2010 promises to be an exciting year for the market. With an expanded program that includes 2 track dedicated to both insurance and longevity-linked investments, the 2nd ILS Summit Europe explores and debates the critical, providing investors with the information they need to invest effectively, profitably, and with confidence.
Financial Leverage Definition, Advantages, and Disadvantages
2nd Insurance Linked Securities Summit Europe
1. Register by 26th February
and SAVE up to £1,497!
2nd
Insurance
Linked
Securities
Summit
Europe
TM
26-28 April 2010 | London, UK
Delivering Superior Returns through Strategic Investments in Cat
Bonds, Life Settlements and other Insurance-Linked Securities
It was very well attended and the discussions were fascinating. The organization of the event
was perfect - Urs Ramseier, Head of Insurance-Linked Securities, Horizon 21 Alternative Investments
40+ industry-leading speakers, including the following thought-
leaders, fund managers, and investors:
Peter Jan de Koning Reto Koller Jeremy Leach John DeCaro Robin Willi
Senior Portfolio Head of Reinsurance Group Managing Co-Founder CIO
Manager Recoveries Director Elementum Rigi Capital Partners
PGGM Zurich Managing Partners Ltd Advisors
Dr. Myles Allen
Thomas Hess John Seo Christophe Fritsch Thomas Laumont Head of Climate
Chief Economist Managing Principal Head of ILS Team Chairman Dynamics Group
Swiss Re Fermat Capital LLC AXA Investment BVDZ University of Oxford
Management
New for 2010: Keynote Speakers:
• Dedicated tracks for the life and non-life sides of the market “A Vision of the ILS Market in 2015”
Ulrich Wallin
• The effect of Solvency II on cat bond issuance CEO
• Fund manager perspectives on ILS diversification strategies Hannover Re
• The new transparency imperative for ILS and life settlement funds
• Pension fund perspectives on the ILS asset allocation process “The UN’s Mortality Risk Index”
Assistant Secretary-General
• The increasing role of indices in European risk transfer
Margareta Wahlström
• The implications of US life settlements regulations for European Special Representative for Disaster Risk
investors Reduction
United Nations
• The special challenge of modeling European windstorms
peakers
0% of sr 2010!
Sponsors:
6
new fo
+44 (0) 20 7368 9300 • www.ilseurope.co.uk
2. An outstanding line-
up of investors,
fund managers and
2nd industry experts:
Insurance
Linked Ulrich Wallin, CEO, Hannover Re – New!
Assistant Secretary-General Margareta
Securities Wahlström, Special Representative
for Disaster Risk Reduction, United
Summit
Europe
TM
Nations – New!
Peter Jan de Koning, Senior Portfolio
Manager, PGGM – New!
Dear Colleague, Reto Koller, Head of Reinsurance
Recoveries, Zurich – New!
Welcome to IQPC’s 2nd ILS Summit Thomas Hess, Chief Economist,
Europe - the most important date
European investors interested in the of the year for Swiss Re – New!
returns and diversification benefits
securities and life settlements. of insurance-linked Amer Ahmed, Chief Risk Officer, Allianz
Robin Willi, Chief Investment Officer, Rigi
2010 promises to be an exciting year Capital Partners
for the market. On the non-life side
securities fared well in 2009, with , insurance-linked
around $3billion issued in the mids John Seo, Managing Principal, Fermat
challenging economic environment. t of an extremely
Going into 2010 the stage is set for Capital LLC
volume of new issuance and the eme growth, with the
rgence of new investors expected to Jeremy Leach, Group Managing Director,
In Europe, the development of EU-w increase in tandem.
ide market loss indices looks set to Managing Partners Ltd – New!
European ILS and ILWs by enabling expand the market in
new transparency and more standard Jean-Michel Paul, CEO, Acheron
Most commentators predict a total ised instruments.
of $4-6billion of new issuances over Capital – New!
year. the course of the
Forrest Gilman, Founder, Last
Wave Capital – New!
Several challenges still remain, how
ever. Firstly, although transparency Christophe Fritsch, Head of ILS Team,
are still a number of areas where is improving, there
it lags behind other asset classes – AXA Investment Management – New!
insurance-linked instruments, for exam in the pricing of
ple, and in the formulation and sele Pete Vloedman, Co-Founder, Anchor
estimates. Greater transparency in ction of loss
these and other areas will be nece Risk Advisors – New!
dramatic improvement in the willi ssary before we see a
ngness of institutional investors to Dr Myles Allen, Head of Climate
allocate capital.
On the life side, the US regulatory Dynamics Group, University of
landscape continues to evolve rapi Oxford – New!
area of concern for European inve dly and remains an
stors. The shifting dynamics between John DeCaro, Co-Founder, Elementum
NCOIL regulatory paradigms, com the NAIC and
bined with the possibility of SEC and Advisors – New!
oversight, are of critical importance /or other federal
to the willingness of European inve Anatol Mueller, Fund Manager, Finter
capital. Innovation on the life side stors to allocate
remains strong, however, with new Private Bank – New!
synthetics, fusion products and shar developments in
i’ah compliant longevity investments
the envelope and broaden the inve continuing to push Luca Albertini, CEO, Leadenhall
stor base. Capital Partners
These and many other critical issue Franz-Philippe Przybyl, CEO, Berlin
s will be explored and debated at
Europe, providing investors with the the 2nd ILS Summit Atlantic Capital
information they need to invest effe
and with confidence. ctively, profitably, Karsten Bromann, Managing Partner &
Chief Risk Officer, Solidum Partners
Kind regards, Niklaus Hilti, Head of Insurance-Linked
Strategies, Credit Suisse Asset
PS: Don miss pre-conference
’t Management
Heinz Kubli, Managing Partner,
workshops led by John Seo Fundabilis
Marcel Grandi, Senior Portfolio Manager,
Toby Donovan and Robin Willi - see page 3 ILS, Credit Suisse Asset Management
Program Director Thomas Laumont, Chairman,
Toby.Donovan@iqpc.com for more details BVDZ – New!
Beat Holliger, Managing Director,
Munich Re
Scott Willkomm, SVP, Business
Who Will Attend:
Development, Coventry
■ 7% Pension Funds & Institutional Investors Michael Freedman, SVP, Government
■ 28% Hedge Funds, Asset Management Firms Affairs, Coventry
& Other Buyside
■ 18% Insurance and Reinsurance Companies Dr. Andreas Müller, Head of Origination,
■ 12% Banks Distribution & ILS Investments, Munich Re
■ 12% Life Settlement Companies Michael Stahel, Head of Insurance-Linked
■ 8% Law Firms Investments, Clariden Leu
■ 5% LE Provers & Underwriters
David Rawson McKenzie, Fund Director,
■ 5% Modeling Agencies
Centurion Fund Management
■ 5% Other
2 +44 (0) 20 7368 9300 • www.ilseurope.co.uk
3. Pre-Conference Workshops
Monday, 26 April 2010
“The conference was great and I learned a lot of new things, especially within the pre-conference workshops! I
think you did a fantastic job in pulling everything together, the speakers had excellent experience and
knowledge. Keep up the good work!” - Sun-Siang Liew, Senior Analyst, Validus Research
9.30 – 12.00 (Registration at 9.00)
A Optimizing a Portfolio of Catastrophe Risks
John Seo What you will learn:
Managing Principal • Achieving visibility over the full spectrum of diversification strategies
Fermat Capital • Diversification by asset class (equity, debt, commodities & ILS)
• Diversification by subsectors (wind, quake, life) and geographical regions
For investors new to catastrophe risks, there are bewildering array of (US, Japan, Europe, etc)
different risks, regions, sourcing channels and maturity levels • Diversification by sourcing channels (cat bonds, ILWs, sidecars, exchange-
available for portfolio diversification. But what does the “optimal” traded products)
allocation strategy look like, and how should investors align their • Diversification by maturity (<1 year, 2-5 years, >5 years)
risk/reward tolerance with the many options that are available?
Attending this 2-hour long workshop – led by ILS rainmaker John How you will benefit:
Seo – will provide you with a detailed knowledge of cat risk • Understand how to balance diversity levels with your required risk-reward
portfolio creation, making you a better investor in this exciting asset tolerance
class. • Achieve visibility over the risk metrics for each region and peril combination
• Overcome the pricing difficulties of infrequent historical events
13.00 – 15.30 (Registration at 12.30)
B Risk Management for Life Settlement Portfolios: Uncovering the Secrets to
Investing with Confidence
Robin Willi What you will learn:
Chief Investment Officer • A closer look at the policy selection process – safeguarding against insurable
Rigi Capital Partners interest and other potential procurement issues
• Understand how the valuation process can help to mitigate extended
Investing in life settlements is a complicated business, with a longevity risk in a life settlement portfolio
number of critical risks that need to be addressed by the investor in • Determine the right legal structure for the right jurisdiction (Ireland,
order to maximize returns. This workshop will provide investors, Luxembourg) to help mitigate tax issues such as the potential impact of the
fund managers, and others involved in the life settlements space recent IRS rulings
with the tools they need to manage and reduce risk, whether it’s the • Examine synthetic strategies for managing liquidity risk, including how to
risk of longevity, the risk of incorrect valuation, the risk of sub- hedge liquidity and currency/credit risks associated with a life settlement
optimal policy selection, as well as legal and liquidity risks. An portfolio
unmissable workshop for those seeking to invest with confidence!
How you will benefit:
• Invest in confidence
• Get a comprehensive understanding of the risks involved with investing in
life settlements before you commit capital
• Walk away with the most cost-effective strategies for reducing the riskiness
of your life settlement investments
16.00 – 18.30 (Registration at 15.30)
C Making Better Use of Catastrophe Models
Workshop leader to be confirmed What you will learn:
– See www.ilseurope.co.uk for updates • Understand how catastrophe models combine actuarial science,
engineering, seismology, meteorology and expert opinion
Catastrophe models are a critical part of the puzzle for investors in • Examine the interrelationship between hazard, inventory and vulnerability
non-life ILS, but there are few outside the modeling agencies values within cat models
themselves who understand exactly how the models are designed. • Gain a better sense of the ways catastrophe models are used in the
In this workshop, take a look “under the hood” of some of the structuring – and choice – of cat bond triggers
world’s most important and popular catastrophe models, and learn
how to make better use of models in your investment calculations. How you will benefit:
• Learn what the implications are of discrepancies between different
catastrophe models
• Become a more sophisticated cat bond investor by better understanding the
relationship between modeled values and cat bond pricing
Sponsors: 3
4. Main Conference Day 1
Tuesday, 27 April 2010
The quality of attendees was very high – a sign that this market is growing!” - Albert Pinzon, Member, Cozen O’Connor
Coffee & Registration Opening Keynote Address: ILS and the of
7.15 9.15 A Vision S!
Future of Insurance Risk Transfer: Future IL
8.15 Chairman’s Opening Remarks A Vision of the Market in 2015
• Examining the changing paradigm for insurance risk transfer in
8.30 Panel: “From Interest to Allocation”: light of the global economic recovery
Investor Perspectives on the Attractiveness of ILS • Considerations on the future of insurance-linked securities and
and the Sources of Future Liquidity other forms of alternative risk transfer
• A closer look at the way in which pension funds and • Forecasting the implications of climate change and extreme
endowments make investment decisions weather patterns on the market for insurance-linked securities
• Identifying the most attractive characteristics of ILS from an • Defining the future role of the global reinsurance industry in the
institutional standpoint transfer, mitigation, and securitisation of risk
• Quantifying the non-correlation benefit Ulrich Wallin, CEO, Hannover Re
• Incorporating ILS into an institutional portfolio: Determining
whether your investment strategy requires a dedicated 10.00 Keynote Address: Transferring Risks to the Capital
investment unit Markets: The Increasing Role of Indices
• Considerations on the manager selection process • Examining the benefits of index-linked investments for re/insurers
• Risk and reward: Institutional considerations on catastrophe risk, and investors
credit risk, and collateral management • Understanding the connection between indices, transparency and
Peter Jan De Koning, Senior Portfolio Manager, PGGM securitisation
Jean-Michel Paul, CEO, Acheron Capital • Tracking the expansion of index-linked risk transfer beyond
John Seo, Managing Principal, Fermat Capital catastrophe risks
• Evaluating the growth prospects for index-linked instruments in
Europe and beyond
Thomas Hess, Chief Economist, Swiss Re
10.45 Morning Networking Break
Concurrent Tracks Begin: Choose Track A (non-life) or Track B (life)
Track A: Non-Life Track B: Life
11.30 The Future of European Issuance: A Pension Fund Perspective:
The Ongoing Role of ILS as an Effective Risk How Longevity-Based Assets are Really Evaluated
Management Tool Within Institutional Boardrooms
• Identifying the advantages and disadvantages of insurance-linked • A look at the asset class from the outside: How appealing are
securities compared with traditional reinsurance longevity-based assets from an institutional viewpoint?
• Understanding the most effect strategies for complementing your • Lifting the lid on the institutional decision-making process
reinsurance coverage through ILS • Identifying the most commonly-made mistakes while marketing
• Considerations on structuring catastrophe bonds: Making the choice policies and funds to institutional clients
between indemnity, parametric and hybrid bond triggers • Considerations on fees, transparency, and what the asset class will
• Risks, perils and layers best for reinsurance and those best for ILS have to look like before mainstream institutional participation
transactions becomes a reality
• Comparing ILS with collateralised reinsurance from a capacity and Speaker to be confirmed – check www.ilseurope.co.uk for
risk standpoint updates
Amer Ahmed, Chief Risk Officer, Allianz
12.15 Cat Bond Case Study: Pension Fund Investment Strategies:
Lakeside Re II Examining the Developments that Institutional Best Practices for Gaining Exposure to
Would Make ILS Instruments Even More Attractive the Longevity Asset Class
from a Sponsor’s Point of View • Identifying the most significant risks of investing in longevity from
• Understanding the time required to bring a transaction to market an institutional viewpoint
• Examining the frictional costs of a transaction • Comparing physical and synthetic approaches to longevity
• Issues surrounding trigger structures investments
• Exploring the need for improved secondary market liquidity • Considerations on making the selection between providers, LE
• The move towards increased transparency about market participants providers, and other investment partners
• Can we expect changes to the perils which will be accepted by • Understanding how smart policy selection can make life settlements
investors? an LDI-suitable asset class
Reto Koller, Head of Reinsurance Recoveries, Zurich Thomas Laumont, Chairman, BVDZ
David Rawson McKenzie, Fund Director, Centurion Fund Management
Scott Willkomm, SVP, Coventry
Robin Willi, CIO, Rigi Capital Partners
13.00 Networking Luncheon Sponsored by
14.15 Constructing the Perfect Portfolio: Portfolio Construction Techniques:
Investor Perspectives on the Most Effective ILS Considerations on the Most Effective Strategies for
Diversification Strategies Sourcing, Managing, and Blending a Portfolio of
• Diversifying by peril, geography, and investment date Longevity Risks
• Identifying the most effective diversification combinations for • Determining whether to invest synthetically or through the cash market
conservative, moderate, and high levels of risk tolerance • Evaluating the importance of sourcing clean collateral, and
• Fund manager perspectives on new collateral arrangements: establishing the clearest indicators that your collateral is clean
Expressing a preference between treasuries, floating KfW notes, and • Diversification within the longevity mix: Identifiying the most
triparty repo effective combinations of impairment types, LEs, and policy values
Christophe Fritsch, Head of ILS Team, AXA Investment • Understanding the most effective strategies for “blending” life
Management settlements into a portfolio of alternative investments
Anatol Mueller, Fund Manager, Finter Private Bank Franz-Philippe Przybyl, CEO, Berlin Atlantic Capital
John DeCaro, Co-Founder, Elementum Advisors Heinz Kubli, Managing Partner, Fundabilis
Pete Vloedman, Co-Founder, Anchor Risk Advisors Jeremy Leach, Group Managing Director, Managing Partners Ltd
4 +44 (0) 20 7368 9300 • www.ilseurope.co.uk
5. 15.00 Afternoon Networking Break
15.45 Parametric Cat Bonds: The Future of Synthetics:
Basis Risk and Model Uncertainty for Issuers and How Investors in 2015 Will Trade the Longevity
Investors Asset Class
• Basis risk for issuers: • Comparing synthetic products with cash investments in the
• Introducing an analytical framework to evaluate the basis risk of secondary market
• Lifting the lid on innovations in synthetic products
parametric cat bonds
• Quantifying the basis risk reduction benefit achieved by using • Understanding the most effective strategies for incorporating
sophisticated optimisation algorithms synthetic longevity exposure into a variety of different investment
• Identifying critical aspects of basis risk that can be potentially strategies
• Identifying the most significant developments on the horizon
overlooked by issuers and their advisors
• Model uncertainty for investors: regarding the way in which longevity and mortality will be traded
• Quantifying the level of model uncertainty associated with by different types of investor
parametric bonds Session Reserved for Credit Suisse
• Outlining an analytical process to systematically differentiate and
quantify the model uncertainty for different types of parameter
triggers
Lixin Zeng, Portfolio Manager, Alpha Cat Fund
16.30 Is “On-Shore” the New Destination for European ILS Strategies for Policy Valuation and Managing the
Funds? Changes in Life Expectancy Estimates
• Understanding the desire for greater regulatory robustness following • Comparing LE estimates: To what extent are differences between
the Madoff scandal the major LE providers converging or diverging?
• Identifying the most popular new destinations for European ILS • Monetising LE differences: Determining what different LE values
funds mean for portfolio values
• Quantifying the trade-off for fund managers in terms of restricted • Strategies for building LE uncertainty into the policy valuation
investment strategies and “two-week” liquidity process
• Understanding how the choice of location affects decisions relating • Considerations on whether investors should have more or less
to the structure of the fund confidence in current portfolio values
Luca Albertini, CEO, Leadenhall Capital Partners Speaker to be confirmed – check www.ilseurope.co.uk for
updates
17.15 Cocktail Reception
18.30 End of Main Conference Day 1
Main Conference Day 2
Wednesday, April 28, 2010
7.30 Coffee & Registration 9.15 The European Directive for Alternative Investment
Managers:
8.15 Chairman’s Opening Remarks Understanding the Implications for ILS & Life
Settlement Investors
8.30 Keynote Address: Is the World Becoming a More • Understanding the purpose of the directive
Dangerous Place?
• Examining timelines and possible variations
• What the directive will mean for the marketing of hedge funds
A Closer Look at the Findings of the UN’s Mortality (including ILS funds) to European clients
Risk Index • Forecasting the longer term implications of the directive on the
• Examining the factors contributing to the mortality risk index, future of the insurance-linked securities space
including the prevalence of natural disasters, infrastructure for Speaker to be confirmed – check www.ilseurope.co.uk for
updates
dealing with them, and varieties in the level of preparedness at
the country level 10.00 Guest Address: Distributed Computing and the
• Understanding how mortality risk levels vary along cyclone, Future of Climate Modeling:
earthquake, and flood axes Lifting the Lid on the World’s Largest Climate
• Taking a closer look at the relationship between mortality risk
Forecasting Experiment
• Examining the success of climateprediction.net in enlisting the
levels, economic considerations, and the insurance environment combined computing power of over 48,000 global users
on a country-by-country basis • A closer look at the experiments themselves, and the climate
• Dissecting the role of the index in disaster risk reduction efforts models they’re based upon
• Uncovering the results of the experiments: What does
internationally, and the possible expansion in the use of
climateprediction.net indicate about the future effects of climate
insurance-linked securities change, and what are the implications for insurance-linked
Assistant Secretary-General Margareta Wahlström, Special securities?
Representative for Disaster Risk Reduction, United Nations Dr Myles Allen, Head of Climate Dynamics Group, University of
Oxford
10.45 Morning Networking Break
Sponsors: 5
6. Concurrent Tracks Begin: Choose Track A (non-life) or Track B (life)
Track A: Non-Life Track B: Life
11.30 Why Do Models Disagree? What European Investors Need to Know About the
The Peculiar Challenge of Modeling European State of US Life Settlement Regulations
Windstorms • An update on the regulation of life settlements in the United States
• Examining the most significant sources of disagreement between • Attitudes of public policy makers concerning the secondary market for
European windstorm models life insurance
• Understanding why models disagree, and what the implications are • A look back and a look forward about STOLI
for sponsors of – and investors in – catastrophe bonds • Considerations on whether life settlements should be regarded as
• Identifying weakness in European catastrophe models, and scope securities transactions
for further improvements • Evaluating the possibility of federal oversight: What will this mean for
• A closer look at the “recharacterisation” process for newly issued European investment strategies?
cat bonds Michael Freedman, SVP, Government Affairs, Coventry
Speaker to be confirmed from AIR Worldwide
John Seo, Managing Principal, Fermat Capital
12.15 Networking Luncheon
13.15 Data Transparency: Evaluating Risk in Life Settlement Funds:
The Key to Broadening the ILS Investor Base? Managing the Dangers Associated with Longevity,
• Evaluating current levels of transparency in the pricing and loss Origination, and Valuation
estimates for insurance-linked securities • Examining the policy selection process – Safeguarding against insurable
• Considerations around the availability of data: Who can access it interest and other potential procurement issues
and under what circumstances? • The valuation process – How this can help to mitigate extended
• Web-based solutions for enhancing levels of transparency and longevity risk in a life settlement portfolio
disclosure • Funds’ legal structure – Choosing the right structure in the right
• Determining optimal levels of transparency for the industry: jurisdiction (Ireland, Luxembourg) to help mitigate tax issues such as
Preserving proprietary information while expanding the investor base the potential impact of the recent IRS rulings
Beat Holliger, Managing Director, Munich Re • Liquidity risk – Using synthetics to manage liquidity including how to
Karsten Bromann, Managing Partner & Chief Risk Officer, Solidum hedge liquidity and currency/credit risks associated with a life
Partners settlement portfolio
Michael Stahel, Head of Insurance-Linked Investments, Clariden Leu David Rawson McKenzie, Fund Director, Centurion Fund
Management
14.00 Scanning the Horizon: Longevity Swaps:
New Risks, New Product Structures, New An Effective Risk Management Tool for Pension
Geographies, New Investors Funds?
• Examining the growth of interest in securitising non-traditional risks: • Understanding the structure of a conventional longevity swap:
Motor loss, satellite impact, medical malpractice, extreme mortality Exchanging fixed payments to the swap provider in exchange for
• Evaluating new ways to transfer risks through the capital markets coverage of pension payments beyond a certain age
• Considerations around future product structures and trading • Identifying the risks associated with entering into a longevity swap
mechanisms from the pension point of view
• Overcoming the barriers to growth in new regions • Credit risk of the counterparty
Dr. Andreas Müller, Head of Origination, Distribution & ILS • Longevity risk miscalculation
Investments, Munich Re • Overcoming the challenges involved with selecting a longevity swap
Luca Albertini, CEO, Leadenhall Capital Partners counterparty
Jean-Louis Monnier, Head of ILS Europe, Swiss Re • Creating swap documentation that incorporates some measure of
flexibility, including (if possible) an early exit clause
Marcel Grandi, Senior Portfolio Manager, ILS, Credit Suisse Asset
Management
Robin Willi, CIO, Rigi Capital Partners
15.00 End of Conference
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Luca Albertini, CEO, Leadenhall Capital
6 +44 (0) 20 7368 9300 • www.ilseurope.co.uk
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2nd
Insurance
Linked
Securities
Summit
Europe
TM
26-28 April 2010 | London, UK
Delivering Superior Returns through Strategic Investments in Cat
Bonds, Life Settlements and other Insurance-Linked Securities
Sponsors: