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Saving Money:
Research Insights

https://learn.extension.org/events/1442
Barbara O’Neill, Ph.D., CFP®, AFC, CHC
Rutgers University
oneill@aesop.rutgers.edu
America Saves Sound Bite
Did You Ever Wonder…
Does Research Support
The Three Keys to Saving?
Research Study Topics
• Savings behaviors of Americans
• Characteristics of successful savers
• Resources for saving money
• Barriers to saving money
Mix of government, non-profit, and academic studies
Research About
Savings Behaviors
Savings Behavior
• 6th Annual Savings Survey
(national) by CFA & ASEC (2013):
http://www.consumerfed.org/news/644

• 54% of Americans “have a savings
plan with specific goals”

• 43% have a spending plan that
allows them to save for goals
• 50% of pre-retirees save for
retirement at work
• 41% preauthorize transfers from
checking to savings or investments
• 49% know their net worth
• 65% have sufficient emergency
savings

Implications
• Provide tools for financial goalsetting and net worth and
spending plans
•

http://njaes.rutgers.edu/money/pdfs/goalse
ttingworksheet.pdf

•

http://njaes.rutgers.edu/money/pdfs/networ
thcalcworksheet.pdf

•

http://njaes.rutgers.edu/money/pdfs/fs421w
orksheet.pdf

• Provide tools to sign up for
employer savings plan at financial
seminars and benefit fairs
Savings Behavior
Implications
• 5th Annual Savings Survey
(national) by CFA & ASEC (2012): • Provide planning tools and
http://americasavesweek.org/image
encourage future-mindedness
s/asw2012pr.pdf
– http://www.americasavesweek.org/forindividuals/picture-your-savings-goal

• 2/3 of Americans spend < their
• Provide successful savings role
income and save the difference and
models…people with “street cred”
have adequate emergency funds
• Having a savings plan with specific
goals can have beneficial financial
effects, even for lower-income
families (< $25,000)
• Those with a savings plan are
much more likely to spend <
income and save (85% of all 1,007
respondents vs 44%)
Savings Behavior
• 2013 Retirement Confidence
Survey (EBRI): 57% of U.S.
workers have < $25,000 in total
savings including 28% that have <
$1,000 (excluding a primary
residence and DB pension plan)

• Only 12% have saved $250,000 +
• Workers who participate in a
retirement savings plan at work
(45%) are considerably more likely
than those who are offered a plan
but choose not to participate (22%)
or are not offered a plan (18%) to
have saved at least $50,000
•

http://www.ebri.org/pdf/surveys/rcs/2013/Fin
al-FS.RCS-13.FS_3.Saving.FINAL.pdf

Implications
• Stress the benefits of employer
savings plans
• Sign people up at workplace
seminars or auto-enroll them
• Fine line between educating
people and scaring them so they
say “Why bother? I’ll never be
able to save enough money”
• Example: Showing the 4%
withdrawal rule on a low sum:
$25,000 x .04 = $1,000 a year.
Savings Behavior
• Fidelity: 401(k) plan participants
save 8% of their salaries in
401(k) plans; When a typical
employer match is factored in, the
savings rate increases to 12%
• Average 401(k) at end of 2012
had $77,300
• Younger workers use Roth
401(k)s the most: 10% for
workers in their 20s vs. 6% of
workers overall
•

http://www.fidelity.com/insidefidelity/employer-services/fidelity-analysisfinds-record-high-average-401k-balance

Implications
• Teach the “Kick It Up a Notch”
behavior change strategy:
http://njaes.rutgers.edu/sshw/workbook/21
_Kick_it_Up_a_Notch.pdf

• Show people the dollar benefits of
an “extra notch”
• 1% More Calculator:
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/0
3/24/your-money/one-pct-morecalculator.html?_r=0

• Use a Monte Carlo calculator to
show how extra savings increase
the chances of retirement success
Savings Behavior
• In 2012, 11% of 401(k)
participants contributed the
maximum possible amount
(Vanguard)
– $17,500 < age 50 (2014)
– $23,000 age 50 + (2014)
• Saver’s Credits were claimed on
6.1 million tax returns in 2010 but
most people received small
benefits: $122 for individuals and
$204 for couples
•

http://money.usnews.com/money/retireme
nt/articles/2013/11/04/modest-401k-andira-changes-coming-in-2014

Implications
• Many government incentives to
save are under-utilized
• Boosting your savings rate is a
sure way to improve your
retirement prospects
• “Reference group” info like this is
good so people know how they’re
doing compared to others
Characteristics of
Successful Savers
• Okech et al. (U of Georgia): Paying
rent with cash, using VITA to
prepare taxes, and witnessing
parents save money in financial
institutions were positively
associated with likelihood of having
a motivation to save:

Implications
• Encourage parents to model good
financial management practices for
children

• Foster deliberate parent-child
interaction about savings; use
normal events as “teachable
• http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/
moments”
10.1080/15588742.2013.766917#.U
uARJ00o6M8
• Coordinate savings outreach
programs with tax preparation
outreach
Characteristics of
Successful Savers
• When kids have even a small
savings account in their name, it
increases the chance that they
will persevere and do what it
takes to graduate from college

• Those who have an account are
about seven times more likely to
attend college than youth without
savings
• The correlation between savings
and college graduation is
particularly strong among young
adults in families earning < $50k
•

http://www.newamerica.net/node/69416

•

http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s1
0834-012-9341-0#page-1

Implications
• Even modest savings can be
empowering and has aspirational
effects: gives people a sense that
they have control over their destiny
• Having money saved for college
reinforces the message to go to
college and work hard for good
grades
• Encourage youth savings and stress
the psychological benefits
Characteristics of
Successful Savers
• Fisher & Anong (2012): 2007 SCF
data: 46% saved regularly, 32%
irregularly, 22% did not save

Implications
• Motives are strong predictors of
disciplined saving

• Precautionary and retirement
• Emphasize the importance of
motives, long-term planning
identifying goals to encourage a
horizon, and higher income
regular habit of discretionary saving
increased likelihood of saving
and automated saving
regularly or irregularly vs. no saving
• Households in all income groups
can be regular savers
• Retirement motive separated
regular savers from irregular
savers: 1.5 times more likely
http://www.afcpe.org/assets/pdf/v23_j4.pdf

• Stress saving small amounts over
long time horizons which makes
goal attainment more feasible
Characteristics of
Successful Savers
•

•

•

Grinstead et al. (2011) study of IDA
program participants in American
Dream Demonstration

Implications

• Learning needs vary. If resources
allow, financial education should
About 4 of 5 low-income working
be tailored and individualized (e.g.,
families are “asset poor” with < 3
financial coaching)
months expenses at the federal poverty
level to survive a financial crisis
• Peer financial counseling is a lowcost option to savings coaches
Hours of participation in financial
education program, higher matched
•
cap, prior use of a savings account, and
greater educational attainment were
•
associated with greater likelihood of
savings and saving goal achievement

http://www.afcpe.org/assets/pdf/vol_22_issue_2
_grinstead_mauldin_sabia.pdf

High match rates and match caps
motivate people to save
Provide a link between people’s
saving goals and financial
education content
Characteristics of
Successful Savers
• Hogarth & Anguelov (2003) study
of savings by low-income
households, SCF data

Implications
• Even poor households can save
although amount is low; people at all
income levels were savers

• Ability to save was associated
with socioeconomic (e.g., income)
• Poor households could still probably
& demographic (e.g., education)
not meet short-term emergencies
characteristics, expectations (e.g.,
about future income), motivations
• Hispanics were more likely to be
(e.g., a reason to save), access to
savers than White households in
resources, & institutional
this study; not always the case
environment (e.g., credit checks
• Expectations and motivations matter
on potential depositors)
• 60% of households at or below
poverty level indicated they saved
http://www.afcpe.org/assets/pdf/vol1411.pdf

• Support policies and programs that
promote saving
Research About
Savings Barriers
and Resources
Savings Barrier:
Scarcity of Attention
• Urgent current expenses trump
saving for future priorities
• Scarcity engrosses people in
current needs
• If financially distressed: less
mental capacity to address
problems & future goals

Implications
• Automated savings
• Auto escalation (e.g., Save More
Tomorrow)
• Form 8888 for automatic tax refund
savings

• www.futureme.org (send e-mail to
• Eldar Shafir (Princeton): Why
your future self)
Having Too Little Means So Much:
http://money.cnn.com/2013/12/01/lead
•
ership/saving-money.moneymag/

Target-date lifecycle funds
Savings Barrier:
Exponential Growth Bias
• “Tendency to linearize exponential
functions when assessing them
intuitively”
– People severely underestimate
how much interest they earn on
savings or pay on credit cards
• Biased people borrow more, save
less, and favor shorter maturities
• Stango, V. and Zinman, J. (2009),
Exponential Growth Bias and
Household Finance. The Journal of
Finance, 64: 2807–2849.

Implications
• Teach The Rule of 72 so people
understand “doubling periods”

• Use hands-on activities to
illustrate the effects of compound
interest on debt and savings
– http://rci.rutgers.edu/~boneill/assignm
ents/sliderule1.html
– http://rci.rutgers.edu/~boneill/assignm
ents/sliderule2.html
Savings Resource:
Visualizing the Future
• People need to visualize the future
impact of their savings
• Many people are not good with
long-term decisions
• Hal Hershfield (NYU) et al.: people
save more money after being
shown digitally altered pictures of
themselves at older age
• http://www.marketingpower.com/ab
outama/documents/jmr_forthcomin
g/increasing_saving_behavior.pdf

Implications
• Show people what they could look
like:
– http://faceretirement.merrilledge.com/

– http://in20years.com/

•

Show people how much money
they can lose by not saving:
http://rci.rutgers.edu/~boneill/assignments/s
liderule2.html
Savings Resource: Workplace
Savings Planning Aids
• Lusardi et al. study: simplifying the
process of enrolling in employer plan
motivates employees to save
• Used flyer that broke the process
down into 7 steps and video program
• 56% increase in election behavior
within 30 days of viewing
communication programs vs.
employees not exposed to them
• Differences were sustained after 60
and 90 days
•

http://www.nefe.org/Portals/0/WhatWeProvide/
PrimaryResearch/PDF/DartmouthStudy.pdf

Implications
• Design initiatives that overcome
barriers to save
• Make “how to” information
“sticky”
• Break down financial
recommendations to save into
“baby steps”
• Develop videos that feature
actors from the target audience
being reached
Savings Resource:
Future Forecasts
• People are motivated to save by
knowing how much income they
can withdraw from 401(k) in
retirement

Implications

• Study by Gopi Shah Goda
(Stanford) et al.: Workers who
received brochure showing
increased income from increased
savings saved $1,150/year more
than those that didn’t get pamphlet

• Use retirement income calculator
tools such as
http://www.bankrate.com/calculat
ors/retirement/retirement-planincome-calculator.aspx and
http://money.cnn.com/calculator/r
etirement/retirement-need/

• http://crr.bc.edu/wpcontent/uploads/2013/04/IB_13-4508.pdf (projections help to
overcome tendency to
procrastinate)

• Lobby employers or plan
providers for personalized
retirement income projections

• Translate savings RATES into
savings INCOME
Savings Resource:
Prize Linked Savings (PLS)
• People are more likely to save
when offered the chance to win
cash or prizes
• PLS products more effective at
inducing savings than standard
interest-bearing accounts offering
the same expected return

• Controlled experiment by FilizOzbay (U of Maryland) et al.:
http://www.nber.org/papers/w19130
http://econweb.umd.edu/~ozbay/savings.pdf

Implications
• Combine features of savings and a
lottery, especially for low-income
people who spend a high % of
income on lottery tickets and view
lotteries as a form of financial
planning (not necessarily irrational)
• Resources:
http://www.savetowin.org/
http://saveyourrefund.launchrock.com/
http://www.d2dfund.org/
http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2013/06/21/promi
se-of-prizes-helps-people-save/
More About PLS Programs
• Savings account that pools some of the interest from all
depositors (or uses sponsorship funds) and pays out a big
lottery prize every month or so
• Combines the thrill of a lottery with the safety of a savings
account

• A “no-lose lottery” because depositors have a chance to win
but can’t lose their deposited savings
• In 2009, Americans spent $58 billion on lottery tickets; about
$200 per person
• In all but a few states, PLS is illegal
– Big obstacle: state-run lotteries
http://freakonomics.com/2010/11/18/freakonomics-radio-could-a-lottery-be-theanswer-to-americas-poor-savings-rate/
Savings Resource: Understanding
the Impact of Compounding
• When shown the positive effect of
long-term compounding, people
were motivated to increase their
savings

Implications

• People incorrectly assume that
savings grows linearly rather than
exponentially

• “Recency bias” of current low
interest on savings doesn’t help

• Median estimate of what account
balance would be was < 10% of
what it would be after 40 years
with a given rate of return
•

http://www.scribd.com/doc/76254607/Mis
understanding-Savings-GrowthImplications-for-RetirementSavingsBehavior

• People have a hard time
grasping the concept of
exponential growth in savings

• Need to provide hands-on
experience with savings growth
– Time Value of Money Problems:
http://rci.rutgers.edu/~boneill/present
ations/index.html
– CEE Compound Interest Calculator:
http://www.econedlink.org/interactive
s/index.php?iid=2&type=educator
Savings Resource:
Text Messages
• Karlan et al. (Yale): conducted
experiments with text messages
• Even low-income bank customers
managed to save part of their
income when nudged by regular
text messages
• “Reminders will be more effective
when they increase the salience
of a specific expenditure”
• http://karlan.yale.edu/p/Top-ofMind-April2010.pdf

Implications
• Regular “nudges” can motivate
people to save
• Text messages are an effective
motivational tool
• Reinforce the connection between
saving and specific financial goals
• Brain studies: imaging a future
goal is almost as powerful a “zing”
as achieving it (e.g., buying a car)
Other Relevant
Research Related to
Saving Money
The Power of Social Norms
• Goldsten et al, (2008) study of
social norms to change behavior;
experiment about environmental
conservation program in hotels
• Telling people “the majority of
guests reuse their towels” proved
superior to traditional appeals used
by hotels that focus solely on
environmental protection benefits
• Even more superior results for the
setting that closely matched
participants’ immediate
circumstances (“the majority of
guests in this room reuse their
towels”)
• http://www.carlsonschool.umn.edu/
assets/118359.pdf

Implications
• Provide positive financial frames of
reference such as % of employees
participating in an employer’s
retirement savings plan
• Provide relevant research findings
about financial behaviors of
Americans
• Use the “Wealth Test” from The
Millionaire Next Door: formula
based on age and income:
http://www.bauer.uh.edu/drude/Net
.Worth.Worksheet.pdf
The Marshmallow Test: Delayed
Gratification and Self-Control
Implications

• Mischel et al. study of delayed
gratification (late 1960s/early 1970s) • When people are put in situations
where they trust in a clearly
• 4-year old children offered a choice
defined long-term gain, they are
between one small reward now or 2
more likely to pursue it
rewards if they waited 15 minutes
• Willpower appears to breed longterm success in life (strategic
• Children who waited had better life
reasoning skills and trust too?)
outcomes including higher SAT
scores and scholastic performance, • Teach long-term gains of saving
less substance abuse, fewer
behavior problems, and better social • Develop learning activities that
encourage people to develop
skills and stress coping skills
willpower
http://harbaugh.uoregon.edu/Readings/UGBE/Mi
schel%201989%20Science,%20Delay%20of%20
Gratification.pdf

• Foster trust by learners
IDA Program Research
• Matched savings program for
income-eligible individuals and
families to buy a home, pay for
education, or start/expand a
business; operated by government
or non-profit agencies:
http://cfed.org/programs/idas/ida_basics/

• Often a 50 cent/$1 or $1/$1 match
• IDA programs include a financial
education component
• Effects of financial education level
off after 12 hours:
http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/wpawuwp
he/0108001.htm

• Those who successfully complete
IDA program have higher levels of
asset ownership than dropouts:
http://www.joe.org/joe/2009december/rb3.php

Implications
• Financial education has been
found to have a large effect on
savings outcomes in IDA programs
• IDA matching is a powerful
incentive to save
• Financial education should
compliment institutional structures
like IDA programs that foster
saving (“teachable moment”):
http://www.urban.org/UploadedPD
F/311224_financial_literacy.pdf
• Encourage qualified individuals to
find supportive community savings
programs
America Saves Sound Bite: Not
Just a Slogan but Saving
Strategies Informed by Research

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NJCFE-Saving Money-Research Insights-Meeting Presentation-02-21-14

  • 1. Saving Money: Research Insights https://learn.extension.org/events/1442 Barbara O’Neill, Ph.D., CFP®, AFC, CHC Rutgers University oneill@aesop.rutgers.edu
  • 3. Did You Ever Wonder… Does Research Support The Three Keys to Saving?
  • 4. Research Study Topics • Savings behaviors of Americans • Characteristics of successful savers • Resources for saving money • Barriers to saving money Mix of government, non-profit, and academic studies
  • 6. Savings Behavior • 6th Annual Savings Survey (national) by CFA & ASEC (2013): http://www.consumerfed.org/news/644 • 54% of Americans “have a savings plan with specific goals” • 43% have a spending plan that allows them to save for goals • 50% of pre-retirees save for retirement at work • 41% preauthorize transfers from checking to savings or investments • 49% know their net worth • 65% have sufficient emergency savings Implications • Provide tools for financial goalsetting and net worth and spending plans • http://njaes.rutgers.edu/money/pdfs/goalse ttingworksheet.pdf • http://njaes.rutgers.edu/money/pdfs/networ thcalcworksheet.pdf • http://njaes.rutgers.edu/money/pdfs/fs421w orksheet.pdf • Provide tools to sign up for employer savings plan at financial seminars and benefit fairs
  • 7. Savings Behavior Implications • 5th Annual Savings Survey (national) by CFA & ASEC (2012): • Provide planning tools and http://americasavesweek.org/image encourage future-mindedness s/asw2012pr.pdf – http://www.americasavesweek.org/forindividuals/picture-your-savings-goal • 2/3 of Americans spend < their • Provide successful savings role income and save the difference and models…people with “street cred” have adequate emergency funds • Having a savings plan with specific goals can have beneficial financial effects, even for lower-income families (< $25,000) • Those with a savings plan are much more likely to spend < income and save (85% of all 1,007 respondents vs 44%)
  • 8. Savings Behavior • 2013 Retirement Confidence Survey (EBRI): 57% of U.S. workers have < $25,000 in total savings including 28% that have < $1,000 (excluding a primary residence and DB pension plan) • Only 12% have saved $250,000 + • Workers who participate in a retirement savings plan at work (45%) are considerably more likely than those who are offered a plan but choose not to participate (22%) or are not offered a plan (18%) to have saved at least $50,000 • http://www.ebri.org/pdf/surveys/rcs/2013/Fin al-FS.RCS-13.FS_3.Saving.FINAL.pdf Implications • Stress the benefits of employer savings plans • Sign people up at workplace seminars or auto-enroll them • Fine line between educating people and scaring them so they say “Why bother? I’ll never be able to save enough money” • Example: Showing the 4% withdrawal rule on a low sum: $25,000 x .04 = $1,000 a year.
  • 9. Savings Behavior • Fidelity: 401(k) plan participants save 8% of their salaries in 401(k) plans; When a typical employer match is factored in, the savings rate increases to 12% • Average 401(k) at end of 2012 had $77,300 • Younger workers use Roth 401(k)s the most: 10% for workers in their 20s vs. 6% of workers overall • http://www.fidelity.com/insidefidelity/employer-services/fidelity-analysisfinds-record-high-average-401k-balance Implications • Teach the “Kick It Up a Notch” behavior change strategy: http://njaes.rutgers.edu/sshw/workbook/21 _Kick_it_Up_a_Notch.pdf • Show people the dollar benefits of an “extra notch” • 1% More Calculator: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/0 3/24/your-money/one-pct-morecalculator.html?_r=0 • Use a Monte Carlo calculator to show how extra savings increase the chances of retirement success
  • 10. Savings Behavior • In 2012, 11% of 401(k) participants contributed the maximum possible amount (Vanguard) – $17,500 < age 50 (2014) – $23,000 age 50 + (2014) • Saver’s Credits were claimed on 6.1 million tax returns in 2010 but most people received small benefits: $122 for individuals and $204 for couples • http://money.usnews.com/money/retireme nt/articles/2013/11/04/modest-401k-andira-changes-coming-in-2014 Implications • Many government incentives to save are under-utilized • Boosting your savings rate is a sure way to improve your retirement prospects • “Reference group” info like this is good so people know how they’re doing compared to others
  • 11. Characteristics of Successful Savers • Okech et al. (U of Georgia): Paying rent with cash, using VITA to prepare taxes, and witnessing parents save money in financial institutions were positively associated with likelihood of having a motivation to save: Implications • Encourage parents to model good financial management practices for children • Foster deliberate parent-child interaction about savings; use normal events as “teachable • http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/ moments” 10.1080/15588742.2013.766917#.U uARJ00o6M8 • Coordinate savings outreach programs with tax preparation outreach
  • 12. Characteristics of Successful Savers • When kids have even a small savings account in their name, it increases the chance that they will persevere and do what it takes to graduate from college • Those who have an account are about seven times more likely to attend college than youth without savings • The correlation between savings and college graduation is particularly strong among young adults in families earning < $50k • http://www.newamerica.net/node/69416 • http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s1 0834-012-9341-0#page-1 Implications • Even modest savings can be empowering and has aspirational effects: gives people a sense that they have control over their destiny • Having money saved for college reinforces the message to go to college and work hard for good grades • Encourage youth savings and stress the psychological benefits
  • 13. Characteristics of Successful Savers • Fisher & Anong (2012): 2007 SCF data: 46% saved regularly, 32% irregularly, 22% did not save Implications • Motives are strong predictors of disciplined saving • Precautionary and retirement • Emphasize the importance of motives, long-term planning identifying goals to encourage a horizon, and higher income regular habit of discretionary saving increased likelihood of saving and automated saving regularly or irregularly vs. no saving • Households in all income groups can be regular savers • Retirement motive separated regular savers from irregular savers: 1.5 times more likely http://www.afcpe.org/assets/pdf/v23_j4.pdf • Stress saving small amounts over long time horizons which makes goal attainment more feasible
  • 14. Characteristics of Successful Savers • • • Grinstead et al. (2011) study of IDA program participants in American Dream Demonstration Implications • Learning needs vary. If resources allow, financial education should About 4 of 5 low-income working be tailored and individualized (e.g., families are “asset poor” with < 3 financial coaching) months expenses at the federal poverty level to survive a financial crisis • Peer financial counseling is a lowcost option to savings coaches Hours of participation in financial education program, higher matched • cap, prior use of a savings account, and greater educational attainment were • associated with greater likelihood of savings and saving goal achievement http://www.afcpe.org/assets/pdf/vol_22_issue_2 _grinstead_mauldin_sabia.pdf High match rates and match caps motivate people to save Provide a link between people’s saving goals and financial education content
  • 15. Characteristics of Successful Savers • Hogarth & Anguelov (2003) study of savings by low-income households, SCF data Implications • Even poor households can save although amount is low; people at all income levels were savers • Ability to save was associated with socioeconomic (e.g., income) • Poor households could still probably & demographic (e.g., education) not meet short-term emergencies characteristics, expectations (e.g., about future income), motivations • Hispanics were more likely to be (e.g., a reason to save), access to savers than White households in resources, & institutional this study; not always the case environment (e.g., credit checks • Expectations and motivations matter on potential depositors) • 60% of households at or below poverty level indicated they saved http://www.afcpe.org/assets/pdf/vol1411.pdf • Support policies and programs that promote saving
  • 17. Savings Barrier: Scarcity of Attention • Urgent current expenses trump saving for future priorities • Scarcity engrosses people in current needs • If financially distressed: less mental capacity to address problems & future goals Implications • Automated savings • Auto escalation (e.g., Save More Tomorrow) • Form 8888 for automatic tax refund savings • www.futureme.org (send e-mail to • Eldar Shafir (Princeton): Why your future self) Having Too Little Means So Much: http://money.cnn.com/2013/12/01/lead • ership/saving-money.moneymag/ Target-date lifecycle funds
  • 18. Savings Barrier: Exponential Growth Bias • “Tendency to linearize exponential functions when assessing them intuitively” – People severely underestimate how much interest they earn on savings or pay on credit cards • Biased people borrow more, save less, and favor shorter maturities • Stango, V. and Zinman, J. (2009), Exponential Growth Bias and Household Finance. The Journal of Finance, 64: 2807–2849. Implications • Teach The Rule of 72 so people understand “doubling periods” • Use hands-on activities to illustrate the effects of compound interest on debt and savings – http://rci.rutgers.edu/~boneill/assignm ents/sliderule1.html – http://rci.rutgers.edu/~boneill/assignm ents/sliderule2.html
  • 19. Savings Resource: Visualizing the Future • People need to visualize the future impact of their savings • Many people are not good with long-term decisions • Hal Hershfield (NYU) et al.: people save more money after being shown digitally altered pictures of themselves at older age • http://www.marketingpower.com/ab outama/documents/jmr_forthcomin g/increasing_saving_behavior.pdf Implications • Show people what they could look like: – http://faceretirement.merrilledge.com/ – http://in20years.com/ • Show people how much money they can lose by not saving: http://rci.rutgers.edu/~boneill/assignments/s liderule2.html
  • 20. Savings Resource: Workplace Savings Planning Aids • Lusardi et al. study: simplifying the process of enrolling in employer plan motivates employees to save • Used flyer that broke the process down into 7 steps and video program • 56% increase in election behavior within 30 days of viewing communication programs vs. employees not exposed to them • Differences were sustained after 60 and 90 days • http://www.nefe.org/Portals/0/WhatWeProvide/ PrimaryResearch/PDF/DartmouthStudy.pdf Implications • Design initiatives that overcome barriers to save • Make “how to” information “sticky” • Break down financial recommendations to save into “baby steps” • Develop videos that feature actors from the target audience being reached
  • 21. Savings Resource: Future Forecasts • People are motivated to save by knowing how much income they can withdraw from 401(k) in retirement Implications • Study by Gopi Shah Goda (Stanford) et al.: Workers who received brochure showing increased income from increased savings saved $1,150/year more than those that didn’t get pamphlet • Use retirement income calculator tools such as http://www.bankrate.com/calculat ors/retirement/retirement-planincome-calculator.aspx and http://money.cnn.com/calculator/r etirement/retirement-need/ • http://crr.bc.edu/wpcontent/uploads/2013/04/IB_13-4508.pdf (projections help to overcome tendency to procrastinate) • Lobby employers or plan providers for personalized retirement income projections • Translate savings RATES into savings INCOME
  • 22. Savings Resource: Prize Linked Savings (PLS) • People are more likely to save when offered the chance to win cash or prizes • PLS products more effective at inducing savings than standard interest-bearing accounts offering the same expected return • Controlled experiment by FilizOzbay (U of Maryland) et al.: http://www.nber.org/papers/w19130 http://econweb.umd.edu/~ozbay/savings.pdf Implications • Combine features of savings and a lottery, especially for low-income people who spend a high % of income on lottery tickets and view lotteries as a form of financial planning (not necessarily irrational) • Resources: http://www.savetowin.org/ http://saveyourrefund.launchrock.com/ http://www.d2dfund.org/ http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2013/06/21/promi se-of-prizes-helps-people-save/
  • 23. More About PLS Programs • Savings account that pools some of the interest from all depositors (or uses sponsorship funds) and pays out a big lottery prize every month or so • Combines the thrill of a lottery with the safety of a savings account • A “no-lose lottery” because depositors have a chance to win but can’t lose their deposited savings • In 2009, Americans spent $58 billion on lottery tickets; about $200 per person • In all but a few states, PLS is illegal – Big obstacle: state-run lotteries http://freakonomics.com/2010/11/18/freakonomics-radio-could-a-lottery-be-theanswer-to-americas-poor-savings-rate/
  • 24. Savings Resource: Understanding the Impact of Compounding • When shown the positive effect of long-term compounding, people were motivated to increase their savings Implications • People incorrectly assume that savings grows linearly rather than exponentially • “Recency bias” of current low interest on savings doesn’t help • Median estimate of what account balance would be was < 10% of what it would be after 40 years with a given rate of return • http://www.scribd.com/doc/76254607/Mis understanding-Savings-GrowthImplications-for-RetirementSavingsBehavior • People have a hard time grasping the concept of exponential growth in savings • Need to provide hands-on experience with savings growth – Time Value of Money Problems: http://rci.rutgers.edu/~boneill/present ations/index.html – CEE Compound Interest Calculator: http://www.econedlink.org/interactive s/index.php?iid=2&type=educator
  • 25. Savings Resource: Text Messages • Karlan et al. (Yale): conducted experiments with text messages • Even low-income bank customers managed to save part of their income when nudged by regular text messages • “Reminders will be more effective when they increase the salience of a specific expenditure” • http://karlan.yale.edu/p/Top-ofMind-April2010.pdf Implications • Regular “nudges” can motivate people to save • Text messages are an effective motivational tool • Reinforce the connection between saving and specific financial goals • Brain studies: imaging a future goal is almost as powerful a “zing” as achieving it (e.g., buying a car)
  • 27. The Power of Social Norms • Goldsten et al, (2008) study of social norms to change behavior; experiment about environmental conservation program in hotels • Telling people “the majority of guests reuse their towels” proved superior to traditional appeals used by hotels that focus solely on environmental protection benefits • Even more superior results for the setting that closely matched participants’ immediate circumstances (“the majority of guests in this room reuse their towels”) • http://www.carlsonschool.umn.edu/ assets/118359.pdf Implications • Provide positive financial frames of reference such as % of employees participating in an employer’s retirement savings plan • Provide relevant research findings about financial behaviors of Americans • Use the “Wealth Test” from The Millionaire Next Door: formula based on age and income: http://www.bauer.uh.edu/drude/Net .Worth.Worksheet.pdf
  • 28. The Marshmallow Test: Delayed Gratification and Self-Control Implications • Mischel et al. study of delayed gratification (late 1960s/early 1970s) • When people are put in situations where they trust in a clearly • 4-year old children offered a choice defined long-term gain, they are between one small reward now or 2 more likely to pursue it rewards if they waited 15 minutes • Willpower appears to breed longterm success in life (strategic • Children who waited had better life reasoning skills and trust too?) outcomes including higher SAT scores and scholastic performance, • Teach long-term gains of saving less substance abuse, fewer behavior problems, and better social • Develop learning activities that encourage people to develop skills and stress coping skills willpower http://harbaugh.uoregon.edu/Readings/UGBE/Mi schel%201989%20Science,%20Delay%20of%20 Gratification.pdf • Foster trust by learners
  • 29. IDA Program Research • Matched savings program for income-eligible individuals and families to buy a home, pay for education, or start/expand a business; operated by government or non-profit agencies: http://cfed.org/programs/idas/ida_basics/ • Often a 50 cent/$1 or $1/$1 match • IDA programs include a financial education component • Effects of financial education level off after 12 hours: http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/wpawuwp he/0108001.htm • Those who successfully complete IDA program have higher levels of asset ownership than dropouts: http://www.joe.org/joe/2009december/rb3.php Implications • Financial education has been found to have a large effect on savings outcomes in IDA programs • IDA matching is a powerful incentive to save • Financial education should compliment institutional structures like IDA programs that foster saving (“teachable moment”): http://www.urban.org/UploadedPD F/311224_financial_literacy.pdf • Encourage qualified individuals to find supportive community savings programs
  • 30. America Saves Sound Bite: Not Just a Slogan but Saving Strategies Informed by Research