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Alleman et al.                                                          Mobile-Money: Combining Mobile and Financial Services



                 Mobile-Money: Mobile and Financial Services
               James Alleman                                                     Paul Rappoport
  Columbia University & University of Colorado                               Temple University & Centris
        James.Alleman@Colorado.edu                                            PRappoport@Centris.com

BIOGRAPHIES
James Alleman is a Professor Emeritus, University of Colorado, Boulder. Dr. Alleman was a visiting professor at the
Graduate School of Business, Columbia University, and director of research at Columbia Institute of Tele-Information
(CITI). Professor Alleman continues his involvement at CITI in research projects as a Senior Fellow.
Paul N. Rappoport is Associate Professor of Economics at Temple University. He has over 25 years of experience in data
analysis, modeling and statistical assessment. Dr. Rappoport‟s current research interests include: modeling consumer‟s
willingness to pay; the construction of internet metrics; assessing the Digital Divide; specifying and modeling business
broadband; forecasting internet demand and measuring the nature of network externalities.
ABSTRACT
Developing countries lack effective infrastructure: transportation, telecommunications, financial systems, etc. The positive
economic impact of the improved telecommunications infrastructure has been demonstrated. The ability of microfinance has
been shown to stimulate and enhance economic activity. Now a hybrid of the technologies has begun to emerge: mobile-
money. The ubiquity of cell phone service, coupled with the notion of microfinance offers the possibility of service in
remote areas of a country where it would be otherwise economically unsustainable to provide banking services. Mobile-
money has all of the attributes of money including store of value and medium of exchange. This paper addresses the
economics and policy issues of mobile money: What are the economics of mobile money? What policy issues does it raise?
Is it a threat to the traditional banking system? How should it be regulated? What can we learn from the microfinance
literature? Do we have empirical evidence of its impact on growth and development?
Keywords
Cellular/mobile phone service, economic growth/development, microfinance, mobile-money, mobile-payments
INTRODUCTION
It goes without saying that developing countries lack effective infrastructure: transportation, telecommunications, financial
systems, etc. Most recently, the growth of cellular telephone service has helped ameliorate one of these bottlenecks by
bypassing the traditional fixed line service. In all developing countries, the number of mobiles far exceeds the number of
fixed line phones.
The positive economic impact of the improved infrastructure has been demonstrated. Concurrently, the ability of
microfinance has been shown to stimulate and enhance economic activity. Now a hybrid of the technologies has begun to
emerge: mobile-money. The cell phone serves as a bank account, debit card, and money. The ubiquity of cell phone service,
coupled with the notion of microfinance offers the possibility of service in remote areas of a country where it would be
otherwise economically unsustainable to provide banking services. Mobile-money has all of the attributes of money
including store of value and medium of exchange. Mobile money replaces the inefficiency of barter and the problem of the
“double coincidence of wants.” Just as with currency, security and counterfeiting will be issues. Kenya already has nearly
seven million or 38 percent of its cellular customers using a mobile-money system (Economist 2009c). Other countries are
using mobile money systems.
This paper addresses the economics and policy issues of mobile money: What are the economics of mobile money? What
policy issues does it raise? Is it a threat to the traditional banking system? How should it be regulated? Has it demonstrated
any economic impact yet? What can we learn from the microfinance literature? Do we have empirical evidence of its impact
on growth and development?
The paper is organized as follows: Section one is this introduction. Section two briefly reviews the role of money and
banking in the society, section three addresses the use of mobile money, how it has been implemented, its successes and
failures in emerging markets. Section four examines and analyzes the impact of mobile payment systems. Section five
concludes.




Proceedings of the 4th ACORN-REDECOM Conference Brasilia, D.F., May 14-15th, 2010                                         297
Alleman et al.                                                             Mobile-Money: Combining Mobile and Financial Services



ROLE OF MONEY AND BANKING
Traditional money and banking texts describe four functions of money: A store of value, a standard or unit of account, a
standard of deferred payment and a means of payment or exchange. It is the latter function we will concentrate on in this
paper. In the developed world, we never think about this role it is so familiar, but in moving from a barter to an exchange
economy, it has major significance. It eliminates the major problem with barter – the double coincidence of wants. That is,
finding a farmer willing to exchange goat for wheat. Clearly, money facilitates commerce.
In turn banks and similar financial institutions facilitate commerce by several means. Their role is to provide a safe place to
keep money with savings accounts, to loan money to qualified applicants and provide demand deposits or checking accounts.
It is this latter function which is the major portion of money supply. People do not carry large amounts of cash with them but
write checks to pay bills. But since people do not exhaust their accounts, the balance in their accounts is the equivalent to
have cash (paper currency). For example, in the United States, demand deposits represent ninety percent of the money
supply. Debit cards serve a similar function, also a banking service. Credit cards do not represent “money in the bank” but
are a service provided by banks.
Because of their major role in the financial infrastructure, these institutions are usually regulated: savings accounts are
insured and guaranteed by government. The regulator requires reserve requirements based on the magnitude of the savings
and demand deposits, etc. The credit/debit card system generates fees from both the users of the cards and the retail
merchants that accept them. In the US, the latter fees are two to three percent (2-3%) of the purchase price. The card system
represents a quasi-monopoly controlled by the banks.
A mobile-payments system represents a threat to the current system in the developed world. In the evolving economies, it
represents the possibility of instituting a financial infrastructure that has heretofore not existed. It is to this we now turn.
MOBILE- MONEY
OVERVIEW
E-Commerce has been accepted for more than a decade in the developed world. Consumers easily do purchases, ordering,
reservations and a variety of tasks, including banking services over the internet. E-payments have seen broad consumer
acceptance. The infrastructure in the developing world does have the ubiquitous internet or fixed line telephone service to
support such services. In the developing world they are simply not viable. However, over one billion people do not have a
bank account, but do have a mobile phone (Perlman 2010).. Figure 1 illustrates the distribution of income as a pyramid, the
green portion represents the so called “bottom of the pyramid” (BoP) or the four billion people who have a purchasing
power under $1,500 a year, the bulk of which have less than four dollars a day to live on.

                               Purchasing Power US$                        Global Population
                                                                                  (millions)
                                             > $20,000                         75-100
                                                                 1

                              $1,500 - $20,000                   2                 1,500 - 1,750

                                   $1,500                         3

                             <$1,500
                                                       Bottom of the Pyramid
                                                                                               } 4,000
                                                                 4


                                                 Figure 1 The Global Pyramid
 “Some 119 mobile money services will be launched in developing countries by the end of 2010, but less than 10% of these
systems are expected to be sustainable.” (Perlman 2010)
However, over the last decade, mobile phones have become omnipresent, far surpassing fixed-line service, as shown in
Figure 2. Consider that there are “four billion mobile phone subscribers globally, with two-thirds of them living in the
developing world, Grameen Foundation (undated).




Proceedings of the 4th ACORN-REDECOM Conference Brasilia, D.F., May 14-15th, 2010                                            298
Alleman et al.                                                                             Mobile-Money: Combining Mobile and Financial Services




                                                        mobile v. fix line phones (bottom 100 countries)

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                                                                          country rank by fixed/100



                                                            Figure 2. Cellular phones versus fixed line
As Andy Banerjee stated "The mobile phone is a more affordable and integrated access vehicle than the individual pieces of
equipment (wireline phones, television sets, computers, set-top boxes and modems, and satellite dishes/receivers) that
wireline technologies require." (Banerjee 2010)
IMPLEMENTATION
Thus, the mobile phone has the potential to fill the gap in the financial infrastructure. Indeed, it is already being used in
various countries, the most well known of which is Kenya. It has nearly seven million or 38 percent of its cellular customers
using a mobile-money system (Economist 2009c). And this figure is growing rapidly (Perlman 2010) Other countries are
using or planning to use mobile-money systems, but generally, government will desire new rules and regulations1.
Other incentives are already under way in South Africa:, Zambia, Pakistan, Maldives and the Philippines (Perlman 2010).
The Grameen Foundation is “…launching a Mobile Money initiative to explore how microfinance institutions could conduct
transactions with clients via mobile phones, while also enabling poor and unbanked populations to use the service to send
money to relatives and receive payments for goods and services.” Grameen Foundation (undated).
Figure 3 illustrates how the system would work. Firms and employers can electronically transfer money to a bank or other
financial institution which in turn can credit the employee‟s or merchant‟s account. A customer of the bank can withdraw
money from his/her account via an automatic teller machine (ATM) or pay a retailer from his/her bank account via a debit
card. With mobile-money, the funds are transferred to the mobile phone. It can then be used to obtain money from an ATM
(actually, an agent acts as a human ATM, such as the M-Peas system in Kenya).
It would be possible to send funds directly to the mobile phone. In this case, the mobile provider functions as a bank as
shown in Figure 4.


1
    See Perlman (2010) for a summary of the lows and regulations being considered in several countries.


Proceedings of the 4th ACORN-REDECOM Conference Brasilia, D.F., May 14-15th, 2010                                                            299
Alleman et al.                                                           Mobile-Money: Combining Mobile and Financial Services




                        Firms/employers                                                    Firms/employers



                              banks/
                            financial                                                            mobile
                            institutions                                                         carrier


    ATM                   Point of Sales
                                                                    ATM                     Point of Sales
                              (POS)
                                                                                                (POS)
Figure 3 Financial Transactions with Mobile-Money                Figure 4 Financial Transactions with Mobile Carrier as Bank

This has profound implications if the mobile company can serve as a bank.
Mobile banking in the development world requires the ability to make small transactions inexpensively. This in turn requires
low transaction costs. The danger is that the banks may not be responsive to these needs of this market.2 This is the
opportunity for the mobile providers to perform this function and to serve the unbanked. Because mobile providers have a
far broader reach than the banks in the developing world, these services have a potentially ubiquitous reach.3 The mobile
device could be come "the Swiss Army knife of communications/finance/data" (Banerjee 2010)
IMPACT OF MOBILE PAYMENT SYSTEMS
Literature Review
Microfinance contribution to growth and development
Microfinance consists of financial services such as savings, credit programs, and financial services generally to the BoP.
Generally this strata does not have the formal financial sector available to them. The poor may not be without resources,
however, but these may be limited or very costly such as money lenders. Microfinance has the potential to fill the gap. The
best known institution providing such services is Grameen Bank founded by Muhammad Yunus in 1976, although thousands
now exist (Brau and Woller 2004).

Since others have covered this literature, we will not undertake a comprehensive examination of this literature but cite two
such studies. In a conprensive review of academic articles on microfinance institutions and their impact, Brau and Woller
(2004) found that the majority of the literature supports the view that microfinance contributes to economics growth;
however, the results are highly contextual. Similar results are found by Sengupta and Aubuchon (2008), although not as
comprehensive as the Brau and Woller. It should be noted that it is not just micro-credits that are important, but micro-
saving can make important contributions to the unbanked. One of the findings of these studies is that the key to microfinance
is low transaction costs of issuing and servicing these loans. Other research has shown that access to financial services
among the poor can aid poor households to increase their incomes and productivity. The demand for reliable, secure and
convenient financial services is high. (Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation 2009).
Information and communications technology (ICT) contribution to growth and development
The link between economic growth and development has been studied for decades. The authors were involved in this
research in the early nineties (Alleman, et. al 1992). Our review of the literature at that time showed a general consensus that
communications contributed to economic growth and development. Our work showed that telecommunications was both a
cause and consequence of growth. The technology has changed dramatically since then, but this has only amplified and

2
  One of the authors recently transferred a small sum of money for the United States to Italy. The cost was over twenty-five
percent (25%) of the amount transferred. These charges are excessive, but particularly for an immigrate worker in the middle
east that is transferring fund to his family in Pakistan or India, for example.
3
    In the developed world mobile-money could have the potential to break the credit card companies hold on retail
transactions and create real competition to the banks.


Proceedings of the 4th ACORN-REDECOM Conference Brasilia, D.F., May 14-15th, 2010                                           300
Alleman et al.                                                            Mobile-Money: Combining Mobile and Financial Services



accelerated the ICT‟s impact on development. More recently studies have once again confirmed that the availability of ICT
can improve productivity and growth in the developing world. Roller and Waverman study (2001) is among the classic
studies of the relations between ICT and growth. The results of the more recent studies of this type are summarized in ITU
(2010).
Thus, the combination of enhancing the financial infrastructure via mobile-money available on cellular service offers the
possibility to amplify the contribution of each. Currently, no empirical studies have been undertaken to show the strength of
these relationships. This is a subject of future research. However, until such studies are undertaken we can conjecture the
benefits of mobile-money. We now turn to this task.
Economics impact/importance
Benefits
Several benefits accrue with the combination of cellular and financial services: it enhances commerce, it allows for
microfinance, it allows ease of remittances, it offers security that cash does not and, possibly, it could serve as a replacement
for debit and credit cards. It will provide banking services for the unbanked.
Commerce is enhanced because it becomes much easier to pay for goods and services by the use of the mobile phone. There
is no need to go to a bank to withdraw money, it is in the phone. Moreover, the targeted population does not have a
traditional bank account. The phone “holds” the funds, just as a conventional saving or checking account would. A reversal
of the process allows it to receive funds. The phone is the bank! Individuals can remit money to their families either in the
rural areas of the country or remit funds to their country of origin. They do not have to travel the distance or rely on a courier
or other means to get their money to their family. Thus, it saves time, is more secure and less expensive.4 The functionality
of mobile-payments is exactly like a debit card. Money is debited from your (phone) account, just as a debit card would debit
your bank account. To the extent the mobile provider, or a third party leader, would like to extend credit to its customers, the
phone would act exactly like a credit card. In this manner a micro-financial institution could advance funds to qualified
individuals. As the service develops undoubtedly many other uses of these mobile-payments will emerge.
Policy issues
Several policy issues arise from mobile-money. The macroeconomic issues we will address are the threat to the traditional
banking system by mobile-money and what are the implications. We will then discuss the possible regulation of mobile-
money.
The issues of security are also critical. How are lost, broken or stolen phones handled? How can the phone be secured to
ensure that a stolen phone is not depleted of its funds? Is password protection sufficient? How can the phone be secured
from other “hacking” into it and depleting the account? These are serious questions that must be addressed, but are beyond
the scope of this paper.5
The threat to the banking system could be either a positive or negative. If the banking system has enough political power, it
could delay or usurp the mobile-money system, resulting in slower service, restriction on the functions, etc. even though the
banks would be headquarters in the urban areas. On the other hand, if the mobile players are strong enough or the banks do
not have political clout, mobile money could provide much needed competition to this sector. It could reduce the
inappropriate charges for remittances; reduce debit and credit card fees to POS retailers, etc. The introduction of this
competition would be a powerful force for growth.
Thus, for growth and development, regulations should be light-handed; certainly no more odious than what is applied to the
banking system in the country. Regulation should address security issues, usury, etc. in addition the regulation should
impose capital requirements to the extent cellular carriers perform a credit function.
CONCLUSION
E-payments via cellular service can serve the underserved, with secure financial services. The key issues will be the
distribution and low prices/transaction costs. Small transactions must be able to be completed inexpensively. The advantages
of mobile-money are the efficacy of the payments system namely, all the advantages of money as a store of value and means
of exchange but with less reliance on cash, which can be very beneficial when security is an issue. Remittances – both


4
  The cost of the international remittances, as previously noted, is expensive when sent through a traditional bank. Cellular
service should be able to provide this service at a fraction of the cost.
5
  Others have been looking at this issue. See, for example, Streff (2010), Landau (2010) and Nahari (2010).


Proceedings of the 4th ACORN-REDECOM Conference Brasilia, D.F., May 14-15th, 2010                                             301
Alleman et al.                                                                Mobile-Money: Combining Mobile and Financial Services



internal and international will be key in most developing countries because of the emigrant workforce, either urban migrants
to the city sending money back to their families in rural areas or international migrants sending money back to their families
in their home county. To date, these migrant workers (& families) are “unbanked” – they have no bank accounts or credit
cards. But providing financial service does have a positive economic impact on the economy.
Improved communications with mobile phone can aid in economic growth and development, but developing financial
services via the mobile phone at affordable rates to the Base of the Pyramid (BoP) can amplify these impacts. Income,
employment and individuals can benefit from this hybrid. It represents a huge, growing, and untapped market. If handled
correctly it can be a sea change in emerging markets. Moreover, it has the potential to enhance competition in the banking
sector. We predict a huge market will fuel and accelerate the anticipated explosive growth of m-money based on
communications services in emerging markets worldwide
Stay tuned...
References and Citations
1.    Alleman, James; Paul. N. Rappoport, Lester Taylor, Milton Mueller, Paul Greene, Carl Hunt, and Marty Gerarity. (1992) “Southern
      Africa Telecommunications/Economics Scoping Study, Task II,” U.S. Agency for International Development Contract, October.
2.    Banerjee, Aniruddha (2010) “Will Mobile Commerce Compete or Co-exist with Electronic Commerce? Evidence from the United
      States” presentation, Columbia Institute For Tele-Information, 2 April, New York, NY
3.    BCtA Secretariat UNDP Private Sector Division, “Empowering the Poor Through Mobile Banking” [available at
      www.businesscalltoaction.org/1930-UNDP-BCtA-Case_Map_LR [23 March 2010]
4.    Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (2009).                   Financial Services for the Poor:             Fact Sheet, September.
      www.gatesfoundation.org/financial-services-for-the-poor-fact-sheet. [16 March 2010]
5.    Brau, James C. and Gary M. Woller (2004) “Microfinance Institutions: A Comprehensive Review of the Existing Literature” Journal
      of Entrepreneurial Finance and Business Ventures, Vol. 9, Issue 1, 2004, pp. 1-26, available at
      http://marriottschool.byu.edu/selfreliance/workingpapers/library/997.pdf [8 May 2010]
6.    Czernich, N., O. Falck, T. Kretschmer, and L. Woessmann (2009), „Broadband infrastructure and economic growth‟, CESifo Working
      Paper No. 2861, CESifo, December.
7.    Datta, A., and S. Agarwal (2004), „Telecommunications and economic growth: A panel data approach‟, Applied Economics, Vol.
      36:15, pp. 1649-1654.
8.    Economist (2009a) “Eureka moments” from The Economist print edition, available at http://www.economist.com/specialreports/ 24
      September. [4 December 2009]
9.    Economist (2009b) “Mobile marvels” from The Economist print edition, available at http://www.economist.com/specialreports/ 24
      September. [4 December 2009]
10.   Economist (2009c) “The power of mobile money” from The Economist print edition, available at
      http://www.economist.com/specialreports/ 24 September. [4 December 2009]
11.   Grameen Foundation undated, “Empowering the Poor” http://www.grameenfoundation.org/print/what-we-do/empowering-poor [20
      March 2010]
12.   International Telecommunication Union (`ITU), (2010), Measuring the Information Society, (Available at ITU MIS_2010_without
      annex 4-e) [16 February 2010]
13.   Landau, Michael (2010) “Securing Mobile-money: The Ugandan Experience. presentation, Columbia Institute For Tele-Information,
      2 April, New York, NY
14.   Nahari, Hadi (2010) “Mobile Payment Security: What it means and how to implement it?” presentation, Columbia Institute For Tele-
      Information, 2 April, New York, NY
15.   OECD (2002), OECD Mobile Basket Revision, Working Party on Telecommunication and Information Services Policies, OECD,
      Paris
16.   O‟Neill, Judith (2010), “Challenges and Opportunities in Mobile Banking in Africa” presentation, Columbia Institute for Tele-
      Information, 2 April, New York, NY
17.   Perlman,            Leon            (2010),                     “Regulatory           &           Legal          Issues          in
      Mobile Financial Services in the Developing World” presentation, Columbia Institute For Tele-Information, 2 April, New York, NY
18.   Roller, L-H., and L. Waverman (2001), „Telecommunications infrastructure and economic development: A simultaneous approach‟,
      American Economic Review, Vol. 91, No. 4, pp. 909-923.
19.   Sengupta, Rajdeep and Craig P. Aubuchon (2008) The Microfinance Revolution: An Overview. The Federal Reserve Bank of St.
      Louis Review, January-February, available at http://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/08/01/Sengupta.pdf. [8 May 2010]
20.   Streff, Kevin (2010) “Overview of Mobile Banking Threats,” presentation, Columbia Institute For Tele-Information, 2 April, New
      York, NY
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
We would like to thank Andy Banerjee of Centris; Paul Falchi and Dan Jensen of iWorldServices; Áine NíShúilleabháin and
Eli Noam of CITI for useful discussions and comments on mobile-money. Any errors remain the responsibility of the
authors.



Proceedings of the 4th ACORN-REDECOM Conference Brasilia, D.F., May 14-15th, 2010                                                    302

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Mobile money mobile and financial services -James Alleman, Paul Rappoport (2010)

  • 1. Alleman et al. Mobile-Money: Combining Mobile and Financial Services Mobile-Money: Mobile and Financial Services James Alleman Paul Rappoport Columbia University & University of Colorado Temple University & Centris James.Alleman@Colorado.edu PRappoport@Centris.com BIOGRAPHIES James Alleman is a Professor Emeritus, University of Colorado, Boulder. Dr. Alleman was a visiting professor at the Graduate School of Business, Columbia University, and director of research at Columbia Institute of Tele-Information (CITI). Professor Alleman continues his involvement at CITI in research projects as a Senior Fellow. Paul N. Rappoport is Associate Professor of Economics at Temple University. He has over 25 years of experience in data analysis, modeling and statistical assessment. Dr. Rappoport‟s current research interests include: modeling consumer‟s willingness to pay; the construction of internet metrics; assessing the Digital Divide; specifying and modeling business broadband; forecasting internet demand and measuring the nature of network externalities. ABSTRACT Developing countries lack effective infrastructure: transportation, telecommunications, financial systems, etc. The positive economic impact of the improved telecommunications infrastructure has been demonstrated. The ability of microfinance has been shown to stimulate and enhance economic activity. Now a hybrid of the technologies has begun to emerge: mobile- money. The ubiquity of cell phone service, coupled with the notion of microfinance offers the possibility of service in remote areas of a country where it would be otherwise economically unsustainable to provide banking services. Mobile- money has all of the attributes of money including store of value and medium of exchange. This paper addresses the economics and policy issues of mobile money: What are the economics of mobile money? What policy issues does it raise? Is it a threat to the traditional banking system? How should it be regulated? What can we learn from the microfinance literature? Do we have empirical evidence of its impact on growth and development? Keywords Cellular/mobile phone service, economic growth/development, microfinance, mobile-money, mobile-payments INTRODUCTION It goes without saying that developing countries lack effective infrastructure: transportation, telecommunications, financial systems, etc. Most recently, the growth of cellular telephone service has helped ameliorate one of these bottlenecks by bypassing the traditional fixed line service. In all developing countries, the number of mobiles far exceeds the number of fixed line phones. The positive economic impact of the improved infrastructure has been demonstrated. Concurrently, the ability of microfinance has been shown to stimulate and enhance economic activity. Now a hybrid of the technologies has begun to emerge: mobile-money. The cell phone serves as a bank account, debit card, and money. The ubiquity of cell phone service, coupled with the notion of microfinance offers the possibility of service in remote areas of a country where it would be otherwise economically unsustainable to provide banking services. Mobile-money has all of the attributes of money including store of value and medium of exchange. Mobile money replaces the inefficiency of barter and the problem of the “double coincidence of wants.” Just as with currency, security and counterfeiting will be issues. Kenya already has nearly seven million or 38 percent of its cellular customers using a mobile-money system (Economist 2009c). Other countries are using mobile money systems. This paper addresses the economics and policy issues of mobile money: What are the economics of mobile money? What policy issues does it raise? Is it a threat to the traditional banking system? How should it be regulated? Has it demonstrated any economic impact yet? What can we learn from the microfinance literature? Do we have empirical evidence of its impact on growth and development? The paper is organized as follows: Section one is this introduction. Section two briefly reviews the role of money and banking in the society, section three addresses the use of mobile money, how it has been implemented, its successes and failures in emerging markets. Section four examines and analyzes the impact of mobile payment systems. Section five concludes. Proceedings of the 4th ACORN-REDECOM Conference Brasilia, D.F., May 14-15th, 2010 297
  • 2. Alleman et al. Mobile-Money: Combining Mobile and Financial Services ROLE OF MONEY AND BANKING Traditional money and banking texts describe four functions of money: A store of value, a standard or unit of account, a standard of deferred payment and a means of payment or exchange. It is the latter function we will concentrate on in this paper. In the developed world, we never think about this role it is so familiar, but in moving from a barter to an exchange economy, it has major significance. It eliminates the major problem with barter – the double coincidence of wants. That is, finding a farmer willing to exchange goat for wheat. Clearly, money facilitates commerce. In turn banks and similar financial institutions facilitate commerce by several means. Their role is to provide a safe place to keep money with savings accounts, to loan money to qualified applicants and provide demand deposits or checking accounts. It is this latter function which is the major portion of money supply. People do not carry large amounts of cash with them but write checks to pay bills. But since people do not exhaust their accounts, the balance in their accounts is the equivalent to have cash (paper currency). For example, in the United States, demand deposits represent ninety percent of the money supply. Debit cards serve a similar function, also a banking service. Credit cards do not represent “money in the bank” but are a service provided by banks. Because of their major role in the financial infrastructure, these institutions are usually regulated: savings accounts are insured and guaranteed by government. The regulator requires reserve requirements based on the magnitude of the savings and demand deposits, etc. The credit/debit card system generates fees from both the users of the cards and the retail merchants that accept them. In the US, the latter fees are two to three percent (2-3%) of the purchase price. The card system represents a quasi-monopoly controlled by the banks. A mobile-payments system represents a threat to the current system in the developed world. In the evolving economies, it represents the possibility of instituting a financial infrastructure that has heretofore not existed. It is to this we now turn. MOBILE- MONEY OVERVIEW E-Commerce has been accepted for more than a decade in the developed world. Consumers easily do purchases, ordering, reservations and a variety of tasks, including banking services over the internet. E-payments have seen broad consumer acceptance. The infrastructure in the developing world does have the ubiquitous internet or fixed line telephone service to support such services. In the developing world they are simply not viable. However, over one billion people do not have a bank account, but do have a mobile phone (Perlman 2010).. Figure 1 illustrates the distribution of income as a pyramid, the green portion represents the so called “bottom of the pyramid” (BoP) or the four billion people who have a purchasing power under $1,500 a year, the bulk of which have less than four dollars a day to live on. Purchasing Power US$ Global Population (millions) > $20,000 75-100 1 $1,500 - $20,000 2 1,500 - 1,750 $1,500 3 <$1,500 Bottom of the Pyramid } 4,000 4 Figure 1 The Global Pyramid “Some 119 mobile money services will be launched in developing countries by the end of 2010, but less than 10% of these systems are expected to be sustainable.” (Perlman 2010) However, over the last decade, mobile phones have become omnipresent, far surpassing fixed-line service, as shown in Figure 2. Consider that there are “four billion mobile phone subscribers globally, with two-thirds of them living in the developing world, Grameen Foundation (undated). Proceedings of the 4th ACORN-REDECOM Conference Brasilia, D.F., May 14-15th, 2010 298
  • 3. Alleman et al. Mobile-Money: Combining Mobile and Financial Services mobile v. fix line phones (bottom 100 countries) 160 140 120 100 phones 80 60 40 20 0 a ad Th a l ar a r nd na o ia ic n r na S a ia it i ca ea . Bo lia an ud Fiji pa o an do ge .R ne th di b ni bl ic rg Ha b at la go Ch Cu ha ai wa itr ist Ne ra bo st so Be D Ni lva ex pu ui Q eo ai m Er P. yz on jik iA G G Le ts m M ep Ja G Ta rg M Ca o w R La Ky Ne El Sa h ec a pu Cz Pa country rank by fixed/100 Figure 2. Cellular phones versus fixed line As Andy Banerjee stated "The mobile phone is a more affordable and integrated access vehicle than the individual pieces of equipment (wireline phones, television sets, computers, set-top boxes and modems, and satellite dishes/receivers) that wireline technologies require." (Banerjee 2010) IMPLEMENTATION Thus, the mobile phone has the potential to fill the gap in the financial infrastructure. Indeed, it is already being used in various countries, the most well known of which is Kenya. It has nearly seven million or 38 percent of its cellular customers using a mobile-money system (Economist 2009c). And this figure is growing rapidly (Perlman 2010) Other countries are using or planning to use mobile-money systems, but generally, government will desire new rules and regulations1. Other incentives are already under way in South Africa:, Zambia, Pakistan, Maldives and the Philippines (Perlman 2010). The Grameen Foundation is “…launching a Mobile Money initiative to explore how microfinance institutions could conduct transactions with clients via mobile phones, while also enabling poor and unbanked populations to use the service to send money to relatives and receive payments for goods and services.” Grameen Foundation (undated). Figure 3 illustrates how the system would work. Firms and employers can electronically transfer money to a bank or other financial institution which in turn can credit the employee‟s or merchant‟s account. A customer of the bank can withdraw money from his/her account via an automatic teller machine (ATM) or pay a retailer from his/her bank account via a debit card. With mobile-money, the funds are transferred to the mobile phone. It can then be used to obtain money from an ATM (actually, an agent acts as a human ATM, such as the M-Peas system in Kenya). It would be possible to send funds directly to the mobile phone. In this case, the mobile provider functions as a bank as shown in Figure 4. 1 See Perlman (2010) for a summary of the lows and regulations being considered in several countries. Proceedings of the 4th ACORN-REDECOM Conference Brasilia, D.F., May 14-15th, 2010 299
  • 4. Alleman et al. Mobile-Money: Combining Mobile and Financial Services Firms/employers Firms/employers banks/ financial mobile institutions carrier ATM Point of Sales ATM Point of Sales (POS) (POS) Figure 3 Financial Transactions with Mobile-Money Figure 4 Financial Transactions with Mobile Carrier as Bank This has profound implications if the mobile company can serve as a bank. Mobile banking in the development world requires the ability to make small transactions inexpensively. This in turn requires low transaction costs. The danger is that the banks may not be responsive to these needs of this market.2 This is the opportunity for the mobile providers to perform this function and to serve the unbanked. Because mobile providers have a far broader reach than the banks in the developing world, these services have a potentially ubiquitous reach.3 The mobile device could be come "the Swiss Army knife of communications/finance/data" (Banerjee 2010) IMPACT OF MOBILE PAYMENT SYSTEMS Literature Review Microfinance contribution to growth and development Microfinance consists of financial services such as savings, credit programs, and financial services generally to the BoP. Generally this strata does not have the formal financial sector available to them. The poor may not be without resources, however, but these may be limited or very costly such as money lenders. Microfinance has the potential to fill the gap. The best known institution providing such services is Grameen Bank founded by Muhammad Yunus in 1976, although thousands now exist (Brau and Woller 2004). Since others have covered this literature, we will not undertake a comprehensive examination of this literature but cite two such studies. In a conprensive review of academic articles on microfinance institutions and their impact, Brau and Woller (2004) found that the majority of the literature supports the view that microfinance contributes to economics growth; however, the results are highly contextual. Similar results are found by Sengupta and Aubuchon (2008), although not as comprehensive as the Brau and Woller. It should be noted that it is not just micro-credits that are important, but micro- saving can make important contributions to the unbanked. One of the findings of these studies is that the key to microfinance is low transaction costs of issuing and servicing these loans. Other research has shown that access to financial services among the poor can aid poor households to increase their incomes and productivity. The demand for reliable, secure and convenient financial services is high. (Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation 2009). Information and communications technology (ICT) contribution to growth and development The link between economic growth and development has been studied for decades. The authors were involved in this research in the early nineties (Alleman, et. al 1992). Our review of the literature at that time showed a general consensus that communications contributed to economic growth and development. Our work showed that telecommunications was both a cause and consequence of growth. The technology has changed dramatically since then, but this has only amplified and 2 One of the authors recently transferred a small sum of money for the United States to Italy. The cost was over twenty-five percent (25%) of the amount transferred. These charges are excessive, but particularly for an immigrate worker in the middle east that is transferring fund to his family in Pakistan or India, for example. 3 In the developed world mobile-money could have the potential to break the credit card companies hold on retail transactions and create real competition to the banks. Proceedings of the 4th ACORN-REDECOM Conference Brasilia, D.F., May 14-15th, 2010 300
  • 5. Alleman et al. Mobile-Money: Combining Mobile and Financial Services accelerated the ICT‟s impact on development. More recently studies have once again confirmed that the availability of ICT can improve productivity and growth in the developing world. Roller and Waverman study (2001) is among the classic studies of the relations between ICT and growth. The results of the more recent studies of this type are summarized in ITU (2010). Thus, the combination of enhancing the financial infrastructure via mobile-money available on cellular service offers the possibility to amplify the contribution of each. Currently, no empirical studies have been undertaken to show the strength of these relationships. This is a subject of future research. However, until such studies are undertaken we can conjecture the benefits of mobile-money. We now turn to this task. Economics impact/importance Benefits Several benefits accrue with the combination of cellular and financial services: it enhances commerce, it allows for microfinance, it allows ease of remittances, it offers security that cash does not and, possibly, it could serve as a replacement for debit and credit cards. It will provide banking services for the unbanked. Commerce is enhanced because it becomes much easier to pay for goods and services by the use of the mobile phone. There is no need to go to a bank to withdraw money, it is in the phone. Moreover, the targeted population does not have a traditional bank account. The phone “holds” the funds, just as a conventional saving or checking account would. A reversal of the process allows it to receive funds. The phone is the bank! Individuals can remit money to their families either in the rural areas of the country or remit funds to their country of origin. They do not have to travel the distance or rely on a courier or other means to get their money to their family. Thus, it saves time, is more secure and less expensive.4 The functionality of mobile-payments is exactly like a debit card. Money is debited from your (phone) account, just as a debit card would debit your bank account. To the extent the mobile provider, or a third party leader, would like to extend credit to its customers, the phone would act exactly like a credit card. In this manner a micro-financial institution could advance funds to qualified individuals. As the service develops undoubtedly many other uses of these mobile-payments will emerge. Policy issues Several policy issues arise from mobile-money. The macroeconomic issues we will address are the threat to the traditional banking system by mobile-money and what are the implications. We will then discuss the possible regulation of mobile- money. The issues of security are also critical. How are lost, broken or stolen phones handled? How can the phone be secured to ensure that a stolen phone is not depleted of its funds? Is password protection sufficient? How can the phone be secured from other “hacking” into it and depleting the account? These are serious questions that must be addressed, but are beyond the scope of this paper.5 The threat to the banking system could be either a positive or negative. If the banking system has enough political power, it could delay or usurp the mobile-money system, resulting in slower service, restriction on the functions, etc. even though the banks would be headquarters in the urban areas. On the other hand, if the mobile players are strong enough or the banks do not have political clout, mobile money could provide much needed competition to this sector. It could reduce the inappropriate charges for remittances; reduce debit and credit card fees to POS retailers, etc. The introduction of this competition would be a powerful force for growth. Thus, for growth and development, regulations should be light-handed; certainly no more odious than what is applied to the banking system in the country. Regulation should address security issues, usury, etc. in addition the regulation should impose capital requirements to the extent cellular carriers perform a credit function. CONCLUSION E-payments via cellular service can serve the underserved, with secure financial services. The key issues will be the distribution and low prices/transaction costs. Small transactions must be able to be completed inexpensively. The advantages of mobile-money are the efficacy of the payments system namely, all the advantages of money as a store of value and means of exchange but with less reliance on cash, which can be very beneficial when security is an issue. Remittances – both 4 The cost of the international remittances, as previously noted, is expensive when sent through a traditional bank. Cellular service should be able to provide this service at a fraction of the cost. 5 Others have been looking at this issue. See, for example, Streff (2010), Landau (2010) and Nahari (2010). Proceedings of the 4th ACORN-REDECOM Conference Brasilia, D.F., May 14-15th, 2010 301
  • 6. Alleman et al. Mobile-Money: Combining Mobile and Financial Services internal and international will be key in most developing countries because of the emigrant workforce, either urban migrants to the city sending money back to their families in rural areas or international migrants sending money back to their families in their home county. To date, these migrant workers (& families) are “unbanked” – they have no bank accounts or credit cards. But providing financial service does have a positive economic impact on the economy. Improved communications with mobile phone can aid in economic growth and development, but developing financial services via the mobile phone at affordable rates to the Base of the Pyramid (BoP) can amplify these impacts. Income, employment and individuals can benefit from this hybrid. It represents a huge, growing, and untapped market. If handled correctly it can be a sea change in emerging markets. Moreover, it has the potential to enhance competition in the banking sector. We predict a huge market will fuel and accelerate the anticipated explosive growth of m-money based on communications services in emerging markets worldwide Stay tuned... References and Citations 1. Alleman, James; Paul. N. Rappoport, Lester Taylor, Milton Mueller, Paul Greene, Carl Hunt, and Marty Gerarity. (1992) “Southern Africa Telecommunications/Economics Scoping Study, Task II,” U.S. Agency for International Development Contract, October. 2. Banerjee, Aniruddha (2010) “Will Mobile Commerce Compete or Co-exist with Electronic Commerce? Evidence from the United States” presentation, Columbia Institute For Tele-Information, 2 April, New York, NY 3. BCtA Secretariat UNDP Private Sector Division, “Empowering the Poor Through Mobile Banking” [available at www.businesscalltoaction.org/1930-UNDP-BCtA-Case_Map_LR [23 March 2010] 4. Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (2009). Financial Services for the Poor: Fact Sheet, September. www.gatesfoundation.org/financial-services-for-the-poor-fact-sheet. [16 March 2010] 5. Brau, James C. and Gary M. Woller (2004) “Microfinance Institutions: A Comprehensive Review of the Existing Literature” Journal of Entrepreneurial Finance and Business Ventures, Vol. 9, Issue 1, 2004, pp. 1-26, available at http://marriottschool.byu.edu/selfreliance/workingpapers/library/997.pdf [8 May 2010] 6. Czernich, N., O. Falck, T. Kretschmer, and L. Woessmann (2009), „Broadband infrastructure and economic growth‟, CESifo Working Paper No. 2861, CESifo, December. 7. Datta, A., and S. Agarwal (2004), „Telecommunications and economic growth: A panel data approach‟, Applied Economics, Vol. 36:15, pp. 1649-1654. 8. Economist (2009a) “Eureka moments” from The Economist print edition, available at http://www.economist.com/specialreports/ 24 September. [4 December 2009] 9. Economist (2009b) “Mobile marvels” from The Economist print edition, available at http://www.economist.com/specialreports/ 24 September. [4 December 2009] 10. Economist (2009c) “The power of mobile money” from The Economist print edition, available at http://www.economist.com/specialreports/ 24 September. [4 December 2009] 11. Grameen Foundation undated, “Empowering the Poor” http://www.grameenfoundation.org/print/what-we-do/empowering-poor [20 March 2010] 12. International Telecommunication Union (`ITU), (2010), Measuring the Information Society, (Available at ITU MIS_2010_without annex 4-e) [16 February 2010] 13. Landau, Michael (2010) “Securing Mobile-money: The Ugandan Experience. presentation, Columbia Institute For Tele-Information, 2 April, New York, NY 14. Nahari, Hadi (2010) “Mobile Payment Security: What it means and how to implement it?” presentation, Columbia Institute For Tele- Information, 2 April, New York, NY 15. OECD (2002), OECD Mobile Basket Revision, Working Party on Telecommunication and Information Services Policies, OECD, Paris 16. O‟Neill, Judith (2010), “Challenges and Opportunities in Mobile Banking in Africa” presentation, Columbia Institute for Tele- Information, 2 April, New York, NY 17. Perlman, Leon (2010), “Regulatory & Legal Issues in Mobile Financial Services in the Developing World” presentation, Columbia Institute For Tele-Information, 2 April, New York, NY 18. Roller, L-H., and L. Waverman (2001), „Telecommunications infrastructure and economic development: A simultaneous approach‟, American Economic Review, Vol. 91, No. 4, pp. 909-923. 19. Sengupta, Rajdeep and Craig P. Aubuchon (2008) The Microfinance Revolution: An Overview. The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, January-February, available at http://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/08/01/Sengupta.pdf. [8 May 2010] 20. Streff, Kevin (2010) “Overview of Mobile Banking Threats,” presentation, Columbia Institute For Tele-Information, 2 April, New York, NY ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We would like to thank Andy Banerjee of Centris; Paul Falchi and Dan Jensen of iWorldServices; Áine NíShúilleabháin and Eli Noam of CITI for useful discussions and comments on mobile-money. Any errors remain the responsibility of the authors. Proceedings of the 4th ACORN-REDECOM Conference Brasilia, D.F., May 14-15th, 2010 302