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They May Be Slow To Tell You, But You Absolutely Need To Know:

The Buyer’s ‘Should-Cost’ Estimate
How Shaping The Buyer's Earliest Price Estimate Is Key To Your Success.




  Few buyers approach the purchase decision without some
                                                                                “Shaping the
  estimate of what they are going to have to spend. For the                  buyer’s ‘should-
  seller, that estimate, whether it is well informed, or not,                  cost’ model is
  impacts on everything from prequalification to negotiations.                   key to your
  Finding out what the buyer thinks your solution 'should-cost' is not as
                                                                                  success…”
  easy as it sounds. After all most buyers don't want to tell sellers what
  they plan to spend. Even if you do find out, the buyer's 'should-cost'
  estimate can be stubborn to change.

  This whitepaper will provide you with the tools and tips you need to
  understand and influence the buyer's 'should-cost' estimate.
The ‘Should-Cost’ Estimate Is Common Sense
The reality is that most buyers don't set about buying something
without having an idea (however vague) of what it 'should-cost'. Any
salesperson who sets off to buy something important either for work,
or personally does exactly the same thing. It is just common sense.

What the buyer expects your solution to cost has a major bearing on
getting the sale. Yet most salespeople try to sell without actually
knowing what the buyer's 'should-cost' estimate is. That does not
make sense.



Why Do Buyers Need A ‘Should-Cost’ Estimate?
For the professional buyer developing a 'should-cost' estimate is a
mandatory step in the buying process. Its importance derives from the
fact that it not only sets expectations, but determines such things as;

- Whether a buying process will get 'off the blocks'
- What the budgetary allocation will be
- The parameters in terms of specifications and even
- The negotiating stance to be adopted with potential suppliers.

The buyer's 'should-cost' estimate is generally more than a feeling, or
a guess. It is typically based on a set of assumptions, perhaps even a
model. How accurate or fair the 'should-cost' estimate is matters to
the salesperson and his or her strategy for winning the deal.              “Shaping the
                                                                                 buyer’s
When Are ‘Should-Cost’ Estimates Created?                                  ‘should-cost’
With longer and more complex buying cycles, it is important for the         model is key
buyer to set pricing or budgetary parameters at the earliest stages.
Indeed, 'what is it likely to cost?' is going to be one of the earliest
                                                                                to sales
questions that the buyer is going to have to answer.                           success.”
In most cases the buyer will have to set out a broad 'should' or 'could'
cost estimate before a formal buying process ever gets under way.
The problem is that this initial estimate can overshadow the full
procurement process.

P a g e |2
© The ASG Group 2011
What Are The Implications For The Salesperson?
Sellers who don't know, or fail to address the buyer's price
expectations run the risk of chasing phantom opportunities where
there simply is not the ability to pay (due to poor prequalification).
They also risk being 'beaten-up on price', or being out-sold by a                  “Early
competitor.                                                                 ‘should-cost’
As a seller, before you can justify the cost of your solution, you need
                                                                            assumptions
to understand what the prospect expects it 'should-cost' and how that        can be slow
expectation has been derived.
                                                                              to change.”
-   The earlier you do this the more acceptable you can make your
    price to the buyer.
-   The later it happens the greater the risk of a price-related shock on
    either side.

Above all salespeople must deal with the 'should-cost' challenge head-
on.



Why Are ‘Should-Cost’ Estimates A Secret?
While salespeople may ask a prospect what he, or she expects, or
plans to spend they will rarely get an honest answer. Little surprise
either!

Buyer's rightly fear that answering such question sets the parameters
for the seller's pricing. They are reluctant to share their 'should-cost'
price expectation because they want to better it.

So, while most buyers have an expectation of price, they are unlikely
to reveal it. Something similar happens with sellers, who for a myriad
of reasons can be less than upfront about their pricing.

The result is a cat and mouse game between buyer and seller around
price, with inevitable shocks and surprises along the way.




P a g e |3
© The ASG Group 2011
Why Are Some ‘Should-Cost’ Estimates Difficult To Change?
                                                                           “Many buyers
The buyer's initial 'should-cost' estimate may have been calculated
based on patchy information and some degree of guesswork.
                                                                            are amateur
However, while the estimate may be couched in general terms with          accountants in
lots of disclaimers and health warning for the reader, it can be          search of your
stubborn to change. That has implications for the seller who is often
arriving late to the table to be confronted by a 'should-cost' estimate      margins...”
that is woefully out of date, but difficult to change.

The buyer's early 'should-cost' estimate can quickly become set in the
minds of senior management.
Here is an example:

When the cost figure for a
new IT system is revised
upward the senior manager
baulks saying 'but you said it
would cost '1 million'. The
buyer responds 'that was 6
months ago before we talked
to all the users and
determined that a more
sophisticated and longer term
solution would be required'.

Regardless, the business case
for the purchase has now to
be fundamentally revised.
That could mean the buyer
going back to the drawing
board and the sale being
stalled as a result.




P a g e |4
© The ASG Group 2011
Does Your Buyer Think He/She Is An Accountant?
"Everybody is an amateur accountant these days" exclaimed a sales
manager recently, as yet another prospect probed into the supplier's
costs and margins.
                                                                               “Gauge how
Expressing the frustration experienced by many salespeople the
                                                                            effectively you
manager continued: "Buyers think they have a right to know, or worse
that they already know the business model of the supplier - something     are handling the
that has taken many suppliers years to establish and indeed refine. Yet       ‘should-cost’
with a few simple formulas in a spreadsheet the buyer thinks he can
capture, even rewrite the economics of the suppliers business!"
                                                                                   issue...”

The manager may well be right, but the reality is buyers are
increasingly inquisitorial in their desire to understand just how low
they can get the supplier's price. That is their job!

Faced with this reality the seller must deliberately intervene to shape
the buyer's 'should-cost' model. To see how effectively you are doing
this answer the questions overleaf, ticking the boxes if the answer is
'Yes'.




Your Sales Gauge:           The Buyer's 'Should-Cost' Estimate



There are 8 items in the best practice checklist below. Use these to
gauge how effectively you are handling the buyer's 'should-cost'
estimate and the impact that address this issue could have on your
sales success.

Tick the ones for which you can answer 'Yes' – that is those that are
presently being addressed, or covered by your sales approach. Pay
particular attention to those that you cannot Tick – they could be
limiting your success.




P a g e |5
© The ASG Group 2011
Tick  If ‘Yes’

 Do You Address ‘Should-Cost’ Issues From Day One?

    The longer a 'should-cost' model or assumption exists the harder it is
    to challenge. So don't leave price till later address 'should-cost' issues
    immediately. It is the seller's job to shape, inform and correct 'should-
    cost' assumptions from day one.

    It is vital to know the 'should-cost' for each key opportunity in your
    sales pipeline.

    The appropriateness of the buyer's 'should-cost' estimate and its
    susceptibility to influence must play a role in the seller's
    prequalification of the opportunity. If the gap between the seller's
    price and the buyer's 'should-cost' estimate is too great the deal
    cannot be won.


 Tick  If ‘Yes’

 Are You Ready If The Buyer Tries To ‘Should-Cost’ You?

    Be ready for the coy buyer to use their 'should-cost' model in supplier
    negotiations. Expect the buyer to show the model and ask for the
    seller's reaction. Expect that he, or she will listen carefully and invite
                                                                                  “What are the
    the supplier to correct aspects of the model that may need                       flaws in the
    refinement.                                                                    ‘should-cost’
    In this environment the salesperson can unwittingly end up revealing
                                                                                   estimates for
    a lot more than they had intended, sometimes even correcting buyer           your solution?”
    numbers downwards!



 Tick  If ‘Yes’

 Do You Know How Buyers Arrive At Their ‘Should-Cost’?

    Even if buyers won't tell salespeople what their plan, or expect to
    spend, sellers need to know the assumptions prospects make when it
    comes to price. That includes the formula by which it is likely to be
    calculated.


    P a g e |6
    © The ASG Group 2011
How easy is it for your prospects to develop a 'should-cost' model?
   What are the building blocks, metrics and assumptions that buyers
   typically use in your category space? What information sources, or
   point of reference is the buyer likely to use? These are all important
   questions to consider.

   The seller needs to understand the science, or lack of it, behind the
   buyers 'should-cost' estimate, including; key variables (day rates, lines
   of code, etc.), benchmarks/yardsticks and rules of thumb (e.g. 20%
   more expensive than a semi automated process), etc.


 Tick  If ‘Yes’

 Do You Know Their Most Common ‘Should-Cost’ Flaws?

   Management accounting isn't easy – just ask your accounting
   colleagues. Techniques such as Activity Based Costing - aimed at
   apportioning fixed costs to individual products, or services, can be
   surprisingly complex. So, the buyer's back of an envelope calculation is
   certain to have some flaws. Addressing these flaws is important for
   the seller.

   Develop a list of the most common flaws, or misunderstandings
   regarding the cost of your solutions. Tackle these erroneous
   assumptions up front, before they even surface.



Tick  If ‘Yes’

 Do You Help Them Inject Realism Into Their Estimates?

   What is the seller's role in bringing the relevant skills & numbers to
   bear on the buyer's 'should-cost' estimates? Here are some ways the
   seller can help:

   -    Help buyers to ground their 'should-cost' estimates by providing
        them with access to 3rd party numbers, analyst data and customer
        case studies.

   P a g e |7
   © The ASG Group 2011
-   Get your finance team to help you in understanding and dealing
        with how buyers estimate costs. Encourage buyers to get input of
        finance or other internal experts to make their model more robust.




 Tick  If ‘Yes’

 Do You Ensure They Also Have A ‘Should-Save’ Estimate?

    The flip side of the 'should-cost' equation is the 'should-save'
    estimate. However this is something that buyers can struggle with too.
    In particular our research shows a high level of scepticism regarding
    the savings estimates prepared by procurement.

    Buyers know that a narrow focus on cost is a mistake, so focus on the
    payback and the business results. Highlight cost in its broader context
    - Total Cost of Ownership, Total Lifecycle Costs and Total Acquisition
    Costs. Also bring risk into the mix too.                                     “Make sure
                                                                              that the buyer
                                                                                   also has a
Tick  If ‘Yes’
                                                                               ‘should-save’
 Do You Ensure Their Estimate Reflects Requirements?
                                                                                 estimate…”
    Everybody knows that the cost of the basic model, or service is just
    the bottom end price-wise. Indeed, when all the extras are added the
    basic price may have little in common with the final ticket price. So,
    delve into the buyer's requirements and help them to understand the
    cost implications of their specific needs.

    Similarly, help the buyer to understand competitor
    segments/groupings, so that the buyer is not using the wrong end of
    the market to inform 'should-cost' estimates.




    P a g e |8
    © The ASG Group 2011
Tick  If ‘Yes’

 Do You Probe Their Real ‘Should-Cost’ Motives?

    Understandably sellers can be suspicious of the buyer who is too
    inquisitive about their numbers and margins. In addition to the
    obvious concern that the buyer is striving to shave margins, the seller
    may fear that the buyer's 'should-cost' estimates are aimed at
    informing a 'make or buy decision'. That is where the buyer is
    evaluating the cost of doing it themselves and bypassing the supplier
    all together.

    The seller has to be able to handle the 'should-cost' issue when a
    'make, or buy' decision may be at play. In effect the seller wants to get
    the buyer to realize that 'while it may look easy, it is not'.



    What Should You Do Next?
    Use the checklist above to decide what you want to do next. In
    particular, see how many items were you able to tick 'Yes'.

    If you ticked most, or all of them then you have the buyer's 'should-
    cost' estimate under control. So, you might like to navigate to some
    other aspect of the Opportunities Stage, or elsewhere in the sales
    process.




    If not, this area could be limiting your sales success. You can start
    addressing it by tackling those items in the checklist that you could
    not tick. For each make a note of specific actions you can take – you
    will find space to write earlier in this paper.




    P a g e |9
    © The ASG Group 2011
The Science Behind This Paper
These insights and tools are based on extensive research under 3
headings:

1. Buyer Research – our ground-breaking research into how modern
   buying decisions are made and the implications for sellers.

2. Best Practice Research – Over 1 million pages of best practice sales
   case studies, books and research.

3. Common Practice Research – Our peer comparison benchmark of
   1,000s of your competitors and peers.


The Sales Engine® and SellerNav are trademarks of The ASG Group.
The entire contents of this document are copyright of The ASG Group
and cannot be reproduced in any format without written permission.

Would you like help in tackling your sales challenges? Contact us at:
enquiries@theASGgroup.com

www.theASGgroup.com



P a g e | 10
© The ASG Group 2011

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The Buyer's Should-Cost Estimate

  • 1. Retail Price: $29 They May Be Slow To Tell You, But You Absolutely Need To Know: The Buyer’s ‘Should-Cost’ Estimate How Shaping The Buyer's Earliest Price Estimate Is Key To Your Success. Few buyers approach the purchase decision without some “Shaping the estimate of what they are going to have to spend. For the buyer’s ‘should- seller, that estimate, whether it is well informed, or not, cost’ model is impacts on everything from prequalification to negotiations. key to your Finding out what the buyer thinks your solution 'should-cost' is not as success…” easy as it sounds. After all most buyers don't want to tell sellers what they plan to spend. Even if you do find out, the buyer's 'should-cost' estimate can be stubborn to change. This whitepaper will provide you with the tools and tips you need to understand and influence the buyer's 'should-cost' estimate.
  • 2. The ‘Should-Cost’ Estimate Is Common Sense The reality is that most buyers don't set about buying something without having an idea (however vague) of what it 'should-cost'. Any salesperson who sets off to buy something important either for work, or personally does exactly the same thing. It is just common sense. What the buyer expects your solution to cost has a major bearing on getting the sale. Yet most salespeople try to sell without actually knowing what the buyer's 'should-cost' estimate is. That does not make sense. Why Do Buyers Need A ‘Should-Cost’ Estimate? For the professional buyer developing a 'should-cost' estimate is a mandatory step in the buying process. Its importance derives from the fact that it not only sets expectations, but determines such things as; - Whether a buying process will get 'off the blocks' - What the budgetary allocation will be - The parameters in terms of specifications and even - The negotiating stance to be adopted with potential suppliers. The buyer's 'should-cost' estimate is generally more than a feeling, or a guess. It is typically based on a set of assumptions, perhaps even a model. How accurate or fair the 'should-cost' estimate is matters to the salesperson and his or her strategy for winning the deal. “Shaping the buyer’s When Are ‘Should-Cost’ Estimates Created? ‘should-cost’ With longer and more complex buying cycles, it is important for the model is key buyer to set pricing or budgetary parameters at the earliest stages. Indeed, 'what is it likely to cost?' is going to be one of the earliest to sales questions that the buyer is going to have to answer. success.” In most cases the buyer will have to set out a broad 'should' or 'could' cost estimate before a formal buying process ever gets under way. The problem is that this initial estimate can overshadow the full procurement process. P a g e |2 © The ASG Group 2011
  • 3. What Are The Implications For The Salesperson? Sellers who don't know, or fail to address the buyer's price expectations run the risk of chasing phantom opportunities where there simply is not the ability to pay (due to poor prequalification). They also risk being 'beaten-up on price', or being out-sold by a “Early competitor. ‘should-cost’ As a seller, before you can justify the cost of your solution, you need assumptions to understand what the prospect expects it 'should-cost' and how that can be slow expectation has been derived. to change.” - The earlier you do this the more acceptable you can make your price to the buyer. - The later it happens the greater the risk of a price-related shock on either side. Above all salespeople must deal with the 'should-cost' challenge head- on. Why Are ‘Should-Cost’ Estimates A Secret? While salespeople may ask a prospect what he, or she expects, or plans to spend they will rarely get an honest answer. Little surprise either! Buyer's rightly fear that answering such question sets the parameters for the seller's pricing. They are reluctant to share their 'should-cost' price expectation because they want to better it. So, while most buyers have an expectation of price, they are unlikely to reveal it. Something similar happens with sellers, who for a myriad of reasons can be less than upfront about their pricing. The result is a cat and mouse game between buyer and seller around price, with inevitable shocks and surprises along the way. P a g e |3 © The ASG Group 2011
  • 4. Why Are Some ‘Should-Cost’ Estimates Difficult To Change? “Many buyers The buyer's initial 'should-cost' estimate may have been calculated based on patchy information and some degree of guesswork. are amateur However, while the estimate may be couched in general terms with accountants in lots of disclaimers and health warning for the reader, it can be search of your stubborn to change. That has implications for the seller who is often arriving late to the table to be confronted by a 'should-cost' estimate margins...” that is woefully out of date, but difficult to change. The buyer's early 'should-cost' estimate can quickly become set in the minds of senior management. Here is an example: When the cost figure for a new IT system is revised upward the senior manager baulks saying 'but you said it would cost '1 million'. The buyer responds 'that was 6 months ago before we talked to all the users and determined that a more sophisticated and longer term solution would be required'. Regardless, the business case for the purchase has now to be fundamentally revised. That could mean the buyer going back to the drawing board and the sale being stalled as a result. P a g e |4 © The ASG Group 2011
  • 5. Does Your Buyer Think He/She Is An Accountant? "Everybody is an amateur accountant these days" exclaimed a sales manager recently, as yet another prospect probed into the supplier's costs and margins. “Gauge how Expressing the frustration experienced by many salespeople the effectively you manager continued: "Buyers think they have a right to know, or worse that they already know the business model of the supplier - something are handling the that has taken many suppliers years to establish and indeed refine. Yet ‘should-cost’ with a few simple formulas in a spreadsheet the buyer thinks he can capture, even rewrite the economics of the suppliers business!" issue...” The manager may well be right, but the reality is buyers are increasingly inquisitorial in their desire to understand just how low they can get the supplier's price. That is their job! Faced with this reality the seller must deliberately intervene to shape the buyer's 'should-cost' model. To see how effectively you are doing this answer the questions overleaf, ticking the boxes if the answer is 'Yes'. Your Sales Gauge: The Buyer's 'Should-Cost' Estimate There are 8 items in the best practice checklist below. Use these to gauge how effectively you are handling the buyer's 'should-cost' estimate and the impact that address this issue could have on your sales success. Tick the ones for which you can answer 'Yes' – that is those that are presently being addressed, or covered by your sales approach. Pay particular attention to those that you cannot Tick – they could be limiting your success. P a g e |5 © The ASG Group 2011
  • 6. Tick  If ‘Yes’  Do You Address ‘Should-Cost’ Issues From Day One? The longer a 'should-cost' model or assumption exists the harder it is to challenge. So don't leave price till later address 'should-cost' issues immediately. It is the seller's job to shape, inform and correct 'should- cost' assumptions from day one. It is vital to know the 'should-cost' for each key opportunity in your sales pipeline. The appropriateness of the buyer's 'should-cost' estimate and its susceptibility to influence must play a role in the seller's prequalification of the opportunity. If the gap between the seller's price and the buyer's 'should-cost' estimate is too great the deal cannot be won. Tick  If ‘Yes’  Are You Ready If The Buyer Tries To ‘Should-Cost’ You? Be ready for the coy buyer to use their 'should-cost' model in supplier negotiations. Expect the buyer to show the model and ask for the seller's reaction. Expect that he, or she will listen carefully and invite “What are the the supplier to correct aspects of the model that may need flaws in the refinement. ‘should-cost’ In this environment the salesperson can unwittingly end up revealing estimates for a lot more than they had intended, sometimes even correcting buyer your solution?” numbers downwards! Tick  If ‘Yes’  Do You Know How Buyers Arrive At Their ‘Should-Cost’? Even if buyers won't tell salespeople what their plan, or expect to spend, sellers need to know the assumptions prospects make when it comes to price. That includes the formula by which it is likely to be calculated. P a g e |6 © The ASG Group 2011
  • 7. How easy is it for your prospects to develop a 'should-cost' model? What are the building blocks, metrics and assumptions that buyers typically use in your category space? What information sources, or point of reference is the buyer likely to use? These are all important questions to consider. The seller needs to understand the science, or lack of it, behind the buyers 'should-cost' estimate, including; key variables (day rates, lines of code, etc.), benchmarks/yardsticks and rules of thumb (e.g. 20% more expensive than a semi automated process), etc. Tick  If ‘Yes’  Do You Know Their Most Common ‘Should-Cost’ Flaws? Management accounting isn't easy – just ask your accounting colleagues. Techniques such as Activity Based Costing - aimed at apportioning fixed costs to individual products, or services, can be surprisingly complex. So, the buyer's back of an envelope calculation is certain to have some flaws. Addressing these flaws is important for the seller. Develop a list of the most common flaws, or misunderstandings regarding the cost of your solutions. Tackle these erroneous assumptions up front, before they even surface. Tick  If ‘Yes’  Do You Help Them Inject Realism Into Their Estimates? What is the seller's role in bringing the relevant skills & numbers to bear on the buyer's 'should-cost' estimates? Here are some ways the seller can help: - Help buyers to ground their 'should-cost' estimates by providing them with access to 3rd party numbers, analyst data and customer case studies. P a g e |7 © The ASG Group 2011
  • 8. - Get your finance team to help you in understanding and dealing with how buyers estimate costs. Encourage buyers to get input of finance or other internal experts to make their model more robust. Tick  If ‘Yes’  Do You Ensure They Also Have A ‘Should-Save’ Estimate? The flip side of the 'should-cost' equation is the 'should-save' estimate. However this is something that buyers can struggle with too. In particular our research shows a high level of scepticism regarding the savings estimates prepared by procurement. Buyers know that a narrow focus on cost is a mistake, so focus on the payback and the business results. Highlight cost in its broader context - Total Cost of Ownership, Total Lifecycle Costs and Total Acquisition Costs. Also bring risk into the mix too. “Make sure that the buyer also has a Tick  If ‘Yes’ ‘should-save’  Do You Ensure Their Estimate Reflects Requirements? estimate…” Everybody knows that the cost of the basic model, or service is just the bottom end price-wise. Indeed, when all the extras are added the basic price may have little in common with the final ticket price. So, delve into the buyer's requirements and help them to understand the cost implications of their specific needs. Similarly, help the buyer to understand competitor segments/groupings, so that the buyer is not using the wrong end of the market to inform 'should-cost' estimates. P a g e |8 © The ASG Group 2011
  • 9. Tick  If ‘Yes’  Do You Probe Their Real ‘Should-Cost’ Motives? Understandably sellers can be suspicious of the buyer who is too inquisitive about their numbers and margins. In addition to the obvious concern that the buyer is striving to shave margins, the seller may fear that the buyer's 'should-cost' estimates are aimed at informing a 'make or buy decision'. That is where the buyer is evaluating the cost of doing it themselves and bypassing the supplier all together. The seller has to be able to handle the 'should-cost' issue when a 'make, or buy' decision may be at play. In effect the seller wants to get the buyer to realize that 'while it may look easy, it is not'. What Should You Do Next? Use the checklist above to decide what you want to do next. In particular, see how many items were you able to tick 'Yes'. If you ticked most, or all of them then you have the buyer's 'should- cost' estimate under control. So, you might like to navigate to some other aspect of the Opportunities Stage, or elsewhere in the sales process. If not, this area could be limiting your sales success. You can start addressing it by tackling those items in the checklist that you could not tick. For each make a note of specific actions you can take – you will find space to write earlier in this paper. P a g e |9 © The ASG Group 2011
  • 10. The Science Behind This Paper These insights and tools are based on extensive research under 3 headings: 1. Buyer Research – our ground-breaking research into how modern buying decisions are made and the implications for sellers. 2. Best Practice Research – Over 1 million pages of best practice sales case studies, books and research. 3. Common Practice Research – Our peer comparison benchmark of 1,000s of your competitors and peers. The Sales Engine® and SellerNav are trademarks of The ASG Group. The entire contents of this document are copyright of The ASG Group and cannot be reproduced in any format without written permission. Would you like help in tackling your sales challenges? Contact us at: enquiries@theASGgroup.com www.theASGgroup.com P a g e | 10 © The ASG Group 2011