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 Trait and cognitive approaches cannot differentiate
  between the risk behaviors of entrepreneurs and non-
  entrepreneurs.

 Entrepreneurial Decision with risk connotation involves
  two attributes:
• Risk Horizon
• Individual future orientation of the entrepreneur


 Entrepreneurial trisk behaviour including two critical
  personality traits i.e. individual risk propensity and
  individual future orientation.
Nature of Entrepreneurial Risk Behavior

Trait Approach

 Entrepreneurs have distinctive personality characteristics
  and research based on this is know as trait approach.

 Psychological traits distinguishing entrepreneurs and non-
  entrepreneurs: need for achievement, locus of control,
  tolerance of ambiguity and risk propensity.

 Risk Propensity
Cognitive Approach

 “Entrepreneurial alertness which examines entrepreneurs
  unique ability to discover and exploit opportunities that
  others fail to see.” - Kirtzner

 Understand perceptions, cognitive and decision making
  styles, heuristics, biases and intentions of entrepreneurs
  affect their behavior.

 “Entrepreneurs risk perceptions tend to be more optimistic,
  willing to undertake entrepreneurial efforts which others see
  as risky”. – Palich & Bagby’s
 Risk & uncertainty are about unpredictable futures.

 Acc. to Lopes, "the temporal element is what gives risk both
  savor & sting”.

 Researchers have found out that several risk behaviors are
  related to time.

 Discounting in time (Vlek & Stallen,1980) is the tendency of
  individuals to undertake risks when possible gains are relatively
  immediate & possible losses are relatively in the distant future.

 Strickland, Lewicki & Katz(1966) reported that subjects tend to
  be more risk-averse if a gamble is presented in an after-the -
  event fashion
 Acc. to Drucker, short-range risk refers to variances in
  outcomes in near future, while long-range risk relates to
  variances in outcomes in the distant future.

 Short-range risk behavior is about taking or avoiding
  actions that may cause outcomes to vary significantly in
  the near future, from great gains to great losses, eg. Casino
  gambling, cheating in a test.

 Long-range risk behavior is about taking or avoiding
  actions that may cause outcomes to vary significantly in
  the distant future, eg. Long term investment, dropping out
  of school.
 Dickson & Giglierano(1986) proposed two types of
  downside risk:

 Sinking-the-boat risk:
  it refers to the probability that the venture will fail to reach
  a satisfactory level of performance. It is associated with the
  costs of pursuing a false opportunity.

 Missing-the-boat risk:
  it is the risk of failing to undertake a venture that would
  have succeeded. It is linked with the opportunity cost of
  not making a potentially profitable move.
 Craftsman Entrepreneur take short-range sinking-the-boat-risk, their
  initial performance outcomes will vary more than their goal, as
  compared to others.

 Opportunistic Entrepreneur avoid long-range missing-the-boat-risk,
  their long term performance outcomes vary less from their goal, as
  compared to that of others.

 Non-Entrepreneur avoids short-range sinking-the-boat-risk, their short
  term performance outcome will vary less from their goals, as compared
  to others.

 Since Non-Entrepreneur take long-range missing-the-boat-risk, their
  long term performance outcomes will vary more from their goal, as
  compared to others.
Near-Future Orientation
 Individuals with a near-future orientation and a risk-averting
  propensity are less likely to be entrepreneurs.
 Individuals with a near-future orientation and a risk-seeking
  propensity are more likely to be craftsman entrepreneurs.

Distant-Future Orientation
 Individuals with a distant-future orientation and a risk-averting
  propensity are more likely to be opportunistic entrepreneurs.
 Individuals with a distant-future orientation and a risk-seeking
  propensity are less likely to be entrepreneurs
SHORT        LONG
 RANGE       RANGE
LOW RISK    LOW RISK
BEHAVIOR    BEHAVIOR



 SHORT        LONG
 RANGE       RANGE
HIGH RISK   LOW RISK
BEHAVIOR    BEHAVIOR
What is important for the entrepreneurial process?
 Networks – Associations of individuals or groups that
  facilitate access to information or resources.
 Strategic Alliances – Integrative forms of inter-firm
  cooperation such as joint ventures and joint R&D.

Importance:
It gives access and connections that are not available from
   other sources.
Formal Networks: Based on business contracts and agreements, with
  clear rights and obligations for each involved party.
Example: venture capitalists, banks, accountants, lawyers, creditors
  and trade associations.

Informal Networks: They are trust based organizing vehicles which
  start with personal relationship.
Example: friends, families and business contracts.

Entrepreneurs primarily use informal networks and then turn to the
  formal networks only when their firms are in an established position.
                                                        - Birley (1985)
A person who tend to take short range risk.

Short range risk: If a person mainly relies on personal
  connection (informal networks) to start a new business, since
  entrepreneurial risks are internalized and not shared by external
  people.

Why craftsman entrepreneurs depend mainly on informal
  networks?
 Willingness to take short range risks.
 Incompetence in dealing with a broad social environment.
 Low social awareness and involvement.
 A person who tends to engage in long-range low-risk behavior.
 They constantly look for more opportunities untapped by the
  market.
 They are highly motivated to minimize their personal risk
  through involving outside sources.
 They venture into a business which is highly risk and sharing
  of this risk with formal networks makes the enterprise fairly
  attractive.
 Besides networking, they are another means to access other’s resources and
  quickly build up their own operation.
 They are often formed by firms in the same industry and tend to have a
  relatively high level of inter-firm integration.

What do they do?
 Opportunities to entrepreneurs in the short run.
 Serve as a stepping stone during the start ups.

Problems:
 Many established firms harbor hidden agendas when they form alliance with
  start ups.
 Over the long run the new start up might find it difficult to survive on its
  own.
 It is risk taking in the long run for entrepreneurial firms.
Entrepreneurial risk behavior has been examined in personality trait
                    approach and cognitive approach.
 Neither approach, however, has thus far yielded convincing evidence
  explaining entrepreneurial risk behavior in a parsimonious manner .
 Not all the entrepreneurial risks have the same temporal context.
  (short-range entrepreneurial risk and long-range entrepreneurial risk)
 Developing different entrepreneurial types by employing their
  distinct risk behavior in the short run and in the long run. (craftsman
  and opportunistic)
 The individuals may have either a risk-averting or a risk-seeking
  propensity.
Entrepreneurial Risk Behavior and Future Orientation

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Entrepreneurial Risk Behavior and Future Orientation

  • 1.
  • 2.  Trait and cognitive approaches cannot differentiate between the risk behaviors of entrepreneurs and non- entrepreneurs.  Entrepreneurial Decision with risk connotation involves two attributes: • Risk Horizon • Individual future orientation of the entrepreneur  Entrepreneurial trisk behaviour including two critical personality traits i.e. individual risk propensity and individual future orientation.
  • 3. Nature of Entrepreneurial Risk Behavior Trait Approach  Entrepreneurs have distinctive personality characteristics and research based on this is know as trait approach.  Psychological traits distinguishing entrepreneurs and non- entrepreneurs: need for achievement, locus of control, tolerance of ambiguity and risk propensity.  Risk Propensity
  • 4. Cognitive Approach  “Entrepreneurial alertness which examines entrepreneurs unique ability to discover and exploit opportunities that others fail to see.” - Kirtzner  Understand perceptions, cognitive and decision making styles, heuristics, biases and intentions of entrepreneurs affect their behavior.  “Entrepreneurs risk perceptions tend to be more optimistic, willing to undertake entrepreneurial efforts which others see as risky”. – Palich & Bagby’s
  • 5.  Risk & uncertainty are about unpredictable futures.  Acc. to Lopes, "the temporal element is what gives risk both savor & sting”.  Researchers have found out that several risk behaviors are related to time.  Discounting in time (Vlek & Stallen,1980) is the tendency of individuals to undertake risks when possible gains are relatively immediate & possible losses are relatively in the distant future.  Strickland, Lewicki & Katz(1966) reported that subjects tend to be more risk-averse if a gamble is presented in an after-the - event fashion
  • 6.  Acc. to Drucker, short-range risk refers to variances in outcomes in near future, while long-range risk relates to variances in outcomes in the distant future.  Short-range risk behavior is about taking or avoiding actions that may cause outcomes to vary significantly in the near future, from great gains to great losses, eg. Casino gambling, cheating in a test.  Long-range risk behavior is about taking or avoiding actions that may cause outcomes to vary significantly in the distant future, eg. Long term investment, dropping out of school.
  • 7.  Dickson & Giglierano(1986) proposed two types of downside risk:  Sinking-the-boat risk: it refers to the probability that the venture will fail to reach a satisfactory level of performance. It is associated with the costs of pursuing a false opportunity.  Missing-the-boat risk: it is the risk of failing to undertake a venture that would have succeeded. It is linked with the opportunity cost of not making a potentially profitable move.
  • 8.
  • 9.  Craftsman Entrepreneur take short-range sinking-the-boat-risk, their initial performance outcomes will vary more than their goal, as compared to others.  Opportunistic Entrepreneur avoid long-range missing-the-boat-risk, their long term performance outcomes vary less from their goal, as compared to that of others.  Non-Entrepreneur avoids short-range sinking-the-boat-risk, their short term performance outcome will vary less from their goals, as compared to others.  Since Non-Entrepreneur take long-range missing-the-boat-risk, their long term performance outcomes will vary more from their goal, as compared to others.
  • 10.
  • 11. Near-Future Orientation  Individuals with a near-future orientation and a risk-averting propensity are less likely to be entrepreneurs.  Individuals with a near-future orientation and a risk-seeking propensity are more likely to be craftsman entrepreneurs. Distant-Future Orientation  Individuals with a distant-future orientation and a risk-averting propensity are more likely to be opportunistic entrepreneurs.  Individuals with a distant-future orientation and a risk-seeking propensity are less likely to be entrepreneurs
  • 12. SHORT LONG RANGE RANGE LOW RISK LOW RISK BEHAVIOR BEHAVIOR SHORT LONG RANGE RANGE HIGH RISK LOW RISK BEHAVIOR BEHAVIOR
  • 13. What is important for the entrepreneurial process?  Networks – Associations of individuals or groups that facilitate access to information or resources.  Strategic Alliances – Integrative forms of inter-firm cooperation such as joint ventures and joint R&D. Importance: It gives access and connections that are not available from other sources.
  • 14. Formal Networks: Based on business contracts and agreements, with clear rights and obligations for each involved party. Example: venture capitalists, banks, accountants, lawyers, creditors and trade associations. Informal Networks: They are trust based organizing vehicles which start with personal relationship. Example: friends, families and business contracts. Entrepreneurs primarily use informal networks and then turn to the formal networks only when their firms are in an established position. - Birley (1985)
  • 15. A person who tend to take short range risk. Short range risk: If a person mainly relies on personal connection (informal networks) to start a new business, since entrepreneurial risks are internalized and not shared by external people. Why craftsman entrepreneurs depend mainly on informal networks?  Willingness to take short range risks.  Incompetence in dealing with a broad social environment.  Low social awareness and involvement.
  • 16.  A person who tends to engage in long-range low-risk behavior.  They constantly look for more opportunities untapped by the market.  They are highly motivated to minimize their personal risk through involving outside sources.  They venture into a business which is highly risk and sharing of this risk with formal networks makes the enterprise fairly attractive.
  • 17.  Besides networking, they are another means to access other’s resources and quickly build up their own operation.  They are often formed by firms in the same industry and tend to have a relatively high level of inter-firm integration. What do they do?  Opportunities to entrepreneurs in the short run.  Serve as a stepping stone during the start ups. Problems:  Many established firms harbor hidden agendas when they form alliance with start ups.  Over the long run the new start up might find it difficult to survive on its own.  It is risk taking in the long run for entrepreneurial firms.
  • 18. Entrepreneurial risk behavior has been examined in personality trait approach and cognitive approach.  Neither approach, however, has thus far yielded convincing evidence explaining entrepreneurial risk behavior in a parsimonious manner .  Not all the entrepreneurial risks have the same temporal context. (short-range entrepreneurial risk and long-range entrepreneurial risk)  Developing different entrepreneurial types by employing their distinct risk behavior in the short run and in the long run. (craftsman and opportunistic)  The individuals may have either a risk-averting or a risk-seeking propensity.