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The State of Lending in America
 and its Impact on U.S. Households

America’s Household Balance Sheet

           M William Sermons
           December 12, 2012
Strong consumer financial status is
                                                                               important for U.S. economy


Consumer spending is key element of US economic activity

                             Annual GDP, Current Year and Real Dollars                                                 Consumer Expenditures as a
                  $16,000                                                                                                  Percent of U.S. GDP
                  $14,000                                                                                                (average annual share)
                  $12,000
                                                                                                                       1961-1970               61.8%
 GDP ($Billion)




                  $10,000
                   $8,000                                                                                              1971-1980               62.5%
                   $6,000
                   $4,000
                                                                                                                       1981-1990               64.6%
                   $2,000                                                                                              1991-2000               67.3%
                      $0
                            1970                  1980                     1990                    2000         2010   2001-2010               70.0%
                                   Annual GDP, Current Year                    Annual GDP, Inflation Adjusted
                                     Source: CRL Tabulations of Bureau of Economic Analysis data                        SOURCE: Organisation for Economic
                                                                                                                        Co-operation and Development.
Many American families have little
                                    financial breathing room

Typical household has just $100 left each month, after
covering basic expenses, debt payments, etc.
                                Item                       Value ($)
      Yearly Income (less taxes and insurance/pension         $ 41,516
      contributions)

      Annual non–discretionary expenses                     $ (37,651)
          Housing (including upkeep and operation)            (11,455)
          Transportation                                       (7,160)
          Food                                                 (5,596)
          Utilities                                            (3,603)
          Health Care                                          (3,068)
          Education (including reading)                          (594)
          Other expenses (excluding alcohol, tobacco,          (6,175)
          entertainment)
      Annual debt payments (excluding mortgage and auto)      ($ 2,658)

      Discretionary annual income                              $ 1,207
Reason #1: Declining incomes


• Happened even though workers increased productivity by 20%
• African Americans and Latinos especially hard-hit because of job losses in
  manufacturing and construction.

                                                  Real Income
               $60,000

               $50,000

               $40,000

               $30,000

               $20,000

               $10,000

                   $-
                         2000         2002              2004                  2006                2008         2010

                         Median Income; $ 2010               Black Households                     Hispanic Households
                                          Source: Current Population Survey, U.S. Census Bureau
Reason #2: Increasing cost of living


Many non-discretionary expenses (e.g. education, medical,
utilities and housing) grew faster than inflation

                     Increase in Nominal Household Spending
            80%
            70%
            60%
            50%
            40%
            30%
            20%
            10%
             0%




                  Source: Consumer Expenditure Survey, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Reason #3: Recession depleted assets


Values dropped for both household financial assets and homes
- $7 trillion drop in home equity alone

                                   Asset Holding and Median Value ($2010),                                                                                        Asset Holding and Median Value ($2010),
                                                Financial Assets                                                                                                                Home Values
 % Families Holding Asset




                            100%                                                                             $40,000                                              100%                                                                     $250,000




                                                                                                                                      % Families Holding Asset
                            80%                                                                                                                                    80%                                                                     $200,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Median Value
                                                                                                             $30,000
                            60%                                                                                        Median Value                                60%                                                                     $150,000
                                                                                                             $20,000
                            40%                                                                                                                                    40%                                                                     $100,000
                                                                                                             $10,000                                               20%                                                                     $50,000
                            20%
                             0%                                                                              $0                                                      0%                                                                    $0
                                                                                                                                                                            2001            2004                 2007               2010
                                       2001                2004                2007                 2010
                                                                                                                                                                 % Families 67.7% 69.1% 68.6% 67.3%
                   % of Families 93.4%                   93.8%                93.9%                 94.0%
                                                                                                                                                                 Value     $151,300 $184,700 $209,500 $170,000
                   Value         $34,400                $26,600              $30,200               $21,500
                                              Source: 2010 Survey of Consumer Finances Chartbook
                                                                                                                                                                               Source: 2010 Survey of Consumer Finances Chartbook
Reason #4: More debt


Increases primarily in mortgages and student loans, with
lower credit card balances and auto loans

        Debt Holding and Median Value (2010 $'s),
                        Any Debt
          % Families Holding Debt



                                    100%                                                             $80,000
                                     90%                                                             $70,000




                                                                                                           Median Value
                                     80%
                                                                                                     $60,000
                                     70%
                                     60%                                                             $50,000
                                     50%                                                             $40,000
                                     40%                                                             $30,000
                                     30%
                                                                                                     $20,000
                                     20%
                                     10%                                                             $10,000
                                      0%                                                             $0
                                                 2001              2004             2007    2010
          % Families                            75.1%             76.4%            77.0%   74.9%
          Value                                $47,700          $63,800          $70,600   $70,700

                                      Source: 2010 Survey of Consumer Finances Chartbook
Financial snapshot: 2007 vs. 2010



                                            2007                                 2010
Median household                        $126,400                              $77,300
net worth
Families with credit                       46.1%                                39.4%
card debt
Families with                              15.2%                                19.2%
student loans
Median amount of                        $110,000                              $75,000
home equity

        Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances. All figures adjusted for inflation
Household wealth now down to
                                               pre-1995 levels

• 40% drop from 2007-2010
• Wider wealth disparity between white and African–American or
  Hispanic households

             Median family net worth by race/ethnicity,
                             2010 $'s
        $150,000

        $100,000

         $50,000

             $-
                   1995        1998          2001           2004          2007   2010
                           All Families          Non-white or Hispanic
                          Source: 2010 Survey of Consumer Finances Chartbook
Keys to rebuilding household
                              balance sheets


•   Promote access to safe and affordable credit

•   Provide strong protections to prevent predatory
    lending practices



CRL’s State of Lending report offers our perspective on how to
achieve these.
For More Information



See all CRL research: http://rspnsb.li/UpZetS

Contact us:
   Bill Sermons (DC): 202-349-1851
   Kathleen Day (DC): 202-349-1871
   Graciela Aponte (CA): 510-379-5518
   Ginna Green (SC): 510-866-5989

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State of Lending 2012 - Household Balance Sheet Overview

  • 1. The State of Lending in America and its Impact on U.S. Households America’s Household Balance Sheet M William Sermons December 12, 2012
  • 2. Strong consumer financial status is important for U.S. economy Consumer spending is key element of US economic activity Annual GDP, Current Year and Real Dollars Consumer Expenditures as a $16,000 Percent of U.S. GDP $14,000 (average annual share) $12,000 1961-1970 61.8% GDP ($Billion) $10,000 $8,000 1971-1980 62.5% $6,000 $4,000 1981-1990 64.6% $2,000 1991-2000 67.3% $0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2001-2010 70.0% Annual GDP, Current Year Annual GDP, Inflation Adjusted Source: CRL Tabulations of Bureau of Economic Analysis data SOURCE: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
  • 3. Many American families have little financial breathing room Typical household has just $100 left each month, after covering basic expenses, debt payments, etc. Item Value ($) Yearly Income (less taxes and insurance/pension $ 41,516 contributions) Annual non–discretionary expenses $ (37,651) Housing (including upkeep and operation) (11,455) Transportation (7,160) Food (5,596) Utilities (3,603) Health Care (3,068) Education (including reading) (594) Other expenses (excluding alcohol, tobacco, (6,175) entertainment) Annual debt payments (excluding mortgage and auto) ($ 2,658) Discretionary annual income $ 1,207
  • 4. Reason #1: Declining incomes • Happened even though workers increased productivity by 20% • African Americans and Latinos especially hard-hit because of job losses in manufacturing and construction. Real Income $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $- 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Median Income; $ 2010 Black Households Hispanic Households Source: Current Population Survey, U.S. Census Bureau
  • 5. Reason #2: Increasing cost of living Many non-discretionary expenses (e.g. education, medical, utilities and housing) grew faster than inflation Increase in Nominal Household Spending 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Source: Consumer Expenditure Survey, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 6. Reason #3: Recession depleted assets Values dropped for both household financial assets and homes - $7 trillion drop in home equity alone Asset Holding and Median Value ($2010), Asset Holding and Median Value ($2010), Financial Assets Home Values % Families Holding Asset 100% $40,000 100% $250,000 % Families Holding Asset 80% 80% $200,000 Median Value $30,000 60% Median Value 60% $150,000 $20,000 40% 40% $100,000 $10,000 20% $50,000 20% 0% $0 0% $0 2001 2004 2007 2010 2001 2004 2007 2010 % Families 67.7% 69.1% 68.6% 67.3% % of Families 93.4% 93.8% 93.9% 94.0% Value $151,300 $184,700 $209,500 $170,000 Value $34,400 $26,600 $30,200 $21,500 Source: 2010 Survey of Consumer Finances Chartbook Source: 2010 Survey of Consumer Finances Chartbook
  • 7. Reason #4: More debt Increases primarily in mortgages and student loans, with lower credit card balances and auto loans Debt Holding and Median Value (2010 $'s), Any Debt % Families Holding Debt 100% $80,000 90% $70,000 Median Value 80% $60,000 70% 60% $50,000 50% $40,000 40% $30,000 30% $20,000 20% 10% $10,000 0% $0 2001 2004 2007 2010 % Families 75.1% 76.4% 77.0% 74.9% Value $47,700 $63,800 $70,600 $70,700 Source: 2010 Survey of Consumer Finances Chartbook
  • 8. Financial snapshot: 2007 vs. 2010 2007 2010 Median household $126,400 $77,300 net worth Families with credit 46.1% 39.4% card debt Families with 15.2% 19.2% student loans Median amount of $110,000 $75,000 home equity Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances. All figures adjusted for inflation
  • 9. Household wealth now down to pre-1995 levels • 40% drop from 2007-2010 • Wider wealth disparity between white and African–American or Hispanic households Median family net worth by race/ethnicity, 2010 $'s $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 $- 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 All Families Non-white or Hispanic Source: 2010 Survey of Consumer Finances Chartbook
  • 10. Keys to rebuilding household balance sheets • Promote access to safe and affordable credit • Provide strong protections to prevent predatory lending practices CRL’s State of Lending report offers our perspective on how to achieve these.
  • 11. For More Information See all CRL research: http://rspnsb.li/UpZetS Contact us: Bill Sermons (DC): 202-349-1851 Kathleen Day (DC): 202-349-1871 Graciela Aponte (CA): 510-379-5518 Ginna Green (SC): 510-866-5989