This edition of the Northeast Ohio Economic Review is a focus on the Cleveland Plus regional strength in headquarters. Cleveland Plus headquarters employment is strong, ranking the 10th in terms of total HQ employment and 4th highest in the nation when adjusted for scale. Cleveland Plus has 60% more headquarters employment than the national average, supported by a higher than average share of the operational headquarters occupations, such as Chief Executive, General and Operations Managers. Charts and data contained within this report include location quotient for headquarters, headquarters occupations, employment, vacancy and gross regional product.
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December 2008 Cleveland Plus Quarterly Economic Review
1. Our partners include:
Greater Cleveland Partnership
Greater Akron Chamber
Stark Development Board
Team Lorain County
Youngstown-Warren Regional Chamber
Medina County Economic Development Corporation
Northeast
Ohio
Economic
Review
December 2008
Volume 2, Issue 4
Headquarters Sector
Prominent in the
Cleveland Plus Region.
®
2. As we found in an earlier Northeast Ohio Regional Economic Review,
the business headquaters sector continues to be particularly strong
in the Cleveland Plus ® Region. This report takes a closer look at this
sector’s role in driving the region’s economy.
Economic Review Highlights for 2008
The Northeast Ohio Economic Review was established to provide an aggregate look at long-term trends in Northeast Ohio’s economy. In
2008, we continued our quarterly reports by taking a look at our mix of industries as compared to the U.S., reviewing a 10 year projection
for industry and occupational growth, and reporting the overall climate of industrial and office commercial real estate in the 16 counties
that comprise the Cleveland Plus Region.
Cleveland Plus Mix of Industries
Cleveland Plus has a higher share of output than the national average in many industries, including: Manufacturing, Finance and
Insurance; Healthcare; and Management of Companies and Enterprises (Headquarters). Both Manufacturing and Headquarters have
shares of the Northeast Ohio economy that are more than 50% higher than the national average. Manufacturing represents 22% of the
region’s economy, compared to about 14% for the U.S. as a whole.
10 Year Projection: Growing Industry Sectors
Northeast Ohio’s economy is expected to continue diversifying. The Information industry is expected to grow the fastest, at 34% over the
next 10 years. Despite common misperceptions, manufacturing output is projected to continue growing as well. Other faster-growing
sectors include: Professional and Technical Services; and Finance and Insurance sectors.
10 Year Projection: Higher Paying Jobs Will Grow Faster
Projections for the next ten years show higher paying occupations account for all the expected growth in employment. Jobs with above
average pay are projected to grow 7.5%. Expected high-growth occupations include: Computer/Math, Business/Finance, Education,
Training and Library, Sciences, Legal and Management.
Industrial Real Estate is Strong and Growing
Northeast Ohio is the sixth largest industrial market in North America. Our industrial vacancy rate is among the lowest in the past 5 years,
with the Manufacturing vacancy rate showing a significant decline since 2006. In addition, there are approximately 411 million total
square feet of Industrial space in the region, larger than at any time since 2000.
Office Space Market Continues to Thrive
Even in the face of a soft national economy, the demand for space in the Cleveland Plus office market continues to grow. Occupied Class
A space is up nearly 17% since 2003. In addition, there is more Class A, B, and C occupied space than any time in the past five years.
Total occupied space has increased to almost 112 million square feet. Northeast Ohio’s vacancy rate of 12.1% is nearly on par with the
U.S. average and notably lower than many other major U.S. markets such as Atlanta, Chicago and Phoenix.
In Summary
Even in the face of the current national economic decline, the Cleveland Plus Region continued to benefit in 2008 from its long-term trend
of steady, moderate growth. We are diversifying and transitioning our economy to high-skill industries, indicating that education and
workforce development will become even more valuable in the future. Our industrial and commercial real estate markets remain strong.
By maintaining the course with Northeast Ohio’s advancements in biomedical, alternative energies, high-tech manufacturing, corporate
management and entrepreneurship, the region will accelerate growth and ensure long-term vitality.
3. “The decision by Goodyear to keep our headquar
of available talent and the overall positive busines
possible by the collaborative spirit between the reg
-Robert J. Keegan, Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President of The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, commenting
Cleveland Plus Headquarters
Employment Strong
This graph looks at total Headquarters Employment: NEO and US Cities 2006
headquarters employment
among the top 20 Metro- 120000
politan Statistical Areas 100000
(MSAs). The Cleveland
80000
Plus region ranks 10th in
Employment
terms of total employment, 60000
and is greater than larger 40000
regions such as Houston, 20000
Phoenix and Atlanta. 0
Source: County Business Patterns, 2006
“Headquarters are one of the core
competitive advantages of the region.”
-Edward W. (Ned) Hill, Professor and Distinguished Scholar of Economic Development,
Maxine Goodman Levin College of Urban Affairs, Cleveland State University
Cleveland Plus Headquarters
Employment Share
Share of Headquarters Employment: NEO vs US Cities
4th Highest in
Nation
St. Louis
New York
This graph demonstrates
San Francisco
the proportion of head-
NEO
Detroit
quarters employment as
Boston
a percentage of total
Philadelphia
Chicago
employment in major
Atlanta
Seattle
U.S. markets. Once
Los Angeles
adjusted for scale, the
Tampa
San Diego
Cleveland Plus region
Phoenix
Miami
has the fourth largest
Riverside
concentration of head-
Baltimore
quarters employment,
0.2 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.6
LQ Value
60% more than the
national average.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and Economy.com
4. ters in Northeast Ohio is a testament to the quality
s environment in Northeast Ohio and made
ion's public and private entities.”
on his company’s decision to build a new headquarters for their 3,000 corporate and North America Tire employees.
Cleveland Plus Strong in High Skill Headquarters Occupations
This chart depicts Northeast Ohio’s position in the occupations that typically are associated with
business headquarters. Northeast Ohio’s strong national position in corporate headquarters is
supported by a higher than average share of the occupations that are most important to the
operation of a business headquarters. This concentration of occupations makes existing
headquarters successful and provides a strong labor pool for those looking to establish
new headquarters in the region.
Share of NEO Headquarters Occupations vs the US
1.8
1.6
1.4
LQ
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
Chief Executives Accountants and Auditors General and Operations Sales Managers Computer Programmers Financial Managers
Managers
Occupation
Source: BLS, Occupational Employment Statistics
“We looked at the quality
of labor force, the
KEY:
abundance
Location Quotient (LQ), as used in the charts to the left
and above, compares Northeast Ohio and other regions
of labor and the
to the U.S. as a whole. An LQ of 1.0 represents the
national average. An LQ of 1.2 is 20% higher than the
quality of
national average. An LQ of 0.8 is 20% less than the
national average.
infrastructure.”
-SP Data Chief Executive Dan Plashkes comments on why his
company chose the Cleveland Plus region for their US Headquarters
5. Northeast Ohio Employment Mirrors
National Trends
Northeast Ohio Total Employment This chart shows total
(Not Seasonally Adjusted)
employment in Northeast Ohio
without seasonal adjustments.
2.08
By viewing employment on a
2.06
quarter to quarter basis we can
2.04
see the overall trend that occurs
(Millions)
2.02
due to seasonal patterns of
2.00
employment. Q3 of 2008 did
1.98
not see the typical seasonal
1.96
increase between the second
1.94
and third quarter and lagged
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
employment of one year ago.
This is similar to the national
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
picture. Total employment
remained just over 2 million
Source: BLS, Occupational Employment Statistics
workers in Q3, and is down approximately 1.5%
from last year.
Demand for Industrial Space
Continues to Grow
Northeast Ohio Occupied Industrial Space
This graph shows the total
amount of industrial space
occupied by quarter, from third 395,000,000 10.0%
quarter of 2003 to third quarter 9.5%
390,000,000
of 2008. Over this period,
9.0%
385,000,000
8.5%
total occupied industrial space
Vacancy Rate
Occupied Sq. Ft.
380,000,000 8.0%
has grown significantly with
7.5%
ten consecutive quarters of 375,000,000
7.0%
growth since the first quarter of 370,000,000
6.5%
2006. In addition, occupied 365,000,000 6.0%
industrial space is higher than
at any point in the previous five
years while vacancy rates of Occupied Space Vacancy Rate
7.5% are also at their lowest
point in the past five years.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and Economy.com
6. Growth Still Northeast Ohio: Real GRP
Projected for Billions (2007 Dollars)
2008 $190
0.4%
$180 0.4%
0.5% (-.9%)
Modest growth is still projected for 1.8% 2.6%
0.3% (-1.9%) 1.2%
$170 1.2%
Northeast Ohio’s 2008 Gross Regional 2.6%
4.8%
Product, based on projections from $160
Moody’s Economy.com. Moody’s 3.0%
$150 3.8%
detailed models of regional economic 5.1%
3.6% 0.3%
conditions are revised as actual data $140
is received. Reflective of soft condi-
tions in recent years, this updated $130
chart contains lower estimates for
$120
2006, 2007 and 2008 compared to 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
previous reports.
Real GRP Average Annual Growth = 1.6%
Moody’s estimates that the Northeast
Ohio economy has grown at an annual Source: Moody's Economy.com
rate of 1.6% over the past 15 years and has grown in 13 of the past 15 years.
About Team NEO
Team NEO markets Northeast Ohio to attract business investment in targeted industry clusters. The organization is a joint venture of the
largest metro chambers, representing 16 counties and their 4 million people. Team NEO serves as a central resource, informing and
serving those considering investment in Northeast Ohio and is a co-founder of the Cleveland Plus® Marketing Alliance, a coalition to drive
strategic, long-term marketing for Northeast Ohio. For more information, visit www.teamneo.org.
Data Sources: Team Northeast Ohio uses a number of data sources for the Regional Economic Review. One of the primary sources is the Moody’s
Economy.com (www.economy.com) Northeast Ohio modeling system. This firm is the leading independent provider of economic, financial and
industry research and data that specializes in national and metropolitan economic growth forecasts. Moody’s Economy.com county level Ashtabula
Lake
output, employment and payroll historical data are estimated from several publicly available sources and are summarized
into the Team NEO regional footprint. It is important to understand data provided by Economy.com are estimates of
Cleveland Geauga
economic activity.
Cuyahoga
Team NEO also uses data from federal and state sources as part of the report. As with Economy.com, the informa- Trumbull
Lorain
tion for the Team NEO footprint is derived from data reported at either the county or metropolitan level. We rely
Summit Portage
heavily on data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.bls.gov) and Ohio’s Labor Market Information
Youngstown
Medina Akron
(www.lmi.state.oh.us) for information on wages, unemployment and both general and industry-specific
Mahoning
employment. In addition, Team NEO uses data from the Census (www.census.gov) to track housing-
related activity including the number of single and multifamily permits, as well as their values. Ashland
Wayne Columbiana
Canton
Richland
Due to market limits within the CoStar database, historic trend data for the Team NEO region is Stark
defined as 10 of the 16 counties forming the regional footprint. These counties include Ashtabula,
Carroll
Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake, Lorain, Medina, Portage, Richland, Stark and Summit.
Cleveland Plus 16-County Region
737 Bolivar Road, Suite 2000, Cleveland, Ohio 44115
888.NEO.1411 • www.teamneo.org • www.clevelandplusbusiness.com