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Economic Development Master Plan
          Phase One Report
         Presentation to City Council
                26 July 2012
Master Plan Process Overview
     • Phase One: Base Analysis and Existing
       Conditions
           – Economic and demographic trends
           – Sector overviews
               Retail and commercial                       Hospitality and entertainment
               Office and Industrial                       Government and education
               Health and wellness                         Construction and development
               Technology




City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Master Plan Process Overview
     • Phase Two: Evaluation of Opportunities and
       Constraints
           – Business survey
           – Economic development organization, policies,
             incentives
           – Entertainment districts and redevelopment




City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Master Plan Process Overview
     • Phase Three: Goals and Strategies
           – Staff-authored, consultants advising
           – Goals definition
           – Implementation strategy




City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Research Process to Date
     • Data
           –   Census, American Community Survey
           –   Texas Workforce Commission
           –   Bureau of Labor Statistics
           –   Others
     • Interviews
           – Business owners and bankers
           – Economic development, social, and tourism
             organizations
           – Commercial real estate professionals

City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Findings: Opportunities and Advantages
     • TAMU graduate stream
     • Good basic infrastructure and public services
     • CISD’s good reputation
     • Relatively low cost for good suburban lifestyle
     • Good quality of life for families and older
       residents
     • Active pursuit of knowledge-based industries

City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Findings: Challenges and Barriers
     • Limited commercial air service
     • Large stock of older multifamily
     • Larger metros’ appeal to new grads and young
       adults
     • Energy industry consolidation in Houston
     • Budget risks for publicly-sponsored ventures
     • No real cost of living advantage over suburbs
       of large metros
City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Findings: Challenges and Barriers
     • Relatively small size of “adult market” to
       offset impact of student population
     • Must travel for destination-quality retail and
       culture
     • Possible trade-offs for high development
       standards



City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Job Growth
                                               Employment as of February                  Change
                                                      (thousands)              2000 -     2008 -     2000 -
  Industry                                    2000        2008      2012        2008       2012       2012
  Mining, Logging, and Construction             4,500       7,000      6,500      2,500      (500)      2,000
  Manufacturing                                  5,800      5,500     5,200       (300)      (300)      (600)
  Wholesale Trade                                1,400      1,800     1,800        400           -       400
  Retail Trade                                   9,200     10,000    10,300        800        300      1,100
  Transportation, Warehousing, and
                                                   800      1,400     1,400        600           -       600
  Utilities
  Information                                    1,600      1,100     1,200       (500)       100       (400)
  Financial Activities                           3,300      3,300     3,700           -       400        400
  Professional and Business Services             4,900      5,600     6,300        700        700      1,400
  Educational and Health Services                7,900     10,000    10,000      2,100           -     2,100
  Leisure and Hospitality                        7,600      9,900    10,300      2,300        400      2,700
  Other Services                                 2,600      2,900     3,100        300        200        500
  Federal Government                             1,100      1,000       900       (100)      (100)      (200)
  State Government                              23,400     25,400    26,200      2,000        800      2,800
  Local Government                               8,600      9,900    10,400      1,300        500      1,800
  Total Non-Farm Payroll Employment             82,700     94,800    97,300     12,100       2,500    14,600
    Source: Texas Workforce Commission

City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Economy Key Points
     • Fastest-growing                           9.0%
                                                                            Unemployment Rate
       industries:                               8.0%

       Restaurants / bars,                       7.0%

       health care                               6.0%


     • Large dependence                          5.0%


       on government /                           4.0%


       public sector                             3.0%
                                                         Jan     Jan     Jan      Jan     Jan    Jan    Jan    Jan     Jan      Jan    Jan
                                                        2002    2003    2004     2005    2006   2007   2008   2009    2010     2011   2012

     • Unemployment                                            College Station          College Station - Bryan MSA          Texas

       lower than Texas
       overall
City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Population Growth
                                                Census Estimates                            Change
                                       2000                        2010                   2000 - 2010
   Age Distribution           Number          Share        Number          Share      Number      % Change
   Age 0 to 4                    3,032            4.5%        4,526            4.8%       1,494       49.3%
   Age 5 to 17                     6,757         10.0%         9,326          9.9%        2,569       38.0%
   Age 18 to 24                   34,765         51.2%        44,398         47.3%        9,633       27.7%
   Age 25 to 34                    8,857         13.0%        13,922         14.8%        5,065       57.2%
   Age 35 to 44                    5,616           8.3%        7,134          7.6%        1,518       27.0%
   Age 45 to 49                    2,295           3.4%        2,895          3.1%         600        26.1%
   Age 50 to 54                    1,776           2.6%        2,901          3.1%        1,125       63.3%
   Age 55 to 64                    2,331           3.4%        4,380          4.7%        2,049       87.9%
   Age 65 and over                 2,461           3.6%        4,375          4.7%        1,914       77.8%
   Total                          67,890        100.0%        93,857        100.0%       25,967       38.2%
   Estimated Median Age               21.90                        22.30




City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Demographics Key Points
                                                     Census Estimates                          Change
                                             2000                        2010                2000 - 2010
  Educational Attainment            Number          Share      Number           Share     Number     % Change
  Less than 9th grade                      485         2.1%             558        1.5%        73          15.1%

  Some High School, no diploma             953         4.1%             930        2.5%                    -2.4%
                                                                                              (23)
  High School Graduate (or GED)          2,845        12.2%        5,618          15.1%      2,773         97.5%

  Some College, no degree                4,323        18.6%        6,101          16.4%      1,778         41.1%

  Associate Degree                       1,156         5.0%        2,455           6.6%      1,299      112.4%

  Bachelor's Degree                      6,647        28.5%       10,156          27.3%      3,509         52.8%
  Graduate or professional
                                         6,892        29.6%       11,384          30.6%      4,492         65.2%
  degree
  Total                                 23,301       100.0%       37,203         100.0%     13,902         59.7%




City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Demographics Key Points
     • Concentration of affluent older households
           – 38% of CS hh headed by age 25+ had income
             $75,000+; 25% for MSA overall
     • CS is where knowledge employees reside
           – 82.8% of MSA residents with life / physical / social
             science occupations live in College Station
     • Lower pay in most occupation categories than
       TX average

City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Retail / Commercial
 Sales ($
                  Total Sales (constant dollars)
 millions)
 $2,000
                                                            • Spending recovery
 $1,500

 $1,000
                                                            • Spending / capita low
  $500                                                      • Internet threat?
    $-
             2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
                             Gross    Taxable
                                                            • Regional competition
  $17,000
                  Gross Retail Sales per Capita 2011        • Potential for “adult”
  $16,000
  $15,000
  $14,000
                                                              retail
  $13,000

                                                            • Relatively high lease
  $12,000
  $11,000
  $10,000
   $9,000
   $8,000
                                                              rates
City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Office and Industrial
     • Office uses
           – Space demand stagnant or declining
           – Long term – incremental growth for local
             professional services
     • Industrial uses
           – Employment growth stopped since recession
           – Facilities focused in Bryan
           – Logistics potential
           – Contractors / trades – tied to development activity
City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Health Care and Wellness
     • Significant part of local economy
           – 20%+ of job base in greater Brazos Valley region
           – 30% job growth projected 2008 – 2018
     • College Station residents – high rate of
       insurance coverage, attracts health care uses
     • New facilities and entities – HSC, Scott and
       White, MED campus


City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Technology
     • Economic development focus though still small
       part of economy
           – Biosciences most visible
           – Digital / software developers more under the radar
     • Staffing recruitment challenges
           – Competition with major metros
           – Research vs. commercialization experience
     • Energy companies – opportunity or unlikely?
City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Hospitality and Entertainment
$70,000,000
$60,000,000
$50,000,000
                Hotel Revenues
                                                                                                          • Recession impact
$40,000,000
$30,000,000
$20,000,000                                                                                               • Meetings market
$10,000,000
        $-
                                                                                                            – Facilities limited
               2002
                        2003
                                  2004
                                             2005
                                                     2006
                                                            2007
                                                                     2008
                                                                               2009
                                                                                          2010
                                                                                                   2011
                                Gross                 Taxable                                               – Major metro competition
$6,000,000
$5,000,000
              Mixed Beverage Sales                                                                        • Leisure tourism – all
$4,000,000
$3,000,000                                                                                                  TAMU, sports
$2,000,000
$1,000,000
       $-
                                                                                                          • Potential for non-student
                                                                                                            entertainment
              2000
                      2001
                               2002
                                      2003
                                              2004
                                                     2005
                                                            2006
                                                                   2007
                                                                            2008
                                                                                   2009
                                                                                            2010
                                                                                                   2011




        College Station                       Bryan                 Brazos County

City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Government and Higher Education
   Employer                        # Employees
   Texas A&M University System          1,000 +       •Large Number of Government and
   Bryan Independent School
   District                             1,000 +
                                                      Higher Education Employers in Area.
   St. Joseph Regional Hospital         1,000 +
   Sanderson Farms                      1,000 +
   College Station School District      1,000 +       •Nearly 20% employed in “Education,
   Reynolds & Reynolds                  1,000 +       training, and library” occupations.
   City of Bryan                       500 - 999
   City of College Station             501 - 999
   Brazos County
   Walmart
                                       502 - 999
                                       503 - 999
                                                      •State government is the largest
   HEB Grocery                         504 - 999      industry by employment in the
   Scott & White Clinic                505 - 999
   College Station Medical Center      506 - 999      College Station – Bryan MSA per the
   Texas A&M Health Science
   Center                              507 - 999
                                                      Texas Workforce Commission.
   Penncro Associates                  508 - 999




City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Construction and Development
     • Sizable employment sector in the MSA.
     • Permitting in the MSA ranges from $200M to
       $500M valuation annually.
     • Significant land exists in and near City
     • Annual gross sales of goods related to
       construction in City range from $60M to
       $110M in the period from 2002 to 2011.
     • High location quotient.
City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
Economic Development Master Plan
                              Questions and Discussion




City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan
Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012

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City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation

  • 1. Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Report Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 2. Master Plan Process Overview • Phase One: Base Analysis and Existing Conditions – Economic and demographic trends – Sector overviews Retail and commercial Hospitality and entertainment Office and Industrial Government and education Health and wellness Construction and development Technology City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 3. Master Plan Process Overview • Phase Two: Evaluation of Opportunities and Constraints – Business survey – Economic development organization, policies, incentives – Entertainment districts and redevelopment City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 4. Master Plan Process Overview • Phase Three: Goals and Strategies – Staff-authored, consultants advising – Goals definition – Implementation strategy City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 5. Research Process to Date • Data – Census, American Community Survey – Texas Workforce Commission – Bureau of Labor Statistics – Others • Interviews – Business owners and bankers – Economic development, social, and tourism organizations – Commercial real estate professionals City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 6. Findings: Opportunities and Advantages • TAMU graduate stream • Good basic infrastructure and public services • CISD’s good reputation • Relatively low cost for good suburban lifestyle • Good quality of life for families and older residents • Active pursuit of knowledge-based industries City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 7. Findings: Challenges and Barriers • Limited commercial air service • Large stock of older multifamily • Larger metros’ appeal to new grads and young adults • Energy industry consolidation in Houston • Budget risks for publicly-sponsored ventures • No real cost of living advantage over suburbs of large metros City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 8. Findings: Challenges and Barriers • Relatively small size of “adult market” to offset impact of student population • Must travel for destination-quality retail and culture • Possible trade-offs for high development standards City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 9. Job Growth Employment as of February Change (thousands) 2000 - 2008 - 2000 - Industry 2000 2008 2012 2008 2012 2012 Mining, Logging, and Construction 4,500 7,000 6,500 2,500 (500) 2,000 Manufacturing 5,800 5,500 5,200 (300) (300) (600) Wholesale Trade 1,400 1,800 1,800 400 - 400 Retail Trade 9,200 10,000 10,300 800 300 1,100 Transportation, Warehousing, and 800 1,400 1,400 600 - 600 Utilities Information 1,600 1,100 1,200 (500) 100 (400) Financial Activities 3,300 3,300 3,700 - 400 400 Professional and Business Services 4,900 5,600 6,300 700 700 1,400 Educational and Health Services 7,900 10,000 10,000 2,100 - 2,100 Leisure and Hospitality 7,600 9,900 10,300 2,300 400 2,700 Other Services 2,600 2,900 3,100 300 200 500 Federal Government 1,100 1,000 900 (100) (100) (200) State Government 23,400 25,400 26,200 2,000 800 2,800 Local Government 8,600 9,900 10,400 1,300 500 1,800 Total Non-Farm Payroll Employment 82,700 94,800 97,300 12,100 2,500 14,600 Source: Texas Workforce Commission City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 10. Economy Key Points • Fastest-growing 9.0% Unemployment Rate industries: 8.0% Restaurants / bars, 7.0% health care 6.0% • Large dependence 5.0% on government / 4.0% public sector 3.0% Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 • Unemployment College Station College Station - Bryan MSA Texas lower than Texas overall City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 11. Population Growth Census Estimates Change 2000 2010 2000 - 2010 Age Distribution Number Share Number Share Number % Change Age 0 to 4 3,032 4.5% 4,526 4.8% 1,494 49.3% Age 5 to 17 6,757 10.0% 9,326 9.9% 2,569 38.0% Age 18 to 24 34,765 51.2% 44,398 47.3% 9,633 27.7% Age 25 to 34 8,857 13.0% 13,922 14.8% 5,065 57.2% Age 35 to 44 5,616 8.3% 7,134 7.6% 1,518 27.0% Age 45 to 49 2,295 3.4% 2,895 3.1% 600 26.1% Age 50 to 54 1,776 2.6% 2,901 3.1% 1,125 63.3% Age 55 to 64 2,331 3.4% 4,380 4.7% 2,049 87.9% Age 65 and over 2,461 3.6% 4,375 4.7% 1,914 77.8% Total 67,890 100.0% 93,857 100.0% 25,967 38.2% Estimated Median Age 21.90 22.30 City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 12. Demographics Key Points Census Estimates Change 2000 2010 2000 - 2010 Educational Attainment Number Share Number Share Number % Change Less than 9th grade 485 2.1% 558 1.5% 73 15.1% Some High School, no diploma 953 4.1% 930 2.5% -2.4% (23) High School Graduate (or GED) 2,845 12.2% 5,618 15.1% 2,773 97.5% Some College, no degree 4,323 18.6% 6,101 16.4% 1,778 41.1% Associate Degree 1,156 5.0% 2,455 6.6% 1,299 112.4% Bachelor's Degree 6,647 28.5% 10,156 27.3% 3,509 52.8% Graduate or professional 6,892 29.6% 11,384 30.6% 4,492 65.2% degree Total 23,301 100.0% 37,203 100.0% 13,902 59.7% City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 13. Demographics Key Points • Concentration of affluent older households – 38% of CS hh headed by age 25+ had income $75,000+; 25% for MSA overall • CS is where knowledge employees reside – 82.8% of MSA residents with life / physical / social science occupations live in College Station • Lower pay in most occupation categories than TX average City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 14. Retail / Commercial Sales ($ Total Sales (constant dollars) millions) $2,000 • Spending recovery $1,500 $1,000 • Spending / capita low $500 • Internet threat? $- 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Gross Taxable • Regional competition $17,000 Gross Retail Sales per Capita 2011 • Potential for “adult” $16,000 $15,000 $14,000 retail $13,000 • Relatively high lease $12,000 $11,000 $10,000 $9,000 $8,000 rates City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 15. Office and Industrial • Office uses – Space demand stagnant or declining – Long term – incremental growth for local professional services • Industrial uses – Employment growth stopped since recession – Facilities focused in Bryan – Logistics potential – Contractors / trades – tied to development activity City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 16. Health Care and Wellness • Significant part of local economy – 20%+ of job base in greater Brazos Valley region – 30% job growth projected 2008 – 2018 • College Station residents – high rate of insurance coverage, attracts health care uses • New facilities and entities – HSC, Scott and White, MED campus City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 17. Technology • Economic development focus though still small part of economy – Biosciences most visible – Digital / software developers more under the radar • Staffing recruitment challenges – Competition with major metros – Research vs. commercialization experience • Energy companies – opportunity or unlikely? City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 18. Hospitality and Entertainment $70,000,000 $60,000,000 $50,000,000 Hotel Revenues • Recession impact $40,000,000 $30,000,000 $20,000,000 • Meetings market $10,000,000 $- – Facilities limited 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Gross Taxable – Major metro competition $6,000,000 $5,000,000 Mixed Beverage Sales • Leisure tourism – all $4,000,000 $3,000,000 TAMU, sports $2,000,000 $1,000,000 $- • Potential for non-student entertainment 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 College Station Bryan Brazos County City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 19. Government and Higher Education Employer # Employees Texas A&M University System 1,000 + •Large Number of Government and Bryan Independent School District 1,000 + Higher Education Employers in Area. St. Joseph Regional Hospital 1,000 + Sanderson Farms 1,000 + College Station School District 1,000 + •Nearly 20% employed in “Education, Reynolds & Reynolds 1,000 + training, and library” occupations. City of Bryan 500 - 999 City of College Station 501 - 999 Brazos County Walmart 502 - 999 503 - 999 •State government is the largest HEB Grocery 504 - 999 industry by employment in the Scott & White Clinic 505 - 999 College Station Medical Center 506 - 999 College Station – Bryan MSA per the Texas A&M Health Science Center 507 - 999 Texas Workforce Commission. Penncro Associates 508 - 999 City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 20. Construction and Development • Sizable employment sector in the MSA. • Permitting in the MSA ranges from $200M to $500M valuation annually. • Significant land exists in and near City • Annual gross sales of goods related to construction in City range from $60M to $110M in the period from 2002 to 2011. • High location quotient. City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012
  • 21. Economic Development Master Plan Questions and Discussion City of College Station Economic Development Master Plan Phase One Presentation to City Council 26 July 2012