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Roger Ballentine
President, Green Strategies, Inc.
University Clean Energy Association of Ohio
Friday, February 28, 2014
2
Where it Comes From; Where it Goes
Natural Gas is Changing Everything
Natural gas is changing export/import
dynamic and overall energy mix
The Most Direct Impact of Gas
Revolution has been on Coal
U.S. is quickly
becoming its own
greatest source of oil
thanks to shale
production
But Not Just Gas; Unconventional
Production Means New Oil Reality
Canada (28%)
Saudi Arabia (13%)
Mexico (10%)
Venezuela (9%)
Russia (5%)
Paradigm Shift: North America becoming
World’s Oil King
Shale production has enabled the U.S. to
become an oil exporter even under tight
restrictions
Renewable Energy
Wind has contributed significantly
to non-hydro renewables growth
10
Tip #2: Know your Opposition
◦ Energy not an end product
◦ Petroleum is wonderful
◦ Price of fossil fuels: “Cheap”
◦ Mature and amortized old energy
infrastructure.
◦ Plentiful and cheap energy enables
economic vitality
◦ Lots of people make lots of money on old
energy economy.
11
◦ Price does NOT equal Cost – anathema to
a “free” market
◦ A democratically-imposed market
manipulation
◦ Policy has been overt, pernicious and
phenomenally successful
◦ But it has been a societal, democratic
choice
12
13
“Traditional” Venture Investment in Clean
Energy in Waning
Clean Energy Needs Market and
Business Model Innovation
o New energy offerings may need to offer more than
energy – and more than “clean” --
(information/resiliency/ convenience)
o Financial and business model innovation can address
balance sheet hesitancy and large capital costs (solar
has done this with distributed PPA offerings; energy
efficiency has done this through on bill financing and
energy savings payback models)
o Energy companies need to think beyond energy
companies (communications/IT/data management
sectors are all potential clean energy channel partners)
– Better align price and cost of incumbent energy
(regulation/carbon tax/other)
– Reinvent regulated utility model
– Continued government R&D and deployment
help
16
And Yes, Clean Energy needs Policy
Innovation
Energy and Environmental Technology Market Services: We
offer unparalleled insight into complex and dynamic business
drivers that impact M&A, investment and project development
decisions in the changing energy and environmental business
sectors; we assist with due diligence, project development, and risk
evaluation.
Strategic Business Consulting: We help clients develop and
execute strategies that minimize risk and deliver value to
shareholders by using our expertise and insider insights to best
align core business models and product strategies with current and
future policy drivers, leading sustainability best practices, and other
market developments.
Governmental & Stakeholder Affairs: We design solutions to
position our clients for success in the public policy arena, helping
them anticipate business-relevant policy changes, influence policy
development, and build critical alliances with thought-leaders,
stakeholders and like-minded businesses.
Green Strategies provides strategic advice, business intelligence,
and consulting services with regard to: corporate sustainability;
energy and environmental governmental policy; stakeholder
engagement; and energy/environmental technology investment
and transaction evaluation – all with a goal of maximizing business
opportunities and organizational goals.

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Tips and Musings about Building Clean Energy Businesses and a Clean Energy Future

  • 1. Roger Ballentine President, Green Strategies, Inc. University Clean Energy Association of Ohio Friday, February 28, 2014
  • 2. 2
  • 3. Where it Comes From; Where it Goes
  • 4. Natural Gas is Changing Everything
  • 5. Natural gas is changing export/import dynamic and overall energy mix
  • 6. The Most Direct Impact of Gas Revolution has been on Coal
  • 7. U.S. is quickly becoming its own greatest source of oil thanks to shale production But Not Just Gas; Unconventional Production Means New Oil Reality Canada (28%) Saudi Arabia (13%) Mexico (10%) Venezuela (9%) Russia (5%)
  • 8. Paradigm Shift: North America becoming World’s Oil King Shale production has enabled the U.S. to become an oil exporter even under tight restrictions
  • 9. Renewable Energy Wind has contributed significantly to non-hydro renewables growth
  • 10. 10 Tip #2: Know your Opposition
  • 11. ◦ Energy not an end product ◦ Petroleum is wonderful ◦ Price of fossil fuels: “Cheap” ◦ Mature and amortized old energy infrastructure. ◦ Plentiful and cheap energy enables economic vitality ◦ Lots of people make lots of money on old energy economy. 11
  • 12. ◦ Price does NOT equal Cost – anathema to a “free” market ◦ A democratically-imposed market manipulation ◦ Policy has been overt, pernicious and phenomenally successful ◦ But it has been a societal, democratic choice 12
  • 13. 13
  • 14. “Traditional” Venture Investment in Clean Energy in Waning
  • 15. Clean Energy Needs Market and Business Model Innovation o New energy offerings may need to offer more than energy – and more than “clean” -- (information/resiliency/ convenience) o Financial and business model innovation can address balance sheet hesitancy and large capital costs (solar has done this with distributed PPA offerings; energy efficiency has done this through on bill financing and energy savings payback models) o Energy companies need to think beyond energy companies (communications/IT/data management sectors are all potential clean energy channel partners)
  • 16. – Better align price and cost of incumbent energy (regulation/carbon tax/other) – Reinvent regulated utility model – Continued government R&D and deployment help 16 And Yes, Clean Energy needs Policy Innovation
  • 17. Energy and Environmental Technology Market Services: We offer unparalleled insight into complex and dynamic business drivers that impact M&A, investment and project development decisions in the changing energy and environmental business sectors; we assist with due diligence, project development, and risk evaluation. Strategic Business Consulting: We help clients develop and execute strategies that minimize risk and deliver value to shareholders by using our expertise and insider insights to best align core business models and product strategies with current and future policy drivers, leading sustainability best practices, and other market developments. Governmental & Stakeholder Affairs: We design solutions to position our clients for success in the public policy arena, helping them anticipate business-relevant policy changes, influence policy development, and build critical alliances with thought-leaders, stakeholders and like-minded businesses. Green Strategies provides strategic advice, business intelligence, and consulting services with regard to: corporate sustainability; energy and environmental governmental policy; stakeholder engagement; and energy/environmental technology investment and transaction evaluation – all with a goal of maximizing business opportunities and organizational goals.

Notas do Editor

  1. The production of gas, thanks to hydraulic fracturing, has exploded. It is changing everything. http://www.eia.gov/energy_in_brief/images/charts/primary_energy_use_by_source_2012-large.jpg
  2. However, natural gas is not without controversy:Earthquakes?Groundwater contamination?Volume of water required for production? Worthwhile to mention that thirty years ago, this was the “cleantech” of its time. It took a long time to pay off, in a big way. Beyond energy, natural gas has applications in the chemicals industry and others
  3. Instead, U.S. has become its own greatest source of oil and its closest neighbors, Mexico and Canada make up a considerable share of its imports. (Note that these numbers do not add up to 40 percent because of the way EIA rounded)
  4. Beyond lowering import volume and consumption and ratcheting up production, the U.S. has the opportunity to become a formidable exporter… but this is also a political issue