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EVIDENCE-BASED PRACTICE




RUSH UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER
 MEDICAL STUDENT USERS GUIDE




     Prepared by the Rush University Medical Center
        Evidence-Based Practice Interest Group
                      May 7, 2012
EVIDENCE-BASED PRACTICE
                        RUSH UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER
                         MEDICAL STUDENT USERS GUIDE



                                   TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                                                           Pages
Introduction: Essay on EBM                                                                 3-5

Section 1: The Basics
What is Evidence-Based Practice (EBP)……………………............                                  6
Basic steps of EBP……………………………………………………..                                                   6
      o Background vs Foreground questions …………………….                                       6
      o Formulating an answerable clinical question: PICO ……..                             6-7
      o Types of studies/evidence domains ………………………..                                      7-8
      o Levels of evidence,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,   9

Section 2: Searching the Literature
Searching the literature ………………………………………………..                                              10
      o Databases……………………………………………………..                                                    10
      o MeSH terms …………………………………………………..                                                   11
      o Limits …………………………………………………………..                                                    12

Section 3: Evaluating the Literature
The clinical approach …………………………………………………..                                                13-17
The epidemiology approach …………………………………………..                                               18-23

Section 4: Communicating the Evidence
Do we teach a unified approach to communicating evidence to
patients? Some references for instructors. …………………………. 24




                                             Page 2 of 24
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Evidence based medicine: what it is and what it isn't
BMJ 1996; 312 doi: 10.1136/bmj.312.7023.71 (Published 13 January 1996)

David L Sackett, William M C Rosenberg, J A Muir Gray, R Brian Haynes, W Scott Richardson

It's about integrating individual clinical expertise and the best external evidence

Evidence based medicine, whose philosophical origins extend back to mid-19th century Paris and
earlier, remains a hot topic for clinicians, public health practitioners, purchasers, planners, and the
public. There are now frequent workshops in how to practice and teach it (one sponsored by the
BMJ will be held in London on 24 April); undergraduate 1 and postgraduate2 training programmes
are incorporating it3 (or pondering how to do so); British centres for evidence based practice have
been established or planned in adult medicine, child health, surgery, pathology, pharmacotherapy,
nursing, general practice, and dentistry; the Cochrane Collaboration and Britain's Centre for Review
and Dissemination in York are providing systematic reviews of the effects of health care; new
evidence based practice journals are being launched; and it has become a common topic in the lay
media. But enthusiasm has been mixed with some negative reaction. 4-6 Criticism has ranged from
evidence based medicine being old hat to it being a dangerous innovation, perpetrated by the
arrogant to serve cost cutters and suppress clinical freedom. As evidence based medicine
continues to evolve and adapt, now is a useful time to refine the discussion of what it is and what it
is not.

Evidence based medicine is the conscientious, explicit, and judicious use of current best evidence
in making decisions about the care of individual patients. The practice of evidence based medicine
means integrating individual clinical expertise with the best available external clinical evidence from
systematic research. By individual clinical expertise we mean the proficiency and judgment that
individual clinicians acquire through clinical experience and clinical practice. Increased expertise is
reflected in many ways, but especially in more effective and efficient diagnosis and in the more
thoughtful identification and compassionate use of individual patients' predicaments, rights, and
preferences in making clinical decisions about their care. By best available external clinical
evidence we mean clinically relevant research, often from the basic sciences of medicine, but
especially from patient centred clinical research into the accuracy and precision of diagnostic tests
(including the clinical examination), the power of prognostic markers, and the efficacy and safety of
therapeutic, rehabilitative, and preventive regimens. External clinical evidence both invalidates
previously accepted diagnostic tests and treatments and replaces them with new ones that are
more powerful, more accurate, more efficacious, and safer.

Good doctors use both individual clinical expertise and the best available external evidence, and
neither alone is enough. Without clinical expertise, practice risks becoming tyrannised by evidence,

                                              Page 3 of 24
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for even excellent external evidence may be inapplicable to or inappropriate for an individual
patient. Without current best evidence, practice risks becoming rapidly out of date, to the detriment
of patients.

This description of what evidence based medicine is helps clarify what evidence based medicine is
not. Evidence based medicine is neither old hat nor impossible to practice. The argument that
“everyone already is doing it” falls before evidence of striking variations in both the integration of
patient values into our clinical behaviour7 and in the rates with which clinicians provide interventions
to their patients.8 The difficulties that clinicians face in keeping abreast of all the medical advances
reported in primary journals are obvious from a comparison of the time required for reading (for
general medicine, enough to examine 19 articles per day, 365 days per year) 9 with the time
available (well under an hour a week by British medical consultants, even on self reports). 10

The argument that evidence based medicine can be conducted only from ivory towers and
armchairs is refuted by audits from the front lines of clinical care where at least some inpatient
clinical teams in general medicine,11 psychiatry (J R Geddes et al, Royal College of Psychiatrists
winter meeting, January 1996), and surgery (P McCulloch, personal communication) have provided
evidence based care to the vast majority of their patients. Such studies show that busy clinicians
who devote their scarce reading time to selective, efficient, patient driven searching, appraisal, and
incorporation of the best available evidence can practice evidence based medicine.

Evidence based medicine is not “cookbook” medicine. Because it requires a bottom up approach
that integrates the best external evidence with individual clinical expertise and patients' choice, it
cannot result in slavish, cookbook approaches to individual patient care. External clinical evidence
can inform, but can never replace, individual clinical expertise, and it is this expertise that decides
whether the external evidence applies to the individual patient at all and, if so, how it should be
integrated into a clinical decision. Similarly, any external guideline must be integrated with individual
clinical expertise in deciding whether and how it matches the patient's clinical state, predicament,
and preferences, and thus whether it should be applied. Clinicians who fear top down cookbooks
will find the advocates of evidence based medicine joining them at the barricades.

Some fear that evidence based medicine will be hijacked by purchasers and managers to cut the
costs of health care. This would not only be a misuse of evidence based medicine but suggests a
fundamental misunderstanding of its financial consequences. Doctors practising evidence based
medicine will identify and apply the most efficacious interventions to maximise the quality and
quantity of life for individual patients; this may raise rather than lower the cost of their care.

Evidence based medicine is not restricted to randomised trials and meta-analyses. It involves
tracking down the best external evidence with which to answer our clinical questions. To find out
about the accuracy of a diagnostic test, we need to find proper cross sectional studies of patients

                                               Page 4 of 24
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clinically suspected of harbouring the relevant disorder, not a randomised trial. For a question about
prognosis, we need proper follow up studies of patients assembled at a uniform, early point in the
clinical course of their disease. And sometimes the evidence we need will come from the basic
sciences such as genetics or immunology. It is when asking questions about therapy that we should
try to avoid the non-experimental approaches, since these routinely lead to false positive
conclusions about efficacy. Because the randomised trial, and especially the systematic review of
several randomised trials, is so much more likely to inform us and so much less likely to mislead us,
it has become the “gold standard” for judging whether a treatment does more good than harm.
However, some questions about therapy do not require randomised trials (successful interventions
for otherwise fatal conditions) or cannot wait for the trials to be conducted. And if no randomised
trial has been carried out for our patient's predicament, we must follow the trail to the next best
external evidence and work from there.

Despite its ancient origins, evidence based medicine remains a relatively young discipline whose
positive impacts are just beginning to be validated,12-13 and it will continue to evolve. This evolution
will be enhanced as several undergraduate, postgraduate, and continuing medical education
programmes adopt and adapt it to their learners' needs. These programmes, and their evaluation,
will provide further information and understanding about what evidence based medicine is and is
not.

References
1. British Medical Association. Report of the working party on medical education London: BMA,
1995.
2. Standing Committee on Postgraduate Medical and Dental Education. Creating a better learning
environment in hospitals. 1. Teaching hospital doctors and dentists to teach London: SCOPME,
1994.
3. General Medical Council. Education committee report London: GMC, 1994.
4. Grahame-Smith D. Evidence based medicine: Socratic dissent. BMJ 1995;310:1126–7.
5. Evidence based medicine; in its place [editorial]. Lancet 1995;346:785.
6. Correspondence. Evidence based medicine. Lancet 1995;346:1171–2.
7. Weatherall DJ: The inhumanity of medicine. BMJ 1994;309;1671–2.
8. House of Commons Health Committee. Priority setting in the NHS: purchasing. First report
sessions 1994-95. London: HMSO, 1995. (HC 134-1.).
9. Davidoff F, Haynes B, Sackett D, Smith R. Evidence based medicine: a new journal to help
doctors identify the information they need. BMJ 1995;310:1085–6.
10. Rosenberg WMC, Richardson WS, Haynes RB, Sackett DLSackett DL. Surveys of self-
reported reading times of consultants in Oxford, Birmingham, Milton-Keynes, Bristol, Leicester, and
Glasgow. In: Rosenberg WMC, Richardson WS, Haynes RB, Sackett DL. Evidence-based
medicine. London: Churchill Livingstone.
11. Ellis J, Mulligan I, Rowe J, Sackett DL. Inpatient general medicine is evidence based. Lancet
1995;346:407–10.
12. Bennett RJ, Sackett DL, Haynes RB, Neufeld VR. A controlled trial of teaching critical appraisal
of the clinical literature to medical students. JAMA 1987;257:2451–4.
13. Shin JH, Flaynes RB, Johnston ME. Effect of problem-based, self-directed undergraduate
education on life-long learning. Can Med Assoc J 1993;148:969–76.


                                              Page 5 of 24
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Section 1: The Basics

What is Evidence Based Practice (EBP)?

   “Evidence Based Practice is the integration of best research evidence with clinical
expertise and patient values to guide medical decision-making.”




Basic steps of Evidence Based Practice

   A. Recognize that you need more information.

      Clinical encounters often reveal gaps in our understanding of a disease process.
      Our knowledge base can be built by answering background questions or foreground
      questions.

      Background questions are questions regarding anatomy, pathophysiology,
      pharmacology, or microbiology that, when answered, serve to better understand the
      fundamentals of any particular disorder.

      Foreground questions are questions regarding diagnostic tests, therapies, or
      exposures that, when answered, serve to better understand the relationship of an
      intervention to a particular outcome.



   B. When it is clear that you have a foreground question, formulate an
      answerable clinical question.

      There are 4 major components to an answerable clinical question. These
      components are easily described using the PICO mnemonic.

      P: Population
      Which factors, demographic and otherwise, best describe your patient scenario?
      These may include age, gender, diagnosis, severity of diagnosis, clinical setting,
      and so on. Keep in mind that the more specific this part of the question becomes,
      the more difficult it may be to find relevant studies.

      I: Intervention
      What is the intervention of interest? This may be a diagnostic test, a new
      medication, an interventional program, or an exposure, to name a few. Again you
      want to best describe the intervention that you are considering for your patient, and
      this may include factors such as timing, duration, or dose of the intervention. Keep
      in mind that at times you may want to know if an intervention is better than the
      standard intervention, and at other times you may want to know if an intervention is
      as good as the standard intervention.

                                        Page 6 of 24
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C: Comparison
      What is the comparison of interest? If you are looking for studies regarding a
      diagnostic test, the comparison should be to the “gold standard” diagnostic test. If
      you are looking for studies regarding a new medication or therapy, the comparison
      should either be to placebo or to the “standard of care” medication or therapy. If
      you are looking for studies regarding exposures, the comparison should be to no
      exposure. If you are looking for studies regarding prognosis, there usually is no
      comparison group.

      O: Outcome
      What is the outcome or outcomes of interest? The outcome of interest should be
      measurable and should be patient-oriented. This often is described simply as
      “improved outcome for the patient”, but this may be measured in a number of ways.
      Be cognizant of whether a measured outcome is clinically relevant.



   C. Once you have your question, recognize what type of study will best answer
      your question. (See Section 3, The Epidemiology Approach, for more details)

                     Question                         Type of study
              Diagnostic tests              -   Cohort
              Treatments or therapies       -   Randomized controlled trial
                                            -   Intervention study
                                            -   Cohort study
                                            -   Meta-analysis
              Associations between          -   Cohort study
              exposure and outcome          -   Case-control study
              Prognosis                     -   Cohort study
                                            -   Meta-analysis


      Studies evaluating diagnostic tests: These studies are usually cohort studies in
      which a group of consecutive patients who are suspected to have a particular
      disease are enrolled. Both the “new” diagnostic test and the “gold standard”
      diagnostic test are applied to every patient. This enables an accurate calculation of
      sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for the
      “new” diagnostic test, as well as a comparison of these values to the “gold
      standard” in the given population.

      Studies evaluating treatments or therapies: These studies are usually randomized
      controlled trials in which a group of consecutive patients, often with a confirmed
      diagnosis, are randomly assigned to receiving either the “new” treatment or the
      comparison treatment, which could be placebo, no treatment, or standard
      treatment. The outcomes measured often enable calculations of the experimental
      event rate and the control event rate, or otherwise provide results on the
      differences between the groups studied. Cohort studies also can be used to look at
      treatments or therapies.


                                         Page 7 of 24
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Studies evaluating associations between an exposure and an adverse outcome:
      These studies may be prospective cohort studies, retrospective cohort studies, or
      case-control studies that look at a group of subjects exposed to a risk factor and
      compares them to a group of subjects not exposed to the risk factor. The
      comparison is often made in regards to the development of an adverse outcome.
      This comparison can generate calculations of relative risk (for cohort studies) or
      odds ratios (for case-control studies). These studies can help elucidate potential
      new etiologies for disease processes.

      Studies evaluating prognosis: These studies are usually cohort studies of patients
      with a disease or disorder who are followed for a period of time, but often without
      comparison to another group. These studies can provide information on long term
      outcomes for patients with certain characteristics that may be helpful in explaining
      potential outcomes to similar patients.

      Systematic reviews and Meta-analyses: Systematic reviews involve a critical
      appraisal and rigorous review of the available literature around a clinical question.
      Meta-analyses do the same and also compile data from multiple studies and
      provide an analysis of the compiled data. A meta-analysis of homogenous studies
      is considered to provide the highest level of evidence.




                                        Page 8 of 24
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D. Levels of Evidence



                  Case reports                        GENERATE HYPOTHSES

                   Case series

                Ecologic studies

             Cross-sectional studies

              Case-control studies

                 Cohort studies

           Randomized controlled trials

                  Meta-analysis                       ESTABLISH CAUSALITY




                                       Page 9 of 24
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Section 2: Searching the Literature
The primary database for researching the medical literature is Medline. Medline is the
largest biomedical information database in the world. The National Library of Medicine
produces the Medline database. It can be accessed for via the Rush Library’s website
(http://www.rushu.rush.edu/library) through PubMed. The link to PubMed found on the
Library’s page provides full text access to the electronic collections of the Library.
(http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sites/entrez?otool=iluruslib)




Enter the search terms into the box on the main screen to perform a keyword search; this
is the same type of search you would be doing if you used Google. One of the nice
features of the Medline database is the indexing of the material the database contains.
Users can search that index to find material that has been pre-screened for them by the
subject specialists at the National Library of Medicine.




                                       Page 10 of 24
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Users can take advantage of the indexed searching features by using MeSH.
(http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/mesh)




MeSH stands for medical subject headings and allows the users more control over the
way the terminology is used within the search results. Searching using MeSH terms
helps ensure consistency. The MeSH database is incorporated into most Medline records
in PubMed. Selecting one or two appropriate MeSH terms and a few limits allows users
to decrease the number of results to a manageable number.

One of the most relevant limits a searcher can use is Core Clinical Journals. This limits
the number of journal titles searched to gather results. The full Medline database
searches about 5500 journal titles. Using the Core Clinical Journals limit, decreases that
number to 120 titles. The 120 titles contained in Core Clinical Journals are the most
frequently read and cited in medicine and its subspecialties.




                                        Page 11 of 24
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Access to the Library’s journal collection is simplified through Rush’s PubMed specific url
shown on the previous page. Simply click the red GetIt! button attached to the citation for
which you’d like to retrieve the full text. The GetIt! button will link you wherever the article
is found in Rush’s electronic collection.




                                         Page 12 of 24
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Section 3: Evaluating the Literature


There are different approaches to how to evaluate medical literature.

   A. The Clinical Approach uses the Sackett guidelines. You can use these rubrics
      for the types of evidence assuming the study design matches the rubric.
                   i. Therapy     RCT, prospective cohort
                  ii. Association   prospective cohort, retrospective cohort, case-control
                 iii. Diagnosis    cohort, usually not RCT
                 iv. Systematic review/meta-analysis      meta-analysis
                  v. Prognosis     cohort


   B. The Epidemiology Approach: If study design does not match the Sackett rubric
      or additional evaluation criteria are desired, use Study Design Evaluation Guide.
                  i. Randomized controlled trial
                 ii. Cohort
                iii. Case Control




                                       Page 13 of 24
May 2012
A. The Clinical Approach: The Sackett Rubrics for Evaluating Medical Literature




                                                 Therapy
                    Adapted from Straus SE, Glasziou P, Richardson WS, Haynes RB.
                  Evidence Based Medicine, How to Practice and Teach It, Fourth Edition.
                                 Churchill, Livingstone, Elsevier, 2011.

         For a more detailed discussion from the Evidence Based Medicine Working Group, visit
                               www.cche.net/text/usersguides/therapy.asp


                  Was the assignment of patients to treatment randomized?
Are the results   Was follow-up sufficiently long and complete?
likely to be      Were all patients analyzed in the groups to which they were randomized (intention to
valid?            treat)?
                  Were patients and clinicians kept blind to treatment?


                                                                Adverse Event
                                                              Present    Absent          Totals
                                  Treatment Drug                 a         b              a+b
                                  Group      Placebo             c         d              c+d
Are the results                         Totals                  a+c       b+d           a+b+c+d
important?
                  Experimental Event Rate (EER) = a/(a+b)
                  Control Event Rate (CER) = c/(c+d)
                  Absolute risk reduction (ARR) = CER – EER (If negative, this is an absolute risk increase (ARI))
                  Number needed to treat (NNT) = 1/ARR (Number needed to harm (NNH) = 1/ARI)


                  Is our patient so different from those in the study that its results cannot apply?
                  Is the treatment feasible in our setting?
Are the results
                  What are our patient’s potential benefits and harms from the therapy?
applicable to
                  What are our patient’s values and expectations for both the outcome we are trying to
my patient?
                  prevent and the adverse effects we may cause?




                                                Page 14 of 24
 May 2012
Association – Harm or Etiology
                    Adapted from Straus SE, Glasziou P, Richardson WS, Haynes RB.
                  Evidence Based Medicine, How to Practice and Teach It, Fourth Edition.
                                 Churchill, Livingstone, Elsevier, 2011.

        For a more detailed discussion from the Evidence Based Medicine Working Group, visit
                               www.cche.net/text/usersguides/harm.asp


                      Were there clearly defined groups of patients, similar in all important ways other
                      than exposure to the treatment or other cause (the risk factor)?
                      Were treatments/exposures and clinical outcomes measured in the same ways in
                      both groups?
                      Was the assessment of outcomes either objective or blinded to exposure?
                      Was the follow-up of the study patients sufficiently long (for the outcome to occur)
Are the results       and complete?
likely to be valid?   Do the results of the harm study fulfill some of the diagnostic tests for causation?
                                 a. Is it clear that the exposure preceded the onset of the outcome?
                                 b. Is there a dose-response gradient?
                                 c. Is there any positive evidence from a “dechallenge-rechallenge”
                                     study?
                                 d. Is the association consistent from study to study?
                                 e. Does the association make biological sense?


                                                               Adverse outcome
                                                               Present    Absent       Totals
                                             Yes                  a         b           a+b
                                   Exposure
Are the results                              No                   c         d           c+d
important?                               Totals                  a+c       b+d        a+b+c+d

                      Relative Risk (RR) = [a/(a+b)]/[c/(c+d)]
                      Odds Ratio (OR) = ad/bc


                      Is our patient so different from those in the study that its results cannot apply?
Are the results       What are our patient’s potential benefits from the treatment/exposure?
applicable to my      What are our patient’s preferences, concerns and expectations from this
patient?              treatment/exposure?
                      What alternative treatments or therapies are available?




                                               Page 15 of 24
May 2012
Diagnosis
                    Adapted from Straus SE, Glasziou P, Richardson WS, Haynes RB.
                  Evidence Based Medicine, How to Practice and Teach It, Fourth Edition.
                                 Churchill, Livingstone, Elsevier, 2011.

        For a more detailed discussion from the Evidence Based Medicine Working Group, visit
                             www.cche.net/text/usersguides/diagnosis.asp


                   Was there an independent, blind comparison with a reference (“gold”) standard of
                   diagnosis?
Are the results
                   Was the diagnostic test evaluated in an appropriate spectrum of patients (like those in
likely to be
                   whom we would use it in practice)?
valid?
                   Was the reference (“gold”) standard applied regardless of the diagnostic test result?
                   Was the cluster of tests validated in a second, independent group of patients?


                                                                 Disease
                                                            Present    Absent          Totals
                                  Test         Positive        a          b             a+b
                                  Result       Negative        c          d             c+d
Are the results                            Totals             a+c        b+d          a+b+c+d
important?
                       Sensitivity = a/(a+c) Positive predictive value = a/(a+b)   LR (+) = [a/(a+c)]/[b/(b+d)]
                       Specificity= d/(b+d) Negative predictive value = d/(c+d)    LR (-) = [c/(a+c)]/[d/(b+d)]

                         For a discussion of Likelihood Ratios (LR), including an LR nomogram, visit
                                             www.cebm.net/index.aspx?o=1043

                   Is the diagnostic test available, affordable, accurate, and precise in our setting?
                   Are the study patients similar to our own patient?
Are the results
                   Can we generate a clinically sensible estimate of our patient’s pre-test probability?
applicable to
                           Did the study provide a reasonable estimate of the pre-test probability, or are
my patient?
                           there other, independent studies or resources that provide such an estimate?
                   Will the resulting post-test probability affect our management and help our patient?




                                                 Page 16 of 24
  May 2012
Overview/Systematic Review/Meta-analysis
                 Adapted from Straus SE, Glasziou P, Richardson WS, Haynes RB.
               Evidence Based Medicine, How to Practice and Teach It, Fourth Edition.
                              Churchill, Livingstone, Elsevier, 2011.

      For a more detailed discussion from the Evidence Based Medicine Working Group, visit
                           www.cche.net/text/usersguides/overview.asp


                      Is this a systematic review of randomized controlled trials?
                      Does it describe a comprehensive and detailed search for relevant articles?
                               Is it unlikely that important, relevant studies were missed?
Are the results       Were the individual studies included assessed for validity?
likely to be valid?            Were the criteria used to assess validity explained?
                      Were assessments of the studies reproducible?
                               Did the study have more than one assessor, and if so, how were
                               disagreements resolved?


                      Are the results consistent from study to study?
                      What is the magnitude of the treatment effect?
Are the results              Is there an explanation of the effect size of the individual and pooled
important?                   studies?
                      How precise is the treatment effect?
                             Is the confidence interval around the effect size reasonable?


                      Is our patient so different from those in the study that the results cannot apply?
Are the results       Is the treatment feasible in our setting?
applicable to my      What are our patient’s potential benefits and harms from the therapy?
patient?              What are our patient’s values and expectations for both the outcome we are
                      trying to prevent and the adverse effects we may cause?




                                              Page 17 of 24
May 2012
Prognosis
                 Adapted from Straus SE, Glasziou P, Richardson WS, Haynes RB.
               Evidence Based Medicine, How to Practice and Teach It, Fourth Edition.
                              Churchill, Livingstone, Elsevier, 2011.

      For a more detailed discussion from the Evidence Based Medicine Working Group, visit
                          www.cche.net/text/usersguides/prognosis.asp


                      Was there a representative and well-defined sample of patients assembled at
                      a similar point in the course of their disease?
Are the results
                      Was follow-up sufficiently long and complete?
likely to be valid?
                      Were objective and unbiased outcome criteria used?
                      Was there adjustment for important prognostic factors?


Are the results       How large is the likelihood of the outcome event(s) in a specified time period?
important?            How precise are the estimates of likelihood?


Are the results       Is our patient so different from those in the study that its results cannot apply?
applicable to my      Will the results lead directly to selecting or avoiding therapy?
patient?              Are the results useful for reassuring or counseling patients?




                                              Page 18 of 24
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B. The Epidemiology Approach

      Below is a summary of the different study design types and how they evolve.




                                     Page 19 of 24
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Below are the different measurements used to assess outcomes.




                                Page 20 of 24
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Randomized Controlled Trials
   Relevance – Do you care about this subject? Who is the target?
   Quality of the research (Validity)
               Question – Is the research question clear? Who is being studied, what is the
               intervention, and how will success be measured? Is the question supported by
               literature?
               Design – Was the best study design used for this question?
               Randomization – Was randomization done appropriately? (Hint: look at Table 1.)
               Blinding – Who was blinded? Was this the best they could do? What bias is
               introduced?
               Recruitment/Inclusion/Exclusion Criteria – What errors or sources of bias? Who
               was studied?
               Outcome measurement – Did they use objective or subjective measures? How
               much error is in these measures?
               Analysis – Is there a CONSORT diagram or clear explanation of how people
               moved through the trial? Was intent-to-treat analysis used? How did they deal with
               missing data?
               Power – Did they have enough participants to answer their question with minimal
               chance of error?
   Results
               Reporting – Are the questions asked in the introduction answered by the results
               presented?
               Size and precision of outcome – Did they produce a clinically significant effect
               size? What is your confidence in outcomes? (p values, confidence intervals, etc)
   Implications
               Interpretation – Are the conclusions made appropriate? Are important sources of
               bias and limitations discussed?
               Clinical significance – Does this matter to you in your clinical practice?
               Benefits verses costs/harm – Is it worth it?
               Generalizability – Can it be applied to others?




                                           Page 21 of 24
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Cohort Studies
   Relevance – Do you care about this subject? Who is the target?
   Quality of the research (Validity)
               Question – Is the research question clear? Who is being studied and how will the
               outcomes be determined? Is the question supported by literature?
               Design – Is the prospective or retrospective? Was the best study design used for
               this question?
               Recruitment/Inclusion/Exclusion Criteria – What errors or sources of bias? Who
               was studied? Think about selection bias and generalizability.
               Exposure and outcome measurement – What are the specific exposures and
               outcomes? Did they use objective or subjective measures? How much error is in
               these measures?
               Confounders – Are known confounders listed and addressed?
               Follow-up – How long were people followed for? Is this appropriate?
               Analysis – Are the analyses appropriate?
   Results
               Reporting – Are the questions asked in the introduction answered by the results
               presented?
               Size and precision of outcome – What is your confidence in outcomes? (p
               values, confidence intervals, etc)
   Implications
               Interpretation – Are the conclusions made appropriate? Are important sources of
               bias and limitations discussed?
               Clinical significance – Does this matter to you in your clinical practice?
               Benefits verses costs/harm – Is it worth it?
               Generalizability – Can it be applied to others?




                                           Page 22 of 24
May 2012
Case Control Studies
   Relevance – Do you care about this subject? Who is the target?
   Quality of the research (Validity)
               Question – Is the research question clear? Who is being studied and how will the
               outcomes be determined? Is the question supported by literature?
               Design – Was the best study design used for this question?
               Cases – Were the cases recruited in an appropriate way? What errors or sources
               of bias? .
               Controls – Were the controls recruited in an appropriate way? What errors or
               sources of bias? Was matching used? Any issues with non-response? Are there
               enough controls?
               Exposure and outcome measurement – What are the specific exposures and
               outcomes? Did they use objective or subjective measures? How much error is in
               these measures? Most importantly, how accurate is the exposure measure?
               Confounders – Are known confounders listed and addressed?
               Analysis – Are the analyses appropriate?
   Results
               Reporting – Are the questions asked in the introduction answered by the results
               presented?
               Size and precision of outcome – What is your confidence in outcomes? (p
               values, confidence intervals, etc)
   Implications
               Interpretation – Are the conclusions made appropriate? Are important sources of
               bias and limitations discussed?
               Clinical significance – Does this matter to you in your clinical practice?
               Benefits verses costs/harm – Is it worth it?
               Generalizability – Can it be applied to others?




                                           Page 23 of 24
May 2012
Section 4: Communicating the Evidence

The following are useful articles for helping instructors and students understand
how to use EMB.

   1. Barratt A, Wyer PC, Hatala R, McGinn T, Dans A, Keitz S, Moyer V, Guyatt G. Tips
      for teachers of evidence-based medicine: 1. Relative risk reduction, absolute risk
      reduction and number needed to treat. CMAJ 2004; 171 (4):online 1-8.

   2. Covey J. A Meta-analysis of the Effects of Presenting Treatment Benefits in
      Different Formats. Med Dec Making 2007; 27: 638-654.

   3. Perneger, TV, Agoritsas T. Doctors and Patients’ Susceptibility to Framing Bias: A
      Randomized Trial. J Gen Intern Med 2011; 26 (12): 1411-7.

   4. Peters E, Sol Hart P, Fraenkel L. Informing Patients: The Influence of Numeracy,
      Framing, and Format of Side Effect Information on Risk Perceptions. Med Decis
      Making 2011; 31: 432-436.

   5. Wooloshin S, Schwartz LM. Communicating Data About the Benefits and Harms of
      Treatment: A Randomized Trial. Ann Intern Med 2011; 155:87-96.

   6. Zikmund-Fisher BJ, Fagerlin A, Ubel PA. Risky feelings: why a 6% risk of cancer
      doesn’t always feel like 6%. Patient Educ Couns. 2010; 81(1): S87-S93. (PMID
      20739135)




                                      Page 24 of 24
May 2012

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Evaluating medical literature guide final 5.7.12

  • 1. EVIDENCE-BASED PRACTICE RUSH UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER MEDICAL STUDENT USERS GUIDE Prepared by the Rush University Medical Center Evidence-Based Practice Interest Group May 7, 2012
  • 2. EVIDENCE-BASED PRACTICE RUSH UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER MEDICAL STUDENT USERS GUIDE TABLE OF CONTENTS Pages Introduction: Essay on EBM 3-5 Section 1: The Basics What is Evidence-Based Practice (EBP)……………………............ 6 Basic steps of EBP…………………………………………………….. 6 o Background vs Foreground questions ……………………. 6 o Formulating an answerable clinical question: PICO …….. 6-7 o Types of studies/evidence domains ……………………….. 7-8 o Levels of evidence,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 9 Section 2: Searching the Literature Searching the literature ……………………………………………….. 10 o Databases…………………………………………………….. 10 o MeSH terms ………………………………………………….. 11 o Limits ………………………………………………………….. 12 Section 3: Evaluating the Literature The clinical approach ………………………………………………….. 13-17 The epidemiology approach ………………………………………….. 18-23 Section 4: Communicating the Evidence Do we teach a unified approach to communicating evidence to patients? Some references for instructors. …………………………. 24 Page 2 of 24 May 2012
  • 3. Evidence based medicine: what it is and what it isn't BMJ 1996; 312 doi: 10.1136/bmj.312.7023.71 (Published 13 January 1996) David L Sackett, William M C Rosenberg, J A Muir Gray, R Brian Haynes, W Scott Richardson It's about integrating individual clinical expertise and the best external evidence Evidence based medicine, whose philosophical origins extend back to mid-19th century Paris and earlier, remains a hot topic for clinicians, public health practitioners, purchasers, planners, and the public. There are now frequent workshops in how to practice and teach it (one sponsored by the BMJ will be held in London on 24 April); undergraduate 1 and postgraduate2 training programmes are incorporating it3 (or pondering how to do so); British centres for evidence based practice have been established or planned in adult medicine, child health, surgery, pathology, pharmacotherapy, nursing, general practice, and dentistry; the Cochrane Collaboration and Britain's Centre for Review and Dissemination in York are providing systematic reviews of the effects of health care; new evidence based practice journals are being launched; and it has become a common topic in the lay media. But enthusiasm has been mixed with some negative reaction. 4-6 Criticism has ranged from evidence based medicine being old hat to it being a dangerous innovation, perpetrated by the arrogant to serve cost cutters and suppress clinical freedom. As evidence based medicine continues to evolve and adapt, now is a useful time to refine the discussion of what it is and what it is not. Evidence based medicine is the conscientious, explicit, and judicious use of current best evidence in making decisions about the care of individual patients. The practice of evidence based medicine means integrating individual clinical expertise with the best available external clinical evidence from systematic research. By individual clinical expertise we mean the proficiency and judgment that individual clinicians acquire through clinical experience and clinical practice. Increased expertise is reflected in many ways, but especially in more effective and efficient diagnosis and in the more thoughtful identification and compassionate use of individual patients' predicaments, rights, and preferences in making clinical decisions about their care. By best available external clinical evidence we mean clinically relevant research, often from the basic sciences of medicine, but especially from patient centred clinical research into the accuracy and precision of diagnostic tests (including the clinical examination), the power of prognostic markers, and the efficacy and safety of therapeutic, rehabilitative, and preventive regimens. External clinical evidence both invalidates previously accepted diagnostic tests and treatments and replaces them with new ones that are more powerful, more accurate, more efficacious, and safer. Good doctors use both individual clinical expertise and the best available external evidence, and neither alone is enough. Without clinical expertise, practice risks becoming tyrannised by evidence, Page 3 of 24 May 2012
  • 4. for even excellent external evidence may be inapplicable to or inappropriate for an individual patient. Without current best evidence, practice risks becoming rapidly out of date, to the detriment of patients. This description of what evidence based medicine is helps clarify what evidence based medicine is not. Evidence based medicine is neither old hat nor impossible to practice. The argument that “everyone already is doing it” falls before evidence of striking variations in both the integration of patient values into our clinical behaviour7 and in the rates with which clinicians provide interventions to their patients.8 The difficulties that clinicians face in keeping abreast of all the medical advances reported in primary journals are obvious from a comparison of the time required for reading (for general medicine, enough to examine 19 articles per day, 365 days per year) 9 with the time available (well under an hour a week by British medical consultants, even on self reports). 10 The argument that evidence based medicine can be conducted only from ivory towers and armchairs is refuted by audits from the front lines of clinical care where at least some inpatient clinical teams in general medicine,11 psychiatry (J R Geddes et al, Royal College of Psychiatrists winter meeting, January 1996), and surgery (P McCulloch, personal communication) have provided evidence based care to the vast majority of their patients. Such studies show that busy clinicians who devote their scarce reading time to selective, efficient, patient driven searching, appraisal, and incorporation of the best available evidence can practice evidence based medicine. Evidence based medicine is not “cookbook” medicine. Because it requires a bottom up approach that integrates the best external evidence with individual clinical expertise and patients' choice, it cannot result in slavish, cookbook approaches to individual patient care. External clinical evidence can inform, but can never replace, individual clinical expertise, and it is this expertise that decides whether the external evidence applies to the individual patient at all and, if so, how it should be integrated into a clinical decision. Similarly, any external guideline must be integrated with individual clinical expertise in deciding whether and how it matches the patient's clinical state, predicament, and preferences, and thus whether it should be applied. Clinicians who fear top down cookbooks will find the advocates of evidence based medicine joining them at the barricades. Some fear that evidence based medicine will be hijacked by purchasers and managers to cut the costs of health care. This would not only be a misuse of evidence based medicine but suggests a fundamental misunderstanding of its financial consequences. Doctors practising evidence based medicine will identify and apply the most efficacious interventions to maximise the quality and quantity of life for individual patients; this may raise rather than lower the cost of their care. Evidence based medicine is not restricted to randomised trials and meta-analyses. It involves tracking down the best external evidence with which to answer our clinical questions. To find out about the accuracy of a diagnostic test, we need to find proper cross sectional studies of patients Page 4 of 24 May 2012
  • 5. clinically suspected of harbouring the relevant disorder, not a randomised trial. For a question about prognosis, we need proper follow up studies of patients assembled at a uniform, early point in the clinical course of their disease. And sometimes the evidence we need will come from the basic sciences such as genetics or immunology. It is when asking questions about therapy that we should try to avoid the non-experimental approaches, since these routinely lead to false positive conclusions about efficacy. Because the randomised trial, and especially the systematic review of several randomised trials, is so much more likely to inform us and so much less likely to mislead us, it has become the “gold standard” for judging whether a treatment does more good than harm. However, some questions about therapy do not require randomised trials (successful interventions for otherwise fatal conditions) or cannot wait for the trials to be conducted. And if no randomised trial has been carried out for our patient's predicament, we must follow the trail to the next best external evidence and work from there. Despite its ancient origins, evidence based medicine remains a relatively young discipline whose positive impacts are just beginning to be validated,12-13 and it will continue to evolve. This evolution will be enhanced as several undergraduate, postgraduate, and continuing medical education programmes adopt and adapt it to their learners' needs. These programmes, and their evaluation, will provide further information and understanding about what evidence based medicine is and is not. References 1. British Medical Association. Report of the working party on medical education London: BMA, 1995. 2. Standing Committee on Postgraduate Medical and Dental Education. Creating a better learning environment in hospitals. 1. Teaching hospital doctors and dentists to teach London: SCOPME, 1994. 3. General Medical Council. Education committee report London: GMC, 1994. 4. Grahame-Smith D. Evidence based medicine: Socratic dissent. BMJ 1995;310:1126–7. 5. Evidence based medicine; in its place [editorial]. Lancet 1995;346:785. 6. Correspondence. Evidence based medicine. Lancet 1995;346:1171–2. 7. Weatherall DJ: The inhumanity of medicine. BMJ 1994;309;1671–2. 8. House of Commons Health Committee. Priority setting in the NHS: purchasing. First report sessions 1994-95. London: HMSO, 1995. (HC 134-1.). 9. Davidoff F, Haynes B, Sackett D, Smith R. Evidence based medicine: a new journal to help doctors identify the information they need. BMJ 1995;310:1085–6. 10. Rosenberg WMC, Richardson WS, Haynes RB, Sackett DLSackett DL. Surveys of self- reported reading times of consultants in Oxford, Birmingham, Milton-Keynes, Bristol, Leicester, and Glasgow. In: Rosenberg WMC, Richardson WS, Haynes RB, Sackett DL. Evidence-based medicine. London: Churchill Livingstone. 11. Ellis J, Mulligan I, Rowe J, Sackett DL. Inpatient general medicine is evidence based. Lancet 1995;346:407–10. 12. Bennett RJ, Sackett DL, Haynes RB, Neufeld VR. A controlled trial of teaching critical appraisal of the clinical literature to medical students. JAMA 1987;257:2451–4. 13. Shin JH, Flaynes RB, Johnston ME. Effect of problem-based, self-directed undergraduate education on life-long learning. Can Med Assoc J 1993;148:969–76. Page 5 of 24 May 2012
  • 6. Section 1: The Basics What is Evidence Based Practice (EBP)? “Evidence Based Practice is the integration of best research evidence with clinical expertise and patient values to guide medical decision-making.” Basic steps of Evidence Based Practice A. Recognize that you need more information. Clinical encounters often reveal gaps in our understanding of a disease process. Our knowledge base can be built by answering background questions or foreground questions. Background questions are questions regarding anatomy, pathophysiology, pharmacology, or microbiology that, when answered, serve to better understand the fundamentals of any particular disorder. Foreground questions are questions regarding diagnostic tests, therapies, or exposures that, when answered, serve to better understand the relationship of an intervention to a particular outcome. B. When it is clear that you have a foreground question, formulate an answerable clinical question. There are 4 major components to an answerable clinical question. These components are easily described using the PICO mnemonic. P: Population Which factors, demographic and otherwise, best describe your patient scenario? These may include age, gender, diagnosis, severity of diagnosis, clinical setting, and so on. Keep in mind that the more specific this part of the question becomes, the more difficult it may be to find relevant studies. I: Intervention What is the intervention of interest? This may be a diagnostic test, a new medication, an interventional program, or an exposure, to name a few. Again you want to best describe the intervention that you are considering for your patient, and this may include factors such as timing, duration, or dose of the intervention. Keep in mind that at times you may want to know if an intervention is better than the standard intervention, and at other times you may want to know if an intervention is as good as the standard intervention. Page 6 of 24 May 2012
  • 7. C: Comparison What is the comparison of interest? If you are looking for studies regarding a diagnostic test, the comparison should be to the “gold standard” diagnostic test. If you are looking for studies regarding a new medication or therapy, the comparison should either be to placebo or to the “standard of care” medication or therapy. If you are looking for studies regarding exposures, the comparison should be to no exposure. If you are looking for studies regarding prognosis, there usually is no comparison group. O: Outcome What is the outcome or outcomes of interest? The outcome of interest should be measurable and should be patient-oriented. This often is described simply as “improved outcome for the patient”, but this may be measured in a number of ways. Be cognizant of whether a measured outcome is clinically relevant. C. Once you have your question, recognize what type of study will best answer your question. (See Section 3, The Epidemiology Approach, for more details) Question Type of study Diagnostic tests - Cohort Treatments or therapies - Randomized controlled trial - Intervention study - Cohort study - Meta-analysis Associations between - Cohort study exposure and outcome - Case-control study Prognosis - Cohort study - Meta-analysis Studies evaluating diagnostic tests: These studies are usually cohort studies in which a group of consecutive patients who are suspected to have a particular disease are enrolled. Both the “new” diagnostic test and the “gold standard” diagnostic test are applied to every patient. This enables an accurate calculation of sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for the “new” diagnostic test, as well as a comparison of these values to the “gold standard” in the given population. Studies evaluating treatments or therapies: These studies are usually randomized controlled trials in which a group of consecutive patients, often with a confirmed diagnosis, are randomly assigned to receiving either the “new” treatment or the comparison treatment, which could be placebo, no treatment, or standard treatment. The outcomes measured often enable calculations of the experimental event rate and the control event rate, or otherwise provide results on the differences between the groups studied. Cohort studies also can be used to look at treatments or therapies. Page 7 of 24 May 2012
  • 8. Studies evaluating associations between an exposure and an adverse outcome: These studies may be prospective cohort studies, retrospective cohort studies, or case-control studies that look at a group of subjects exposed to a risk factor and compares them to a group of subjects not exposed to the risk factor. The comparison is often made in regards to the development of an adverse outcome. This comparison can generate calculations of relative risk (for cohort studies) or odds ratios (for case-control studies). These studies can help elucidate potential new etiologies for disease processes. Studies evaluating prognosis: These studies are usually cohort studies of patients with a disease or disorder who are followed for a period of time, but often without comparison to another group. These studies can provide information on long term outcomes for patients with certain characteristics that may be helpful in explaining potential outcomes to similar patients. Systematic reviews and Meta-analyses: Systematic reviews involve a critical appraisal and rigorous review of the available literature around a clinical question. Meta-analyses do the same and also compile data from multiple studies and provide an analysis of the compiled data. A meta-analysis of homogenous studies is considered to provide the highest level of evidence. Page 8 of 24 May 2012
  • 9. D. Levels of Evidence Case reports GENERATE HYPOTHSES Case series Ecologic studies Cross-sectional studies Case-control studies Cohort studies Randomized controlled trials Meta-analysis ESTABLISH CAUSALITY Page 9 of 24 May 2012
  • 10. Section 2: Searching the Literature The primary database for researching the medical literature is Medline. Medline is the largest biomedical information database in the world. The National Library of Medicine produces the Medline database. It can be accessed for via the Rush Library’s website (http://www.rushu.rush.edu/library) through PubMed. The link to PubMed found on the Library’s page provides full text access to the electronic collections of the Library. (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sites/entrez?otool=iluruslib) Enter the search terms into the box on the main screen to perform a keyword search; this is the same type of search you would be doing if you used Google. One of the nice features of the Medline database is the indexing of the material the database contains. Users can search that index to find material that has been pre-screened for them by the subject specialists at the National Library of Medicine. Page 10 of 24 May 2012
  • 11. Users can take advantage of the indexed searching features by using MeSH. (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/mesh) MeSH stands for medical subject headings and allows the users more control over the way the terminology is used within the search results. Searching using MeSH terms helps ensure consistency. The MeSH database is incorporated into most Medline records in PubMed. Selecting one or two appropriate MeSH terms and a few limits allows users to decrease the number of results to a manageable number. One of the most relevant limits a searcher can use is Core Clinical Journals. This limits the number of journal titles searched to gather results. The full Medline database searches about 5500 journal titles. Using the Core Clinical Journals limit, decreases that number to 120 titles. The 120 titles contained in Core Clinical Journals are the most frequently read and cited in medicine and its subspecialties. Page 11 of 24 May 2012
  • 12. Access to the Library’s journal collection is simplified through Rush’s PubMed specific url shown on the previous page. Simply click the red GetIt! button attached to the citation for which you’d like to retrieve the full text. The GetIt! button will link you wherever the article is found in Rush’s electronic collection. Page 12 of 24 May 2012
  • 13. Section 3: Evaluating the Literature There are different approaches to how to evaluate medical literature. A. The Clinical Approach uses the Sackett guidelines. You can use these rubrics for the types of evidence assuming the study design matches the rubric. i. Therapy RCT, prospective cohort ii. Association prospective cohort, retrospective cohort, case-control iii. Diagnosis cohort, usually not RCT iv. Systematic review/meta-analysis meta-analysis v. Prognosis cohort B. The Epidemiology Approach: If study design does not match the Sackett rubric or additional evaluation criteria are desired, use Study Design Evaluation Guide. i. Randomized controlled trial ii. Cohort iii. Case Control Page 13 of 24 May 2012
  • 14. A. The Clinical Approach: The Sackett Rubrics for Evaluating Medical Literature Therapy Adapted from Straus SE, Glasziou P, Richardson WS, Haynes RB. Evidence Based Medicine, How to Practice and Teach It, Fourth Edition. Churchill, Livingstone, Elsevier, 2011. For a more detailed discussion from the Evidence Based Medicine Working Group, visit www.cche.net/text/usersguides/therapy.asp Was the assignment of patients to treatment randomized? Are the results Was follow-up sufficiently long and complete? likely to be Were all patients analyzed in the groups to which they were randomized (intention to valid? treat)? Were patients and clinicians kept blind to treatment? Adverse Event Present Absent Totals Treatment Drug a b a+b Group Placebo c d c+d Are the results Totals a+c b+d a+b+c+d important? Experimental Event Rate (EER) = a/(a+b) Control Event Rate (CER) = c/(c+d) Absolute risk reduction (ARR) = CER – EER (If negative, this is an absolute risk increase (ARI)) Number needed to treat (NNT) = 1/ARR (Number needed to harm (NNH) = 1/ARI) Is our patient so different from those in the study that its results cannot apply? Is the treatment feasible in our setting? Are the results What are our patient’s potential benefits and harms from the therapy? applicable to What are our patient’s values and expectations for both the outcome we are trying to my patient? prevent and the adverse effects we may cause? Page 14 of 24 May 2012
  • 15. Association – Harm or Etiology Adapted from Straus SE, Glasziou P, Richardson WS, Haynes RB. Evidence Based Medicine, How to Practice and Teach It, Fourth Edition. Churchill, Livingstone, Elsevier, 2011. For a more detailed discussion from the Evidence Based Medicine Working Group, visit www.cche.net/text/usersguides/harm.asp Were there clearly defined groups of patients, similar in all important ways other than exposure to the treatment or other cause (the risk factor)? Were treatments/exposures and clinical outcomes measured in the same ways in both groups? Was the assessment of outcomes either objective or blinded to exposure? Was the follow-up of the study patients sufficiently long (for the outcome to occur) Are the results and complete? likely to be valid? Do the results of the harm study fulfill some of the diagnostic tests for causation? a. Is it clear that the exposure preceded the onset of the outcome? b. Is there a dose-response gradient? c. Is there any positive evidence from a “dechallenge-rechallenge” study? d. Is the association consistent from study to study? e. Does the association make biological sense? Adverse outcome Present Absent Totals Yes a b a+b Exposure Are the results No c d c+d important? Totals a+c b+d a+b+c+d Relative Risk (RR) = [a/(a+b)]/[c/(c+d)] Odds Ratio (OR) = ad/bc Is our patient so different from those in the study that its results cannot apply? Are the results What are our patient’s potential benefits from the treatment/exposure? applicable to my What are our patient’s preferences, concerns and expectations from this patient? treatment/exposure? What alternative treatments or therapies are available? Page 15 of 24 May 2012
  • 16. Diagnosis Adapted from Straus SE, Glasziou P, Richardson WS, Haynes RB. Evidence Based Medicine, How to Practice and Teach It, Fourth Edition. Churchill, Livingstone, Elsevier, 2011. For a more detailed discussion from the Evidence Based Medicine Working Group, visit www.cche.net/text/usersguides/diagnosis.asp Was there an independent, blind comparison with a reference (“gold”) standard of diagnosis? Are the results Was the diagnostic test evaluated in an appropriate spectrum of patients (like those in likely to be whom we would use it in practice)? valid? Was the reference (“gold”) standard applied regardless of the diagnostic test result? Was the cluster of tests validated in a second, independent group of patients? Disease Present Absent Totals Test Positive a b a+b Result Negative c d c+d Are the results Totals a+c b+d a+b+c+d important? Sensitivity = a/(a+c) Positive predictive value = a/(a+b) LR (+) = [a/(a+c)]/[b/(b+d)] Specificity= d/(b+d) Negative predictive value = d/(c+d) LR (-) = [c/(a+c)]/[d/(b+d)] For a discussion of Likelihood Ratios (LR), including an LR nomogram, visit www.cebm.net/index.aspx?o=1043 Is the diagnostic test available, affordable, accurate, and precise in our setting? Are the study patients similar to our own patient? Are the results Can we generate a clinically sensible estimate of our patient’s pre-test probability? applicable to Did the study provide a reasonable estimate of the pre-test probability, or are my patient? there other, independent studies or resources that provide such an estimate? Will the resulting post-test probability affect our management and help our patient? Page 16 of 24 May 2012
  • 17. Overview/Systematic Review/Meta-analysis Adapted from Straus SE, Glasziou P, Richardson WS, Haynes RB. Evidence Based Medicine, How to Practice and Teach It, Fourth Edition. Churchill, Livingstone, Elsevier, 2011. For a more detailed discussion from the Evidence Based Medicine Working Group, visit www.cche.net/text/usersguides/overview.asp Is this a systematic review of randomized controlled trials? Does it describe a comprehensive and detailed search for relevant articles? Is it unlikely that important, relevant studies were missed? Are the results Were the individual studies included assessed for validity? likely to be valid? Were the criteria used to assess validity explained? Were assessments of the studies reproducible? Did the study have more than one assessor, and if so, how were disagreements resolved? Are the results consistent from study to study? What is the magnitude of the treatment effect? Are the results Is there an explanation of the effect size of the individual and pooled important? studies? How precise is the treatment effect? Is the confidence interval around the effect size reasonable? Is our patient so different from those in the study that the results cannot apply? Are the results Is the treatment feasible in our setting? applicable to my What are our patient’s potential benefits and harms from the therapy? patient? What are our patient’s values and expectations for both the outcome we are trying to prevent and the adverse effects we may cause? Page 17 of 24 May 2012
  • 18. Prognosis Adapted from Straus SE, Glasziou P, Richardson WS, Haynes RB. Evidence Based Medicine, How to Practice and Teach It, Fourth Edition. Churchill, Livingstone, Elsevier, 2011. For a more detailed discussion from the Evidence Based Medicine Working Group, visit www.cche.net/text/usersguides/prognosis.asp Was there a representative and well-defined sample of patients assembled at a similar point in the course of their disease? Are the results Was follow-up sufficiently long and complete? likely to be valid? Were objective and unbiased outcome criteria used? Was there adjustment for important prognostic factors? Are the results How large is the likelihood of the outcome event(s) in a specified time period? important? How precise are the estimates of likelihood? Are the results Is our patient so different from those in the study that its results cannot apply? applicable to my Will the results lead directly to selecting or avoiding therapy? patient? Are the results useful for reassuring or counseling patients? Page 18 of 24 May 2012
  • 19. B. The Epidemiology Approach Below is a summary of the different study design types and how they evolve. Page 19 of 24 May 2012
  • 20. Below are the different measurements used to assess outcomes. Page 20 of 24 May 2012
  • 21. Randomized Controlled Trials  Relevance – Do you care about this subject? Who is the target?  Quality of the research (Validity) Question – Is the research question clear? Who is being studied, what is the intervention, and how will success be measured? Is the question supported by literature? Design – Was the best study design used for this question? Randomization – Was randomization done appropriately? (Hint: look at Table 1.) Blinding – Who was blinded? Was this the best they could do? What bias is introduced? Recruitment/Inclusion/Exclusion Criteria – What errors or sources of bias? Who was studied? Outcome measurement – Did they use objective or subjective measures? How much error is in these measures? Analysis – Is there a CONSORT diagram or clear explanation of how people moved through the trial? Was intent-to-treat analysis used? How did they deal with missing data? Power – Did they have enough participants to answer their question with minimal chance of error?  Results Reporting – Are the questions asked in the introduction answered by the results presented? Size and precision of outcome – Did they produce a clinically significant effect size? What is your confidence in outcomes? (p values, confidence intervals, etc)  Implications Interpretation – Are the conclusions made appropriate? Are important sources of bias and limitations discussed? Clinical significance – Does this matter to you in your clinical practice? Benefits verses costs/harm – Is it worth it? Generalizability – Can it be applied to others? Page 21 of 24 May 2012
  • 22. Cohort Studies  Relevance – Do you care about this subject? Who is the target?  Quality of the research (Validity) Question – Is the research question clear? Who is being studied and how will the outcomes be determined? Is the question supported by literature? Design – Is the prospective or retrospective? Was the best study design used for this question? Recruitment/Inclusion/Exclusion Criteria – What errors or sources of bias? Who was studied? Think about selection bias and generalizability. Exposure and outcome measurement – What are the specific exposures and outcomes? Did they use objective or subjective measures? How much error is in these measures? Confounders – Are known confounders listed and addressed? Follow-up – How long were people followed for? Is this appropriate? Analysis – Are the analyses appropriate?  Results Reporting – Are the questions asked in the introduction answered by the results presented? Size and precision of outcome – What is your confidence in outcomes? (p values, confidence intervals, etc)  Implications Interpretation – Are the conclusions made appropriate? Are important sources of bias and limitations discussed? Clinical significance – Does this matter to you in your clinical practice? Benefits verses costs/harm – Is it worth it? Generalizability – Can it be applied to others? Page 22 of 24 May 2012
  • 23. Case Control Studies  Relevance – Do you care about this subject? Who is the target?  Quality of the research (Validity) Question – Is the research question clear? Who is being studied and how will the outcomes be determined? Is the question supported by literature? Design – Was the best study design used for this question? Cases – Were the cases recruited in an appropriate way? What errors or sources of bias? . Controls – Were the controls recruited in an appropriate way? What errors or sources of bias? Was matching used? Any issues with non-response? Are there enough controls? Exposure and outcome measurement – What are the specific exposures and outcomes? Did they use objective or subjective measures? How much error is in these measures? Most importantly, how accurate is the exposure measure? Confounders – Are known confounders listed and addressed? Analysis – Are the analyses appropriate?  Results Reporting – Are the questions asked in the introduction answered by the results presented? Size and precision of outcome – What is your confidence in outcomes? (p values, confidence intervals, etc)  Implications Interpretation – Are the conclusions made appropriate? Are important sources of bias and limitations discussed? Clinical significance – Does this matter to you in your clinical practice? Benefits verses costs/harm – Is it worth it? Generalizability – Can it be applied to others? Page 23 of 24 May 2012
  • 24. Section 4: Communicating the Evidence The following are useful articles for helping instructors and students understand how to use EMB. 1. Barratt A, Wyer PC, Hatala R, McGinn T, Dans A, Keitz S, Moyer V, Guyatt G. Tips for teachers of evidence-based medicine: 1. Relative risk reduction, absolute risk reduction and number needed to treat. CMAJ 2004; 171 (4):online 1-8. 2. Covey J. A Meta-analysis of the Effects of Presenting Treatment Benefits in Different Formats. Med Dec Making 2007; 27: 638-654. 3. Perneger, TV, Agoritsas T. Doctors and Patients’ Susceptibility to Framing Bias: A Randomized Trial. J Gen Intern Med 2011; 26 (12): 1411-7. 4. Peters E, Sol Hart P, Fraenkel L. Informing Patients: The Influence of Numeracy, Framing, and Format of Side Effect Information on Risk Perceptions. Med Decis Making 2011; 31: 432-436. 5. Wooloshin S, Schwartz LM. Communicating Data About the Benefits and Harms of Treatment: A Randomized Trial. Ann Intern Med 2011; 155:87-96. 6. Zikmund-Fisher BJ, Fagerlin A, Ubel PA. Risky feelings: why a 6% risk of cancer doesn’t always feel like 6%. Patient Educ Couns. 2010; 81(1): S87-S93. (PMID 20739135) Page 24 of 24 May 2012