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1De-risking under Solvency II
De-risking under Solvency II
David Kun
Atradius Credit Insurance / Functional Finances
2Pre-Conference Workshop material
Overview
 Background
 De-risking techniques for Insurers
 Risk Mitigation and the Solvency Ratio
 De-risking under Stress
 Synthetic versus Actual Capital
Contents of this presentation
3Pre-Conference Workshop material
Risks of an Insurance Undertaking
 An insurance company is trading risk
 The only way to minimize risk is to stop the business
 De-risking is a balancing act between Profit and Risk
 Optimizing de-risking needs a Risk Appetite and some
measures of Profit and Risk
 In Solvency II, some Risk measures are pre-defined
Background 1
4Pre-Conference Workshop material
Ways to handle risk
 Acceptance – an Undertaking can choose to accept
the risk
 Rejection – an Undertaking can reject the risk using
exception clauses such as specific risks or add policy
conditions such as Own Risk (aka Aggregate First Loss)
 Migration – risk can be passed to another entity, e.g. in
case of Reinsurance
 Hedging – the risk can be matched by some internal
or external hedging instrument under specific conditions
Background 2
5Pre-Conference Workshop material
De-risking techniques for Insurers
 Part of the risk carried by the Undertaking can be passed on to
other parties
 The largest advantage of this method is that the risk mitigation
amount adapts to the risk scenario
 The most typical example is Reinsurance, when the
Underwriting risk is passed on to another Insurer
 There are other areas of risk migration, e.g. an IRS can be used
to migrate interest rate risk
 Besides the obvious credit risk, Solvency II also recognizes the
credit risk of Risk Mitigation
Migrating risk
6Pre-Conference Workshop material
De-risking techniques for Insurers
 Part of the risk can be matched with corresponding, opposite
direction flows, resulting in lowered net risk
 Hedging can be done internally, e.g. using ALM or externally,
e.g. purchasing hedging instruments
 Hedge instruments will always be recognized in the Balance
Sheet and the SCR calculation
 Hedge is only possible for specific stress levels, e.g. in
Expected Value or at the VaR level
Hedging is nowadays an option for Underwriting Risk as well
(e.g. Mortality / Longevity CAT Bonds)
Hedging
7Pre-Conference Workshop material
Risk mitigation and Solvency Ratio
 Standard Formula (SF)
 Some risk mitigation techniques are not recognized by
Standard Formula
 Some of the secondary effects (e.g. changes in
Commissions) can’t be incorporated in the SF
 There are major differences between the SF for various
LoB’s from Risk Mitigation perspective
 Undertakings may need to consider the SF effect when
making Risk Mitigation decisions
Reduction of SCR I
8Pre-Conference Workshop material
Risk mitigation and Solvency Ratio
 Standard Formula continued
 Some Risk modules explicitly allow recognition of Risk
Mitigation such as hedge instruments
 Some Risk modules are explicitly gross of Risk Mitigation
(or at least gross of Reinsurance)
 Risk mitigation also introduces extra charges, e.g.
Counterparty Default Risk on Reinsurance Assets
 (Partial) Internal models
 Internal Models may be necessary to fully benefit from the
Risk Mitigation applied by the Undertaking
Reduction of SCR II
9Pre-Conference Workshop material
Risk mitigation and Solvency Ratio
 Risk Mitigation techniques have a Balance Sheet
effect as well
 Best Estimate (Technical Provisions) of the Reinsurance
Assets is a Tier 1 asset
 Assets used for hedging also play an important role
 The Solvency Ratio is hence impacted both on the
SCR and the Own Funds side of the ratio
Reinsurance and Hedge Assets
10Pre-Conference Workshop material
Case study
 Atradius purchases XL layers that are not expected to
be used
 These layers are there to reduce capital requirements
and for de-risking under major (catastrophic) stress
 Most of the Standard Formula doesn’t recognize the
risk mitigating effect of these layers
 Premium and Reserve risk allows 0 benefit
 Large Buyer CAT risk recognizes the benefit in full
Non-working XL layers in Standard Formula
11Pre-Conference Workshop material
De-risking under stress
 Solvency II explicitly states that secondary effects
don’t imply dedicated Capital Requirements
 Exception: CDR on Risk Mitigation!
 Risk Mitigation techniques have different efficiency
under stress scenarios
 Stresses may have secondary effects, e.g.
Underwriting Risk stress can affect Market Risk or vice
versa
 Longevity Risk will have a large impact on Duration
 Market stress can cause increase in Credit UW Risk
Secondary effects in Solvency II
12Pre-Conference Workshop material
Synthetic versus Actual Capital
 One way of interpreting Reinsurance is as Synthetic
Capital (as opposed to Risk Mitigation)
 This comes in addition to the already discussed
Reinsurance Asset which is actual capital
 Synthetic Capital may or may not be cheaper
 Synthetic Capital may vary with the level of Stress
 Actual Capital is fully recognized in the Solvency Ratio
 Actual Capital is easier to understand for shareholders
Pros and cons
13Pre-Conference Workshop material
Thank you very much for your attention!
Question?

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De-risking under solvency ii

  • 1. 1De-risking under Solvency II De-risking under Solvency II David Kun Atradius Credit Insurance / Functional Finances
  • 2. 2Pre-Conference Workshop material Overview  Background  De-risking techniques for Insurers  Risk Mitigation and the Solvency Ratio  De-risking under Stress  Synthetic versus Actual Capital Contents of this presentation
  • 3. 3Pre-Conference Workshop material Risks of an Insurance Undertaking  An insurance company is trading risk  The only way to minimize risk is to stop the business  De-risking is a balancing act between Profit and Risk  Optimizing de-risking needs a Risk Appetite and some measures of Profit and Risk  In Solvency II, some Risk measures are pre-defined Background 1
  • 4. 4Pre-Conference Workshop material Ways to handle risk  Acceptance – an Undertaking can choose to accept the risk  Rejection – an Undertaking can reject the risk using exception clauses such as specific risks or add policy conditions such as Own Risk (aka Aggregate First Loss)  Migration – risk can be passed to another entity, e.g. in case of Reinsurance  Hedging – the risk can be matched by some internal or external hedging instrument under specific conditions Background 2
  • 5. 5Pre-Conference Workshop material De-risking techniques for Insurers  Part of the risk carried by the Undertaking can be passed on to other parties  The largest advantage of this method is that the risk mitigation amount adapts to the risk scenario  The most typical example is Reinsurance, when the Underwriting risk is passed on to another Insurer  There are other areas of risk migration, e.g. an IRS can be used to migrate interest rate risk  Besides the obvious credit risk, Solvency II also recognizes the credit risk of Risk Mitigation Migrating risk
  • 6. 6Pre-Conference Workshop material De-risking techniques for Insurers  Part of the risk can be matched with corresponding, opposite direction flows, resulting in lowered net risk  Hedging can be done internally, e.g. using ALM or externally, e.g. purchasing hedging instruments  Hedge instruments will always be recognized in the Balance Sheet and the SCR calculation  Hedge is only possible for specific stress levels, e.g. in Expected Value or at the VaR level Hedging is nowadays an option for Underwriting Risk as well (e.g. Mortality / Longevity CAT Bonds) Hedging
  • 7. 7Pre-Conference Workshop material Risk mitigation and Solvency Ratio  Standard Formula (SF)  Some risk mitigation techniques are not recognized by Standard Formula  Some of the secondary effects (e.g. changes in Commissions) can’t be incorporated in the SF  There are major differences between the SF for various LoB’s from Risk Mitigation perspective  Undertakings may need to consider the SF effect when making Risk Mitigation decisions Reduction of SCR I
  • 8. 8Pre-Conference Workshop material Risk mitigation and Solvency Ratio  Standard Formula continued  Some Risk modules explicitly allow recognition of Risk Mitigation such as hedge instruments  Some Risk modules are explicitly gross of Risk Mitigation (or at least gross of Reinsurance)  Risk mitigation also introduces extra charges, e.g. Counterparty Default Risk on Reinsurance Assets  (Partial) Internal models  Internal Models may be necessary to fully benefit from the Risk Mitigation applied by the Undertaking Reduction of SCR II
  • 9. 9Pre-Conference Workshop material Risk mitigation and Solvency Ratio  Risk Mitigation techniques have a Balance Sheet effect as well  Best Estimate (Technical Provisions) of the Reinsurance Assets is a Tier 1 asset  Assets used for hedging also play an important role  The Solvency Ratio is hence impacted both on the SCR and the Own Funds side of the ratio Reinsurance and Hedge Assets
  • 10. 10Pre-Conference Workshop material Case study  Atradius purchases XL layers that are not expected to be used  These layers are there to reduce capital requirements and for de-risking under major (catastrophic) stress  Most of the Standard Formula doesn’t recognize the risk mitigating effect of these layers  Premium and Reserve risk allows 0 benefit  Large Buyer CAT risk recognizes the benefit in full Non-working XL layers in Standard Formula
  • 11. 11Pre-Conference Workshop material De-risking under stress  Solvency II explicitly states that secondary effects don’t imply dedicated Capital Requirements  Exception: CDR on Risk Mitigation!  Risk Mitigation techniques have different efficiency under stress scenarios  Stresses may have secondary effects, e.g. Underwriting Risk stress can affect Market Risk or vice versa  Longevity Risk will have a large impact on Duration  Market stress can cause increase in Credit UW Risk Secondary effects in Solvency II
  • 12. 12Pre-Conference Workshop material Synthetic versus Actual Capital  One way of interpreting Reinsurance is as Synthetic Capital (as opposed to Risk Mitigation)  This comes in addition to the already discussed Reinsurance Asset which is actual capital  Synthetic Capital may or may not be cheaper  Synthetic Capital may vary with the level of Stress  Actual Capital is fully recognized in the Solvency Ratio  Actual Capital is easier to understand for shareholders Pros and cons
  • 13. 13Pre-Conference Workshop material Thank you very much for your attention! Question?