92 17680.23 17813.62 18.28 3.54 1.44 14-Mar-12 18003.15 18040.69 17837.22 17919.30 18.37 3.56 1.43 15-Mar-12 17916.85 17918.25 17622.13 17675.85 18.14 3.52 1.45 16-Mar-12 17656.81 17871.00 17426.58 17466.20 17.88 3.47 1.47 19-Mar-12 17531.47 17561.46 17226.43 17273.37 17.66 3.42 1.49 20-Mar-12 17308.89 17410.13 17211.73 17316.18 17.69 3.43 1.48 21-Mar-12 17301.16 17622.87 17275.88 17601.71 17.96 3.48 1.46 22-Mar-12 17586.06 17687.01 17136.50 17196.47 17.62 3.42 1.49 23-Mar-12 17257.72 17458.35 17179.33 17361.74 17.76 3.44 1.48 26-Mar-12 17377.59 17377.59 17021.85 17052.78 17.44 3.38 1.51 27-Mar-12 17209.13 17366.84 17061.16 17257.36 17.61 3.41 1.49 28-Mar-12 17234.48 17245.82 17040.12 17121.62 17.47 3.39 1.50 29-Mar-12 17039.85 17109.35 16920.61 17058.61 17.44 3.38 1.51 30-Mar-12 17117.41 17439.51 17105.22 17404.20 17.78 3.45 1.48 18200 BSE High Low NSE High Low 5550 5500 18000 5450 17800 5400 17600 5350 5300 17400 5250 17200 5200 17000 5150 1-Mar-12 2-Mar-12 3-Mar-12 5-Mar-12 6-Mar-12 7-Mar-12 9-Mar-12 12-Mar-12 13-Mar-12 14-Mar-12 15-Mar-12 16-Mar-12 19-Mar-12 20-Mar-12 21-Mar-12 22-Mar-12 23-Mar-12 26-Mar-12 27-Mar-12 28-Mar-12 29-Mar-12 E-UpDates April 2012 15 Surge Research Support
  • 16. NSE: S&P CNX Nifty (50 Scrips)(Nov.3, 1993=100) Open High Low Close Price/Earnings Price/Bookvalue Dividend Yield 1-Mar-12 5366.00 5372.45 5297.50 5339.75 18.92 3.01 1.48 2-Mar-12 5369.45 5392.55 5315.05 5359.35 18.99 3.04 1.48 3-Mar-12 5360.05 5369.60 5353.40 5359.40 18.99 3.04 1.48 5-Mar-12 5342.55 5344.50 5265.70 5280.35 18.71 2.99 1.50 6-Mar-12 5266.00 5382.05 5206.40 5222.40 18.51 2.96 1.52 7-Mar-12 5207.05 5243.85 5171.45 5220.45 18.50 2.96 1.52 9-Mar-12 5294.10 5342.30 5291.60 5333.55 18.90 3.02 1.48 12-Mar-12 5420.10 5421.90 5327.30 5359.55 18.94 3.05 1.49 13-Mar-12 5391.05 5438.65 5390.80 5429.50 19.18 3.09 1.47 14-Mar-12 5490.55 5499.40 5437.80 5463.90 19.31 3.10 1.46 15-Mar-12 5462.50 5462.50 5362.30 5380.50 19.01 3.06 1.48 16-Mar-12 5380.35 5445.65 5305.00 5317.90 18.79 3.02 1.50 19-Mar-12 5337.35 5340.70 5238.55 5257.05 18.58 2.99 1.51 20-Mar-12 5257.15 5297.35 5233.25 5274.85 18.64 3.00 1.51 21-Mar-12 5267.20 5372.35 5256.00 5364.95 18.96 3.05 1.48 22-Mar-12 5361.10 5385.95 5205.65 5228.45 18.47 2.97 1.52 23-Mar-12 5255.65 5312.00 5220.00 5278.20 18.65 3.00 1.51 26-Mar-12 5274.35 5274.95 5174.90 5184.25 18.32 2.95 1.54 27-Mar-12 5242.95 5277.95 5184.65 5243.15 18.53 2.98 1.52 28-Mar-12 5231.70 5236.55 5169.60 5194.75 18.36 2.95 1.53 29-Mar-12 5145.95 5194.30 5135.95 5178.85 18.30 2.94 1.54 30-Mar-12 5206.60 5307.10 5203.65 5295.55 18.71 3.01 1.50 FUTIDX-NIFTY Futures (Expiry 29-Mar-12) Open High Low Close Settlement Price No. of contracts Change in OI 1-Mar-12 5413.7 5427.0 5341.0 5390.8 5390.8 3,47,663 -4,57,500 2-Mar-12 5405.0 5438.0 5351.5 5391.5 5391.5 3,17,808 -4,60,100 3-Mar-12 5394.1 5403.0 5386.5 5396.5 5396.5 15970 24750 5-Mar-12 5377.0 5377.4 5295.0 5318.6 5318.6 2,91,518 -2,17,850 6-Mar-12 5292.0 5428.0 5232.0 5250.4 5250.4 6,76,885 8,84,300 7-Mar-12 5219.0 5279.2 5201.0 5258.7 5258.7 4,17,591 -9,09,100 9-Mar-12 5318.0 5373.8 5311.7 5364.2 5364.2 3,20,492 3,70,850 12-Mar-12 5434.0 5434.0 5345.3 5388.8 5388.8 3,21,651 -2,93,350 13-Mar-12 5401.0 5476.0 5370.0 5468.4 5468.4 2,68,373 1,04,200 14-Mar-12 5531.2 5542.0 5472.0 5506.1 5506.1 3,00,704 6,86,250 15-Mar-12 5495.0 5508.4 5397.4 5419.1 5419.1 3,84,522 6,18,200 16-Mar-12 5414.1 5482.0 5330.7 5342.7 5342.7 6,80,488 10,61,150 19-Mar-12 5355.1 5359.9 5258.6 5277.3 5277.3 3,61,144 -6,67,800 20-Mar-12 5267.0 5326.8 5251.0 5297.0 5297.0 3,50,373 -8,90,250 21-Mar-12 5289.0 5405.0 5275.6 5394.5 5394.5 3,92,165 -6,00,550 22-Mar-12 5376.6 5410.0 5220.5 5240.1 5240.1 5,23,888 -8,54,900 23-Mar-12 5252.3 5328.8 5231.3 5285.4 5285.4 4,63,368 -16,58,200 26-Mar-12 5279.8 5279.8 5181.0 5191.3 5191.3 4,47,398 -12,14,500 27-Mar-12 5245.0 5295.0 5188.2 5251.8 5251.8 5,73,096 -25,58,100 28-Mar-12 5235.0 5247.3 5171.0 5197.4 5197.4 3,98,323 -13,45,150 29-Mar-12 5155.0 5187.5 5133.5 5177.0 5178.9 4,48,939 -10,38,650 E-UpDates April 2012 16 Surge Research Support
  • 17. Capital Market Flows Mutual Funds Investment Trends Gross Purchases Gross Sales Net Investment Equity (Rs Crores) (Rs Crores) (Rs Crores) 1-Mar-12 464.3 655.2 -190.8 2-Mar-12 398.0 547.6 -149.7 3-Mar-12 0.0 2.8 -2.8 5-Mar-12 415.2 558.8 -143.6 6-Mar-12 554.3 525.3 29.0 7-Mar-12 463.7 652.3 -188.7 9-Mar-12 649.7 524.5 125.2 12-Mar-12 678.9 435.3 243.6 13-Mar-12 463.8 483.1 -19.4 14-Mar-12 811.0 751.7 59.2 15-Mar-12 299.3 650.4 -351.1 16-Mar-12 566.9 884.7 -317.8 19-Mar-12 600.1 689.5 -89.4 20-Mar-12 496.9 571.1 -74.2 21-Mar-12 483.5 518.3 -34.8 22-Mar-12 569.0 628.4 -59.4 23-Mar-12 373.0 285.7 87.2 26-Mar-12 369.6 503.6 -133.9 27-Mar-12 554.4 706.5 -152.1 28-Mar-12 445.9 501.3 -55.3 29-Mar-12 442.0 570.4 -128.4 30-Mar-12 485.5 487.6 -2.1 Total for Month 10585.0 12134.1 -1549.3 Gross Purchases Gross Sales Net Investment Debt (Rs Crores) (Rs Crores) (Rs Crores) 1-Mar-12 6529.0 3686.8 2842.2 2-Mar-12 11096.4 4686.6 6409.8 3-Mar-12 0.0 0.0 0.0 5-Mar-12 6964.0 2793.4 4170.6 6-Mar-12 8672.2 3539.5 5132.8 7-Mar-12 11855.9 4695.1 7160.8 9-Mar-12 8386.3 4094.8 4291.5 12-Mar-12 7992.3 2842.7 5149.6 13-Mar-12 5543.6 2193.6 3349.9 14-Mar-12 6291.3 3156.7 3134.7 15-Mar-12 8016.3 4352.2 3664.1 16-Mar-12 9696.3 3812.8 5883.4 19-Mar-12 12302.2 4085.7 8216.5 20-Mar-12 10950.7 3188.7 7761.9 21-Mar-12 12604.2 3817.4 8786.8 22-Mar-12 13911.9 3629.5 10282.4 23-Mar-12 5.9 7.3 -1.4 26-Mar-12 10571.0 4592.3 5978.7 27-Mar-12 12266.1 4920.2 7346.0 28-Mar-12 13606.1 5603.7 8002.4 29-Mar-12 12661.7 10426.9 2234.8 30-Mar-12 8156.9 17381.8 -9224.9 Total for Month 198080.3 97507.7 100572.6 E-UpDates April 2012 17 Surge Research Support
  • 18. Mutual Funds Asset Position Mutual Funds Asset Position Private Sector Public Sector April 2011-February 2012 Mutual Funds Mutual Funds (of which) UTI Total Mobilisation of Funds 51,30,191.7 1,028,991.6 473,351.0 6,159,183.3 Net Inflow/ Outflow (-ve) of funds 49,470.1 12,272.1 9,455.3 61,742.2 549,855.2 125,383.2 62,737.2 675,238.4 Cumulative Position of Net Assets as on Feb. 29, 2012 (%) 81.43% 18.57% 9.29% 100.00% ECB Dec-11 Jan-12 Automatic Route 2,709,250,006 1,784,205,937 Approval Route 1,759,592,317 917,685,565 Total ECB 4,468,842,323 2,701,891,502 Value in USD FII Investments in Primary & Secondary Markets Net Debt Gross Purchases Gross Sales Net Investment Investment (Rs Crores) (Rs Crores) (Rs Crores) US$ million 1-Mar-12 1145.1 106.5 1038.6 212.2 2-Mar-12 496.3 1000.7 -504.4 -102.6 3-Mar-12 5-Mar-12 291.8 700.3 -408.6 -82.8 6-Mar-12 513.7 541.2 -27.4 -5.5 7-Mar-12 287.7 728.8 -441.1 -88.2 9-Mar-12 491.5 1592.3 -1100.8 -217.7 12-Mar-12 601.1 591.7 9.4 1.9 13-Mar-12 85.3 554.6 -469.3 -94.0 14-Mar-12 614.5 840.8 -226.3 -45.4 15-Mar-12 473.0 369.1 103.9 20.8 16-Mar-12 1090.2 962.6 127.5 25.4 19-Mar-12 314.1 397.7 -83.6 -16.6 20-Mar-12 249.7 306.3 -56.6 -11.3 21-Mar-12 367.9 1277.0 -909.1 -180.9 22-Mar-12 1262.1 934.8 327.3 64.7 23-Mar-12 26-Mar-12 1584.4 701.2 883.2 173.5 27-Mar-12 726.3 1062.8 -336.6 -65.6 28-Mar-12 634.2 2049.7 -1415.5 -278.1 29-Mar-12 469.2 2479.5 -2010.3 -394.8 30-Mar-12 804.4 1893.3 -1088.9 -212.9 Total for Month 12502.5 19090.9 -6588.6 -1297.8 Total for 2012 62318.4 42920.2 19398.2 3788.4 E-UpDates April 2012 18 Surge Research Support