Preliminary results on the assessment of global food security issues under changing climates. Presented at Tyndall Centre, Norwich, UK, by Julian Ramirez
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Julian R - Using the EcoCrop model and database to forecast impacts of cc
1. Using the EcoCrop niche model to forecast impacts of climate change on global crop production Julián Ramírez and Andy Jarvis International Centre for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT) Bioversity International Cali, Colombia
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6. More regional level impacts Percent of crops with significant gains /losses in each region… bad news for North and Sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America, the Caribbean and the Pacific… Maximum positive and negative changes per region… Europe: the big winner…
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10. Regional and crop-based results: contrasts EUROPE NORTH AFRICA SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA LATIN AMERICA
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12. Country based results Current suitability and predicted changes to 2050s for geographic regions. Note the high variability in SSA and Asia, while relatively low variability in changes within Latin America Current suitability and number of crops with significant negative changes. Bubble size is Infant Mortality Rate