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Social Network Analysis of Russian
         Protest in Twitter

           Alexander Semenov
       Zurich, 4-7 September 2012
Data acquisition in Twitter: Free vs. $
•Twitter Search API            •LOTS of tweets
•150 – 350 requests per hour   •Sophisticated filters
•Not representative            •Representative
•Not augmented                 •Augmented (Klout
•Free                          score, etc.)
                               •$$$
Twitter 101: what you see…
    Avatar   Twitter name

                    Person’s name
                                Hashtag

                                             Twitter text
                                          Hyperlink

 Date                                Reply

                               Retweet
… is NOT EVERYTHING you get!
24.12.2011 – Official meetings on Prospekt Sakharova & Poklonnaya Gora




                                 VS
Opposition meeting on Prospekt              Pro-government meeting on
Sakharova                                   Poklonnaya Gora




                             #24дек (24dec)
Data Summary


                                                                                                twitter.text contains "24дек"



                                                                                                Timezone = UTC




                        Networks                    Retweet           Reply_raw             Reply
Graph Type                                    Directed           Directed            Directed
Vertices                                                      385                2031                 351
Unique Edges                                                  267                1387                 235
Edges With Duplicates                                         656                 392                  86
Total Edges                                                   923                1779                 321
Self-Loops                                                      3                   2                   1
Reciprocated Vertex Pair Ratio                       0,013774105         0,007073955         0,042801556
Reciprocated Edge Ratio                              0,027173913         0,014048531         0,082089552
Connected Components                                           93                 513                 103
Single-Vertex Connected Components                              2                   2                   1
Maximum Vertices in a Connected Component                     114                 365                 103
Maximum Edges in a Connected Component                        715                 476                 144
Maximum Geodesic Distance (Diameter)                           13                  14                  17
Average Geodesic Distance                                4,724113            5,016783            7,076381
Graph Density                                        0,002489177         0,000379827         0,002181522
Modularity                                    Not Applicable      Not Applicable      Not Applicable
Reply Network: Top Users
navalny*          58                                 xenia_sobchak*   7
xenia_sobchak*    23                                 navalny*         7
varlamov*         15                                 burmatoff*       6
burmatoff*        12                                 VRSoloviev*      5
tvrain*           12       “False” replies removed   angeina_may      5
VRSoloviev*       10                                 varlamov*        4
vdagamov*          7                                 rybakoff         4
aavst              6                                 WakeUpR          4
WakeUpR            6                                 i_kaya           4
rykov*             6   Pro-opposition users          Alexgizn         4
                       abuse “false” replies to
                       celebrities (marked *) to
                       get their attention and
                       promote their ideas.
Retweet network: Top Users
                            olly_jolly        19
                            kurginyanRU*      18
                            angry_moscovits   17
                            Burmatoff*        15
                            anton_aprelin     13
                            Comrade_Vo        13
                            Kolobrod1         13
                            temkinmir         11
                            Alexgizn           7
                            flipboardnews1     6




Pro-government users
                                                   People are consistent
obuse “retweet” function,
                                                   in their retweet
spreading tweets, written
                                                   behavior: they
by common people.
                                                   retweet either pro-
                                                   government users
                                                   (green) or opposition
                                                   (yellow), not both.
Network of “replies” with at least one
             mutual tie
           Mutual degree >= 1 (max. = 4)




           Twitter is not a place for discussion?
Conclusions
Analysis of hashtags on Twitter has several caveats:
•If there are several different tags for an event, the sample is not representative
•Users, who participate the discussion, but cut the hashtags to have more symbols are
not included => some network metrics are useless (reciprocity)

Key findings:
•Both sides of the conflict abuse Twitter features to dominate in the information field:
    •Pro-government users mostly do it with “Retweet” function;
    •People are consistent in their retweet behavior: they retweet either pro-
    government users (green) or opposition (yellow), not both.
    •Opposition users tend to use “Reply” function to get attention from the
    celebrities
•Russian Twitter (like Russian Parliament )is not a place for discussion =).
Thank you!


  Alexander Semenov
semenoffalex@gmail.com

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Social network analysis of Twitter hashtag usage during protest meetings in Russia

  • 1. Social Network Analysis of Russian Protest in Twitter Alexander Semenov Zurich, 4-7 September 2012
  • 2. Data acquisition in Twitter: Free vs. $ •Twitter Search API •LOTS of tweets •150 – 350 requests per hour •Sophisticated filters •Not representative •Representative •Not augmented •Augmented (Klout •Free score, etc.) •$$$
  • 3. Twitter 101: what you see… Avatar Twitter name Person’s name Hashtag Twitter text Hyperlink Date Reply Retweet
  • 4. … is NOT EVERYTHING you get!
  • 5. 24.12.2011 – Official meetings on Prospekt Sakharova & Poklonnaya Gora VS Opposition meeting on Prospekt Pro-government meeting on Sakharova Poklonnaya Gora #24дек (24dec)
  • 6. Data Summary twitter.text contains "24дек" Timezone = UTC Networks Retweet Reply_raw Reply Graph Type Directed Directed Directed Vertices 385 2031 351 Unique Edges 267 1387 235 Edges With Duplicates 656 392 86 Total Edges 923 1779 321 Self-Loops 3 2 1 Reciprocated Vertex Pair Ratio 0,013774105 0,007073955 0,042801556 Reciprocated Edge Ratio 0,027173913 0,014048531 0,082089552 Connected Components 93 513 103 Single-Vertex Connected Components 2 2 1 Maximum Vertices in a Connected Component 114 365 103 Maximum Edges in a Connected Component 715 476 144 Maximum Geodesic Distance (Diameter) 13 14 17 Average Geodesic Distance 4,724113 5,016783 7,076381 Graph Density 0,002489177 0,000379827 0,002181522 Modularity Not Applicable Not Applicable Not Applicable
  • 7. Reply Network: Top Users navalny* 58 xenia_sobchak* 7 xenia_sobchak* 23 navalny* 7 varlamov* 15 burmatoff* 6 burmatoff* 12 VRSoloviev* 5 tvrain* 12 “False” replies removed angeina_may 5 VRSoloviev* 10 varlamov* 4 vdagamov* 7 rybakoff 4 aavst 6 WakeUpR 4 WakeUpR 6 i_kaya 4 rykov* 6 Pro-opposition users Alexgizn 4 abuse “false” replies to celebrities (marked *) to get their attention and promote their ideas.
  • 8. Retweet network: Top Users olly_jolly 19 kurginyanRU* 18 angry_moscovits 17 Burmatoff* 15 anton_aprelin 13 Comrade_Vo 13 Kolobrod1 13 temkinmir 11 Alexgizn 7 flipboardnews1 6 Pro-government users People are consistent obuse “retweet” function, in their retweet spreading tweets, written behavior: they by common people. retweet either pro- government users (green) or opposition (yellow), not both.
  • 9. Network of “replies” with at least one mutual tie Mutual degree >= 1 (max. = 4) Twitter is not a place for discussion?
  • 10. Conclusions Analysis of hashtags on Twitter has several caveats: •If there are several different tags for an event, the sample is not representative •Users, who participate the discussion, but cut the hashtags to have more symbols are not included => some network metrics are useless (reciprocity) Key findings: •Both sides of the conflict abuse Twitter features to dominate in the information field: •Pro-government users mostly do it with “Retweet” function; •People are consistent in their retweet behavior: they retweet either pro- government users (green) or opposition (yellow), not both. •Opposition users tend to use “Reply” function to get attention from the celebrities •Russian Twitter (like Russian Parliament )is not a place for discussion =).
  • 11. Thank you! Alexander Semenov semenoffalex@gmail.com