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Critical Economic Decisions
when Raising Heifers
Jason Karszes
Farm Management Specialist
PRO-DAIRY Program
Department of Animal Science
Cornell University
Goal of The Replacement Program
The primary goal of all heifer programs is to raise
the highest quality heifer who will maximize profits
once she enters the lactating herd. A quality heifer
is one carrying no limitations into the dairy herd
that would hinder her ability to produce under the
farm’s management system. Profits are maximized
by obtaining the highest quality heifer at the lowest
possible cost.
Key Areas
• Quality

• Costs
– Feed
– Labor
– Non-performance

• Number raised

• Capturing value of excess heifers
Relationship with the Dairy
• Large impact on overall financial
performance of the dairy businesses
– Quality of animal that enters herd
– Investment

– Daily costs
– Excess animals
Quality of the Replacement
• Growth vs. milk
• Calving problems
– Too heavy (fat)
– Too light (frame)

• General condition of the animal
– Mastitis
– Feet and legs
– Injury

• Prior treatments
• Replacement Heifer Management Snapshot
Quality of The Replacement
• 1st Calf Heifers “Treated” as Calf/Heifer*
≤30%
24 hrs.  3 mos. ____, 4 mos.  fresh ____

• DOAs in first calf heifers
≤9%
Male DOAs. ____, Female DOAs ____
• 1st Calf average peak milk
• 1st Calf lactation total milk yield
•
•
•
•
•

≥80% of Mature
≥80% of Mature

1st Calf Culls ≤ 60 Days in Milk
≤5%
1st Calf ME’s
≥Mature
1st Calf “Treated” in Lactation*
≤15%
85% retention (any herd) to 2nd lactation
≥85%
Lower #1 reason for 1st lactation culls
(continuous improvement)
Quality of The Replacement
• Net present value of earnings

• Higher the quality, higher the value
• What is the current quality of the
replacements?
– What is being tracked?

• What improvements can be made?

• What value do the improvements have?
Quality of The Replacement
• Areas impacting quality
– Overcrowding
– Facilities

– Nutrition
– Management
Costs to Raise Dairy
Replacements
• 20 to 30% of the costs to operate the
business

• Investment in assets
• Direct and indirect costs
What is The Cost?
• Are they free?
• Just purchased feed?
• Just hired labor?
• The sum of:
– All inputs, cash and non-cash
– Fixed costs associated with capital investments
– Opportunity cost of capital
– Charges for animals not completing replacement
program.
Reported Costs to Raise Dairy
Replacements
• Michigan

1973
1980
1986

$617
$1,085
$1,177

• Wisconsin 1982
1987
1998
2000
2007

$1,549
$1,326
$1,099
$1,360
$1,649

• Washington1992 $1,242

• Pennsylvania
1998 $1,088
1985 $925 Low
$1,271 Medium
$1,597 High
• Idaho

1992

$1,159

• New York 1990 $1,265
1993 $1,150
2003 $1,429
2007-8 $1,734
2012 $2,090
What is The Cost?
• Hard to know what the “Average” is
• Conduct study every 5 years to capture
costs on farms

• 17 farms have completed study
• A descriptive study
From Birth To Calving
• The following tables represents what the
costs were for these 17 farms.
• If all input costs and usage levels stayed the
same over two years, this is what the cost
would be.
Selected Measures
Dairy Replacement Program
17 Northeast Dairy Farms, 3rd Quarter 2012
Replacement Program
Number of Heifers
Age, Months
Weight, Pounds
Total Weight Gained, On Farm
Average Daily Rate of Gain
% Non-Completion Rate

Average
636
23.1
1,302
1,163
1.74
10.62%

80th Percentile Range

333
20.3
1,208
956
1.58
4.16%

1,305
25.0
1,368
1,272
1.96
17.66%
Costs, Per Day per Animal

80th Percentile Range

Average

%

Feed

$1.597

53.3%

$1.296

$2.051

Labor

$0.359

12.0%

$0.215

$0.509

Bedding

$0.131

4.4%

$0.028

$0.293

Health

$0.061

2.0%

$0.028

$0.128

Breeding

$0.069

2.3%

$0.036

$0.107

Machinery, Operation & Ownership

$0.123

4.1%

$0.056

$0.225

Building, Operation & Ownership

$0.171

5.7%

$0.070

$0.300

Manure, Storage & Spreading

$0.073

2.4%

$0.024

$0.150

Non-Performance Expense

$0.113

3.8%

$0.034

$0.179

Interest on Daily Investment
All other Costs 1

$0.205

6.8%

$0.182

$0.236

$0.094

3.1%

$0.000

$0.440

Total Cost per day per Animal

$2.99

$2.66

$3.40

Total Cost per Pound of Gain

$1.72

$1.52

$1.89

Total Cost per Animal Completing System

$2,084

$1,860

$2,263

Total Investment in Animal

$2,232

$2,010

$2,413

1

Trucking, Insurance, Custom Boarding, Professional Services
Feeding

Average

80th Percentile Range

Average Daily Rate of Gain

1.75

1.58

1.96

Average Daily Dry Matter Intake per Animal

15.18

12.20

19.16

Feed Conversion Ratio(Lbs. of Gain/Lbs. DM)

0.12

0.09

0.15

Feed Cost per Pound of Dry matter

$0.112

$0.089

$0.142

Feed Cost per Day per Animal, On Farm

$1.673

$1.423

$2.051

Feed Cost per Pound of Gain, On Farm

$0.958

$0.839

$1.195

Grown Feed

63.5%

43.8%

76.9%

Purchased Feed

36.5%

23.1%

56.2%

Percent of Total

Labor

Average

80th Percentile Range

Heifers per Weighted Daily Labor Hour

39.4

26.4

57.6

Pounds Gained per Weighted Daily Labor Hour

97.5

30.9

176.8

Cost per Heifer Per Day

$0.378

$0.215

$0.511

Cost per Pound of Gain

$0.217

$0.124

$0.303

Number of Annual Worker Equivalents

2.14

0.95

4.27

Pre-Weaned Heifers per Hour

11.6

6.2

21.7

Post-Weaned Heifers per Hour

59.0

38.8

102.1

$39,964

$27,655

$48,845

Cost per Worker Equivalent
Feed
• Single largest expense – 53% of total

• Range = $1.42 - $2.05 per head per day
• Key factors
– Forage quality
– Time on feed
– Dry matter intake
– Feed conversion
Labor
• Second largest expense – 12% of total

• Large range across farms
– <$150 to >$350 per heifer completing system

• Labor efficiency
– <30 to >55 heifers per labor hour
Facilities
• Large influence on labor efficiency

• Key characteristics
– Location
– Bedding type
– Size of pens
– Animal handling

• Number of moves of heifers by trailer
Non-Completion
• The expense associated with animals that
start the system and don’t complete the
system
• Died and sold as non-performers

• Allocated to animals that complete the
system
• Relationship to quality
Number of Heifers Being Raised
• Quality impact – overcrowding
– What number of heifers was system designed
for?

• Investment level
– Buildings
– Machinery
– Manure storage
Number of Heifers Being Raised
• What is future plans of the dairy?
• Capturing value of excess heifers
– When should they be sold?
– Should they even be raised?

• How do you decide who to sell?
– Genetic
– Environmental conditions
• Growth
• Illness
N u m b e r o f H e ife rs M a in ta in e d , A ll A g e s , fo r V a rio u s C a lv in g A g e s a n d R e p la c e m e n t R a te s
A v e ra g e H e rd S iz e , M ilk in g a n d D ry A n im a ls

100

N o n -C o m p le tio n R a te *, D a iry R e p la c e m e n ts

8 .0 0 %

C o w R e p la c e m e n t R a te , P e rc e n ta g e

20

23

26

29

33

36

39

42

45

18

31

36

41

45

52

56

61

66

70

20

35

40

45

50

57

63

68

73

78

22

38

44

50

55

63

69

75

80

86

24

42

48

54

61

69

75

81

88

94

26

45

52

59

66

75

81

88

95

102

28

49

56

63

71

80

88

95

102

110

30

52

60

68

76

86

94

102

110

117

32

56

64

72

81

92

100

109

117

125

C a lv in g A g e
M o n th s

*

N o n c o m p le tio n ra te re p re s e n ts th e p e rc e n t o f h e ife rs th a t s ta rt th e re p la c e m e n t s y s te m th a t d o n 't e n te r th e d a iry h e rd .
P re p a re d b y : J a s o n K a rs z e s , S e n io r E x te n s io n A s s o c ia te , P R O -D A IR Y , C o rn e ll U n iv e rs ity
What is the Relationship?
• Setting the base
– Treat heifer enterprise as a separate business
– Set budget for dairy to buy heifers

– Current enterprise performance
– Project changes in performance
Base Scenario
• 300 cow dairy
• Stable herd size
• 36% cull rate, last 5
years

• Budgeted expense per
heifer = $1,700
• Sell calves for $150

• Cost/day, raising costs
(cash), per heifer =
$2.30
• Age of first calving = 27
months
• Capital investment per
heifer = $700
• % heifers cull rate per
year = 7%
Replacement Enterprise - Base
• Number of heifers needed to maintain herd size = 264

• Total cost per day per heifer completing system =
$2.72(cash cost + depreciation + non-performance expense)
• Total cost of animal = $2,236(no beginning value or interest on
investment)

• Net enterprise income = -$72,213
• Total investment in enterprise = $519,101

• % return on total investment = -13.91%
• Overall dairy business % return = 7.70%
Changes that Can Be Made
• Improve quality of animal + $200 premium

• Lower raising costs by $.05 per head/day
• Decrease calving age by 4 months
• Decrease number needed – dairy cull rate –
from 36% to 32%
• Decrease heifer cull rate from 7% to 2.5%

• Sell excess heifers - $1,700
• Do them all
Summary Table – Replacement
Only
Net Enterprise Total
Income
Investment

Return on
Investment

Number
Raised

Base

-$72,213

$519,101

-13.91%

264

Lower Cost

-$67,308

$512,964

-13.14%

264

Decrease Age

-$40,898

$405,198

-10.09%

225

Dairy Cull%

-$64,189

$461,423

-13.91%

220

Heifer Cull%

-$58,031

$474,710

-12.22%

254

Premium Paid

-$52,882

$524,746

-10.08%

264

Combined

-$2,800

$329,472

-0.85%

189

Comb with int. inv.

-$7,191

$386,514

-1.86%

189

Comb sell excess

-$8,681

$374,076

-2.00%

237
Summary Table – Overall
Business
Net Farm
Income

Total
Investment

Return on
Percent
Investment Heifers/Cows

Base

$273,159

$2,769,101

7.70%

88%

Cost

$277,974

$2,762,964

7.89%

88%

Age

$304,474

$2,655,198

9.21%

75%

Dairy Cull%

$301,583

$2,711,423

8.91%

78%

Heifer Cull%

$287,342

$2,724,710

8.34%

83%

Premium Paid

$292,490

$2,774,746

8.38%

88%

Combined

$362,972

$2,579,472

11.75%

63%

Comb w int. inv.

$358,581

$2,936,514

11.32%

63%

Comb sell excess

$357,091

$2,684,491

11.07%

79%
Summary
• Replacement program impacts overall farm
performance
• Quality is key focus
• Feed and labor are the largest two cost areas

• Non-performance expenses should be
minimized
• Number of heifers raised a management
question
Thank You!
Questions?
Jason Karszes
JK57@cornell.edu

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Critical Economic Decisons when Raising Heifers

  • 1. Critical Economic Decisions when Raising Heifers Jason Karszes Farm Management Specialist PRO-DAIRY Program Department of Animal Science Cornell University
  • 2. Goal of The Replacement Program The primary goal of all heifer programs is to raise the highest quality heifer who will maximize profits once she enters the lactating herd. A quality heifer is one carrying no limitations into the dairy herd that would hinder her ability to produce under the farm’s management system. Profits are maximized by obtaining the highest quality heifer at the lowest possible cost.
  • 3. Key Areas • Quality • Costs – Feed – Labor – Non-performance • Number raised • Capturing value of excess heifers
  • 4. Relationship with the Dairy • Large impact on overall financial performance of the dairy businesses – Quality of animal that enters herd – Investment – Daily costs – Excess animals
  • 5. Quality of the Replacement • Growth vs. milk • Calving problems – Too heavy (fat) – Too light (frame) • General condition of the animal – Mastitis – Feet and legs – Injury • Prior treatments • Replacement Heifer Management Snapshot
  • 6. Quality of The Replacement • 1st Calf Heifers “Treated” as Calf/Heifer* ≤30% 24 hrs.  3 mos. ____, 4 mos.  fresh ____ • DOAs in first calf heifers ≤9% Male DOAs. ____, Female DOAs ____ • 1st Calf average peak milk • 1st Calf lactation total milk yield • • • • • ≥80% of Mature ≥80% of Mature 1st Calf Culls ≤ 60 Days in Milk ≤5% 1st Calf ME’s ≥Mature 1st Calf “Treated” in Lactation* ≤15% 85% retention (any herd) to 2nd lactation ≥85% Lower #1 reason for 1st lactation culls (continuous improvement)
  • 7. Quality of The Replacement • Net present value of earnings • Higher the quality, higher the value • What is the current quality of the replacements? – What is being tracked? • What improvements can be made? • What value do the improvements have?
  • 8. Quality of The Replacement • Areas impacting quality – Overcrowding – Facilities – Nutrition – Management
  • 9. Costs to Raise Dairy Replacements • 20 to 30% of the costs to operate the business • Investment in assets • Direct and indirect costs
  • 10. What is The Cost? • Are they free? • Just purchased feed? • Just hired labor? • The sum of: – All inputs, cash and non-cash – Fixed costs associated with capital investments – Opportunity cost of capital – Charges for animals not completing replacement program.
  • 11. Reported Costs to Raise Dairy Replacements • Michigan 1973 1980 1986 $617 $1,085 $1,177 • Wisconsin 1982 1987 1998 2000 2007 $1,549 $1,326 $1,099 $1,360 $1,649 • Washington1992 $1,242 • Pennsylvania 1998 $1,088 1985 $925 Low $1,271 Medium $1,597 High • Idaho 1992 $1,159 • New York 1990 $1,265 1993 $1,150 2003 $1,429 2007-8 $1,734 2012 $2,090
  • 12. What is The Cost? • Hard to know what the “Average” is • Conduct study every 5 years to capture costs on farms • 17 farms have completed study • A descriptive study
  • 13. From Birth To Calving • The following tables represents what the costs were for these 17 farms. • If all input costs and usage levels stayed the same over two years, this is what the cost would be.
  • 14. Selected Measures Dairy Replacement Program 17 Northeast Dairy Farms, 3rd Quarter 2012 Replacement Program Number of Heifers Age, Months Weight, Pounds Total Weight Gained, On Farm Average Daily Rate of Gain % Non-Completion Rate Average 636 23.1 1,302 1,163 1.74 10.62% 80th Percentile Range 333 20.3 1,208 956 1.58 4.16% 1,305 25.0 1,368 1,272 1.96 17.66%
  • 15. Costs, Per Day per Animal 80th Percentile Range Average % Feed $1.597 53.3% $1.296 $2.051 Labor $0.359 12.0% $0.215 $0.509 Bedding $0.131 4.4% $0.028 $0.293 Health $0.061 2.0% $0.028 $0.128 Breeding $0.069 2.3% $0.036 $0.107 Machinery, Operation & Ownership $0.123 4.1% $0.056 $0.225 Building, Operation & Ownership $0.171 5.7% $0.070 $0.300 Manure, Storage & Spreading $0.073 2.4% $0.024 $0.150 Non-Performance Expense $0.113 3.8% $0.034 $0.179 Interest on Daily Investment All other Costs 1 $0.205 6.8% $0.182 $0.236 $0.094 3.1% $0.000 $0.440 Total Cost per day per Animal $2.99 $2.66 $3.40 Total Cost per Pound of Gain $1.72 $1.52 $1.89 Total Cost per Animal Completing System $2,084 $1,860 $2,263 Total Investment in Animal $2,232 $2,010 $2,413 1 Trucking, Insurance, Custom Boarding, Professional Services
  • 16. Feeding Average 80th Percentile Range Average Daily Rate of Gain 1.75 1.58 1.96 Average Daily Dry Matter Intake per Animal 15.18 12.20 19.16 Feed Conversion Ratio(Lbs. of Gain/Lbs. DM) 0.12 0.09 0.15 Feed Cost per Pound of Dry matter $0.112 $0.089 $0.142 Feed Cost per Day per Animal, On Farm $1.673 $1.423 $2.051 Feed Cost per Pound of Gain, On Farm $0.958 $0.839 $1.195 Grown Feed 63.5% 43.8% 76.9% Purchased Feed 36.5% 23.1% 56.2% Percent of Total Labor Average 80th Percentile Range Heifers per Weighted Daily Labor Hour 39.4 26.4 57.6 Pounds Gained per Weighted Daily Labor Hour 97.5 30.9 176.8 Cost per Heifer Per Day $0.378 $0.215 $0.511 Cost per Pound of Gain $0.217 $0.124 $0.303 Number of Annual Worker Equivalents 2.14 0.95 4.27 Pre-Weaned Heifers per Hour 11.6 6.2 21.7 Post-Weaned Heifers per Hour 59.0 38.8 102.1 $39,964 $27,655 $48,845 Cost per Worker Equivalent
  • 17.
  • 18. Feed • Single largest expense – 53% of total • Range = $1.42 - $2.05 per head per day • Key factors – Forage quality – Time on feed – Dry matter intake – Feed conversion
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. Labor • Second largest expense – 12% of total • Large range across farms – <$150 to >$350 per heifer completing system • Labor efficiency – <30 to >55 heifers per labor hour
  • 24. Facilities • Large influence on labor efficiency • Key characteristics – Location – Bedding type – Size of pens – Animal handling • Number of moves of heifers by trailer
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. Non-Completion • The expense associated with animals that start the system and don’t complete the system • Died and sold as non-performers • Allocated to animals that complete the system • Relationship to quality
  • 28.
  • 29. Number of Heifers Being Raised • Quality impact – overcrowding – What number of heifers was system designed for? • Investment level – Buildings – Machinery – Manure storage
  • 30. Number of Heifers Being Raised • What is future plans of the dairy? • Capturing value of excess heifers – When should they be sold? – Should they even be raised? • How do you decide who to sell? – Genetic – Environmental conditions • Growth • Illness
  • 31. N u m b e r o f H e ife rs M a in ta in e d , A ll A g e s , fo r V a rio u s C a lv in g A g e s a n d R e p la c e m e n t R a te s A v e ra g e H e rd S iz e , M ilk in g a n d D ry A n im a ls 100 N o n -C o m p le tio n R a te *, D a iry R e p la c e m e n ts 8 .0 0 % C o w R e p la c e m e n t R a te , P e rc e n ta g e 20 23 26 29 33 36 39 42 45 18 31 36 41 45 52 56 61 66 70 20 35 40 45 50 57 63 68 73 78 22 38 44 50 55 63 69 75 80 86 24 42 48 54 61 69 75 81 88 94 26 45 52 59 66 75 81 88 95 102 28 49 56 63 71 80 88 95 102 110 30 52 60 68 76 86 94 102 110 117 32 56 64 72 81 92 100 109 117 125 C a lv in g A g e M o n th s * N o n c o m p le tio n ra te re p re s e n ts th e p e rc e n t o f h e ife rs th a t s ta rt th e re p la c e m e n t s y s te m th a t d o n 't e n te r th e d a iry h e rd . P re p a re d b y : J a s o n K a rs z e s , S e n io r E x te n s io n A s s o c ia te , P R O -D A IR Y , C o rn e ll U n iv e rs ity
  • 32. What is the Relationship? • Setting the base – Treat heifer enterprise as a separate business – Set budget for dairy to buy heifers – Current enterprise performance – Project changes in performance
  • 33. Base Scenario • 300 cow dairy • Stable herd size • 36% cull rate, last 5 years • Budgeted expense per heifer = $1,700 • Sell calves for $150 • Cost/day, raising costs (cash), per heifer = $2.30 • Age of first calving = 27 months • Capital investment per heifer = $700 • % heifers cull rate per year = 7%
  • 34. Replacement Enterprise - Base • Number of heifers needed to maintain herd size = 264 • Total cost per day per heifer completing system = $2.72(cash cost + depreciation + non-performance expense) • Total cost of animal = $2,236(no beginning value or interest on investment) • Net enterprise income = -$72,213 • Total investment in enterprise = $519,101 • % return on total investment = -13.91% • Overall dairy business % return = 7.70%
  • 35. Changes that Can Be Made • Improve quality of animal + $200 premium • Lower raising costs by $.05 per head/day • Decrease calving age by 4 months • Decrease number needed – dairy cull rate – from 36% to 32% • Decrease heifer cull rate from 7% to 2.5% • Sell excess heifers - $1,700 • Do them all
  • 36. Summary Table – Replacement Only Net Enterprise Total Income Investment Return on Investment Number Raised Base -$72,213 $519,101 -13.91% 264 Lower Cost -$67,308 $512,964 -13.14% 264 Decrease Age -$40,898 $405,198 -10.09% 225 Dairy Cull% -$64,189 $461,423 -13.91% 220 Heifer Cull% -$58,031 $474,710 -12.22% 254 Premium Paid -$52,882 $524,746 -10.08% 264 Combined -$2,800 $329,472 -0.85% 189 Comb with int. inv. -$7,191 $386,514 -1.86% 189 Comb sell excess -$8,681 $374,076 -2.00% 237
  • 37. Summary Table – Overall Business Net Farm Income Total Investment Return on Percent Investment Heifers/Cows Base $273,159 $2,769,101 7.70% 88% Cost $277,974 $2,762,964 7.89% 88% Age $304,474 $2,655,198 9.21% 75% Dairy Cull% $301,583 $2,711,423 8.91% 78% Heifer Cull% $287,342 $2,724,710 8.34% 83% Premium Paid $292,490 $2,774,746 8.38% 88% Combined $362,972 $2,579,472 11.75% 63% Comb w int. inv. $358,581 $2,936,514 11.32% 63% Comb sell excess $357,091 $2,684,491 11.07% 79%
  • 38. Summary • Replacement program impacts overall farm performance • Quality is key focus • Feed and labor are the largest two cost areas • Non-performance expenses should be minimized • Number of heifers raised a management question