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Show me the numbers
Lisa Hutt, Salesforce.com EMEA
My Marketing Maturity Model

                                                                                                 Forecasting

                                                                         Influencer Marketing           Mobile
                               Website
                               W b it                                                           Video
                                                              Measurement and ROI
                                Email
                                                                                                   Social Media
        Advertising
        Ad ti i                      Telemarketing           Lead management
                                          Conferences
                            Corporate
                            Hospitality                         Search
Direct Mail                                          Data Quality


              Exhibitions
                                                     Unsubscribe

       T-shirts and bugs


 Spray and pray                  Spot on        Digital Dilemma             Real time reality     Next chapter
How much time do you spend on metrics and
reporting?
     ti ?

•   I don’t do metrics and reporting

•   Up to half a day a week

•   More than half a day a week

•   Too much time – we have a manual process

•   100% - I AM the marketing operations g
                            g p          guru
Why forecast

 Set your own targets – no-one else will be more accurate
 Understand the growth and the trends
 Compare regions, products, sales performance
 Spot th d lt ’
 S t the delta’s and change th plan
                   d h      the l
 Know where to invest next
 Align with sales
 ……and speak the same language - $£€
        p                g g
Start Simple



Start with run-rate and average leads
By q
 y quarter, month or week
           ,

If you have a history, validate:
    Seasonal trends i e May and Dec down
                     i.e.
    Year on year growth, i.e. avg 40%

                   April   May   June
                    720    560    710
Segment and de spike for more accuracy
              de-spike

 Segment by:
   Region
   Product
   Business size etc


SubRegion    Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10
EMEA-BENELUX     260    323    242    288    297     311  281     367    382    419    355    407    445    475    202                  5,054
EMEA-DACH
EMEA DACH          430    477     491     368     483     481     438     402     562     592     474     643     580     700     270   7,391
                                                                                                                                        7 391
EMEA-FRANCE        146    115     161      40      99     199      64     155     125      88      18      44     169     438     200   2,061
EMEA-MIDDLE-
                   178    143     161     147     194     208     133     140     575     169     197     204     205     365     149   2,768
EAST
EMEA-ROEMEA        331    270     307     230     290     309     263     313     298     327     236     341     402     463     231   4,611
EMEA-UK          1,215   1,499   1,546   1,257   1,257   1,416   1,206   1,388   1,497   1,623   1,045   1,659   1,457   1,812    612 20,489
Grand Total      2,560   2,827   2,908   2,330   2,620   2,924   2,385   2,765   3,039   3,218   2,325   3,298   3,258   4,253   1,664 42,374
Man or machine?
                                                                          Average 
                                                                               g     Anticipated 
                                                                                           p
                    SubRegion
                    S bR i          Oct
                                    O t    Nov
                                           N            Jan
                                                        J        Feb
                                                                 F b
                                                                          Growth       Growth
                    BENELUX          36%      35%         30%      52%          38%          32%
                    DACH             23%      44%         23%      37%          32%          38%
                    FRANCE           33%      20%         14%      25%            9%         14%
                    IBERIA           12%      23%         36%      42%          28%          22%
                    ITALY            32%     ‐13%        ‐13%     ‐14%           ‐2%          2%
                    NORDICS          29%        2%        49%      36%          29%          28%
                    REST OF EMEA     10%       ‐7%         ‐2%      7%            2%          5%
                    UKIE             30%      45%           9%     11%          14%          15%


       Average Y/Y growth            SubRegion
                                                      March   March
                                                                         Difference
                                                     Actuals Forecast
       Month/month trends          BENELUX              475       528            53
       ** Budget                   DACH
                                   FRANCE
                                                        700
                                                        438
                                                                  800
                                                                  563
                                                                                100
                                                                                125
       ** Specific activities      IBERIA               281       364            83
                                   ITALY                124       120            -4
                                   NORDICS              311       371            60
                                   REST OF EMEA         463       489            26
                                   UKIE                1812      1892            80
                                                       4604      5128
Track the Sales Stats

                        More yellow and red
 Conversion Rate        during the economic
 Average Deal Sizes
      g                 downturn

 Sales Close Rates
Quarterly Pipeline and ACV Forecast
Hints and Tips

       Start simple
       Use sales and marketing tools to save time
       One-time report set up = forecast in 20 minutes

                           Segment to improve accuracy
                           Add more data points for better
                           validation over time
                           Plan jointly with sales and set
                           investment expectations
Closing Thought



  Being results-driven can give you more job satisfaction
but there is nothing more rewarding than the results you see
           from your own personal development.
Show me the numbers -

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Show me the numbers -

  • 1. Show me the numbers Lisa Hutt, Salesforce.com EMEA
  • 2. My Marketing Maturity Model Forecasting Influencer Marketing Mobile Website W b it Video Measurement and ROI Email Social Media Advertising Ad ti i Telemarketing Lead management Conferences Corporate Hospitality Search Direct Mail Data Quality Exhibitions Unsubscribe T-shirts and bugs Spray and pray Spot on Digital Dilemma Real time reality Next chapter
  • 3. How much time do you spend on metrics and reporting? ti ? • I don’t do metrics and reporting • Up to half a day a week • More than half a day a week • Too much time – we have a manual process • 100% - I AM the marketing operations g g p guru
  • 4. Why forecast Set your own targets – no-one else will be more accurate Understand the growth and the trends Compare regions, products, sales performance Spot th d lt ’ S t the delta’s and change th plan d h the l Know where to invest next Align with sales ……and speak the same language - $£€ p g g
  • 5. Start Simple Start with run-rate and average leads By q y quarter, month or week , If you have a history, validate: Seasonal trends i e May and Dec down i.e. Year on year growth, i.e. avg 40% April May June 720 560 710
  • 6. Segment and de spike for more accuracy de-spike Segment by: Region Product Business size etc SubRegion Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 EMEA-BENELUX 260 323 242 288 297 311 281 367 382 419 355 407 445 475 202 5,054 EMEA-DACH EMEA DACH 430 477 491 368 483 481 438 402 562 592 474 643 580 700 270 7,391 7 391 EMEA-FRANCE 146 115 161 40 99 199 64 155 125 88 18 44 169 438 200 2,061 EMEA-MIDDLE- 178 143 161 147 194 208 133 140 575 169 197 204 205 365 149 2,768 EAST EMEA-ROEMEA 331 270 307 230 290 309 263 313 298 327 236 341 402 463 231 4,611 EMEA-UK 1,215 1,499 1,546 1,257 1,257 1,416 1,206 1,388 1,497 1,623 1,045 1,659 1,457 1,812 612 20,489 Grand Total 2,560 2,827 2,908 2,330 2,620 2,924 2,385 2,765 3,039 3,218 2,325 3,298 3,258 4,253 1,664 42,374
  • 7. Man or machine? Average  g Anticipated  p SubRegion S bR i Oct O t Nov N Jan J Feb F b Growth Growth BENELUX 36% 35% 30% 52% 38% 32% DACH 23% 44% 23% 37% 32% 38% FRANCE 33% 20% 14% 25% 9% 14% IBERIA 12% 23% 36% 42% 28% 22% ITALY 32% ‐13% ‐13% ‐14% ‐2% 2% NORDICS 29% 2% 49% 36% 29% 28% REST OF EMEA 10% ‐7% ‐2% 7% 2% 5% UKIE 30% 45% 9% 11% 14% 15% Average Y/Y growth SubRegion March March Difference Actuals Forecast Month/month trends BENELUX 475 528 53 ** Budget DACH FRANCE 700 438 800 563 100 125 ** Specific activities IBERIA 281 364 83 ITALY 124 120 -4 NORDICS 311 371 60 REST OF EMEA 463 489 26 UKIE 1812 1892 80 4604 5128
  • 8. Track the Sales Stats More yellow and red Conversion Rate during the economic Average Deal Sizes g downturn Sales Close Rates
  • 9. Quarterly Pipeline and ACV Forecast
  • 10. Hints and Tips Start simple Use sales and marketing tools to save time One-time report set up = forecast in 20 minutes Segment to improve accuracy Add more data points for better validation over time Plan jointly with sales and set investment expectations
  • 11. Closing Thought Being results-driven can give you more job satisfaction but there is nothing more rewarding than the results you see from your own personal development.