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Andy Dodd - MSTA - +44 20 7031 4651 – 14th April 2015
Technical Research Product Overview
Louis Capital Markets is Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) FRN 225544
Registered Address 130 Wood Street, London EC2V 6DL
‘Technical analysis is the study of market action, primarily through the use of charts,
for the purpose of forecasting future price trends.’
This quote is taken from John J. Murphy’s book ‘Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets’ which some, including
myself, consider to be the bible for modern Technical Analysis.
Our work covers global equity markets and we give specific advice to each customer based on pre-defined stock
lists, time frames and risk tolerances. Our goal is to make the research informative, concise and easy to understand
for those customers without a TA background.
The research covers all of the major world’s equity markets as well as commodities and FX which, with a significant
percentage of our client base focusing on the Oil & Gas and Basic Resources sectors and Emerging Markets, has
enabled us to forewarn of the significant recent corrections in those sectors and markets.
We also provide short-term trading ideas with clearly defined entry points, targets and stop levels and always keep
ownership of an idea even when it is failing.
Portfolio Construction
For longer-term clients we provide a bespoke portfolio construction service using TA as a market timing tool.
Our work concentrates solely on the price action, which by definition means what IS happening in the markets
rather than what SHOULD be happening. As a result this differs from the fundamental research that most analysts
produce as their work concentrates solely on what SHOULD be happening as oppose to what IS happening.
We believe that combining the use of Technical Analysis as a market timing tool with the traditional Fundamental
Research can add to the Alpha of any portfolio, both long only and market neutral. The key to performance is the
ability to judge when to have 6% of assets for example in a single stock and when to have 2%. We believe that
Market Timing is key to managing this process and we work closely with our excellent Cross-Asset analyst to add
market timing to his fundamental views.
The only way to market time is though the analysis of price action as markets generally overshoot both to the
upside and the downside due to human behaviour. It is this behaviour that Technical Analysis really studies.
Our goal at Louis Capital is to provide unbiased independent research which adds Alpha to our clients’ portfolios
and, by combining our fundamental views with market timing from the TA product, we believe that our research
product achieves that goal.
Louis Capital Markets is Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) FRN 225544
Registered Address 130 Wood Street, London EC2V 6DL
2
Important notice / disclaimer This material was prepared by Louis Capital Markets UK LLP , which is authorised and regulated
in the United Kingdom by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) under ref 225544. This document must be treated as a
marketing communication for the purposes of Directive 2004/39/EC as it has not been prepared in accordance with legal
requirements designed to promote the independence of research; and although Louis Capital Markets UK LLP is not subject to
any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, Louis Capital Markets UK LLP applies this
prohibition through its internal systems and controls. The analyst or analysts responsible for the content of this marketing
communication certify that: (1) the views expressed and attributed to the research analyst or analysts in the report accurately
reflect their personal opinion(s) about the subject securities and issuers and/or other subject matter as appropriate; and, (2)
no part of their compensation will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views contained in this
research report. Louis Capital Markets UK LLP has effective organisational and administrative arrangements set up within the
firm for the prevention and avoidance of conflicts of interest with respect to research Recommendations, including
information barriers.This document is for the use of the addressees only and is not intended for nor should be disseminated to
Retail Customers as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC. It may not be copied or distributed to any other person without the
written consent of Louis Capital Markets UK LLP and may not be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other
class of persons. Louis Capital Markets UK LLP may at its discretion distribute this document to any other person to whom it
could lawfully be distributed by an unauthorised person and without its content being approved by an authorised person.
This document has been prepared using sources believed to be reliable, however we do not represent it is accurate or
complete. Neither Louis Capital Markets UK LLP, nor any of its partners, members, employees or any affiliated company
accepts liability for any loss arising from the use of this document or its contents. It is provided for informational purposes only
and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. While we endeavour
to update on a reasonable basis the information and opinions contained herein, there may be regulatory, compliance or other
reasons that prevent us from doing so. The opinions, forecasts, assumptions, estimates, derived valuations and target price(s)
contained in this material are as of the date indicated and are subject to change at any time without prior notice.
This research does not constitute a personal recommendation and the investments referred to may not be suitable for the
specific investment objectives, financial situation or individual needs of recipients and should not be relied upon in
substitution for the exercise of independent judgement.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and an investor may not get back the amount originally
invested. The stated price of any securities mentioned herein is not a representation that any transaction can be effected at
this price. This document is approved for communication by Louis Capital Markets UK LLP in the UK and to EEA market
professionals who have registered with Louis Capital Markets UK LLP to receive such information. Please note that the prices
used in this note were the mid-market price at the close of business on the previous trading day. Unless otherwise stated,
Louis Capital Markets UK LLP owns the intellectual property rights and any other rights in all material contained in this
document. No part of this document may be modified, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed,
transmitted, published or derivative works created from this document without the prior consent of Louis Capital Markets UK
LLP. By accepting this document you agree that you have read the above disclosure and to be bound by the foregoing
limitations / restrictions.
Important US Regulatory Disclosures This report is for informational purposes only, and the information herein is obtained
from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness, and that of the opinions based thereon, are
not guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The securities described herein may not be eligible for sale
in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. Further, this report is not intended as an offer or solicitation to buy or
sell any securities or related instruments. Opinions expressed in this report are subject to change without notice. • Louis
Capital Markets UK LLP is not a market maker for any of the instruments mentioned. • Louis Capital Markets UK LLP and / or its
officers or partners, research analyst nor the associate has ownership in any of the equities mentioned. • Louis Capital
Markets UK LLP nor its affiliates has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities. • Louis Capital Markets UK LLP nor
Louis Capital Markets is Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) FRN 225544
Registered Address 130 Wood Street, London EC2V 6DL
3
its affiliates has not receive, or intends to seek, compensation from the company for investment banking, underwriting or
financial advisory services.
To our readers in Hong Kong: This document is published or re-distributed by Louis Capital Markets (Hong Kong) Limited
(“LCMHK”) (CE number: AOE100) which is regulated by the Securities and Futures Commissions in Hong Kong. This document
is intended for distribution to professional, accredited and institutional investor customers. No part of this document may be
copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form or by any means, or redistributed without the prior written consent of LCMHK.
LCMHK and the research analyst will not be held responsible if this investment research or recommendation is published or
otherwise reproduced in whole or in part by the mass media without the relevant disclosures. The information, tools and
material presented in this document are provided to you for information purposes only and shall not be used or considered as
an offer or the solicitation of an offer to sell or to buy or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. LCMHK has not
taken any steps to ensure that the securities referred to in this document are suitable for any particular investor. LCMHK
accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this document or further
communication given in relation to this document.
Although information and opinions presented in this document have been obtained or derived from sources believed by
LCMHK to be reliable, neither the author or LCMHK or its respective directors, officers, employees or agents has independently
verified the information contained in this document. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is
made as to the fairness, accuracy or completeness of such information and opinions. This document is not to be relied upon in
substitution for the exercise of independent judgment
Regulatory disclosure: LCMHK confirms that it (i) does not own 1% or more financial interests in any of the listed corporation
reviewed; (ii) is not involved in any market-making activities for any of the listed corporations reviewed; and (iii) does not have
any individual employed by or associated with LCMHK serving as an officer of any of the listed corporations reviewed. For
additional disclosures regarding this report send a written request to compliance at: Louis Capital Markets, LP 853 Broadway,
Suite 500, New York, NY 10003. Louis Capital Markets UK LLP 130 Wood Street, 4th Floor, London EC2V 6DL Louis Capital
Markets UK LLP 39-41 Rue Cambon, 4th Floor, 75001 Paris Louis Capital Markets (Hong Kong) Limited 8 Queens Road Central,
9th Floor, Hong Kong

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TAoverviewAPRIL2015

  • 1. 4 Andy Dodd - MSTA - +44 20 7031 4651 – 14th April 2015 Technical Research Product Overview Louis Capital Markets is Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) FRN 225544 Registered Address 130 Wood Street, London EC2V 6DL ‘Technical analysis is the study of market action, primarily through the use of charts, for the purpose of forecasting future price trends.’ This quote is taken from John J. Murphy’s book ‘Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets’ which some, including myself, consider to be the bible for modern Technical Analysis. Our work covers global equity markets and we give specific advice to each customer based on pre-defined stock lists, time frames and risk tolerances. Our goal is to make the research informative, concise and easy to understand for those customers without a TA background. The research covers all of the major world’s equity markets as well as commodities and FX which, with a significant percentage of our client base focusing on the Oil & Gas and Basic Resources sectors and Emerging Markets, has enabled us to forewarn of the significant recent corrections in those sectors and markets. We also provide short-term trading ideas with clearly defined entry points, targets and stop levels and always keep ownership of an idea even when it is failing. Portfolio Construction For longer-term clients we provide a bespoke portfolio construction service using TA as a market timing tool. Our work concentrates solely on the price action, which by definition means what IS happening in the markets rather than what SHOULD be happening. As a result this differs from the fundamental research that most analysts produce as their work concentrates solely on what SHOULD be happening as oppose to what IS happening. We believe that combining the use of Technical Analysis as a market timing tool with the traditional Fundamental Research can add to the Alpha of any portfolio, both long only and market neutral. The key to performance is the ability to judge when to have 6% of assets for example in a single stock and when to have 2%. We believe that Market Timing is key to managing this process and we work closely with our excellent Cross-Asset analyst to add market timing to his fundamental views. The only way to market time is though the analysis of price action as markets generally overshoot both to the upside and the downside due to human behaviour. It is this behaviour that Technical Analysis really studies. Our goal at Louis Capital is to provide unbiased independent research which adds Alpha to our clients’ portfolios and, by combining our fundamental views with market timing from the TA product, we believe that our research product achieves that goal.
  • 2. Louis Capital Markets is Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) FRN 225544 Registered Address 130 Wood Street, London EC2V 6DL 2 Important notice / disclaimer This material was prepared by Louis Capital Markets UK LLP , which is authorised and regulated in the United Kingdom by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) under ref 225544. This document must be treated as a marketing communication for the purposes of Directive 2004/39/EC as it has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of research; and although Louis Capital Markets UK LLP is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, Louis Capital Markets UK LLP applies this prohibition through its internal systems and controls. The analyst or analysts responsible for the content of this marketing communication certify that: (1) the views expressed and attributed to the research analyst or analysts in the report accurately reflect their personal opinion(s) about the subject securities and issuers and/or other subject matter as appropriate; and, (2) no part of their compensation will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views contained in this research report. Louis Capital Markets UK LLP has effective organisational and administrative arrangements set up within the firm for the prevention and avoidance of conflicts of interest with respect to research Recommendations, including information barriers.This document is for the use of the addressees only and is not intended for nor should be disseminated to Retail Customers as defined in Directive 2004/39/EC. It may not be copied or distributed to any other person without the written consent of Louis Capital Markets UK LLP and may not be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class of persons. Louis Capital Markets UK LLP may at its discretion distribute this document to any other person to whom it could lawfully be distributed by an unauthorised person and without its content being approved by an authorised person. This document has been prepared using sources believed to be reliable, however we do not represent it is accurate or complete. Neither Louis Capital Markets UK LLP, nor any of its partners, members, employees or any affiliated company accepts liability for any loss arising from the use of this document or its contents. It is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security or other financial instrument. While we endeavour to update on a reasonable basis the information and opinions contained herein, there may be regulatory, compliance or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. The opinions, forecasts, assumptions, estimates, derived valuations and target price(s) contained in this material are as of the date indicated and are subject to change at any time without prior notice. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation and the investments referred to may not be suitable for the specific investment objectives, financial situation or individual needs of recipients and should not be relied upon in substitution for the exercise of independent judgement. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and an investor may not get back the amount originally invested. The stated price of any securities mentioned herein is not a representation that any transaction can be effected at this price. This document is approved for communication by Louis Capital Markets UK LLP in the UK and to EEA market professionals who have registered with Louis Capital Markets UK LLP to receive such information. Please note that the prices used in this note were the mid-market price at the close of business on the previous trading day. Unless otherwise stated, Louis Capital Markets UK LLP owns the intellectual property rights and any other rights in all material contained in this document. No part of this document may be modified, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed, transmitted, published or derivative works created from this document without the prior consent of Louis Capital Markets UK LLP. By accepting this document you agree that you have read the above disclosure and to be bound by the foregoing limitations / restrictions. Important US Regulatory Disclosures This report is for informational purposes only, and the information herein is obtained from sources that we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness, and that of the opinions based thereon, are not guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The securities described herein may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. Further, this report is not intended as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or related instruments. Opinions expressed in this report are subject to change without notice. • Louis Capital Markets UK LLP is not a market maker for any of the instruments mentioned. • Louis Capital Markets UK LLP and / or its officers or partners, research analyst nor the associate has ownership in any of the equities mentioned. • Louis Capital Markets UK LLP nor its affiliates has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities. • Louis Capital Markets UK LLP nor
  • 3. Louis Capital Markets is Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) FRN 225544 Registered Address 130 Wood Street, London EC2V 6DL 3 its affiliates has not receive, or intends to seek, compensation from the company for investment banking, underwriting or financial advisory services. To our readers in Hong Kong: This document is published or re-distributed by Louis Capital Markets (Hong Kong) Limited (“LCMHK”) (CE number: AOE100) which is regulated by the Securities and Futures Commissions in Hong Kong. This document is intended for distribution to professional, accredited and institutional investor customers. No part of this document may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form or by any means, or redistributed without the prior written consent of LCMHK. LCMHK and the research analyst will not be held responsible if this investment research or recommendation is published or otherwise reproduced in whole or in part by the mass media without the relevant disclosures. The information, tools and material presented in this document are provided to you for information purposes only and shall not be used or considered as an offer or the solicitation of an offer to sell or to buy or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. LCMHK has not taken any steps to ensure that the securities referred to in this document are suitable for any particular investor. LCMHK accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this document or further communication given in relation to this document. Although information and opinions presented in this document have been obtained or derived from sources believed by LCMHK to be reliable, neither the author or LCMHK or its respective directors, officers, employees or agents has independently verified the information contained in this document. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy or completeness of such information and opinions. This document is not to be relied upon in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment Regulatory disclosure: LCMHK confirms that it (i) does not own 1% or more financial interests in any of the listed corporation reviewed; (ii) is not involved in any market-making activities for any of the listed corporations reviewed; and (iii) does not have any individual employed by or associated with LCMHK serving as an officer of any of the listed corporations reviewed. For additional disclosures regarding this report send a written request to compliance at: Louis Capital Markets, LP 853 Broadway, Suite 500, New York, NY 10003. Louis Capital Markets UK LLP 130 Wood Street, 4th Floor, London EC2V 6DL Louis Capital Markets UK LLP 39-41 Rue Cambon, 4th Floor, 75001 Paris Louis Capital Markets (Hong Kong) Limited 8 Queens Road Central, 9th Floor, Hong Kong