3. LETS ANALYSE OUR STATUS
ON THIS EARTH.
WHERE ARE WE AND WHERE
ARE WE HEADING TO?
4. INTRO
• INDIA’S STABLE DEMOCRATIC
POLITICAL SYS, HUGE MIDDLE-CLASS
POPULATION, IMMENSE MILITARY
CLOUT IN SOUTH ASIA, RISING
ECONOMIC FORTUNES AND GLOBAL
AMBITIONS MAKE IT A POTENTIAL
POWER THAT COULD PLAY A VERY
IMPORTANT ROLE IN WORLD AFFAIRS.
5. C
• INDIA’S POLICIES EMBODY A BLEND OF
PRAGMATISM AND NATIONALISM, AND
ITS GOAL IS TO PLAY A KEY ROLE IN
WORLD AFFAIRS. INDIA’S ECONOMIC
GROWTH AND ABILITY TO MANAGE ITS
KEY DIPLOMATIC RELATIONSHIPS WILL
DETERMINE THE SIZE OF THE
INTERNATIONAL ROLE IT CRAFTS OVER
THE NEXT FIFTEEN YEARS. ITS
LEADERS’ SKILL IN BALANCING THE
COMPETING OBJECTIVES OF ITS
FOREIGN POLICY WILL HELP SHAPE
THE DIRECTION TAKEN BY BOTH INDIA
AND THE WORLD.
6. AIM
THE AIM OF THIS PRESENTATION
IS TO UNDERSTAND THE ROLE OF
INDIA AS A GLOBAL LEADER IN
WORLD AFFAIRS.
7. SCOPE
THE SEMINAR WOULD COVER THE
FOLLOWING ASPECTS:-
o RISE OF INDIA.
o INDIA’S STABLE DEMOCRATIC POLITICAL
SYS.
o ECONOMIC LEAP.
o INCREASING MILITARY CL OUT.
o GLOBAL REACH.
o FOREIGN AFFAIRS.
o INFLUENCE IN WORLD AFFAIRS.
o FUTURE COURSE.
o CONCLUSION.
8. TIME PLAN
S/NO TOPIC TIME
(MINS)
REMARKS
1 INTRO 05
2 RISE OF INDIA. 10
3 INDIA’S STABLE DEMOCRATIC
POLITICAL SYSTEM.
05
4 ECONOMIC LEAP. 15
5 INCREASING MILITARY CLOUT. 10
6 GLOBAL REACH. 05
7 FOREIGN AFFAIRS. 10
8 INFLUENCE IN WORLD AFFAIRS. 10
9 FUTURE COURSE. 05
10 INTERACTIVE SESSION &
CONCLUSION.
15
TOTAL 90
9. ASPECTS COVERED
o TRANSITION FROM AGRARIAN TO INDUSTRIAL ECONOMY.
CURRENTLY A PERFECT BLEND OF THE BOTH.
o DECREASING POVERTY.
o WORLD’S BIGGEST HUMAN RESOURCE POOL. 63 PERCENT
OF POPULATION BELOW 30 YEARS.
o ABUNDANCE OF SKILLED TECHNOCRATS.
o ABUNDANCE OF NATURAL RESOURCES LIKE BAUXITE, IRON
ORE, MICA AND COAL.
o TRADE POLICIES LIBERALISED. VARIOUS TRADING
PARTNERS INVITED FOR TRADE.
o PHENOMENAL RISE OF THE CORPORATE SECTOR.
o INCREASED REVENUE AND PUBLIC EXPENDITURE OF INDIAN
GOVT.
o EMERGENCE OF A STRONG AND SUBSTANTIAL RURAL AND
URBAN MIDDLE CLASS.
RISE OF INDIA.
10. • TRANSITION FROM AGRARIAN TO
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMY.
CURRENTLY A PERFECT BLEND
OF THE BOTH.
• IN ADDITION TO AGRICULTURE
THERE HAS BEEN DEVELOPMENT
IN ALMOST EVERY SECTOR
14. Poverty
• Income poverty declined from 55% in the early
1970s to 28% in 2004-05.
• Although there has been progress in decline, still
more than 300 million below poverty line.
• World Bank Estimates: 42% below $1.25 poverty
line. ADB 65% with $1.35 poverty line
• 80% of the poor are from rural areas.
• Poverty concentrated in few states (Bihar, Uttar
Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh and Orissa,
Chattisgarh and Jharkhand)
• Concentrated among agricultural labourers, casual
workers, Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes
15. RISE IN PER CAPITA INCOME: LAST FIVE DECADES
20
13
7
36
70
1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s
The fastest rise in incomes….
% rise in per capita income
16. 1980 46%
2000 26%
2010 16%
1% of the people have been crossing poverty line each
year for 20 years. Equals ~ 200 million.
Poverty is declining
17. Number of poor (in million)
Year Number (million)
1973-74 321
1983 323
1993-94 320
2004-05 302
18. Trends in Poverty (%): India
Year Rural Urban Total
1973-74 56 49 55
1983 46 41 45
1993-94 37 32 36
2004-05 28 26 28
20. HUMAN RESOURCE POOL-
OUR BIGGEST SRTRENGTH
• WE HAVE SUCCEEDED IN CONVERTING
OUR HUGE POPULATION AS OUR BIGGEST
ASSET
• WE HAVE ABUNDANT YOUTH WITH
EDUCATIONAL STANDARDS AKIN TO THE
WESTERNWORLD.
• WE HAVE ABUNDANT TECHNOCRATS AND
TRAINING INSTITUTIONS
21. The Indian Population: An Overview
36
30
37 3839 39
44 44
USA China Russia UK
24
30
35
40
45
50
Medianageinyears
24
India
31
2000 2025
Indians areYounger than theWorld…
22. India: IncreasingWorking Population
-3
0
10
17
31
33
44
64
71
314
-5 45 95 145 195 245 295 345
Stock Position
2005
South East Asia 362
Southern Asia 132
India 691
Africa 500
China 934
Latin America 359
USA 200
Europe 497
Japan 85
World 4,168
Growth in GlobalWorking Age Population (15-64)
In Million
Countries worldwide are anticipating a shortage of working population in the
future. India is expected to emerge as a clear winner and by 2050 it will have the
largest working age population.
Addition to working age population by 2010
23. LIBERALISED TRADE
POLICIES
1000 Indian Companies have
received foreign institutional
investment
100 Indian Companies have
market capital of US$ 1 billion
24. FDI : Inward and outward
02 August 2008 24General:AV
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
F
D
I
(
U
S
$
b
i
l
l
i
o
n
)
FDI Inbound FDI Outbound
25. Rise of globally competitive
Indian companies:
Reliance, Jet Airways, Infosys,Wipro,
Ranbaxy, Bharat Forge,Tata Motors,
TCS, Bharati, ICICI and HDFC Banks
26. INDIA’S STABLE DEMOCRATIC
POLITICAL SYS
• WORLD’S MOST DIVERSE NATION- MULTILINGUAL,
MULTIETHNIC AND VARIOUS RELIGIONS, SUB-RELIGIONS,
CULTURES AND SUB-CULTURES.
• WORLD’S BIGGEST SUCCESSFUL DEMOCRACY COMPRISING
OF 1100 MILLION PEOPLE.
• SUCCESSFUL IN MAINTAINING A NEUTRAL AND SECULAR
IMAGE ON CONFLICTING SOCIAL ISSUES.
• IMMENSELY SUCCESSFUL IN ACHIEVING SOCIAL AND
POLITICAL STABILITY IN SPITE OF HAVING POTENTIALLY
HOSTILE NEIGHBOURS AND IMMINENT INTERNAL SECURITY
THREAT FROM TURBULENT AREAS WITHIN OUR OWN
TERRITORY.
• AN EXEMPLARY JUDICIAL SYSTEM FURTHER IMPROVED BY
INTRODUCTION OF FAST TRACK COURTS.
• EXTENSION OF RIGHTS TO THE CITIZENS(RIGHT TO
INFORMATION).
28. ECONOMIC LEAP
• CURRENTLY INDIA IS THE WORLD’S FOURTH
LARGEST ECONOMY. SOON IT IS GOING TO SURPASS
JAPAN TO BECOME THE THIRD LARGEST ECONOMY.
• LABOUR INTENSIVE ECONOMIC STRATEGY PAYING
DIVIDENDS INCREASING THE INCOME AND
PURCHASING POWER OF COMMON PEOPLE.
• GROWTH RATE OF OUR ECONOMY IS 7.5 PERCENT
I.E. COMMENDABLE AND VERY HIGH IN COMPARISON
WITH REST OF THE WORLD.
• THE NEW CONSUMPTION DRIVEN MODEL IS PEOPLE
FRIENDLY.
• PHENOMENAL SUCCESS OF PRIVATE ENTERPRISES.
SOAR IN THE STOCK MARKET IS A TESTIMONY TO
THIS.
29. The Indian Economy: An Overview
The economy is riding high
% annual growth in GDP
4.4
8.5
6.9 7*
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06
30. • India is the 4th largest economy in the world
as measured by
purchasing power
• Between 1980 and 2003, India’s economy
grew at an average
rate of 5.7%
•
The Indian Economy: An Overview
31. India: PacingAhead to Emerge as the Major Economy in the Globe
Projected GDP Growth Rates for Select Upcoming
Economies
0
2
4
6
8
2005-10
2010-15
2015-20
2020-25
2025-30
2030-35
2035-40
2040-45
2045-50
GDPGrowthRate(%)
Brazil
China
India
Russia
0
20
40
60
80
100
India Russia Vietnam Ukraine China Chile Latvia
GRDIScore
2006 Global Retail Development Index (GRDI) 2005 Global Services Location Index
3.27
1.62
3.56
2.95
3.21
3.47
1.51
2.67
1.06
2
1.17
1.26
0.94
1.44
1.16
1.12
1.76
2.14
Thailand
Singapore
Philippines
Malaysia
China
India
Financial structure Business environment
People and skill availablity
India has been ranked
superior to other major
countries by many
prominent surveys…
AT Kearney placed
India among the top
three in its FDI
confidence index…
… retail market along
with services sector has
been attracting lot of
interest from the major
players
India is expected to
outperform its rivals in
the BRIC, in terms of
GDP growth rates from
2015 onwards…
32. • PROLIFERATION OF SMALL SCALE
INDUSTRIES.
• TRADE TIES STRENGTHENED WITH
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. CURRENTLY
CHINA AND US ARE OUR BIGGEST
TRADE PARTNERS.
33. INCREASING MILITARY CLOUT
• SIGNIFICANCE OF INDIA BEING A NUCLEAR STATE IS
BEING ACKNOWLEDGED BY EXISTING SUPERPOWERS.
• COMBAT EXERCISES WITH LEADING ARMIES OF THE
WORLD. TO NAME A FEW ARE JOINT EXERCISES WITH
RUSSIAN SPECIAL FORCES IN THE DESERT OF
RAJASTHAN, MOCK ASSAULTS FROM THE SEA WITH
FRENCH TROOPS. LOW LEVEL EXERCISES UNDER
CONSIDERATION WITH COUNTRIES LIKE MONGOLIA,
SINGAPORE AND UZBEKISTAN.
• PROACTIVE NAVAL EXERCISES. CONDUCT OF MULTI
NATION EXERCISE “MILAN”.
• ACQUISITION OF “DEEP NUCLEAR STRIKE CAPABILITY”
TECHNOLOGY FROM RUSSIA BY PURCHASE OF SUKHOI-
30MKI.
34.
35.
36.
37. • CLEARANCE OF AGNI-III, THE NUCLEAR CAPABLE
LONG-RANGE (3500KM) MISSILE FOR INDUCTION INTO
THE ARMY.
• INDIA HAS ATTAINED SELF SUFFICIENCY IN ITS
MISSILE PROGRAMME.
• ACTIVE MILITARY ROLE IN SOUTH ASIA SINCE1970
(BANGLADESH, MALDIVES, SRI LANKA) AND
IMPORTANT ROLE IN UNITED NATIONS PEACE
KEEPING MISSIONS.
• STRATEGIC LOCATION OF INDIA BORDERING
PAKISTAN, CHINA, AND AFGANISTAN ENHANCES ITS
MILITARY IMPORTANCE.
• HUGE RESERVOIR OF ABLY TRAINED PARA MILITARY
FORCES AND COUNTER INSURGENCY EXPERIENCED
ARMY INCREASE INDIA’S MILITARY CLOUT.
38.
39.
40.
41.
42. GLOBAL REACH
• INDIA’S SPACE PROGRAMME HAS BEEN QUITE
SUCCESSFUL IN THE PAST. THE LAUNCH OF
GSLV-D3, THOUGH A FAILURE REPRESENTS
THE ENDEAVOUR TO ACHIEVE EXCELLENCE
IN SPACE TECHNOLOGY.
• THE ADVANCEMENT IN IT SECTOR HAS
BENEFITED INDIA BY PROVIDING A GLOBAL
REACH IN TRADE AND COMMERCE. AS OF
NOW INDIA IS ONE OF THE BIGGEST
EXPORTERS OF COMPUTER SOFTWARES.
• THE IMMENSE POPULATION OF NRI’S
VIRTUALLY PRESENT IN EVERY CORNER OF
THE WORLD PROVIDING US WITH FOREIGN
EXCHANGE AND TRADE OPPORTUNITIES.
43. • RISING NUMBER OF INDIAN COMPANIES
GOING GLOBAL.
• SOARING NUMBERS OF INDIAN
STUDENTS GOING ON EDUCATION
VISAS TO US, EUROPE AND AUSTRALIA.
• INDIA’S ENDEAVOUR TO ENHANCE ITS
GLOBAL REACH IS VISIBLE IN PURSUIT
OF GETTING A PERMANENT SEAT IN UN
SECURITY COUNCIL AND G8.
44. FOREIGN AFFAIRS
• INDIA’S ENDEAVOUR TO SEEK INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT
FOR PREVALENCE OF PEACE IN DISTURBED AND
TERRORISM INFLICTED AREAS ESPECIALLY WITHIN ITS
OWN TERRITORY.
• GETTING INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT AGAINST WAR ON
TERROR INSTIGATED BY HOSTILE NEIGHBOURS.
• STRATEGIC PARTNERS AS RUSSIA, ISRAEL, AFGANISTAN,
FRANCE, NEPAL, AND BHUTAN.
• ISRAEL TO OVERTAKE RUSSIA AS STRATEGIC MILITARY
PARTNER. MILITARY RELATIONS WITH US, UK, JAPAN,
SINGAPORE, BRAZIL, SOUTH AFRICA, AND ITALY.
• DEFENCE ACCORD WITH QATAR IN 2008.
• “LOOK EAST POLICY” HELPED IN GREATER ECONOMIC
AND STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP WITH SOUTH KOREA,
JAPAN, AND TAIWAN.
45. INFLUENCE IN WORLD AFFAIRS
• MOST PROMINENT ROLE TO PLAY IN ENSURING PEACE
IN SOUTH ASIA.
• US ITSELF BEING A VICTIM OF TERROR HAS BUT NO
CHOICE TO LOOK UPON INDIA WHO CAN PLAY A
PIVOTAL ROLE IN CURBING THE MENACE OF TERROR
ORIGINATING IN PAKISTAN.
• INFLUENCE ON REGIONAL NEIGHBOURS LIKE NEPAL,
BHUTAN, AND BANGLADESH.
• BID FOR INCLUSION IN UN SECURITY COUNCIL AND
G8.
• INFLUENCE THE WORLD LEADERS FOR SECURING THE
FUTURE OF ENERGY RESOURCES VITAL FOR INDIA’S
GROWTH.
46. FUTURE COURSE
RATE OF POPULATION GROWTH HAS DIPPED FROM
2.2% IN 1980 TO 1.7% IN 2008. GOOD NEWS.
GROWTH RATE OF ECONOMY CAN FURTHER BE
INCREASED TO 9% FROM THE EXISTING 7.5%.
NUCLEAR DEAL WITH US SEES ITS WAY THROUGH.
THE GROWING DEMAND FOR ENERGY NEEDS TO BE
FULFILLED.
INCLUSION IN UN SECURITY COUNCIL AS A
PERMANENT MEMBER.
ESTABLISH OUR OWN GPS SERVICES.
MODERNISATION OF SECURITY FORCES.
47. By 2020 India’s GDP is likely to
quadruple from the current $ 1.1
Trillion to about $ 4.5 trillion Per
capita income from Rs 50,000 to Rs
1,50,000
48. CONCLUSION
EVERY ONE HAS WITNESSED THE
BEGINNING OF INDIA’S EMERGENCE
AS A GLOBAL LEADER. WE NEED TO
CAPITALISE THE DEVELOPMENTS WE
MADE IN THE LAST DECADE. WE ARE
STILL A LONG WAY TO GO. KEEPING
OUR CURRENT PACE CLUBBED WITH
SOME MORE DEVELOPMENTS WE CAN
HOPE OF BECOMING A SUPERPOWER
IN NEXT 20 YEARS.
Notas do Editor
Year 2005 2006 2007Fdi Net $4.7 8.4 9.4 bi Inward $7.7 19.4 22.1 bi Outward $2.9 11.0 12.7 bi