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TDM: Innovating Our Way
Out of Gridlock
Advanced Energy Conference
New York City
May 1, 2013
Remarkable Oil Demand Projection
Helping to Fill the Gap: Moving
Cooler
– The Kresge Foundation
– The Rockefeller Brothers
Foundation
– Urban Land Institute
– Natural Resources
Defense Council
– Shell Oil Company
– The Surdna Foundation
– Rockefeller Brothers
Fund
Analytic Team: Cambridge Systematics
Multiple Party Steering Committee
– US Environmental
Protection Agency
– US Federal Highway
Administration
– US Federal Transit
Administration
– American Public
Transportation
Association
– Environmental Defense
Fund
– ITS America
Wide Range of Strategies
• Pricing, tolls, PAYD
insurance, VMT fees,
carbon/fuel taxes
• Land use and smart
growth
• Non-motorized / active
transportation
• Public transportation
improvements
• Regional ride-sharing,
commute measures
• Regulatory measures
• Operational/ITS
strategies
• Highway
capacity/bottleneck
relief
• Freight sector strategies
46%
34%
29%
26%
25%
26%
13%
17%
17%
12%
18%
18%
6%
9%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Strg. Agree S.W. Agree S.W. Disagree Strg. Disagree DK/NA
Most citizens would like to drive less, but do not
believe it is a realistic option for them.
8c/e/i. I'm going to read you a list of several statements. After I read each statement, I'd like you to tell me whether you generally
agree or disagree. Split Sample.
I have no choice but to drive
as much as I do.
I avoid driving at certain
times of the day just
because of traffic congestion
I would like to spend less
time in my car.
Total
Agree
Total
Disagree
72% 25%
59% 35%
55% 35%
Only one in five Americans backs building new roads as
a solution for traffic congestion.
Q10 tracking.
42%
47%
49%
21%
25%
26%
20%
20%
21%
17%
8%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
2012
2007
2012
2007
2012
2007
2012
2007
Which of the following proposals is the best long-term
solution to reducing traffic in your area?
Improving public transportation
Developing communities where
people do not have to drive as
much
Building new roads
All/None/DK/NA
Highway Accounts Running Dry
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenues & Interest
Deficit Spending
Outlays
Balance/Shortfall
Source: 2/2013 CBO estimates
Transit Account Running Dry
Source: 2/2013 CBO estimates
-40
-35
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenues & Interest
Deficit Spending
Outlays
Balance/Shortfall
Thank You!
Deron Lovaas
Federal Transportation Policy Director
202-289-2384
dlovaas@nrdc.org
Twitter: @LovNRDC

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Lovaas advancedenergyconfppt

  • 1. TDM: Innovating Our Way Out of Gridlock Advanced Energy Conference New York City May 1, 2013
  • 3. Helping to Fill the Gap: Moving Cooler
  • 4. – The Kresge Foundation – The Rockefeller Brothers Foundation – Urban Land Institute – Natural Resources Defense Council – Shell Oil Company – The Surdna Foundation – Rockefeller Brothers Fund Analytic Team: Cambridge Systematics Multiple Party Steering Committee – US Environmental Protection Agency – US Federal Highway Administration – US Federal Transit Administration – American Public Transportation Association – Environmental Defense Fund – ITS America
  • 5. Wide Range of Strategies • Pricing, tolls, PAYD insurance, VMT fees, carbon/fuel taxes • Land use and smart growth • Non-motorized / active transportation • Public transportation improvements • Regional ride-sharing, commute measures • Regulatory measures • Operational/ITS strategies • Highway capacity/bottleneck relief • Freight sector strategies
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. 46% 34% 29% 26% 25% 26% 13% 17% 17% 12% 18% 18% 6% 9% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Strg. Agree S.W. Agree S.W. Disagree Strg. Disagree DK/NA Most citizens would like to drive less, but do not believe it is a realistic option for them. 8c/e/i. I'm going to read you a list of several statements. After I read each statement, I'd like you to tell me whether you generally agree or disagree. Split Sample. I have no choice but to drive as much as I do. I avoid driving at certain times of the day just because of traffic congestion I would like to spend less time in my car. Total Agree Total Disagree 72% 25% 59% 35% 55% 35%
  • 13. Only one in five Americans backs building new roads as a solution for traffic congestion. Q10 tracking. 42% 47% 49% 21% 25% 26% 20% 20% 21% 17% 8% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 2012 2007 2012 2007 2012 2007 2012 2007 Which of the following proposals is the best long-term solution to reducing traffic in your area? Improving public transportation Developing communities where people do not have to drive as much Building new roads All/None/DK/NA
  • 14. Highway Accounts Running Dry -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Revenues & Interest Deficit Spending Outlays Balance/Shortfall Source: 2/2013 CBO estimates
  • 15. Transit Account Running Dry Source: 2/2013 CBO estimates -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Revenues & Interest Deficit Spending Outlays Balance/Shortfall
  • 16.
  • 17. Thank You! Deron Lovaas Federal Transportation Policy Director 202-289-2384 dlovaas@nrdc.org Twitter: @LovNRDC