This presentation by Sepo Hachigonta from FANRPAN talks about the recent changes in agriculture in Africa, how this data can be transferred into information and policy and how this affects several other parts of African life aspects.

1. The good, the bad and the ugly:
Climate change’s potential impact on
farmers in Africa
Global Landscapes Forum
Warsaw, Poland
16 November 2013
Sepo Hachigonta
shachigonta@fanrpan.org

2. Scientific
research has
changed the
world
Now it needs to
change itself
A SIMPLE idea underpins science:
Only 14% of published
papers
“trust, but verify”
Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN)
www.fanrpan.org

3. Welcome to the Anthropocene!
3.3 million
deaths from
natural hazards
in the 40 years
to 2010
50% increase
(Btw 2000 and 2050)
mostly in developing
countries
Over 400,000 deaths from climate extremes
since 2000 with 79% in developing countries
Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN)
www.fanrpan.org

4. Crop yield changes
Zinyengere , Crespo and Hachigonta., 2013
Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN)
www.fanrpan.org

5. Transforming Data into Information and
Policy
• Uncertainties
• Evidence
• Modeling
• Limitations
• Uncertainty
• Interpretation
• Etc
Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN)
www.fanrpan.org

6. Climate information at a local scale
Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN)
www.fanrpan.org

7. Costing the Impacts of Climate Change
Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN)
www.fanrpan.org

8. Livelihood Vulnerability
Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN)
www.fanrpan.org

9. Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN)
www.fanrpan.org

10. Household Vulnerability
Low vulnerability
Moderate vulnerability
Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN)
www.fanrpan.org
High vulnerability

11. Multi-Disciplinary approach
Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN)
www.fanrpan.org

12. Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN)
www.fanrpan.org

13. Communicate
climate science and
impacts including
uncertainties
Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN)
www.fanrpan.org

14. Research for Impact
Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN)
www.fanrpan.org

15. Recommendations
 Promote and support strategies for out-scaling proven
technologies;
 Develop practical research and innovation
 Integrate climate change into mainstream national
agricultural development policy and planning processes;
 Extension services (public and non-public) need
foundation training to acquire core proficiencies in CSA
from management levels
 Engage stakeholders when generating research evidence
Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN)
www.fanrpan.org