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Institute of Social Studies and                 Georgian Development Research
 Analysis                                        Institute




National-wide survey of political attitudes and
   approaches towards ongoing processes




                          2011, 11–22 November
The Institute of Social Studies and Analysis carried out the
 national-wide survey of political attitudes and approaches
  towards ongoing processes in Georgia by the voting-age
population (age of 18 and more) on November 11-22, 2011.
• Approximately 3000 respondents were interviewed in
  11 regions of Georgia including Tbilisi. The multi-stage
  cluster sampling methods model was applied.
  Respondents were selected in the families (households)
  based on random selection principles. In each region
  the sample unit were distributed with such proportions
  that the results would have been representative for
  each region. For the whole sample Margin of Error does
  not exceed 1.8% with 95% of reliability. The interviews
  were based on face to face method. The survey
  provided maximum of anonymity for the respondents.
KEY FINDIGS OF THE
      SURVEY
Evaluation of the activities of different institutions and
                                structures
           (means on five point scale: -2 “very negative; +2 “very positive”)

Georgian Orthodox Church                                                          1.80
    The ministry of Interior                               0.70
                     NGOs                               0.60
      The Defence Ministry                              0.60
The Presidential institution                     0.30
            Tbilisi City Hall                    0.30
 The Ministry of Education                    0.20
The Government of Georgia                     0.20
           Georgian media                     0.20
 The Parliament of Georgia                0.10
          Taxation services               0.10
       Tbilisi City Assembly           0.00                           Positive
        Prosecutor’s office
 The Ministry of Healthcare
                                0.10
                                0.10
                                                                      Negative
            Georgian Court      0.10
Do you support the decision according to which the number
                      of MPs should be increased up to 190?



                                              Not support rather
                                                than support
                                                     16%
                                                                                     Neutral
Not support at all                                                                    27%
      37%




                                                                    More support
                     Difficult to answer                           rather than not
                              7%           Support completely          support
                                                   5%                    8%
Would you participate in the forthcoming
                    parliamentary elections in 2012?


          Definitely                                        77.7


        I think I will           11.4


  I don’t think I will    2.0


   I decided not to        4.7


  Refuse to answer       0.4


  I don’t know/
                           3.8
Haven’t decided yet
Which way is acceptable for changing of ruling power?


It is acceptable to change the ruling power through the
                        elections
                                                                                75.7



It is acceptable to change the ruling power through the
             revolution before the elections                3.2



It is acceptable to change the ruling power through the
revolution if the government falsifies the results of the   3.6
                        elections



       I consider it currently impossible to change the
                        leadership at all                          12.2



                                     Difficult to answer     5.3
Bidzina Ivanishvili decided to enter politics, to create his political
             force and to participate in the 2012 parliamentary elections. Do
                                 you support this decision?

33.4



                      22.9

                                                                           17.0
                                        13.6              13.1
support




                                                          Totally not




                                                                            Difficult to
                    than not
                    support

                    support




                                      Rather not
 Totally




                     Rather




                                                           support




                                                                             answer
                                       support
                                       support
                                         than
Extremely




                                               24.1
    positive




More positive
                                        22.1
than negative




    Neither
  positive nor
                                      21.4




   negative




More negative
                        10.2




than positive
                                                                   steps in the politics?




     Extremly
                  8.3




     negative
                                                      How would you evaluate Bidzina Ivanishvili’s first




   Difficult to
                               13.9




    answer
Please answer, what are your expectations with Bidzina Ivanishvili
              coming into politics for the future development of the country?



A new political force will enter politics and that
will change the existing situation in the country                                 52.8
                 for the better



   The current situation will not change in the
  country after Ivanishvili’s coming into politics
                                                           16.1




    After Ivanishvili’s coming into politics the
 existing situation in the country will be worsen
                                                     8.0




                              Difficult to answer                 23.0
If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which political
                       party would you vote for firstly?
           United National Movement                                    36.0
              Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party                      32.0
      Christian-Democratic Movement              4.3
                           Labour Party      1.6
                         Free Democrats     1.5
                        Republican Party   0.8
                        New Rights Party   0.6
                         National Forum    0.6
Democratic Movement- United Georgia       0.3
                          Georgian Party  0.2
Topadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia 0.2
                           People’s Party 0.2
             Georgian Democratic Party 0.1
                        Georgian Troupe 0.1
             National-Democratic Party 0.1
                     Conservative Party 0.1
                           Georgian way 0.1
 None from the listed (I would cross out…     2.2
         I wold not participate in voting      2.8
                       Refuse to answer         3.4
                     Difficult to answer               12.8
If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow which political party would
                                        you vote for secondly?
                        Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party                              12.4
                Christian-Democratic Movement                                    12.2
                     United National Movement                              8.8
                                  Free Democrats                   5.7
                                     Labour Party            3.5
                                  National Forum           2.5
                                Republican Party          2.0
                                New Rights Party         1.3
          Democratic Movement- United Georgia           0.9
                                   Georgian Party      0.8
         Topadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia      0.6
                                   People’s Party      0.5
                      Georgian Democratic Party       0.4
                              Conservative Party      0.2
                      National-Democratic Party       0.1
                                 Georgian Troupe      0.1
                                    Georgian way      0.1
None from the listed (I would cross out everyone)                        7.3
                  I wold not participate in voting          3.5
                                Refuse to answer                   5.8
                               Difficult to answer                                      31.0
If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which
       If you had a second choice which      political party would you vote for firstly?
       political party would you vote for?     Bidzina       United National       Christian-
                                             Ivanishvili’s     Movement           Democratic
                                                Party                             Movement
New Rights Party                                     0.3%               0.7%               0.2%
Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party                                             2.4%               0.9%
Democratic Movement- United Georgia                  0.8%               0.1%
United National Movement                             3.3%                                  1.0%
National-Democratic Party                            0.1%               0.0%               0.0%
National Forum                                       1.6%               0.5%               0.0%
Free Democrats                                       3.3%               1.4%               0.3%
Topadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia             0.5%               0.1%
Labour Party                                         1.8%               0.9%               0.3%
Republican Party                                     1.0%               0.4%               0.1%
Georgian way                                         0.0%               0.0%
Georgian Party                                       0.5%               0.2%               0.1%
Christian-Democratic Movement                        4.3%               6.8%
Georgian Troupe                                      0.0%               0.1%
We-Ourselves                                                            0.1%
People’s Party                                       0.2%               0.1%               0.1%
None from the listed                                 6.7%               3.5%               0.2%
Refuse to answer                                     0.6%               1.8%               0.1%
Difficult to answer                                  7.8%              10.0%               0.9%
Data is calculated according to the respondents who indicated “difficult to answer” (12.8%) or
      refused to answer (3.4%) the question- “which political party would you vote for in
                           parliamentary elections? (totally 16.2%)
                   Whom do you want to see as a Prime-Minister in the country from
                                              2013 ?
   Ivanishvili Bidzina                           2.9
 Saakashvili Mikheil                     1.5
       Alasania Irakli             1.0
  Targamadze Giorgi               0.9
         Ugulava gigi            0.8
 Natelashvili Shalva       0.2
    Okruashvili Irakli    0.2
          Gilauri Nika    0.2
   Usupashvili David     0.1
     Burjanadze Nino      0.2
      Bakradze David     0.1
      Shartava Kakha       0.2
 Gamkrelidze David       0.1
     Sanikidze Gubaz      0.2
                Other     0.2
                 None     0.1
    Refuse to answer                      1.7
  Difficult to answer                                                      5.7
Data is calculated according to the respondents who indicated “difficult to answer” (12.8%) or
      refused to answer (3.4%) the question- “which political party would you vote for in
                           parliamentary elections? (totally 16.2%)
             Whom you would like to see as Georgia’s President after Michael
                                Saakashvili resigns?

     Ivanishvili Bidzina                               3.8

           Ugulava Gigi                0.9

         Alasania ikarli           0.8

    Targamadze Gioergi       0.4

        Bakradze David     0.1

                  Other          0.5

                  None     0.2

      Refuse to answer                       1.5

     Difficult to answer                                                                8
If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which political party would
                                       you vote for firstly?
                                      (Data according to regional section)


                      Tbilisi                   39.6                           23.9           2.0         2.4
                     Imereti                      43.8                                 30.7               2.0             7.2
             Kvemo Kartli             24.0                               46.3                       0.8           5.0
                     Kakheti                    35.8                             34.9                             5.2
             Samegrelo &…       8.4                          52.7                        0.8                10.5
                     Achara              27.8                           35.9                 0.9          5.1
                 Shida Kartli                33.9                                     42.9                  0.6         4.5
       Samtskhe-Javakheti         15.2                                         71.7                                     6.1     3.0
                       Guria          24.6                   22.2          1.2
        Mtskheta-mtianeti                        41.8                           21.2          1.8         3.0
       Racha-lechkhumi &…                        39.8                                        42.1                       2.9

New Rights Party                          Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party                        United National Movement

Free Democrats                            Labour Party                                       Republican Party

Christian-Democratic Movement
If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which political party would you
                                         vote for firstly?
                                      (Data according to employment section)



Employed Public Sector               21.3                                 52.1                          1.9 3.1 12.8


Employed Private Sector                      37.0                             28.1                3.9     4.4 12.6
                                                                                                        3.4

        Self-employed                          41.3                               27.4                   3.3
                                                                                                  4.7 4.4 11.0


    Student / pensioner                      37.7                                32.6               4.0 3.4 12.0


          Unemployed                                                                                    2.6
                                             36.4                              29.6               4.9 3.5   14.6
           New Rights Party                                    Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party
           United National Movement                            National Forum
           Free Democrats                                      Labour Party
           Republican Party                                    Christian-Democratic Movement
           None from the listed (I would cross out everyone)   I wold not participate in voting
           Refuse to answer                                    Difficult to answer
Which political party you would not vote at all?

Democratic Movement- United Georgia                                 16.5
            United National Movement                         13.6
                            Labour Party                 11.3
                          Georgian Party         2.7
            Georgian Democratic Party            2.6
              Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party       2.3
      Christian-Democratic Movement             2.1
                        New Rights Party       1.8
                           Georgian way        1.7
                        Georgian Troupe        1.5
             National-Democratic Party        1.2
                         Free Democrats       1.0
Topadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia     0.8
                           We-Ourselves      0.8
                     Conservative Party      0.7
                        Republican Party     0.6
                           People’s Party    0.6
                         National Forum     0.4
                   Levan Gachechiladze      0.2
                   None from the listed         2.0
                 There is no such party                9.8
                      Difficult to answer                                  25.9
Bidzina Ivanishvili already named political partners with whom he
              would actively cooperate: Free Democrats (Irakli Alasania) and
           Republican Party (Davit Usufashvili). In your opinion how justified is
                                         his choice?



                                            More unjustyfied
                                             than justyfied
 More justyfied                                  19%
than unjustyfied                                                      Fully unjustyfied
      28%                                                                    11%




    Fully justyfied
         11%                                    Difficult to
                                                 answer
                                                   31%
If the elections are held fairly, will Bidzina Ivanishvili’s political force
                      have enough recourses to compete with:



 United National
   Movement
                                   60.6                          25.1            14.3



                                                                        Yes
                                                                        No
                                                                        Difficult to answer




Other opposition
    parties
                                      70.4                          14.7         14.9
Do you think that the parliamentary elections planed for
                          October 2012 will be held fairly?




Difficult to
 answer
  25.6%                                                                    Yes
                                                                          59.1%




                                  No
                                 15.4%
Who will have most support of the population in upcoming
  parliamentary elections – more ruling power, or more
                       opposition?




                                                  The opposition
Ruling power                                           38%
     43%




                         Difficult to
                                                    None of them
                          answer
                            17%                         2%
Which political force will overcome the 5% barrier in the
              forthcoming parliamentary elections?

            United National Movement                                                  26.0
              Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party                                      21.4
      Christian-Democratic Movement                                     14.7
                         Free Democrats                    7.9
                             Labour Party            4.4
                        Republican Party            3.6
                       New Rights Party          2.4
                         National Forum         1.8
Democratic Movement- United Georgia            1.3
                          Georgian Party      1.2
Topadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia     0.8
                           People’s Party    0.7
                     Conservative Party      0.5
                        Georgian Troupe     0.4
             National-Democratic Party      0.3
            Georgian Democratic Party       0.3
                           We-Ourselves     0.2
                            Georgian way    0.1
                       Refuse to answer        1.4
                      Difficult to answer                        10.7
How would you evaluate the possibility of Michael Saakashvili
      staying in power after his Presidential term would expire in 2013?

                                                                     22.1
                       Positively


 More positively than negatively                            16.9


Neither positively nor negatively                             18.2


More negatively than positively                 9.7


                      Negatively                                            26.1


              Difficult to answer   1.3


                Refuse to answer          5.7
Whom would you want to be a Prime-Minister of Georgia
                              from 2013?

   Ivanishvili Bidzina                                                    26.1
 Saakashvili Michael                                               24.2
       Alasania Irakli                       7.8
  Targamadze Giorgi                       6.8
         Ugulava Gigi                    6.4
  Natelashvili Shalva        1.6
    Okruashvili Irakli       1.6
          Gilauri Nika       1.4
   Usupashvili David        1.1
     Burjanadze Nino       1
      Bakradze David       0.9
      Shartava Kakha       0.8
  Gamkrelidze David       0.6
     Sanikidze Gubaz      0.6
      Dzidziguri Zviad    0.4
Gachechiladze Levan      0.1
                Other      0.9
                 none     0.5
    Refuse to answer               3.4
  Difficult to answer                              13.8
Whom would you like to be Georgia’s President after Michael
                    Saakashvili resigns?


   Ivanishvili Bidzina                                           31.8
         Ugulava Gigi                              12.7
       Alasania Irakli                       9.3
  Targamadze Giorgi                    7.1
      Bakradze David          2.3
 Natelashvili Shalva        1.5
 Gamkrelidze David         1
    Okruashvili Irakli     0.9
   Usupashvili David       0.9
     Burjanadze Nino      0.8
     Sanikidze Gubaz      0.6
      Shartava Kakha      0.5
Gachechiladze Levan      0.2
      Dzidziguri Zviad   0.1
                Other       1.4
                 none      0.9
    Refuse to answer             3.9
  Difficult to answer                                     23.9
Solution of which problems should be pripority for a political
                   party or a politician today?
                               Unemployment                                                                 19.1
                                 Lost teritories                                                     13.4
                                        Poverty                                               10.2
                        Product price increase                                               9.9
                    High prices for healthcare                                         8.1
                             High utility prices                                     7.5
                                  Low pentions                                 6.4
                   High prices for medication                            5.2
                  Cutting contacts with russia                     3.6
             Expanssive transportation fares                      3.3
                            Bank lawn burden                2.1
        Abuse of fundamental human rights                 1.7
  Unavailability of fair and independent trial            1.6
                 Hard conditions for inmates           1.1
                     Environmental problems            1.0
                               Elite corruption       0.8
              Overcoming fear in the society          0.8
No prospects for integrating into NATO or EU          0.8
                            Pressure on media         0.8
       One party governance in the country            0.8
                 Poor conditions of the roads         0.7
            Unsecured safety of the country          0.5
                                          Other     0.3
                            Difficult to answer    0.1
In case of staying in power, how it would be possible that the ruling party
                        would solve problems mentioned by you?




                                                              Rather not possible
                                                                 than possible
  More possible rather
                                                                     21%
   than not possible
         29%




Fully possible
     16%                                                          Fully impossible
                         Difficult to answer                             24%
                                 10%
In case of coming into power how it would be possible that Bidzina
            Ivanishvili’s party would solve the problems mentioned by you?




                    Rather possible than
                        not possible                        Rather not possible
                            31%                               than possible
                                                                   14%


                                                                         Fully impossible
                                                                                6%



Fully possible
     26%
                                                 Difficult to answer
                                                         23%
Do you have positive or negative attitudes towards to each political
                                          party?
                        (means on five point scale: -2 “very negative”, +2 “very positive”)


        Bidzina Ivanishvili's party                                                                  0.70
     United National Movement                                                             0.30
Christian-Democtatic Movement                                                            0.24
   Our Georgia- Free Democrats                                                         0.16
                 Republican Party                                         0.07
                  National Forum                                        0.15
      Industrialists Save Georgia                                0.32
                    People’s Party                              0.36
                    Labour’s Party                              0.37
                New Rights Par ty                              0.41
              Conservative Party                              0.43
                 Georgian Troupe                            0.53
                    We- Ourselves                        0.64
              For United Georgia                        0.68
                      Whites Party                    0.73
                                                                                              Positive
                                                      0.73
                                                                                              Negative
       National-Democratic Party
                     Georgia’s Way                    0.74
      Georgian Democratic Party                      0.78
                   United Georgia             1.02
How fair are allegations of being Russian agent towards the
                       persons listed below ?
        (means on four point scale: below zero “totally fair”, above zero “totally
                                        unfair”)


Shalva Natelashvili                                                                         0.95

     Irakli Alasania                                                                 0.84

   Photo reporters                                                                0.81

 Vakhtang Maisaia                                                         0.65

  Bizina Ivanishvili                                                    0.62

  Irakli Okruashvili                                   0.25

Kakha Bendukidze                                    0.18

Erosi Kitsmarishvili
                                                                               Unfair
                                             0.06

   Zurab Nogaideli
                                                                               Fair
                          0.22

  Nino Burjanadze        0.23
how often do you use news programs on various TV channels?
                (means on three point scale: 1- “rarely”, 2 – “More or less often”, 3 – “very often”)




                                                          72.1           80.5
    65.2                                                                                                 67.2
                               39.9         41.3                                             47.1


                    14.3                                                                                             13.7




               2.37                                                                        2.16                    2.45
                            2.00                                       1.74
                                          1.67          1.44                                           1.51
1.29




                                                                                             Maestro
 television




                                                          II channel
                               Kavkasia
                    Imedi




                                            I Channel




                                                                         First Caucasian




                                                                                                                     Rustavi 2
                                                                                                         Real TV
   Adjara




          Tbilisi                          Mean                         Do not watch, percentage %
Which TV channel do you trust mostly??
30.0
                                                                             27.5

25.0


20.0   18.3

              14.9
15.0
                      12.7                                                          12.2

10.0                          8.9


 5.0                                 3.0
                                            1.4
                                                   0.6     0.2   0.2   0.1
 0.0




        Tbilisi
Thank you

for your attention

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Survey Reveals Support for Ivanishvili Party in Georgia

  • 1. Institute of Social Studies and Georgian Development Research Analysis Institute National-wide survey of political attitudes and approaches towards ongoing processes 2011, 11–22 November
  • 2. The Institute of Social Studies and Analysis carried out the national-wide survey of political attitudes and approaches towards ongoing processes in Georgia by the voting-age population (age of 18 and more) on November 11-22, 2011.
  • 3. • Approximately 3000 respondents were interviewed in 11 regions of Georgia including Tbilisi. The multi-stage cluster sampling methods model was applied. Respondents were selected in the families (households) based on random selection principles. In each region the sample unit were distributed with such proportions that the results would have been representative for each region. For the whole sample Margin of Error does not exceed 1.8% with 95% of reliability. The interviews were based on face to face method. The survey provided maximum of anonymity for the respondents.
  • 4. KEY FINDIGS OF THE SURVEY
  • 5. Evaluation of the activities of different institutions and structures (means on five point scale: -2 “very negative; +2 “very positive”) Georgian Orthodox Church 1.80 The ministry of Interior 0.70 NGOs 0.60 The Defence Ministry 0.60 The Presidential institution 0.30 Tbilisi City Hall 0.30 The Ministry of Education 0.20 The Government of Georgia 0.20 Georgian media 0.20 The Parliament of Georgia 0.10 Taxation services 0.10 Tbilisi City Assembly 0.00 Positive Prosecutor’s office The Ministry of Healthcare 0.10 0.10 Negative Georgian Court 0.10
  • 6. Do you support the decision according to which the number of MPs should be increased up to 190? Not support rather than support 16% Neutral Not support at all 27% 37% More support Difficult to answer rather than not 7% Support completely support 5% 8%
  • 7. Would you participate in the forthcoming parliamentary elections in 2012? Definitely 77.7 I think I will 11.4 I don’t think I will 2.0 I decided not to 4.7 Refuse to answer 0.4 I don’t know/ 3.8 Haven’t decided yet
  • 8. Which way is acceptable for changing of ruling power? It is acceptable to change the ruling power through the elections 75.7 It is acceptable to change the ruling power through the revolution before the elections 3.2 It is acceptable to change the ruling power through the revolution if the government falsifies the results of the 3.6 elections I consider it currently impossible to change the leadership at all 12.2 Difficult to answer 5.3
  • 9. Bidzina Ivanishvili decided to enter politics, to create his political force and to participate in the 2012 parliamentary elections. Do you support this decision? 33.4 22.9 17.0 13.6 13.1 support Totally not Difficult to than not support support Rather not Totally Rather support answer support support than
  • 10. Extremely 24.1 positive More positive 22.1 than negative Neither positive nor 21.4 negative More negative 10.2 than positive steps in the politics? Extremly 8.3 negative How would you evaluate Bidzina Ivanishvili’s first Difficult to 13.9 answer
  • 11. Please answer, what are your expectations with Bidzina Ivanishvili coming into politics for the future development of the country? A new political force will enter politics and that will change the existing situation in the country 52.8 for the better The current situation will not change in the country after Ivanishvili’s coming into politics 16.1 After Ivanishvili’s coming into politics the existing situation in the country will be worsen 8.0 Difficult to answer 23.0
  • 12. If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which political party would you vote for firstly? United National Movement 36.0 Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party 32.0 Christian-Democratic Movement 4.3 Labour Party 1.6 Free Democrats 1.5 Republican Party 0.8 New Rights Party 0.6 National Forum 0.6 Democratic Movement- United Georgia 0.3 Georgian Party 0.2 Topadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia 0.2 People’s Party 0.2 Georgian Democratic Party 0.1 Georgian Troupe 0.1 National-Democratic Party 0.1 Conservative Party 0.1 Georgian way 0.1 None from the listed (I would cross out… 2.2 I wold not participate in voting 2.8 Refuse to answer 3.4 Difficult to answer 12.8
  • 13. If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow which political party would you vote for secondly? Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party 12.4 Christian-Democratic Movement 12.2 United National Movement 8.8 Free Democrats 5.7 Labour Party 3.5 National Forum 2.5 Republican Party 2.0 New Rights Party 1.3 Democratic Movement- United Georgia 0.9 Georgian Party 0.8 Topadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia 0.6 People’s Party 0.5 Georgian Democratic Party 0.4 Conservative Party 0.2 National-Democratic Party 0.1 Georgian Troupe 0.1 Georgian way 0.1 None from the listed (I would cross out everyone) 7.3 I wold not participate in voting 3.5 Refuse to answer 5.8 Difficult to answer 31.0
  • 14. If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which If you had a second choice which political party would you vote for firstly? political party would you vote for? Bidzina United National Christian- Ivanishvili’s Movement Democratic Party Movement New Rights Party 0.3% 0.7% 0.2% Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party 2.4% 0.9% Democratic Movement- United Georgia 0.8% 0.1% United National Movement 3.3% 1.0% National-Democratic Party 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% National Forum 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% Free Democrats 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% Topadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia 0.5% 0.1% Labour Party 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% Republican Party 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% Georgian way 0.0% 0.0% Georgian Party 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% Christian-Democratic Movement 4.3% 6.8% Georgian Troupe 0.0% 0.1% We-Ourselves 0.1% People’s Party 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% None from the listed 6.7% 3.5% 0.2% Refuse to answer 0.6% 1.8% 0.1% Difficult to answer 7.8% 10.0% 0.9%
  • 15. Data is calculated according to the respondents who indicated “difficult to answer” (12.8%) or refused to answer (3.4%) the question- “which political party would you vote for in parliamentary elections? (totally 16.2%) Whom do you want to see as a Prime-Minister in the country from 2013 ? Ivanishvili Bidzina 2.9 Saakashvili Mikheil 1.5 Alasania Irakli 1.0 Targamadze Giorgi 0.9 Ugulava gigi 0.8 Natelashvili Shalva 0.2 Okruashvili Irakli 0.2 Gilauri Nika 0.2 Usupashvili David 0.1 Burjanadze Nino 0.2 Bakradze David 0.1 Shartava Kakha 0.2 Gamkrelidze David 0.1 Sanikidze Gubaz 0.2 Other 0.2 None 0.1 Refuse to answer 1.7 Difficult to answer 5.7
  • 16. Data is calculated according to the respondents who indicated “difficult to answer” (12.8%) or refused to answer (3.4%) the question- “which political party would you vote for in parliamentary elections? (totally 16.2%) Whom you would like to see as Georgia’s President after Michael Saakashvili resigns? Ivanishvili Bidzina 3.8 Ugulava Gigi 0.9 Alasania ikarli 0.8 Targamadze Gioergi 0.4 Bakradze David 0.1 Other 0.5 None 0.2 Refuse to answer 1.5 Difficult to answer 8
  • 17. If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which political party would you vote for firstly? (Data according to regional section) Tbilisi 39.6 23.9 2.0 2.4 Imereti 43.8 30.7 2.0 7.2 Kvemo Kartli 24.0 46.3 0.8 5.0 Kakheti 35.8 34.9 5.2 Samegrelo &… 8.4 52.7 0.8 10.5 Achara 27.8 35.9 0.9 5.1 Shida Kartli 33.9 42.9 0.6 4.5 Samtskhe-Javakheti 15.2 71.7 6.1 3.0 Guria 24.6 22.2 1.2 Mtskheta-mtianeti 41.8 21.2 1.8 3.0 Racha-lechkhumi &… 39.8 42.1 2.9 New Rights Party Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party United National Movement Free Democrats Labour Party Republican Party Christian-Democratic Movement
  • 18. If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which political party would you vote for firstly? (Data according to employment section) Employed Public Sector 21.3 52.1 1.9 3.1 12.8 Employed Private Sector 37.0 28.1 3.9 4.4 12.6 3.4 Self-employed 41.3 27.4 3.3 4.7 4.4 11.0 Student / pensioner 37.7 32.6 4.0 3.4 12.0 Unemployed 2.6 36.4 29.6 4.9 3.5 14.6 New Rights Party Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party United National Movement National Forum Free Democrats Labour Party Republican Party Christian-Democratic Movement None from the listed (I would cross out everyone) I wold not participate in voting Refuse to answer Difficult to answer
  • 19. Which political party you would not vote at all? Democratic Movement- United Georgia 16.5 United National Movement 13.6 Labour Party 11.3 Georgian Party 2.7 Georgian Democratic Party 2.6 Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party 2.3 Christian-Democratic Movement 2.1 New Rights Party 1.8 Georgian way 1.7 Georgian Troupe 1.5 National-Democratic Party 1.2 Free Democrats 1.0 Topadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia 0.8 We-Ourselves 0.8 Conservative Party 0.7 Republican Party 0.6 People’s Party 0.6 National Forum 0.4 Levan Gachechiladze 0.2 None from the listed 2.0 There is no such party 9.8 Difficult to answer 25.9
  • 20. Bidzina Ivanishvili already named political partners with whom he would actively cooperate: Free Democrats (Irakli Alasania) and Republican Party (Davit Usufashvili). In your opinion how justified is his choice? More unjustyfied than justyfied More justyfied 19% than unjustyfied Fully unjustyfied 28% 11% Fully justyfied 11% Difficult to answer 31%
  • 21. If the elections are held fairly, will Bidzina Ivanishvili’s political force have enough recourses to compete with: United National Movement 60.6 25.1 14.3 Yes No Difficult to answer Other opposition parties 70.4 14.7 14.9
  • 22. Do you think that the parliamentary elections planed for October 2012 will be held fairly? Difficult to answer 25.6% Yes 59.1% No 15.4%
  • 23. Who will have most support of the population in upcoming parliamentary elections – more ruling power, or more opposition? The opposition Ruling power 38% 43% Difficult to None of them answer 17% 2%
  • 24. Which political force will overcome the 5% barrier in the forthcoming parliamentary elections? United National Movement 26.0 Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party 21.4 Christian-Democratic Movement 14.7 Free Democrats 7.9 Labour Party 4.4 Republican Party 3.6 New Rights Party 2.4 National Forum 1.8 Democratic Movement- United Georgia 1.3 Georgian Party 1.2 Topadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia 0.8 People’s Party 0.7 Conservative Party 0.5 Georgian Troupe 0.4 National-Democratic Party 0.3 Georgian Democratic Party 0.3 We-Ourselves 0.2 Georgian way 0.1 Refuse to answer 1.4 Difficult to answer 10.7
  • 25. How would you evaluate the possibility of Michael Saakashvili staying in power after his Presidential term would expire in 2013? 22.1 Positively More positively than negatively 16.9 Neither positively nor negatively 18.2 More negatively than positively 9.7 Negatively 26.1 Difficult to answer 1.3 Refuse to answer 5.7
  • 26. Whom would you want to be a Prime-Minister of Georgia from 2013? Ivanishvili Bidzina 26.1 Saakashvili Michael 24.2 Alasania Irakli 7.8 Targamadze Giorgi 6.8 Ugulava Gigi 6.4 Natelashvili Shalva 1.6 Okruashvili Irakli 1.6 Gilauri Nika 1.4 Usupashvili David 1.1 Burjanadze Nino 1 Bakradze David 0.9 Shartava Kakha 0.8 Gamkrelidze David 0.6 Sanikidze Gubaz 0.6 Dzidziguri Zviad 0.4 Gachechiladze Levan 0.1 Other 0.9 none 0.5 Refuse to answer 3.4 Difficult to answer 13.8
  • 27. Whom would you like to be Georgia’s President after Michael Saakashvili resigns? Ivanishvili Bidzina 31.8 Ugulava Gigi 12.7 Alasania Irakli 9.3 Targamadze Giorgi 7.1 Bakradze David 2.3 Natelashvili Shalva 1.5 Gamkrelidze David 1 Okruashvili Irakli 0.9 Usupashvili David 0.9 Burjanadze Nino 0.8 Sanikidze Gubaz 0.6 Shartava Kakha 0.5 Gachechiladze Levan 0.2 Dzidziguri Zviad 0.1 Other 1.4 none 0.9 Refuse to answer 3.9 Difficult to answer 23.9
  • 28. Solution of which problems should be pripority for a political party or a politician today? Unemployment 19.1 Lost teritories 13.4 Poverty 10.2 Product price increase 9.9 High prices for healthcare 8.1 High utility prices 7.5 Low pentions 6.4 High prices for medication 5.2 Cutting contacts with russia 3.6 Expanssive transportation fares 3.3 Bank lawn burden 2.1 Abuse of fundamental human rights 1.7 Unavailability of fair and independent trial 1.6 Hard conditions for inmates 1.1 Environmental problems 1.0 Elite corruption 0.8 Overcoming fear in the society 0.8 No prospects for integrating into NATO or EU 0.8 Pressure on media 0.8 One party governance in the country 0.8 Poor conditions of the roads 0.7 Unsecured safety of the country 0.5 Other 0.3 Difficult to answer 0.1
  • 29. In case of staying in power, how it would be possible that the ruling party would solve problems mentioned by you? Rather not possible than possible More possible rather 21% than not possible 29% Fully possible 16% Fully impossible Difficult to answer 24% 10%
  • 30. In case of coming into power how it would be possible that Bidzina Ivanishvili’s party would solve the problems mentioned by you? Rather possible than not possible Rather not possible 31% than possible 14% Fully impossible 6% Fully possible 26% Difficult to answer 23%
  • 31. Do you have positive or negative attitudes towards to each political party? (means on five point scale: -2 “very negative”, +2 “very positive”) Bidzina Ivanishvili's party 0.70 United National Movement 0.30 Christian-Democtatic Movement 0.24 Our Georgia- Free Democrats 0.16 Republican Party 0.07 National Forum 0.15 Industrialists Save Georgia 0.32 People’s Party 0.36 Labour’s Party 0.37 New Rights Par ty 0.41 Conservative Party 0.43 Georgian Troupe 0.53 We- Ourselves 0.64 For United Georgia 0.68 Whites Party 0.73 Positive 0.73 Negative National-Democratic Party Georgia’s Way 0.74 Georgian Democratic Party 0.78 United Georgia 1.02
  • 32. How fair are allegations of being Russian agent towards the persons listed below ? (means on four point scale: below zero “totally fair”, above zero “totally unfair”) Shalva Natelashvili 0.95 Irakli Alasania 0.84 Photo reporters 0.81 Vakhtang Maisaia 0.65 Bizina Ivanishvili 0.62 Irakli Okruashvili 0.25 Kakha Bendukidze 0.18 Erosi Kitsmarishvili Unfair 0.06 Zurab Nogaideli Fair 0.22 Nino Burjanadze 0.23
  • 33. how often do you use news programs on various TV channels? (means on three point scale: 1- “rarely”, 2 – “More or less often”, 3 – “very often”) 72.1 80.5 65.2 67.2 39.9 41.3 47.1 14.3 13.7 2.37 2.16 2.45 2.00 1.74 1.67 1.44 1.51 1.29 Maestro television II channel Kavkasia Imedi I Channel First Caucasian Rustavi 2 Real TV Adjara Tbilisi Mean Do not watch, percentage %
  • 34. Which TV channel do you trust mostly?? 30.0 27.5 25.0 20.0 18.3 14.9 15.0 12.7 12.2 10.0 8.9 5.0 3.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 Tbilisi
  • 35. Thank you for your attention

Editor's Notes

  1. q2 gadasaTargmnia The President of Georgia
  2. q28
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  11. q23.1 vinc Q10.1 Si upasuxa 88 an 99 % mTeli serCevidan
  12. q24.1 q10.1_ Si upasuxa 88 an 99 % mteli SerCevidan
  13. q10.1_regioni aragulWrfeli respondentebis gareSe
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