2. BHO1171 Slide 2
Definition
“Consumer behaviour is about human responses in a
commercial world: how and why people buy and use
products, how they react to prices, advertising and
other promotional tools…”
(p2 East 1997)
Consumer Behaviour draws from:
Psychology
Sociology
Economics
3. BHO1171 Slide 3
Predicting consumer behaviour
Has proved to be notoriously difficult
Consumers differ from one another
Consumers have an enormous range of influences
acting upon them at any one time
Strong assumption toward attitude driving
behaviour in marketing
4. BHO1171 Slide 4
High-involvement decisions
Traditionally marketers have concentrated on
high involvement consumer decisions
Some buying decisions have greater
consequences than others, which encourages
us to be more thoughtful about them. Mostly
this occurs when:
• a consumer buys from a category for the first time
• a consumer has an intense interest in the category
• a poor decision would have substantial consequences
5. BHO1171 Slide 5
Consumer Decision Making
Assumption in marketing that consumers
make highly involved, rational decisions:
High involvement consumer decision making
process:
Need
Recognition
Post
Purchase
Evaluation
Purchase
Decision
Evaluation
of
Alternatives
Information
Search
6. BHO1171 Slide 6
High-involvement decisions
Some consumers might be highly involved in their
decisions
• Most won’t be
High involvement decisions tend to be for
products with large financial consequences
• Cars
• Home loans.
Surprisingly, even in these potentially high-
involvement categories, buyers do far less careful
research than might be expected
7. BHO1171 Slide 7
Contrary to High Involvement
Empirical evidence suggests most buying is
repeat-buying.
Usually we have bought from that category
before
we have probably bought that particular brand before
We’ve probably bought from that store before
Consumers don’t want to be experts
just want to be knowledgeable enough that they
don’t waste too much money or time making really
poor choices.
8. BHO1171 Slide 8
Knowledge is power
As a marketer, many of the daily marketing
decisions you make will be based on knowing:
• Who buys?
• Where?
• When?
• How much?
It’s important to keep track of this descriptive data for
current and potential buyers:
• what they buy, what they watch and how consumption of
your brand fits into their lives.
The best-educated marketers interpret these data in
light of known, law-like patterns.
9. BHO1171 Slide 9
Most buying is repeat-buying
Well-researched buying decisions do
sometimes occur, but rarely.
For the majority of brand buying and store
choice, habit and convenience drives our
behaviour.
Consumers form a stable repertoire of brands
or stores and repeatedly buy from them.
10. BHO1171 Slide 10
So customers buy at random?
Customers seldom ever buy randomly, but instead show biased
purchasing, favouring some brands over others.
Loyalty is everywhere
Buyers restrict their purchases to a personal repertoire of brands.
Brand loyalty is part of every market, even in so-called ‘commodity’
categories (such as rice or flour).
11. BHO1171 Slide 11
Many decisions are low
involvement
Many consumer purchases are highly
repetitive, low involvement decisions:
ATR Model by Ehrenberg & Goodhardt (1980):
Awareness ReinforcementTrial
Fig 4.3, Jobber (2007)
12. BHO1171 Slide 12
The evidence for low involvement
There are a number of scientific laws in marketing that
support low involvement over high involvement
consumer decision making:
Double Jeopardy Effect
• E.g., Ehrenberg & Goodhardt (2002)
Duplication of Purchase Law
• E.g., Dawes (2008)
Dirichlet Theory
• Ehrenberg, Uncles & Goodhard (2002)
These suggest most consumer buying is
habitual in nature
13. BHO1171 Slide 13
People Behave Habitually
People behave with regular patterns in many
types of day-to-day behaviour
Peter Fader Interview
14. BHO1171 Slide 14
The evidence for habit
1. Market structures
2. Duplication of purchase law
3. Double Jeopardy Effect
15. BHO1171 Slide 15
1. Market Structure
There are two markets:
Subscription
• You subscribe to a brand for a period of time
• E.g. banks, insurance, ISPs, telephone
Repertoire
• You cycle through a small number of brands on an ‘as-
if’ random basis
• FMCGs, etc
See Sharp et al (2002)
16. BHO1171 Slide 16
2. Duplication of purchases
A brand’s customers buy other brands more
often than they buy the brand itself.
“Your buyers are buyers of other brands who
occasionally buy you” - Prof Ehrenberg.
17. BHO1171 Slide 17
2. Duplication of Purchase Law
Duplication of purchase refers to the % of buyers of one
brand who purchase another brand.
E.g 26% of Maxwell House instant coffee buyers also
bought Nescafe
48% of Nescafe buyers also bought Maxwell House
8% of Nescafe buyers also bought Maxim instant coffee
Consider your own purchases:
Think about the last 5 fast food purchases you made
• It is very likely that most of you bought from more than one
fast food outlet.
18. BHO1171 Slide 18
The Leaky Bucket
New
category
buyers
Switching from
other brands
Defectors
20. BHO1171 Slide 20
Natural loyalty
Loyalty without differentiation
There is a notion that loyalty occurs because each
customer finds the brand that suits their needs
best and so then buys this rather than the other
options. This turns out to be an exaggeration, and
one that ignores the natural tendency for
customers to be loyal.
21. BHO1171 Slide 21
Prosaic, not passionate, loyalty
Why do buyers have such a strong tendency to
be loyal? And why is this loyalty polygamous?
Consumers adopt brand loyalty as a strategy to
simplify their lives.
Consumers don’t care about most of the many
brands that they buy.
The big decision is whether or not to buy from that
product category.
Consumers use loyalty to reduce their thinking, time,
effort and risk, usually without even realising they are
doing it.
22. BHO1171 Slide 22
Prosaic, not passionate, loyalty
Most of customers buy very infrequently.
The brand is a small part of those customers’ lives
because they buy it so rarely.
Buying rates follow a known statistical
distribution, the negative binomial
distribution (NBD), which is typically very
skewed, so there are a few heavy buyers of
the brand and many, many light (occasional
buyers).
24. BHO1171 Slide 24
Prosaic, not passionate, loyalty
There are two reasons why most of a brand’s
customers are light:
Product categories have a lot of light buyers
• For example, most people travel on planes but only
once every few years (or decades), while a few people
travel very often.
Polygamous loyalty
26. BHO1171 Slide 26
The importance of memory
Our buying relies heavily on our memory.
Some brands embed themselves better in our memories
They have a richer more relevant web of associations
So they are easier to recall, recognise and even notice.
Some choice situations depend heavily on recall, in
that we have to bring products or brands to mind
along with information on their features and suitability
for our needs at that moment.
A brand that is not recalled has no chance of being
purchased, no matter how good it is.
27. BHO1171 Slide 27
How to build and refresh memory
Using existing memory associations
• Effective advertising often taps into existing memory
structures consumers have concerning the product category.
Linking verbal information with visual cues
• This is one reason why brands have characters (e.g. ‘Snap’,
‘Crackle’, and ‘Pop’ for Kellogg’s Rice Bubbles/Rice Krispies)
Making the information relevant to the person or
current situation
28. BHO1171 Slide 28
Why do consumers forget about
us?
Our marketing and our brand is ignored and
forgotten by most people most days.
Even the mental availability we have built erodes
competitive memory interference—consumer’s lives,
and the advertising of competitors, get in the way and
make it harder for consumers to retrieve memories of
our brands.
When a brand stops advertising, it starts sinking in
memory. So there is an ongoing marketing task to
maintain mental availability, especially if competitors
advertise.
29. BHO1171 Slide 29
Broadbent (1989)
“Sales of a brand are like the height at which
an airplane flies. Advertising spend is like its
engines: while its engines are running
everything is fine, but when the engines
stop, the descent eventually starts”
30. BHO1171 Slide 30
Consumer motivations
The ultimate reason why consumers buy a brand is
because it is a route to the benefits provided by the
product or service category overall.
People buy Fords, Toyotas and Renaults because they
have a need for transportation: personal, convenient,
relatively safe, comfortable, affordable transportation.
An extremely important part of marketing is
understanding consumers’ needs, and therefore the
benefits they seek.
Buyers are seeking benefits not features. Marketers
have to point out clearly how their product’s features
deliver benefits.
31. BHO1171 Slide 31
Do our buyers like us?
Marketing’s attitude problem
Marketers very easily fall into the trap of seeing their
job as trying to change buyer’s attitudes. They can be
so conditioned to believe that behaviours will follow
attitudes that they forget their direct goal of changing
behaviours.
Why behaviours don’t follow attitudes
Brand attitudes reflect past buying behaviour
Intentions reflect past buying behaviour
Brand attitudes are probabilistic
32. BHO1171 Slide 32
So is the job of a marketer…
To try and change attitudes to change
consumer behaviour?
To try and reinforce consumer habits?
33. BHO1171 Slide 33
Classical & Operant Conditioning
Marketers can use Classical
Conditioning techniques to
stimulate a behaviour
Colours/shapes used in
packaging
Music used in advertising
Brand marques
Using scents in retail settings
Some consumers conditioned
to buy items “on sale”
Marketers can use operant
conditioning techniques to
reinforce behaviour
OC Considers immediate
consequences of behaviour
Behaviour is modified over
time using positive and
negative consequences
• We modify our behaviour to
increase the chance of a
positive reinforcement
• We modify our behaviour to
reduce the chance of negative
punishment
Skinner’s experiments
34. BHO1171 Slide 34
OC - Rewards and punishments
Rewards increase, while punishments
reduce frequency of behaviour
Companies try to make experiences with their
brand rewarding
And avoid making it punishing!
Loyalty and reward cards
Marketers can change the environment
Gambling
35. BHO1171 Slide 35
Involvement
Food purchases are accepted as low involvement
But purchases in a low involvement category can
be made high involvement with enough effort
Can you think of any way it can be made high
involvement?
Here are some examples that have worked in the
past:
• Jamie Oliver’s food revolution
• Supersize Me
Editor's Notes
To get your head around this concept, please read the paper on brand loyalty by Andrew Ehrenberg provided on WebCT
This demonstrates that although consumers are constantly switching between brands, they are being replaced by other consumers. This makes aggregate market share, penetration etc appear quite stable (as in, a brand’s size doesn’t change). The leaky bucket demonstrates this.
To get your head around this graph, please read the reading provided on WebCT on Double Jeopardy by Andrew Ehrenberg. Although the data are fictitious, the point of this graph is to show that the same absolute number of customers could switch between three brands, yet these customers would make up only 20% for the biggest brand but 50% for the smallest. That is the DJ effect.
It is worthy pointing out here that a customer CAN be loyal to more than one brand – hence they have repertoires.
You may wish to point out the irony that many marketers insist on concentrating on a brand’s “heavy users”. Clearly, this is a very small proportion of customers that are unlikely to contribute to all that much profit.