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Findwise seminar 29.2.2012




Trends in analytics
Anders Quitzau - innovationschef




                                   © 2012 IBM Corporation
What is happening out there?




2
We	
  are	
  ushering	
  in	
  a	
  new	
  wave	
  of	
  innova.on

                                                                                                                                                                                 Age                   6th	
  Wave
                                                                                                                                                              Age	
             of	
  IT	
  &
                                                                                                                                                       of	
  Oil,	
  Cars      Telecom
                                                                                                                       Age	
                            and	
  Mass	
  
                                                                                                                    of	
  Steel,	
  
                                                                                                                                                       Produc2on              5th	
  Wave
                                                                                                                   Electricity
                                                                                                                   and	
  Heavy	
  
                                                                                                                  Engineering                            4th	
  Wave
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Smarter
Innova.on




                                                                              Age	
  
                                                                        of	
  Steam	
                              3rd	
  Wave
                                The	
  
                                                                      and	
  Railways                                                                                                                     	
  Products
                             Industrial	
                                                                                                                                                                § Instrumented,	
  
                            Revolu2on                                   2nd	
  Wave                                                                                                                         interconnected,	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                            and	
  intelligent
                               1st	
  Wave
                                                                                                                                                                                                         § Building	
  blocks	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                            for	
  a	
  smarter	
  planet

                                                                                                                                                                                                         § Sustainability




             1770                                             1830                                        1875                                   1920                       1970                2010

            *Source:	
  	
  “Next	
  Genera2on	
  Green:	
  Tomorrow’s	
  Innova2on	
  Green	
  Business	
  Leaders”,	
  Business	
  Week,	
  Feb	
  4,	
  2008
4
As the planet gets smarter, the information explosion and rapid
change create new challenges for CIOs



        1.2 ZB                                                                                    44x
                                                                                                   Projected growth rate for digital
         Size of the world's total digital
         content in 20101                                                                          data from 2009 to 20201
         (1 zettabyte = 1 billion terabytes)




           22 billion                                                                             64 EB/mo
         Number of devices connected                                                               The volume of global Internet
         to the Internet by 20202                                                                  traffic expected by 20143
                                                                                                   (1 exabyte = 1 million terabytes)




Source: 1The Digital Universe - Are You Ready?, John Gantz and David Reinsel, IDC, May 2010 2Internet Connected Devices About to Pass the 5 Billion
         Milestone, IMS Research press release, August 16, 2010 3Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) : Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update,
         2009-2014, February 2010
                                                                                                                                                      © 2012 IBM Corporation
Predictive analytics, big data, social analytics, virtual assistants on
Gartners Hypecycle




6                                                               © 2012 IBM Corporation
Analytics is a major trend that will impact all business processes and
transforming the way decisions are made
                                                      Types of Analytics   Source: Forrester




     Trends in Analytics
               From                     To
        Offline / Back office   Embedded / Realtime
         Detailed Reports           Dashboards
             Historical              Predictive
            Structured             Unstructured
          Behind Firewall          Cloud / Mobile

 7                                                                                      © 2012 IBM Corporation
The key will be to leverage information and analytics to enable
informed, real-time decisions at the point of impact
                                                                               The breakaway
                                                                                 approach

                                                    Sense and                      Predict and
                                                     respond                           act

                                                    Instinct and                     Real-time,
  Lack of insight                                     intuition                     fact-driven

                                                 Skilled analytics
                                                      experts                        Everyone
         Inefficient access
                                                                                      Point of
                                                    Back office
                                                                                      impact
   Inability to predict
                                                    Automated                       Optimized

                Customer relations will require near real-time information and the
                       ability to change on the fly, which will require innovation.
                                                                   – Energy and Utility CIO
                                                                                              © 2012 IBM Corporation
We are crossing a threshold in our ability to produce information that
delivers insight and drives action


                        From              To
        Disease treatment                  Disease prevention


                                           Intelligent highways
        Traffic management
                                           and cars


        Financial crime                    Fraud detection
        and fraud                          and prevention


                                           Informed exploration
        Speculative oil exploration
                                           and targeted drilling




                                                                   © 2012 IBM Corporation
Findwise seminar 29.2.2012




Big data - analytics
Anders Quitzau - innovationschef




                                   © 2012 IBM Corporation
Every Smarter Planet Solution has Big Data and Needs Big Analytics




                               Smarter Planet



                     Faster Decisions   Deeper Insights
                Real-time Awareness     Predictive Models
            Reactive Analytics          Deep Analytics
        Data in Motion                   Data at Rest
                           Big Data
11                                                              © 2012 IBM Corporation
Smarter Computing


Integrating new approaches such as Big Data will unlock
new insights.

                       Traditional Approach                      New Approach
                          Structured, analytical, logical   Creative, holistic thought, intuition




                         Structured                                           Unstructured
                         Repeatable                                           Exploratory
                             Linear                                           Iterative
                    Monthly sales reports                                     Brand sentiment
                     Profitability analysis                                   Product strategy
                      Customer surveys                                        Maximum asset utilization




10                                                                                                  © 2011 IBM Corporation
How will Content Analytics be like in
2020?




                                   © 2012 IBM Corporation
New “Big Data” Brings New Opportunities, Requires New Analytics
     Exa
                                                                                       Homeland Security
                                                                                       600,000 records/sec, 50B/day
                      Up to
                      10,000                                                           1-2 ms/decision
                      Times                                                            320TB for Deep Analytics
     Peta
                      larger
        Data Scale




                                                                                       Telco Promotions
     Tera                                                                              100,000 records/sec, 6B/day
                        Data at Rest




                                                                                       10 ms/decision
                                                                                       270TB for Deep Analytics
Scale
Data




     Giga

                                                                                       DeepQA
                                                                                       100s GB for Deep Analytics
                      Traditional Data                                                 3 sec/decision
     Mega             Warehouse and
                      Business Intelligence
                                                   Data in         Up to 10,000
                                                   Motion          times faster
                                                                                       Smart Traffic
     Kilo                                                                              250K GPS probes/sec
                                                                                       630K segments/sec
                 yr        mo          wk   day   hr   min   sec      …    ms     µs   2 ms/decision, 4K vehicles
                      Occasional                  Frequent            Real-time
                                            Decision Frequency
14                                                                                                 © 2012 IBM Corporation
Big Data Systems Require a Data-centric Architecture for
Performance

     Old Compute-centric Model                                        New Data-centric Model
                                            Manycore        FPGA




                             out
               t                   put
       in   pu                              Massive Parallelism
                                            Persistent Memory




                                          Flash        Phase Change
       Data lives on disk and tape                                    Data lives in persistent memory
       Move data to CPU as needed                                     Many CPU’s surround and use
       Deep Storage Hierarchy                                         Shallow/Flat Storage Hierarchy


                      Largest change in system architecture since the System 360
                   Huge impact on hardware, systems software, and application design
15                                                                                      © 2012 IBM Corporation
Watson - IBMs DeepQA
- den største IT-revolution siden transistoren




                                                 © 2011 IBM Corporation
From the final match......




17                           © 2012 IBM Corporation
From battling humans at Jeopardy! to transforming business

   To compete at Jeopardy!,                Watson-like capabilities can
humans and computers need to:            now be applied to your business:


                                           Manage massive amounts of
Tap into a broad, open domain of
                                          data from business operations
              clues
                                            and an instrumented world


                                            Deal with structured and
Parse complex human language                unstructured data to gain
                                           meaningful insight into your
                                                    business

 Be highly precise at finding the         Have a high level of confidence
  answer and put a confidence                in analytics to make key
       behind that answer                       business decisions


     Do all of that in under three       Do it at the speed of business, in
                seconds                                real time
18                                                              © 2012 IBM Corporation
Watson’s analytics are more than search

§ Web search returns a ranked list of
   ‘possible’ web pages containing the
   requested data
   ‣ Search engine results are based on
     popularity and page ranking;
   ‣ User must still analyze results – sift
     through a web page -- to find the best
     answer.

§ Watson’s analytics understand the
   structure and wording of the question
   asked
   ‣ Finds a specific answer;
   ‣ Ranks its answer and provides a level of
     ‘confidence’ that this is correct based on
     previous experience.

§ Watson answers ‘natural language’
   questions
   ‣ May contain puns, slang, jargon and
     acronyms that must all be evaluated.

                                                  © 2012 IBM Corporation
Announced Aug 18, 2011 - IBM has developed prototype of
‘brainlike’ cognitive chip




20                                                        © 2012 IBM Corporation
Future Systems – The Learning Paradigm



                              Society        Nature      Institutions   Archives




       (Natural Interfaces)
                                Training and Learning Engines
                                 To Build Models and Define Insight                Policy Engine
       Active Learning                                                              Business, Legal
                                                                                   and Ethical Rules


     Verification Engines               Hypothesis Engines
       (e.g. Simulations)          To Understand and Plan Actions




                                         Outcome Engine
                                        Actuation and Validation



21                                                                                        © 2012 IBM Corporation
                                                                                                         60
Year 2020?




             © 2012 IBM Corporation
Prepare yourself and your organisation for 6.th wave!




23                                                           © 2012 IBM Corporation

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Trends in analytics and big data

  • 1. Findwise seminar 29.2.2012 Trends in analytics Anders Quitzau - innovationschef © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 2. What is happening out there? 2
  • 3. We  are  ushering  in  a  new  wave  of  innova.on Age 6th  Wave Age   of  IT  & of  Oil,  Cars Telecom Age   and  Mass   of  Steel,   Produc2on 5th  Wave Electricity and  Heavy   Engineering 4th  Wave Smarter Innova.on Age   of  Steam   3rd  Wave The   and  Railways  Products Industrial   § Instrumented,   Revolu2on 2nd  Wave interconnected,   and  intelligent 1st  Wave § Building  blocks   for  a  smarter  planet § Sustainability 1770 1830 1875 1920 1970 2010 *Source:    “Next  Genera2on  Green:  Tomorrow’s  Innova2on  Green  Business  Leaders”,  Business  Week,  Feb  4,  2008
  • 4. 4
  • 5. As the planet gets smarter, the information explosion and rapid change create new challenges for CIOs 1.2 ZB 44x Projected growth rate for digital Size of the world's total digital content in 20101 data from 2009 to 20201 (1 zettabyte = 1 billion terabytes) 22 billion 64 EB/mo Number of devices connected The volume of global Internet to the Internet by 20202 traffic expected by 20143 (1 exabyte = 1 million terabytes) Source: 1The Digital Universe - Are You Ready?, John Gantz and David Reinsel, IDC, May 2010 2Internet Connected Devices About to Pass the 5 Billion Milestone, IMS Research press release, August 16, 2010 3Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) : Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update, 2009-2014, February 2010 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 6. Predictive analytics, big data, social analytics, virtual assistants on Gartners Hypecycle 6 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 7. Analytics is a major trend that will impact all business processes and transforming the way decisions are made Types of Analytics Source: Forrester Trends in Analytics From To Offline / Back office Embedded / Realtime Detailed Reports Dashboards Historical Predictive Structured Unstructured Behind Firewall Cloud / Mobile 7 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 8. The key will be to leverage information and analytics to enable informed, real-time decisions at the point of impact The breakaway approach Sense and Predict and respond act Instinct and Real-time, Lack of insight intuition fact-driven Skilled analytics experts Everyone Inefficient access Point of Back office impact Inability to predict Automated Optimized Customer relations will require near real-time information and the ability to change on the fly, which will require innovation. – Energy and Utility CIO © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 9. We are crossing a threshold in our ability to produce information that delivers insight and drives action From To Disease treatment Disease prevention Intelligent highways Traffic management and cars Financial crime Fraud detection and fraud and prevention Informed exploration Speculative oil exploration and targeted drilling © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 10. Findwise seminar 29.2.2012 Big data - analytics Anders Quitzau - innovationschef © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 11. Every Smarter Planet Solution has Big Data and Needs Big Analytics Smarter Planet Faster Decisions Deeper Insights Real-time Awareness Predictive Models Reactive Analytics Deep Analytics Data in Motion Data at Rest Big Data 11 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 12. Smarter Computing Integrating new approaches such as Big Data will unlock new insights. Traditional Approach New Approach Structured, analytical, logical Creative, holistic thought, intuition Structured Unstructured Repeatable Exploratory Linear Iterative Monthly sales reports Brand sentiment Profitability analysis Product strategy Customer surveys Maximum asset utilization 10 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 13. How will Content Analytics be like in 2020? © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 14. New “Big Data” Brings New Opportunities, Requires New Analytics Exa Homeland Security 600,000 records/sec, 50B/day Up to 10,000 1-2 ms/decision Times 320TB for Deep Analytics Peta larger Data Scale Telco Promotions Tera 100,000 records/sec, 6B/day Data at Rest 10 ms/decision 270TB for Deep Analytics Scale Data Giga DeepQA 100s GB for Deep Analytics Traditional Data 3 sec/decision Mega Warehouse and Business Intelligence Data in Up to 10,000 Motion times faster Smart Traffic Kilo 250K GPS probes/sec 630K segments/sec yr mo wk day hr min sec … ms µs 2 ms/decision, 4K vehicles Occasional Frequent Real-time Decision Frequency 14 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 15. Big Data Systems Require a Data-centric Architecture for Performance Old Compute-centric Model New Data-centric Model Manycore FPGA out t put in pu Massive Parallelism Persistent Memory Flash Phase Change Data lives on disk and tape Data lives in persistent memory Move data to CPU as needed Many CPU’s surround and use Deep Storage Hierarchy Shallow/Flat Storage Hierarchy Largest change in system architecture since the System 360 Huge impact on hardware, systems software, and application design 15 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 16. Watson - IBMs DeepQA - den største IT-revolution siden transistoren © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 17. From the final match...... 17 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 18. From battling humans at Jeopardy! to transforming business To compete at Jeopardy!, Watson-like capabilities can humans and computers need to: now be applied to your business: Manage massive amounts of Tap into a broad, open domain of data from business operations clues and an instrumented world Deal with structured and Parse complex human language unstructured data to gain meaningful insight into your business Be highly precise at finding the Have a high level of confidence answer and put a confidence in analytics to make key behind that answer business decisions Do all of that in under three Do it at the speed of business, in seconds real time 18 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 19. Watson’s analytics are more than search § Web search returns a ranked list of ‘possible’ web pages containing the requested data ‣ Search engine results are based on popularity and page ranking; ‣ User must still analyze results – sift through a web page -- to find the best answer. § Watson’s analytics understand the structure and wording of the question asked ‣ Finds a specific answer; ‣ Ranks its answer and provides a level of ‘confidence’ that this is correct based on previous experience. § Watson answers ‘natural language’ questions ‣ May contain puns, slang, jargon and acronyms that must all be evaluated. © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 20. Announced Aug 18, 2011 - IBM has developed prototype of ‘brainlike’ cognitive chip 20 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 21. Future Systems – The Learning Paradigm Society Nature Institutions Archives (Natural Interfaces) Training and Learning Engines To Build Models and Define Insight Policy Engine Active Learning Business, Legal and Ethical Rules Verification Engines Hypothesis Engines (e.g. Simulations) To Understand and Plan Actions Outcome Engine Actuation and Validation 21 © 2012 IBM Corporation 60
  • 22. Year 2020? © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 23. Prepare yourself and your organisation for 6.th wave! 23 © 2012 IBM Corporation