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Analyzing	
  Possible	
  Impacts	
  of	
  	
  
         REDD+	
  Ini9a9ves	
  on	
  the	
  Ground	
  
       Lessons	
  from	
  São	
  Félix	
  do	
  Xingu,	
  Brazil	
  	
  
	
                                               	
  
              Interna(onal	
  Society	
  for	
  Ecological	
  Economics	
  –	
  ISEE	
  
                    Maria	
  Fernanda	
  Gebara,	
  Amy	
  Duchelle,	
  	
  
                     Giselle	
  Monteiro,	
  Leonala	
  Guimarães	
  
                                 June	
  2012	
  –	
  Rio	
  de	
  Janeiro	
  	
  
REDD+ in Brazil
                                                                                                              Na(onal	
  
                                                               Interagency	
                                   REDD+	
  
                                            Na(onal	
                                                         Strategy	
  
                                                                Task	
  Force	
  
                         Zero	
             Plan	
  for	
  
Compensated	
        Deforesta(on	
         Climate	
         Na(onal	
  Policy	
  for	
              Sub-­‐na(onal	
  
Reduc(on 	
              Pact	
             Change	
           Climate	
  Change	
                     Ini(a(ves	
  

 2003         2006            2007          2008              2009                  2010                      2011

              Voluntary	
        JUMA	
                                   NAMAs	
                WGs	
            REDD+	
  
                                                 Amazon	
  Fund	
  
PPCDAM	
       Regime	
                                                                                           and	
  PES	
  
                                                                            Principle	
  and	
                      Bills	
  	
  
                                                                             Criteria 	
  	
  
                                                               PPCerrado	
                                 More	
  than	
  50	
  
                                                                                       FIP	
  
                                                                                                             projects	
  

Brazil and REDD+ - Timeline                                                 ABC	
  Plan	
  


                                                                             THINKING beyond the canopy
GCS Projects




Credits:	
  Ahmeed	
                THINKING beyond the canopy
Methods                     §  Proponent	
  Appraisal	
  
    B-­‐A-­‐C-­‐I	
            São	
  Félix	
  do	
  Xingu	
  
                     Humaitá	
  
                                                                §  Survey	
  of	
  Project	
  	
  
                                                                Implementa(on	
  (SPI)	
  
   2010	
   2013	
                       4	
  villages/each	
  
                                                                	
  	
  
§  Total	
  of	
  246	
  households	
  (124	
  interven(on/122	
  control)	
  	
   3Es+	
  
§  40	
  large-­‐landholders	
  



                                                        §    Household/Village	
  Data	
  
                                                        §    Land	
  and	
  Forest	
  Use	
  
                                                        §    Income	
  Genera(on	
  
                                                        §    Land	
  Tenure	
  	
  
                                                        §    Climate	
  Change	
  Percep(ons	
  
                                                        §    REDD+	
  Percep(ons	
  
                                                                   THINKING beyond the canopy
Research Objective
                                             Structures	
  	
     Social	
  Priori(es	
  	
  
Governance	
                                                                           Human	
  Coordina(on	
  
  Vatn	
  and	
  Vedeld,	
  2010	
  	
  
                                             Processes	
          Conflicts	
  


Main	
  ques9ons:	
  	
  

§  Are	
  interven(ons	
  in	
  line	
  with	
  the	
  site	
  context?	
  	
  
§  Which	
  process	
  and	
  structures	
  are	
  in	
  place	
  for	
  REDD+	
  implementa(on	
  
in	
  SFX?	
  	
  
§  Who	
  are	
  the	
  main	
  actors?	
  
	
                                                                                   THINKING beyond the canopy
Context
   Pará	
  
§  Aug	
  2010	
  -­‐	
  July	
  2011	
  –	
  6.418km2	
  (Amazon)	
  /	
  3.008km2	
  (Pará)	
  	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  50%	
  of	
  total	
  deforesta(on	
  in	
  the	
  Amazon	
  (INPE)	
  
§  Aug	
  2009	
  –	
  July	
  2010	
  –	
  41%	
  of	
  total	
  deforesta(on	
  in	
  the	
  Amazon	
  
	
  (SAD/Imazon)	
  

 Main	
  Ac9ons:	
  	
                                    Challenges	
  of	
  REDD+:	
  	
  
                                                          	
  


§  The	
  State	
  Plan	
  for	
  Preven(on,	
           §  Land	
  tenure	
  	
  
    Control	
  and	
  Alterna(ves	
  to	
                 §  Law	
  Enforcement	
  	
  
    Deforesta(on	
  (PPCAD/2009)	
  
                                                          §  Elite	
  capture	
  	
  
§  MoU	
  –	
  California	
  (2010)	
  	
  
                                                          	
  


                                                  §  Transac(on	
  and	
  transi(on	
  costs	
  	
  
                                                  	
  
§  More	
  than	
  10	
  pilot	
  REDD+	
  projects	
  	
  	
  
                                                                              THINKING beyond the canopy
THINKING beyond the canopy
       Source:	
  Imazon	
  
São Félix do Xingu
   General	
  Informa9on	
  
§  Historically	
  high	
  rates	
  of	
  deforesta(on	
  (2001-­‐	
  2007:	
  1.70%/year,	
  INPE)
        	
  	
  
§  June	
  2011	
  –	
  7/10	
  most	
  deforested	
  municipali(es	
  were	
  located	
  in	
  
        	
  	
  
    Pará	
  –	
  SFX	
  in	
  first	
  place	
  (SAD/Imazon)	
  
§  Total	
  area	
  deforested	
  (2009)	
  –	
  16.621km2	
  –	
  20%	
  (INPE)	
  
§  CIAT	
  (2008):	
  REDD+	
  0.8	
  million	
  ha	
  in	
  10	
  years	
  -­‐	
  440	
  million	
  tons	
  of	
  CO2	
  

    Main	
  causes:	
  




                                                                                  THINKING beyond the canopy
THINKING beyond the canopy
SFX REDD+ Pilot Program




Partners:	
  	
     Funders:	
  	
  




                      THINKING beyond the canopy
SFX REDD+ Pilot Program
  Goals:	
  	
  
§  Land	
  Management	
  	
  

§  Deforesta(on	
  Emissions	
  Reduc(on	
  (440	
  million	
  tones	
  CO2/10	
  years)	
  

§  Sustainable	
  Income	
  Genera(on	
  	
  

§  Environmental	
  Co-­‐benefits	
  	
  

§  Program	
  Sustainability	
  	
  

§  Capacity	
  Building	
  	
  
                                                              THINKING beyond the canopy
Source:	
  TNC,	
  2010	
     THINKING beyond the canopy
Results
SFX	
  Pilot	
  Program	
  Strategies	
  	
  
   Private	
            SIMLAM	
           Improve	
            Large-­‐scale	
   SAFs	
  
   Proper9es	
          (CAR)	
            Produc(on	
          Reforesta(on	
  	
   	
  	
  
                        	
  	
             Models	
  	
         	
  	
  
                                           	
  	
  
   Indigenous	
  	
  
                   Sustainable	
           Capacity	
             Improve	
          Improve	
  
   Lands	
         Income	
                Building	
             Border	
           Monitoring	
  
                   Genera(on	
                                    Protec(on	
  
                   	
  	
  
   Conserva9on	
   Management	
   Management	
   Improve	
                           Improve	
  
   Units	
         Council	
  /APA	
   Plan	
  /	
  APA	
  do	
   Protec(on	
        Monitoring	
  
                   Triunfo	
  	
       Triunfo	
  	
  

   Carbon	
             Determining	
   Establishing	
  a	
   Es(ma(ng	
             Monitoring	
  
   Accoun9ng	
          Appropriate	
   Reference	
           Expected	
             and	
  
   Program	
            Standards	
     Emissions	
           Emissions	
            Repor(ng	
  	
  
                                        Level	
  (REL)	
                             	
  	
  
                                                                          THINKING beyond the canopy
Results
§  Main	
  causes	
  of	
  deforesta(on	
  in	
  all	
  villages	
  are:	
  slash/burn	
  agriculture,	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  fire	
  and	
  ranching	
  	
  
  Land	
  and	
  Forest	
  Use	
  
                                                                                                                                                     Subsistence	
  
                                                                                                                                                     and	
  Income	
  
                                                                                                                                                     Genera9on	
  

   What	
  is	
  wellbeing?	
  	
  All	
  villages	
  are	
  beder-­‐off	
  than	
  2	
  years	
  ago	
  
   §    Educa(on	
  	
                  	
  
   §    Health	
                        Main	
  reasons:	
  	
  Beler	
  roads	
  (2)	
  	
  
   §    Energy	
  	
                    	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Increase	
  on	
  income	
  (1)	
  
   §    Technical	
  Assistance	
  	
   	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Increase	
  on	
  animal	
  prices	
  (1)	
  
   §    Alterna(ves	
  for	
  Sustainable	
  Livelihoods	
  	
  
   §    Security	
  
                                                                                                                                                          THINKING beyond the canopy
   §    Communica(on	
  
Results
Opportuni9es	
  to	
  Clear	
  the	
  Forest	
  	
  
Stayed	
  
                          Stayed	
                 Increa          Increa                  Respo       Stayed	
                Respo
  the	
  
                            the	
                    sed	
           sed	
                 ndent	
       the	
                 ndent	
  
 same	
  
                           same	
                    3%	
           10%	
                  does	
       same	
                 does	
  
  10%	
                                                        Stayed	
  
                            10%	
                                                           not	
        23%	
                  not	
  
                                                                 the	
                     know	
                              know	
  
                                                                same	
                      3%	
                                3%	
  
                                                                 6%	
  
             Decre
                                        Decre                                  Decre                                Decre
             ased	
  
                                        ased	
                                 ased	
                               ased	
  
              90%	
  
                                         87%	
                                  81%	
                                74%	
  




Main	
  reason:	
  Government	
  restric(ons	
  

Tenure	
  Security	
  	
  
§  2/4	
  villages	
  feel	
  insecure	
  	
  
Main	
  reasons:	
  Lack	
  of	
  (tle	
  and	
  land	
  conflicts	
  	
  	
  

                                                                                          THINKING beyond the canopy
Results
Causes	
  of	
  Deforesta9on	
  X	
  Interven9ons	
  	
  
                       Causes	
  	
                   Interven9ons	
  	
  

    Ranching	
  	
                         Improvement	
  of	
  Produc(on	
  
                                           Models	
  	
  
    Agriculture	
                          SAFs	
  

    Fires	
                                Monitoring	
  	
  

    Land	
  Grabbing	
  	
                 SIMLAM	
  (CAR)	
  

    Illegal	
  Logging	
  	
               Restora(on/SFM	
  
                                                                THINKING beyond the canopy
Conclusions
  Early	
  to	
  say,	
  but…	
  
  §  Interven(ons	
  reflect	
  the	
  local	
  reality	
  	
  	
  
  §  Good	
  partnerships	
  
  §  No	
  investment	
  on	
  social	
  benefits	
  like	
  health,	
  educa(on	
  and	
  energy	
  	
  
  §  No	
  interven(ons	
  on	
  market	
  access	
  and	
  prices	
  	
  
                          High	
  opportunity	
  and	
  transac9on	
  costs	
  	
  




Technology	
  Transfer,	
  Capacity	
  Building	
  and	
  Involvement	
  of	
  Local	
  Actors	
  
                                                                        THINKING beyond the canopy
“I	
  am	
  used	
  to	
  deforest	
  and	
  I	
  was	
  incen9vized	
  by	
  the	
  government	
  for	
  
 doing	
  it	
  for	
  more	
  than	
  40	
  years	
  and	
  at	
  that	
  9me	
  if	
  we	
  did	
  not	
  open	
  
 new	
  areas	
  we	
  would	
  be	
  excluded	
  from	
  our	
  lands.	
  I	
  need	
  to	
  learn	
  how	
  
 to	
  act	
  differently.”	
  	
  




                                       Obrigada!
Maria	
  Fernanda	
  Gebara,	
  Phd	
  Candidate	
  	
  
Fundação	
  Getulio	
  Vargas	
  
mfgebara@gmail.com	
  	
  
www.forestsclimatechange.org	
                                                THINKING beyond the canopy

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Analyzing possible impacts of REDD+ initiatives on the ground: lessons from São Félix do Xingu, Brazil

  • 1. Analyzing  Possible  Impacts  of     REDD+  Ini9a9ves  on  the  Ground   Lessons  from  São  Félix  do  Xingu,  Brazil         Interna(onal  Society  for  Ecological  Economics  –  ISEE   Maria  Fernanda  Gebara,  Amy  Duchelle,     Giselle  Monteiro,  Leonala  Guimarães   June  2012  –  Rio  de  Janeiro    
  • 2. REDD+ in Brazil Na(onal   Interagency   REDD+   Na(onal   Strategy   Task  Force   Zero   Plan  for   Compensated   Deforesta(on   Climate   Na(onal  Policy  for   Sub-­‐na(onal   Reduc(on   Pact   Change   Climate  Change   Ini(a(ves   2003 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Voluntary   JUMA   NAMAs   WGs   REDD+   Amazon  Fund   PPCDAM   Regime   and  PES   Principle  and   Bills     Criteria     PPCerrado   More  than  50   FIP   projects   Brazil and REDD+ - Timeline ABC  Plan   THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 3. GCS Projects Credits:  Ahmeed   THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 4. Methods §  Proponent  Appraisal   B-­‐A-­‐C-­‐I   São  Félix  do  Xingu   Humaitá   §  Survey  of  Project     Implementa(on  (SPI)   2010   2013   4  villages/each       §  Total  of  246  households  (124  interven(on/122  control)     3Es+   §  40  large-­‐landholders   §  Household/Village  Data   §  Land  and  Forest  Use   §  Income  Genera(on   §  Land  Tenure     §  Climate  Change  Percep(ons   §  REDD+  Percep(ons   THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 5. Research Objective Structures     Social  Priori(es     Governance   Human  Coordina(on   Vatn  and  Vedeld,  2010     Processes   Conflicts   Main  ques9ons:     §  Are  interven(ons  in  line  with  the  site  context?     §  Which  process  and  structures  are  in  place  for  REDD+  implementa(on   in  SFX?     §  Who  are  the  main  actors?     THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 6. Context Pará   §  Aug  2010  -­‐  July  2011  –  6.418km2  (Amazon)  /  3.008km2  (Pará)                50%  of  total  deforesta(on  in  the  Amazon  (INPE)   §  Aug  2009  –  July  2010  –  41%  of  total  deforesta(on  in  the  Amazon    (SAD/Imazon)   Main  Ac9ons:     Challenges  of  REDD+:       §  The  State  Plan  for  Preven(on,   §  Land  tenure     Control  and  Alterna(ves  to   §  Law  Enforcement     Deforesta(on  (PPCAD/2009)   §  Elite  capture     §  MoU  –  California  (2010)       §  Transac(on  and  transi(on  costs       §  More  than  10  pilot  REDD+  projects       THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 7. THINKING beyond the canopy Source:  Imazon  
  • 8. São Félix do Xingu General  Informa9on   §  Historically  high  rates  of  deforesta(on  (2001-­‐  2007:  1.70%/year,  INPE)     §  June  2011  –  7/10  most  deforested  municipali(es  were  located  in       Pará  –  SFX  in  first  place  (SAD/Imazon)   §  Total  area  deforested  (2009)  –  16.621km2  –  20%  (INPE)   §  CIAT  (2008):  REDD+  0.8  million  ha  in  10  years  -­‐  440  million  tons  of  CO2   Main  causes:   THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 10. SFX REDD+ Pilot Program Partners:     Funders:     THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 11. SFX REDD+ Pilot Program Goals:     §  Land  Management     §  Deforesta(on  Emissions  Reduc(on  (440  million  tones  CO2/10  years)   §  Sustainable  Income  Genera(on     §  Environmental  Co-­‐benefits     §  Program  Sustainability     §  Capacity  Building     THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 12. Source:  TNC,  2010   THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 13. Results SFX  Pilot  Program  Strategies     Private   SIMLAM   Improve   Large-­‐scale   SAFs   Proper9es   (CAR)   Produc(on   Reforesta(on             Models             Indigenous     Sustainable   Capacity   Improve   Improve   Lands   Income   Building   Border   Monitoring   Genera(on   Protec(on       Conserva9on   Management   Management   Improve   Improve   Units   Council  /APA   Plan  /  APA  do   Protec(on   Monitoring   Triunfo     Triunfo     Carbon   Determining   Establishing  a   Es(ma(ng   Monitoring   Accoun9ng   Appropriate   Reference   Expected   and   Program   Standards   Emissions   Emissions   Repor(ng     Level  (REL)       THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 14. Results §  Main  causes  of  deforesta(on  in  all  villages  are:  slash/burn  agriculture,              fire  and  ranching     Land  and  Forest  Use   Subsistence   and  Income   Genera9on   What  is  wellbeing?    All  villages  are  beder-­‐off  than  2  years  ago   §  Educa(on       §  Health   Main  reasons:    Beler  roads  (2)     §  Energy                                                          Increase  on  income  (1)   §  Technical  Assistance                                                          Increase  on  animal  prices  (1)   §  Alterna(ves  for  Sustainable  Livelihoods     §  Security   THINKING beyond the canopy §  Communica(on  
  • 15. Results Opportuni9es  to  Clear  the  Forest     Stayed   Stayed   Increa Increa Respo Stayed   Respo the   the   sed   sed   ndent   the   ndent   same   same   3%   10%   does   same   does   10%   Stayed   10%   not   23%   not   the   know   know   same   3%   3%   6%   Decre Decre Decre Decre ased   ased   ased   ased   90%   87%   81%   74%   Main  reason:  Government  restric(ons   Tenure  Security     §  2/4  villages  feel  insecure     Main  reasons:  Lack  of  (tle  and  land  conflicts       THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 16. Results Causes  of  Deforesta9on  X  Interven9ons     Causes     Interven9ons     Ranching     Improvement  of  Produc(on   Models     Agriculture   SAFs   Fires   Monitoring     Land  Grabbing     SIMLAM  (CAR)   Illegal  Logging     Restora(on/SFM   THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 17. Conclusions Early  to  say,  but…   §  Interven(ons  reflect  the  local  reality       §  Good  partnerships   §  No  investment  on  social  benefits  like  health,  educa(on  and  energy     §  No  interven(ons  on  market  access  and  prices     High  opportunity  and  transac9on  costs     Technology  Transfer,  Capacity  Building  and  Involvement  of  Local  Actors   THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 18. “I  am  used  to  deforest  and  I  was  incen9vized  by  the  government  for   doing  it  for  more  than  40  years  and  at  that  9me  if  we  did  not  open   new  areas  we  would  be  excluded  from  our  lands.  I  need  to  learn  how   to  act  differently.”     Obrigada! Maria  Fernanda  Gebara,  Phd  Candidate     Fundação  Getulio  Vargas   mfgebara@gmail.com     www.forestsclimatechange.org   THINKING beyond the canopy