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Where are the money tree   roots?                1
M&A ProcessesI.    Identify targetII.   Analyze businessIII. AcquireIV. Turn aroundV.    Increase bottom line results      significantlyVI. Sell business                                     2
Why investors acquire and sell        businesses?                                 3
I. “. . .to acquire or not to            acquiry?  - That is the question”                                2                                4
“. . . If yourbusiness or job  is to acquirebusiness so it’s impossible for    you not to     acquire   business.”                2                5
Other motives:  1. To buy  competitor               6
2. To buy market share                         7
3. To secure the rapid business growth                                     8
However, inall cases, the  dominant issues are:                 9
1. How to findthe target if themost attractive   companies have already  been sold or    they are conducting in  such a waythat they it self  attracts the    capital?                 10
2. How to evaluate growth potentialof possible to buy targets?                                   11
3. Where in the market can we find good leaders that  could transform the purchased company in to the                       best?                                                       12
II.“. . .to sell or not to sell?    - that is the question”                                   2                                   13
Why companies are on sale?1. The price offered is so high that ownerthink that they will never acquire such sum.                                               14
2. Owners do not knows how to get outfrom the problem circle…                                        15
3. Fatigue, for aconstant cash-flow shortage ...                    16
4. Business activities purification                                      17
But doesn’t it look, that in all cases that meansthat for the owners burnt out one main - how toearn money with current business activities?                                                    18
But does this mean that buyer has         enough ideas?                                    2                                    19
Lets see                              what a                              buyer                             thinks?“Acquiring is easy. Owning is hard”                               -A fact of life   20                                                 20
And what                                 does the                                  French                                  people                                   say?There are more fools among buyers than among sellers”                                             -French proverb                                                               21                                                               21
Thus, the procedure    says that:        To create added                      value, an acquiring                      firm must get into                      businesses that can                      perform better under                      different management                      approach and                      strategy than they                      could perform                      operating as “it is”                      company!                                             22
However, the the traditional acquisition,                sought: 1. Companies with undervalued or excess assets   Capital gains may be realized rather soon                                                23
2. Companies in financial distress    May be purchased at bargain prices            and turned around                                         24
3. Companies with profitability ratio lower than               industry average                                                   25
3. Companies with profitability ratio lower thanindustry average:  After implementing new strategy there is a    potential to improve!                                                   26
“If you can not tie good knots, tie lots of them” -                  Yachtsman rule                                                      27
The understanding of the systems never lies in the                     system                                        - Russel Ackoff                                                          28                                                          28                                                          28
Managers who attack results without analyzing causes     usually make matters worse rather better                                       -Logic axiom                                                       29                                                   29
Recruiting new                        The easiest way for old                   The old management is      management is expensive                 management “to improve” – to                 not capable to generate      and time consuming (250)                ask for more investment (240)                    high ROI (300)  There is a shortage of             The old management is resisting to changes and qualified and available           investors are facing with dilemma to change or not to                                                                                                     The company washigh quality management                        change old management (220)                                                                                                      sold because the           (260)                                                                                    profit situation cash                              The old management has to change                 Investors are                                                                                                     flow situation was                                its management approach (210)               asking to get short                                                                                                    unsatisfactory (310)                                                                                    term                                  Financial Reengineering increasing         improvements of     Getting rid of                                       financial leverage (190)              profitability (230)  excess assets (200)                   Investors try to apply their traditional tools to                       extract value and decrease risk (180)                   The risk to acquire target company                             increases (160)  Investors tend to be overoptimistic about      There is high chance to    “value extraction” possibilities (170)           overpay (150)                          Investors are forced to pick up just                           “good enough” companies (130)   Investors are forced to buy companies as they                   Investors face a shortage of good   have to generate return on capital funds (140)                            targets (110)      The management of Great companies knows how to       attract capital and in the market is big shortage of                                                                       Investors use the traditional methods for selection                      Great companies (100)                                 of targets and turn-around strategy (120)                                                                                                                            30
There is a need to change                    Management reinforce cost                       Top Management (390)                         cutting initiative (370)                                                       The expected quick “value                                                    extraction” does not materialize                                                                 (360)                        Investors want to                                                                                              assure fast profit                                                     The performance of company  It takes 12-18 months until the                    does not improve enough (350)                                                                                                growth (380)      new management starts implementing new strategy (270)                                                        The tension/conflict between management                                   The internal              and investors is increasing (340)                                 comapany climat After joining the                                 worse and worse                                         Management blames  company new                                          One day investors realizemanagement needs                      (400)                                                         that situation is worse                                                                                      investors for not providing  additional 4-6                                       than it was reported (330)        enough capital (510)  months “to get     in”(280)                                                                            Additional investments will                     When management “gets                                                      Management is trying to          not be provided since the first                      in” it needs some 4-6                                                       massage figures (320)                 did not show any                     months to develop new                                                                                        improvements to the bottom                          strategy (290)                                                                                                 line (500)       New management             Additional investments done by old management have low probability to increase value,      ”steps in” after some      becouse If the old management really knew where to invest were would have been no need                                                                to sell the company (310)        4-6 months (260)  Recruiting new management is             The easiest way for old                    The old management is not  expensive and time consuming           management “to improve” –                   capable to generate high ROI              (250)                          invest more (240)                                   (300)                                                                                                                         31
It is a simple thing to make things complex, but a complex task to                         make them simple                                                      -Meyer’s law                                                                     32                                                                     32                                                                     32
Creative thinking may simply mean that there’s no particular virtue in doing things the way they have always been done                                           -Rudolph Flesh                                                               33                                                               33
4.Traditional search for the     hidden meanings.                               34                               34
Traditional analysis for the companies         problems summarize It is not enough to conduct traditional  financial and legal due diligences in order to  understand the target to be acquired.. Investors can’t build the future of the acquired  business making our decision only on the  historical quantifications. Traditional approach does not provide insights  for creating unique strategy how to transform  company into cash machine.                                                     35
“The ships speed depends on the design of the hull”                                     -Ship design rule                                                     36                                                     36
Analyze: process Conventional way:    Conduct financial due diligence    Conducts legal due diligence “Different” way:    To analyze process flow and identify core problems    To find leverage points – develop new strategy which      would generate money in short term and would help      company to growth in long term    To prepare detailed actions plan    To analyze management   “Simple solutions exist only in the minds of cowboys, fools and                        investment bankers”                                                      -Unknown CEO                                                                     37                                                                     37
Strategy problem Strategy problem means that 97% of companies are  choosing the same methods how to compete. Is it possible to compete if companies apply the same  tool box for decision finding? Typical strategic approaches are to compete on cost  (cost advantage), compete on technology (differentiation  advantage) or focus on niche market Regardless what to choose – old management or hire  new management – that kind of strategy has a lot of risk.                                                              38                                                              38
Implementation problem The problem consists of the challenge how to get    people’s buy-in.   If you have hired management team and    highlighted certain strategy it does not mean that    implementation will be successful.   What about resistance to change?   Actually resistance means “invented not here” or    “what is in that for me”.   If you not to address this problem, then    successful implementation is a mirage.                                                         39                                                         39
Increase sales/bottom line resultsHow to raise profits quickly?How to build long term value?“It’s hard to remember your goal is to drain swamp when you’re up to                     your posterior in alligators”                                                           -Unknown                                                                       40                                                                       40
“The ships speed depends on the design of the hull”                                            - Ship   design rule                                                               41                                                               41
How do we solve those “invisible”               problems   Instead of trying to compete on costs or to invest    heavily into new technology and wait for results    we take the guess work out of our strategy:     We make companies growth even when        markets do not growth     We make that company competes not on        price or technology, but instead creates new        business model     Customized business model which we        propose is almost impossible to replicate for        our competitors                                                         42                                                         42
Case study M&A in Retail industry: We are looking:   Retailers who have problems with   cash flow;   poorly managing shelves (Supply   Chain).                                       43                                       43
Change in the hulls design We have Know - How for Assortment  Management: 1. Technique that allows more  effectively to control goods flow from  the shelf (Stores warehouse, central  warehouse) to the supplier. 2. We know, that lost sales makes up to  30% and overstock up to 30% also. After acquisition and clean up we can  win up to...                                            44                                            44
Case studyTurnover                             Purchase price %Margin (Throughput)                  Purchase price $Inventory turns per year             Inventory price $Overstock %                          Overstock $                              TextLost sales %                         Possible additional Salessubstitutions %                      Margin from additional salesWACC %                               Cost of MoneyAdditional cash flowAdditional Profit                                                                    45
Why us? We have done it before successfully (we have  references in Russia, Ukraine and Germany) We are excellent at:       analyzing various parts of organization such as        supply chain, all types of production, marketing and        sales       evaluating their interconnections       finding leverage points using proved methodology We will transform the leverage points into  bottom line growth We have more than 15 years experience in  doing that in different countries                                                               46                                                               46
You can order a book,     workshop, analysis or    lecture, or just a dream               at:    darius@versloknyguklunas.lt                  +37069841027                 Darius	  Radkevičius	  Author of “God, Quantum physics,Organizational structure andManagement style”http://www.amazon.co.uk/Quantum-Physics-Organizational-Structure-Management/dp/9955689234/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1266446827&sr=1-1                                                          47
www.god-­‐physics-­‐management.com                                     44                                          48

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M&A. Where are the money tree roots for investors?

  • 1. Where are the money tree roots? 1
  • 2. M&A ProcessesI. Identify targetII. Analyze businessIII. AcquireIV. Turn aroundV. Increase bottom line results significantlyVI. Sell business 2
  • 3. Why investors acquire and sell businesses? 3
  • 4. I. “. . .to acquire or not to acquiry? - That is the question” 2 4
  • 5. “. . . If yourbusiness or job is to acquirebusiness so it’s impossible for you not to acquire business.” 2 5
  • 6. Other motives: 1. To buy competitor 6
  • 7. 2. To buy market share 7
  • 8. 3. To secure the rapid business growth 8
  • 9. However, inall cases, the dominant issues are: 9
  • 10. 1. How to findthe target if themost attractive companies have already been sold or they are conducting in such a waythat they it self attracts the capital? 10
  • 11. 2. How to evaluate growth potentialof possible to buy targets? 11
  • 12. 3. Where in the market can we find good leaders that could transform the purchased company in to the best? 12
  • 13. II.“. . .to sell or not to sell? - that is the question” 2 13
  • 14. Why companies are on sale?1. The price offered is so high that ownerthink that they will never acquire such sum. 14
  • 15. 2. Owners do not knows how to get outfrom the problem circle… 15
  • 16. 3. Fatigue, for aconstant cash-flow shortage ... 16
  • 17. 4. Business activities purification 17
  • 18. But doesn’t it look, that in all cases that meansthat for the owners burnt out one main - how toearn money with current business activities? 18
  • 19. But does this mean that buyer has enough ideas? 2 19
  • 20. Lets see what a buyer thinks?“Acquiring is easy. Owning is hard” -A fact of life 20 20
  • 21. And what does the French people say?There are more fools among buyers than among sellers” -French proverb 21 21
  • 22. Thus, the procedure says that: To create added value, an acquiring firm must get into businesses that can perform better under different management approach and strategy than they could perform operating as “it is” company! 22
  • 23. However, the the traditional acquisition, sought: 1. Companies with undervalued or excess assets  Capital gains may be realized rather soon 23
  • 24. 2. Companies in financial distress May be purchased at bargain prices and turned around 24
  • 25. 3. Companies with profitability ratio lower than industry average 25
  • 26. 3. Companies with profitability ratio lower thanindustry average:  After implementing new strategy there is a potential to improve! 26
  • 27. “If you can not tie good knots, tie lots of them” - Yachtsman rule 27
  • 28. The understanding of the systems never lies in the system - Russel Ackoff 28 28 28
  • 29. Managers who attack results without analyzing causes usually make matters worse rather better -Logic axiom 29 29
  • 30. Recruiting new The easiest way for old The old management is management is expensive management “to improve” – to not capable to generate and time consuming (250) ask for more investment (240) high ROI (300) There is a shortage of The old management is resisting to changes and qualified and available investors are facing with dilemma to change or not to The company washigh quality management change old management (220) sold because the (260) profit situation cash The old management has to change Investors are flow situation was its management approach (210) asking to get short unsatisfactory (310) term Financial Reengineering increasing improvements of Getting rid of financial leverage (190) profitability (230) excess assets (200) Investors try to apply their traditional tools to extract value and decrease risk (180) The risk to acquire target company increases (160) Investors tend to be overoptimistic about There is high chance to “value extraction” possibilities (170) overpay (150) Investors are forced to pick up just “good enough” companies (130) Investors are forced to buy companies as they Investors face a shortage of good have to generate return on capital funds (140) targets (110) The management of Great companies knows how to attract capital and in the market is big shortage of Investors use the traditional methods for selection Great companies (100) of targets and turn-around strategy (120) 30
  • 31. There is a need to change Management reinforce cost Top Management (390) cutting initiative (370) The expected quick “value extraction” does not materialize (360) Investors want to assure fast profit The performance of company It takes 12-18 months until the does not improve enough (350) growth (380) new management starts implementing new strategy (270) The tension/conflict between management The internal and investors is increasing (340) comapany climat After joining the worse and worse Management blames company new One day investors realizemanagement needs (400) that situation is worse investors for not providing additional 4-6 than it was reported (330) enough capital (510) months “to get in”(280) Additional investments will When management “gets Management is trying to not be provided since the first in” it needs some 4-6 massage figures (320) did not show any months to develop new improvements to the bottom strategy (290) line (500) New management Additional investments done by old management have low probability to increase value, ”steps in” after some becouse If the old management really knew where to invest were would have been no need to sell the company (310) 4-6 months (260) Recruiting new management is The easiest way for old The old management is not expensive and time consuming management “to improve” – capable to generate high ROI (250) invest more (240) (300) 31
  • 32. It is a simple thing to make things complex, but a complex task to make them simple -Meyer’s law 32 32 32
  • 33. Creative thinking may simply mean that there’s no particular virtue in doing things the way they have always been done -Rudolph Flesh 33 33
  • 34. 4.Traditional search for the hidden meanings. 34 34
  • 35. Traditional analysis for the companies problems summarize It is not enough to conduct traditional financial and legal due diligences in order to understand the target to be acquired.. Investors can’t build the future of the acquired business making our decision only on the historical quantifications. Traditional approach does not provide insights for creating unique strategy how to transform company into cash machine. 35
  • 36. “The ships speed depends on the design of the hull” -Ship design rule 36 36
  • 37. Analyze: process Conventional way:  Conduct financial due diligence  Conducts legal due diligence “Different” way:  To analyze process flow and identify core problems  To find leverage points – develop new strategy which would generate money in short term and would help company to growth in long term  To prepare detailed actions plan  To analyze management “Simple solutions exist only in the minds of cowboys, fools and investment bankers” -Unknown CEO 37 37
  • 38. Strategy problem Strategy problem means that 97% of companies are choosing the same methods how to compete. Is it possible to compete if companies apply the same tool box for decision finding? Typical strategic approaches are to compete on cost (cost advantage), compete on technology (differentiation advantage) or focus on niche market Regardless what to choose – old management or hire new management – that kind of strategy has a lot of risk. 38 38
  • 39. Implementation problem The problem consists of the challenge how to get people’s buy-in. If you have hired management team and highlighted certain strategy it does not mean that implementation will be successful. What about resistance to change? Actually resistance means “invented not here” or “what is in that for me”. If you not to address this problem, then successful implementation is a mirage. 39 39
  • 40. Increase sales/bottom line resultsHow to raise profits quickly?How to build long term value?“It’s hard to remember your goal is to drain swamp when you’re up to your posterior in alligators” -Unknown 40 40
  • 41. “The ships speed depends on the design of the hull” - Ship design rule 41 41
  • 42. How do we solve those “invisible” problems Instead of trying to compete on costs or to invest heavily into new technology and wait for results we take the guess work out of our strategy:  We make companies growth even when markets do not growth  We make that company competes not on price or technology, but instead creates new business model  Customized business model which we propose is almost impossible to replicate for our competitors 42 42
  • 43. Case study M&A in Retail industry: We are looking:  Retailers who have problems with cash flow;  poorly managing shelves (Supply Chain). 43 43
  • 44. Change in the hulls design We have Know - How for Assortment Management: 1. Technique that allows more effectively to control goods flow from the shelf (Stores warehouse, central warehouse) to the supplier. 2. We know, that lost sales makes up to 30% and overstock up to 30% also. After acquisition and clean up we can win up to... 44 44
  • 45. Case studyTurnover Purchase price %Margin (Throughput) Purchase price $Inventory turns per year Inventory price $Overstock % Overstock $ TextLost sales % Possible additional Salessubstitutions % Margin from additional salesWACC % Cost of MoneyAdditional cash flowAdditional Profit 45
  • 46. Why us? We have done it before successfully (we have references in Russia, Ukraine and Germany) We are excellent at:  analyzing various parts of organization such as supply chain, all types of production, marketing and sales  evaluating their interconnections  finding leverage points using proved methodology We will transform the leverage points into bottom line growth We have more than 15 years experience in doing that in different countries 46 46
  • 47. You can order a book, workshop, analysis or lecture, or just a dream at: darius@versloknyguklunas.lt +37069841027 Darius  Radkevičius  Author of “God, Quantum physics,Organizational structure andManagement style”http://www.amazon.co.uk/Quantum-Physics-Organizational-Structure-Management/dp/9955689234/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1266446827&sr=1-1 47