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A Review and Perspective Concerning Emerging Tactical
     and Strategic Developments – Summer, 2010

         By C. L. Staten, National Security Analyst
       Emergency Response & Research Institute (ERRI)
FARC        National Liberation
                  Army

                                  Los Zetas




       Hezbollah
   FARC and ELN were both founded in the 1960s,
    after Colombia’s two main political parties ended
    more than a decade of political violence and agreed
    to share power. In 1963, students, Catholic radicals,
    and left-wing intellectuals hoping to emulate Fidel
    Castro’s communist revolution in Cuba founded
    ELN. FARC formed in 1965, bringing together
    communist militants and peasant self-defense
    groups.


-- Source: Council on Foreign Relations
   Shining Path (Span. Sendero Luminoso), Peruvian
    Communist guerrilla force, officially the Communist party
    of Peru. Founded in 1970 by Abimael Guzmán Reynoso as
    an orthodox Marxist-Leninist offshoot of the Peruvian
    Communist party, the Shining Path turned to terrorism in
    1980. By the mid-1980s it had several thousand guerrillas,
    largely in rural Peru.
   The group began urban terrorism in the late 1980s. In 1992
    President Fujimori instituted martial law, and the
    subsequent capture and life sentence of Guzmán and the
    jailing of most the organization's central committee
    diminished their guerrilla raids and largely ended any
    serious threat to the government. The group persisted,
    however, continuing its attacks on a smaller scale, and has
    experienced a resurgence in growth since 2007, when it
    became involved in protecting the illegal cocaine trade.
   Hezbollah is a Shiite Islamic organization with it’s
    main leadership in Lebanon. Hezbollah, earlier, was a
    combination of multiple violent Shi'a extremist groups
    who were assimilated into the larger Hezbollah. These
    smaller groups included names like Islamic Jihad,
    Organization of the Oppressed on Earth and the
    Revolutionary Justice Organization.
   Beginning in the late 80’s and early 90’s, various
    Islamic organizations (including Hezbollah) reportedly
    began infiltrating into Latin American countries…
    either covertly or overtly. In the current day, Iranian
    proxies (including Hezbollah) are reportedly openly
    operating in places like Venezuela and in the “tri-
    border area” of Argentina, Brazil, and Paraguay (see next
    slide)
   The Hezbollah connection was made particularly
    evident during the July 18, 1994, attack on the AMIA
    Jewish community center in Buenos Aires. Hezbollah
    (and Iran) was officially blamed for the attack, which
    killed 87 people and wounded at least 100 others.
   The Tri-Border Area (TBA) between
    Argentina, Paraguay, and Brazil is
    primarily comprised of three cities:
    Puerto Iguazu (Argentina), Ciudad
    del Este (Paraguay), and Foz do
    Iguacu (Brazil).
   The area is well known as a haven
    for illicit activities ranging from
    counterfeiting to intellectual
    property theft to money laundering,
    and has been pointed to as a central
    point for the laundering of funds
    from drug trafficking and for the
    funding of terrorist organizations
    (believed to come from supporters
    within the large Arab population in
    the region
   While terrorist groups remain the central structural unit in international
    terrorism, terrorist groups today are better described as networked groups
    tied together by individual relationships than as clearly defined
    organizations that are structured and discrete. The relationships between
    individual terrorists affiliated with different groups are paramount,
    especially when operating within diaspora communities in places like
    Europe and the United States.
   This cooperation and cross-pollination facilitates cooperation among
    groups, including operational cooperation but far more often
    interconnectivity at the logistical and financial support levels.
   Such links exist even between groups that do not share similar ideologies,
    leading to cooperation between religious zealots and secular radicals;
    between ideologically- or theologically-driven terrorists and criminal
    entities (as has been the case in several terrorist attacks in Iraq, where
    criminal elements played critical roles in return for monetary
    compensation); between Sunni and Shi’a groups; and between individuals
    whose person-to-person contacts require no agreement between their
    respective headquarters.
ERRI Observations, Indicators and Warnings

 ERRI analysts say that they fear
 that “narco-terrorists” of the
 cartels, many of whom are also
 extreme leftists, will combine
 forces with the Islamic radicals to
 target America and her allies in
 that region.

 Such an insurgency…fueled by
 drug money and equipped with
 modern “black-market” military
 weapons…obtained through
 Hezbollah/Hamas/Iran, could
 pose a more significant threat to
 the U.S. and her friends in Latin
 American.

 Moreover, Iranian/Hezbollah
 trainers will undoubtedly bring
 new and more dangerous
 weapons and tactics to the drug
 cartels…all likely to escalate
 conflicts already underway in
 Mexico and elsewhere.
Questions, comments, suggestions or requests for more
                     information can be directed to:


                     Emergency Response & Research Institute (ERRI)
                     and EmergencyNet News

                     6348 N. Milwaukee Ave. #312
                     Chicago, IL 60646
                     (773) 631-3774 – Voice, messages
                     (773) 631-4703 – Facsimile
                     erri.six@gmail.com – E-mail
                     http://emergencynet-news.com - website




       Editor’s note: This report contains open source intelligence information (OSINT) and should be
       considered a preliminary assessment. More confirmed data should be available as forensic tests
       and other collection efforts proceed. This report may contain law enforcement, military, or FOUO
       sensitive data…


Updated 11/13/2010             (c) Emergency Response & Research Institute, Inc. 1991-2010

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Latin American Insurgency 2010b

  • 1. A Review and Perspective Concerning Emerging Tactical and Strategic Developments – Summer, 2010 By C. L. Staten, National Security Analyst Emergency Response & Research Institute (ERRI)
  • 2. FARC National Liberation Army Los Zetas Hezbollah
  • 3. FARC and ELN were both founded in the 1960s, after Colombia’s two main political parties ended more than a decade of political violence and agreed to share power. In 1963, students, Catholic radicals, and left-wing intellectuals hoping to emulate Fidel Castro’s communist revolution in Cuba founded ELN. FARC formed in 1965, bringing together communist militants and peasant self-defense groups. -- Source: Council on Foreign Relations
  • 4. Shining Path (Span. Sendero Luminoso), Peruvian Communist guerrilla force, officially the Communist party of Peru. Founded in 1970 by Abimael Guzmán Reynoso as an orthodox Marxist-Leninist offshoot of the Peruvian Communist party, the Shining Path turned to terrorism in 1980. By the mid-1980s it had several thousand guerrillas, largely in rural Peru.  The group began urban terrorism in the late 1980s. In 1992 President Fujimori instituted martial law, and the subsequent capture and life sentence of Guzmán and the jailing of most the organization's central committee diminished their guerrilla raids and largely ended any serious threat to the government. The group persisted, however, continuing its attacks on a smaller scale, and has experienced a resurgence in growth since 2007, when it became involved in protecting the illegal cocaine trade.
  • 5. Hezbollah is a Shiite Islamic organization with it’s main leadership in Lebanon. Hezbollah, earlier, was a combination of multiple violent Shi'a extremist groups who were assimilated into the larger Hezbollah. These smaller groups included names like Islamic Jihad, Organization of the Oppressed on Earth and the Revolutionary Justice Organization.  Beginning in the late 80’s and early 90’s, various Islamic organizations (including Hezbollah) reportedly began infiltrating into Latin American countries… either covertly or overtly. In the current day, Iranian proxies (including Hezbollah) are reportedly openly operating in places like Venezuela and in the “tri- border area” of Argentina, Brazil, and Paraguay (see next slide)  The Hezbollah connection was made particularly evident during the July 18, 1994, attack on the AMIA Jewish community center in Buenos Aires. Hezbollah (and Iran) was officially blamed for the attack, which killed 87 people and wounded at least 100 others.
  • 6. The Tri-Border Area (TBA) between Argentina, Paraguay, and Brazil is primarily comprised of three cities: Puerto Iguazu (Argentina), Ciudad del Este (Paraguay), and Foz do Iguacu (Brazil).  The area is well known as a haven for illicit activities ranging from counterfeiting to intellectual property theft to money laundering, and has been pointed to as a central point for the laundering of funds from drug trafficking and for the funding of terrorist organizations (believed to come from supporters within the large Arab population in the region
  • 7. While terrorist groups remain the central structural unit in international terrorism, terrorist groups today are better described as networked groups tied together by individual relationships than as clearly defined organizations that are structured and discrete. The relationships between individual terrorists affiliated with different groups are paramount, especially when operating within diaspora communities in places like Europe and the United States.  This cooperation and cross-pollination facilitates cooperation among groups, including operational cooperation but far more often interconnectivity at the logistical and financial support levels.  Such links exist even between groups that do not share similar ideologies, leading to cooperation between religious zealots and secular radicals; between ideologically- or theologically-driven terrorists and criminal entities (as has been the case in several terrorist attacks in Iraq, where criminal elements played critical roles in return for monetary compensation); between Sunni and Shi’a groups; and between individuals whose person-to-person contacts require no agreement between their respective headquarters.
  • 8. ERRI Observations, Indicators and Warnings ERRI analysts say that they fear that “narco-terrorists” of the cartels, many of whom are also extreme leftists, will combine forces with the Islamic radicals to target America and her allies in that region. Such an insurgency…fueled by drug money and equipped with modern “black-market” military weapons…obtained through Hezbollah/Hamas/Iran, could pose a more significant threat to the U.S. and her friends in Latin American. Moreover, Iranian/Hezbollah trainers will undoubtedly bring new and more dangerous weapons and tactics to the drug cartels…all likely to escalate conflicts already underway in Mexico and elsewhere.
  • 9. Questions, comments, suggestions or requests for more information can be directed to: Emergency Response & Research Institute (ERRI) and EmergencyNet News 6348 N. Milwaukee Ave. #312 Chicago, IL 60646 (773) 631-3774 – Voice, messages (773) 631-4703 – Facsimile erri.six@gmail.com – E-mail http://emergencynet-news.com - website Editor’s note: This report contains open source intelligence information (OSINT) and should be considered a preliminary assessment. More confirmed data should be available as forensic tests and other collection efforts proceed. This report may contain law enforcement, military, or FOUO sensitive data… Updated 11/13/2010 (c) Emergency Response & Research Institute, Inc. 1991-2010