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How to execute successful
projects and rescue
distressed projects with good
Project Management!
What is the Aid
Industry?
Massive Current Human
Need:
• Health
• Nutrition
• Housing
• Livelihoods
International Community
Gives
• Bilateral Aid
• UN Organizations
• NGOs
• Private Foundations
$ 160,000,000,000. / 2009
Multi-
Dimensional
Problem
Context with
many
unknowns
Port au Prince,
Roots of Failure
in Aid Projects:
• Principle-Agent Problem:
Organizations/Contractors
• Asymmetry of Information:
General Public/Aid Projects
• Inappropriate Project Management Model
• Poorly Trained Project Managers
How much do we know?
Solution!
1. Design the project correctly.
2. Choose the correct project management model,
traditional, agile or extreme.
3. Apply project management administrative standards at
every stage.
4. Apply the lessons learned by for-profit organizations in
contexts presenting extreme challenges.
5. Embed a media reporting component in the project.
Successful Project:
Probabilit
y
Very high
High
Moderately
high
Medium
Moderately
low
Low Negligib
le
Moderat
e
Moderate
ly serious
Serious Critical Catastroph
ic
Impact
Risk Mitigation
Apply Contingency
Apply Adaptive Contingency
Document problem
Does Aid Work?
Andrei Shleifer: No The Grabbing Hand
Jeffrey Sachs : Yes How Aid Can Work
Failure Rate of Projects: 31%
The Big 5:
• Project Design
• The Manager (risk, performance, communication)
• Management Model
• Stakeholder engagement
• The Creeps,
(Scope, hope, effort, feature, cost)
Stake
Holders:
• Constituents
• Local Authorities
• Host Country
• Donors
• Your Agencies
• Your staff
Franck Helmcke, Thierry Gardére, Edouard Baussan, Jean-Pierre Blanchard, F. Carl
Braun, Lyonel Dartiguenave, Adrien Castera, Bertrand Buteau, Max Chauvet
(Photo prise au Fort-Jacques, Fermathe, Haiti)
Effective Response
To Non-Compliance
Rent seeking: unilateral benefit
Profit seeking: mutual benefit
Krueger, Anne (1974). "The Political Economy of the Rent-Seeking Society". American Economic Review 64 (3): 291–303. JSTOR 1808883.
• Bond held in lieu of delivery
• Freeze of personal assets
• Revocation of US and EU visa
• Contract jurisdiction in New York
Lessons learned from
for-profits
in difficult contexts:
• Community buy-in
• Reaching out to unorthodox partners
• Thinking far out of the box
Types of Contracts:
• Fixed Price, requirements are well known
• Time and Materials, you want control over materials
• Retainer, work statement can’t yet be made
• Cost Plus, performance easily measured
Country: El Salvador Haiti
GDP per capita $7,700 (2012 est.) $1,300 (2012 est.)
Population 6,108,590 (July 2013 est.) 9,801,664 (July 2012 est.)
Kilometers of paved roads 2,827 km (includes 327 km
of expressways)
1,011
No expressways
Project: Highway improvement
Status: Successful Failed
Financing: MCC Compact World Bank
Total appraised
cost $M:
USD$ $29, 944,625.60 USD$ 14.000.000
Kilometers of 2-lane paved
road
138 kilometers 104 kilometers
Connecting cities Metapán - Anamoró Port au Prince-
Cap-Haïtien
Dates: November 2006-
October 2012
1990 - 2012
Contractors: MECO S.A. (Costa Rica) OAS Constructora (Brazil)
Centre Nacional des Equipements
(Haiti)
Companies bidding: Astaldi
Eterna
Topsal
Santa Fe
Gaskapital
Ingeniería Estrella (DR)
Vorbe et Fils (Haiti)
Side roads 500 kilometers of gravel feeder roads 1000 kilometers of gravel feeder roads
Bridge work 200 meter bridge built Repair 57 small bridges
Status at scheduled closing
date:
Satisfactorily completed Less than 20% delivered,
work abandoned and not resumed
amid lawsuits
I. Project Scope Management:
Highways, Haiti: FAILED El Salvador: DELIVERED
Level: 1 2 3 4 5
Requirements
Definition
Statement of
purpose
Process to
identify
requirements
Stakeholders
involved in
requirements
Functions
fully
documented
Incorporates
quality
improvement
Deliverable
Identification
Names of
deliverables
Customer &
management
identify deliv.
Detailed
description
of deliverable
Consistent
template for
all projects
Improvement
in process
Scope
Definition
Ad hoc, no
standards
Defined
scope
statement
Assumptions
& constraints
clear
Documented
& monitored
Project
experience
data used
WBS Basic work
components
Third level
template
Jointly
identify all
tasks
Inter-project
dependencies
documented
Regularly
monitored
Scope
Change
Control
Ad hoc
communi-
cation
Documented
change
process
Baselines
established &
managed
Integrated
with organ’s
systems
Lessons
learned
17
- “Project Management Maturity Model,” Crawford, 2002
II. Project Integration:
Highways, Haiti: FAILED El Salvador: DELIVERED
Level: 1 2 3 4 5
Project Plan
Development
Ad hoc Documented
process
Risk, cost,
schedule,
quality, HR
Integrated w/
organization’s
strategic plan
Improvement
process in
place
Project Plan
Execution
Informal,
verbal
direction
Summary
level metrics
Detail level
metrics,
templates
Variance &
performance
analysis
Lessons
learned
Change
Control
Ad hoc,
without PM
awareness
Scope only
changes
identified
Scope, cost,
schedule
identified
Integrated w/
control, risk
management
Changes are
in efficiency
metrics
Project
Information
System
None Simple PM
information
system
Standardized
system for all
projects
Automated
system
Continuous
improvement
of data & sys.
Project Office Informal, no
standards or
training
Established,
training
available
PM methods,
PM training
mandatory
Best practice,
PM training
for all team
Cost-tracking
support, EV,
PMP training
18
III. Project Quality Management:
Highways, Haiti: FAILED El Salvador: DELIVERED
Level: 1 2 3 4 5
Quality
Planning
High-level
plans, ad hoc
Metrics of
reviews, tests
Quality
milestones,
checklists
Product
environment
included
Process
critiqued
during project
Quality
Assurance
No
established
practices
Walkthroughs
peer reviews
QA checklists
standard
Walkthroughs
with other
project teams
Feedback on
processes
Quality
Control
No
established
practices
Guidelines for
testing (unit,
integration)
Standards for
testing, client
involvement
Performance
standards in
place
Decisions on
usability and
fit of product
Management
Oversight
Management
involvement
limited
Mgt assigns
PM, receives
reports
Institution
has standard
PM practices
Integrated w/
corporate
processes
Active role in
management
19
- “Project Management Maturity Model,” Crawford, 2002
Project Cost Management:
Highways, Haiti: FAILED El Salvador: DELIVERED
Level: 1 2 3 4 5
Resource
Planning
Individuals
identify
resource req.
Resource
listing defined
Project office
resource
repository
Integrated w/
project office
& HR
Improve
resource
priorities
Cost
Estimating
Scope
statement; ad
hoc estimates
Top WBS,
cost-estimate
template
Cost analysis
of alternatives
Integrated w/
finance, acct,
risk mgt
Improve
forecasting
vs. estimates
Cost
Budgeting
No
established
practice
Baselining
process not
org standard
Time phased
estimates,
baselines
Integrated w/
finance, acct,
risk mgt
Baseline
lessons
learned
Performance
Management
Informal, ad
hoc
Summary
level tracking
Earned value,
corporate
financials
Performance
indices
Measure
efficiency &
effectiveness
Cost Control Non-standard
tracking
Periodic cost
reports
Variance
analysis, est
to complete
Cost reports
integrated w/
tech reports
Cost
assessments,
lessons learn
20
- “Project Management Maturity Model,” Crawford, 2002
Project Risk Management:
Highways, Haiti: FAILED El Salvador: DELIVERED
Level: 1 2 3 4 5
Risk
Identification
Risks not
identified
Risk
identification
process
Standards for
risk/symptom
identification
Integrated w/
cost & time
mgt, PMO
Identify org.
priority,
lessons learn
Risk
Quantification
Speculate on
impact if risks
occur
Structured
approach to
rating risks
Multiple
criteria
prioritization
Integrated w/
cost & time
mgt, finance
Improve
quantification
Risk
Response
Development
Risks
considered as
they arise
Informal
strategy for
handling risks
Contingency
plans
Integrated w/
cost & time
mgt, PMO
Tracking
project
reserves
Risk Control Day-to-day
problem
solving
Individualized
approach to
managing risk
Risks
routinely
tracked
Integrated
with control
systems
Risk assess
included in
proj execution
Risk Docu-
mentation
No historical
database
Some
historical data
Historical data
on common
risks
Interdepen-
dent risks
betw projects
Improve
collection
activity
21- “Project Management Maturity Model,” Crawford, 2002
Bridges in El Salvador
Recommendations:
1. Design the project correctly.
2. Choose the correct project management model, traditional, agile or extreme.
3. Apply project management administrative standards at every stage.
4. Apply the lessons learned by for-profit organizations in contexts presenting
extreme challenges.
5. Use modular project execution teams for extreme challenges.
6. Access, build, and use documented lessons in extreme environments.
7. Embed a media reporting component in the project.

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Why Do Aid Projects Fail?

  • 1. How to execute successful projects and rescue distressed projects with good Project Management!
  • 2. What is the Aid Industry? Massive Current Human Need: • Health • Nutrition • Housing • Livelihoods International Community Gives • Bilateral Aid • UN Organizations • NGOs • Private Foundations $ 160,000,000,000. / 2009
  • 4. Roots of Failure in Aid Projects: • Principle-Agent Problem: Organizations/Contractors • Asymmetry of Information: General Public/Aid Projects • Inappropriate Project Management Model • Poorly Trained Project Managers
  • 5. How much do we know? Solution!
  • 6. 1. Design the project correctly. 2. Choose the correct project management model, traditional, agile or extreme. 3. Apply project management administrative standards at every stage. 4. Apply the lessons learned by for-profit organizations in contexts presenting extreme challenges. 5. Embed a media reporting component in the project. Successful Project:
  • 7. Probabilit y Very high High Moderately high Medium Moderately low Low Negligib le Moderat e Moderate ly serious Serious Critical Catastroph ic Impact Risk Mitigation Apply Contingency Apply Adaptive Contingency Document problem
  • 8. Does Aid Work? Andrei Shleifer: No The Grabbing Hand Jeffrey Sachs : Yes How Aid Can Work Failure Rate of Projects: 31% The Big 5: • Project Design • The Manager (risk, performance, communication) • Management Model • Stakeholder engagement • The Creeps, (Scope, hope, effort, feature, cost)
  • 9. Stake Holders: • Constituents • Local Authorities • Host Country • Donors • Your Agencies • Your staff
  • 10. Franck Helmcke, Thierry Gardére, Edouard Baussan, Jean-Pierre Blanchard, F. Carl Braun, Lyonel Dartiguenave, Adrien Castera, Bertrand Buteau, Max Chauvet (Photo prise au Fort-Jacques, Fermathe, Haiti)
  • 11. Effective Response To Non-Compliance Rent seeking: unilateral benefit Profit seeking: mutual benefit Krueger, Anne (1974). "The Political Economy of the Rent-Seeking Society". American Economic Review 64 (3): 291–303. JSTOR 1808883. • Bond held in lieu of delivery • Freeze of personal assets • Revocation of US and EU visa • Contract jurisdiction in New York
  • 12. Lessons learned from for-profits in difficult contexts: • Community buy-in • Reaching out to unorthodox partners • Thinking far out of the box
  • 13. Types of Contracts: • Fixed Price, requirements are well known • Time and Materials, you want control over materials • Retainer, work statement can’t yet be made • Cost Plus, performance easily measured
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. Country: El Salvador Haiti GDP per capita $7,700 (2012 est.) $1,300 (2012 est.) Population 6,108,590 (July 2013 est.) 9,801,664 (July 2012 est.) Kilometers of paved roads 2,827 km (includes 327 km of expressways) 1,011 No expressways Project: Highway improvement Status: Successful Failed Financing: MCC Compact World Bank Total appraised cost $M: USD$ $29, 944,625.60 USD$ 14.000.000 Kilometers of 2-lane paved road 138 kilometers 104 kilometers Connecting cities Metapán - Anamoró Port au Prince- Cap-Haïtien Dates: November 2006- October 2012 1990 - 2012 Contractors: MECO S.A. (Costa Rica) OAS Constructora (Brazil) Centre Nacional des Equipements (Haiti) Companies bidding: Astaldi Eterna Topsal Santa Fe Gaskapital Ingeniería Estrella (DR) Vorbe et Fils (Haiti) Side roads 500 kilometers of gravel feeder roads 1000 kilometers of gravel feeder roads Bridge work 200 meter bridge built Repair 57 small bridges Status at scheduled closing date: Satisfactorily completed Less than 20% delivered, work abandoned and not resumed amid lawsuits
  • 17. I. Project Scope Management: Highways, Haiti: FAILED El Salvador: DELIVERED Level: 1 2 3 4 5 Requirements Definition Statement of purpose Process to identify requirements Stakeholders involved in requirements Functions fully documented Incorporates quality improvement Deliverable Identification Names of deliverables Customer & management identify deliv. Detailed description of deliverable Consistent template for all projects Improvement in process Scope Definition Ad hoc, no standards Defined scope statement Assumptions & constraints clear Documented & monitored Project experience data used WBS Basic work components Third level template Jointly identify all tasks Inter-project dependencies documented Regularly monitored Scope Change Control Ad hoc communi- cation Documented change process Baselines established & managed Integrated with organ’s systems Lessons learned 17 - “Project Management Maturity Model,” Crawford, 2002
  • 18. II. Project Integration: Highways, Haiti: FAILED El Salvador: DELIVERED Level: 1 2 3 4 5 Project Plan Development Ad hoc Documented process Risk, cost, schedule, quality, HR Integrated w/ organization’s strategic plan Improvement process in place Project Plan Execution Informal, verbal direction Summary level metrics Detail level metrics, templates Variance & performance analysis Lessons learned Change Control Ad hoc, without PM awareness Scope only changes identified Scope, cost, schedule identified Integrated w/ control, risk management Changes are in efficiency metrics Project Information System None Simple PM information system Standardized system for all projects Automated system Continuous improvement of data & sys. Project Office Informal, no standards or training Established, training available PM methods, PM training mandatory Best practice, PM training for all team Cost-tracking support, EV, PMP training 18
  • 19. III. Project Quality Management: Highways, Haiti: FAILED El Salvador: DELIVERED Level: 1 2 3 4 5 Quality Planning High-level plans, ad hoc Metrics of reviews, tests Quality milestones, checklists Product environment included Process critiqued during project Quality Assurance No established practices Walkthroughs peer reviews QA checklists standard Walkthroughs with other project teams Feedback on processes Quality Control No established practices Guidelines for testing (unit, integration) Standards for testing, client involvement Performance standards in place Decisions on usability and fit of product Management Oversight Management involvement limited Mgt assigns PM, receives reports Institution has standard PM practices Integrated w/ corporate processes Active role in management 19 - “Project Management Maturity Model,” Crawford, 2002
  • 20. Project Cost Management: Highways, Haiti: FAILED El Salvador: DELIVERED Level: 1 2 3 4 5 Resource Planning Individuals identify resource req. Resource listing defined Project office resource repository Integrated w/ project office & HR Improve resource priorities Cost Estimating Scope statement; ad hoc estimates Top WBS, cost-estimate template Cost analysis of alternatives Integrated w/ finance, acct, risk mgt Improve forecasting vs. estimates Cost Budgeting No established practice Baselining process not org standard Time phased estimates, baselines Integrated w/ finance, acct, risk mgt Baseline lessons learned Performance Management Informal, ad hoc Summary level tracking Earned value, corporate financials Performance indices Measure efficiency & effectiveness Cost Control Non-standard tracking Periodic cost reports Variance analysis, est to complete Cost reports integrated w/ tech reports Cost assessments, lessons learn 20 - “Project Management Maturity Model,” Crawford, 2002
  • 21. Project Risk Management: Highways, Haiti: FAILED El Salvador: DELIVERED Level: 1 2 3 4 5 Risk Identification Risks not identified Risk identification process Standards for risk/symptom identification Integrated w/ cost & time mgt, PMO Identify org. priority, lessons learn Risk Quantification Speculate on impact if risks occur Structured approach to rating risks Multiple criteria prioritization Integrated w/ cost & time mgt, finance Improve quantification Risk Response Development Risks considered as they arise Informal strategy for handling risks Contingency plans Integrated w/ cost & time mgt, PMO Tracking project reserves Risk Control Day-to-day problem solving Individualized approach to managing risk Risks routinely tracked Integrated with control systems Risk assess included in proj execution Risk Docu- mentation No historical database Some historical data Historical data on common risks Interdepen- dent risks betw projects Improve collection activity 21- “Project Management Maturity Model,” Crawford, 2002
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. Bridges in El Salvador
  • 25. Recommendations: 1. Design the project correctly. 2. Choose the correct project management model, traditional, agile or extreme. 3. Apply project management administrative standards at every stage. 4. Apply the lessons learned by for-profit organizations in contexts presenting extreme challenges. 5. Use modular project execution teams for extreme challenges. 6. Access, build, and use documented lessons in extreme environments. 7. Embed a media reporting component in the project.

Notas do Editor

  1. Aid projects often fail, and the failure may often be traced to avoidable non-application of the norms of project management.
  2. The aid industry is enormous and growing. Aid legitimately addresses the urgent needs of the world’s most vulnerable people.
  3. The term “Wicked Problem” was coined in Management Science in the 1960s to identify complex problems that persistently defy solution. Millions of people in the developing world persistently suffer from a lack of basic nutrition, health, housing, education, and livelihood. In many contexts aid has had little, or disappointing impact.
  4. The failure of individual aid projects is often easy to identify.
  5. Pre-project planning is often insufficient. Current and historic information must regarding the many facets of a problem, and the many possible solutions must be at the heart of the project’s design.
  6. Projects that do succeed do so through proper management.
  7. Risk mitigation plan. Implementation contexts with established records of widespread failure (Haiti, Africa, others) require robust contingency plans for the full range obstacles. These include natural disasters, armed conflict, regime change, major theft, the failure of local staff, and banking non-compliance. Adaptive contingencies should be ready in every case.
  8. Shleifer, Harvard economist: The Grabbing Hand Sachs, Columbia economist author: How Aid Can Work There are well respected academics on both sides of this debate. In both cases the roots of failure are easy to identify.
  9. All the stakeholders should be on board. Any one of the major stakeholders can break the chain of successful project delivery.
  10. Reach out to unorthodox partners. The Haitian elite were labeled “morally repugnant” by the Clinton administration, and not successfully engaged in relief efforts. In nations where power lies with individuals rather than institutions, those individuals must be successfully engaged. This has been a major failing with aid projects in Haiti, and across the developing world.
  11. Strategies to mitigate non-compliance at the highest levels of the host country should be firmly in place.
  12. Nigeria, Iraq, Afghanistan Local sports league Local militias, tribal chiefs, RESPONSIBLE BOP, Jaime Anderson, Martin Kupp, Sandra Vanderwereme Micro scale generators, individual franchisees
  13. Poorly drafted contracts a common source of failure.
  14. Comparative highway projects in Haiti and El Salvador. The contexts are extremely different. Historic data reveals a greater rate of failure in Haiti.
  15. El Salvador has higher social indicators and greater regional integration.
  16. Comparative analysis of 2 similar highway projects.
  17. Yellow represents Haiti, Green represents El Salvador
  18. Project integration in the case of Haiti was poor.
  19. Project management in the case of Haiti was severely deficient.
  20. Inadequate cost management in the case of Haiti resulted in unaccounted for funds.
  21. Improper risk management in the case of Haiti paralyzed implementation in the early stages.
  22. Bridge needing repair near Port-au-Prince.
  23. Bridge needing repair in Port-au-Prince.
  24. El Salvador bridge damaged by natural disaster.
  25. Constituents can be better served, millions of aid dollars can be better invested, and the overall success rate of aid projects can be greatly improved through applying the latest practices of project management.