SlideShare uma empresa Scribd logo
1 de 36
Debilitating Effects of Recently Weakened U.S. Livestock
Disease Protections and USDA’s New Animal ID Scheme: A
              Solution in Search of a Problem

                     Presented to
    South Dakota Stockgrowers Association Members

                           by

             Bill Bullard, CEO, R-CALF USA

                   September 22, 2011
                                                            1
The United States Is the
 Largest Beef Producer and
Largest Beef Consumer in the
           World
  Our Reputation of Producing the Healthiest Cattle and
   the Safest, Most Wholesome Beef Is Contingent on
   Maintaining the Highest Possible Health and Safety
                   Standards, But . . .




                                                          2
The United States Has Weaker
BSE Import Requirements for
 Beef than Most Major Beef
     Importing Countries



                               3
2011 BSE Requirements Imposed by Major U.S.
              Export Markets
                       Source: USDA-FSIS Index of Export Requirements for Meat and Poultry Products

    Country & Import       Age Restriction                                 Commodity Restrictions
         Rank
        Mexico         Less than 30 months     No ground meat.
           #1

         Japan         20 months or younger    No ground beef, processed beef, head meat, finely textured beef, or mechanically
           #3                                  separated meat.

      South Korea      Less than 30 months     Cattle must be born and raised in the United States, or imported from a country
          #4                                   deemed eligible by the Korean government to export beef or beef products to
                                               Korea, or raised in the United States for at least 100 days.

       Hong Kong       Less than 30 months     No ground beef, bone-in beef, edible offal, or beef derived from advanced meat
          #5                                   recovery systems.

         Taiwan        Less than 30 months     No ground beef or internal organs. Cattle must be born and raised in the United
           #6                                  States, raised in the United States for at least 100 days prior to slaughter, or
                                               legally imported into the United States from a country deemed eligible by Taiwan
                                               to export deboned beef to Taiwan. Beef or beef products of cattle from Canada
                                               fed less than 100 days prior to slaughter in the United States is limited to deboned
                                               beef derived from animals less than 30 months of age.
        Vietnam        Under 30 months
          #7

         Russia        Under 30 months         The beef and beef byproducts must be derived from cattle raised in the United
          #9                                   States. Ground red meat, packaged in bulk form or in the form of meat patties, is
                                               prohibited.

       United Arab     Under 30 months         Ritual: Islamic Halal Slaughter requirements apply.
        Emirates

        Singapore      Under 30 months         Only Fresh/frozen boneless beef derived from animals less than 30 months of age
                                               is eligible. Beef derived from cattle imported from Canada is not eligible.
                                                                                                                             R-CALF USA
                                                                                                                                          4
Numerous Countries that Accept U.S.
Beef Continue to Ban Canadian Beef
                  U.S. EXPORT MARKETS CLOSED TO CANADIAN BEEF

   26 countries continue to ban Canadian beef due to BSE. The following 10 countries accept U.S.
   beef; but, according to information provided by the Canadian Food Inspection Agency, do not
   allow Canadian beef:

                                              Chile
                                        Dominican Republic
                                              Haiti
                                             Jamaica
                                           South Korea
                                             Kuwait
                                            Malaysia
                                               Peru
                                           Saint Lucia
                                             Ukraine

   Sources:      USDA, FSIS, Index of Export Requirements for Meat and Poultry Products,
                 undated, (accessed September 16, 2011).
                 Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Summary of the Situation with Foreign
                 Markets relative to BSE as of November 5, 2009 (latest available information),
                 available at
                 http://www.inspection.gc.ca/english/fssa/meavia/man/ch11/annexre.shtml,
                 accessed September 16, 2011.



                                                                                                   5
The United States Has Weaker
Disease Import Standards for
Cattle than Many, If Not Most,
 Cattle Importing Countries



                                 6
BSE Age Restrictions
    COUNTRIES WITH STRICTER THAN U.S. AGE REQUIREMENTS FOR IMPORTING
                            CANADIAN CATTLE

COUNTRY                                AGE RESTRICTIONS ON CANADIAN CATTLE
Algeria                                Cattle must be less than 36 months of age
Barbados                               Cattle must be born after Dec. 31, 2003
Egypt                                  Slaughter cattle must be less than 24 months of age
European Union                         Cattle must be born after date of last indigenous BSE case
Lebanon                                Cattle must be under 30 months of age
Republic of Croatia                    Cattle must be born after date of last indigenous BSE case
South Korea                            Cattle must be born two years after effective enforcement
                                       of feed ban
Switzerland                            Cattle must be born after date of last indigenous BSE case
Tunisia                                Cattle must be born after July 1, 2001
Source: Canadian Food Inspection Agency Export Program, Veterinary Health Certificates,
Bovine, available at
http://www.inspection.gc.ca/english/anima/heasan/export/bovine/bovine.shtml



                                                                                                    7
In Return for Having Among the Weakest
  of Disease Import Standards, the U.S.
            Cattle Industry Is:

• Subject to a Scientifically Determined, Increased
  Risk of Introducing BSE into the U.S. Cattle
  Herd, which Presents a Hazard to both Livestock
  and Humans.

  – USDA’s risk modeling for its over-30-month rule
    (OTM Rule) predicts the U.S. would import between
    19 and 105 BSE-infected cattle from Canada, which
    would subsequently produce BSE infections in 2 to 75
    U.S.-born cattle over a 20-year period. (See 72 Fed.
    Reg., 1109, col. 2; 72 Fed. Reg., 53347, col. 1.)

                                                       8
In Return for Having Among the Weakest
  of Disease Import Standards, the U.S.
            Cattle Industry Is:
• Suffering from the Continual Reintroduction of Other
  Dangerous Diseases Into the United States.

   – The USDA’s Office of Inspector General (OIG) reported in 2006
     that 75 percent of bovine TB cases detected during the previous
     five years by U.S. slaughter surveillance originated in Mexico
     and were detected in 12 U.S. states. The OIG explained that
     because Mexican cattle spend many months on U.S. farms and
     ranches prior to slaughter, each bovine TB case is potentially
     spreading the disease in the United States. In addition, the OIG
     stated, “Until additional controls are added, APHIS cannot
     reasonably expect to achieve its goal and eradicate TB when it is
     being imported into the United States each year.
     (See OIG Report No. 50601-0009-Ch, September 2006, at iii,19,
     20.)

                                                                     9
In Return for Having Among the Weakest
  of Disease Import Standards, the U.S.
            Cattle Industry Is:

• Suffering Significant Financial Losses Resulting
  from the Importation of Higher-Risk Canadian
  Cattle.

  – USDA estimates that the cost to U.S. cattle
    producers, for the privilege of being exposed to a
    heightened risk for BSE from Canadian cattle and
    beef, would be over $66 million per year (or approx.
    $1.3 million each week), for which no compensation
    can be obtained from anyone. (See 72 Fed. Reg.
    53,356, col. 1.)

                                                           10
Correlation Between U.S. Calf Prices and
        Canadian Cattle Imports
                                                                   Relationship Between U.S. Calf Prices and Canadian Live Cattle Imports

                                                     Slaughter Steers and Heifers     Feeder Steers and Heifers           Slaughter Cows and Bulls      5-6 cwt. Kansas Steer Price

                                         1,800,000                                                                                                                                $135.00
                                                                                                                                              2011 avg through
                                                                                                                                              August: $149.53
                                         1,600,000                                                                                                                                $130.00


                                         1,400,000                                                                                                                                $125.00




                                                                                                                                                                                            Kansas Steer Price Per Hundredweight
    Number of Imported Canadian Cattle




                                         1,200,000                                                                                                                                $120.00


                                         1,000,000                                                                                                                                $115.00


                                          800,000                                                                                                                                 $110.00


                                          600,000                                                                                                                                 $105.00


                                          400,000                                                                                                                                 $100.00


                                          200,000                                                                                                                                 $95.00


                                                0                                                                                                                                 $90.00




                                                                                                                                                                         10
                                                         02




                                                                     03




                                                                                 04




                                                                                           05




                                                                                                       06




                                                                                                                     07




                                                                                                                                   08




                                                                                                                                               09




                                                                                                                                                          10
                                                      20




                                                                  20




                                                                              20




                                                                                        20




                                                                                                    20




                                                                                                                  20




                                                                                                                                20




                                                                                                                                            20




                                                                                                                                                       20




                                                                                                                                                                          t
                                                                                                                                                                       ep
                                                                                                                                                                    -S
                                                                                                                                                                  11
                                                                                                                                                               20
                                                Data Source: USDA FAS, AMS and K-State Research and Extension                                                                 R-CALF USA



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   11
Consumers Both Here and Abroad Know
      that Canada Has a Higher BSE Risk
•    The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) states:

     As of March 2011, 19 BSE cases in Canadian-born cattle have been identified, 18 in Canada and
     1 in the U.S. Of these 19 cases, 13 were known to have been born after the implementation of the
     1997 Canadian feed ban ; 12 of these 13 were born after March 1, 1999. This latter date is
     particularly relevant to the U.S. because since a USDA rule went into effect on November 19,
     2007, Canadian cattle born on or after March 1, 1999 have been legally imported into this country
     for any use. One of the 19 Canadian-born BSE cases was reported in an animal that was most
     likely born before or possibly very shortly after implementation of the 1997 feed ban. Based on the
     known or most likely year of birth, an average of 1.4 cases of BSE occurred among the group of
     animals born each year in Canada from 1991 through 2004. The highest reported number of
     cases by birth year in a single year, 3 BSE cases, occurred in 2000, 2001 and 2002. The most
     recently reported case extends the period of BSE transmission in Canada through at least the
     latter half of 2004. (citations omitted)
http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/dvrd/bse/, downloaded Sept. 21, 2011.

     To reduce any risk of acquiring vCJD from food, concerned travelers to Europe or other areas with
     indigenous cases of BSE may consider either avoiding beef and beef products altogether or
     selecting beef or beef products, such as solid pieces of muscle meat (rather than brains or beef
     products like burgers and sausages), that might have a reduced opportunity for contamination with
     tissues that may harbor the BSE agent.

http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/dvrd/vcjd/risk_travelers.htm, downloaded Sept. 21, 2011.

                                                                                                     12
Incubation Periods Have Not Lengthened in
Canada as In Europe, Where BSE Spread Is
       Thought to be Under Control
                              Lifespans of Known BSE-Positive Canadian-Born BSE Cases


                         20
                              Case # 7
                         19
                                               Case # 12
                         18
                                                    Case # 3
                         17
                                                           Case # 9
                         16
                                                               Case # 1
                         15
                                                               Case # 2
                         14
                                                                      Case # 4
                         13
   Number of BSE Cases




                                                                                 Case # 5
                         12
                                                                                 Case # 6
                         11
                                                                                 Case # 10
                         10
                                                                                     Case # 13
                         9
                                                                                     Case # 16
                         8
                                                                                     Case # 11
                         7
                                                                                             Case #15
                         6
                         5                                                                   Case # 8
                                                                                                 Case # 14
                         4
                         3                                                                       Case # 17
                                                                                                        Case # 18
                         2
                         1                                                                              Case # 19

                         0
                            85

                            86

                            87

                            88

                            89

                            90

                            91

                            92

                            93

                            94

                            95

                            96

                            97

                            98

                            99

                            00

                            01

                            02

                            03

                            04

                            05

                            06

                            07

                            08

                            09

                            10
                         19

                         19

                         19

                         19

                         19

                         19

                         19

                         19

                         19

                         19

                         19

                         19

                         19

                         19

                         19

                         20

                         20

                         20

                         20

                         20

                         20

                         20

                         20

                         20

                         20

                         20
                                                                                                                    13
Canada Has Significantly
Reduced Its Annual BSE Testing
                                                                          Canada's Annual BSE Testing and Results


                                       70,000



                                                                          2 BSE Positives               3 BSE Positives
                                       60,000
                                                                                            5 BSE Positives

                                                                                                                      4 BSE Positives
                                       50,000
   Total Cattle Tested Annually




                                                                                                                                                1 BSE Positive
                                       40,000
                                                                                                                                    1 BSE Positive



                                       30,000
                                                                                                                                                             1 BSE Positive
                                                               0 BSE Positives


                                       20,000




                                       10,000
                                                 2 BSE Positives
                                                 (1 Imported to U.S.)


                                            0
                                                   2003           2004           2005          2006           2007        2008          2009         2010        2011 -Aug
                                  Annual Tests     3710           23550          57768        55420           58177       48808         34618        35655        25445




                                                                                                                                                                              14
Canada Has Significantly Reduced
    Its Monthly BSE Testing
                                                                                 Canada's Monthly BSE Testing


                                                  8,000



                                                  7,000



                                                  6,000
    Number of Cattle Tested Each Month




                                                  5,000



                                                  4,000



                                                  3,000



                                                  2,000



                                                  1,000



                                                      0
                                                            Jan    Feb    Mar      Apr     May      Jun     Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct    Nov    Dec
                                         2008               6227   5587   5747     6713    5726    3908     2593   1966   2244   2500   2669   2928
                                         2009               3507   3285   3592     3900    2991    2729     2294   2009   2170   2596   2719   2826
                                         2010               3536   3195   4015     3806    3105    2905     2405   2105   2388   2371   2925   2899
                                         3-Yr Ave (05-07)   5310   5325   6511     6773    5820    4531     2890   2660   3029   3337   5456   5479




                                                                                                                                                      15
In Return for Having Among the Weakest
  of Disease Import Standards, the U.S.
            Cattle Industry Is:



• Suffering a Global Trade Deficit in the
  Trade of Cattle, Beef, Beef Variety Meats
  and Processed Beef.




                                              16
Long-Term Global Trade Deficit in Cattle, Beef,
   Beef Variety Meat and Processed Beef
        ($16 Billion Cumulative Cost)
                                                                                 U.S. Global Trade Balance
                                                                   Live Cattle, Beef, Beef Variety Meat, Processed Beef
                                                                                R-CALF USA, Sept. 21, 2011
                                                                                         HS-6 Digit


                                 6,000,000


                                 5,000,000


                                 4,000,000


                                 3,000,000


                                 2,000,000
      Value in 1000 Dollars




                                 1,000,000


                                        0


                                -1,000,000


                                -2,000,000


                                -3,000,000


                                -4,000,000


                                -5,000,000
                                                2003        2004          2005         2006         2007         2008         2009         2010      Jan-Jul 2011
                              Exports         3,637,193    648,298      1,136,658    1,758,309    2,304,207    3,208,976    3,060,897    4,133,409    3,176,308
                              Imports         3,553,119   4,232,467     4,779,442    4,867,587    5,296,271    4,957,138    4,141,458    4,530,722    2,797,944
                              Trade Balance    84,074     -3,584,169    -3,642,784   -3,109,278   -2,992,064   -1,748,162   -1,080,561   -397,313      378,364




                                                                                                                                                                    17
Trade With Canada and Mexico Contributes
  More than Half to the U.S. Trade Deficit
      ($9.9 Billion Cumulative Cost)
                                                                          U.S. Trade With Canada and Mexico
                                                                  Live Cattle, Beef, Beef Variety Meat, Processed Beef
                                                                               R-CALF USA, Sept. 21, 2011
                                                                                        HS-6 Digit


                                3,500,000


                                3,000,000


                                2,500,000


                                2,000,000


                                1,500,000
     Value in 1000 Dollars




                                1,000,000


                                  500,000


                                       0


                                 -500,000


                               -1,000,000


                               -1,500,000


                               -2,000,000
                                               2003        2004          2005         2006         2007         2008         2009        2010       Jan-Jul 2011
                             Exports         1,057,030    517,943       870,385     1,315,186    1,461,557    1,686,586    1,533,304   1,558,281     1,149,845
                             Imports         1,788,316   1,796,693     2,394,262    2,611,919    2,907,845    2,843,198    2,294,563   2,823,453     1,568,873
                             Trade Balance   -731,286    -1,278,750    -1,523,877   -1,296,733   -1,446,288   -1,156,612   -761,259    -1,265,172    -419,028




                                                                                                                                                                   18
Increased Exports
                               2009-2010
                                                   2009        2010
     Partner                    Product            Value       Value   Amount of Increased Value


 World Total   020230 - Bovine Boneless Froz   719,079     1,146,145                        $427,066
 World Total   020130 - Bovine Boneless Fr/C   1,502,278   1,724,773                        $222,495
 World Total   020220 - Bovine Bone In Froz    157,313     369,268                          $211,955
 World Total   010210 - Bovine Live, Pure      40,048      114,993                           $74,945
 World Total   020629 - Bovine Offal Froz      142,639     209,149                           $66,510
 World Total   020621 - Bovine Tongues, Froz   45,155      75,448                            $30,293
 World Total   020622 - Bovine Livers, Froz    88,227      118,592                           $30,365
 World Total   160250 - Bovine Meat, Prep      113,052     135,324                           $22,272
 World Total   020610 - Bovine Offal Fr/Ch     45,931      59,463                            $13,532
 World Total   020110 - Bovine Carcass Fr/Ch   5,588       13,124                             $7,536
 World Total   021020 - Bovine Meat, Salted    5,281       7,875                              $2,594
 World Total   020210 - Bovine Carcass Froz    4,734       4,956                                   $222
 World Total   010290 - Bovine Live            18,745      17,752                              -$993
 World Total   020120 - Bovine Bone In Fr/Ch   172,827     136,549                          -$36,278
Grand Total                                    3,060,897   4,133,409                      $1,072,512


                                                                                                    19
Using Weaker U.S. Disease Import
Standards to Leverage the Reopening of
     Export Markets Is Deplorable

• USDA Has a Duty to Prevent the Introduction of
  Dangerous Diseases Into the U.S. (see 7 U.S.C.
      8301 (1), 8303 (a)(1)) and Performance of
  that Duty Is Essential to Restoring the United
  States’ Lost Reputation of Maintaining the
  Healthiest Cattle Herd in the World, which
  Reputation Was the U.S. Cattle Industry’s
  Competitive Advantage

                                               20
USDA and the OIE Are Incapable of
   Accurately Evaluating the Risk of FMD
      Outbreaks in Foreign Countries
Country/Region              Date Declared FMD Free   Date of FMD Outbreaks

Region within Argentina     July 2000                August 2000
                                                     March 2001

Region within Uruguay       October 2000             April 2001

Region within Republic of   April 2000               September 2000
South Africa                                         November 2000

South Korea                 December 2009            January 2010

Japan                       2001                     April 2010

Region within Paraguay      May 2011                 September 2011


                                                                             21
USDA has Failed Its Mission to Prevent the
       Introduction and Spread of TB
• “Each year 1-2 [TB] infected animals per 100,000
  animals imported from Mexico are identified through
  slaughter detection or epidemiologic investigations.”
  (APHIS’ March 2011 report on TB pathways).

• In 2010, 1,221,111 Mexican Cattle were imported into
  the U.S. Based on APHIS’ own estimate, we likely
  introduced between 12 and 24 TB infected cattle in 2010
  alone.

• USDA wants U.S. cattle producers to manage these
  diseased cattle with its new mandatory animal
  identification scheme.

                                                          22
History Shows that Exports Do Not Drive
 Live Cattle Prices Paid to Farmers and
                Ranchers
                                                            Relationship Between Export Volumes and Fed Cattle Prices

                                 3.0                                                                                                            $100.00
                                        Source: USDA-ERS                                                                Imported Canadian Cow
                                                                                                                        Detected with BSE


                                 2.5                                                                                                            $90.00

                                                               Effective Date of
                                                               NAFTA
   Exports: Billions of Pounds




                                 2.0                                                                                                            $80.00




                                                                                                                                                          Fed Cattle Prices (per cwt.)
                                       Canadian-U.S. Free
                                       Trade Agreement
                                                                                   Thirteen Years of Depressed Prices

                                 1.5                                                                                                            $70.00




                                 1.0                                                                                                            $60.00




                                 0.5                                                                                                            $50.00




                                 0.0                                                                                                            $40.00
                                     85

                                     86

                                     87

                                     88

                                     89

                                     90

                                     91

                                     92

                                     93

                                     94

                                     95

                                     96

                                     97

                                     98

                                     99

                                     00

                                     01

                                     02

                                     03

                                     04

                                     05

                                     06

                                     07

                                     08

                                     09

                                     10
                                  19

                                  19

                                  19

                                  19

                                  19

                                  19

                                  19

                                  19

                                  19

                                  19

                                  19

                                  19

                                  19

                                  19

                                  19

                                  20

                                  20

                                  20

                                  20

                                  20

                                  20

                                  20

                                  20

                                  20

                                  20

                                  20
                                                                                                                                                                                         23
                                                                                                                                                  R-CALF USA
Long-Run Domestic Price Depression Coincides with
Increased Cattle Imports that Have Recently Introduced
      TB and Classical BSE into the United States
                                                      RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CATTLE IMPORTS AND FED CATTLE PRICES


                                 3,000,000                                                                               $100.00
                                                                                    Record Live Cattle
                                                                                                          BSE Detected
                                                                                    Imports from Mexico
                                                                                                          in Canada

                                 2,500,000                                                                               $90.00




                                 2,000,000                                                                               $80.00




                                                                                                                                   Fed Cattle Prices (per cwt.)
      Number of Cattle Imports




                                             Canada-U.S. Free
                                             Trade Agreement
                                                                              Effective Date
                                                                              of NAFTA
                                 1,500,000                                                                               $70.00




                                 1,000,000                                                                               $60.00




                                  500,000                                                                                $50.00




     Source:
                 0                                                                                                       $40.00
     USDA-ERS
     2009 Estimated
                                           85

                                           86

                                           87

                                           88
                                           89

                                           90

                                           91

                                           92

                                           93
                                           94

                                           95

                                           96

                                           97
                                           98

                                           99

                                           00

                                           01
                                           02

                                           03

                                           04

                                           05

                                           06
                                           07

                                           08

                                           09

                                           10
                                        19

                                        19

                                        19

                                        19
                                        19

                                        19

                                        19

                                        19

                                        19
                                        19

                                        19

                                        19

                                        19
                                        19

                                        19

                                        20

                                        20
                                        20

                                        20

                                        20

                                        20

                                        20
                                        20

                                        20

                                        20

                                        20
                                                                                                                         R-CALF USA




                                                                                                                                                                  24
The Solution Is To Address The Problem,
     Not The Problem’s Symptoms

• The problem’s symptoms include loss of consumer
  confidence in the health and safety of U.S. cattle and
  beef products, reduced consumption of U.S.
  beef, severe restrictions on U.S. beef exports, and
  depressed prices for U.S. cattle farmers and ranchers.

• The problem is that the U.S. maintains disease import
  standards that are too weak to prevent the introduction
  of dangerous diseases, and everyone knows it.


                                                            25
The Solution
• USDA Must Restore for U.S.
  Livestock, Livestock Producers, and the
  People of the United States Its Previously
  Weakened Disease Import Restrictions
  and Endeavor to Achieve the Highest
  Possible Level of Protection Against the
  Introduction and Spread of Animal
  Diseases.

                                               26
Priority Action: In Descending
            Order of Priority
•   Immediately dedicate all available resources to prevent the introduction and spread of foreign
    animal diseases in the United States.

•   Immediately Reverse the OTM Rule that Allows the Importation into the U.S. from Canada of
    Older Cattle, and Beef from Older Cattle, that Harbor the Highest Risk for BSE.

After the OTM Rule is Reversed:

•   Require Canada, and any other country with BSE cases born after their respective feed bans, to
    test all slaughtered cattle over 30 months of age (OTM) for at least one-year prior to considering
    the resumption OTM beef.

•   Assist U.S. beef packers in the voluntary testing for BSE.

•   Cease all efforts to implement a mandatory animal identification system – which is designed to
    manage other countries’ animal disease problems after they enter the United States – and redirect
    all resources currently deployed for animal identification to strengthen our disease protections at
    our borders, including increased testing of imported livestock.




                                                                                                     27
Additional Actions
• Require all cattle imported into the U.S. from Mexico to be tested for
  bovine tuberculosis (TB), directed to designated feedlots, and held
  in those feedlots until they are ready for slaughter.

• Require all cattle imported into the U.S. from any country with known
  TB or brucellosis reservoirs, in either livestock or wildlife, to be
  tested for TB and brucellosis prior to entering the United States.

• Reverse the recently promulgated “regionalization” scheme that
  allows the importation of cattle or beef from countries with ongoing
  disease outbreaks by carving out a specific region or zone within
  those countries and designating products in that region eligible for
  export to the United States.




                                                                         28
What’s at Stake? The Disconnect Between
       Domestic Cattle Prices and Retail Beef
                 Prices Will Worsen



                                               Black: Cattle Prices
                                               Red: Retail Beef Prices




Source: Dr. Robert Taylor, Auburn University      R-CALF USA
                                                                         29
What’s At Stake? The Domestic Cattle
Industry Will Continue to Shrink even as
        Consumption Increases
                                                                                Number of Beef Cattle Operations vs Domestic Beef Consumption



                                                1,000                                                                                                                               28,500



                                                                                                                                                                                    28,000




                                                                                                                                                                                             Domestic Beef Consumption in Pounds (Thousands)
     No of Beef Cattle Operations (Thousands)




                                                                                                                                                                                    27,500

                                                 900
                                                                                                                                                                                    27,000



                                                                                                                                                                                    26,500



                                                                                                                                                                                    26,000
                                                 800

                                                                                                                                                                                    25,500



                                                                                                                                                                                    25,000



                                                 700                                                                                                                                24,500
                                                           96


                                                                   97


                                                                           98


                                                                                     99


                                                                                             00


                                                                                                     01


                                                                                                             02


                                                                                                                     03


                                                                                                                             04


                                                                                                                                     05


                                                                                                                                             06


                                                                                                                                                     07


                                                                                                                                                               08


                                                                                                                                                                       09


                                                                                                                                                                               10
                                                        19


                                                                19


                                                                        19


                                                                                  19


                                                                                          20


                                                                                                  20


                                                                                                          20


                                                                                                                  20


                                                                                                                          20


                                                                                                                                  20


                                                                                                                                          20


                                                                                                                                                  20


                                                                                                                                                            20


                                                                                                                                                                    20


                                                                                                                                                                            20
                          Source: USDA FAS, NASS                                           Domestic Beef Consumption        No. of Beef Cattle Operations                     R-CALF USA


Source: USDA FAS, NASS                                                                                                                                                          R-CALF USA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               30
What’s at Stake? The U.S. Cattle Cycle Will
               Disappear
                                                                    Total U.S. Cattle Inventory and Beef Cow Inventory, January 1

                                          135                                                                                                                               135
                                          130                            Start 4-Year Liquidation                                                                           130
                                          125                                                                                                                               125
                                          120                                                   Start 8-Year Liquidation                                                    120
                                          115                                                                                            Start 14-Year Liquidation          115
                                          110                                                                                                                               110
                                          105                                                                                                                               105
                                          100                                                                                                                               100
              Cattle Numbers (Millions)




                                          95                                                                                                                                95
                                          90                                                                                                                                90
                                          85                                                                                                                                85
                                          80                                                                                                                                80
                                          75                                                                                                                                75
                                          70                                                                                                                                70
                                          65                                                                                                                                65
                                          60                                                                                                                                60
                                          55                                                                                                                                55
                                          50                                                                                                                                50
                                          45                                                                                                                                45
                                          40                                                                                                                                40
                                          35                                                                                                                                35
                                          30                                                                                                                                30
                                          25                                                                                                                                25
                                          19 0
                                          19 1
                                          19 2
                                          19 3
                                          19 4
                                          19 5
                                          19 6
                                          19 7
                                          19 8
                                          19 9
                                          19 0
                                          19 1
                                          19 2
                                          19 3
                                          19 4
                                          19 5
                                          19 6
                                          19 7
                                          19 8
                                          19 9
                                          19 0
                                          19 1
                                          19 2
                                          19 3
                                          19 4
                                          19 5
                                          19 6
                                          19 7
                                          19 8
                                          20 9
                                          20 0
                                          20 1
                                          20 2
                                          20 3
                                          20 4
                                          20 5
                                          20 6
                                          20 7
                                          20 8
                                          20 9
                                             10
                                             7
                                             7
                                             7
                                             7
                                             7
                                             7
                                             7
                                             7
                                             7
                                             7
                                             8
                                             8
                                             8
                                             8
                                             8
                                             8
                                             8
                                             8
                                             8
                                             8
                                             9
                                             9
                                             9
                                             9
                                             9
                                             9
                                             9
                                             9
                                             9
                                             9
                                             0
                                             0
                                             0
                                             0
                                             0
                                             0
                                             0
                                             0
                                             0
                                             0
                                          19




                                                Source: USDA-NASS                    Total Beef Cow Inventory   Total Cattle Inventory                         R-CALF USA



USDA NASS, Agricultural Statistics Board                                                                                                                                          31
What’s at Stake? Domestic Beef Producers
Will Continue Losing their Share of the Total
           Available Beef Supply
                               10 % of All Available
                                Beef was Imported      Origins of the United States' Beef Supply
                                     in 1985                      13 % of All Available                                           14 % of All Available
                                                                   Beef was Imported             Total Available Beef in           Beef was Imported
                       31                                               in 1996                  U.S. Market                            in 2010
                       30
                       29
                       28
                       27
                       26
                       25                                                                                    Imported Beef
                       24
                        23
                        22                                                                                                 Beef from Imported Cattle
                        21
                        20
     Billions Pounds




                        19
                        18
                        17
                        16                                         Beef produced exclusively
                         15
                         14                                        from cattle born and raised
                         13                                        in the United States
                         12
                         11                                       Total Domestic Production
                         10
                          9
                          8
                           7
                           6
                           5
                           4
                           3
                           2
                           1
                           0
                                                    85

                                                   86

                                                  87

                                                 88
                                                 19




                                                89
                                                19

                                               19




                                               90

                                              91
                                              19

                                             19




                                             92

                                            93
                                            19

                                           19




                                           94

                                          95
                                          19

                                         19




                                         96

                                        97
                                        19

                                       19




                                       98
                                      19




                                      99
                                     19




                                     00
                                    19




                                    01
                                   19




                                   02

                           Data Source: USDA-ERS
                                  20




                                  03
                                 20




                                 04
                                20




                                05
                               20




                               06
                              20




                              07
                             20




                             08
                            20




                            09
                           20




                           10
                          20
                           R-CALF USA




                         20

                        20
             Source: USDA ERS                                                                                                     R-CALF USA              32
What’s at Stake? Domestic Beef
Production Will Continue to Lag Behind
    Domestic Beef Consumption
                                       Domestic Consumption in Excess of Domestic Production
                                                            1962-2010


                              30
                              29                            Consumption Increases
                              28
                              27                            after 1993
                              26                                                                                        Total Domestic Beef
                               25                                                         Widest spread in history of
                                                                                                                           Consumption
                               24                                                            industry, 2004-2007
                               23
                               22
                               21
            Billions Pounds




                               20
                               19
                                18
                                17
                                16
                                15
                                14
                                13
                                 12
                                 11
                                 10
                                  9                                                   Imported Beef and Beef
                                  8
                                  7                                                   from Imported Cattle
                                  6
                                   5
                                   4                     Beef Produced Exclusively
                                   3
                                   2                     from Cattle Born and Raised
                                   1                     in the United States
                                   0                             Imported beef and beef
                                                                   from imported cattle
                                                             19 2
                                                                 6
                                                                64
                                                              19



                                                          19 6
                                                              6
                                                             68
                                                           19



                                                      19 0
                                                           7
                                                         72
                                                        19



                                                   19 4
                                                       7
                                                      76
                                                     19



                                                    78
                                                  80
                                                 19



                                                82
                                               19



                                              84
                                             19



                                            86
                                           19



                                          88
                                         19



                                        90
                                       19




  Source: USDA FAS, ERS
                                      92
                                     19



                                   94
                                   19



                                  96
                                 19



                                                                                                  98
                                19



                                                                                                 00
                                                                                                19



                                                                                               02
                                                                                                                              R-CALF USA
                                                                                              20



                                                                                             04
                                                                                            20



                                                                                           06
                                                                                          20



                                                                                         08
                                                                                        20



                                                                                       10
                                                                                      20

                                                                                    20
     Source: USDA ERS, FAS                                                                                        R-CALF USA
                                                                                                                                              33
What’s at Stake? The Domestic Cattle
  Industry Will Continue to Shrink and Hollow
  Out Rural Communities all Across America
                                                                               Loss of U.S. Livestock Operations 1980-2010


                                             1,300,000

                                             1,200,000

                                             1,100,000

                                             1,000,000
       Number of U.S. livestock Operations




                                              900,000
                                                                    42% Loss
                                              800,000

                                              700,000

                                              600,000

                                              500,000

                                              400,000

                                              300,000
                                                                                              91% Loss
                                              200,000
                                                                                                                              81% Loss             32% Loss
                                              100,000

                                                      0
                                                                Beef Cattle                Swine                         Diary                 Sheep
                                               1980             1,272,950                  667,000                      335,270                120,000
                                               2010              742,000                   60,460                        62,500                81,000
                                               >100 Hd            72,000                   12,060                        16,000                 5,022           75,000
                                                                                               Type of Livestock Operations
                                                          Source: USDA-NASS                                                              R-CALF USA



                                                                                                                                                                34
Source: USDA-NASS                                                                                                                                        R-CALF USA
The Present and Future Viability of the U.S. Cattle
Industry Is Wholly Dependent on the Ability of U.S.
   Cattle Producers to Maintain a Healthy Cattle
     Herd. This is Fundamental. And, this Is
 Fundamentally Impossible if USDA Persists in Its
  Support of Inadequate Disease Protections that
  Encourage the Introduction of Cattle Diseases
               from Foreign Sources.

   We Respectfully Urge USDA to Immediately
      Change its Present Course and Begin
  Aggressively to Protect our Borders from the
  Introduction and Spread of Avoidable Animal
                    Diseases
                                                 35
R-CALF USA
     P.O. Box 30715
   Billings, MT 59107
      406-252-2516
r-calfusa@r-calfusa.com
   www.r-calfusa.com




                          36

Mais conteúdo relacionado

Último

GUWAHATI 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in Escort service book now
GUWAHATI 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in  Escort service book nowGUWAHATI 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in  Escort service book now
GUWAHATI 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in Escort service book nowkapoorjyoti4444
 
Lucknow Housewife Escorts by Sexy Bhabhi Service 8250092165
Lucknow Housewife Escorts  by Sexy Bhabhi Service 8250092165Lucknow Housewife Escorts  by Sexy Bhabhi Service 8250092165
Lucknow Housewife Escorts by Sexy Bhabhi Service 8250092165meghakumariji156
 
The Abortion pills for sale in Qatar@Doha [+27737758557] []Deira Dubai Kuwait
The Abortion pills for sale in Qatar@Doha [+27737758557] []Deira Dubai KuwaitThe Abortion pills for sale in Qatar@Doha [+27737758557] []Deira Dubai Kuwait
The Abortion pills for sale in Qatar@Doha [+27737758557] []Deira Dubai Kuwaitdaisycvs
 
QSM Chap 10 Service Culture in Tourism and Hospitality Industry.pptx
QSM Chap 10 Service Culture in Tourism and Hospitality Industry.pptxQSM Chap 10 Service Culture in Tourism and Hospitality Industry.pptx
QSM Chap 10 Service Culture in Tourism and Hospitality Industry.pptxDitasDelaCruz
 
Cuttack Call Girl Just Call 8084732287 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Cuttack Call Girl Just Call 8084732287 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCuttack Call Girl Just Call 8084732287 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Cuttack Call Girl Just Call 8084732287 Top Class Call Girl Service Availablepr788182
 
Getting Real with AI - Columbus DAW - May 2024 - Nick Woo from AlignAI
Getting Real with AI - Columbus DAW - May 2024 - Nick Woo from AlignAIGetting Real with AI - Columbus DAW - May 2024 - Nick Woo from AlignAI
Getting Real with AI - Columbus DAW - May 2024 - Nick Woo from AlignAITim Wilson
 
Lundin Gold - Q1 2024 Conference Call Presentation (Revised)
Lundin Gold - Q1 2024 Conference Call Presentation (Revised)Lundin Gold - Q1 2024 Conference Call Presentation (Revised)
Lundin Gold - Q1 2024 Conference Call Presentation (Revised)Adnet Communications
 
Berhampur 70918*19311 CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
Berhampur 70918*19311 CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDINGBerhampur 70918*19311 CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
Berhampur 70918*19311 CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDINGpr788182
 
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...daisycvs
 
Falcon Invoice Discounting: The best investment platform in india for investors
Falcon Invoice Discounting: The best investment platform in india for investorsFalcon Invoice Discounting: The best investment platform in india for investors
Falcon Invoice Discounting: The best investment platform in india for investorsFalcon Invoice Discounting
 
SEO Case Study: How I Increased SEO Traffic & Ranking by 50-60% in 6 Months
SEO Case Study: How I Increased SEO Traffic & Ranking by 50-60%  in 6 MonthsSEO Case Study: How I Increased SEO Traffic & Ranking by 50-60%  in 6 Months
SEO Case Study: How I Increased SEO Traffic & Ranking by 50-60% in 6 MonthsIndeedSEO
 
Katrina Personal Brand Project and portfolio 1
Katrina Personal Brand Project and portfolio 1Katrina Personal Brand Project and portfolio 1
Katrina Personal Brand Project and portfolio 1kcpayne
 
Escorts in Nungambakkam Phone 8250092165 Enjoy 24/7 Escort Service Enjoy Your...
Escorts in Nungambakkam Phone 8250092165 Enjoy 24/7 Escort Service Enjoy Your...Escorts in Nungambakkam Phone 8250092165 Enjoy 24/7 Escort Service Enjoy Your...
Escorts in Nungambakkam Phone 8250092165 Enjoy 24/7 Escort Service Enjoy Your...meghakumariji156
 
Putting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptx
Putting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptxPutting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptx
Putting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptxCynthia Clay
 
Chennai Call Gril 80022//12248 Only For Sex And High Profile Best Gril Sex Av...
Chennai Call Gril 80022//12248 Only For Sex And High Profile Best Gril Sex Av...Chennai Call Gril 80022//12248 Only For Sex And High Profile Best Gril Sex Av...
Chennai Call Gril 80022//12248 Only For Sex And High Profile Best Gril Sex Av...pujan9679
 
Only Cash On Delivery Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8448577510 ⊹Escorts...
Only Cash On Delivery Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8448577510 ⊹Escorts...Only Cash On Delivery Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8448577510 ⊹Escorts...
Only Cash On Delivery Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8448577510 ⊹Escorts...lizamodels9
 
Pre Engineered Building Manufacturers Hyderabad.pptx
Pre Engineered  Building Manufacturers Hyderabad.pptxPre Engineered  Building Manufacturers Hyderabad.pptx
Pre Engineered Building Manufacturers Hyderabad.pptxRoofing Contractor
 
Nanded Call Girl Just Call 8084732287 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Nanded Call Girl Just Call 8084732287 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableNanded Call Girl Just Call 8084732287 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Nanded Call Girl Just Call 8084732287 Top Class Call Girl Service Availablepr788182
 
obat aborsi bandung wa 081336238223 jual obat aborsi cytotec asli di bandung9...
obat aborsi bandung wa 081336238223 jual obat aborsi cytotec asli di bandung9...obat aborsi bandung wa 081336238223 jual obat aborsi cytotec asli di bandung9...
obat aborsi bandung wa 081336238223 jual obat aborsi cytotec asli di bandung9...yulianti213969
 
UAE Bur Dubai Call Girls ☏ 0564401582 Call Girl in Bur Dubai
UAE Bur Dubai Call Girls ☏ 0564401582 Call Girl in Bur DubaiUAE Bur Dubai Call Girls ☏ 0564401582 Call Girl in Bur Dubai
UAE Bur Dubai Call Girls ☏ 0564401582 Call Girl in Bur Dubaijaehdlyzca
 

Último (20)

GUWAHATI 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in Escort service book now
GUWAHATI 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in  Escort service book nowGUWAHATI 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in  Escort service book now
GUWAHATI 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in Escort service book now
 
Lucknow Housewife Escorts by Sexy Bhabhi Service 8250092165
Lucknow Housewife Escorts  by Sexy Bhabhi Service 8250092165Lucknow Housewife Escorts  by Sexy Bhabhi Service 8250092165
Lucknow Housewife Escorts by Sexy Bhabhi Service 8250092165
 
The Abortion pills for sale in Qatar@Doha [+27737758557] []Deira Dubai Kuwait
The Abortion pills for sale in Qatar@Doha [+27737758557] []Deira Dubai KuwaitThe Abortion pills for sale in Qatar@Doha [+27737758557] []Deira Dubai Kuwait
The Abortion pills for sale in Qatar@Doha [+27737758557] []Deira Dubai Kuwait
 
QSM Chap 10 Service Culture in Tourism and Hospitality Industry.pptx
QSM Chap 10 Service Culture in Tourism and Hospitality Industry.pptxQSM Chap 10 Service Culture in Tourism and Hospitality Industry.pptx
QSM Chap 10 Service Culture in Tourism and Hospitality Industry.pptx
 
Cuttack Call Girl Just Call 8084732287 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Cuttack Call Girl Just Call 8084732287 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCuttack Call Girl Just Call 8084732287 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Cuttack Call Girl Just Call 8084732287 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
Getting Real with AI - Columbus DAW - May 2024 - Nick Woo from AlignAI
Getting Real with AI - Columbus DAW - May 2024 - Nick Woo from AlignAIGetting Real with AI - Columbus DAW - May 2024 - Nick Woo from AlignAI
Getting Real with AI - Columbus DAW - May 2024 - Nick Woo from AlignAI
 
Lundin Gold - Q1 2024 Conference Call Presentation (Revised)
Lundin Gold - Q1 2024 Conference Call Presentation (Revised)Lundin Gold - Q1 2024 Conference Call Presentation (Revised)
Lundin Gold - Q1 2024 Conference Call Presentation (Revised)
 
Berhampur 70918*19311 CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
Berhampur 70918*19311 CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDINGBerhampur 70918*19311 CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
Berhampur 70918*19311 CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
 
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
 
Falcon Invoice Discounting: The best investment platform in india for investors
Falcon Invoice Discounting: The best investment platform in india for investorsFalcon Invoice Discounting: The best investment platform in india for investors
Falcon Invoice Discounting: The best investment platform in india for investors
 
SEO Case Study: How I Increased SEO Traffic & Ranking by 50-60% in 6 Months
SEO Case Study: How I Increased SEO Traffic & Ranking by 50-60%  in 6 MonthsSEO Case Study: How I Increased SEO Traffic & Ranking by 50-60%  in 6 Months
SEO Case Study: How I Increased SEO Traffic & Ranking by 50-60% in 6 Months
 
Katrina Personal Brand Project and portfolio 1
Katrina Personal Brand Project and portfolio 1Katrina Personal Brand Project and portfolio 1
Katrina Personal Brand Project and portfolio 1
 
Escorts in Nungambakkam Phone 8250092165 Enjoy 24/7 Escort Service Enjoy Your...
Escorts in Nungambakkam Phone 8250092165 Enjoy 24/7 Escort Service Enjoy Your...Escorts in Nungambakkam Phone 8250092165 Enjoy 24/7 Escort Service Enjoy Your...
Escorts in Nungambakkam Phone 8250092165 Enjoy 24/7 Escort Service Enjoy Your...
 
Putting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptx
Putting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptxPutting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptx
Putting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptx
 
Chennai Call Gril 80022//12248 Only For Sex And High Profile Best Gril Sex Av...
Chennai Call Gril 80022//12248 Only For Sex And High Profile Best Gril Sex Av...Chennai Call Gril 80022//12248 Only For Sex And High Profile Best Gril Sex Av...
Chennai Call Gril 80022//12248 Only For Sex And High Profile Best Gril Sex Av...
 
Only Cash On Delivery Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8448577510 ⊹Escorts...
Only Cash On Delivery Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8448577510 ⊹Escorts...Only Cash On Delivery Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8448577510 ⊹Escorts...
Only Cash On Delivery Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8448577510 ⊹Escorts...
 
Pre Engineered Building Manufacturers Hyderabad.pptx
Pre Engineered  Building Manufacturers Hyderabad.pptxPre Engineered  Building Manufacturers Hyderabad.pptx
Pre Engineered Building Manufacturers Hyderabad.pptx
 
Nanded Call Girl Just Call 8084732287 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Nanded Call Girl Just Call 8084732287 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableNanded Call Girl Just Call 8084732287 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Nanded Call Girl Just Call 8084732287 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
obat aborsi bandung wa 081336238223 jual obat aborsi cytotec asli di bandung9...
obat aborsi bandung wa 081336238223 jual obat aborsi cytotec asli di bandung9...obat aborsi bandung wa 081336238223 jual obat aborsi cytotec asli di bandung9...
obat aborsi bandung wa 081336238223 jual obat aborsi cytotec asli di bandung9...
 
UAE Bur Dubai Call Girls ☏ 0564401582 Call Girl in Bur Dubai
UAE Bur Dubai Call Girls ☏ 0564401582 Call Girl in Bur DubaiUAE Bur Dubai Call Girls ☏ 0564401582 Call Girl in Bur Dubai
UAE Bur Dubai Call Girls ☏ 0564401582 Call Girl in Bur Dubai
 

Destaque

2024 State of Marketing Report – by Hubspot
2024 State of Marketing Report – by Hubspot2024 State of Marketing Report – by Hubspot
2024 State of Marketing Report – by HubspotMarius Sescu
 
Everything You Need To Know About ChatGPT
Everything You Need To Know About ChatGPTEverything You Need To Know About ChatGPT
Everything You Need To Know About ChatGPTExpeed Software
 
Product Design Trends in 2024 | Teenage Engineerings
Product Design Trends in 2024 | Teenage EngineeringsProduct Design Trends in 2024 | Teenage Engineerings
Product Design Trends in 2024 | Teenage EngineeringsPixeldarts
 
How Race, Age and Gender Shape Attitudes Towards Mental Health
How Race, Age and Gender Shape Attitudes Towards Mental HealthHow Race, Age and Gender Shape Attitudes Towards Mental Health
How Race, Age and Gender Shape Attitudes Towards Mental HealthThinkNow
 
AI Trends in Creative Operations 2024 by Artwork Flow.pdf
AI Trends in Creative Operations 2024 by Artwork Flow.pdfAI Trends in Creative Operations 2024 by Artwork Flow.pdf
AI Trends in Creative Operations 2024 by Artwork Flow.pdfmarketingartwork
 
PEPSICO Presentation to CAGNY Conference Feb 2024
PEPSICO Presentation to CAGNY Conference Feb 2024PEPSICO Presentation to CAGNY Conference Feb 2024
PEPSICO Presentation to CAGNY Conference Feb 2024Neil Kimberley
 
Content Methodology: A Best Practices Report (Webinar)
Content Methodology: A Best Practices Report (Webinar)Content Methodology: A Best Practices Report (Webinar)
Content Methodology: A Best Practices Report (Webinar)contently
 
How to Prepare For a Successful Job Search for 2024
How to Prepare For a Successful Job Search for 2024How to Prepare For a Successful Job Search for 2024
How to Prepare For a Successful Job Search for 2024Albert Qian
 
Social Media Marketing Trends 2024 // The Global Indie Insights
Social Media Marketing Trends 2024 // The Global Indie InsightsSocial Media Marketing Trends 2024 // The Global Indie Insights
Social Media Marketing Trends 2024 // The Global Indie InsightsKurio // The Social Media Age(ncy)
 
Trends In Paid Search: Navigating The Digital Landscape In 2024
Trends In Paid Search: Navigating The Digital Landscape In 2024Trends In Paid Search: Navigating The Digital Landscape In 2024
Trends In Paid Search: Navigating The Digital Landscape In 2024Search Engine Journal
 
5 Public speaking tips from TED - Visualized summary
5 Public speaking tips from TED - Visualized summary5 Public speaking tips from TED - Visualized summary
5 Public speaking tips from TED - Visualized summarySpeakerHub
 
ChatGPT and the Future of Work - Clark Boyd
ChatGPT and the Future of Work - Clark Boyd ChatGPT and the Future of Work - Clark Boyd
ChatGPT and the Future of Work - Clark Boyd Clark Boyd
 
Getting into the tech field. what next
Getting into the tech field. what next Getting into the tech field. what next
Getting into the tech field. what next Tessa Mero
 
Google's Just Not That Into You: Understanding Core Updates & Search Intent
Google's Just Not That Into You: Understanding Core Updates & Search IntentGoogle's Just Not That Into You: Understanding Core Updates & Search Intent
Google's Just Not That Into You: Understanding Core Updates & Search IntentLily Ray
 
Time Management & Productivity - Best Practices
Time Management & Productivity -  Best PracticesTime Management & Productivity -  Best Practices
Time Management & Productivity - Best PracticesVit Horky
 
The six step guide to practical project management
The six step guide to practical project managementThe six step guide to practical project management
The six step guide to practical project managementMindGenius
 
Beginners Guide to TikTok for Search - Rachel Pearson - We are Tilt __ Bright...
Beginners Guide to TikTok for Search - Rachel Pearson - We are Tilt __ Bright...Beginners Guide to TikTok for Search - Rachel Pearson - We are Tilt __ Bright...
Beginners Guide to TikTok for Search - Rachel Pearson - We are Tilt __ Bright...RachelPearson36
 

Destaque (20)

2024 State of Marketing Report – by Hubspot
2024 State of Marketing Report – by Hubspot2024 State of Marketing Report – by Hubspot
2024 State of Marketing Report – by Hubspot
 
Everything You Need To Know About ChatGPT
Everything You Need To Know About ChatGPTEverything You Need To Know About ChatGPT
Everything You Need To Know About ChatGPT
 
Product Design Trends in 2024 | Teenage Engineerings
Product Design Trends in 2024 | Teenage EngineeringsProduct Design Trends in 2024 | Teenage Engineerings
Product Design Trends in 2024 | Teenage Engineerings
 
How Race, Age and Gender Shape Attitudes Towards Mental Health
How Race, Age and Gender Shape Attitudes Towards Mental HealthHow Race, Age and Gender Shape Attitudes Towards Mental Health
How Race, Age and Gender Shape Attitudes Towards Mental Health
 
AI Trends in Creative Operations 2024 by Artwork Flow.pdf
AI Trends in Creative Operations 2024 by Artwork Flow.pdfAI Trends in Creative Operations 2024 by Artwork Flow.pdf
AI Trends in Creative Operations 2024 by Artwork Flow.pdf
 
Skeleton Culture Code
Skeleton Culture CodeSkeleton Culture Code
Skeleton Culture Code
 
PEPSICO Presentation to CAGNY Conference Feb 2024
PEPSICO Presentation to CAGNY Conference Feb 2024PEPSICO Presentation to CAGNY Conference Feb 2024
PEPSICO Presentation to CAGNY Conference Feb 2024
 
Content Methodology: A Best Practices Report (Webinar)
Content Methodology: A Best Practices Report (Webinar)Content Methodology: A Best Practices Report (Webinar)
Content Methodology: A Best Practices Report (Webinar)
 
How to Prepare For a Successful Job Search for 2024
How to Prepare For a Successful Job Search for 2024How to Prepare For a Successful Job Search for 2024
How to Prepare For a Successful Job Search for 2024
 
Social Media Marketing Trends 2024 // The Global Indie Insights
Social Media Marketing Trends 2024 // The Global Indie InsightsSocial Media Marketing Trends 2024 // The Global Indie Insights
Social Media Marketing Trends 2024 // The Global Indie Insights
 
Trends In Paid Search: Navigating The Digital Landscape In 2024
Trends In Paid Search: Navigating The Digital Landscape In 2024Trends In Paid Search: Navigating The Digital Landscape In 2024
Trends In Paid Search: Navigating The Digital Landscape In 2024
 
5 Public speaking tips from TED - Visualized summary
5 Public speaking tips from TED - Visualized summary5 Public speaking tips from TED - Visualized summary
5 Public speaking tips from TED - Visualized summary
 
ChatGPT and the Future of Work - Clark Boyd
ChatGPT and the Future of Work - Clark Boyd ChatGPT and the Future of Work - Clark Boyd
ChatGPT and the Future of Work - Clark Boyd
 
Getting into the tech field. what next
Getting into the tech field. what next Getting into the tech field. what next
Getting into the tech field. what next
 
Google's Just Not That Into You: Understanding Core Updates & Search Intent
Google's Just Not That Into You: Understanding Core Updates & Search IntentGoogle's Just Not That Into You: Understanding Core Updates & Search Intent
Google's Just Not That Into You: Understanding Core Updates & Search Intent
 
How to have difficult conversations
How to have difficult conversations How to have difficult conversations
How to have difficult conversations
 
Introduction to Data Science
Introduction to Data ScienceIntroduction to Data Science
Introduction to Data Science
 
Time Management & Productivity - Best Practices
Time Management & Productivity -  Best PracticesTime Management & Productivity -  Best Practices
Time Management & Productivity - Best Practices
 
The six step guide to practical project management
The six step guide to practical project managementThe six step guide to practical project management
The six step guide to practical project management
 
Beginners Guide to TikTok for Search - Rachel Pearson - We are Tilt __ Bright...
Beginners Guide to TikTok for Search - Rachel Pearson - We are Tilt __ Bright...Beginners Guide to TikTok for Search - Rachel Pearson - We are Tilt __ Bright...
Beginners Guide to TikTok for Search - Rachel Pearson - We are Tilt __ Bright...
 

110922, r calf usa presentation on animal health and id

  • 1. Debilitating Effects of Recently Weakened U.S. Livestock Disease Protections and USDA’s New Animal ID Scheme: A Solution in Search of a Problem Presented to South Dakota Stockgrowers Association Members by Bill Bullard, CEO, R-CALF USA September 22, 2011 1
  • 2. The United States Is the Largest Beef Producer and Largest Beef Consumer in the World Our Reputation of Producing the Healthiest Cattle and the Safest, Most Wholesome Beef Is Contingent on Maintaining the Highest Possible Health and Safety Standards, But . . . 2
  • 3. The United States Has Weaker BSE Import Requirements for Beef than Most Major Beef Importing Countries 3
  • 4. 2011 BSE Requirements Imposed by Major U.S. Export Markets Source: USDA-FSIS Index of Export Requirements for Meat and Poultry Products Country & Import Age Restriction Commodity Restrictions Rank Mexico Less than 30 months No ground meat. #1 Japan 20 months or younger No ground beef, processed beef, head meat, finely textured beef, or mechanically #3 separated meat. South Korea Less than 30 months Cattle must be born and raised in the United States, or imported from a country #4 deemed eligible by the Korean government to export beef or beef products to Korea, or raised in the United States for at least 100 days. Hong Kong Less than 30 months No ground beef, bone-in beef, edible offal, or beef derived from advanced meat #5 recovery systems. Taiwan Less than 30 months No ground beef or internal organs. Cattle must be born and raised in the United #6 States, raised in the United States for at least 100 days prior to slaughter, or legally imported into the United States from a country deemed eligible by Taiwan to export deboned beef to Taiwan. Beef or beef products of cattle from Canada fed less than 100 days prior to slaughter in the United States is limited to deboned beef derived from animals less than 30 months of age. Vietnam Under 30 months #7 Russia Under 30 months The beef and beef byproducts must be derived from cattle raised in the United #9 States. Ground red meat, packaged in bulk form or in the form of meat patties, is prohibited. United Arab Under 30 months Ritual: Islamic Halal Slaughter requirements apply. Emirates Singapore Under 30 months Only Fresh/frozen boneless beef derived from animals less than 30 months of age is eligible. Beef derived from cattle imported from Canada is not eligible. R-CALF USA 4
  • 5. Numerous Countries that Accept U.S. Beef Continue to Ban Canadian Beef U.S. EXPORT MARKETS CLOSED TO CANADIAN BEEF 26 countries continue to ban Canadian beef due to BSE. The following 10 countries accept U.S. beef; but, according to information provided by the Canadian Food Inspection Agency, do not allow Canadian beef: Chile Dominican Republic Haiti Jamaica South Korea Kuwait Malaysia Peru Saint Lucia Ukraine Sources: USDA, FSIS, Index of Export Requirements for Meat and Poultry Products, undated, (accessed September 16, 2011). Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Summary of the Situation with Foreign Markets relative to BSE as of November 5, 2009 (latest available information), available at http://www.inspection.gc.ca/english/fssa/meavia/man/ch11/annexre.shtml, accessed September 16, 2011. 5
  • 6. The United States Has Weaker Disease Import Standards for Cattle than Many, If Not Most, Cattle Importing Countries 6
  • 7. BSE Age Restrictions COUNTRIES WITH STRICTER THAN U.S. AGE REQUIREMENTS FOR IMPORTING CANADIAN CATTLE COUNTRY AGE RESTRICTIONS ON CANADIAN CATTLE Algeria Cattle must be less than 36 months of age Barbados Cattle must be born after Dec. 31, 2003 Egypt Slaughter cattle must be less than 24 months of age European Union Cattle must be born after date of last indigenous BSE case Lebanon Cattle must be under 30 months of age Republic of Croatia Cattle must be born after date of last indigenous BSE case South Korea Cattle must be born two years after effective enforcement of feed ban Switzerland Cattle must be born after date of last indigenous BSE case Tunisia Cattle must be born after July 1, 2001 Source: Canadian Food Inspection Agency Export Program, Veterinary Health Certificates, Bovine, available at http://www.inspection.gc.ca/english/anima/heasan/export/bovine/bovine.shtml 7
  • 8. In Return for Having Among the Weakest of Disease Import Standards, the U.S. Cattle Industry Is: • Subject to a Scientifically Determined, Increased Risk of Introducing BSE into the U.S. Cattle Herd, which Presents a Hazard to both Livestock and Humans. – USDA’s risk modeling for its over-30-month rule (OTM Rule) predicts the U.S. would import between 19 and 105 BSE-infected cattle from Canada, which would subsequently produce BSE infections in 2 to 75 U.S.-born cattle over a 20-year period. (See 72 Fed. Reg., 1109, col. 2; 72 Fed. Reg., 53347, col. 1.) 8
  • 9. In Return for Having Among the Weakest of Disease Import Standards, the U.S. Cattle Industry Is: • Suffering from the Continual Reintroduction of Other Dangerous Diseases Into the United States. – The USDA’s Office of Inspector General (OIG) reported in 2006 that 75 percent of bovine TB cases detected during the previous five years by U.S. slaughter surveillance originated in Mexico and were detected in 12 U.S. states. The OIG explained that because Mexican cattle spend many months on U.S. farms and ranches prior to slaughter, each bovine TB case is potentially spreading the disease in the United States. In addition, the OIG stated, “Until additional controls are added, APHIS cannot reasonably expect to achieve its goal and eradicate TB when it is being imported into the United States each year. (See OIG Report No. 50601-0009-Ch, September 2006, at iii,19, 20.) 9
  • 10. In Return for Having Among the Weakest of Disease Import Standards, the U.S. Cattle Industry Is: • Suffering Significant Financial Losses Resulting from the Importation of Higher-Risk Canadian Cattle. – USDA estimates that the cost to U.S. cattle producers, for the privilege of being exposed to a heightened risk for BSE from Canadian cattle and beef, would be over $66 million per year (or approx. $1.3 million each week), for which no compensation can be obtained from anyone. (See 72 Fed. Reg. 53,356, col. 1.) 10
  • 11. Correlation Between U.S. Calf Prices and Canadian Cattle Imports Relationship Between U.S. Calf Prices and Canadian Live Cattle Imports Slaughter Steers and Heifers Feeder Steers and Heifers Slaughter Cows and Bulls 5-6 cwt. Kansas Steer Price 1,800,000 $135.00 2011 avg through August: $149.53 1,600,000 $130.00 1,400,000 $125.00 Kansas Steer Price Per Hundredweight Number of Imported Canadian Cattle 1,200,000 $120.00 1,000,000 $115.00 800,000 $110.00 600,000 $105.00 400,000 $100.00 200,000 $95.00 0 $90.00 10 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 t ep -S 11 20 Data Source: USDA FAS, AMS and K-State Research and Extension R-CALF USA 11
  • 12. Consumers Both Here and Abroad Know that Canada Has a Higher BSE Risk • The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) states: As of March 2011, 19 BSE cases in Canadian-born cattle have been identified, 18 in Canada and 1 in the U.S. Of these 19 cases, 13 were known to have been born after the implementation of the 1997 Canadian feed ban ; 12 of these 13 were born after March 1, 1999. This latter date is particularly relevant to the U.S. because since a USDA rule went into effect on November 19, 2007, Canadian cattle born on or after March 1, 1999 have been legally imported into this country for any use. One of the 19 Canadian-born BSE cases was reported in an animal that was most likely born before or possibly very shortly after implementation of the 1997 feed ban. Based on the known or most likely year of birth, an average of 1.4 cases of BSE occurred among the group of animals born each year in Canada from 1991 through 2004. The highest reported number of cases by birth year in a single year, 3 BSE cases, occurred in 2000, 2001 and 2002. The most recently reported case extends the period of BSE transmission in Canada through at least the latter half of 2004. (citations omitted) http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/dvrd/bse/, downloaded Sept. 21, 2011. To reduce any risk of acquiring vCJD from food, concerned travelers to Europe or other areas with indigenous cases of BSE may consider either avoiding beef and beef products altogether or selecting beef or beef products, such as solid pieces of muscle meat (rather than brains or beef products like burgers and sausages), that might have a reduced opportunity for contamination with tissues that may harbor the BSE agent. http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/dvrd/vcjd/risk_travelers.htm, downloaded Sept. 21, 2011. 12
  • 13. Incubation Periods Have Not Lengthened in Canada as In Europe, Where BSE Spread Is Thought to be Under Control Lifespans of Known BSE-Positive Canadian-Born BSE Cases 20 Case # 7 19 Case # 12 18 Case # 3 17 Case # 9 16 Case # 1 15 Case # 2 14 Case # 4 13 Number of BSE Cases Case # 5 12 Case # 6 11 Case # 10 10 Case # 13 9 Case # 16 8 Case # 11 7 Case #15 6 5 Case # 8 Case # 14 4 3 Case # 17 Case # 18 2 1 Case # 19 0 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 13
  • 14. Canada Has Significantly Reduced Its Annual BSE Testing Canada's Annual BSE Testing and Results 70,000 2 BSE Positives 3 BSE Positives 60,000 5 BSE Positives 4 BSE Positives 50,000 Total Cattle Tested Annually 1 BSE Positive 40,000 1 BSE Positive 30,000 1 BSE Positive 0 BSE Positives 20,000 10,000 2 BSE Positives (1 Imported to U.S.) 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 -Aug Annual Tests 3710 23550 57768 55420 58177 48808 34618 35655 25445 14
  • 15. Canada Has Significantly Reduced Its Monthly BSE Testing Canada's Monthly BSE Testing 8,000 7,000 6,000 Number of Cattle Tested Each Month 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2008 6227 5587 5747 6713 5726 3908 2593 1966 2244 2500 2669 2928 2009 3507 3285 3592 3900 2991 2729 2294 2009 2170 2596 2719 2826 2010 3536 3195 4015 3806 3105 2905 2405 2105 2388 2371 2925 2899 3-Yr Ave (05-07) 5310 5325 6511 6773 5820 4531 2890 2660 3029 3337 5456 5479 15
  • 16. In Return for Having Among the Weakest of Disease Import Standards, the U.S. Cattle Industry Is: • Suffering a Global Trade Deficit in the Trade of Cattle, Beef, Beef Variety Meats and Processed Beef. 16
  • 17. Long-Term Global Trade Deficit in Cattle, Beef, Beef Variety Meat and Processed Beef ($16 Billion Cumulative Cost) U.S. Global Trade Balance Live Cattle, Beef, Beef Variety Meat, Processed Beef R-CALF USA, Sept. 21, 2011 HS-6 Digit 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 Value in 1000 Dollars 1,000,000 0 -1,000,000 -2,000,000 -3,000,000 -4,000,000 -5,000,000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Jan-Jul 2011 Exports 3,637,193 648,298 1,136,658 1,758,309 2,304,207 3,208,976 3,060,897 4,133,409 3,176,308 Imports 3,553,119 4,232,467 4,779,442 4,867,587 5,296,271 4,957,138 4,141,458 4,530,722 2,797,944 Trade Balance 84,074 -3,584,169 -3,642,784 -3,109,278 -2,992,064 -1,748,162 -1,080,561 -397,313 378,364 17
  • 18. Trade With Canada and Mexico Contributes More than Half to the U.S. Trade Deficit ($9.9 Billion Cumulative Cost) U.S. Trade With Canada and Mexico Live Cattle, Beef, Beef Variety Meat, Processed Beef R-CALF USA, Sept. 21, 2011 HS-6 Digit 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 Value in 1000 Dollars 1,000,000 500,000 0 -500,000 -1,000,000 -1,500,000 -2,000,000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Jan-Jul 2011 Exports 1,057,030 517,943 870,385 1,315,186 1,461,557 1,686,586 1,533,304 1,558,281 1,149,845 Imports 1,788,316 1,796,693 2,394,262 2,611,919 2,907,845 2,843,198 2,294,563 2,823,453 1,568,873 Trade Balance -731,286 -1,278,750 -1,523,877 -1,296,733 -1,446,288 -1,156,612 -761,259 -1,265,172 -419,028 18
  • 19. Increased Exports 2009-2010 2009 2010 Partner Product Value Value Amount of Increased Value World Total 020230 - Bovine Boneless Froz 719,079 1,146,145 $427,066 World Total 020130 - Bovine Boneless Fr/C 1,502,278 1,724,773 $222,495 World Total 020220 - Bovine Bone In Froz 157,313 369,268 $211,955 World Total 010210 - Bovine Live, Pure 40,048 114,993 $74,945 World Total 020629 - Bovine Offal Froz 142,639 209,149 $66,510 World Total 020621 - Bovine Tongues, Froz 45,155 75,448 $30,293 World Total 020622 - Bovine Livers, Froz 88,227 118,592 $30,365 World Total 160250 - Bovine Meat, Prep 113,052 135,324 $22,272 World Total 020610 - Bovine Offal Fr/Ch 45,931 59,463 $13,532 World Total 020110 - Bovine Carcass Fr/Ch 5,588 13,124 $7,536 World Total 021020 - Bovine Meat, Salted 5,281 7,875 $2,594 World Total 020210 - Bovine Carcass Froz 4,734 4,956 $222 World Total 010290 - Bovine Live 18,745 17,752 -$993 World Total 020120 - Bovine Bone In Fr/Ch 172,827 136,549 -$36,278 Grand Total 3,060,897 4,133,409 $1,072,512 19
  • 20. Using Weaker U.S. Disease Import Standards to Leverage the Reopening of Export Markets Is Deplorable • USDA Has a Duty to Prevent the Introduction of Dangerous Diseases Into the U.S. (see 7 U.S.C. 8301 (1), 8303 (a)(1)) and Performance of that Duty Is Essential to Restoring the United States’ Lost Reputation of Maintaining the Healthiest Cattle Herd in the World, which Reputation Was the U.S. Cattle Industry’s Competitive Advantage 20
  • 21. USDA and the OIE Are Incapable of Accurately Evaluating the Risk of FMD Outbreaks in Foreign Countries Country/Region Date Declared FMD Free Date of FMD Outbreaks Region within Argentina July 2000 August 2000 March 2001 Region within Uruguay October 2000 April 2001 Region within Republic of April 2000 September 2000 South Africa November 2000 South Korea December 2009 January 2010 Japan 2001 April 2010 Region within Paraguay May 2011 September 2011 21
  • 22. USDA has Failed Its Mission to Prevent the Introduction and Spread of TB • “Each year 1-2 [TB] infected animals per 100,000 animals imported from Mexico are identified through slaughter detection or epidemiologic investigations.” (APHIS’ March 2011 report on TB pathways). • In 2010, 1,221,111 Mexican Cattle were imported into the U.S. Based on APHIS’ own estimate, we likely introduced between 12 and 24 TB infected cattle in 2010 alone. • USDA wants U.S. cattle producers to manage these diseased cattle with its new mandatory animal identification scheme. 22
  • 23. History Shows that Exports Do Not Drive Live Cattle Prices Paid to Farmers and Ranchers Relationship Between Export Volumes and Fed Cattle Prices 3.0 $100.00 Source: USDA-ERS Imported Canadian Cow Detected with BSE 2.5 $90.00 Effective Date of NAFTA Exports: Billions of Pounds 2.0 $80.00 Fed Cattle Prices (per cwt.) Canadian-U.S. Free Trade Agreement Thirteen Years of Depressed Prices 1.5 $70.00 1.0 $60.00 0.5 $50.00 0.0 $40.00 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 23 R-CALF USA
  • 24. Long-Run Domestic Price Depression Coincides with Increased Cattle Imports that Have Recently Introduced TB and Classical BSE into the United States RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CATTLE IMPORTS AND FED CATTLE PRICES 3,000,000 $100.00 Record Live Cattle BSE Detected Imports from Mexico in Canada 2,500,000 $90.00 2,000,000 $80.00 Fed Cattle Prices (per cwt.) Number of Cattle Imports Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement Effective Date of NAFTA 1,500,000 $70.00 1,000,000 $60.00 500,000 $50.00 Source: 0 $40.00 USDA-ERS 2009 Estimated 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 R-CALF USA 24
  • 25. The Solution Is To Address The Problem, Not The Problem’s Symptoms • The problem’s symptoms include loss of consumer confidence in the health and safety of U.S. cattle and beef products, reduced consumption of U.S. beef, severe restrictions on U.S. beef exports, and depressed prices for U.S. cattle farmers and ranchers. • The problem is that the U.S. maintains disease import standards that are too weak to prevent the introduction of dangerous diseases, and everyone knows it. 25
  • 26. The Solution • USDA Must Restore for U.S. Livestock, Livestock Producers, and the People of the United States Its Previously Weakened Disease Import Restrictions and Endeavor to Achieve the Highest Possible Level of Protection Against the Introduction and Spread of Animal Diseases. 26
  • 27. Priority Action: In Descending Order of Priority • Immediately dedicate all available resources to prevent the introduction and spread of foreign animal diseases in the United States. • Immediately Reverse the OTM Rule that Allows the Importation into the U.S. from Canada of Older Cattle, and Beef from Older Cattle, that Harbor the Highest Risk for BSE. After the OTM Rule is Reversed: • Require Canada, and any other country with BSE cases born after their respective feed bans, to test all slaughtered cattle over 30 months of age (OTM) for at least one-year prior to considering the resumption OTM beef. • Assist U.S. beef packers in the voluntary testing for BSE. • Cease all efforts to implement a mandatory animal identification system – which is designed to manage other countries’ animal disease problems after they enter the United States – and redirect all resources currently deployed for animal identification to strengthen our disease protections at our borders, including increased testing of imported livestock. 27
  • 28. Additional Actions • Require all cattle imported into the U.S. from Mexico to be tested for bovine tuberculosis (TB), directed to designated feedlots, and held in those feedlots until they are ready for slaughter. • Require all cattle imported into the U.S. from any country with known TB or brucellosis reservoirs, in either livestock or wildlife, to be tested for TB and brucellosis prior to entering the United States. • Reverse the recently promulgated “regionalization” scheme that allows the importation of cattle or beef from countries with ongoing disease outbreaks by carving out a specific region or zone within those countries and designating products in that region eligible for export to the United States. 28
  • 29. What’s at Stake? The Disconnect Between Domestic Cattle Prices and Retail Beef Prices Will Worsen Black: Cattle Prices Red: Retail Beef Prices Source: Dr. Robert Taylor, Auburn University R-CALF USA 29
  • 30. What’s At Stake? The Domestic Cattle Industry Will Continue to Shrink even as Consumption Increases Number of Beef Cattle Operations vs Domestic Beef Consumption 1,000 28,500 28,000 Domestic Beef Consumption in Pounds (Thousands) No of Beef Cattle Operations (Thousands) 27,500 900 27,000 26,500 26,000 800 25,500 25,000 700 24,500 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Source: USDA FAS, NASS Domestic Beef Consumption No. of Beef Cattle Operations R-CALF USA Source: USDA FAS, NASS R-CALF USA 30
  • 31. What’s at Stake? The U.S. Cattle Cycle Will Disappear Total U.S. Cattle Inventory and Beef Cow Inventory, January 1 135 135 130 Start 4-Year Liquidation 130 125 125 120 Start 8-Year Liquidation 120 115 Start 14-Year Liquidation 115 110 110 105 105 100 100 Cattle Numbers (Millions) 95 95 90 90 85 85 80 80 75 75 70 70 65 65 60 60 55 55 50 50 45 45 40 40 35 35 30 30 25 25 19 0 19 1 19 2 19 3 19 4 19 5 19 6 19 7 19 8 19 9 19 0 19 1 19 2 19 3 19 4 19 5 19 6 19 7 19 8 19 9 19 0 19 1 19 2 19 3 19 4 19 5 19 6 19 7 19 8 20 9 20 0 20 1 20 2 20 3 20 4 20 5 20 6 20 7 20 8 20 9 10 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 Source: USDA-NASS Total Beef Cow Inventory Total Cattle Inventory R-CALF USA USDA NASS, Agricultural Statistics Board 31
  • 32. What’s at Stake? Domestic Beef Producers Will Continue Losing their Share of the Total Available Beef Supply 10 % of All Available Beef was Imported Origins of the United States' Beef Supply in 1985 13 % of All Available 14 % of All Available Beef was Imported Total Available Beef in Beef was Imported 31 in 1996 U.S. Market in 2010 30 29 28 27 26 25 Imported Beef 24 23 22 Beef from Imported Cattle 21 20 Billions Pounds 19 18 17 16 Beef produced exclusively 15 14 from cattle born and raised 13 in the United States 12 11 Total Domestic Production 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 85 86 87 88 19 89 19 19 90 91 19 19 92 93 19 19 94 95 19 19 96 97 19 19 98 19 99 19 00 19 01 19 02 Data Source: USDA-ERS 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 R-CALF USA 20 20 Source: USDA ERS R-CALF USA 32
  • 33. What’s at Stake? Domestic Beef Production Will Continue to Lag Behind Domestic Beef Consumption Domestic Consumption in Excess of Domestic Production 1962-2010 30 29 Consumption Increases 28 27 after 1993 26 Total Domestic Beef 25 Widest spread in history of Consumption 24 industry, 2004-2007 23 22 21 Billions Pounds 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 Imported Beef and Beef 8 7 from Imported Cattle 6 5 4 Beef Produced Exclusively 3 2 from Cattle Born and Raised 1 in the United States 0 Imported beef and beef from imported cattle 19 2 6 64 19 19 6 6 68 19 19 0 7 72 19 19 4 7 76 19 78 80 19 82 19 84 19 86 19 88 19 90 19 Source: USDA FAS, ERS 92 19 94 19 96 19 98 19 00 19 02 R-CALF USA 20 04 20 06 20 08 20 10 20 20 Source: USDA ERS, FAS R-CALF USA 33
  • 34. What’s at Stake? The Domestic Cattle Industry Will Continue to Shrink and Hollow Out Rural Communities all Across America Loss of U.S. Livestock Operations 1980-2010 1,300,000 1,200,000 1,100,000 1,000,000 Number of U.S. livestock Operations 900,000 42% Loss 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 91% Loss 200,000 81% Loss 32% Loss 100,000 0 Beef Cattle Swine Diary Sheep 1980 1,272,950 667,000 335,270 120,000 2010 742,000 60,460 62,500 81,000 >100 Hd 72,000 12,060 16,000 5,022 75,000 Type of Livestock Operations Source: USDA-NASS R-CALF USA 34 Source: USDA-NASS R-CALF USA
  • 35. The Present and Future Viability of the U.S. Cattle Industry Is Wholly Dependent on the Ability of U.S. Cattle Producers to Maintain a Healthy Cattle Herd. This is Fundamental. And, this Is Fundamentally Impossible if USDA Persists in Its Support of Inadequate Disease Protections that Encourage the Introduction of Cattle Diseases from Foreign Sources. We Respectfully Urge USDA to Immediately Change its Present Course and Begin Aggressively to Protect our Borders from the Introduction and Spread of Avoidable Animal Diseases 35
  • 36. R-CALF USA P.O. Box 30715 Billings, MT 59107 406-252-2516 r-calfusa@r-calfusa.com www.r-calfusa.com 36