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01 June 2011

                         NewsBase                                                                                                                                                Week 08

                                                                                                                                                                            Issue 08
   Downstream Monitor                                                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                                        News
                                                                                                                                                                      Analysis
                                                                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                                   Intelligence

      –– MENA ––                                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                            NewsBase
                                                                                                                                                                             Published by



COMMENTARY                                            2         NEWS THIS WEEK…




                                                                    Iran overview

 Iran’s downstream industries battle
   through sanctions challenge                         2


 Yemen on the brink of civil war                       4


 International funding lines up for                                 In the seventh instalment of a series of Middle East
   North Africa                                        5
                                                                    and North African country profiles, Downstream
REFINING                                              7             MENA gives an overview of Iran’s downstream

 OAPEC sees half of refinery projects                               sector.
   delayed                                             7


 Israel’s Oil Refineries announces                                  
                                                                     Iran hopes to bring 61 petrochemical projects
   Q1 profit                                           7                  onstream by 2015 at a cost of US$43 billion.                                                                  (Page 2)

 KNPC to issue tender for mega gas train 8


 Work to begin on Iraq refinery                        8            
                                                                     International sanctions have stifled Iran’s attempts
                                                                          to become an LNG exporter.                                                                                    (Page 2)
FUELS                                                 9

 trade picking up, but no real end
 Fuel                                                               
                                                                     While Western ties have been depleted, Iran’s
   in sight for Libya’s troubles                       9
                                                                          relationships with China and India are blossoming.(Page 3)

 Egypt set to hike gas prices for


                                                                    Upheaval and impact
   neighbours                                        10

PETROCHEMICALS                                      10

 firms to submit bids for Safco
 EPC                                                                Yemen’s oil sector is becoming riskier as the
   urea train                                        10
                                                                    country plunges into political turmoil. With heavy
 proposes ‘petchem OPEC’
 Iran                                                11
                                                                    gun battles resuming in the capital, civil war is an
TERMINALS & STORAGE                                 11              ever more likely scenario.
 begins bunker operations at
 Shell
   Jebel Ali Port                                    11             
                                                                     Pipelines are being attacked, while IOCs have

 Qatar’s Barwa Bank reaches finance                                       been pulling out.                                                                                             (Page 4)
   deal with NPS                                     12

NEWS IN BRIEF                                       12              
                                                                     Petrol imports have increased three-fold and the
                                                                          unrest has cost the country around US$4 billion.(Page 5)
TENDERS & CONTRACTS                                 22



For analysis and commentary on these and other stories, plus the latest downstream developments, see inside…
                                                                            Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                     Edited by Ian Simm
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
Downstream Monitor MENA                                                       01 June 2011, Week 08                                                                                       page 2


                                                                        COMMENTARY

Iran’s downstream industries battle
through sanctions challenge
Despite international sanctions, Iran’s oil and gas industry remains of major importance.
Challenges face the country’s downstream sector, however, major investments have been
announced
By Martin Clark

 OPEC pegs the country’s oil reserves at 137 billion barrels
 hopes to bring 61 petrochemical projects onstream by 2015 at a cost of US$43 billion
 Iran

 While Western ties have been depleted, Iran’s relationship with China and India is blossoming

Note: This is the seventh in a series of country-specific commentaries, intended to give an overview
of downstream activities and capabilities in the MENA region. The next instalment will cover Algeria.

Iran’s oil and gas sector is huge by                                By then, the report stated that 61                                    These have been ratcheted up in recent
almost any measure, but it could be so                            petrochemical projects would be                                      times amid concerns from the US and its
much more but for the bite of sanctions                           onstream at a cost of US$43 billion.                                 allies that Iran’s nuclear energy
and its frosty relations with much of the                                                                                              programme is being used to develop
Western world.                                                    Sanctions challenge                                                  nuclear weapons, an allegation denied by
   The Islamic Republic holds the world’s                         And yet the downstream sector, much                                  Tehran.
second largest natural gas reserves after                         like the upstream, is faced with critical                               Western sanctions were tightened a
Russia, an estimated 29,610 billion cubic                         challenges and bottlenecks as a result of                            year ago to exploit Iran’s lack of
metres (bcm), according to figures from                           the international sanctions facing the                               domestic refinery capacity, which meant
the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting                           country.                                                             it had to import 30-40% of its petrol.
Countries (OPEC).                                                                                                                                    Still, Iran’s massive
   The country is also the cartel’s                                                                                                               hydrocarbon reserves, and the
second biggest crude oil                                                                                                                          substantial income it receives
producer, with the capacity to                                                                                                                    from energy exports, have
pump around 3.5 million barrels                                                                                                                   helped grow the downstream
per day. Again, according to                                                                                                                      industry despite the many
OPEC, proven oil reserves stand                                                                                                                   practical challenges that blight
at around 137 billion barrels.                                                                                                                    the sector.
   As a result, the downstream                                                                                                                       These include limits on
sector too, from refineries to                                                                                                                    foreign companies working in
petrochemicals factories, is                                                                                                                      the country, including a
substantial, and growing.                                                                                                                         complete absence of US and
Refinery capacity currently                                                                                                                       some other international firms,
stands at over 1.5 million bpd,                                                                                                                   plus reduced access to new
according to OPEC data.                                                                                                                           technology and external
   And there are massive plans                                                                                                                    sources of capital.
for growth detailed in Iran’s 20-                                                                                                                    It has thrown up added
year strategic plan.                                                                                                                              complications in planning and
   The Tehran Times reported on                                                                                                                   executing certain export
this last week, with the                                                                                                                          projects, notably Iran’s much-
government targeting                                                                                                                              hyped but long-delayed hopes
petrochemical output to reach                                                                                                                     for establishing itself as a
100 million tonnes by 2015, the                                                                                                                   major liquefied natural gas
end of its fifth five-year                                                                                                                        (LNG) producer.
development plan.

                                                                            Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                     Edited by Ian Simm
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
Downstream Monitor MENA                                                       01 June 2011, Week 08                                                                                       page 3


                                                                        COMMENTARY
   Despite its enviable gas deposits,                                                                                                  straightforward.
there is still no firm indication when                                                                                                    Last week, an explosion at an Abadan
Iran will export its first consignment                                                                                                 oil refinery, Iran’s largest, during a visit
of LNG, with technology constraints                                                                                                    by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad,
and access to markets holding back                                                                                                     killed two people and injured 12.
any development.                                                                                                                          The circumstances behind the blast
   Tehran officials have repeatedly                                                                                                    remain something of a mystery, however.
talked up the country’s potential to                                                                                                      Iranian media said the explosion was
rival Qatar as a world-beating LNG                                                                                                     caused by a technical fault and did not
seller.                                                                                                                                speculate on the possibility of an attack
   So far, however, while Qatar has                                                                                                    on the president.
recently put the finishing touches on                                                                                                     Industrial accidents are not uncommon
its decade-long vision to grow LNG                                                                                                     in Iran’s under-performing oil and gas
production to a whopping 77 million                                                                                                    industry, although energy assets are also
tonnes per year, Iran’s production                                                                                                     occasional targets for sabotage by rebel
remains at zero.                                                                                                                       groups in various parts of the country.
                                                                                                                                          Simultaneous explosions have
Investment                                                                                                                             damaged gas pipelines on two separate
But that should not mask the genuine                                                                                                   occasions in 2011, with officials either
progress that has been made in other                                                                                                   giving no explanation or ruling out
areas, with Iran – despite all the                                                                                                     technical problems, implying foul play.
hurdles it faces – a major downstream                                                                                                     It means assessing how much sanctions
supplier to world markets.                                                                                                             are hurting Iran, and affecting its fuel
   While local companies, led by the                                                                                                   import needs, is something of a guessing
state-owned National Iranian Oil                                  fundamental importance to China’s                                    game. An emergency plan was initiated
Company (NIOC) and its many spin-offs                             growing economy, and this is likely to                               to produce petrol at petrochemical plants
and subsidiaries, have led developments,                          expand further in new downstream                                     as well as speed up new refinery projects.
foreign investment is also filtering                              industries, driving investment by state-                                While Iranian officials suggest the
through too.                                                      backed Chinese companies.                                            country is self-sufficient, now even
   The sensitivities associated with Iran’s                          China’s big energy companies, the                                 exporting fuel, many analysts dismiss
sanctions mean that information on this                           likes of China National Petroleum Corp.                              these claims.
investment, specifically who is doing                             (CNPC) and China Petroleum &                                            President Ahmadinejad himself played
what, can be hard to come by.                                     Chemical Corp. Ltd. (Sinopec), already                               down the sanctions impact last week,
   Last week, Iranian press reported that a                       have a clutch of interests in Iran, from                             following the Abadan explosion.
Chinese company was ready to invest                               upstream oilfield activities to refining                                “The enemy’s hope to exert pressure
US$5 billion in petrochemicals projects                           projects.]                                                           on Iran by restricting oil products has
at the Mahshahr Special Economic Zone,                                                                                                 turned into complete desperation,” he
in the southwest of the country.                                  Refining pressure                                                    was quoted as saying by local news
   Typically, the company – which has                             But understanding Iran’s energy sector                               source, IRIB.
also reportedly opened talks with Iran’s                          and its performance is rarely                                           Rhetoric is nothing new to Iran
National Petrochemical Company (NPC)                                                                                                   watchers, all a part of the cat and mouse
to build a giant methanol unit in the Pars                           What is clear is that while                                       game Tehran plays with its rivals, but it
Special Energy Zone – was not identified                                                                                               can also distort the true picture of the
in the report.                                                        sanctions may be having                                          nation’s energy sector.
   What is certain, however, is that                                 an effect, the demand for                                            What is clear is that while sanctions
relations with China, and to a lesser                                                                                                  may be having an effect, the demand for
degree India, have blossomed as Iran’s                               natural resources globally                                        natural resources globally is such that
associations with older Western partners                             is such that Iran’s role in                                       Iran’s role in supplying downstream
have deteriorated.                                                                                                                     markets – and its future role – is not
   Iran’s oil shipments are now of                                     supplying downstream                                            likely to diminish anytime soon.
                                                                       markets is not likely to
                                                                       diminish anytime soon


                                                                            Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                     Edited by Ian Simm
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
Downstream Monitor MENA                                                       01 June 2011, Week 08                                                                                       page 4


                                                                        COMMENTARY

Yemen on the brink of civil war
Yemen’s oil sector is becoming riskier as the country plunges into political turmoil. With
heavy gun battles resuming in the capital, civil war is turning into an ever more likely
scenario
By Nádia Morais
 of al-Qaeda assuming power is rife
 Fear

 Pipelines are being attacked, while IOCs have been pulling out

 Petrol imports have increased three-fold and the unrest has cost the country around US$4 billion

Recent unrest in Yemen has already seen                           Attacks on protesters                                                country further away from a resolution to
over 50 people killed in demonstrations                           Meanwhile, government forces have                                    this political crisis,” she said.
in the Southern city of Taiz, as well as                          launched attacks against protesters in                                  EU Policy Chief Catherine Ashton was
hundreds injured, following the relentless                        Taiz and the coastal city of Zinjibar.                               quoted by the Associated Press as saying
fighting in the capital, Sana’a, between                             The United Nations said reports                                   she was “shocked” by the use of force
tribesmen and the forces of the president,                        indicated that deaths in Taiz had been                               and live ammunition and described
Ali Abdullah Saleh, ending a day-long                             caused by “Yemeni army, Republican                                   attacks on medical centres as
truce.                                                            Guards and other government-affiliated                               “appalling.”
   With Saleh refusing to step down                               elements, which forcibly destroyed the                                  Observers see the government’s recent
despite months of protests against his                            protest camp in Horriya Square, using                                attacks as an attempt to retain power,
rule, BBC News reported that further                              water cannons, bulldozers and live                                   following the tribesmen taking control of
demonstrations were expected                                      ammunition.”                                                         government buildings and attempts to
throughout the country.                                              Navi Pillay, the UN High                                          seize the headquarters of the ruling party,
   In Sana’a, battles have again exploded;                        Commissioner for Human Rights, urged                                 the General People’s Congress.
as the president’s opposition has accused                         all parties to find a resolution. “Such                                 According to a report by IHS Global
Saleh of letting the city fall under al-                          reprehensible acts of violence and                                   Insight, with clashes likely to escalate
Qaeda’s power, causing widespread fear                            indiscriminate attacks on unarmed                                    further, Yemen’s recent history of events
of a potential Islamist takeover, AFP                             civilians by armed security officers must                            could plunge it into civil war: the
reported.                                                         stop immediately. Further violence will                              political and economic situation become
                                                                  only yield more insecurity and move the                              darker every day, while Yemen’s
                                                                                                                                                previously blooming oil
                                                                                                                                                production is facing serious
                                                                                                                                                disruption.

                                                                                                                                                    Catastrophe beyond
                                                                                                                                                    imagination
                                                                                                                                                    In early May, the country’s oil
                                                                                                                                                    minister, Amir al-Aidarous, sent
                                                                                                                                                    out a warning that the country’s
                                                                                                                                                    lack of security had led to a
                                                                                                                                                    major slowdown in terms of its
                                                                                                                                                    oil production, exports and
                                                                                                                                                    refining, which was creating “a
                                                                                                                                                    catastrophe beyond
                                                                                                                                                    imagination,” since Yemen relies
                                                                                                                                                    heavily on oil exports – roughly
                                                                                                                                                    70% of the government’s
                                                                                                                                                    income.




                                                                            Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                     Edited by Ian Simm
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
Downstream Monitor MENA                                                       01 June 2011, Week 08                                                                                       page 5


                                                                        COMMENTARY
   IHS Global Insight reported that repair                        purchasing refining products as “an                                  and further undermine oil and gas
work on damaged pipelines was making                              easier choice.”                                                      production and exports in the country,”
slow progress and attacks were showing                                                                                                 said IHS analyst Samuel Ciszuk. And
no signs of abating. Yemen also lacks the                         Impact of security the crisis                                        with no-one seemingly able to mediate
right type of crude to be sent from its Ras                       Deteriorating security in the country is                             between Sheik Sadeq al-Ahmar, the head
Isa port to its main refinery in Aden.                            also expected to impact oil and gas                                  of the most powerful tribal confederation
   The resulting lack of refined products                         production and exports further, as most                              in the country, and the government, the
to satisfy the domestic market has led to                         International Oil Companies (IOCs) have                              risk of more tribes getting involved could
further complications, creating                                   already heavily reduced their workforces,                            escalate.
widespread discontent about the                                   causing a severe shortage of available
government’s capabilities to deal with                            skilled personnel, which will make it                                Political unrest
the situation. This has also forced the                           increasingly difficult for production                                In March, al-Ahmar declared he would
Yemeni government to use resources that                           levels to return to normal any time soon.                            support the popular forces requesting
could be invested elsewhere in crude                                 This also causes a growing need for                               Saleh’s resignation after he failed to sign
imports for the Aden refinery, as well as                         further investment in technology and                                 a transition agreement on May 22.
refined products to compensate for the                            facilities, which cannot be easily done as                              Meanwhile, government security
current shortage.                                                 political uncertainty soars.                                         forces attacked some of the tribal chiefs
   According to an oil ministry official                             According to IHS, the slowdown in                                 who tried to mediate. The fear is now
quoted by Reuters, the country is now                             production and the lack of human capital                             that tribal chiefs “will lose patience with
buying 280,000 tonnes of diesel and                               could mean the country’s remaining                                   the president and take matters in their
120,000 tonnes of petrol per month in the                         reserves will be lost, “potentially                                  own hands,” IHS reported.
international market, which represents a                          forever.”                                                               Facing a stronger al-Qaeda presence,
three-fold increase in diesel imports, and                           And disruption is now becoming even                               Sana’a is expected to see more
nearly four-fold when it comes to petrol                          greater, as tribes opposing the president                            widespread fighting, but the Southern
purchases.                                                        have destroyed the pipeline that carries                             and Northern regions also pose an
   At present, the country can only use                           oil from Ma’rib, in central Yemen.                                   increasingly serious risk.
crude from Ma’rib in the Aden refinery,                              The country’s Minister of Industry and                               If the government declines in Sana’a,
while output from the Masila area is soon                         Trade, Hisham Sharaf, estimates the                                  Northern rebels could gain a stronger
expected to be improved, through a                                overall costs of the unrest on Yemen’s                               position in the capital province, while in
different pipeline to the Arabian Sea                             economy at US$4 billion. “We are                                     the South, there also seems to be a
coast, but this will not be enough to solve                       talking about a deficit that will break the                          conflict waiting to happen.
the country’s refined products crisis.                            country… We are barely surviving, but                                   All of this has led to the fear that the
   Reuters reported that because of the                           we have not collapsed and will not                                   country could sink deeper into economic
specificity of crude that can be used in                          collapse,” he said.                                                  crisis, hand in hand with intense political
Aden, the government had opted for                                   “The situation is likely to deteriorate                           uncertainty.




International funding lines
up for North Africa
A range of sources have lined up to pledge support for Tunisia and Egypt
By Christopher Coats

 Tunisia and Egypt have signed up around US$20 billion in funding

 Economic assistance is needed to tackle high youth unemployment

 Instability in the area has deterred private-sector investments although there are opportunities

Tunisia and Egypt have both undergone                             neighbours – face difficulties in                                    countries, doubts remain about how
traumatic political changes in the first                          rebalancing their books, where oil and                               many of these will move forward in the
months of 2011 and have both recently                             gas production will play a strong role.                              wake of sprawling political and social
received pledges of international cash.                             After a week of public announcements                               change.
However, these two countries – and their                          regarding funding initiatives for MENA

                                                                            Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                     Edited by Ian Simm
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
Downstream Monitor MENA                                                       01 June 2011, Week 08                                                                                       page 6


                                                                          COMMENTARY
   Over the last week, the World Bank,                                The extent to which these pledges will be                           According to Reuters, growth forecasts
the G8, the International Monetary Fund                               met is unclear.                                                  for the Arab world by IIF show Yemen’s
(IMF) and the European Investment                                        While all groups have avoided offering                        economy will contract the most, by 4%,
Bank (EIB) all set out new direct                                     specific plans of action about how direct                        while in 2011 the economies of Syria
funding, loan and forgiveness                                         funding and loans will be applied, all                           will shrink by 3%, Egypt by 2.5% and
programmes to help strengthen                                         have made specific mention of the need                           Tunisia by 1.5%.
transitional governments in the Middle                                to support and sustain energy production                            Additionally, growth rates should
East and North Africa.                                                in the region.                                                   stabilise and rebound somewhat by 2012
   Driven by domestic policy plans from                                  However, as plans from the different                          if some progress can be demonstrated in
the US, the UK, France and Germany,                                   international groups were announced, it                          the move towards political stability, but
among others, the entities pledged                                    became clear that these were likely to fall                      current unrest and worries that risks will
billions of dollars to support political                              short of what the region claims it needs                         increase will keep much needed foreign
stability and economic development                                    to sustain growth and stability in the                           investment at bay. Some of these
across the region, specifically targeting                             years ahead.                                                     countries do boast modest domestic
Tunisia and Egypt.                                                       Earlier in the week, Tunisia had called                       reserves, but these are generally
                                                                      for international backing of US$25                               insufficient – or too under-developed – to
Funding pledges                                                       billion over the next five years, while a                        offer any financial support for the
Early last week, the EIB announced a                                  report from the IMF earlier in the week                          necessary infrastructure investment.
US$7.6 billion support plan for the two                               suggested the region would need more
countries as an extension of their existing                           than US$160 billion in external                                  Opportunities
Euro-Mediterranean Partnership.                                       investment during the coming decade.                             Although this year’s changes have
   This was soon followed by a World                                     The IMF said it could provide                                 limited the attention and investment from
Bank programme that would provide                                     financing of around US$35 billion to oil-                        many state entities and potential
US$4.5 billion for Egypt and US$1.5                                   importing countries in the region and that                       investors, some have signalled their
billion for Tunisia over the next two                                 donors would be needed to contribute.                            willingness to look past the slowdown
years.                                                                Economic difficulties in the area, most                          and risks for longer-term projects.
   The week concluded with the gathering                              notably the high unemployment rates                                 Ireland’s Petroceltic International,
of the G8 in Deauville, France, where the                             among the young, were a contributing                             which has run into difficulties over its
countries’ economic and political                                     factor to instability earlier this year and                      exposure to North Africa, has set out
stability took centre stage. With financial                           efforts must be made in order to improve                         plans to expand in the region.
support from all but one member, the                                  this situation.                                                     “We’re looking at deals in Egypt,
group offered an array of funding and                                                                                                  Tunisia and elsewhere, both farm-ins and
forgiveness plans that amounted to                                    Deficit                                                          new licence applications, but we’re
approximately US$20 billion, according                                This oil and gas deficit has emerged as a                        mainly looking to get into farm-ins on
to Reuters. The exception was Canada,                                 core obstacle for development and                                development projects, which people are
which refrained from pledging any                                     stability, according to regional analysts                        finding it difficult to fund,” said the
money to the region.                                                  and the Institute of International Finance                       minnow’s CEO, Brian O’Cathain, to
   According to the news service, specific                            (IIF), which lowered growth rate                                 Reuters last week.
components of the funding plans                                       predictions for all MENA states that                                Despite the ongoing conflict in Libya,
included US$250 million per year in                                   stand as energy importers.                                       Italy’s Eni has continued to pledge its
development aid to Egypt                                                                                                                           support for staying in the
from France and US$175                                                     North African oil production                                            country, going so far as to
million over four years from                                                      Algeria      Libya     Egypt      Tunisia            Source: BP  meet with anti-government
the UK for political and                                                                                                                           forces in the eastern part of
economic development. In                 2                                                                                                         the country to discuss the
addition, the US said it would                                                                                                                     resumption of exports in the
forgive US$1 billion of                1.5
                                                                                                                                                   coming months. The Italian
Egypt’s debt and provide an                                                                                                                        company’s CEO, Paolo
                                                 million bpd




additional US$1 billion in                                                                                                                         Scaroni, went so far as to tell
                                         1
loan guarantees, with                                                                                                                              the Financial Times: “I have
Germany pledging US$40                                                                                                                             no doubt that one year from
million up front and US$130            0.5                                                                                                         now the Libyan problem will
million in the coming years.                                                                                                                       be behind us.”
                                                               0
                                                                   1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009


                                                                             Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                     Edited by Ian Simm
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
Downstream Monitor MENA                                                       01 June 2011, Week 08                                                                                       page 7


                                                                                 REFINING

OAPEC sees half of refinery
projects delayed
Increasing competition and weak                                   million bpd, while the schemes cancelled                             products, to remove “the imbalance” as
margins are affecting the investment on                           represent 1.315 million bpd.                                         “some oil exporters import refined
the refining industry in the Arab World,                            According to Makki, the figures                                    product”, Makki was quoted as saying by
Platts reported.                                                  provided by OAPEC concern January                                    Reuters.
  During the 5th Annual Global Refining                           2011 and the delays are being caused by                                The members of OAPEC have a total
Summit in Rotterdam, an expert at the                             a decreasing demand justified by the                                 of 53 refineries with a capacity of 7.06
Organisation of Arab Petroleum                                    economic crisis as well as changes in the                            million bpd, 8% of the total global
Exporting Countries (OAPEC), Imad                                 price of the material needed.                                        refining capacity.
Makki, told the news agency that 51% of                             However, it is already certain that the                              Capacity is expected to grow to 12.86
the refinery plans in the region had been                         Yanbu and Jubail refinery projects will                              million bpd by 2015 once the new
delayed and another 26% had been                                  continue under construction in Saudi                                 projects are completed, Makki added.
cancelled.                                                        Arabia, with a planned processing                                      OAPEC’s members include Algeria,
  “Only 23% [1.2 million barrels per day                          capacity for 400,000 bpd, he added.                                  Bahrain, Kuwait, Libya, Syria, the UAE,
worth of capacity] is under construction”                           The new projects aim to replace low-                               Egypt, Iraq, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and
in Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Kuwait, he                           efficiency refineries and integrate with                             Tunisia.
explained. The share of projects delayed                          petrochemical plants while reducing the
represents a production capacity of 2.594                         yield of fuel oil and increasing light




Israel’s Oil Refineries
announces Q1 profit
Haifa-based Oil Refineries Ltd. (ORL)                               “Oil Refineries achieved higher                                    the North African country. Egypt is
posted a net profit of US$6 million for                           refining margins than the benchmark and                              ORL’s main supplier of natural gas.
the first quarter of 2011 on May 23                               showed strong growth in the                                            “There were two acts of sabotage on
against a net loss of US$4 million for the                        petrochemicals sector,” said CEO Pinhas                              the Egyptian gas pipeline in recent
equivalent period last year.                                      Buchris.                                                             months, and gas deliveries to Israel have
  The increase came on the back of a                                “The disaster in Japan boosted demand                              not yet resumed after the second attack,”
combination of higher prices for fuel                             for petrochemicals products in                                       Buchris said.
products and improved refining margins.                           international markets, which Oil                                       “Oil Refineries has not received
  During the period the company, which                            Refineries knew how to spot to meet                                  natural gas deliveries from [EMG], and
operates Israel’s largest refinery, saw its                       market needs,” he added.                                             the company [has] therefore decided to
adjusted refining margin climb to                                   However, the news was not all                                      buy natural gas from another supplier,”
US$3.90 per barrel from US$3.20 per                               positive, with the recent attacks on                                 he added.
barrel in the first three months of 2010.                         Egypt’s East Mediterranean Gas Co.                                     On May 27, the firm said that it had
In addition, the benchmark margin fell to                         (EMG) leading to halt in imports from                                signed a contract with the local Yam
US$0.50 per barrel from US$3.50 per                                                                                                    Tethys project that would see it buy
barrel.                                                                                                                                US$350 million of Israeli natural gas
  This helped offset a fall in refining                                                                                                over the next 27 months.
volume to 2.06 million tonnes from 2.13                                                                                                  In a statement ORL said it had not
million tonnes in the corresponding                                                                                                    changed its contract with EMG as a
quarter, while the utilisation of                                                                                                      result of the agreement, and that the deal
production plants also dropped to 86%                                                                                                  had been necessary to meet supply
from 89%.                                                                                                                              needs.



                                                                            Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                     Edited by Ian Simm
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
Downstream Monitor MENA                                                       01 June 2011, Week 08                                                                                       page 8


                                                                                 REFINING

KNPC to issue tender
for mega gas train
Kuwait National Petroleum Company                                 identified. “Ethane and propane, to be                               consultant (PMC) and the issue of the
(KNPC) is aiming to issue a tender for                            produced from the new facility, will be                              main EPC contract. The new train will
the main construction package covering a                          supplied as feedstock for new                                        take 30 months to build.
mega gas train at its Mina al-Ahmadi                              petrochemical capacity,” he said.                                      Currently, South Korea’s Daelim
refinery in late 2011-early 2012,                                   The FEED package is due to be                                      Industrial Company is carrying out the
following the completion of a front-end                           completed by November. The next stage                                main EPC contract to install a fourth gas-
engineering and design (FEED) work by                             in the project implementation will be the                            processing train at Mina al-Ahmadi of
the UK’s Amec.                                                    appointment of a project management                                  similar capacity under a US$886 million
  The new facility, which is estimated                                                                                                 order placed by KNPC in mid-2010. The
to cost US$1 billion, will be the fifth                                                                                                unit is expected to be completed by late
gas train at the refinery. It will utilise                                                                                             2013.
the offgas vented during refining of                                                                                                     Meanwhile, additional gas of 5 mcm
crude oil to produce liquefied                                                                                                         per day will also come from the third-
petroleum gas (LPG) and other                                                                                                          phase development of EPF 50 or the
associated products. The gas train will                                                                                                early production facilities 50 project,
also process associated gas produced                                                                                                   which was commissioned in 2008.
in the north and south-east of Kuwait                                                                                                    EPF 50 was Kuwait’s first gas project
into ethane and propane.                                                                                                               to be built on a build-own-operate (BOO)
  “Train 5 will have a capacity to                                                                                                     basis, as part of the Gulf state’s efforts to
process 23 million cubic metres per                                                                                                    seek private-sector investment into the
day of gas and 100,000 barrels per day                                                                                                 energy industry. The project now
of condensates,” said a Kuwait-based                                                                                                   produces 10 mcm per day of natural gas
industry official, who wished not to be                                                                                                and 50,000 bpd of condensates.




Work to begin on Iraq refinery
UOP has announced that the design of a                            technology package.                                                  for new refineries in Maissan and
proposed 300,000 barrel per day                                     “We are pleased to be working with                                 Kirkuk, both of which have a capacity of
transportation fuel refinery in Nassiriyah                        the SCOP again as Iraq focuses on                                    150,000 bpd.
in Iraq is set to start soon.                                     doubling its oil refining capacity,”                                   Iraq is planning to boost its existing
   In a statement on May 25, the                                  president and CEO of UOP, Rajeev                                     refining capacity to 1.6 million, or more
company – a division of US giant                                  Gautam, said.                                                        than double its current level, by 2017.
Honeywell – said that it had been                                   “The high yields delivered by our                                  This figure is expected to double again
selected by the State Company for Oil                             technologies combined with our                                       by 2030 on the back of increased
Projects (SCOP), under the Ministry of                            methodology for process unit integration                             domestic demand for transportation fuel.
Oil for Iraq, as a main contractor for the                        and optimisation will enable SCOP to                                   However, many analysts have
project.                                                          produce the maximum yields of high-                                  described these targets as overly
   This will see UOP carry out reforming,                         quality petrol and diesel product while                              ambitious, while a report released in
isomerisation, fluid catalytic cracking                           also maximising the economic value of                                April by the International Monetary Fund
and selective hydrotreating technologies                          the project,” he added.                                              (IMF) expressed doubts over Iraq’s
for the new facility. In addition, it will                          This is the third major Iraq refinery                              ability to reach this goal without
also supply basic engineering,                                    award for UOP. In 2010 the company                                   significant investment in both
technology licences, catalysts and                                won a contract from South Refineries                                 infrastructure and facilities.
specialty equipment as part of the overall                        Company and North Refineries Company




                                                                            Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                     Edited by Ian Simm
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
Downstream Monitor MENA                                                       01 June 2011, Week 08                                                                                       page 9


                                                                                      FUELS

Fuel trade picking up, but no real
end in sight for Libya’s troubles
Libya’s Western-backed rebels are                                    Last week, another tanker was                                     deputy foreign minister Khaled Kaim.
running out of crude as Ghadaffi’s forces                         scheduled to arrive in Benghazi carrying                                Kaim also told The Associated Press
continue with surprise attacks on their                           5,000 tonnes of liquefied petroleum gas                              that the Oil Minister had been in contact
oilfields, despite NATO’s protection.                             (LPG), but it was not clear whether it                               with the Prime Minister’s office in the
However, officials in Benghazi have                               reached its destination. According to AIS                            Libyan capital of Tripoli since fleeing the
decided not to hire private security firms                        ship-tracking data reported by Reuters, it                           country, without giving further details.
to protect the oilfields.                                         takes one to two days to cross the                                      This follows rising uncertainty over
   “We don’t want to repeat the debacle                           Mediterranean, from North to South.                                  Ghanem’s location, after Tunisia’s
we have seen, for example, in Iraq,”                                 In the hope that strangling Ghadaffi’s                            Foreign Minister Mouldi Kefi said that
provisional minister of finance Al                                fuel supplies will bring a speedy and                                he had escaped Libya and switched his
Tarhouni told the Financial Times. The                            peaceful resolution, NATO and Western                                loyalties away from Ghadaffi. He told the
provisional government is now low on                              allies continue to intensify the campaign                            Oil & Gas Journal: “I believe and I
funds, despite greater discussions about                          against Ghadaffi’s regime, increasing                                suspect… Ghanem just left Libya and
financial assistance by Western allies,                           aerial bombing attacks of Tripoli and                                that he is not any more working with the
and the Transitional National Council                             seeking to interrupt the flow of fuel in                             Ghadaffi regime.”
still has not succeeded in obtaining loans                        the areas of the country that are still                                 Ghanem’s presence in the OPEC
against frozen assets from the old regime.                        under his control. However, even if the                              meeting would not be well received by
   While Ghadaffi’s oil and gas                                   end of the conflict seems to be in sight,                            rebel forces, as they are hoping to send
shipments continue to be stifled by                               after they run out of supplies, Petroleum                            their own representative to the encounter.
economic sanctions, rebels are picking                            Economist has raised the question of                                 OGJ quoted Mahmum Shammam, media
up shipments from Tobruk, with two                                what will happen to the country, facing a                            spokesman for the rebel National
tankers fulfilling earlier contracts and the                      weakened structure and failed economy.                               Transitional Council, as saying: “We
latest one under a deal with Qatar, Abdel                                                                                              want to attend and will study the legal
Jalil Mayouf, spokesman for Arabian                               Missing in action                                                    procedure.” In the meantime, production
Gulf Oil Co. (Agoco) told the Financial                           The Libyan Oil Minister Shukri Ghanem                                is at a standstill, with new authorities in
Times.                                                            has been missing for over a week now,                                eastern Libya holding major oilfields
   Until now, the provisional government                          although he is expected to represent                                 since the uprising and oil companies
has spent US$480 million on fuel,                                 Libya at the meeting of the Organisation                             halting production amongst fears about
keeping the subsidised price of US$0.15                           of Petroleum Exporting Countries                                     the safety of their oil workers, the FT
per litre, Mayouf added.                                          (OPEC) on June 8, according to the                                   reported.




                                                                            Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                     Edited by Ian Simm
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
Downstream Monitor MENA                                                       01 June 2011, Week 08                                                                                     page 10


                                                                                      FUELS
  The Libyan rebels’ oil and finance                              there is a minimum level of security, we                               Libya’s crude oil reserves are now
minister told Reuters that oil production                         will resume production again, but I don’t                            producing less than 500,000 barrels per
was not expected to resume in the near                            think that will happen in the next two to                            day, the minister explained. Before the
future over concerns with the security of                         three weeks; it will take some time”, he                             unrest, the country was producing around
oilfields. “As soon as I’m confident that                         said.                                                                1.6 million bpd.




Egypt set to hike gas
prices for neighbours
Egypt intends to extract a higher price for                       Egypt peace treaty and that 79% had a                                2005 between Egypt’s Eastern
its gas exports to neighbouring states,                           negative view of the US. The interim                                 Mediterranean Gas (EMG) and Israel
targeting increased revenues of US$3-4                            Egyptian administration is set to pursue a                           Electric Corporation.
billion, according to a recent note from                          course more in line with public opinion                                 A lack of transparency over the deal,
Barclays Capital. The report said the                             than Mubarak.                                                        BarCap said, has led to concerns about
North African state was facing a 9.4%                               A sign of this new course is an                                    corruption in the contract and Cairo said
GDP deficit for the 2011-12 fiscal year.                          agreement brokered earlier this month by                             it had lost US$714 million as a result. A
   Subsidies would benefit from the extra                         Egypt between Hamas and Fatah – a                                    number of officials have been arrested
cash, BarCap said, with a rise of 50% for                         move towards a Palestinian unity                                     over the deal, including the former
diesel and natural gas, reaching US$10.1                          government. In addition, Cairo has re-                               petroleum minister, Sameh Fahmy, and
billion. Around 25% would go on gas.                              opened the Rafah crossing allowing                                   Interpol has been asked to arrest a
   In addition to the economic benefits                           access to the Gaza strip. Furthermore,                               businessman, Hussein Salem, who is said
for Egyptians of such a price increase for                        Egypt has indicated it may be time to re-                            to have been close to Mubarak.
exports, the shift also reflects changes in                       establish diplomatic relations with Iran.                               Israel receives 9.3% of Egypt’s total
the political mood.                                                 BarCap qualified these actions by                                  gas exports and 31% of pipeline exports.
   The former president, Hosni Mubarak,                           noting there had not been a complete                                 Israel has taken steps towards self
was a close ally of the US and had good                           break with Mubarak’s foreign policies                                sufficiency, with gas finds made offshore
relations to Israel, while he was also an                         and that the peace agreement with Israel                             and plans for a liquefied natural gas
“ardent foe” of Iran, Hamas and                                   would remain. Egypt is highly reliant on                             (LNG) terminal. Jordan also receives
Hezbollah. The current administration –                           funds from the US and Saudi Arabia,                                  cheap gas – at US$83 per 1,000 cubic
and the expected shape of politics after                          which will moderate any movements                                    metres – from Egypt. Jordan, though, has
elections – has different views.                                  away from Israel and towards Iran.                                   managed to avoid most talk of pricing
   BarCap quoted a recent survey of                                 The provision of subsidised gas to                                 shortfalls, as public opinion is less
Egyptians as showing a slight majority of                         Egypt’s neighbours, though, is likely to                             opposed to the country’s government.
those polled opposed the 1979 Israel-                             change. A 15-year deal was signed in


                                                                 PETROCHEMICALS

EPC firms to submit bids
for Safco urea train
Seven leading engineering, procurement                            the main contractor to build a fifth urea                            Kellogg Brown & Root of the US;
and construction (EPC) firms have been                            train at its facility in Jubail.                                     Chiyoda Corp. of Japan; Germany’s
prequalified to submit both technical and                            The prequalifiers are: Daelim                                     Uhde, and a team of Saipem of Italy and
commercial bids by June 23 to Saudi                               Industrial Company and Samsung                                       Paris-based Technip.
Arabian Fertiliser Company (Safco) for                            Engineering, both of South Korea;



                                                                            Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                     Edited by Ian Simm
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
Downstream Monitor MENA                                                       01 June 2011, Week 08                                                                                     page 11


                                                                 PETROCHEMICALS
  Estimated to be worth US$450-500                                contract by late 2011.                                               market and the remaining 87% is
million, the scope of works for the EPC                              Non-availability of feedstock natural                             exported to Asia.
contract includes the construction of a                           gas from Saudi Aramco had proved to be                                  Urea is widely used as a fertiliser for
new urea train, a reactor, separation units                       a stumbling block in the proposed                                    agricultural production, but it also has
and concentrator, heat exchangers and                             expansion that Safco has been planning                               applications in the production of
condensers, an absorber unit, evaporation                         since 2008.                                                          melamine, urea-formaldehyde resin and
and debottlenecking plant, as well as air                            Safco is the first petrochemical project                          acrylate plastic. At present, Safco is a
and carbon dioxide compressors.                                   to be set up in the kingdom in 1965 as a                             subsidiary of Saudi Basic Industries
  The front-end engineering and design                            joint venture between the government                                 Corp. (SABIC), which holds a 41%
(FEED) package for the new train has                              and Saudi citizens. It has since grown to                            stake, while the remaining 59% is spread
been prepared by Chiyoda Corp. It will                            be the largest urea producer in the                                  across company employees and Saudi
have a capacity of 3,250 tonnes per day                           Middle East with a total annual output of                            investors. Feedstock natural gas for the
and is targeted for completion by late                            more than 2.6 million tonnes. Of the total                           plant is sourced from Aramco’s onshore
2013. Safco is aiming to award the                                production, 13% is sold to the GCC                                   oilfields.




Iran proposes ‘petchem OPEC’
Iran has put forward a proposal to                                for this industry, as well as safeguard the                          active. We want true co-operation and
establish an international petrochemical                          interests of those with stakes in this                               negotiation in an international
association that would be similar in                              business,” he said.                                                  association. We want to rotate the place
scope to the Organisation of Petroleum                               “In terms of grand policies and                                   for the headquarters of such a forum. We
Exporting Countries (OPEC).                                       operational activities there will be many                            want it to have subsidiary centres.”
   Speaking at an international                                   similarities between these two                                          In December 2010, the GPCA said that
petrochemical conference in Tehran on                             organisations but we must keep in mind                               it had refused to help its Iranian members
May 22, Abdolhossein Bayat, the                                   that the petrochemical industry’s global                             address the international sanctions
director of Iran’s National Iranian                               field of activities is much broader than                             imposed on them – a decision that has
Petrochemical Company (NIPC) said that                            OPEC’s,” he added.                                                   seen relations cool in recent months.
while the association would not precisely                            The announcement could spell the end                                 During Bayat’s speech, he said that
be a petrochemical equivalent to the                              of Iran’s relationship with the Gulf                                 Iran was due to bring around 65 new
organisation, its “objectives would be                            Petrochemicals and Chemicals                                         petrochemical projects onstream by
similar.”                                                         Association (GPCA), which was founded                                2015, upping the country’s annual
   “I hereby announce in this forum that                          in 2006. Bayat expressed his                                         production capacity by 66 million tonnes.
the Islamic Republic of Iran proposes the                         dissatisfaction with the group, describing                           These include eight methanol and nine
establishment of an international                                 it as having failed to meet Iran’s                                   ammonia facilities as part of Iran’s plan
petrochemical association to adopt                                “objectives.”                                                        to become the world’s leading producer
macro-policies and to conduct planning                               Bayat said: “The GPCA is not very                                 of petrochemical products by 2025.


                                                        TERMINALS & STORAGE

Shell begins bunker operations
at Jebel Ali Port
Shell Marine Products recently                                    largest container port in the Middle East,                           Port, a fast-growing container port, puts
announced that it had started supplying                           and added that the launch of these                                   Shell in an excellent position to support
marine fuels at Jebel Ali Port in Dubai.                          operations was a reinforcement of Shell’s                            liners operating in the Middle East,” said
  The company said that it was the only                           selective strategy to extend its network of                          Shell Markets Middle East general
global integrated energy company to set                           ports in the Gulf region.                                            manager, Richard Jory, in a statement in
up operations at the port, which is the                              “The strategic location of Jebel Ali                              Dubai.


                                                                            Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                     Edited by Ian Simm
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
Downstream Monitor MENA                                                       01 June 2011, Week 08                                                                                     page 12


                                                        TERMINALS & STORAGE
   Shell said that it had acquired several                        transparency in the quality of                                       brings improved accuracy and
storage tanks adjacent to the main                                measurement of marine fuels delivery.                                transparency to the fuel delivery
terminals at Jebel Ali Port and had set up                           “We welcome Shell’s bunker                                        process,” he added.
an 8,000 tonne high-capacity bunker                               operations as an important contribution                                 Maersk Oil Trading business
barge for delivering fuels and services.                          towards strengthening the services for                               development manager, Jesper
   Previously used in Singapore, the                              vessels calling at Jebel Ali Port,” DP                               Rosenkrans Ødum, commented:
barge is one of the first vessels to use                          World UAE Region senior vice president                               “Integrity in the custody transfer of fuels
mass flow meters in the Middle East,                              and managing director, Mohammed Al                                   remains an important issue in bunkering
according to the company.                                         Muallem, said. “On top of the assurance                              and Shell’s adoption of mass flow meter
   Shell Marine said that through the                             that our products are always vetted                                  measurement in Jebel Ali promotes a
implementation of the latest flow meter                           according to rigorous standards, the use                             greater level of transparency across the
technology, it aimed to increase                                  of mass flow meter technology now                                    marine industry.”




Qatar’s Barwa Bank reaches
finance deal with NPS
National Petroleum Services Group                                 Bahrain, Syria, Brunei, Malaysia,                                    months and years,” he said.
(NPS), a Middle East-based provider of                            Singapore, Libya, and Iraq. It is also                                 Barwa Bank said it would continue to
drilling, customised well services and oil                        currently engaged by oil companies such                              work closely with the energy sector
and gas industry client support, has                              as Saudi Aramco, Qatar Petroleum,                                    within Qatar and elsewhere in the region.
entered into a 529 million riyal (US$145                          Mearsk, Shell, Total, ConocoPhillips and                             NPS’ business plan is focused on
million) financing agreement with                                 Occidental.                                                          expanding and consolidating its range of
Qatar’s Barwa Bank.                                                  In a statement, head of banking at                                petroleum services, partly through
  NPS’ agreement with Barwa, described                            Barwa Bank, Keith Bradley, said of the                               geographical expansion and strategic
as Qatar’s newest Shariah-compliant                               deal: “NPS has a solid track record of                               mergers and acquisitions.
banking service provider, is to refinance                         steady growth, and we look forward to                                  To this end, it has entered into a
an existing NPS syndication and support                           partnering with NPS to support its further                           number of technical alliances with
the company’s expansion and working                               expansion going forward.”                                            companies such as Medeng – which
capital.                                                             Abdul Aziz Al Delaimi, NPS’                                       designs and develops flow metering
  NPS was formed out of the merger of                             chairman, said that Barwa Bank had                                   equipment for the oil and gas industry –
three multinational oil and gas service                           structured an innovative facility that                               and EOR Solutions, which supplies
companies that had been operating in the                          closely matched his company’s needs.                                 solutions for increased oil production
Middle East since the early 1980s. Its                            “The relationship has got off to a very                              through enhanced oil recovery.
products and services now span countries                          strong start and we are looking forward
such as Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the UAE,                             to strengthening it over the coming


                                                                       NEWS IN BRIEF
                                                                  to follow the International System of                                applying SI.
POLICY                                                            Units, or SI.                                                        “The decision to shift to meter in official
                                                                  According to the Emirates Authority for                              and commercial activities, especially in
UAE to enforce                                                    Standardization and Metrology (ESMA),                                the real estate sector, was announced in
metric system for                                                 no more feet, inches or yard, will be used                           August last year. The move is in line

November
                                                                  as measurement units with effect from                                with the UAE Cabinet of 2006 on the
                                                                  11/11/11 – a well suited date to have a                              national system of measurement, which
After the successful implementation and                           world unified system.                                                mandates the use SI as a basis for the
replacement of gallon with liter for                              From November 11, these units will be                                legal units of measurement in the
petroleum products in January this year,                          replaced with liter and meter along with                             country,” ESMA announced on
the UAE government has decided to do                              their sub-units to comply with World                                 Wednesday.
away with other ancient measuring units                           Trade Organization regulations calls for

                                                                            Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd.
                                                                                www.newsbase.com                                                                     Edited by Ian Simm
   All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All
         reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
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Downstream Monitor Mena Week 08

  • 1. 01 June 2011 NewsBase Week 08 Issue 08 Downstream Monitor   News Analysis  Intelligence –– MENA ––  NewsBase Published by COMMENTARY 2 NEWS THIS WEEK… Iran overview  Iran’s downstream industries battle through sanctions challenge 2  Yemen on the brink of civil war 4  International funding lines up for In the seventh instalment of a series of Middle East North Africa 5 and North African country profiles, Downstream REFINING 7 MENA gives an overview of Iran’s downstream  OAPEC sees half of refinery projects sector. delayed 7  Israel’s Oil Refineries announces  Iran hopes to bring 61 petrochemical projects Q1 profit 7 onstream by 2015 at a cost of US$43 billion. (Page 2)  KNPC to issue tender for mega gas train 8  Work to begin on Iraq refinery 8  International sanctions have stifled Iran’s attempts to become an LNG exporter. (Page 2) FUELS 9  trade picking up, but no real end Fuel  While Western ties have been depleted, Iran’s in sight for Libya’s troubles 9 relationships with China and India are blossoming.(Page 3)  Egypt set to hike gas prices for Upheaval and impact neighbours 10 PETROCHEMICALS 10  firms to submit bids for Safco EPC Yemen’s oil sector is becoming riskier as the urea train 10 country plunges into political turmoil. With heavy  proposes ‘petchem OPEC’ Iran 11 gun battles resuming in the capital, civil war is an TERMINALS & STORAGE 11 ever more likely scenario.  begins bunker operations at Shell Jebel Ali Port 11  Pipelines are being attacked, while IOCs have  Qatar’s Barwa Bank reaches finance been pulling out. (Page 4) deal with NPS 12 NEWS IN BRIEF 12  Petrol imports have increased three-fold and the unrest has cost the country around US$4 billion.(Page 5) TENDERS & CONTRACTS 22 For analysis and commentary on these and other stories, plus the latest downstream developments, see inside… Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 2. Downstream Monitor MENA 01 June 2011, Week 08 page 2 COMMENTARY Iran’s downstream industries battle through sanctions challenge Despite international sanctions, Iran’s oil and gas industry remains of major importance. Challenges face the country’s downstream sector, however, major investments have been announced By Martin Clark  OPEC pegs the country’s oil reserves at 137 billion barrels  hopes to bring 61 petrochemical projects onstream by 2015 at a cost of US$43 billion Iran  While Western ties have been depleted, Iran’s relationship with China and India is blossoming Note: This is the seventh in a series of country-specific commentaries, intended to give an overview of downstream activities and capabilities in the MENA region. The next instalment will cover Algeria. Iran’s oil and gas sector is huge by By then, the report stated that 61 These have been ratcheted up in recent almost any measure, but it could be so petrochemical projects would be times amid concerns from the US and its much more but for the bite of sanctions onstream at a cost of US$43 billion. allies that Iran’s nuclear energy and its frosty relations with much of the programme is being used to develop Western world. Sanctions challenge nuclear weapons, an allegation denied by The Islamic Republic holds the world’s And yet the downstream sector, much Tehran. second largest natural gas reserves after like the upstream, is faced with critical Western sanctions were tightened a Russia, an estimated 29,610 billion cubic challenges and bottlenecks as a result of year ago to exploit Iran’s lack of metres (bcm), according to figures from the international sanctions facing the domestic refinery capacity, which meant the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting country. it had to import 30-40% of its petrol. Countries (OPEC). Still, Iran’s massive The country is also the cartel’s hydrocarbon reserves, and the second biggest crude oil substantial income it receives producer, with the capacity to from energy exports, have pump around 3.5 million barrels helped grow the downstream per day. Again, according to industry despite the many OPEC, proven oil reserves stand practical challenges that blight at around 137 billion barrels. the sector. As a result, the downstream These include limits on sector too, from refineries to foreign companies working in petrochemicals factories, is the country, including a substantial, and growing. complete absence of US and Refinery capacity currently some other international firms, stands at over 1.5 million bpd, plus reduced access to new according to OPEC data. technology and external And there are massive plans sources of capital. for growth detailed in Iran’s 20- It has thrown up added year strategic plan. complications in planning and The Tehran Times reported on executing certain export this last week, with the projects, notably Iran’s much- government targeting hyped but long-delayed hopes petrochemical output to reach for establishing itself as a 100 million tonnes by 2015, the major liquefied natural gas end of its fifth five-year (LNG) producer. development plan. Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 3. Downstream Monitor MENA 01 June 2011, Week 08 page 3 COMMENTARY Despite its enviable gas deposits, straightforward. there is still no firm indication when Last week, an explosion at an Abadan Iran will export its first consignment oil refinery, Iran’s largest, during a visit of LNG, with technology constraints by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, and access to markets holding back killed two people and injured 12. any development. The circumstances behind the blast Tehran officials have repeatedly remain something of a mystery, however. talked up the country’s potential to Iranian media said the explosion was rival Qatar as a world-beating LNG caused by a technical fault and did not seller. speculate on the possibility of an attack So far, however, while Qatar has on the president. recently put the finishing touches on Industrial accidents are not uncommon its decade-long vision to grow LNG in Iran’s under-performing oil and gas production to a whopping 77 million industry, although energy assets are also tonnes per year, Iran’s production occasional targets for sabotage by rebel remains at zero. groups in various parts of the country. Simultaneous explosions have Investment damaged gas pipelines on two separate But that should not mask the genuine occasions in 2011, with officials either progress that has been made in other giving no explanation or ruling out areas, with Iran – despite all the technical problems, implying foul play. hurdles it faces – a major downstream It means assessing how much sanctions supplier to world markets. are hurting Iran, and affecting its fuel While local companies, led by the import needs, is something of a guessing state-owned National Iranian Oil fundamental importance to China’s game. An emergency plan was initiated Company (NIOC) and its many spin-offs growing economy, and this is likely to to produce petrol at petrochemical plants and subsidiaries, have led developments, expand further in new downstream as well as speed up new refinery projects. foreign investment is also filtering industries, driving investment by state- While Iranian officials suggest the through too. backed Chinese companies. country is self-sufficient, now even The sensitivities associated with Iran’s China’s big energy companies, the exporting fuel, many analysts dismiss sanctions mean that information on this likes of China National Petroleum Corp. these claims. investment, specifically who is doing (CNPC) and China Petroleum & President Ahmadinejad himself played what, can be hard to come by. Chemical Corp. Ltd. (Sinopec), already down the sanctions impact last week, Last week, Iranian press reported that a have a clutch of interests in Iran, from following the Abadan explosion. Chinese company was ready to invest upstream oilfield activities to refining “The enemy’s hope to exert pressure US$5 billion in petrochemicals projects projects.] on Iran by restricting oil products has at the Mahshahr Special Economic Zone, turned into complete desperation,” he in the southwest of the country. Refining pressure was quoted as saying by local news Typically, the company – which has But understanding Iran’s energy sector source, IRIB. also reportedly opened talks with Iran’s and its performance is rarely Rhetoric is nothing new to Iran National Petrochemical Company (NPC) watchers, all a part of the cat and mouse to build a giant methanol unit in the Pars What is clear is that while game Tehran plays with its rivals, but it Special Energy Zone – was not identified can also distort the true picture of the in the report. sanctions may be having nation’s energy sector. What is certain, however, is that an effect, the demand for What is clear is that while sanctions relations with China, and to a lesser may be having an effect, the demand for degree India, have blossomed as Iran’s natural resources globally natural resources globally is such that associations with older Western partners is such that Iran’s role in Iran’s role in supplying downstream have deteriorated. markets – and its future role – is not Iran’s oil shipments are now of supplying downstream likely to diminish anytime soon. markets is not likely to diminish anytime soon Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 4. Downstream Monitor MENA 01 June 2011, Week 08 page 4 COMMENTARY Yemen on the brink of civil war Yemen’s oil sector is becoming riskier as the country plunges into political turmoil. With heavy gun battles resuming in the capital, civil war is turning into an ever more likely scenario By Nádia Morais  of al-Qaeda assuming power is rife Fear  Pipelines are being attacked, while IOCs have been pulling out  Petrol imports have increased three-fold and the unrest has cost the country around US$4 billion Recent unrest in Yemen has already seen Attacks on protesters country further away from a resolution to over 50 people killed in demonstrations Meanwhile, government forces have this political crisis,” she said. in the Southern city of Taiz, as well as launched attacks against protesters in EU Policy Chief Catherine Ashton was hundreds injured, following the relentless Taiz and the coastal city of Zinjibar. quoted by the Associated Press as saying fighting in the capital, Sana’a, between The United Nations said reports she was “shocked” by the use of force tribesmen and the forces of the president, indicated that deaths in Taiz had been and live ammunition and described Ali Abdullah Saleh, ending a day-long caused by “Yemeni army, Republican attacks on medical centres as truce. Guards and other government-affiliated “appalling.” With Saleh refusing to step down elements, which forcibly destroyed the Observers see the government’s recent despite months of protests against his protest camp in Horriya Square, using attacks as an attempt to retain power, rule, BBC News reported that further water cannons, bulldozers and live following the tribesmen taking control of demonstrations were expected ammunition.” government buildings and attempts to throughout the country. Navi Pillay, the UN High seize the headquarters of the ruling party, In Sana’a, battles have again exploded; Commissioner for Human Rights, urged the General People’s Congress. as the president’s opposition has accused all parties to find a resolution. “Such According to a report by IHS Global Saleh of letting the city fall under al- reprehensible acts of violence and Insight, with clashes likely to escalate Qaeda’s power, causing widespread fear indiscriminate attacks on unarmed further, Yemen’s recent history of events of a potential Islamist takeover, AFP civilians by armed security officers must could plunge it into civil war: the reported. stop immediately. Further violence will political and economic situation become only yield more insecurity and move the darker every day, while Yemen’s previously blooming oil production is facing serious disruption. Catastrophe beyond imagination In early May, the country’s oil minister, Amir al-Aidarous, sent out a warning that the country’s lack of security had led to a major slowdown in terms of its oil production, exports and refining, which was creating “a catastrophe beyond imagination,” since Yemen relies heavily on oil exports – roughly 70% of the government’s income. Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 5. Downstream Monitor MENA 01 June 2011, Week 08 page 5 COMMENTARY IHS Global Insight reported that repair purchasing refining products as “an and further undermine oil and gas work on damaged pipelines was making easier choice.” production and exports in the country,” slow progress and attacks were showing said IHS analyst Samuel Ciszuk. And no signs of abating. Yemen also lacks the Impact of security the crisis with no-one seemingly able to mediate right type of crude to be sent from its Ras Deteriorating security in the country is between Sheik Sadeq al-Ahmar, the head Isa port to its main refinery in Aden. also expected to impact oil and gas of the most powerful tribal confederation The resulting lack of refined products production and exports further, as most in the country, and the government, the to satisfy the domestic market has led to International Oil Companies (IOCs) have risk of more tribes getting involved could further complications, creating already heavily reduced their workforces, escalate. widespread discontent about the causing a severe shortage of available government’s capabilities to deal with skilled personnel, which will make it Political unrest the situation. This has also forced the increasingly difficult for production In March, al-Ahmar declared he would Yemeni government to use resources that levels to return to normal any time soon. support the popular forces requesting could be invested elsewhere in crude This also causes a growing need for Saleh’s resignation after he failed to sign imports for the Aden refinery, as well as further investment in technology and a transition agreement on May 22. refined products to compensate for the facilities, which cannot be easily done as Meanwhile, government security current shortage. political uncertainty soars. forces attacked some of the tribal chiefs According to an oil ministry official According to IHS, the slowdown in who tried to mediate. The fear is now quoted by Reuters, the country is now production and the lack of human capital that tribal chiefs “will lose patience with buying 280,000 tonnes of diesel and could mean the country’s remaining the president and take matters in their 120,000 tonnes of petrol per month in the reserves will be lost, “potentially own hands,” IHS reported. international market, which represents a forever.” Facing a stronger al-Qaeda presence, three-fold increase in diesel imports, and And disruption is now becoming even Sana’a is expected to see more nearly four-fold when it comes to petrol greater, as tribes opposing the president widespread fighting, but the Southern purchases. have destroyed the pipeline that carries and Northern regions also pose an At present, the country can only use oil from Ma’rib, in central Yemen. increasingly serious risk. crude from Ma’rib in the Aden refinery, The country’s Minister of Industry and If the government declines in Sana’a, while output from the Masila area is soon Trade, Hisham Sharaf, estimates the Northern rebels could gain a stronger expected to be improved, through a overall costs of the unrest on Yemen’s position in the capital province, while in different pipeline to the Arabian Sea economy at US$4 billion. “We are the South, there also seems to be a coast, but this will not be enough to solve talking about a deficit that will break the conflict waiting to happen. the country’s refined products crisis. country… We are barely surviving, but All of this has led to the fear that the Reuters reported that because of the we have not collapsed and will not country could sink deeper into economic specificity of crude that can be used in collapse,” he said. crisis, hand in hand with intense political Aden, the government had opted for “The situation is likely to deteriorate uncertainty. International funding lines up for North Africa A range of sources have lined up to pledge support for Tunisia and Egypt By Christopher Coats  Tunisia and Egypt have signed up around US$20 billion in funding  Economic assistance is needed to tackle high youth unemployment  Instability in the area has deterred private-sector investments although there are opportunities Tunisia and Egypt have both undergone neighbours – face difficulties in countries, doubts remain about how traumatic political changes in the first rebalancing their books, where oil and many of these will move forward in the months of 2011 and have both recently gas production will play a strong role. wake of sprawling political and social received pledges of international cash. After a week of public announcements change. However, these two countries – and their regarding funding initiatives for MENA Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 6. Downstream Monitor MENA 01 June 2011, Week 08 page 6 COMMENTARY Over the last week, the World Bank, The extent to which these pledges will be According to Reuters, growth forecasts the G8, the International Monetary Fund met is unclear. for the Arab world by IIF show Yemen’s (IMF) and the European Investment While all groups have avoided offering economy will contract the most, by 4%, Bank (EIB) all set out new direct specific plans of action about how direct while in 2011 the economies of Syria funding, loan and forgiveness funding and loans will be applied, all will shrink by 3%, Egypt by 2.5% and programmes to help strengthen have made specific mention of the need Tunisia by 1.5%. transitional governments in the Middle to support and sustain energy production Additionally, growth rates should East and North Africa. in the region. stabilise and rebound somewhat by 2012 Driven by domestic policy plans from However, as plans from the different if some progress can be demonstrated in the US, the UK, France and Germany, international groups were announced, it the move towards political stability, but among others, the entities pledged became clear that these were likely to fall current unrest and worries that risks will billions of dollars to support political short of what the region claims it needs increase will keep much needed foreign stability and economic development to sustain growth and stability in the investment at bay. Some of these across the region, specifically targeting years ahead. countries do boast modest domestic Tunisia and Egypt. Earlier in the week, Tunisia had called reserves, but these are generally for international backing of US$25 insufficient – or too under-developed – to Funding pledges billion over the next five years, while a offer any financial support for the Early last week, the EIB announced a report from the IMF earlier in the week necessary infrastructure investment. US$7.6 billion support plan for the two suggested the region would need more countries as an extension of their existing than US$160 billion in external Opportunities Euro-Mediterranean Partnership. investment during the coming decade. Although this year’s changes have This was soon followed by a World The IMF said it could provide limited the attention and investment from Bank programme that would provide financing of around US$35 billion to oil- many state entities and potential US$4.5 billion for Egypt and US$1.5 importing countries in the region and that investors, some have signalled their billion for Tunisia over the next two donors would be needed to contribute. willingness to look past the slowdown years. Economic difficulties in the area, most and risks for longer-term projects. The week concluded with the gathering notably the high unemployment rates Ireland’s Petroceltic International, of the G8 in Deauville, France, where the among the young, were a contributing which has run into difficulties over its countries’ economic and political factor to instability earlier this year and exposure to North Africa, has set out stability took centre stage. With financial efforts must be made in order to improve plans to expand in the region. support from all but one member, the this situation. “We’re looking at deals in Egypt, group offered an array of funding and Tunisia and elsewhere, both farm-ins and forgiveness plans that amounted to Deficit new licence applications, but we’re approximately US$20 billion, according This oil and gas deficit has emerged as a mainly looking to get into farm-ins on to Reuters. The exception was Canada, core obstacle for development and development projects, which people are which refrained from pledging any stability, according to regional analysts finding it difficult to fund,” said the money to the region. and the Institute of International Finance minnow’s CEO, Brian O’Cathain, to According to the news service, specific (IIF), which lowered growth rate Reuters last week. components of the funding plans predictions for all MENA states that Despite the ongoing conflict in Libya, included US$250 million per year in stand as energy importers. Italy’s Eni has continued to pledge its development aid to Egypt support for staying in the from France and US$175 North African oil production country, going so far as to million over four years from Algeria Libya Egypt Tunisia Source: BP meet with anti-government the UK for political and forces in the eastern part of economic development. In 2 the country to discuss the addition, the US said it would resumption of exports in the forgive US$1 billion of 1.5 coming months. The Italian Egypt’s debt and provide an company’s CEO, Paolo million bpd additional US$1 billion in Scaroni, went so far as to tell 1 loan guarantees, with the Financial Times: “I have Germany pledging US$40 no doubt that one year from million up front and US$130 0.5 now the Libyan problem will million in the coming years. be behind us.” 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 7. Downstream Monitor MENA 01 June 2011, Week 08 page 7 REFINING OAPEC sees half of refinery projects delayed Increasing competition and weak million bpd, while the schemes cancelled products, to remove “the imbalance” as margins are affecting the investment on represent 1.315 million bpd. “some oil exporters import refined the refining industry in the Arab World, According to Makki, the figures product”, Makki was quoted as saying by Platts reported. provided by OAPEC concern January Reuters. During the 5th Annual Global Refining 2011 and the delays are being caused by The members of OAPEC have a total Summit in Rotterdam, an expert at the a decreasing demand justified by the of 53 refineries with a capacity of 7.06 Organisation of Arab Petroleum economic crisis as well as changes in the million bpd, 8% of the total global Exporting Countries (OAPEC), Imad price of the material needed. refining capacity. Makki, told the news agency that 51% of However, it is already certain that the Capacity is expected to grow to 12.86 the refinery plans in the region had been Yanbu and Jubail refinery projects will million bpd by 2015 once the new delayed and another 26% had been continue under construction in Saudi projects are completed, Makki added. cancelled. Arabia, with a planned processing OAPEC’s members include Algeria, “Only 23% [1.2 million barrels per day capacity for 400,000 bpd, he added. Bahrain, Kuwait, Libya, Syria, the UAE, worth of capacity] is under construction” The new projects aim to replace low- Egypt, Iraq, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and in Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Kuwait, he efficiency refineries and integrate with Tunisia. explained. The share of projects delayed petrochemical plants while reducing the represents a production capacity of 2.594 yield of fuel oil and increasing light Israel’s Oil Refineries announces Q1 profit Haifa-based Oil Refineries Ltd. (ORL) “Oil Refineries achieved higher the North African country. Egypt is posted a net profit of US$6 million for refining margins than the benchmark and ORL’s main supplier of natural gas. the first quarter of 2011 on May 23 showed strong growth in the “There were two acts of sabotage on against a net loss of US$4 million for the petrochemicals sector,” said CEO Pinhas the Egyptian gas pipeline in recent equivalent period last year. Buchris. months, and gas deliveries to Israel have The increase came on the back of a “The disaster in Japan boosted demand not yet resumed after the second attack,” combination of higher prices for fuel for petrochemicals products in Buchris said. products and improved refining margins. international markets, which Oil “Oil Refineries has not received During the period the company, which Refineries knew how to spot to meet natural gas deliveries from [EMG], and operates Israel’s largest refinery, saw its market needs,” he added. the company [has] therefore decided to adjusted refining margin climb to However, the news was not all buy natural gas from another supplier,” US$3.90 per barrel from US$3.20 per positive, with the recent attacks on he added. barrel in the first three months of 2010. Egypt’s East Mediterranean Gas Co. On May 27, the firm said that it had In addition, the benchmark margin fell to (EMG) leading to halt in imports from signed a contract with the local Yam US$0.50 per barrel from US$3.50 per Tethys project that would see it buy barrel. US$350 million of Israeli natural gas This helped offset a fall in refining over the next 27 months. volume to 2.06 million tonnes from 2.13 In a statement ORL said it had not million tonnes in the corresponding changed its contract with EMG as a quarter, while the utilisation of result of the agreement, and that the deal production plants also dropped to 86% had been necessary to meet supply from 89%. needs. Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 8. Downstream Monitor MENA 01 June 2011, Week 08 page 8 REFINING KNPC to issue tender for mega gas train Kuwait National Petroleum Company identified. “Ethane and propane, to be consultant (PMC) and the issue of the (KNPC) is aiming to issue a tender for produced from the new facility, will be main EPC contract. The new train will the main construction package covering a supplied as feedstock for new take 30 months to build. mega gas train at its Mina al-Ahmadi petrochemical capacity,” he said. Currently, South Korea’s Daelim refinery in late 2011-early 2012, The FEED package is due to be Industrial Company is carrying out the following the completion of a front-end completed by November. The next stage main EPC contract to install a fourth gas- engineering and design (FEED) work by in the project implementation will be the processing train at Mina al-Ahmadi of the UK’s Amec. appointment of a project management similar capacity under a US$886 million The new facility, which is estimated order placed by KNPC in mid-2010. The to cost US$1 billion, will be the fifth unit is expected to be completed by late gas train at the refinery. It will utilise 2013. the offgas vented during refining of Meanwhile, additional gas of 5 mcm crude oil to produce liquefied per day will also come from the third- petroleum gas (LPG) and other phase development of EPF 50 or the associated products. The gas train will early production facilities 50 project, also process associated gas produced which was commissioned in 2008. in the north and south-east of Kuwait EPF 50 was Kuwait’s first gas project into ethane and propane. to be built on a build-own-operate (BOO) “Train 5 will have a capacity to basis, as part of the Gulf state’s efforts to process 23 million cubic metres per seek private-sector investment into the day of gas and 100,000 barrels per day energy industry. The project now of condensates,” said a Kuwait-based produces 10 mcm per day of natural gas industry official, who wished not to be and 50,000 bpd of condensates. Work to begin on Iraq refinery UOP has announced that the design of a technology package. for new refineries in Maissan and proposed 300,000 barrel per day “We are pleased to be working with Kirkuk, both of which have a capacity of transportation fuel refinery in Nassiriyah the SCOP again as Iraq focuses on 150,000 bpd. in Iraq is set to start soon. doubling its oil refining capacity,” Iraq is planning to boost its existing In a statement on May 25, the president and CEO of UOP, Rajeev refining capacity to 1.6 million, or more company – a division of US giant Gautam, said. than double its current level, by 2017. Honeywell – said that it had been “The high yields delivered by our This figure is expected to double again selected by the State Company for Oil technologies combined with our by 2030 on the back of increased Projects (SCOP), under the Ministry of methodology for process unit integration domestic demand for transportation fuel. Oil for Iraq, as a main contractor for the and optimisation will enable SCOP to However, many analysts have project. produce the maximum yields of high- described these targets as overly This will see UOP carry out reforming, quality petrol and diesel product while ambitious, while a report released in isomerisation, fluid catalytic cracking also maximising the economic value of April by the International Monetary Fund and selective hydrotreating technologies the project,” he added. (IMF) expressed doubts over Iraq’s for the new facility. In addition, it will This is the third major Iraq refinery ability to reach this goal without also supply basic engineering, award for UOP. In 2010 the company significant investment in both technology licences, catalysts and won a contract from South Refineries infrastructure and facilities. specialty equipment as part of the overall Company and North Refineries Company Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 9. Downstream Monitor MENA 01 June 2011, Week 08 page 9 FUELS Fuel trade picking up, but no real end in sight for Libya’s troubles Libya’s Western-backed rebels are Last week, another tanker was deputy foreign minister Khaled Kaim. running out of crude as Ghadaffi’s forces scheduled to arrive in Benghazi carrying Kaim also told The Associated Press continue with surprise attacks on their 5,000 tonnes of liquefied petroleum gas that the Oil Minister had been in contact oilfields, despite NATO’s protection. (LPG), but it was not clear whether it with the Prime Minister’s office in the However, officials in Benghazi have reached its destination. According to AIS Libyan capital of Tripoli since fleeing the decided not to hire private security firms ship-tracking data reported by Reuters, it country, without giving further details. to protect the oilfields. takes one to two days to cross the This follows rising uncertainty over “We don’t want to repeat the debacle Mediterranean, from North to South. Ghanem’s location, after Tunisia’s we have seen, for example, in Iraq,” In the hope that strangling Ghadaffi’s Foreign Minister Mouldi Kefi said that provisional minister of finance Al fuel supplies will bring a speedy and he had escaped Libya and switched his Tarhouni told the Financial Times. The peaceful resolution, NATO and Western loyalties away from Ghadaffi. He told the provisional government is now low on allies continue to intensify the campaign Oil & Gas Journal: “I believe and I funds, despite greater discussions about against Ghadaffi’s regime, increasing suspect… Ghanem just left Libya and financial assistance by Western allies, aerial bombing attacks of Tripoli and that he is not any more working with the and the Transitional National Council seeking to interrupt the flow of fuel in Ghadaffi regime.” still has not succeeded in obtaining loans the areas of the country that are still Ghanem’s presence in the OPEC against frozen assets from the old regime. under his control. However, even if the meeting would not be well received by While Ghadaffi’s oil and gas end of the conflict seems to be in sight, rebel forces, as they are hoping to send shipments continue to be stifled by after they run out of supplies, Petroleum their own representative to the encounter. economic sanctions, rebels are picking Economist has raised the question of OGJ quoted Mahmum Shammam, media up shipments from Tobruk, with two what will happen to the country, facing a spokesman for the rebel National tankers fulfilling earlier contracts and the weakened structure and failed economy. Transitional Council, as saying: “We latest one under a deal with Qatar, Abdel want to attend and will study the legal Jalil Mayouf, spokesman for Arabian Missing in action procedure.” In the meantime, production Gulf Oil Co. (Agoco) told the Financial The Libyan Oil Minister Shukri Ghanem is at a standstill, with new authorities in Times. has been missing for over a week now, eastern Libya holding major oilfields Until now, the provisional government although he is expected to represent since the uprising and oil companies has spent US$480 million on fuel, Libya at the meeting of the Organisation halting production amongst fears about keeping the subsidised price of US$0.15 of Petroleum Exporting Countries the safety of their oil workers, the FT per litre, Mayouf added. (OPEC) on June 8, according to the reported. Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 10. Downstream Monitor MENA 01 June 2011, Week 08 page 10 FUELS The Libyan rebels’ oil and finance there is a minimum level of security, we Libya’s crude oil reserves are now minister told Reuters that oil production will resume production again, but I don’t producing less than 500,000 barrels per was not expected to resume in the near think that will happen in the next two to day, the minister explained. Before the future over concerns with the security of three weeks; it will take some time”, he unrest, the country was producing around oilfields. “As soon as I’m confident that said. 1.6 million bpd. Egypt set to hike gas prices for neighbours Egypt intends to extract a higher price for Egypt peace treaty and that 79% had a 2005 between Egypt’s Eastern its gas exports to neighbouring states, negative view of the US. The interim Mediterranean Gas (EMG) and Israel targeting increased revenues of US$3-4 Egyptian administration is set to pursue a Electric Corporation. billion, according to a recent note from course more in line with public opinion A lack of transparency over the deal, Barclays Capital. The report said the than Mubarak. BarCap said, has led to concerns about North African state was facing a 9.4% A sign of this new course is an corruption in the contract and Cairo said GDP deficit for the 2011-12 fiscal year. agreement brokered earlier this month by it had lost US$714 million as a result. A Subsidies would benefit from the extra Egypt between Hamas and Fatah – a number of officials have been arrested cash, BarCap said, with a rise of 50% for move towards a Palestinian unity over the deal, including the former diesel and natural gas, reaching US$10.1 government. In addition, Cairo has re- petroleum minister, Sameh Fahmy, and billion. Around 25% would go on gas. opened the Rafah crossing allowing Interpol has been asked to arrest a In addition to the economic benefits access to the Gaza strip. Furthermore, businessman, Hussein Salem, who is said for Egyptians of such a price increase for Egypt has indicated it may be time to re- to have been close to Mubarak. exports, the shift also reflects changes in establish diplomatic relations with Iran. Israel receives 9.3% of Egypt’s total the political mood. BarCap qualified these actions by gas exports and 31% of pipeline exports. The former president, Hosni Mubarak, noting there had not been a complete Israel has taken steps towards self was a close ally of the US and had good break with Mubarak’s foreign policies sufficiency, with gas finds made offshore relations to Israel, while he was also an and that the peace agreement with Israel and plans for a liquefied natural gas “ardent foe” of Iran, Hamas and would remain. Egypt is highly reliant on (LNG) terminal. Jordan also receives Hezbollah. The current administration – funds from the US and Saudi Arabia, cheap gas – at US$83 per 1,000 cubic and the expected shape of politics after which will moderate any movements metres – from Egypt. Jordan, though, has elections – has different views. away from Israel and towards Iran. managed to avoid most talk of pricing BarCap quoted a recent survey of The provision of subsidised gas to shortfalls, as public opinion is less Egyptians as showing a slight majority of Egypt’s neighbours, though, is likely to opposed to the country’s government. those polled opposed the 1979 Israel- change. A 15-year deal was signed in PETROCHEMICALS EPC firms to submit bids for Safco urea train Seven leading engineering, procurement the main contractor to build a fifth urea Kellogg Brown & Root of the US; and construction (EPC) firms have been train at its facility in Jubail. Chiyoda Corp. of Japan; Germany’s prequalified to submit both technical and The prequalifiers are: Daelim Uhde, and a team of Saipem of Italy and commercial bids by June 23 to Saudi Industrial Company and Samsung Paris-based Technip. Arabian Fertiliser Company (Safco) for Engineering, both of South Korea; Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 11. Downstream Monitor MENA 01 June 2011, Week 08 page 11 PETROCHEMICALS Estimated to be worth US$450-500 contract by late 2011. market and the remaining 87% is million, the scope of works for the EPC Non-availability of feedstock natural exported to Asia. contract includes the construction of a gas from Saudi Aramco had proved to be Urea is widely used as a fertiliser for new urea train, a reactor, separation units a stumbling block in the proposed agricultural production, but it also has and concentrator, heat exchangers and expansion that Safco has been planning applications in the production of condensers, an absorber unit, evaporation since 2008. melamine, urea-formaldehyde resin and and debottlenecking plant, as well as air Safco is the first petrochemical project acrylate plastic. At present, Safco is a and carbon dioxide compressors. to be set up in the kingdom in 1965 as a subsidiary of Saudi Basic Industries The front-end engineering and design joint venture between the government Corp. (SABIC), which holds a 41% (FEED) package for the new train has and Saudi citizens. It has since grown to stake, while the remaining 59% is spread been prepared by Chiyoda Corp. It will be the largest urea producer in the across company employees and Saudi have a capacity of 3,250 tonnes per day Middle East with a total annual output of investors. Feedstock natural gas for the and is targeted for completion by late more than 2.6 million tonnes. Of the total plant is sourced from Aramco’s onshore 2013. Safco is aiming to award the production, 13% is sold to the GCC oilfields. Iran proposes ‘petchem OPEC’ Iran has put forward a proposal to for this industry, as well as safeguard the active. We want true co-operation and establish an international petrochemical interests of those with stakes in this negotiation in an international association that would be similar in business,” he said. association. We want to rotate the place scope to the Organisation of Petroleum “In terms of grand policies and for the headquarters of such a forum. We Exporting Countries (OPEC). operational activities there will be many want it to have subsidiary centres.” Speaking at an international similarities between these two In December 2010, the GPCA said that petrochemical conference in Tehran on organisations but we must keep in mind it had refused to help its Iranian members May 22, Abdolhossein Bayat, the that the petrochemical industry’s global address the international sanctions director of Iran’s National Iranian field of activities is much broader than imposed on them – a decision that has Petrochemical Company (NIPC) said that OPEC’s,” he added. seen relations cool in recent months. while the association would not precisely The announcement could spell the end During Bayat’s speech, he said that be a petrochemical equivalent to the of Iran’s relationship with the Gulf Iran was due to bring around 65 new organisation, its “objectives would be Petrochemicals and Chemicals petrochemical projects onstream by similar.” Association (GPCA), which was founded 2015, upping the country’s annual “I hereby announce in this forum that in 2006. Bayat expressed his production capacity by 66 million tonnes. the Islamic Republic of Iran proposes the dissatisfaction with the group, describing These include eight methanol and nine establishment of an international it as having failed to meet Iran’s ammonia facilities as part of Iran’s plan petrochemical association to adopt “objectives.” to become the world’s leading producer macro-policies and to conduct planning Bayat said: “The GPCA is not very of petrochemical products by 2025. TERMINALS & STORAGE Shell begins bunker operations at Jebel Ali Port Shell Marine Products recently largest container port in the Middle East, Port, a fast-growing container port, puts announced that it had started supplying and added that the launch of these Shell in an excellent position to support marine fuels at Jebel Ali Port in Dubai. operations was a reinforcement of Shell’s liners operating in the Middle East,” said The company said that it was the only selective strategy to extend its network of Shell Markets Middle East general global integrated energy company to set ports in the Gulf region. manager, Richard Jory, in a statement in up operations at the port, which is the “The strategic location of Jebel Ali Dubai. Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents
  • 12. Downstream Monitor MENA 01 June 2011, Week 08 page 12 TERMINALS & STORAGE Shell said that it had acquired several transparency in the quality of brings improved accuracy and storage tanks adjacent to the main measurement of marine fuels delivery. transparency to the fuel delivery terminals at Jebel Ali Port and had set up “We welcome Shell’s bunker process,” he added. an 8,000 tonne high-capacity bunker operations as an important contribution Maersk Oil Trading business barge for delivering fuels and services. towards strengthening the services for development manager, Jesper Previously used in Singapore, the vessels calling at Jebel Ali Port,” DP Rosenkrans Ødum, commented: barge is one of the first vessels to use World UAE Region senior vice president “Integrity in the custody transfer of fuels mass flow meters in the Middle East, and managing director, Mohammed Al remains an important issue in bunkering according to the company. Muallem, said. “On top of the assurance and Shell’s adoption of mass flow meter Shell Marine said that through the that our products are always vetted measurement in Jebel Ali promotes a implementation of the latest flow meter according to rigorous standards, the use greater level of transparency across the technology, it aimed to increase of mass flow meter technology now marine industry.” Qatar’s Barwa Bank reaches finance deal with NPS National Petroleum Services Group Bahrain, Syria, Brunei, Malaysia, months and years,” he said. (NPS), a Middle East-based provider of Singapore, Libya, and Iraq. It is also Barwa Bank said it would continue to drilling, customised well services and oil currently engaged by oil companies such work closely with the energy sector and gas industry client support, has as Saudi Aramco, Qatar Petroleum, within Qatar and elsewhere in the region. entered into a 529 million riyal (US$145 Mearsk, Shell, Total, ConocoPhillips and NPS’ business plan is focused on million) financing agreement with Occidental. expanding and consolidating its range of Qatar’s Barwa Bank. In a statement, head of banking at petroleum services, partly through NPS’ agreement with Barwa, described Barwa Bank, Keith Bradley, said of the geographical expansion and strategic as Qatar’s newest Shariah-compliant deal: “NPS has a solid track record of mergers and acquisitions. banking service provider, is to refinance steady growth, and we look forward to To this end, it has entered into a an existing NPS syndication and support partnering with NPS to support its further number of technical alliances with the company’s expansion and working expansion going forward.” companies such as Medeng – which capital. Abdul Aziz Al Delaimi, NPS’ designs and develops flow metering NPS was formed out of the merger of chairman, said that Barwa Bank had equipment for the oil and gas industry – three multinational oil and gas service structured an innovative facility that and EOR Solutions, which supplies companies that had been operating in the closely matched his company’s needs. solutions for increased oil production Middle East since the early 1980s. Its “The relationship has got off to a very through enhanced oil recovery. products and services now span countries strong start and we are looking forward such as Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, to strengthening it over the coming NEWS IN BRIEF to follow the International System of applying SI. POLICY Units, or SI. “The decision to shift to meter in official According to the Emirates Authority for and commercial activities, especially in UAE to enforce Standardization and Metrology (ESMA), the real estate sector, was announced in metric system for no more feet, inches or yard, will be used August last year. The move is in line November as measurement units with effect from with the UAE Cabinet of 2006 on the 11/11/11 – a well suited date to have a national system of measurement, which After the successful implementation and world unified system. mandates the use SI as a basis for the replacement of gallon with liter for From November 11, these units will be legal units of measurement in the petroleum products in January this year, replaced with liter and meter along with country,” ESMA announced on the UAE government has decided to do their sub-units to comply with World Wednesday. away with other ancient measuring units Trade Organization regulations calls for Copyright © 2011 NewsBase Ltd. www.newsbase.com Edited by Ian Simm All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its contents