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The SXSW PanelPicker: Can It Predict the Future? ● March 15, 2011
Welcome to the Future…
PanelPicker
  •   Overview and History

UT McCombs MBA Project
  •   Project Overview
  •   Startup Success and SXSW Advice
  •   2011 PanelPicker Data Analysis

Takeaways
  •   Predicting the Future
  •   PanelPicker Opportunities
PanelPicker For Dummies



 Discover             Submit Your
Interactive            Own Panel
  Trends
PanelPicker For Dummies


                      Share


VOTE!!!




                   Connect
PanelPicker Quick Facts

8,000 Ideas
       105,000 Registered Users

87,000 Comments

        405,000 Votes
                            * Since 2008
PanelPicker Submissions

         Submissions
  2008       737
  2009      1,385
  2010      2,373
  2011      2,563
PanelPicker 2008




     PanelPicker Submission Description Data
PanelPicker 2009




     PanelPicker Submission Description Data
PanelPicker 2010




     PanelPicker Submission Description Data
PanelPicker 2011




     PanelPicker Submission Description Data
McCombs MBA Project
Original Project
Provided with qualitative (user generated content)
PanelPicker data for the years 2011 and 2010

Initial assessment of data based on two tiers of
metadata:
      • Interactive Categories
      • User-defined tags

Manual mapping by project team members into a
new metadata “classification” model using panel
submission variables

Analysis and Conclusions
Interactive Landscape
           PanelPicker - Description Data




2008         2009               2010        2011


 ?            ?                  ?           ?
             Startups – Success Stories
Startups in 2008




            Bebo      BitTorrent
            Meebo     Slide
            Dropbox   Admob
            Hulu      Loopt
Startups in 2009




            Fourquare   Clicker
            Bump        Yammer
            Zynga       Justin.tv
            Ngmoco      Glyde
Startups in 2010




            GroupMe     Qwiki
            Chomp       Flipboard
            Hashable    Beluga
            Instagram   Quora
Interactive Landscape
            PanelPicker - Description Data

Web         Social Web        Social Media   Social Media




2008          2009               2010           2011


                                                 ?
Users         Mobile          Web / People    ?????????


              Startups – Success Stories
“Expert” SXSW Advice




         GigaOM       Business Insider
         TechCrunch   Both Side of the Table
         Mashable     Quora
2011 PanelPicker Analysis
250                                                                                                                                     10,000

                                                                                                                                        9,000
                                         Number of
                                         Submissions
200                                                                                                                                     8,000

                                                                                                                                        7,000

150                                                                                                                                     6,000
                                                            Number of
                                                              Votes                                                                     5,000

100                                                                                                                                     4,000
                      Entrepreneurship




                                                                                                                                        3,000
       Social Media




                                                                                                 Innovation/
                                                                                                 Technology
 50                                                                                                                                     2,000



                                                                                                               Healthcare
                                                                                     Workplace




                                                                                                                            Marketing
                                                                         User Exp/
                                                                         Usability
                                                              Branding




                                                                                      Career/
                                                   Mobile
                                          Design




                                                                                                                                        1,000

  0                                                                                                                                     0
Social Media
30
                                       Takeaways:
                                       • Marketing supersedes Social Networks
25                                     • Community is key trend in Social Media



20


15


10


 5


 0
     Marketing   Social Network   Branding    Communities       Social Affairs
Entrepreneurship
30
                                      Takeaways:
                                      • Move from Innovation to Monetization
25                                    • Career/workplace indicative of times



20


15


10


 5


 0
      Biz Model/     Career/    Self-help     Innovation/       Marketing
     Monetization   Workplace                 Technology
Design
25
                                       Takeaways:
                                       • Move from platform content focus to
                                         experiences and ease of product use
20



15



10



 5



 0
     User Exp/   Development/   Innovation/   Communication/       Content
     Usability   Programming    Technology     Collaboration
Mobile
35
                             Takeaways:
                             • There’s an “app” for that
30                           • Mobile becoming the content hub
                             • Geo location moving down in relevance

25


20


15


10


 5


 0
     Apps   Content   Development/   Geo Location     Innovation/
                      Programming                     Technology
Branding
35
                                      Takeaways:
                                      • Less reliance on look and feel (design)
30                                      and more on channel of communication


25


20


15


10


 5


 0
     Marketing   Advertising   Social Media       Design       Social Network
Predicting the Future?

Submissions in 2011 aligned
                               Industry
to interactive community
                              Indicator
preferences


Trends vs. actual data from
2008 through 2011 not          Future
correlated, but time lag      Indicator
identifies emerging trends
PanelPicker Opportunities
 Automation
 Content / Videos
 “Springboard” Effect
 Integration with Music and Film
 Case Studies
 Whitepapers
 What do you think?
VS.




       Thank you!
The SXSW PanelPicker: Can It Predict the Future? ● March 15, 2011

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SXSW PanelPicker Panel Presentation - 3.15.11

  • 1. VS. The SXSW PanelPicker: Can It Predict the Future? ● March 15, 2011
  • 2. Welcome to the Future… PanelPicker • Overview and History UT McCombs MBA Project • Project Overview • Startup Success and SXSW Advice • 2011 PanelPicker Data Analysis Takeaways • Predicting the Future • PanelPicker Opportunities
  • 3. PanelPicker For Dummies Discover Submit Your Interactive Own Panel Trends
  • 4. PanelPicker For Dummies Share VOTE!!! Connect
  • 5. PanelPicker Quick Facts 8,000 Ideas 105,000 Registered Users 87,000 Comments 405,000 Votes * Since 2008
  • 6. PanelPicker Submissions Submissions 2008 737 2009 1,385 2010 2,373 2011 2,563
  • 7. PanelPicker 2008 PanelPicker Submission Description Data
  • 8. PanelPicker 2009 PanelPicker Submission Description Data
  • 9. PanelPicker 2010 PanelPicker Submission Description Data
  • 10. PanelPicker 2011 PanelPicker Submission Description Data
  • 12. Original Project Provided with qualitative (user generated content) PanelPicker data for the years 2011 and 2010 Initial assessment of data based on two tiers of metadata: • Interactive Categories • User-defined tags Manual mapping by project team members into a new metadata “classification” model using panel submission variables Analysis and Conclusions
  • 13. Interactive Landscape PanelPicker - Description Data 2008 2009 2010 2011 ? ? ? ? Startups – Success Stories
  • 14. Startups in 2008 Bebo BitTorrent Meebo Slide Dropbox Admob Hulu Loopt
  • 15. Startups in 2009 Fourquare Clicker Bump Yammer Zynga Justin.tv Ngmoco Glyde
  • 16. Startups in 2010 GroupMe Qwiki Chomp Flipboard Hashable Beluga Instagram Quora
  • 17. Interactive Landscape PanelPicker - Description Data Web Social Web Social Media Social Media 2008 2009 2010 2011 ? Users Mobile Web / People ????????? Startups – Success Stories
  • 18. “Expert” SXSW Advice GigaOM Business Insider TechCrunch Both Side of the Table Mashable Quora
  • 19. 2011 PanelPicker Analysis 250 10,000 9,000 Number of Submissions 200 8,000 7,000 150 6,000 Number of Votes 5,000 100 4,000 Entrepreneurship 3,000 Social Media Innovation/ Technology 50 2,000 Healthcare Workplace Marketing User Exp/ Usability Branding Career/ Mobile Design 1,000 0 0
  • 20. Social Media 30 Takeaways: • Marketing supersedes Social Networks 25 • Community is key trend in Social Media 20 15 10 5 0 Marketing Social Network Branding Communities Social Affairs
  • 21. Entrepreneurship 30 Takeaways: • Move from Innovation to Monetization 25 • Career/workplace indicative of times 20 15 10 5 0 Biz Model/ Career/ Self-help Innovation/ Marketing Monetization Workplace Technology
  • 22. Design 25 Takeaways: • Move from platform content focus to experiences and ease of product use 20 15 10 5 0 User Exp/ Development/ Innovation/ Communication/ Content Usability Programming Technology Collaboration
  • 23. Mobile 35 Takeaways: • There’s an “app” for that 30 • Mobile becoming the content hub • Geo location moving down in relevance 25 20 15 10 5 0 Apps Content Development/ Geo Location Innovation/ Programming Technology
  • 24. Branding 35 Takeaways: • Less reliance on look and feel (design) 30 and more on channel of communication 25 20 15 10 5 0 Marketing Advertising Social Media Design Social Network
  • 25. Predicting the Future? Submissions in 2011 aligned Industry to interactive community Indicator preferences Trends vs. actual data from 2008 through 2011 not Future correlated, but time lag Indicator identifies emerging trends
  • 26. PanelPicker Opportunities Automation Content / Videos “Springboard” Effect Integration with Music and Film Case Studies Whitepapers What do you think?
  • 27. VS. Thank you! The SXSW PanelPicker: Can It Predict the Future? ● March 15, 2011