2017 Call Erasmus+ Information Sessions UK: Adult Education
Why Do Aid Projects Fail?
1. How to execute successful
projects and rescue
distressed projects with good
Project Management!
2. What is the Aid
Industry?
Massive Current Human
Need:
• Health
• Nutrition
• Housing
• Livelihoods
International Community
Gives
• Bilateral Aid
• UN Organizations
• NGOs
• Private Foundations
$ 160,000,000,000. / 2009
4. Roots of Failure
in Aid Projects:
• Principle-Agent Problem:
Organizations/Contractors
• Asymmetry of Information:
General Public/Aid Projects
• Inappropriate Project Management Model
• Poorly Trained Project Managers
6. 1. Design the project correctly.
2. Choose the correct project management model,
traditional, agile or extreme.
3. Apply project management administrative standards at
every stage.
4. Apply the lessons learned by for-profit organizations in
contexts presenting extreme challenges.
5. Embed a media reporting component in the project.
Successful Project:
8. Does Aid Work?
Andrei Shleifer: No The Grabbing Hand
Jeffrey Sachs : Yes How Aid Can Work
Failure Rate of Projects: 31%
The Big 5:
• Project Design
• The Manager (risk, performance, communication)
• Management Model
• Stakeholder engagement
• The Creeps,
(Scope, hope, effort, feature, cost)
10. Franck Helmcke, Thierry Gardére, Edouard Baussan, Jean-Pierre Blanchard, F. Carl
Braun, Lyonel Dartiguenave, Adrien Castera, Bertrand Buteau, Max Chauvet
(Photo prise au Fort-Jacques, Fermathe, Haiti)
11. Effective Response
To Non-Compliance
Rent seeking: unilateral benefit
Profit seeking: mutual benefit
Krueger, Anne (1974). "The Political Economy of the Rent-Seeking Society". American Economic Review 64 (3): 291–303. JSTOR 1808883.
• Bond held in lieu of delivery
• Freeze of personal assets
• Revocation of US and EU visa
• Contract jurisdiction in New York
12. Lessons learned from
for-profits
in difficult contexts:
• Community buy-in
• Reaching out to unorthodox partners
• Thinking far out of the box
13. Types of Contracts:
• Fixed Price, requirements are well known
• Time and Materials, you want control over materials
• Retainer, work statement can’t yet be made
• Cost Plus, performance easily measured
14.
15.
16. Country: El Salvador Haiti
GDP per capita $7,700 (2012 est.) $1,300 (2012 est.)
Population 6,108,590 (July 2013 est.) 9,801,664 (July 2012 est.)
Kilometers of paved roads 2,827 km (includes 327 km
of expressways)
1,011
No expressways
Project: Highway improvement
Status: Successful Failed
Financing: MCC Compact World Bank
Total appraised
cost $M:
USD$ $29, 944,625.60 USD$ 14.000.000
Kilometers of 2-lane paved
road
138 kilometers 104 kilometers
Connecting cities Metapán - Anamoró Port au Prince-
Cap-Haïtien
Dates: November 2006-
October 2012
1990 - 2012
Contractors: MECO S.A. (Costa Rica) OAS Constructora (Brazil)
Centre Nacional des Equipements
(Haiti)
Companies bidding: Astaldi
Eterna
Topsal
Santa Fe
Gaskapital
Ingeniería Estrella (DR)
Vorbe et Fils (Haiti)
Side roads 500 kilometers of gravel feeder roads 1000 kilometers of gravel feeder roads
Bridge work 200 meter bridge built Repair 57 small bridges
Status at scheduled closing
date:
Satisfactorily completed Less than 20% delivered,
work abandoned and not resumed
amid lawsuits
17. I. Project Scope Management:
Highways, Haiti: FAILED El Salvador: DELIVERED
Level: 1 2 3 4 5
Requirements
Definition
Statement of
purpose
Process to
identify
requirements
Stakeholders
involved in
requirements
Functions
fully
documented
Incorporates
quality
improvement
Deliverable
Identification
Names of
deliverables
Customer &
management
identify deliv.
Detailed
description
of deliverable
Consistent
template for
all projects
Improvement
in process
Scope
Definition
Ad hoc, no
standards
Defined
scope
statement
Assumptions
& constraints
clear
Documented
& monitored
Project
experience
data used
WBS Basic work
components
Third level
template
Jointly
identify all
tasks
Inter-project
dependencies
documented
Regularly
monitored
Scope
Change
Control
Ad hoc
communi-
cation
Documented
change
process
Baselines
established &
managed
Integrated
with organ’s
systems
Lessons
learned
17
- “Project Management Maturity Model,” Crawford, 2002
18. II. Project Integration:
Highways, Haiti: FAILED El Salvador: DELIVERED
Level: 1 2 3 4 5
Project Plan
Development
Ad hoc Documented
process
Risk, cost,
schedule,
quality, HR
Integrated w/
organization’s
strategic plan
Improvement
process in
place
Project Plan
Execution
Informal,
verbal
direction
Summary
level metrics
Detail level
metrics,
templates
Variance &
performance
analysis
Lessons
learned
Change
Control
Ad hoc,
without PM
awareness
Scope only
changes
identified
Scope, cost,
schedule
identified
Integrated w/
control, risk
management
Changes are
in efficiency
metrics
Project
Information
System
None Simple PM
information
system
Standardized
system for all
projects
Automated
system
Continuous
improvement
of data & sys.
Project Office Informal, no
standards or
training
Established,
training
available
PM methods,
PM training
mandatory
Best practice,
PM training
for all team
Cost-tracking
support, EV,
PMP training
18
19. III. Project Quality Management:
Highways, Haiti: FAILED El Salvador: DELIVERED
Level: 1 2 3 4 5
Quality
Planning
High-level
plans, ad hoc
Metrics of
reviews, tests
Quality
milestones,
checklists
Product
environment
included
Process
critiqued
during project
Quality
Assurance
No
established
practices
Walkthroughs
peer reviews
QA checklists
standard
Walkthroughs
with other
project teams
Feedback on
processes
Quality
Control
No
established
practices
Guidelines for
testing (unit,
integration)
Standards for
testing, client
involvement
Performance
standards in
place
Decisions on
usability and
fit of product
Management
Oversight
Management
involvement
limited
Mgt assigns
PM, receives
reports
Institution
has standard
PM practices
Integrated w/
corporate
processes
Active role in
management
19
- “Project Management Maturity Model,” Crawford, 2002
20. Project Cost Management:
Highways, Haiti: FAILED El Salvador: DELIVERED
Level: 1 2 3 4 5
Resource
Planning
Individuals
identify
resource req.
Resource
listing defined
Project office
resource
repository
Integrated w/
project office
& HR
Improve
resource
priorities
Cost
Estimating
Scope
statement; ad
hoc estimates
Top WBS,
cost-estimate
template
Cost analysis
of alternatives
Integrated w/
finance, acct,
risk mgt
Improve
forecasting
vs. estimates
Cost
Budgeting
No
established
practice
Baselining
process not
org standard
Time phased
estimates,
baselines
Integrated w/
finance, acct,
risk mgt
Baseline
lessons
learned
Performance
Management
Informal, ad
hoc
Summary
level tracking
Earned value,
corporate
financials
Performance
indices
Measure
efficiency &
effectiveness
Cost Control Non-standard
tracking
Periodic cost
reports
Variance
analysis, est
to complete
Cost reports
integrated w/
tech reports
Cost
assessments,
lessons learn
20
- “Project Management Maturity Model,” Crawford, 2002
21. Project Risk Management:
Highways, Haiti: FAILED El Salvador: DELIVERED
Level: 1 2 3 4 5
Risk
Identification
Risks not
identified
Risk
identification
process
Standards for
risk/symptom
identification
Integrated w/
cost & time
mgt, PMO
Identify org.
priority,
lessons learn
Risk
Quantification
Speculate on
impact if risks
occur
Structured
approach to
rating risks
Multiple
criteria
prioritization
Integrated w/
cost & time
mgt, finance
Improve
quantification
Risk
Response
Development
Risks
considered as
they arise
Informal
strategy for
handling risks
Contingency
plans
Integrated w/
cost & time
mgt, PMO
Tracking
project
reserves
Risk Control Day-to-day
problem
solving
Individualized
approach to
managing risk
Risks
routinely
tracked
Integrated
with control
systems
Risk assess
included in
proj execution
Risk Docu-
mentation
No historical
database
Some
historical data
Historical data
on common
risks
Interdepen-
dent risks
betw projects
Improve
collection
activity
21- “Project Management Maturity Model,” Crawford, 2002
25. Recommendations:
1. Design the project correctly.
2. Choose the correct project management model, traditional, agile or extreme.
3. Apply project management administrative standards at every stage.
4. Apply the lessons learned by for-profit organizations in contexts presenting
extreme challenges.
5. Use modular project execution teams for extreme challenges.
6. Access, build, and use documented lessons in extreme environments.
7. Embed a media reporting component in the project.
Notas do Editor
Aid projects often fail, and the failure may often be traced to avoidable non-application of the norms of project management.
The aid industry is enormous and growing. Aid legitimately addresses the urgent needs of the world’s most vulnerable people.
The term “Wicked Problem” was coined in Management Science in the 1960s to identify complex problems that persistently defy solution. Millions of people in the developing world persistently suffer from a lack of basic nutrition, health, housing, education, and livelihood. In many contexts aid has had little, or disappointing impact.
The failure of individual aid projects is often easy to identify.
Pre-project planning is often insufficient. Current and historic information must regarding the many facets of a problem, and the many possible solutions must be at the heart of the project’s design.
Projects that do succeed do so through proper management.
Risk mitigation plan. Implementation contexts with established records of widespread failure (Haiti, Africa, others) require robust contingency plans for the full range obstacles. These include natural disasters, armed conflict, regime change, major theft, the failure of local staff, and banking non-compliance. Adaptive contingencies should be ready in every case.
Shleifer, Harvard economist: The Grabbing Hand
Sachs, Columbia economist author: How Aid Can Work There are well respected academics on both sides of this debate. In both cases the roots of failure are easy to identify.
All the stakeholders should be on board. Any one of the major stakeholders can break the chain of successful project delivery.
Reach out to unorthodox partners. The Haitian elite were labeled “morally repugnant” by the Clinton administration, and not successfully engaged in relief efforts. In nations where power lies with individuals rather than institutions, those individuals must be successfully engaged. This has been a major failing with aid projects in Haiti, and across the developing world.
Strategies to mitigate non-compliance at the highest levels of the host country should be firmly in place.
Nigeria, Iraq, Afghanistan
Local sports league
Local militias, tribal chiefs, RESPONSIBLE BOP, Jaime Anderson, Martin Kupp, Sandra Vanderwereme
Micro scale generators, individual franchisees
Poorly drafted contracts a common source of failure.
Comparative highway projects in Haiti and El Salvador. The contexts are extremely different. Historic data reveals a greater rate of failure in Haiti.
El Salvador has higher social indicators and greater regional integration.
Comparative analysis of 2 similar highway projects.
Yellow represents Haiti, Green represents El Salvador
Project integration in the case of Haiti was poor.
Project management in the case of Haiti was severely deficient.
Inadequate cost management in the case of Haiti resulted in unaccounted for funds.
Improper risk management in the case of Haiti paralyzed implementation in the early stages.
Bridge needing repair near Port-au-Prince.
Bridge needing repair in Port-au-Prince.
El Salvador bridge damaged by natural disaster.
Constituents can be better served, millions of aid dollars can be better invested, and the overall success rate of aid projects can be greatly improved through applying the latest practices of project management.