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Web 2.0: Threat or Menace?

                                               Ed Gottsman
                                               Accenture Technology Labs
Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only
Web 2.0 is Fundamentally About Collaboration

• Innovation and the Grapevine
• Social Networking
• Inferring Social Networks
• Google Docs
• Wikis
• Blogs
• Twitter
• Crowd-Sourcing




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   2
Innovation Grapevine




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   3
Innovation Grapevine: Idea Flow


                 The Seed                      The Vine   The Wine




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only                         4
Innovation Grapevine: Take 1

• 140 participants at a major bank
• Email-based
• >50 distinct ideas
• Strategic changes




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   5
The Innovation Grapevine (Take 1) Won’t Scale

• Imagine 10,000 participants
• Email breaks down
• People are missed
• Ideas are lost
• And who‟s going to rate them all?




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only    6
The Innovation Grapevine (Take 2): Value Proposition

•     Allows organizations to leverage their workforce en
      masse to:
      – Generate a large number of diverse new ideas
      – Evaluate and prioritize those ideas
      – Surface a short list of actionable ideas
•     Increase idea quality
•     Reduce idea cost
•     Engage employees
•     Now in production!




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only                7
Innovation Grapevine: Beta




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   8
Social Networking




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   9
Some Facebook Measurements

• >50 million active users
• 200,000 new users each day
• 15 billion page views per month
• More photos than flickr
• More invitations than evite




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   10
What Facebook Wants

• Name
• eMail
• Birthday
• Hometown
• Country
• Political Views
• Religious Views
• Relationships (M, F, “Interested in:”)
• Education
• Etc.


Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   11
Advertising

• Yes, and it‟s targeted
• Even unto network targeting




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   12
Now an Application Platform

• „000s
• Mostly games, utilities and “Just for Fun”
• Explosion of BASIC programs in the 1970s
• StumbleUpon, del.icio.us
• Google Search, News, Translate, Calendar
• Ads
• VC money is coming in
• What would “serious” apps look like?




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   13
“Social networking is just a bunch of spectacularly
      shallow connections between people who don‟t really
        know each other and never will. It won‟t amount to
                            anything.”

                                               -- Ed Gottsman, 2005




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only                          14
Ties

• Strong ties = kin, friends
   –Large knowledge/experience overlap
   –Excellent communication

• Weak ties = distant acquaintances
   –Little is shared and communication is awkward but…
   –Higher likelihood of new knowledge/solutions
   –Better customer prospects and…
   –Better job prospects

• They‟re young, but their rolodex is bigger than yours
• And they‟re maintaining it!
Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only              15
KEVIN: Six Degrees of Kevin Bacon




                       KEVIN Elicits Various Intermediate Names

Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only                      16
Intermediaries & Targets

• A target is found (somehow)
• Reaching out directly may work
• But a trusted intermediary improves the odds…
• …if you can find one




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only      17
Connecting: The Desperate Attempt

  Dear Janice,
  ¿Que pasa?! You don‟t know me but I think you should
  drop everything and help me pursue my opportunity!
  What you need to do is…
  Sincerely,
  John Smith




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only             18
Connecting: The Intermediary

  Dear Janice,
  I hope things are well with you. I‟d like to introduce John
  Smith, who has an exciting opportunity that I hope you
  can help him pursue…
  Sincerely,
  Simon Jones




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only                    19
The Challenge

• What if you had Facebook…and nobody came?




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   20
Finding Intermediaries

• Telephone traffic
• Email traffic
• HR data
• Intranet data
• Client accounts




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   21
Considerations

• Sam  Pat  Kim  Kelly  Adrian
• How connected is the network?
• In particular, are there enough high-precision links?
• What about privacy?




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only              22
Google Docs


Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   23
Docs




                    Text, spreadsheets, presentations
                    Extremely shared editing environment
                    Very easy to set up, use
                    Increasingly used by enterprises…inappropriately




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only                           24
Wikis


Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only           25
Wikis

• Shared composition and editing environments
• Check-out, check-in
• Roll back, roll forward
• Parallel discussion areas
• “How‟s it going?”




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only    26
Wikipedia (Of Course)

• 1.9 million articles
• vs. 65,000 for the Britannica
• Accuracy: possibly good
• As many as 40 people per article
• “Edit wars”
• 5% of visitors contribute
• However: There are only 17,000 regular contributors
• That‟s 0.005% of Internet users




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only            27
Accenture Delivery Architectures

• Architecture documentation
• 50 people
• 9 months
• 1,500 pages
• Committer structure
• Day jobs




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   28
A Few Tentative Lessons

• The perils of politeness
• “Wikipedia envy” (0.005%)
• Incentives
• Credit assignment
• Proliferation
• Living process vs. final product




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   29
Blogs


Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only           30
Blogs

• Chronologically-ordered online journals
• Posts + replies
• A continuing, persistent conversation (when it works)
• A channel qualitatively different from email




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only              31
Blogs and Customer Service

• 25,000 sites are dedicated to customer service
• One new customer service blog is created each day
• Get out in front: host blog(s) for your company




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only          32
A Few Tentative Lessons

• An individual blog is a lot of work
• Multi-author blogs are better
• Group blogs are better still
• Generating visitor traffic is hard
• Who uses RSS? Anybody?
• Knowledge management benefits (unlike e-mail)




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only      33
Twitter




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   34
Twitter

• Micro-blogging
• Transient thoughts
• Subscribing to a Twitter Stream
• Available on your phone (send and receive)
• Marketing
• Maintaining relationships on the cheep(!)
• The hive mind




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   35
Crowd-Sourcing


Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   36
Crowd-Sourcing




                     Extra
                     Tasty




Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only   37
Questions


Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only     38

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2008 03 crt-web 2.0

  • 1. Web 2.0: Threat or Menace? Ed Gottsman Accenture Technology Labs Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only
  • 2. Web 2.0 is Fundamentally About Collaboration • Innovation and the Grapevine • Social Networking • Inferring Social Networks • Google Docs • Wikis • Blogs • Twitter • Crowd-Sourcing Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 2
  • 3. Innovation Grapevine Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 3
  • 4. Innovation Grapevine: Idea Flow The Seed The Vine The Wine Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 4
  • 5. Innovation Grapevine: Take 1 • 140 participants at a major bank • Email-based • >50 distinct ideas • Strategic changes Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 5
  • 6. The Innovation Grapevine (Take 1) Won’t Scale • Imagine 10,000 participants • Email breaks down • People are missed • Ideas are lost • And who‟s going to rate them all? Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 6
  • 7. The Innovation Grapevine (Take 2): Value Proposition • Allows organizations to leverage their workforce en masse to: – Generate a large number of diverse new ideas – Evaluate and prioritize those ideas – Surface a short list of actionable ideas • Increase idea quality • Reduce idea cost • Engage employees • Now in production! Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 7
  • 8. Innovation Grapevine: Beta Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 8
  • 9. Social Networking Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 9
  • 10. Some Facebook Measurements • >50 million active users • 200,000 new users each day • 15 billion page views per month • More photos than flickr • More invitations than evite Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 10
  • 11. What Facebook Wants • Name • eMail • Birthday • Hometown • Country • Political Views • Religious Views • Relationships (M, F, “Interested in:”) • Education • Etc. Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 11
  • 12. Advertising • Yes, and it‟s targeted • Even unto network targeting Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 12
  • 13. Now an Application Platform • „000s • Mostly games, utilities and “Just for Fun” • Explosion of BASIC programs in the 1970s • StumbleUpon, del.icio.us • Google Search, News, Translate, Calendar • Ads • VC money is coming in • What would “serious” apps look like? Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 13
  • 14. “Social networking is just a bunch of spectacularly shallow connections between people who don‟t really know each other and never will. It won‟t amount to anything.” -- Ed Gottsman, 2005 Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 14
  • 15. Ties • Strong ties = kin, friends –Large knowledge/experience overlap –Excellent communication • Weak ties = distant acquaintances –Little is shared and communication is awkward but… –Higher likelihood of new knowledge/solutions –Better customer prospects and… –Better job prospects • They‟re young, but their rolodex is bigger than yours • And they‟re maintaining it! Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 15
  • 16. KEVIN: Six Degrees of Kevin Bacon KEVIN Elicits Various Intermediate Names Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 16
  • 17. Intermediaries & Targets • A target is found (somehow) • Reaching out directly may work • But a trusted intermediary improves the odds… • …if you can find one Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 17
  • 18. Connecting: The Desperate Attempt Dear Janice, ¿Que pasa?! You don‟t know me but I think you should drop everything and help me pursue my opportunity! What you need to do is… Sincerely, John Smith Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 18
  • 19. Connecting: The Intermediary Dear Janice, I hope things are well with you. I‟d like to introduce John Smith, who has an exciting opportunity that I hope you can help him pursue… Sincerely, Simon Jones Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 19
  • 20. The Challenge • What if you had Facebook…and nobody came? Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 20
  • 21. Finding Intermediaries • Telephone traffic • Email traffic • HR data • Intranet data • Client accounts Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 21
  • 22. Considerations • Sam  Pat  Kim  Kelly  Adrian • How connected is the network? • In particular, are there enough high-precision links? • What about privacy? Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 22
  • 23. Google Docs Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 23
  • 24. Docs Text, spreadsheets, presentations Extremely shared editing environment Very easy to set up, use Increasingly used by enterprises…inappropriately Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 24
  • 25. Wikis Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 25
  • 26. Wikis • Shared composition and editing environments • Check-out, check-in • Roll back, roll forward • Parallel discussion areas • “How‟s it going?” Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 26
  • 27. Wikipedia (Of Course) • 1.9 million articles • vs. 65,000 for the Britannica • Accuracy: possibly good • As many as 40 people per article • “Edit wars” • 5% of visitors contribute • However: There are only 17,000 regular contributors • That‟s 0.005% of Internet users Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 27
  • 28. Accenture Delivery Architectures • Architecture documentation • 50 people • 9 months • 1,500 pages • Committer structure • Day jobs Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 28
  • 29. A Few Tentative Lessons • The perils of politeness • “Wikipedia envy” (0.005%) • Incentives • Credit assignment • Proliferation • Living process vs. final product Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 29
  • 30. Blogs Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 30
  • 31. Blogs • Chronologically-ordered online journals • Posts + replies • A continuing, persistent conversation (when it works) • A channel qualitatively different from email Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 31
  • 32. Blogs and Customer Service • 25,000 sites are dedicated to customer service • One new customer service blog is created each day • Get out in front: host blog(s) for your company Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 32
  • 33. A Few Tentative Lessons • An individual blog is a lot of work • Multi-author blogs are better • Group blogs are better still • Generating visitor traffic is hard • Who uses RSS? Anybody? • Knowledge management benefits (unlike e-mail) Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 33
  • 34. Twitter Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 34
  • 35. Twitter • Micro-blogging • Transient thoughts • Subscribing to a Twitter Stream • Available on your phone (send and receive) • Marketing • Maintaining relationships on the cheep(!) • The hive mind Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 35
  • 36. Crowd-Sourcing Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 36
  • 37. Crowd-Sourcing Extra Tasty Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 37
  • 38. Questions Copyright © 2007 Accenture Internal Use Only 38