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Remarks for
          Michigan Energy Forum
             April 5, 2012 Ann Arbor




              Dr. Donald H. Williams
      Chemistry Professor Emeriti Hope College
(accustomed to 3 credit courses in 14 week semesters)
My Background & Approach
• Chemist @ start up of Shippingport Atomic
  Power Station (Pittsburgh)
• Six Years w US D.O.E.’s Office of Civilian
  Radioactive Waste Management (SNL HLW)
• Chair MI Committee to find a home for MI’s Low
  Level Radwaste (to maybe change state law)
• Off & on spokesperson for Nuclear Energy
  Institute
• Here to serve your needs and interests
• Generally “pro” nuclear power but aware….

                                  MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
Okay, my opinions show! Sorry.




                                 MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
E.I.A. 2010
                  E.I.A.
                  2010




Wikipeida   MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
Top-10 annual energy-related CO2 emitters for the year 2009[81]
                            % of global total       Tonnes of GHG
         Country
                            annual emissions          per capita
People's Rep. of China             23.6                    5.13
United States                      17.9                    16.9
India                               5.5                    1.37
Russian Federation                  5.3                    10.8
Japan                               3.8                     8.6
Germany                             2.6                     9.2
Islamic Rep. of Iran                1.8                     7.3
Canada                              1.8                    15.4
Korea                               1.8                    10.6
United Kingdom                      1.6                     7.5
                                          I.E.A. 2011 for MEF AA 4/5/12
Comparison of Life-Cycle Emissions
 Tons of Carbon Dioxide Equivalent per Gigawatt-
1,041
                      Hour
         Source: "Life-Cycle Assessment of Electricity Generation Systems and Applications
         for Climate Change Policy Analysis," Paul J. Meier, University of
                                                  Wisconsin-Madison, August 2002.


          622




                       46        39         18          17          15         14


Coal   Natural Gas   Biomass   Solar PV    Hydro      Nuclear    Geothermal   Wind

           Added note: Concrete…
                                                                MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
Total Energy Consumption USA 2010




                                MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
Worldwide Nuclear Perspective

• About 13% of the world’s electricity is nuclear
  produced. (This is ~5% of total energy…..)
  (Presentation & vocabulary …)
• There are 435 plants operating world wide 108
  more under construction or planned
• France: largest %-age nuclear USA: most
  plants (104, 5 under construction 5 ? planned)
• ~ 80% of the plants are more than 25 years old
• Science notes: fissile material one natural
  source U235 (dilute) and one man-made Pu


                                     MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
Nuclear Worldwide




                    9/9/09 DHWms
Nuclear Power Plants in USA

~20% of US
electricity is
nuclear, (45% is
coal, 23% natural
gas = both GHG
emitters)


Nearest Fission Plant to
us? …




                                MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
The Reactors
                      around us




MI: 25% nuclear
60% coal, 11% gas

                          HASP 9/9/09 DHWms
1-Slide Summary of 50+ Old Presentations
                Pro nuclear

• Not so bad once         • But coal is much
  understood                worse
• Sadly introduced with   • Save natural gas for
  an A-bomb                 residential heating….
• Let me explain away     • Renewables can’t be
  TMI, Chernobyl &          economical and
  Fukushima                 baseline…
• Radwaste is small in    • Nuke represents
  volume                    diversity (good ecology?)

                                     MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
Newer, shorter presentation
               • Coal is being regulated away, so
                 much for damning it.
               • Natural Gas still => CO2 (It is a
                 green house gas)    Even in a
                 combined cycle generation plant.
                 (maybe halved from coal, but…)
               • Nat. Gas price is volatile (8 fold
                 changes in last 5 years)
               • It’s in a global market (India,China)
               • Questions re: “fracking” will see
                 expensive regulations. (earth
                 tremors , groundwater)

                                    MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
U.S. Energy Additions
80,000      Capacity Brought Online by Fuel Type 1965-2007
                      (Nameplate Capacity, MWe)
70,000
                                                   Water
60,000                                             Renew
                                                   Petro
50,000
                                                   Other
40,000                                             Nuclear
                                                   Gas
30,000                                             Coal

20,000

10,000

    0
     1965   1970   1975   1980     1985     1990     1995    2000   2005


                                 Slide stolen from Excelon    9/9/09 DHWms
Nuclear Power Industrial Changes
• Capacity up                                           45                                                                                                                                        2,700

• Costs down                                            40                                                                                                                                        2,400


• Consolidation                                         35                                                                                                                                        2,100




                                                                                                                                                                                                          Total nuclear power generation in TWh
                   Incremental nuclear power capacity
                                                        30                                                                                                                                        1,800
• Steadily safer
                              additions in GW e         25                                                                                                                                        1,500
• DTE likely to                                         20                                                                                                                                        1,200

  add a reactor                                         15                                                                                                                                        900

• Waste issues                                          10                                                                                                                                        600

  confused:                                             5                                                                                                                                         300

  temp storage,                                         0                                                                                                                                         0

  Yucca Mtn or                                          -5                                                                                                                                        -300
                                                             1966
                                                                    1968
                                                                           1970
                                                                           1972
                                                                                  1974
                                                                                         1976
                                                                                                1978
                                                                                                       1980
                                                                                                              1982
                                                                                                                     1984
                                                                                                                            1986
                                                                                                                                   1988
                                                                                                                                          1990
                                                                                                                                                 1992
                                                                                                                                                        1994
                                                                                                                                                               1996
                                                                                                                                                                      1998
                                                                                                                                                                             2000
                                                                                                                                                                                    2002
                                                                                                                                                                                           2004
  MRS or
  reprocss or..

                                                                                                                                                                      9/9/09 DHWms
Total Energy 2010 E.I.A.
Total Nat.Gas 2010 E.I.A.




               MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
Fuel as a Percentage of Electric
        Power Production Costs 2006
                                                 Fuel               Conversion
                                                                    Fabrication
                                                 26%
                                                                    Waste Fund


Fuel                                                                Enrichment
77%                                Fuel
                                   92%
                                                 O&M
                                                 74%                Uranium



O&M
23%
                                  O&M, 8%

Coal                                Gas         Nuclear    Nuclear Fuel Cost
Source: Global Energy Decisions
Updated: 6/07                                                Components
                                            9/9/09 DHWms
Penultimate Take Home Slide
• Pick your poison, your energy source, all have
  a downside: construction, real cost availability,
  waste, aesthetics, ..
• Should natural gas be saved for residential
  heating? Can you name a better way?
• Will “fracking” be done cleanly?
• What sources are most available to MI?
• Which fuel can be “stored”, has infrastructure?
• Which has “contained” wastes?
• Which is least “interruptable”?
                                    MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
Final Thoughts     Utility Executive Nightmares
                 • It’s going to be expensive!
                 • Spent a lot on a little Mercury
                 • Squeezed by requirements on
                   renewables & opening up the
                   retail market
                 • Short term answer: Gas, but
                 • Long term answer: Nuclear
                   belongs in the mix but how to
                   capitalize the construction?!
                 • Conservation won’t make $$$
                 • I pick: “all of the above”
                                    MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
Have trouble falling asleep?
          More Info? More “lectures”?
•   Am Nuclear Society
•   Nuclear Energy Institute
•   Energy Information Agency
•   Williams@hope.edu
    History of the A-bomb
    The Nuclear Waste Policy Act
    Basic Nuclear Energy
    The Lisa Meitner Story
    Ohio State Football Greats
                                   MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
A 1-slide course on Nuclear Power:
• Find uranium ore & “win” the metal from the ore
  (NYTimes Sunday 4/1. p A-16)
• Separate isotopes (forms), 235U from 238U with
  gaseous diffusion or centrifuges via UF6 (NM & OH)
• The 235U fissions via chain reaction. It’s 0.7% in
  ore, 3 -5 % in reactors, 90+% in bombs
• Power plant fuel pellets in fuel assemblies
  separated by control rods held up magnetically
• Fission products: “new” & “unstable” elements and
  ENERGY! ( It’s efficient but radioactive! )
• SNF or HLW ? Spent nuke fuel, high level waste?
• The “issue” for most anti-nukes….
                                        MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
A short model of a fuel assembly
• Usually 12-14 feet tall
• Each tough zirconium
  alloy tube contains
  stacks of fuel pellets
• In between them:
  control rods that stop
  the chain reaction
• Around them: water
  getting heated (&
  slowing the neutrons)


                            MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
Another representation of a Fuel Assembly at
   the Big Rock Point Plant in Charlevoix
                             Historical Society
                             was there for a
                             presentation
                             when it was
                             decommissioned
                             and made into a
                             park.

                             (Orphaned SNF)


                                MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
HLW in a storage pool, this one in the U.K.


   The blue glow is
   called Cerenkov
   Radiation.
   At the old U of M
   research reactor it
   was called
   M glow Blue.

  Now decommissioned


                                   MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
After a decade of cooling in pool next to reactor
spent fuel is loaded into harden steel casks, dried,
     filled w helium & put into concrete casks




                                      MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
Oldest spent fuel, sealed in steel casks, placed in
   105 ton concrete casks, stored at plant site.




                                      MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
HLW at Palisades Temporary (?) Storage
• New cask being
  placed on the 4 ft
  thick concrete
  pad, behind the
  barricade
• See the 2 guys
  working on it ?
• How much
  radiation are they
  exposed to?
• Very little!



                             MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
Teaching Nuclear gets Political Where’s waste go?


• Several year’s
  HLW from the
  Palisades Plant at
  plant site, 400 yds
  from Lake MI, be-
  hind the plant, be-
  tween dunes.
• Each container
  weights 135 tons,
  holding (30 tons of
  HLW)


                                        MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
Waste Containers as Terrorist Target
           I don’t think so!




                               MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
Low Level Radioactive Waste, a state
responsibility, arrives at a commercial site

                                  Each state or
                                  group of states
                                  must handle
                                  their own. Most
                                  have found one
                                  of three
                                  commercial
                                  sites for it’s
                                  isolation.




                                 MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
Low Level Radwaste, handled in Barnwell SC
        To be isolated for 400 years
                                      LLW is
                                      from
                                      hospitals,
                                      labs, power
                                      plants.
                                      In MI most
                                      comes
                                      from nuke
                                      plants-ion
                                      exchange
                                      resins that
                                      clean the
                                      water.

                               MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
Low Level Waste Facility, Barnwell SC. In
  the red clay of the southeastern US.




   This site is being closed,
   pending some law suits.


                                MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
A few words on …..Radiation
• HLW will decay & be as radioactive as rock in
  about 7000 years. Fed Law: 10,000 yr. isolation
• Rocks, air, food, you & I are radioactive…
• Radiation is less dangerous as you age……
• Through the middle of a dosage/damage curve, the
  more radiation means more danger
• Controversy exists about very low radiation…..
• (At high end of curve, direct illness and death)
• Evidence: Power plant workers & neighbors are ok,
  most w above average health!


                                               MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms

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April 2012 - Michigan Energy Forum - Donald H. Williams

  • 1. Remarks for Michigan Energy Forum April 5, 2012 Ann Arbor Dr. Donald H. Williams Chemistry Professor Emeriti Hope College (accustomed to 3 credit courses in 14 week semesters)
  • 2. My Background & Approach • Chemist @ start up of Shippingport Atomic Power Station (Pittsburgh) • Six Years w US D.O.E.’s Office of Civilian Radioactive Waste Management (SNL HLW) • Chair MI Committee to find a home for MI’s Low Level Radwaste (to maybe change state law) • Off & on spokesperson for Nuclear Energy Institute • Here to serve your needs and interests • Generally “pro” nuclear power but aware…. MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 3. Okay, my opinions show! Sorry. MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 4. E.I.A. 2010 E.I.A. 2010 Wikipeida MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 5. Top-10 annual energy-related CO2 emitters for the year 2009[81] % of global total Tonnes of GHG Country annual emissions per capita People's Rep. of China 23.6 5.13 United States 17.9 16.9 India 5.5 1.37 Russian Federation 5.3 10.8 Japan 3.8 8.6 Germany 2.6 9.2 Islamic Rep. of Iran 1.8 7.3 Canada 1.8 15.4 Korea 1.8 10.6 United Kingdom 1.6 7.5 I.E.A. 2011 for MEF AA 4/5/12
  • 6. Comparison of Life-Cycle Emissions Tons of Carbon Dioxide Equivalent per Gigawatt- 1,041 Hour Source: "Life-Cycle Assessment of Electricity Generation Systems and Applications for Climate Change Policy Analysis," Paul J. Meier, University of Wisconsin-Madison, August 2002. 622 46 39 18 17 15 14 Coal Natural Gas Biomass Solar PV Hydro Nuclear Geothermal Wind Added note: Concrete… MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 7. Total Energy Consumption USA 2010 MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 8. Worldwide Nuclear Perspective • About 13% of the world’s electricity is nuclear produced. (This is ~5% of total energy…..) (Presentation & vocabulary …) • There are 435 plants operating world wide 108 more under construction or planned • France: largest %-age nuclear USA: most plants (104, 5 under construction 5 ? planned) • ~ 80% of the plants are more than 25 years old • Science notes: fissile material one natural source U235 (dilute) and one man-made Pu MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 9. Nuclear Worldwide 9/9/09 DHWms
  • 10. Nuclear Power Plants in USA ~20% of US electricity is nuclear, (45% is coal, 23% natural gas = both GHG emitters) Nearest Fission Plant to us? … MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 11. The Reactors around us MI: 25% nuclear 60% coal, 11% gas HASP 9/9/09 DHWms
  • 12. 1-Slide Summary of 50+ Old Presentations Pro nuclear • Not so bad once • But coal is much understood worse • Sadly introduced with • Save natural gas for an A-bomb residential heating…. • Let me explain away • Renewables can’t be TMI, Chernobyl & economical and Fukushima baseline… • Radwaste is small in • Nuke represents volume diversity (good ecology?) MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 13. Newer, shorter presentation • Coal is being regulated away, so much for damning it. • Natural Gas still => CO2 (It is a green house gas) Even in a combined cycle generation plant. (maybe halved from coal, but…) • Nat. Gas price is volatile (8 fold changes in last 5 years) • It’s in a global market (India,China) • Questions re: “fracking” will see expensive regulations. (earth tremors , groundwater) MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 14.
  • 15. U.S. Energy Additions 80,000 Capacity Brought Online by Fuel Type 1965-2007 (Nameplate Capacity, MWe) 70,000 Water 60,000 Renew Petro 50,000 Other 40,000 Nuclear Gas 30,000 Coal 20,000 10,000 0 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Slide stolen from Excelon 9/9/09 DHWms
  • 16. Nuclear Power Industrial Changes • Capacity up 45 2,700 • Costs down 40 2,400 • Consolidation 35 2,100 Total nuclear power generation in TWh Incremental nuclear power capacity 30 1,800 • Steadily safer additions in GW e 25 1,500 • DTE likely to 20 1,200 add a reactor 15 900 • Waste issues 10 600 confused: 5 300 temp storage, 0 0 Yucca Mtn or -5 -300 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 MRS or reprocss or.. 9/9/09 DHWms
  • 18.
  • 19. Total Nat.Gas 2010 E.I.A. MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 20. Fuel as a Percentage of Electric Power Production Costs 2006 Fuel Conversion Fabrication 26% Waste Fund Fuel Enrichment 77% Fuel 92% O&M 74% Uranium O&M 23% O&M, 8% Coal Gas Nuclear Nuclear Fuel Cost Source: Global Energy Decisions Updated: 6/07 Components 9/9/09 DHWms
  • 21. Penultimate Take Home Slide • Pick your poison, your energy source, all have a downside: construction, real cost availability, waste, aesthetics, .. • Should natural gas be saved for residential heating? Can you name a better way? • Will “fracking” be done cleanly? • What sources are most available to MI? • Which fuel can be “stored”, has infrastructure? • Which has “contained” wastes? • Which is least “interruptable”? MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 22. Final Thoughts Utility Executive Nightmares • It’s going to be expensive! • Spent a lot on a little Mercury • Squeezed by requirements on renewables & opening up the retail market • Short term answer: Gas, but • Long term answer: Nuclear belongs in the mix but how to capitalize the construction?! • Conservation won’t make $$$ • I pick: “all of the above” MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 23. Have trouble falling asleep? More Info? More “lectures”? • Am Nuclear Society • Nuclear Energy Institute • Energy Information Agency • Williams@hope.edu History of the A-bomb The Nuclear Waste Policy Act Basic Nuclear Energy The Lisa Meitner Story Ohio State Football Greats MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 24. A 1-slide course on Nuclear Power: • Find uranium ore & “win” the metal from the ore (NYTimes Sunday 4/1. p A-16) • Separate isotopes (forms), 235U from 238U with gaseous diffusion or centrifuges via UF6 (NM & OH) • The 235U fissions via chain reaction. It’s 0.7% in ore, 3 -5 % in reactors, 90+% in bombs • Power plant fuel pellets in fuel assemblies separated by control rods held up magnetically • Fission products: “new” & “unstable” elements and ENERGY! ( It’s efficient but radioactive! ) • SNF or HLW ? Spent nuke fuel, high level waste? • The “issue” for most anti-nukes…. MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 25. A short model of a fuel assembly • Usually 12-14 feet tall • Each tough zirconium alloy tube contains stacks of fuel pellets • In between them: control rods that stop the chain reaction • Around them: water getting heated (& slowing the neutrons) MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 26. Another representation of a Fuel Assembly at the Big Rock Point Plant in Charlevoix Historical Society was there for a presentation when it was decommissioned and made into a park. (Orphaned SNF) MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 27. HLW in a storage pool, this one in the U.K. The blue glow is called Cerenkov Radiation. At the old U of M research reactor it was called M glow Blue. Now decommissioned MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 28. After a decade of cooling in pool next to reactor spent fuel is loaded into harden steel casks, dried, filled w helium & put into concrete casks MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 29. Oldest spent fuel, sealed in steel casks, placed in 105 ton concrete casks, stored at plant site. MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 30. HLW at Palisades Temporary (?) Storage • New cask being placed on the 4 ft thick concrete pad, behind the barricade • See the 2 guys working on it ? • How much radiation are they exposed to? • Very little! MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 31. Teaching Nuclear gets Political Where’s waste go? • Several year’s HLW from the Palisades Plant at plant site, 400 yds from Lake MI, be- hind the plant, be- tween dunes. • Each container weights 135 tons, holding (30 tons of HLW) MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 32. Waste Containers as Terrorist Target I don’t think so! MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 33. Low Level Radioactive Waste, a state responsibility, arrives at a commercial site Each state or group of states must handle their own. Most have found one of three commercial sites for it’s isolation. MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 34. Low Level Radwaste, handled in Barnwell SC To be isolated for 400 years LLW is from hospitals, labs, power plants. In MI most comes from nuke plants-ion exchange resins that clean the water. MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 35. Low Level Waste Facility, Barnwell SC. In the red clay of the southeastern US. This site is being closed, pending some law suits. MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms
  • 36. A few words on …..Radiation • HLW will decay & be as radioactive as rock in about 7000 years. Fed Law: 10,000 yr. isolation • Rocks, air, food, you & I are radioactive… • Radiation is less dangerous as you age…… • Through the middle of a dosage/damage curve, the more radiation means more danger • Controversy exists about very low radiation….. • (At high end of curve, direct illness and death) • Evidence: Power plant workers & neighbors are ok, most w above average health! MEF AA 4/5/12 DHWms