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Capital Market & Emotional
  Equilibrium of Investor


    Investor Awareness Week,
     ICAI, SDM Law College,
            Mangalore
          March 9, 2013
Capital Market Investment
• Investment in Long-Term Securities like equity
  shares, debentures, preference shares,
  corporate bonds, government bonds, mutual
  funds and ETFs
• Long Term Perspective
• Mainly capital profit more than income
• Time of Entry and Time of Exit
• Market Linked Insurance and Provident Funds
Market Drivers….

  • Fundamental Factors
   • Sentimental Factors
Fundamental Factors
  • Inflation Rate         • Settlement of
  • Rating by                Derivative
    International Credit     Contracts
    Rating Agencies        • Traders
  • Index of Industrial      Activities
    Production             • Governmental
  • RBI Policy and           Policies
    Market                 • Crude Oil Prices
    Expectation            • Taxation Policies
  • Quarter End            • FII Activities
    Results                • DII Activities
  • Global Cues            • Monsoon
Sentimental Factors
 •   Industry Approach
 •   Business Confidence
 •   Macro-Events/Events
 •   Surveys Conducted
 •   Scams
 •   Festivals
 •   Confidence in a Boom Market
 •   Depression in a Bear Market
Nature of Returns
• Shelf Investment-Growth with Maturity of
  Market
• Return from the Total Portfolio
• Loss of Profit is only Notional
• Mistakes are to be Corrected early even at
  a loss
• Junk Investment in case of new
  companies
• Ignoring Temporary Reverses
Emotional Equanimity
• Ignoring Temporary Developments
• Ignoring Expert Advices
• You have the Investment and the
  Investment does not Have You
• If Fluctuations Affect You, see only the
  Closing Prices
• Avoid Day Trading and Derivatives
• Avoid Concentrated Investment
Investment Criteria
•   Liquidity
•   Returns (Regular and Capital)
•   Diversification
•   No Fund Parking
•   Reservation on Sunrise Industries
•   Stability
•   Risk Profile (High Beta/Low Beta)
Steps Involved in Selection
• Selection of Industry: Avoid High Cost and
  Highly Competitive Industry, Scalability,
  Inexhaustible Growth, Low Taxation,
  Government Support
• Selection of Company: Strong Promoter
  Group, Good Reserves, Market
  Penetration, Aggressive Strategy,
  Innovation, Products with wide market
Financial Aspects
• PE Ratio                • Bonus Shares/Interim
• Dividend Pay-Out          Dividends
• Growth in Sales         • Financing Capex out
• Earning per Share         of profit
• Governance Quality      • Asset Quality
• Concern for             • Annual Reports
  Enhancing Share-          (Auditors’ Qualifying
  holder Value              Report)
• Regular Investment of   • Debt Equity Ratio
  Cash Surplus
Purchase
• Out of Surplus Funds not needed in the
  Near Future
• In a Market on the Downtrend
• Monday of the Derivative Settlement Week
• Fridays of Weeks of Bull Market preferably
  after 3 o’ clock
• Between March to August
• Do not Worry, if Prices come down
  subsequently-if need be, do the averaging
• Avoid too high priced shares
Selling
• Last Resort
• Selling in temporary boom market to buy
  back subsequently
• Monday- at the opening or before 12 o’
  clock
• Wednesday of the Derivative Settlement
  week
• September to December
• Ex-Dividend
THANK YOU

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Capital market & emotional equilibrium of investor-B.V.Raghunandan

  • 1. Capital Market & Emotional Equilibrium of Investor Investor Awareness Week, ICAI, SDM Law College, Mangalore March 9, 2013
  • 2. Capital Market Investment • Investment in Long-Term Securities like equity shares, debentures, preference shares, corporate bonds, government bonds, mutual funds and ETFs • Long Term Perspective • Mainly capital profit more than income • Time of Entry and Time of Exit • Market Linked Insurance and Provident Funds
  • 3. Market Drivers…. • Fundamental Factors • Sentimental Factors
  • 4. Fundamental Factors • Inflation Rate • Settlement of • Rating by Derivative International Credit Contracts Rating Agencies • Traders • Index of Industrial Activities Production • Governmental • RBI Policy and Policies Market • Crude Oil Prices Expectation • Taxation Policies • Quarter End • FII Activities Results • DII Activities • Global Cues • Monsoon
  • 5. Sentimental Factors • Industry Approach • Business Confidence • Macro-Events/Events • Surveys Conducted • Scams • Festivals • Confidence in a Boom Market • Depression in a Bear Market
  • 6. Nature of Returns • Shelf Investment-Growth with Maturity of Market • Return from the Total Portfolio • Loss of Profit is only Notional • Mistakes are to be Corrected early even at a loss • Junk Investment in case of new companies • Ignoring Temporary Reverses
  • 7. Emotional Equanimity • Ignoring Temporary Developments • Ignoring Expert Advices • You have the Investment and the Investment does not Have You • If Fluctuations Affect You, see only the Closing Prices • Avoid Day Trading and Derivatives • Avoid Concentrated Investment
  • 8. Investment Criteria • Liquidity • Returns (Regular and Capital) • Diversification • No Fund Parking • Reservation on Sunrise Industries • Stability • Risk Profile (High Beta/Low Beta)
  • 9. Steps Involved in Selection • Selection of Industry: Avoid High Cost and Highly Competitive Industry, Scalability, Inexhaustible Growth, Low Taxation, Government Support • Selection of Company: Strong Promoter Group, Good Reserves, Market Penetration, Aggressive Strategy, Innovation, Products with wide market
  • 10. Financial Aspects • PE Ratio • Bonus Shares/Interim • Dividend Pay-Out Dividends • Growth in Sales • Financing Capex out • Earning per Share of profit • Governance Quality • Asset Quality • Concern for • Annual Reports Enhancing Share- (Auditors’ Qualifying holder Value Report) • Regular Investment of • Debt Equity Ratio Cash Surplus
  • 11. Purchase • Out of Surplus Funds not needed in the Near Future • In a Market on the Downtrend • Monday of the Derivative Settlement Week • Fridays of Weeks of Bull Market preferably after 3 o’ clock • Between March to August • Do not Worry, if Prices come down subsequently-if need be, do the averaging • Avoid too high priced shares
  • 12. Selling • Last Resort • Selling in temporary boom market to buy back subsequently • Monday- at the opening or before 12 o’ clock • Wednesday of the Derivative Settlement week • September to December • Ex-Dividend