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Low-carbon development in
global cities
Peter Erickson, Stockholm Environment Institute (U.S.)
Cape Town, South Africa
April 23, 2013
Global Context – Pathways for <2° C
Source: WBGU. 2009. “Solving the Climate Dilemma: The Budget Approach”. German Advisory Council on Global Change.
http://www.wbgu.de/wbgu_sn2009_en.pdf.
Cities Are Important to Global Climate
Change Mitigation
• “C40 Cities have the potential to reduce
[greenhouse gas] emissions by one full
gigaton”
 Bill Clinton, former President of the United
States, announcing SEI research for C40
Cities, Rio+20, June 2012
• “What the world needs is the same
science based foundation for cities that
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) provides for nations.”
 Cynthia Rosenzweig, NASA, “Cities lead
the way in climate change action”, Nature
467 (2010)
What are the most significant sources
of urban GHG emissions?
• Depends on what you
count and why:
 Production and / or
consumption
 Ability to influence
 Measurability…
Source: SEI-US. 2012. Greenhouse Gas Emissions in King County.
Seattle, WA: http://www.sei-international.org/publications?pid=2026.
Where are the greatest (average) urban-
scale GHG abatement opportunities?
Sector Sample
Technologies
2020
Abatement
2050
Abatement
Local Influence
Energy Supply Low-carbon
electricity
Buildings &
infrastructure
Building retrofits,
design
Transport “Avoid, shift,
improve”
Industry &
goods
Low-GHG goods
Ag & food Low-GHG diets
Forestry Avoided clearing
Waste Recycling
Source: Erickson et al. 2013 (Forthcoming). Technologies, practices, and measures for GHG abatement at the urban scale. Greenhouse Gas
Measurement and Management. Work funded by C40 Cities. Note: dark circle means >5% of city GHGs. White circle <1%.
*
*
Transport sector analysis
Technology /
practice
Policies and
measures
2020
Abatement
2050 Abatement Local Influence
Efficient vehicles
Vehicle
registration feesLow-GHG fuels
System efficiency
(e.g., traffic mgmt.)
Traffic / demand
mgmt
Mode shift Mass transit;
road pricing
Trip avoidance Land use
planning; road
pricing
Source: Erickson et al. 2013 (Forthcoming). Technologies, practices, and measures for GHG abatement at the urban scale. Greenhouse Gas
Measurement and Management. Work funded by C40 Cities. Note: dark circle means >5% of city GHGs. White circle <1%.
Example Policies and Measures
• Energy Supply
 Low-carbon electricity
• Building Energy
 Retrofit disclosure requirements and financing
• Transportation
 Vehicle charges & public transport
 Combined transport and land use planning
Putting it all together:
Seattle example
Energy Supply –Examples
• Seattle (USA) has a public
electricity utility, Seattle City Light
 Divested in coal in 2000
 Committed to carbon neutral
electricity in future (but starts from
>90% hydro)
• Cities tied to national / regional
grids have it harder; common
strategy is to focus on distributed
local generation
 Sydney goal of capacity for 100%
local electricity generation by 2030
with GHG reductions of 70%
 London goal of 25% by 2025
Source: Seattle City Light. 2010. “2010 Integrated Resource Plan.”
Building Energy – Melbourne Example
• Mandatory energy disclosure -
Building Energy Efficiency
Disclosure Act 2010 (Australian
Government)
• Low interest bank loans
 Secured by municipal charge on
the property (improvements and
charges stay with the building);
tenants contribute
Source: Mayes, David. 2013. The opportunities and lessons from the City of Melbourne’s implementation of building energy policies. City of
Melbourne, Australia. Presentation to World Bank / CLC / C40 Workshop. April 2013.
Transportation – Singapore Example
• Shift to rail-based transit
 Following initial plan developed in early
1970s
 Current 62% mode share for public transit
during peak times; goal of 75% by 2030
 Expanding rail; giving buses road priority
• Quotas on total car ownership
• Financial incentives for low-GHG
vehicles
Source: Poon, Joe Fai. 2013. Transport: Opportunities and Lessons. Land Transport Authority, Singapore. Presentation to World Bank / CLC / C40
Workshop. Singapore. April 2013.
Transport / Land Use – Stockholm
• Building towards the city centre; using
old industrial sites
• Integrating with transit
• Integrated planning; lots of stakeholder
input
Source: Gustafsson, Thomas, 2013. Urban Planning and Climate from a Land Use
Perspective. Presentation to World Bank / CLC / C40 Workshop. Singapore. April
2013.
Metrics for Tracking Progress
Sector Driver Units Common local
data sources
Buildings Building energy
intensity
MJ or kwh per m2
or employee
Utilities; surveys;
city buildings
departments
Transport Vehicle energy
intensity
Liter / km or MJ /
km
Vehicle registration
departments
Share of public
transit, non-
motorized trips
% of trips by mode Local vehicle /travel
surveys
Avoided trips and/or
reduced trip length
Pkm and tkm per
resident
Local vehicle /
travel surveys
Some international default data exist; e.g. UITP, ITDP, World Bank
Conclusions
• Building energy, personal vehicle travel, and diet tend to
have greatest GHG abatement potential, influence
• Interactions between government, stakeholders critical
• If data are available, simple metrics can help track
progress, understand trends

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Low carbon development in global cities by Peter Erickson

  • 1. Low-carbon development in global cities Peter Erickson, Stockholm Environment Institute (U.S.) Cape Town, South Africa April 23, 2013
  • 2. Global Context – Pathways for <2° C Source: WBGU. 2009. “Solving the Climate Dilemma: The Budget Approach”. German Advisory Council on Global Change. http://www.wbgu.de/wbgu_sn2009_en.pdf.
  • 3. Cities Are Important to Global Climate Change Mitigation • “C40 Cities have the potential to reduce [greenhouse gas] emissions by one full gigaton”  Bill Clinton, former President of the United States, announcing SEI research for C40 Cities, Rio+20, June 2012 • “What the world needs is the same science based foundation for cities that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) provides for nations.”  Cynthia Rosenzweig, NASA, “Cities lead the way in climate change action”, Nature 467 (2010)
  • 4. What are the most significant sources of urban GHG emissions? • Depends on what you count and why:  Production and / or consumption  Ability to influence  Measurability… Source: SEI-US. 2012. Greenhouse Gas Emissions in King County. Seattle, WA: http://www.sei-international.org/publications?pid=2026.
  • 5. Where are the greatest (average) urban- scale GHG abatement opportunities? Sector Sample Technologies 2020 Abatement 2050 Abatement Local Influence Energy Supply Low-carbon electricity Buildings & infrastructure Building retrofits, design Transport “Avoid, shift, improve” Industry & goods Low-GHG goods Ag & food Low-GHG diets Forestry Avoided clearing Waste Recycling Source: Erickson et al. 2013 (Forthcoming). Technologies, practices, and measures for GHG abatement at the urban scale. Greenhouse Gas Measurement and Management. Work funded by C40 Cities. Note: dark circle means >5% of city GHGs. White circle <1%. * *
  • 6. Transport sector analysis Technology / practice Policies and measures 2020 Abatement 2050 Abatement Local Influence Efficient vehicles Vehicle registration feesLow-GHG fuels System efficiency (e.g., traffic mgmt.) Traffic / demand mgmt Mode shift Mass transit; road pricing Trip avoidance Land use planning; road pricing Source: Erickson et al. 2013 (Forthcoming). Technologies, practices, and measures for GHG abatement at the urban scale. Greenhouse Gas Measurement and Management. Work funded by C40 Cities. Note: dark circle means >5% of city GHGs. White circle <1%.
  • 7. Example Policies and Measures • Energy Supply  Low-carbon electricity • Building Energy  Retrofit disclosure requirements and financing • Transportation  Vehicle charges & public transport  Combined transport and land use planning
  • 8. Putting it all together: Seattle example
  • 9. Energy Supply –Examples • Seattle (USA) has a public electricity utility, Seattle City Light  Divested in coal in 2000  Committed to carbon neutral electricity in future (but starts from >90% hydro) • Cities tied to national / regional grids have it harder; common strategy is to focus on distributed local generation  Sydney goal of capacity for 100% local electricity generation by 2030 with GHG reductions of 70%  London goal of 25% by 2025 Source: Seattle City Light. 2010. “2010 Integrated Resource Plan.”
  • 10. Building Energy – Melbourne Example • Mandatory energy disclosure - Building Energy Efficiency Disclosure Act 2010 (Australian Government) • Low interest bank loans  Secured by municipal charge on the property (improvements and charges stay with the building); tenants contribute Source: Mayes, David. 2013. The opportunities and lessons from the City of Melbourne’s implementation of building energy policies. City of Melbourne, Australia. Presentation to World Bank / CLC / C40 Workshop. April 2013.
  • 11. Transportation – Singapore Example • Shift to rail-based transit  Following initial plan developed in early 1970s  Current 62% mode share for public transit during peak times; goal of 75% by 2030  Expanding rail; giving buses road priority • Quotas on total car ownership • Financial incentives for low-GHG vehicles Source: Poon, Joe Fai. 2013. Transport: Opportunities and Lessons. Land Transport Authority, Singapore. Presentation to World Bank / CLC / C40 Workshop. Singapore. April 2013.
  • 12. Transport / Land Use – Stockholm • Building towards the city centre; using old industrial sites • Integrating with transit • Integrated planning; lots of stakeholder input Source: Gustafsson, Thomas, 2013. Urban Planning and Climate from a Land Use Perspective. Presentation to World Bank / CLC / C40 Workshop. Singapore. April 2013.
  • 13. Metrics for Tracking Progress Sector Driver Units Common local data sources Buildings Building energy intensity MJ or kwh per m2 or employee Utilities; surveys; city buildings departments Transport Vehicle energy intensity Liter / km or MJ / km Vehicle registration departments Share of public transit, non- motorized trips % of trips by mode Local vehicle /travel surveys Avoided trips and/or reduced trip length Pkm and tkm per resident Local vehicle / travel surveys Some international default data exist; e.g. UITP, ITDP, World Bank
  • 14. Conclusions • Building energy, personal vehicle travel, and diet tend to have greatest GHG abatement potential, influence • Interactions between government, stakeholders critical • If data are available, simple metrics can help track progress, understand trends