Low carbon development in global cities by Peter Erickson
1. Low-carbon development in
global cities
Peter Erickson, Stockholm Environment Institute (U.S.)
Cape Town, South Africa
April 23, 2013
2. Global Context – Pathways for <2° C
Source: WBGU. 2009. “Solving the Climate Dilemma: The Budget Approach”. German Advisory Council on Global Change.
http://www.wbgu.de/wbgu_sn2009_en.pdf.
3. Cities Are Important to Global Climate
Change Mitigation
• “C40 Cities have the potential to reduce
[greenhouse gas] emissions by one full
gigaton”
Bill Clinton, former President of the United
States, announcing SEI research for C40
Cities, Rio+20, June 2012
• “What the world needs is the same
science based foundation for cities that
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) provides for nations.”
Cynthia Rosenzweig, NASA, “Cities lead
the way in climate change action”, Nature
467 (2010)
4. What are the most significant sources
of urban GHG emissions?
• Depends on what you
count and why:
Production and / or
consumption
Ability to influence
Measurability…
Source: SEI-US. 2012. Greenhouse Gas Emissions in King County.
Seattle, WA: http://www.sei-international.org/publications?pid=2026.
5. Where are the greatest (average) urban-
scale GHG abatement opportunities?
Sector Sample
Technologies
2020
Abatement
2050
Abatement
Local Influence
Energy Supply Low-carbon
electricity
Buildings &
infrastructure
Building retrofits,
design
Transport “Avoid, shift,
improve”
Industry &
goods
Low-GHG goods
Ag & food Low-GHG diets
Forestry Avoided clearing
Waste Recycling
Source: Erickson et al. 2013 (Forthcoming). Technologies, practices, and measures for GHG abatement at the urban scale. Greenhouse Gas
Measurement and Management. Work funded by C40 Cities. Note: dark circle means >5% of city GHGs. White circle <1%.
*
*
6. Transport sector analysis
Technology /
practice
Policies and
measures
2020
Abatement
2050 Abatement Local Influence
Efficient vehicles
Vehicle
registration feesLow-GHG fuels
System efficiency
(e.g., traffic mgmt.)
Traffic / demand
mgmt
Mode shift Mass transit;
road pricing
Trip avoidance Land use
planning; road
pricing
Source: Erickson et al. 2013 (Forthcoming). Technologies, practices, and measures for GHG abatement at the urban scale. Greenhouse Gas
Measurement and Management. Work funded by C40 Cities. Note: dark circle means >5% of city GHGs. White circle <1%.
7. Example Policies and Measures
• Energy Supply
Low-carbon electricity
• Building Energy
Retrofit disclosure requirements and financing
• Transportation
Vehicle charges & public transport
Combined transport and land use planning
9. Energy Supply –Examples
• Seattle (USA) has a public
electricity utility, Seattle City Light
Divested in coal in 2000
Committed to carbon neutral
electricity in future (but starts from
>90% hydro)
• Cities tied to national / regional
grids have it harder; common
strategy is to focus on distributed
local generation
Sydney goal of capacity for 100%
local electricity generation by 2030
with GHG reductions of 70%
London goal of 25% by 2025
Source: Seattle City Light. 2010. “2010 Integrated Resource Plan.”
10. Building Energy – Melbourne Example
• Mandatory energy disclosure -
Building Energy Efficiency
Disclosure Act 2010 (Australian
Government)
• Low interest bank loans
Secured by municipal charge on
the property (improvements and
charges stay with the building);
tenants contribute
Source: Mayes, David. 2013. The opportunities and lessons from the City of Melbourne’s implementation of building energy policies. City of
Melbourne, Australia. Presentation to World Bank / CLC / C40 Workshop. April 2013.
11. Transportation – Singapore Example
• Shift to rail-based transit
Following initial plan developed in early
1970s
Current 62% mode share for public transit
during peak times; goal of 75% by 2030
Expanding rail; giving buses road priority
• Quotas on total car ownership
• Financial incentives for low-GHG
vehicles
Source: Poon, Joe Fai. 2013. Transport: Opportunities and Lessons. Land Transport Authority, Singapore. Presentation to World Bank / CLC / C40
Workshop. Singapore. April 2013.
12. Transport / Land Use – Stockholm
• Building towards the city centre; using
old industrial sites
• Integrating with transit
• Integrated planning; lots of stakeholder
input
Source: Gustafsson, Thomas, 2013. Urban Planning and Climate from a Land Use
Perspective. Presentation to World Bank / CLC / C40 Workshop. Singapore. April
2013.
13. Metrics for Tracking Progress
Sector Driver Units Common local
data sources
Buildings Building energy
intensity
MJ or kwh per m2
or employee
Utilities; surveys;
city buildings
departments
Transport Vehicle energy
intensity
Liter / km or MJ /
km
Vehicle registration
departments
Share of public
transit, non-
motorized trips
% of trips by mode Local vehicle /travel
surveys
Avoided trips and/or
reduced trip length
Pkm and tkm per
resident
Local vehicle /
travel surveys
Some international default data exist; e.g. UITP, ITDP, World Bank
14. Conclusions
• Building energy, personal vehicle travel, and diet tend to
have greatest GHG abatement potential, influence
• Interactions between government, stakeholders critical
• If data are available, simple metrics can help track
progress, understand trends