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Opportunities and Challenges
              for the
Food, Beverage, and CPG Industries

                            John Blanchard
                                  Research Director
               Food , Beverage , and CPG Industries
                                ARC Advisory Group
                           jblanchard@arcweb.com
Challenging Times




       Food, beverage, and CPG manufacturers find
     themselves caught between slow growth, rising
   costs, waning pricing power, accelerated regulatory
        and customer requirements, and a growing
      p
      percentage of sales from a limited number of
                g
    powerful and demanding retailer, and increasingly
         limited capital, human, and even material
                          resources




                                                                           2
                                                         © ARC Advisory Group
Challenging Times




       How do we improve margins
          and increase profitable
             growth to sustain
            shareholder value?




                                                      3
                                    © ARC Advisory Group
Business Environment



♦ F d and product safety d dili
  Food  d    d t    f t due diligence i
                                      increasing
                                             i
   • Concerned consumer
   • Yearly food borne illness statistics


   • Global terrorism
   • Global sourcing & rapid high volume distribution



   • These facts plus product counterfeiting are producing
   • New industry and company food safety initiatives
   • Increased regulatory and customer requirements


                                                                               4
                                                             © ARC Advisory Group
Business Environment



 ♦ I
   Increasing government regulations
          i            t     l ti
    • US Bioterrorism Act
       • FDA and USDA regulations
       • CBP/CT PAT
          CBP/CT-PAT
       • DHS
                         Customs- Trade Partnership
                             Against Terrorism

                                                                Recall Reason
    • Truth in labeling laws
                                                                                E. coli
                                                      Foreign
                                                       Matl                  Listeria
    • FDA & USDA mandated HACCP programs                                    Staph
                                                                            St h
                                                                 Allergen
      for fish, meat, poultry, and juices                                    Salmonel




    • Environmental regulations: land, water, air


                                                                                                      5
                                                                                    © ARC Advisory Group
Business Environment

♦ Increasing share of market controlled by a limited number powerful
  retailers, manufacturers, and suppliers
♦ Increasing global competition for everyone
♦ Mature US and European markets with limited growth opportunities
♦ Seeking opportunities in high growth emerging markets

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         15.0%                                     $3 .6 b                                                                                               $4.0
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                                                                      sources did not indicate whether Sam’s Club data was included or not in the reports.
                                            er


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                                                                  Share of Business at Wal*Mart                       Dollar Sales
                                                                                                                                                                                  6
                                                                                                                                                                © ARC Advisory Group
Rapid Change, More Complexity, Limited
Resources

 ♦ Global sourcing of more limited, higher cost, more exotic ingredients
 ♦ Value health, and environmentally conscious and demanding new
   Value, health
   consumer
 ♦ Lots of consumer short (fads) changing purchasing patterns
 ♦ Rapidly changing demographics and new geographies (small
   bodegas)
 ♦ Increasing number of SKUs and new product introductions
 ♦ Increasing percentage of sales from promotions
 ♦ Increasing importance of packaging


 ♦ Limited resources
     ♦ Available capital
     ♦ L b pool and skill sets
       Labor     l   d kill  t
     ♦ Water, energy, ingredients, packaging materials
                                                                                        7
                                                                      © ARC Advisory Group
More Sustainable Manufacturing

♦   Driven by retailer initiatives
    •   “The challenge of creating a low-carbon society will
        require a revolution in thought and action – a
        revolution in green consumption.” - Terry Leahy –
        CEO Tesco

♦   Driven by business and regulatory
            y                g      y
    requirements
    •   As a part of their effort to eliminate waste and
        improve efficiency, Pepsico has been applying eco-
        friendly technology in packaging, deploying solar
        energy and methane gas recovery technology, and
        testing hybrid vehicle programs in their delivery fleets


♦   Driven by limited resources for manufacturing in most
    parts of the world
♦   Driven by the “green” consumer/shareholder
    •   A recent survey over 50% of consumers consider “
                                  f                id  “green” i their purchasing
                                                             ” in h i      h i
        decisions and 20% are ardent “green” even concerned over how a company
        treats its employees
                                                                                               8
                                                                             © ARC Advisory Group
Sustainable Manufacturing


 ♦ To the consumer
   •   Product availability
                                        Environment
   •   Environmental                     & Resource
       responsibility                     Friendly
                                          Products

 ♦ To the employee and
   his/her family
      /         y
 ♦ To the local community     Environment
                               & Resource
                                                 Environment
                                                  & Resource
                                Friendly           Friendly
 ♦ To many segments of        Supply Chain          Plants
   manufacturing
 ♦ To Wall Street

                                                                             9
                                                           © ARC Advisory Group
Response to Changing Business Environment




♦ Initial Strategy
    i i l                        “Margins rise while returns are flat”

  •   Mergers, acquisitions, divestitures, outsourcing
  •   Product portfolio rationalization/optimization
  •   Productivity initiatives
       • OEE, TPM, continuous improvement
  •   Supply chain optimization programs




                                                                                     10
                                                                    © ARC Advisory Group
Now Food, Beverage, and CPG Manufacturers Are
Asking


 ♦ How do I address the fluctuating price and availability of
   commodities?
 ♦ How do I reduce my energy and other utilities costs and
   ensure the long term availability of these resources?
 ♦ How do I find and evaluate new technology that will support
   innovation and speed time-to-market?
 ♦ How do I reduce my manufacturing cycle time?
 ♦ How do I come up with new ideas or equipment that is multi-
   tasking and that can reduce change over time?
 ♦ Wh t are th b t metrics to support future manufacturing
   What     the best t i   t        tf t         f t i
   requirements?
 ♦ How do I support my ever expanding manufacturing and
   business automation systems and networks?


                                                                                 11
                                                                © ARC Advisory Group
Response to Changing Business Environment



                                “An agile, innovative enterprise to
                                   sustain growth and improve
♦ Strategy Going Forward –                   margins”

  •   Global “super branding”
  •   Expansion of distribution channels
  •   Process automation and integration of
      manufacturing & business processes enterprise-wide
  •   More sustainable & flexible manufacturing & supply
      chains
       h i
  •   Develop a more innovative and extended
      organization and culture (people)


                                                                                12
                                                               © ARC Advisory Group
Operational excellence is no
      longer enough.

Its power to differentiate has
           eroded.

                        Rory A. M. Delaney
                        Senior Vice President
                        Strategic Technology
                        General Mills


                                                                 13
                                                © ARC Advisory Group
A Discipline of Innovation Emerging

   Innovation is generally recognized as the principle
        driver of growth and shareholder value
                  g

   •   An increased rate of change has made an
       ability to change more valuable
   •   Methods and tools are emerging to vastly
       improve innovation success rates
   •   Companies need new insights to achieve
           p                  g
       growth
   •   Companies are “globalizing” their innovation
       p
       processes. A “follow the sun” p
                                     process is
       emerging
   •   Companies are also utilizing more external
       resources to drive innovation


                                                                          14
                                                         © ARC Advisory Group
A Discipline of Innovation Emerging

   Innovation is generally recognized as the principle
        driver of growth and shareholder value
                  g
   • Companies involving suppliers earlier in design phase of
     new products and processes

   • Some OEMs are driving innovation faster than their clients
     – even in non-traditional areas of their business
      •   Patented p oduc pac ag g
           a e ed product packaging
      •   More functions on a single unit or machine
      •   More continuous on-line quality verification
      •   New environmentally friendly technology
      •   Packaging end line provider


   • Sustainable manufacturing and limited
     resources in emerging markets will
     drive innovation even faster

                                                                             15
                                                            © ARC Advisory Group
Where Are We Today?




 ♦   Few food, beverage, CPG manufacturing sites have
     their processing, packaging, warehousing, logistics,
     and business systems networked together with bi-
                                                    bi
     directional electronic exchange of information
 ♦   Over 67% of packaging lines do not measure
     performance
 ♦   All respondents felt there was room for improvement in
     on-line quality verification, with almost two thirds
     saying there was significant room for improvement

                  ARC Insights & Manufacturing Performance Surveys 2007



                                                                                      16
                                                                     © ARC Advisory Group
Increased Need for On-line Quality Verification




                                                                   17
                                                  © ARC Advisory Group
Where Are We Today?


♦   One of the primary reasons for purchasing production
    management software is compliance
♦   Leading edge companies depend upon production
    management software to optimize margin and quality

                     ARC Insights & Manufacturing Performance Surveys 2007



♦   Some factors inhibiting adoption of technology
     •   Lack of ease of use for operators
     •   Cost and complexity of maintaining technology
     •   Lack of resources to evaluate new technologies
     •   Long standing purchasing & amortization policies


                                                                                         18
                                                                        © ARC Advisory Group
What Do We Need To Do?

 ♦ A More Comprehensive Plan to Meet Business and
   Regulatory Requirements includes:


   • Increased emphasis on performance monitoring ,
       continuous improvement, and flexibility
   •   Improved electronic tracking and tracing from the source
       to the consumer
   •   Improved manufacturing plant security
   •   Increased on-line quality verification and Quality by
       Design (QBD)
   •   An “in depth” sustainable manufacturing strategy
   •   An automation strategy that recognizes the commonality
       in both business and regulatory requirements
   •   Affocus on people – your most valuable resource
                       l                 l bl

                                                                              19
                                                             © ARC Advisory Group
It’s Not Just About Technology



    “To sustain the productivity surge, today's managers must
   develop incentives that encourage their workers-as well as
  themselves-to be more creative, self-starting, educated, and
 willing to experiment. Jobs that call for simply following recipes
    will become scarcer, and demand for an innovation-driven
                 workforce will continue to grow.”


   “……..It took 40 years for businesses to figure out how to
 redesign their factories and processes so that electricity could
  deliver a productivity payoff. Managers cannot afford to wait
 decades to harness the greater productivity offered by today's
                                                          today s
                        IT advances. …….
                                  “Productivity's Technology Iceberg” March, 2004
                                  by Erik Brynjolfsson,
                                  Professor of Management
                                  MIT Sloan School of Management


                                                                                            20
                                                                           © ARC Advisory Group
21
© ARC Advisory Group

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Opportunities Challenges for Food Beverage and CPG

  • 1. Opportunities and Challenges for the Food, Beverage, and CPG Industries John Blanchard Research Director Food , Beverage , and CPG Industries ARC Advisory Group jblanchard@arcweb.com
  • 2. Challenging Times Food, beverage, and CPG manufacturers find themselves caught between slow growth, rising costs, waning pricing power, accelerated regulatory and customer requirements, and a growing p percentage of sales from a limited number of g powerful and demanding retailer, and increasingly limited capital, human, and even material resources 2 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 3. Challenging Times How do we improve margins and increase profitable growth to sustain shareholder value? 3 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 4. Business Environment ♦ F d and product safety d dili Food d d t f t due diligence i increasing i • Concerned consumer • Yearly food borne illness statistics • Global terrorism • Global sourcing & rapid high volume distribution • These facts plus product counterfeiting are producing • New industry and company food safety initiatives • Increased regulatory and customer requirements 4 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 5. Business Environment ♦ I Increasing government regulations i t l ti • US Bioterrorism Act • FDA and USDA regulations • CBP/CT PAT CBP/CT-PAT • DHS Customs- Trade Partnership Against Terrorism Recall Reason • Truth in labeling laws E. coli Foreign Matl Listeria • FDA & USDA mandated HACCP programs Staph St h Allergen for fish, meat, poultry, and juices Salmonel • Environmental regulations: land, water, air 5 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 6. Business Environment ♦ Increasing share of market controlled by a limited number powerful retailers, manufacturers, and suppliers ♦ Increasing global competition for everyone ♦ Mature US and European markets with limited growth opportunities ♦ Seeking opportunities in high growth emerging markets 30.0% 2 8 .0 % $8.0 $6 . 8 b $7.0 25.0% 2 3 .0 % 2 2 . 5% 2 1% $6.0 20.0% 17. 2 % 17. 0 % $5.0 16 . 3 % 15.0% $3 .6 b $4.0 12 . 0 % 12 .0 % 13 .0 % 10 . 5% 12 .2 % $3.0 10.0% $1.8 b $1.8 b $1.4 b $2.0 5.0% $1. 0 b $1.0 b $0 . 9 b $0 .9 b $0 .4 b $1.0 $0 . 3 b $0 .3 b 3 0.0% $0.0 ) 's) tte p. G gg n e 's ey x r t ze af lo ro Le am or P& m ill e l lo sh ev Kr lo gi Sa C ra Ke G .S er C er R l ia Sa x. H En cl D (E (In s s i ll i ll M M al +Data al sources did not indicate whether Sam’s Club data was included or not in the reports. er er en en G G Share of Business at Wal*Mart Dollar Sales 6 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 7. Rapid Change, More Complexity, Limited Resources ♦ Global sourcing of more limited, higher cost, more exotic ingredients ♦ Value health, and environmentally conscious and demanding new Value, health consumer ♦ Lots of consumer short (fads) changing purchasing patterns ♦ Rapidly changing demographics and new geographies (small bodegas) ♦ Increasing number of SKUs and new product introductions ♦ Increasing percentage of sales from promotions ♦ Increasing importance of packaging ♦ Limited resources ♦ Available capital ♦ L b pool and skill sets Labor l d kill t ♦ Water, energy, ingredients, packaging materials 7 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 8. More Sustainable Manufacturing ♦ Driven by retailer initiatives • “The challenge of creating a low-carbon society will require a revolution in thought and action – a revolution in green consumption.” - Terry Leahy – CEO Tesco ♦ Driven by business and regulatory y g y requirements • As a part of their effort to eliminate waste and improve efficiency, Pepsico has been applying eco- friendly technology in packaging, deploying solar energy and methane gas recovery technology, and testing hybrid vehicle programs in their delivery fleets ♦ Driven by limited resources for manufacturing in most parts of the world ♦ Driven by the “green” consumer/shareholder • A recent survey over 50% of consumers consider “ f id “green” i their purchasing ” in h i h i decisions and 20% are ardent “green” even concerned over how a company treats its employees 8 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 9. Sustainable Manufacturing ♦ To the consumer • Product availability Environment • Environmental & Resource responsibility Friendly Products ♦ To the employee and his/her family / y ♦ To the local community Environment & Resource Environment & Resource Friendly Friendly ♦ To many segments of Supply Chain Plants manufacturing ♦ To Wall Street 9 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 10. Response to Changing Business Environment ♦ Initial Strategy i i l “Margins rise while returns are flat” • Mergers, acquisitions, divestitures, outsourcing • Product portfolio rationalization/optimization • Productivity initiatives • OEE, TPM, continuous improvement • Supply chain optimization programs 10 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 11. Now Food, Beverage, and CPG Manufacturers Are Asking ♦ How do I address the fluctuating price and availability of commodities? ♦ How do I reduce my energy and other utilities costs and ensure the long term availability of these resources? ♦ How do I find and evaluate new technology that will support innovation and speed time-to-market? ♦ How do I reduce my manufacturing cycle time? ♦ How do I come up with new ideas or equipment that is multi- tasking and that can reduce change over time? ♦ Wh t are th b t metrics to support future manufacturing What the best t i t tf t f t i requirements? ♦ How do I support my ever expanding manufacturing and business automation systems and networks? 11 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 12. Response to Changing Business Environment “An agile, innovative enterprise to sustain growth and improve ♦ Strategy Going Forward – margins” • Global “super branding” • Expansion of distribution channels • Process automation and integration of manufacturing & business processes enterprise-wide • More sustainable & flexible manufacturing & supply chains h i • Develop a more innovative and extended organization and culture (people) 12 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 13. Operational excellence is no longer enough. Its power to differentiate has eroded. Rory A. M. Delaney Senior Vice President Strategic Technology General Mills 13 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 14. A Discipline of Innovation Emerging Innovation is generally recognized as the principle driver of growth and shareholder value g • An increased rate of change has made an ability to change more valuable • Methods and tools are emerging to vastly improve innovation success rates • Companies need new insights to achieve p g growth • Companies are “globalizing” their innovation p processes. A “follow the sun” p process is emerging • Companies are also utilizing more external resources to drive innovation 14 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 15. A Discipline of Innovation Emerging Innovation is generally recognized as the principle driver of growth and shareholder value g • Companies involving suppliers earlier in design phase of new products and processes • Some OEMs are driving innovation faster than their clients – even in non-traditional areas of their business • Patented p oduc pac ag g a e ed product packaging • More functions on a single unit or machine • More continuous on-line quality verification • New environmentally friendly technology • Packaging end line provider • Sustainable manufacturing and limited resources in emerging markets will drive innovation even faster 15 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 16. Where Are We Today? ♦ Few food, beverage, CPG manufacturing sites have their processing, packaging, warehousing, logistics, and business systems networked together with bi- bi directional electronic exchange of information ♦ Over 67% of packaging lines do not measure performance ♦ All respondents felt there was room for improvement in on-line quality verification, with almost two thirds saying there was significant room for improvement ARC Insights & Manufacturing Performance Surveys 2007 16 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 17. Increased Need for On-line Quality Verification 17 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 18. Where Are We Today? ♦ One of the primary reasons for purchasing production management software is compliance ♦ Leading edge companies depend upon production management software to optimize margin and quality ARC Insights & Manufacturing Performance Surveys 2007 ♦ Some factors inhibiting adoption of technology • Lack of ease of use for operators • Cost and complexity of maintaining technology • Lack of resources to evaluate new technologies • Long standing purchasing & amortization policies 18 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 19. What Do We Need To Do? ♦ A More Comprehensive Plan to Meet Business and Regulatory Requirements includes: • Increased emphasis on performance monitoring , continuous improvement, and flexibility • Improved electronic tracking and tracing from the source to the consumer • Improved manufacturing plant security • Increased on-line quality verification and Quality by Design (QBD) • An “in depth” sustainable manufacturing strategy • An automation strategy that recognizes the commonality in both business and regulatory requirements • Affocus on people – your most valuable resource l l bl 19 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 20. It’s Not Just About Technology “To sustain the productivity surge, today's managers must develop incentives that encourage their workers-as well as themselves-to be more creative, self-starting, educated, and willing to experiment. Jobs that call for simply following recipes will become scarcer, and demand for an innovation-driven workforce will continue to grow.” “……..It took 40 years for businesses to figure out how to redesign their factories and processes so that electricity could deliver a productivity payoff. Managers cannot afford to wait decades to harness the greater productivity offered by today's today s IT advances. ……. “Productivity's Technology Iceberg” March, 2004 by Erik Brynjolfsson, Professor of Management MIT Sloan School of Management 20 © ARC Advisory Group